Last data update: Apr 22, 2024. (Total: 46599 publications since 2009)
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Query Trace: Sabin S [original query] |
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Modeling the spread of circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 outbreaks and interventions: A case study of Nigeria
Sun Y , Keskinocak P , Steimle LN , Kovacs SD , Wassilak SG . Vaccine X 2024 18 100476 BACKGROUND: Despite the successes of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative, substantial challenges remain in eradicating the poliovirus. The Sabin-strain (live-attenuated) virus in oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) can revert to circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) in under-vaccinated communities, regain neurovirulence and transmissibility, and cause paralysis outbreaks. Since the cessation of type 2-containing OPV (OPV2) in 2016, there have been cVDPV type 2 (cVDPV2) outbreaks in four out of six geographical World Health Organization regions, making these outbreaks a significant public health threat. Preparing for and responding to cVDPV2 outbreaks requires an updated understanding of how different factors, such as outbreak responses with the novel type of OPV2 (nOPV2) and the existence of under-vaccinated areas, affect the disease spread. METHODS: We built a differential-equation-based model to simulate the transmission of cVDPV2 following reversion of the Sabin-strain virus in prolonged circulation. The model incorporates vaccinations by essential (routine) immunization and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs), the immunity induced by different poliovirus vaccines, and the reversion process from Sabin-strain virus to cVDPV. The model's outcomes include weekly cVDPV2 paralytic case counts and the die-out date when cVDPV2 transmission stops. In a case study of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria, we fit the model to data on the weekly cVDPV2 case counts with onset in 2018-2021. We then used the model to test the impact of different outbreak response scenarios during a prediction period of 2022-2023. The response scenarios included no response, the planned response (based on Nigeria's SIA calendar), and a set of hypothetical responses that vary in the dates at which SIAs started. The planned response scenario included two rounds of SIAs that covered almost all areas of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria except some under-vaccinated areas (e.g., Sokoto). The hypothetical response scenarios involved two, three, and four rounds of SIAs that covered the whole Northwest and Northeast Nigeria. All SIAs in tested outbreak response scenarios used nOPV2. We compared the outcomes of tested outbreak response scenarios in the prediction period. RESULTS: Modeled cVDPV2 weekly case counts aligned spatiotemporally with the data. The prediction results indicated that implementing the planned response reduced total case counts by 79% compared to no response, but did not stop the transmission, especially in under-vaccinated areas. Implementing the hypothetical response scenarios involving two rounds of nOPV2 SIAs that covered all areas further reduced cVDPV2 case counts in under-vaccinated areas by 91-95% compared to the planned response, with greater impact from completing the two rounds at an earlier time, but it did not stop the transmission. When the first two rounds were completed in early April 2022, implementing two additional rounds stopped the transmission in late January 2023. When the first two rounds were completed six weeks earlier (i.e., in late February 2022), implementing one (two) additional round stopped the transmission in early February 2023 (late November 2022). The die out was always achieved last in the under-vaccinated areas of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria. CONCLUSIONS: A differential-equation-based model of poliovirus transmission was developed and validated in a case study of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria. The results highlighted (i) the effectiveness of nOPV2 in reducing outbreak case counts; (ii) the need for more rounds of outbreak response SIAs that covered all of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria in 2022 to stop the cVDPV2 outbreaks; (iii) that persistent transmission in under-vaccinated areas delayed the progress towards stopping outbreaks; and (iv) that a quicker outbreak response would avert more paralytic cases and require fewer SIA rounds to stop the outbreaks. |
Design and modification of COVID-19 case investigation and contact tracing interview scripts used by health departments throughout the COVID-19 pandemic
Orfield C , Loosier PS , Wagner S , Sabin ER , Fiscus M , Matulewicz H , Vohra D , Staatz C , Taylor MM , Caruso EC , DeLuca N , Moonan PK , Oeltmann JE , Thorpe P . J Public Health Manag Pract 2024 30 (3) 336-345 OBJECTIVES: We sought to (1) document how health departments (HDs) developed COVID-19 case investigation and contact tracing (CI/CT) interview scripts and the topics covered, and (2) understand how and why HDs modified those scripts. DESIGN: Qualitative analysis of CI/CT interview scripts and in-depth key informant interviews with public health officials in 14 HDs. Collected scripts represent 3 distinct points (initial, the majority of which were time stamped May 2020; interim, spanning from September 2020 to August 2021; and current, as of April 2022). SETTING: Fourteen state, local, and tribal health jurisdictions and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). PARTICIPANTS: Thirty-six public health officials involved in leading CI/CT from 14 state, local, and tribal health jurisdictions (6 states, 3 cities, 4 counties, and 1 tribal area). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Interview script elements included in CI/CT interview scripts over time. RESULTS: Many COVID-19 CI/CT scripts were developed by modifying questions from scripts used for other communicable diseases. Early in the pandemic, scripts included guidance on isolation/quarantine and discussed symptoms of COVID-19. As the pandemic evolved, the length of scripts increased substantially, with significant additions on contact elicitation, vaccinations, isolation/quarantine recommendations, and testing. Drivers of script changes included changes in our understanding of how the virus spreads, risk factors and symptoms, new treatments, new variants, vaccine development, and adjustments to CDC's official isolation and quarantine guidance. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings offer suggestions about components to include in future CI/CT efforts, including educating members of the public about the disease and its symptoms, offering mitigation guidance, and providing sufficient support and resources to help people act on that guidance. Assessing the correlation between script length and number of completed interviews or other quality and performance measures could be an area for future study. |
Enhancing acute flaccid paralysis surveillance system towards polio eradication: reverse cold chain monitoring in Nigeria, 2017 to 2019
Abbott SL , Hamisu AW , Gidado S , Etapelong SG , Edukugho AA , Hassan IA , Mawashi KY , Bukbuk DN , Baba M , Adekunle AJ , Adamu US , Damisa E , Waziri NE , Archer WR , Franka R , Wiesen E , Braka F , Bolu O , Banda R , Shuaib F . Pan Afr Med J 12/28/2021 40 7 INTRODUCTION: Highly sensitive acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) surveillance is critical for detection of poliovirus circulation and documentation for polio-free certification. The reverse cold chain (RCC) is a system designed to maintain stool specimens in appropriate temperature for effective detection of poliovirus in the laboratory. We monitored the RCC of AFP surveillance in Nigeria to determine its effectiveness in maintaining viability of enterovirus. METHODS: A descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted from November 2017 to December 2019. We included AFP cases from 151 Local Government Areas and monitored RCC of paired stool specimens from collection to arrival at laboratories. The national guideline recommends RCC temperature of +2 to +8°C and a non-polio enterovirus (NPENT) detection rate of ≥10%. We analyzed data with Epi Info 7, and presented results as frequencies and proportions, using Chi-square statistic to test for difference in enterovirus isolation. RESULTS: Of the 1,042 tracked paired stool specimens, 1,038(99.6%) arrived at the laboratory within 72 hours of collection of second specimen, 824(79.1%) were maintained within recommended temperature range, and 271(26%) yielded enteroviruses: 200(73.8%) NPENT, 66(24.4%) Sabin, 3(1.1%) vaccine derived poliovirus type 2 and 2(0.7%) mixture of Sabin and NPENT. The NPENT and Sabin rates were 19.2% and 6.7% respectively. Twenty-five percent of 824 specimens maintained within recommended temperature range, compared with 29.8% of 218 specimens with temperature excursion yielded enteroviruses (P=0.175). CONCLUSION: the RCC of AFP surveillance system in the study area was optimal and effective in maintaining the viability of enteroviruses. It was unlikely that poliovirus transmission was missed during the intervention. |
Safety of the novel oral poliovirus vaccine type 2 (nOPV2) in infants and young children aged 1 to <5 years and lot-to-lot consistency of the immune response to nOPV2 in infants in The Gambia: a phase 3, double-blind, randomised controlled trial
Ochoge M . Lancet 2024 BACKGROUND: Novel oral poliovirus vaccine type 2 (nOPV2) has been engineered to improve the genetic stability of Sabin oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) and reduce the emergence of circulating vaccine-derived polioviruses. This trial aimed to provide key safety and immunogenicity data required for nOPV2 licensure and WHO prequalification. METHODS: This phase 3 trial recruited infants aged 18 to <52 weeks and young children aged 1 to <5 years in The Gambia. Infants randomly assigned to receive one or two doses of one of three lots of nOPV2 or one lot of bivalent OPV (bOPV). Young children were randomised to receive two doses of nOPV2 lot 1 or bOPV. The primary immunogenicity objective was to assess lot-to-lot equivalence of the three nOPV2 lots based on one-dose type 2 poliovirus neutralising antibody seroconversion rates in infants. Equivalence was declared if the 95% CI for the three pairwise rate differences was within the -10% to 10% equivalence margin. Tolerability and safety were assessed based on the rates of solicited adverse events to 7 days, unsolicited adverse events to 28 days, and serious adverse events to 3 months post-dose. Stool poliovirus excretion was examined. The trial was registered as PACTR202010705577776 and is completed. FINDINGS: Between February and October, 2021, 2345 infants and 600 young children were vaccinated. 2272 (96·9%) were eligible for inclusion in the post-dose one per-protocol population. Seroconversion rates ranged from 48·9% to 49·2% across the three lots. The minimum lower bound of the 95% CIs for the pairwise differences in seroconversion rates between lots was -5·8%. The maximum upper bound was 5·4%. Equivalence was therefore shown. Of those seronegative at baseline, 143 (85·6%) of 167 (95% CI 79·4-90·6) infants and 54 (83·1%) of 65 (71·7-91·2) young children seroconverted over the two-dose nOPV2 schedule. The post-two-dose seroprotection rates, including participants who were both seronegative and seropositive at baseline, were 604 (92·9%) of 650 (95% CI 90·7-94·8) in infants and 276 (95·5%) of 289 (92·4-97·6) in young children. No safety concerns were identified. 7 days post-dose one, 78 (41·7%) of 187 (95% CI 34·6-49·1) infants were excreting the type 2 poliovirus. INTERPRETATION: nOPV2 was immunogenic and safe in infants and young children in The Gambia. The data support the licensure and WHO prequalification of nOPV2. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
Implementing a robust adverse event of special interest surveillance for novel oral polio vaccine type 2 rollout, Nigeria, March-July 2021
Abbott SL , Etapelong SG , Gidado S , Mawashi KY , Edukugho AA , Hamisu AW , Shehu A , Adedire E , Hassan IA , Waziri NE , Bolu O , Adamu US . Pan Afr Med J 2023 45 6 INTRODUCTION: novel oral poliovirus vaccine type 2 (nOPV2), designed to be more genetically stable than Sabin-strain oral poliovirus vaccine type 2 (mOPV2), is a new and key component of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative's strategy to combat outbreaks of circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (cVDPV2). The World Health Organization´s (WHO´s) emergency use listing (EUL) requires extensive safety monitoring for Adverse Event of Special Interest (AESI) in its use. We implemented AESI active surveillance to monitor the safety of the nOPV2 in Nigeria. METHODS: a cross-sectional assessment was conducted in Nigeria during March-June 2021 in 117 local government areas (LGAs) across 6 states and the Federal Capital Area with confirmed cVDPV2 transmission. We conducted active searches for nOPV2 AESI in all health facilities. Suspected events were ascertained, and vaccination and clinical data abstracted. Events were classified using WHO causality assessment algorithm. Data were analyzed using Epi info7. RESULTS: total of 234 adverse events were reported after 21,997,300 doses of nOPV2 were administered, giving a crude reported incidence of 1 in 94,000 doses of nOPV2. Altogether, 221 of the 234 (94%) adverse events were classified. For 166 AESI ascertained to occur following a dose of nOPV2, the corrected crude incidence rate was 1 in 133,000 doses; 4 of the adverse events, were classified as consistent with casual association with nOPV2 vaccination. CONCLUSION: we found that nOPV2 had a low incidence of AESI following nOPV2 campaigns and no new or unexpected adverse event was reported. Safety monitoring should be sustained for early detection of signals and uncommon adverse events. |
Molecular and Phenotypic Characterization of a Highly Evolved Type 2 Vaccine-Derived Poliovirus Isolated from Seawater in Brazil, 2014.
Cassemiro KM , Burlandy FM , Barbosa MR , Chen Q , Jorba J , Hachich EM , Sato MI , Burns CC , da Silva EE . PLoS One 2016 11 (3) e0152251 A type 2 vaccine-derived poliovirus (VDPV), differing from the Sabin 2 strain at 8.6% (78/903) of VP1 nucleotide positions, was isolated from seawater collected from a seaport in São Paulo State, Brazil. The P1/capsid region is related to the Sabin 2 strain, but sequences within the 5'-untranslated region and downstream of the P1 region were derived from recombination with other members of Human Enterovirus Species C (HEV-C). The two known attenuating mutations had reverted to wild-type (A481G in the 5'-UTR and Ile143Thr in VP1). The VDPV isolate had lost the temperature sensitive phenotype and had accumulated amino acid substitutions in neutralizing antigenic (NAg) sites 3a and 3b. The date of the initiating OPV dose, estimated from the number of synonymous substitutions in the capsid region, was approximately 8.5 years before seawater sampling, a finding consistent with a long time of virus replication and possible transmission among several individuals. Although no closely related type 2 VDPVs were detected in Brazil or elsewhere, this VDPV was found in an area with a mobile population, where conditions may favor both viral infection and spread. Environmental surveillance serves as an important tool for sensitive and early detection of circulating poliovirus in the final stages of global polio eradication. |
Prevalence of transmitted HIV-1 drug resistance among young adults attending HIV counselling and testing clinics in Kigali, Rwanda.
Mutagoma M , Ndahimana Jd , Kayirangwa E , Dahourou AG , Balisanga H , DeVos JR , McAlister D , Yang C , Bertagnolio S , Riedel DJ , Nsanzimana S . Antivir Ther 2016 21 (3) 247-51 BACKGROUND: Scaling-up antiretroviral therapy (ART) in resource-limited settings has raised concerns of emerging HIV drug resistance (DR) and its transmission to newly infected individuals. To assess the prevalence of transmitted drug resistance (TDR) in recently HIV-infected individuals, a WHO TDR threshold survey was conducted among young adults in Kigali, Rwanda. METHODS: Between May and July 2011, HIV subtype and genotyping were performed on dried blood spots (DBS) prepared from blood specimens collected from newly HIV-diagnosed and ART-naive individuals aged 15 to 21 years in eight HIV voluntary counselling and testing (VCT) sites in Kigali. RESULTS: In total, 57 of the 68 DBS collected from eligible participants were successfully amplified. The median age of participants was 20 years and 86% were female. Most participants (96%) were infected with subtype A1 virus. Two participants (4%) had the K103N non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) mutation and one (2%) had the M46L protease inhibitor (PI) mutation. The TDR prevalence was 3.5% (95% CI 0.4, 12.1) for NNRTI and 1.8% (95% CI 0.0, 9.4) for PI. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of HIV TDR in VCT attendees in Kigali was characterized as low (<5%) for all drug classes according to the WHO HIV DR threshold survey methodology. Despite a decade of widespread ART in Rwanda, TDR prevalence remains low, and so the current first-line ART regimens should continue to be effective. However, as scale-up of ART continues, frequent HIV DR surveillance is needed to monitor the effectiveness of available ART regimens at the population level. |
Notes from the field: House-to-house campaign administration of inactivated poliovirus vaccine - Sokoto State, Nigeria, November 2022
Biya O , Manu JI , Forbi JC , Wa Nganda G , Ikwe H , Sule A , Edukugho A , Shehu A , Aliyu N , Barau ND , Wiesen E , Sutter RW . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (47) 1290-1291 After the 2015 documentation of global eradication of wild poliovirus type 2,* Sabin type 2 oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) was withdrawn from routine immunization (RI) in all OPV-using countries in 2016, in a global synchronized switch from trivalent OPV (containing vaccine virus serotypes 1, 2, and 3) to bivalent OPV (containing serotypes 1 and 3), to reduce the rare risks for type 2 vaccine-associated paralytic poliomyelitis. Concurrently, the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) recommended that all OPV-using countries introduce ≥1 dose of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) into RI programs; IPV protects against paralysis caused by all three serotypes but cannot be transmitted from person to person or cause paralysis. Use of OPV, especially in areas with low vaccination coverage, is associated with low risk of emergence of vaccine-derived polioviruses (VDPVs). As susceptible persons in new birth cohorts accumulated after withdrawal of OPV type 2, population immunity against infection with serotype 2 declined (1), facilitating the emergence of circulating VDPV type 2 (cVDPV2). During the previous 7 years, cVDPV2 outbreaks required response supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) with monovalent type 2 OPV (mOPV2); however, if SIAs were not of sufficiently high quality and did not achieve high enough coverage, new emergences of cVDPV2 occurred. |
Persistence of immunity following a single dose of inactivated poliovirus vaccine: a phase 4, open label, non-randomised clinical trial
Sharma AK , Verma H , Estivariz CF , Bajracharaya L , Rai G , Shah G , Sherchand J , Jones KAV , Mainou BA , Chavan S , Jeyaseelan V , Sutter RW , Shrestha LP . Lancet Microbe 2023 4 (11) e923-e930 BACKGROUND: The polio eradication endgame required the withdrawal of Sabin type 2 from the oral poliovirus vaccine and introduction of one or more dose of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) into routine immunisation schedules. However, the duration of single-dose IPV immunity is unknown. We aimed to address this deficiency. METHODS: In this phase 4, open-label, non-randomised clinical trial, we assessed single-dose IPV immunity. Two groups of infants or children were screened: the first group had previously received IPV at 14 weeks of age or older (previous IPV group; age >2 years); the second had not previously received IPV (no previous IPV group; age 7-12 months). At enrolment, all participants received an IPV dose. Children in the no previous IPV group received a second IPV dose at day 30. Blood was collected three times in each group: on days 0, 7, and 30 in the previous IPV group and on days 0, 30, and 37 in the no previous IPV group. Poliovirus antibody was measured by microneutralisation assay. Immunity was defined as the presence of a detectable antibody or a rapid anamnestic response (ie, priming). We used the χ(2) to compare proportions and the Mann-Whitney U test to assess continuous variables. To assess safety, vaccinees were observed for 30 min, caregivers for each participating child reported adverse events after each follow-up visit and were questioned during each follow-up visit regarding any adverse events during the intervening period. Adverse events were recorded and graded according to the severity of clinical symptoms. The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03723837. FINDINGS: From Nov 18, 2018, to July 31, 2019, 502 participants enrolled in the study, 458 (255 [65%] boys and 203 [44%] girls) were included in the per protocol analysis: 234 (93%) in the previous IPV group and 224 (90%) in the no previous IPV group. In the previous IPV group, 28 months after one IPV dose 233 (>99%) of 234 children had persistence of poliovirus type 2 immunity (100 [43%] of 234 children were seropositive; 133 [99%] of 134 were seronegative and primed). In the no previous IPV group, 30 days after one IPV dose all 224 (100%) children who were type 2 poliovirus naive had seroconverted (223 [>99%] children) or were primed (one [<1%]). No adverse events were deemed attributable to study interventions. INTERPRETATION: A single IPV dose administered at 14 weeks of age or older is highly immunogenic and induces nearly universal type 2 immunity (seroconversion and priming), with immunity persisting for at least 28 months. The polio eradication initiative should prioritise first IPV dose administration to mitigate the paralytic burden caused by poliovirus type 2. FUNDING: WHO and Rotary International. |
Notes from the field: Circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 emergences linked to novel oral poliovirus vaccine type 2 use - six African countries, 2021-2023
Davlantes E , Jorba J , Henderson E , Bullard K , Deka MA , Kfutwah A , Martin J , Bessaud M , Shulman LM , Hawes K , Diop OM , Bandyopadhyay AS , Zipursky S , Burns CC . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (38) 1041-1042 Circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) outbreaks can occur when oral poliovirus vaccine strains (most often, Sabin monovalent oral poliovirus vaccine type 2 [mOPV2]) undergo prolonged circulation in undervaccinated populations, resulting in genetic reversion to neurovirulence. A novel type 2 oral poliovirus vaccine (nOPV2) has been developed, which has been shown in clinical trials to be less likely than mOPV2 to revert to paralytic variants and to have limited genetic modifications in initial field use (1–4). Approximately 700 million doses of nOPV2 have been administered worldwide in response to outbreaks of cVDPV type 2 (cVDPV2). cVDPV2 detections originating from nOPV2 use from initial rollout during March 2021–September 7, 2023, are described in this report. |
Complexity of options related to restarting oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) in national immunization programs after OPV cessation
Kalkowska DA , Wassilak SG , Wiesen E , FEstivariz C , Burns CC , Badizadegan K , Thompson KM . Gates Open Res 2023 7 55 Background: The polio eradication endgame continues to increase in complexity. With polio cases caused by wild poliovirus type 1 and circulating vaccine-derived polioviruses of all three types (1, 2 and 3) reported in 2022, the number, formulation, and use of poliovirus vaccines poses challenges for national immunization programs and vaccine suppliers. Prior poliovirus transmission modeling of globally-coordinated type-specific cessation of oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) assumed creation of Sabin monovalent OPV (mOPV) stockpiles for emergencies and explored the potential need to restart OPV if the world reached a specified cumulative threshold number of cases after OPV cessation. Methods: We document the actual experience of type 2 OPV (OPV2) cessation and reconsider prior modeling assumptions related to OPV restart. We develop updated decision trees of national immunization options for poliovirus vaccines considering different possibilities for OPV restart. Results: While OPV restart represented a hypothetical situation for risk management and contingency planning to support the 2013-2018 Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) Strategic Plan, the actual epidemiological experience since OPV2 cessation raises questions about what, if any, trigger(s) could lead to restarting the use of OPV2 in routine immunization and/or plans for potential future restart of type 1 and 3 OPV after their respective cessation. The emergency use listing of a genetically stabilized novel type 2 OPV (nOPV2) and continued evaluation of nOPV for types 1 and/or 3 add further complexity by increasing the combinations of possible OPV formulations for OPV restart. Conclusions: Expanding on a 2019 discussion of the logistical challenges and implications of restarting OPV, we find a complex structure of the many options and many issues related to OPV restart decisions and policies as of early 2023. We anticipate many challenges for forecasting prospective vaccine supply needs during the polio endgame due to increasing potential combinations of poliovirus vaccine choices. |
Key population size, HIV prevalence, and ART coverage in sub-Saharan Africa: systematic collation and synthesis of survey data (preprint)
Stevens O , Sabin K , Garcia SA , Anderson R , Willis K , Abdul-Quader A , McIntyre A , Fearon E , Grard E , Stewart-Brown A , Cowan F , Degenhardt L , Zhao J , Hakim A , Rucinski K , Sathane I , Boothe M , Atuhuire L , Nyasulu P , Platt L , Rice B , Hladik W , Baral S , Mahy M , Eaton JW . medRxiv 2022 29 Background: HIV programmes in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) require information about HIV among key populations to ensure equitable and equal access to HIV prevention and treatment. Surveillance has been conducted among female sex workers (FSW), men who have sex with men (MSM), people who inject drugs (PWID), and transgender populations, but is not systematically included in national HIV estimates. We consolidated existing KP surveys to create national-level estimates of key population size, HIV prevalence, and ART coverage for mainland SSA. Method(s): Key population size estimates (KPSE), HIV prevalence, and ART coverage data from 38 countries from 2010-2021 were collated from existing databases, deduplicated, and verified against primary sources. We used Bayesian mixed-effects regression to spatially smooth KPSE, and regressed subnational key population HIV prevalence and ART coverage against age/sex/year/province-matched total population estimates. Finding(s): We extracted 1449 unique KPSE datapoints, 1181 HIV prevalence datapoints, and 242 ART coverage datapoints. Countries had data for a median of five of the twelve population/outcome stratifications. Across countries, a median of 1.44% of urban women were FSW (interquartile range [IQR] 0.83-1.89%); 0.60% of urban men were MSM; and 0.16% of urban adults injected drugs (IQR 0.14-0.24%). HIV prevalence in all key populations was higher than matched total population prevalence. ART coverage was correlated with, but lower than, total population ART coverage. Across SSA, key populations were estimated as 1.1% (95%CI 0.7-1.9%) of the population but 5.1% (95%CI 3.2-10.3%) of all PLHIV aged 15-49 years. Interpretation(s): Key populations in sub-Saharan experience disproportionate HIV burden and somewhat lower ART coverage, underscoring need for focused prevention and treatment services. However, large heterogeneity and incomplete data availability limit precise estimates for programming and monitoring trends. Future efforts should focus on integrating and strengthening key population surveys and routine data within national HIV strategic information systems. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license. |
Coordinated global cessation of oral poliovirus vaccine use: Options and potential consequences
Kalkowska DA , Wassilak SGF , Wiesen E , Burns CC , Pallansch MA , Badizadegan K , Thompson KM . Risk Anal 2023 Due to the very low, but nonzero, paralysis risks associated with the use of oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV), eradicating poliomyelitis requires ending all OPV use globally. The Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) coordinated cessation of Sabin type 2 OPV (OPV2 cessation) in 2016, except for emergency outbreak response. However, as of early 2023, plans for cessation of bivalent OPV (bOPV, containing types 1 and 3 OPV) remain undefined, and OPV2 use for outbreak response continues due to ongoing transmission of type 2 polioviruses and reported type 2 cases. Recent development and use of a genetically stabilized novel type 2 OPV (nOPV2) leads to additional potential vaccine options and increasing complexity in strategies for the polio endgame. Prior applications of integrated global risk, economic, and poliovirus transmission modeling consistent with GPEI strategic plans that preceded OPV2 cessation explored OPV cessation dynamics and the evaluation of options to support globally coordinated risk management efforts. The 2022-2026 GPEI strategic plan highlighted the need for early bOPV cessation planning. We review the published modeling and explore bOPV cessation immunization options as of 2022, assuming that the GPEI partners will not support restart of the use of any OPV type in routine immunization after a globally coordinated cessation of such use. We model the potential consequences of globally coordinating bOPV cessation in 2027, as anticipated in the 2022-2026 GPEI strategic plan. We do not find any options for bOPV cessation likely to succeed without a strategy of bOPV intensification to increase population immunity prior to cessation. |
Genetic stabilization of attenuated oral vaccines against poliovirus types 1 and 3
Yeh MT , Smith M , Carlyle S , Konopka-Anstadt JL , Burns CC , Konz J , Andino R , Macadam A . Nature 2023 619 (7968) 135-142 Vaccination with Sabin, a live attenuated oral polio vaccine (OPV), results in robust intestinal and humoral immunity and has been key to controlling poliomyelitis. As with any RNA virus, OPV evolves rapidly to lose attenuating determinants critical to the reacquisition of virulence(1-3) resulting in vaccine-derived, virulent poliovirus variants. Circulation of these variants within underimmunized populations leads to further evolution of circulating, vaccine-derived poliovirus with higher transmission capacity, representing a significant risk of polio re-emergence. A new type 2 OPV (nOPV2), with promising clinical data on genetic stability and immunogenicity, recently received authorization from the World Health Organization for use in response to circulating, vaccine-derived poliovirus outbreaks. Here we report the development of two additional live attenuated vaccine candidates against type 1 and 3 polioviruses. The candidates were generated by replacing the capsid coding region of nOPV2 with that from Sabin 1 or 3. These chimeric viruses show growth phenotypes similar to nOPV2 and immunogenicity comparable to their parental Sabin strains, but are more attenuated. Our experiments in mice and deep sequencing analysis confirmed that the candidates remain attenuated and preserve all the documented nOPV2 characteristics concerning genetic stability following accelerated virus evolution. Importantly, these vaccine candidates are highly immunogenic in mice as monovalent and multivalent formulations and may contribute to poliovirus eradication. |
Immunogenicity of novel oral poliovirus vaccine type 2 administered concomitantly with bivalent oral poliovirus vaccine: an open-label, non-inferiority, randomised, controlled trial
Wilkinson AL , Zaman K , Hoque M , Estivariz CF , Burns CC , Konopka-Anstadt JL , Mainou BA , Kovacs SD , An Q , Lickness JS , Yunus M , Snider CJ , Zhang Y , Coffee E , Abid T , Wassilak SGF , Pallansch MA , Oberste MS , Vertefeuille JF , Anand A . Lancet Infect Dis 2023 23 (9) 1062-1071 BACKGROUND: Novel oral poliovirus vaccine type 2 (nOPV2) was developed by modifying the Sabin strain to increase genetic stability and reduce risk of seeding new circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 outbreaks. Bivalent oral poliovirus vaccine (bOPV; containing Sabin types 1 and 3) is the vaccine of choice for type 1 and type 3 outbreak responses. We aimed to assess immunological interference between nOPV2 and bOPV when administered concomitantly. METHODS: We conducted an open-label, non-inferiority, randomised, controlled trial at two clinical trial sites in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Healthy infants aged 6 weeks were randomly assigned (1:1:1) using block randomisation, stratified by site, to receive nOPV2 only, nOPV2 plus bOPV, or bOPV only, at the ages of 6 weeks, 10 weeks, and 14 weeks. Eligibility criteria included singleton and full term (≥37 weeks' gestation) birth and parents intending to remain in the study area for the duration of study follow-up activities. Poliovirus neutralising antibody titres were measured at the ages of 6 weeks, 10 weeks, 14 weeks, and 18 weeks. The primary outcome was cumulative immune response for all three poliovirus types at the age of 14 weeks (after two doses) and was assessed in the modified intention-to-treat population, which was restricted to participants with adequate blood specimens from all study visits. Safety was assessed in all participants who received at least one dose of study product. A non-inferiority margin of 10% was used to compare single and concomitant administration. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04579510. FINDINGS: Between Feb 8 and Sept 26, 2021, 736 participants (244 in the nOPV2 only group, 246 in the nOPV2 plus bOPV group, and 246 in the bOPV only group) were enrolled and included in the modified intention-to-treat analysis. After two doses, 209 (86%; 95% CI 81-90) participants in the nOPV2 only group and 159 (65%; 58-70) participants in the nOPV2 plus bOPV group had a type 2 poliovirus immune response; 227 (92%; 88-95) participants in the nOPV2 plus bOPV group and 229 (93%; 89-96) participants in the bOPV only group had a type 1 response; and 216 (88%; 83-91) participants in the nOPV2 plus bOPV group and 212 (86%; 81-90) participants in the bOPV only group had a type 3 response. Co-administration was non-inferior to single administration for types 1 and 3, but not for type 2. There were 15 serious adverse events (including three deaths, one in each group, all attributable to sudden infant death syndrome); none were attributed to vaccination. INTERPRETATION: Co-administration of nOPV2 and bOPV interfered with immunogenicity for poliovirus type 2, but not for types 1 and 3. The blunted nOPV2 immunogenicity we observed would be a major drawback of using co-administration as a vaccination strategy. FUNDING: The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. |
Update on Vaccine-Derived Poliovirus Outbreaks - Worldwide, January 2021-December 2022.
Bigouette JP , Henderson E , Traoré MA , Wassilak SGF , Jorba J , Mahoney F , Bolu O , Diop OM , Burns CC . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (14) 366-371 Circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) outbreaks* can occur when oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV, containing one or more Sabin-strain serotypes 1, 2, and 3) strains undergo prolonged circulation in under-vaccinated populations, resulting in genetically reverted neurovirulent virus (1,2). Following declaration of the eradication of wild poliovirus type 2 in 2015 and the global synchronized switch from trivalent OPV (tOPV, containing Sabin-strain types 1, 2, and 3) to bivalent OPV (bOPV, containing types 1 and 3 only) for routine immunization activities(†) in April 2016 (3), cVDPV type 2 (cVDPV2) outbreaks have been reported worldwide (4). During 2016-2020, immunization responses to cVDPV2 outbreaks required use of Sabin-strain monovalent OPV2, but new VDPV2 emergences could occur if campaigns did not reach a sufficiently high proportion of children. Novel oral poliovirus vaccine type 2 (nOPV2), a more genetically stable vaccine than Sabin OPV2, was developed to address the risk for reversion to neurovirulence and became available in 2021. Because of the predominant use of nOPV2 during the reporting period, supply replenishment has frequently been insufficient for prompt response campaigns (5). This report describes global cVDPV outbreaks during January 2021-December 2022 (as of February 14, 2023) and updates previous reports (4). During 2021-2022, there were 88 active cVDPV outbreaks, including 76 (86%) caused by cVDPV2. cVDPV outbreaks affected 46 countries, 17 (37%) of which reported their first post-switch cVDPV2 outbreak. The total number of paralytic cVDPV cases during 2020-2022 decreased by 36%, from 1,117 to 715; however, the proportion of all cVDPV cases that were caused by cVDPV type 1 (cVDPV1) increased from 3% in 2020 to 18% in 2022, including the occurrence of cocirculating cVDPV1 and cVDPV2 outbreaks in two countries. The increased proportion of cVDPV1 cases follows a substantial decrease in global routine immunization coverage and suspension of preventive immunization campaigns during the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-2022) (6); outbreak responses in some countries were also suboptimal. Improving routine immunization coverage, strengthening poliovirus surveillance, and conducting timely and high-quality supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) in response to cVDPV outbreaks are needed to interrupt cVDPV transmission and reach the goal of no cVDPV isolations in 2024. |
Vaccine-derived poliovirus serotype 2 outbreaks and response in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 2017-2021.
Alleman MM , Jorba J , Riziki Y , Henderson E , Mwehu A , Seakamela L , Howard W , Kadiobo Mbule A , Nsamba RN , Djawe K , Yapi MD , Mengouo MN , Gumede N , Ndoutabe M , Kfutwah AKW , Senouci K , Burns CC . Vaccine 2023 41 Suppl 1 A35-A47 Vaccine-derived polioviruses (VDPVs) can emerge from Sabin strain poliovirus serotypes 1, 2, and 3 contained in oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) after prolonged person-to-person transmission where population vaccination immunity against polioviruses is suboptimal. VDPVs can cause paralysis indistinguishable from wild polioviruses and outbreaks when community circulation ensues. VDPV serotype 2 outbreaks (cVDPV2) have been documented in The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) since 2005. The nine cVDPV2 outbreaks detected during 2005-2012 were geographically-limited and resulted in 73 paralysis cases. No outbreaks were detected during 2013-2016. During January 1, 2017-December 31, 2021, 19 cVDPV2 outbreaks were detected in DRC. Seventeen of the 19 (including two first detected in Angola) resulted in 235 paralysis cases notified in 84 health zones in 18 of DRC's 26 provinces; no notified paralysis cases were associated with the remaining two outbreaks. The DRC-KAS-3 cVDPV2 outbreak that circulated during 2019-2021, and resulted in 101 paralysis cases in 10 provinces, was the largest recorded in DRC during the reporting period in terms of numbers of paralysis cases and geographic expanse. The 15 outbreaks occurring during 2017-early 2021 were successfully controlled with numerous supplemental immunization activities (SIAs) using monovalent OPV Sabin-strain serotype 2 (mOPV2); however, suboptimal mOPV2 vaccination coverage appears to have seeded the cVDPV2 emergences detected during semester 2, 2018 through 2021. Use of the novel OPV serotype 2 (nOPV2), designed to have greater genetic stability than mOPV2, should help DRC's efforts in controlling the more recent cVDPV2 outbreaks with a much lower risk of further seeding VDPV2 emergence. Improving nOPV2 SIA coverage should decrease the number of SIAs needed to interrupt transmission. DRC needs the support of polio eradication and Essential Immunization (EI) partners to accelerate the country's ongoing initiatives for EI strengthening, introduction of a second dose of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) to increase protection against paralysis, and improving nOPV2 SIA coverage. |
Genetic and epidemiological description of an outbreak of circulating vaccine-derived polio-virus type 2 (cVDPV2) in Angola, 2019-2020.
Morais A , Morais J , Felix M , Neto Z , Madaleno V , Umar AS , Panda N , Lemma F , Chivale JAL , Cavalcante DG , Davlantes E , Ghiselli M , Espinosa C , Whiteman A , Iber J , Henderson E , Bullard K , Jorba J , Burns CC , Diop O , Gumede N , Seakamela L , Howard W , Frawley A . Vaccine 2023 41 Suppl 1 A48-A57 After six years without any detection of poliomyelitis cases, Angola reported a case of circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (cVDPV2) with paralysis onset date of 27 March 2019. Ultimately, 141 cVDPV2 polio cases were reported in all 18 provinces in 2019-2020, with particularly large hotspots in the south-central provinces of Luanda, Cuanza Sul, and Huambo. Most cases were reported from August to December 2019, with a peak of 15 cases in October 2019. These cases were classified into five distinct genetic emergences (emergence groups) and have ties with cases identified in 2017-2018 in the Democratic Republic of Congo. From June 2019 to July 2020, the Angola Ministry of Health and partners conducted 30 supplementary immunization activity (SIA) rounds as part of 10 campaign groups, using monovalent OPV type 2 (mOPV2). There were Sabin 2 vaccine strain detections in the environmental (sewage) samples taken after mOPV2 SIAs in each province. Following the initial response, additional cVDPV2 polio cases occurred in other provinces. However, the national surveillance system did not detect any new cVDPV2 polio cases after 9 February 2020. While reporting subpar indicator performance in epidemiological surveillance, the laboratory and environmental data as of May 2021 strongly suggest that Angola successfully interrupted transmission of cVDPV2 early in 2020. Additionally, the COVID-19 pandemic did not allow a formal Outbreak Response Assessment (OBRA). Improving the sensitivity of the surveillance system and the completeness of AFP case investigations will be vital to promptly detect and interrupt viral transmission if a new case or sewage isolate are identified in Angola or central Africa. |
Portable and cost-effective genetic detection and characterization of Plasmodium falciparum hrp2 using the MinION sequencer.
Sabin S , Jones S , Patel D , Subramaniam G , Kelley J , Aidoo M , Talundzic E . Sci Rep 2023 13 (1) 2893 The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum hrp2 (pfhrp2)-deleted parasites threatens the efficacy of the most used and sensitive malaria rapid diagnostic tests and highlights the need for continued surveillance for this gene deletion. While PCR methods are adequate for determining pfhrp2 presence or absence, they offer a limited view of its genetic diversity. Here, we present a portable sequencing method using the MinION. Pfhrp2 amplicons were generated from individual samples, barcoded, and pooled for sequencing. To overcome potential crosstalk between barcodes, we implemented a coverage-based threshold for pfhrp2 deletion confirmation. Amino acid repeat types were then counted and visualized with custom Python scripts following de novo assembly. We evaluated this assay using well-characterized reference strains and 152 field isolates with and without pfhrp2 deletions, of which 38 were also sequenced on the PacBio platform to provide a standard for comparison. Of 152 field samples, 93 surpassed the positivity threshold, and of those samples, 62/93 had a dominant pfhrp2 repeat type. PacBio-sequenced samples with a dominant repeat-type profile from the MinION sequencing data matched the PacBio profile. This field-deployable assay can be used alone for surveilling pfhrp2 diversity or as a sequencing-based addition to the World Health Organization's existing deletion surveillance protocol. |
Molecular evolution and antigenic drift of type 3 iVDPVs excreted from a patient with immunodeficiency in Ningxia, China.
Fan Q , Ma J , Li X , Jorba J , Yuan F , Zhu H , Hu L , Song Y , Wang D , Zhu S , Yan D , Chen H , Xu W , Zhang Y . J Med Virol 2023 95 (1) e28215 A 2.5-year-old pediatric patient with acute flaccid paralysis was diagnosed with primary immunodeficiency (PID) in Ningxia Province, China, in 2011. Twelve consecutive stool specimens were collected from the patient over a period of 10 months (18 February 2011 to 20 November 2011), and 12 immunodeficiency vaccine-derived poliovirus (iVDPV) strains (CHN15017-1 to CHN15017-12) were subsequently isolated. Nucleotide sequencing analysis of the plaque-purified iVDPVs revealed 2%-3.5% VP1-region differences from their parental Sabin 3 strain. Full-length genome sequencing showed they were all Sabin 3/Sabin 1 recombinants, sharing a common 2C-region crossover site, and the two key determinants of attenuation (U472C in the 5' untranslated region and T2493C in the VP1 region) had reverted. Temperature-sensitive experiments demonstrated that the first two iVDPV strains partially retained the temperature-sensitive phenotype's nature, while the subsequent ten iVDPV strains distinctly lost it, possibly associated with increased neurovirulence. Nineteen amino-acid substitutions were detected between 12 iVDPVs and the parental Sabin strain, of which only one (K1419R) was found on the subsequent 10 iVDPV isolates, suggesting this site's potential as a temperature-sensitive determination site. A Bayesian Monte Carlo Markov Chain phylogenetic analysis based on the P1 coding region yielded a mean iVDPV evolutionary rate of 1.02 × 10(-2) total substitutions/site/year, and the initial oral-polio-vaccine dose was presumably administered around June 2009. Our findings provide valuable information regarding the genetic structure, high-temperature growth sensitivity, and antigenic properties of iVDPVs following long-term evolution in a single PID patient, thus augmenting the currently limited knowledge regarding the dynamic changes and evolutionary pathway of iVDPV populations with PID during long-term global replication. |
Nearly Complete Genome Sequences of Type 2 Sabin-Like Polioviruses from Northern Nigerian Poliovirus Surveillance, 2016 to 2018.
Zhao K , Schmidt A , Tang K , Castro CJ , Liu H , Pang H , Chen Q , Baba M , Soji OB , Bukbuk D , Akinola M , Adeniji JA , Marine RL , Ng TFF , Jorba J , Burns CC . Microbiol Resour Announc 2022 12 (1) e0073522 We sequenced 109 type 2 Sabin-like poliovirus isolates that had been collected from acute flaccid paralysis patients or healthy children in Nigeria. Understanding the genetic makeup of these viruses may contribute to polio eradication efforts. |
Evaluation of the safety, immunogenicity, and faecal shedding of novel oral polio vaccine type 2 in healthy newborn infants in Bangladesh: a randomised, controlled, phase 2 clinical trial.
Zaman K , Bandyopadhyay AS , Hoque M , Gast C , Yunus M , Jamil KM , Mainou BA , Konopka-Anstadt JL , Hendley WS , Vincent A , Clemens R , Clemens SAC , Ross AG , Clemens JD , Tritama E . Lancet 2022 401 (10371) 131-139 BACKGROUND: Type 2 circulating vaccine-derived polioviruses (cVDPV2) from Sabin oral poliovirus vaccines (OPVs) are the leading cause of poliomyelitis. A novel type 2 OPV (nOPV2) has been developed to be more genetically stable with similar tolerability and immunogenicity to that of Sabin type 2 vaccines to mitigate the risk of cVDPV2. We aimed to assess these aspects of nOPV2 in poliovirus vaccine-naive newborn infants. METHODS: In this randomised, double-blind, controlled, phase 2 trial we enrolled newborn infants at the Matlab Health Research Centre, Chandpur, Bangladesh. We included infants who were healthy and were a single birth after at least 37 weeks' gestation. Infants were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive either two doses of nOPV2 or placebo, administered at age 0-3 days and at 4 weeks. Exclusion criteria included receipt of rotavirus or any other poliovirus vaccine, any infection or illness at the time of enrolment (vomiting, diarrhoea, or intolerance to liquids), diagnosis or suspicion of any immunodeficiency disorder in the infant or a close family member, or any contraindication for venipuncture. The primary safety outcome was safety and tolerability after one and two doses of nOPV2, given 4 weeks apart in poliovirus vaccine-naive newborn infants and the primary immunogenicity outcome was the seroconversion rate for neutralising antibodies against type 2 poliovirus, measured 28 days after the first and second vaccinations with nOPV2. Study staff recorded solicited and unsolicited adverse events after each dose during daily home visits for 7 days. Poliovirus neutralising antibody responses were measured in sera drawn at birth and at age 4 weeks and 8 weeks. This study is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04693286. FINDINGS: Between Sept 21, 2020, and Aug 16, 2021, we screened 334 newborn infants, of whom three (<1%) were found to be ineligible and one (<1%) was withdrawn by the parents; the remaining 330 (99%) infants were assigned to receive nOPV2 (n=220 [67%]) or placebo (n=110 [33%]). nOPV2 was well tolerated; 154 (70%) of 220 newborn infants in the nOPV2 group and 78 (71%) of 110 in the placebo group had solicited adverse events, which were all mild or moderate in severity. Severe unsolicited adverse events in 11 (5%) vaccine recipients and five (5%) placebo recipients were considered unrelated to vaccination. 306 (93%) of 330 infants had seroprotective maternal antibodies against type 2 poliovirus at birth, decreasing to 58 (56%) of 104 in the placebo group at 8 weeks. In the nOPV2 group 196 (90%) of 217 infants seroconverted by week 8 after two doses, when 214 (99%) had seroprotective antibodies. INTERPRETATION: nOPV2 was well tolerated and immunogenic in newborn infants, with two doses, at birth and 4 weeks, resulting in almost 99% of infants having protective neutralising antibodies. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
Outbreak response strategies with type 2-containing oral poliovirus vaccines
Kalkowska DA , Wassilak SGF , Pallansch MA , Burns CC , Wiesen E , Durry E , Badizadegan K , Thompson KM . Vaccine 2022 41 Suppl 1 A142-A152 Despite exhaustive and fully-financed plans to manage the risks of globally coordinated cessation of oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) containing type 2 (OPV2) prior to 2016, as of 2022, extensive, continued transmission of circulating vaccine-derived polioviruses (cVDPVs) type 2 (cVDPV2) remains. Notably, cumulative cases caused by cVDPV2 since 2016 now exceed 2,500. Earlier analyses explored the implications of using different vaccine formulations to respond to cVDPV2 outbreaks and demonstrated how different properties of novel OPV2 (nOPV2) might affect its performance compared to Sabin monovalent OPV2 (mOPV2). These prior analyses used fixed assumptions for how outbreak response would occur, but outbreak response implementation can change. We update an existing global poliovirus transmission model to explore different options for responding with different vaccines and assumptions about scope, delays, immunization intensity, target age groups, and number of rounds. Our findings suggest that in order to successfully stop all cVDPV2 transmission globally, countries and the Global Polio Eradication Initiative need to address the deficiencies in emergency outbreak response policy and implementation. The polio program must urgently act to substantially reduce response time, target larger populations - particularly in high transmission areas - and achieve high coverage with improved access to under-vaccinated subpopulations. Given the limited supplies of nOPV2 at the present, using mOPV2 intensively immediately, followed by nOPV2 intensively if needed and when sufficient quantities become available, substantially increases the probability of ending cVDPV2 transmission globally. |
Genetic and phenotypic stability of poliovirus shed from infants who received novel type 2 or Sabin type 2 oral poliovirus vaccines in Panama: an analysis of two clinical trials.
Wahid R , Mercer LD , De Leon T , DeAntonio R , Sáez-Llorens X , Macadam A , Chumakov K , Strating J , Koel B , Konopka-Anstadt JL , Oberste MS , Burns CC , Andino R , Tritama E , Bandyopadhyay AS , Aguirre G , Rüttimann R , Gast C , Konz JO . Lancet Microbe 2022 3 (12) e912-e921 BACKGROUND: Sabin strains used in oral poliovirus vaccines (OPV) can revert to virulence and, in rare instances, cause disease or generate vaccine-derived strains leading to outbreaks in areas of low immunisation coverage. A novel OPV2 (nOPV2) was designed to stabilise the viral genome against reversion and reduce recombination events that might lead to virulent strains. In this study, we evaluated the genetic and phenotypic stability of shed poliovirus following administration of one dose of monovalent OPV2 (mOPV2) or nOPV2 to infants aged 18-22 weeks. METHODS: In two similarly designed clinical trials (NCT02521974 and NCT03554798) conducted in Panama, infants aged 18-22-weeks, after immunisation with three doses of bivalent OPV (types 1 and 3) and one dose of inactivated poliovirus vaccine, were administered one or two doses of mOPV2 or nOPV2. In this analysis of two clinical trials, faecally shed polioviruses following one dose of mOPV2 or nOPV2 were isolated from stools meeting predetermined criteria related to sample timing and viral presence and quantity and assessed for nucleotide polymorphisms using next-generation sequencing. A transgenic mouse neurovirulence test was adapted to assess the effect of the possible phenotypic reversion of shed mOPV2 and nOPV2 with a logistic regression model. FINDINGS: Of the 91 eligible samples, 86 were able to be sequenced, with 72 evaluated in the transgenic mouse assay. Sabin-2 poliovirus reverts rapidly at nucleotide 481, the primary attenuation site in domain V of the 5' untranslated region of the genome. There was no evidence of neurovirulence-increasing polymorphisms in domain V of shed nOPV2. Reversion of shed Sabin-2 virus corresponded with unadjusted paralysis rates of 47·6% at the 4 log(10) 50% cell culture infectious dose (CCID(50)) and 76·7% at the 5 log(10) CCID(50) inoculum levels, with rates of 2·8% for 4 log(10) CCID(50) and 11·8% for 5 log(10) CCID(50) observed for shed nOPV2 samples. The estimated adjusted odds ratio at 4·5 log(10) of 0·007 (95% CI 0·002-0·023; p<0·0001) indicates significantly reduced odds of mouse paralysis from virus obtained from nOPV2 recipients compared with mOPV2 recipients. INTERPRETATION: The data indicate increased genetic stability of domain V of nOPV2 relative to mOPV2, with significantly lower neurovirulence of shed nOPV2 virus compared with shed mOPV2. While this vaccine is currently being deployed under an emergency use listing, the data on the genetic stability of nOPV2 will support further regulatory and policy decision-making regarding use of nOPV2 in outbreak responses. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
Deep sequencing of HIV-1 reveals extensive subtype variation and drug resistance after failure of first-line antiretroviral regimens in Nigeria.
ElBouzidi K , Datir RP , Kwaghe V , Roy S , Frampton D , Breuer J , Ogbanufe O , Murtala-Ibrahim F , Charurat M , Dakum P , Sabin CA , Ndembi N , Gupta RK . J Antimicrob Chemother 2022 77 (2) 474-482 BACKGROUND: Deep sequencing could improve understanding of HIV treatment failure and viral population dynamics. However, this tool is often inaccessible in low- and middle-income countries. OBJECTIVES: To determine the genetic patterns of resistance emerging in West African HIV-1 subtypes during first-line virological failure, and the implications for future antiretroviral options. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Participants were selected from a Nigerian cohort of people living with HIV who had failed first-line ART and subsequently switched to second-line therapy. Whole HIV-1 genome sequences were generated from first-line virological failure samples with Illumina MiSeq. Mutations detected at 2% frequency were analysed and compared by subtype. RESULTS: HIV-1 sequences were obtained from 101 participants (65% female, median age 30 years, median 32.9 months of nevirapine- or efavirenz-based ART). Thymidine analogue mutations (TAMs) were detected in 61%, other core NRTI mutations in 92% and NNRTI mutations in 99%. Minority variants (<20% frequency) comprised 18% of all mutations. K65R was more prevalent in CRF02_AG than G subtypes (33% versus 7%; P=0.002), and 3 TAMs were more common in G than CRF02_AG (52% versus 24%; P=0.004). Subtype G viruses also contained more RT cleavage site mutations. Cross-resistance to at least one of the newer NNRTIs, doravirine, etravirine or rilpivirine, was predicted in 81% of participants. CONCLUSIONS: Extensive drug resistance had accumulated in people with West African HIV-1 subtypes, prior to second-line ART. Deep sequencing significantly increased the detection of resistance-associated mutations. Caution should be used if considering newer-generation NNRTI agents in this setting. |
Novel Network Method Major Minor Variation Clustering Enables Identification of Poliovirus Clusters with High-Resolution Linkages.
Tan J , Zhao Y , Burns CC , Tian D , Zhao K . J Comput Biol 2022 30 (4) 409-419 The Global Polio Eradication Initiative uses an outbreak response protocol that defines type 2 Sabin or Sabin-like virus as those with 0-5 nucleotides diverging from their parental strain in the complete VP1 genomic region. Sabin or Sabin-like viruses share highly similar genome sequences, regardless of their origin. Thus, it is challenging to distinguish viruses at a higher resolution to detect polio clusters or trace sources for local transmissions of viruses at an early stage. To identify type 2 Sabin or Sabin-like sources and improve our ability to map viral sources to campaigns during the polio endgame, we investigated the feasibility of a new method for genetic sequence analysis. We named the method Major Minor Variation Clustering (MMVC), which uses a network model to simultaneously incorporate sequence similarity in major and minor variants in addition to onset dates to detect fine-scale polio clusters. Each identified cluster represents a collection of sequences that are highly similar in both major and minor variants, enabling the discovery of new links between viruses. By applying the method to a published data set collected in Nigeria during 2009-2012, we found that clusters identified using this method have several improvements over clusters derived from a phylogenetic tree approach. Integrative data analysis reveals that sequences in the same cluster have greater genomic similarities and better agreement with onset dates. As a complement to current phylogenetic tree approaches, MMVC has the potential to improve epidemiological surveillance and investigation precision to guide polio eradication. |
Fecal shedding of two novel live attenuated oral poliovirus type 2 vaccines candidates by healthy bOPV/IPV-vaccinated infants: two randomized clinical trials.
Gast C , Bandyopadhyay AS , Sáez-Llorens X , De Leon T , DeAntonio R , Jimeno J , Aguirre G , McDuffie LM , Coffee E , Mathis DL , Oberste MS , Weldon WC , Konopka-Anstadt JL , Modlin J , Bachtiar NS , Fix A , Konz J , Clemens R , Costa Clemens SA , Rüttimann R . J Infect Dis 2022 226 (5) 852-861 BACKGROUND: Primary intestinal immunity through viral replication of live oral vaccine is key to interrupt poliovirus transmission. We assessed viral fecal shedding from infants administered Sabin monovalent poliovirus type 2 vaccine (mOPV2) or low and high doses of 2 novel OPV2 (nOPV2) vaccine candidates. METHODS: In 2 randomized clinical trials in Panama, a control mOPV2 study (October 2015 to April 2016) and nOPV2 study (September 2018 to October 2019), 18-week-old infants vaccinated with bivalent oral poliovirus vaccine/inactivated poliovirus vaccine received 1 or 2 study vaccinations 28 days apart. Stools were assessed for poliovirus RNA by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and live virus by culture for 28 days postvaccination. RESULTS: Shedding data were available from 621 initially reverse-transcription PCR-negative infants (91 mOPV2, 265 nOPV2-c1, 265 nOPV2-c2 recipients). Seven days after dose 1, 64.3% of mOPV2 recipients and 31.3%-48.5% of nOPV2 recipients across groups shed infectious type 2 virus. Respective rates 7 days after dose 2 decreased to 33.3% and 12.9%-22.7%, showing induction of intestinal immunity. Shedding of both nOPV2 candidates ceased at similar or faster rates than mOPV2. CONCLUSIONS: Viral shedding of either nOPV candidate was similar or decreased relative to mOPV2, and all vaccines showed indications that the vaccine virus was replicating sufficiently to induce primary intestinal mucosal immunity. |
Public health response to a case of paralytic poliomyelitis in an unvaccinated person and detection of poliovirus in wastewater - New York, June-August 2022
Link-Gelles R , Lutterloh E , Schnabel Ruppert P , Backenson PB , St George K , Rosenberg ES , Anderson BJ , Fuschino M , Popowich M , Punjabi C , Souto M , McKay K , Rulli S , Insaf T , Hill D , Kumar J , Gelman I , Jorba J , Ng TFF , Gerloff N , Masters NB , Lopez A , Dooling K , Stokley S , Kidd S , Oberste MS , Routh J . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (33) 1065-1068 On July 18, 2022, the New York State Department of Health (NYSDOH) notified CDC of detection of poliovirus type 2 in stool specimens from an unvaccinated immunocompetent young adult from Rockland County, New York, who was experiencing acute flaccid weakness. The patient initially experienced fever, neck stiffness, gastrointestinal symptoms, and limb weakness. The patient was hospitalized with possible acute flaccid myelitis (AFM). Vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 (VDPV2) was detected in stool specimens obtained on days 11 and 12 after initial symptom onset. To date, related Sabin-like type 2 polioviruses have been detected in wastewater* in the patient's county of residence and in neighboring Orange County up to 25 days before (from samples originally collected for SARS-CoV-2 wastewater monitoring) and 41 days after the patient's symptom onset. The last U.S. case of polio caused by wild poliovirus occurred in 1979, and the World Health Organization Region of the Americas was declared polio-free in 1994. This report describes the second identification of community transmission of poliovirus in the United States since 1979; the previous instance, in 2005, was a type 1 VDPV (1). The occurrence of this case, combined with the identification of poliovirus in wastewater in neighboring Orange County, underscores the importance of maintaining high vaccination coverage to prevent paralytic polio in persons of all ages. |
Genetic characterization of novel oral polio vaccine type 2 viruses during initial use phase under emergency use listing - worldwide, March-October 2021
Martin J , Burns CC , Jorba J , Shulman LM , Macadam A , Klapsa D , Majumdar M , Bullows J , Frolov A , Mate R , Bujaki E , Castro CJ , Bullard K , Konz J , Hawes K , Gauld J , Blake IM , Mercer LD , Kurji F , Voorman A , Diop OM , Oberste MS , Modlin J , Macklin G , Eisenhawer M , Bandyopadhyay AS , Zipursky S . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (24) 786-790 The emergence and international spread of neurovirulent circulating vaccine-derived polioviruses (cVDPVs) across multiple countries in Africa and Asia in recent years pose a major challenge to the goal of eradicating all forms of polioviruses. Approximately 90% of all cVDPV outbreaks are caused by the type 2 strain of the Sabin vaccine, an oral live, attenuated vaccine; cVDPV outbreaks typically occur in areas of persistently low immunization coverage (1). A novel type 2 oral poliovirus vaccine (nOPV2), produced by genetic modification of the type 2 Sabin vaccine virus genome (2), was developed and evaluated through phase I and phase II clinical trials during 2017-2019. nOPV2 was demonstrated to be safe and well-tolerated, have noninferior immunogenicity, and have superior genetic stability compared with Sabin monovalent type 2 (as measured by preservation of the primary attenuation site [domain V in the 5' noncoding region] and significantly lower neurovirulence of fecally shed vaccine virus in transgenic mice) (3-5). These findings indicate that nOPV2 could be an important tool in reducing the risk for generating vaccine-derived polioviruses (VDPVs) and the risk for vaccine-associated paralytic poliomyelitis cases. Based on the favorable preclinical and clinical data, and the public health emergency of international concern generated by ongoing endemic wild poliovirus transmission and cVDPV type 2 outbreaks, the World Health Organization authorized nOPV2 for use under the Emergency Use Listing (EUL) pathway in November 2020, allowing for its first use for outbreak response in March 2021 (6). As required by the EUL process, among other EUL obligations, an extensive plan was developed and deployed for obtaining and monitoring nOPV2 isolates detected during acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) surveillance, environmental surveillance, adverse events after immunization surveillance, and targeted surveillance for adverse events of special interest (i.e., prespecified events that have the potential to be causally associated with the vaccine product), during outbreak response, as well as through planned field studies. Under this monitoring framework, data generated from whole-genome sequencing of nOPV2 isolates, alongside other virologic data for isolates from AFP and environmental surveillance systems, are reviewed by the genetic characterization subgroup of an nOPV working group of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative. Global nOPV2 genomic surveillance during March-October 2021 confirmed genetic stability of the primary attenuating site. Sequence data generated through this unprecedented global effort confirm the genetic stability of nOPV2 relative to Sabin 2 and suggest that nOPV2 will be an important tool in the eradication of poliomyelitis. nOPV2 surveillance should continue for the duration of the EUL. |
Progress toward polio eradication - worldwide, January 2020-April 2022
Rachlin A , Patel JC , Burns CC , Jorba J , Tallis G , O'Leary A , Wassilak SGF , Vertefeuille JF . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (19) 650-655 In 1988, the World Health Assembly established the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI). Since then, wild poliovirus (WPV) cases have decreased approximately 99.99%, and WPV types 2 and 3 have been declared eradicated. Only Afghanistan and Pakistan have never interrupted WPV type 1 (WPV1) transmission. This report describes global progress toward polio eradication during January 1, 2020-April 30, 2022, and updates previous reports (1,2). This activity was reviewed by CDC and was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy.* Five WPV1 cases were reported from Afghanistan and Pakistan in 2021, compared with 140 in 2020. In 2022 (as of May 5), three WPV1 cases had been reported: one from Afghanistan and two from Pakistan. WPV1 genetically linked to virus circulating in Pakistan was identified in Malawi in a child with paralysis onset in November 2021. Circulating vaccine-derived polioviruses (cVDPVs), with neurovirulence and transmissibility similar to that of WPV, emerge in populations with low immunity following prolonged circulation of Sabin strain oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) (3). During January 2020-April 30, 2022, a total of 1,856 paralytic cVDPV cases were reported globally: 1,113 in 2020 and 688 in 2021, including cases in Afghanistan and Pakistan. In 2022 (as of May 5), 55 cVDPV cases had been reported. Intensified programmatic actions leading to more effective outbreak responses are needed to stop cVDPV transmission. The 2022-2026 GPEI Strategic Plan objective of ending WPV1 transmission by the end of 2023 is attainable (4). However, the risk for children being paralyzed by polio remains until all polioviruses, including WPV and cVDPV, are eradicated. |
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