Last data update: Aug 15, 2025. (Total: 49733 publications since 2009)
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| Query Trace: Link-Gelles R[original query] |
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| Effectiveness of nirsevimab among infants in their first RSV season in the United States, October 2023–March 2024: a test-negative design analysis
Payne Amanda B , Battan-Wraith Steph , Rowley Elizabeth AK , Stockwell Melissa S , Tartof Sara Y , Dascomb Kristin , Irving Stephanie A , Dixon Brian , Ball Sarah W , Tenforde Mark W , Vazquez-Benitez Gabriela , Stephens Ashley B , Han Jungmi , Natarajan Karthik , Salas SBianca , Bezi Cassandra , Sy Lina S , Lewin Bruno , Sheffield Tamara , Arndorfer Julie , Bride Daniel , Van Otterloo Josh , Naleway Allison L , Koppolu Padma D , Grannis Shaun , Fadel William , Rogerson Colin , Duszynski Tom , Reese Sarah E , Mitchell Patrick K , Chickery Sean , Moline Heidi L , Najdowski Morgan , Ciesla Allison Avrich , Reeves Emily L , DeSilva Malini , Fleming-Dutra Katherine E , Link-Gelles Ruth . Lancet Reg Health Am 2025 49
Background: In August 2023, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended nirsevimab, a long-acting monoclonal antibody, for all U.S. infants aged <8 months entering or born during their first respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) season. Our aim was to estimate nirsevimab effectiveness against RSV-associated emergency department (ED) encounters and hospitalisation among U.S. infants during the 2023–2024 RSV season. Methods: We conducted a test-negative analysis using electronic health record (EHR) data from 6 healthcare systems, including ED encounters and hospitalizations with a diagnosis of RSV-like illness (RLI) during October 8, 2023–March 31, 2024, among infants aged <8 months as of October 1, 2023, or born during the study period. Nirsevimab effectiveness was estimated by comparing children who received nirsevimab with those who did not among RSV-positive and RSV-negative encounters, adjusting for age, race and ethnicity, sex, calendar day, and geographic region and excluding infants whose mother received RSV vaccination during pregnancy. Findings: Among 5039 ED encounters with RLI among infants in their first RSV season, 2045 (41%) were RSV-positive and 446 (9%) received nirsevimab, with a median time since dose of 52 days (interquartile range [IQR]: 27–84 days). Among 1025 hospitalizations with RLI among infants in their first RSV season, 605 (59%) were RSV-positive and 95 (9%) received nirsevimab, with a median time since dose of 48 days (IQR: 24–82 days). Nirsevimab effectiveness was 77% (95% CI: 69%–83%) against RSV-associated ED encounters and 98% (95% CI: 95%–99%) against RSV-associated hospitalisation. Interpretation: Nirsevimab was effective in preventing RSV-associated ED encounters and hospitalisation among infants in their first RSV season, with greatest protection against hospitalisation. However, these estimates reflect a short interval from nirsevimab administration to RLI onset. Since nirsevimab is a passive immunization and concentration is expected to wane over time, it is important to continue monitoring effectiveness to assess effectiveness with increased time since dose. Funding: This work was supported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (contracts 75D30121D12779 to Westat and 75D30123C18039 to Kaiser Foundation Hospitals). © 2025 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved. |
| Respiratory syncytial virus vaccine effectiveness - Authors' reply
Payne AB , Mitchell PK , Watts JA , Link-Gelles R . Lancet 2025 406 (10503) 599-600
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| Cost-Effectiveness of 2023-2024 COVID-19 Vaccination in US Adults
Prosser LA , Wallace M , Rose AM , Mercon K , Janusz CB , Gebremariam A , Hutton DW , Leidner AJ , Zhou F , Ortega-Sanchez IR , Moulia D , Link-Gelles R , Saydah S , Shah M , Pike J . JAMA Netw Open 2025 8 (8) e2523688
IMPORTANCE: Evidence is needed on the economic favorability of a 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination program to support policy decisions on recommendations for COVID-19 vaccination. OBJECTIVE: To measure the cost-effectiveness of vaccination with a 2023-2024 COVID-19 mRNA vaccine in adults aged 18 years or older compared with no updated vaccination (with a 2023-2024 vaccine). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This decision analytic modeling study used a simulation model to compare outcomes for hypothetical cohorts of vaccinated and unvaccinated, immunocompetent adults stratified by age (18-49 years, 50-64 years, and >/=65 years). Parameters were drawn from primary and published data to represent characteristics of the US adult population. The interventions included vaccination with a 2023-2024 mRNA vaccine against COVID-19-associated illness compared with no updated vaccination (with a 2023-2024 vaccine) using a 1-year analytic time frame. A phase 2 analysis also considered an intervention strategy of vaccination with an additional dose of 2023-2024 COVID-19 mRNA vaccine. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURE: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio as reported in 2023 US dollars per quality-adjusted life-year. RESULTS: Vaccination averted substantial numbers of cases, hospitalizations, intensive care unit stays, and deaths across age groups. For adults aged 18 to 49 years and 50 to 64 years, vaccination yielded incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $115 588 and $25 787 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, respectively. For individuals aged 65 years or older, vaccination was cost saving. Sensitivity analyses indicated that the results were most sensitive to the cost per vaccine dose, vaccine effectiveness, and probability of hospitalization. In phase 2 analyses, an additional dose strategy was only economically favorable in higher-risk scenarios for individuals aged 65 years or older. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this modeling study, economic favorability of COVID-19 vaccination varied by age. Cost-effectiveness results for individuals in the 2 older age groups were favorable and generally robust to changes in parameter inputs, while results for the younger age group were sensitive to parameter input changes. As the evidence base for COVID-19 vaccination and burden of illness evolves, it may be important to continue to update and revise the economic evaluation of vaccination. The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices considered these results in its decision to recommend vaccination with the 2023 to 2024 COVID-19 mRNA vaccines. |
| Effectiveness of 2023-2024 seasonal influenza vaccine against influenza-associated emergency department and urgent care encounters among pregnant and non-pregnant women of reproductive age
Reeves EL , Dascomb K , Irving SA , Klein NP , Tartof SY , Grannis SJ , Ong TC , Ball SW , Vazquez-Benitez G , Sheffield T , Bride D , Arndorfer J , Van Otterloo J , Naleway AL , Koppolu P , Zerbo O , Jacobson KB , Fireman BH , Hansen JR , Block L , Salas SB , Bezi C , Sy LS , Reyes IAC , Dixon BE , Fadel WF , Rogerson C , Duszynski T , Mayer D , Chavez C , Barron MA , Weber ZA , Yang DH , Cheung A , Payne AB , Link-Gelles R , Adams K , Neelam V , DeSilva MB , Natarajan K , Tenforde MW , DeCuir J , Ellington S , Olson SM . Vaccine 2025 62 127483 Influenza vaccination is particularly important for pregnant women. Using a test-negative, case-control design, we estimated the effectiveness of 2023-2024 seasonal influenza vaccination against influenza-associated emergency department and urgent care (ED/UC) encounters among pregnant and non-pregnant women of reproductive age using data from seven healthcare systems. Eligible encounters were among individuals aged 18-49 years with documented female sex. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated by comparing the odds of vaccination among influenza-positive cases versus influenza-negative controls, adjusting for site, age, race/ethnicity, calendar time, and gestational age at encounter (in pregnant women). Among pregnant women (N = 3539), VE against influenza-associated ED/UC encounters was 46 % (95 % CI: 36-55) and did not differ by gestational age at vaccination. Among non-pregnant women (N = 57,709), VE against influenza-associated ED/UC encounters was 54 % (95 % CI: 51-56). Influenza vaccination during the 2023-2024 season was similarly effective in both pregnant and non-pregnant women and by timing of vaccine receipt during pregnancy. |
| Estimated 2023-2024 COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness in Adults
Link-Gelles R , Rowley EAK , Irving SA , Klein NP , Grannis SJ , Ong TC , Ball SW , DeSilva MB , Dascomb K , Naleway AL , Koppolu P , Zerbo O , Fireman B , Hansen J , Timbol J , Block L , Dixon BE , Duszynski TJ , Allen KS , Mayer D , Chavez C , Barron M , Reese SE , Chickery S , Davis JM , Ciesla AA , Mak J , Najdowski M , Akinsete OO , McEvoy CE , Essien IJ , Sheffield T , Bride D , Arndorfer J , Van Otterloo J , Natarajan K , Tenforde MW , DeCuir J , Payne AB . JAMA Netw Open 2025 8 (6) e2517402 IMPORTANCE: SARS-CoV-2 continues to evolve, population immunity changes, and COVID-19 vaccine formulas have been updated, necessitating ongoing COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) monitoring. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the VE of 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated emergency department (ED) and urgent care (UC) encounters, hospitalizations, and critical illness, including during XBB- and JN.1-predominant periods. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This test-negative design VE case-control study was conducted using data from September 21, 2023, to August 22, 2024, from EDs, UC centers, and hospitals in 6 US health care systems. Eligible adults 18 years or older with COVID-19-like illness and molecular or antigen testing for SARS-CoV-2 were studied. Case patients were those with a positive molecular or antigen test result; control patients were those with a negative molecular test result. EXPOSURE: Receipt of 2023-2024 (monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccination with products approved or authorized for use in the US. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Main outcomes were COVID-19-associated ED and UC encounters, hospitalizations, and critical illness (admission to the intensive care unit or in-hospital death). VE was estimated comparing the odds of receipt of the 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccine with no receipt among case and control patients. RESULTS: Among 345 639 eligible ED and UC encounters in immunocompetent adults 18 years or older with COVID-19-like illness and available test results (median [IQR] age, 53 [34-71] years; 209 087 [60%] female), 37 096 (11%) had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result. VE against COVID-19-associated ED and UC encounters was 24% (95% CI, 21%-26%) during 7 to 299 days after vaccination. Among 111 931 eligible hospitalizations in immunocompetent adults 18 years or older with COVID-19-like illness and available test results (median [IQR] age, 71 [58-81] years), 10 380 (9%) had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result. During 7 to 299 days after vaccination, VE was 29% (95% CI, 25%-33%) against COVID-19-associated hospitalization and 48% (95% CI, 40%-55%) against COVID-19-associated critical illness. VE was highest 7 to 59 days after vaccination (VE against ED and UC encounters 49%; 95% CI, 46%-52%; hospitalization, 51%; 95% CI, 46%-56%; critical illness, 68%; 95% CI, 56%-76%) and then waned (VE 180-299 days after vaccination against ED and UC encounters, -7% [95% CI, -13% to -2%]; hospitalization, -4% [95% CI, -14% to 5%]; and critical illness, 16% [95% CI, -6 to 34%]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this case-control study of VE, 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccines were estimated to provide additional effectiveness against medically attended COVID-19, with the highest and most sustained estimates against critical illness. These results highlight the importance of receiving recommended COVID-19 vaccination for adults 18 years or older. |
| Effectiveness of 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated hospitalizations among adults aged ≥18 years with end stage kidney disease - United States, September 2023-April 2024
Payne AB , Novosad S , Sung HM , Zhang Y , Wiegand R , Gomez Victor CS , Wallace M , Gomes DJ , Najdowski M , Lufkin B , Chillarige Y , Lacson E , Dalrymple LS , Link-Gelles R . Vaccine 2025 55 127010 BACKGROUND: Persons with end stage kidney disease (ESKD) on dialysis are at high risk for severe COVID-19 disease. In September 2023, 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination was recommended in the United States for all persons aged ≥6 months. Due to possible immune dysfunction, advanced age, and high prevalence of additional underlying conditions, including immunocompromising conditions, among individuals with ESKD, reduced vaccine effectiveness (VE) is a concern. Understanding effectiveness of 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccine among persons with ESKD can inform COVID-19 vaccine recommendations for this population. METHODS: A retrospective cohort investigation was conducted among Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged ≥18 years with ESKD receiving dialysis using Medicare enrollment and claims records. Follow-up began on September 17, 2023, and continued until the earliest occurrence of claim for a COVID-19-associated outcome, other censoring event, or end of follow-up. A marginal structural Cox model was used to estimate VE (calculated as [1 - hazard ratio]*100 %), interpreted as the benefit of 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination compared with no 2023-2024 vaccine dose. VE was estimated by presence of additional immunocompromising conditions, age group, and time since vaccination. RESULTS: During September 17, 2023 - April 13, 2024, 17,749/112,250 (16 %) Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥18 years with ESKD without additional immunocompromising conditions received a 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccine dose, with a maximum 209 days of follow-up since vaccination. During the follow-up period 6539 medically attended COVID-19 events, including 3605 COVID-19-associated hospitalizations, 789 COVID-19-associated deaths, and 896 COVID-19-associated thromboembolic events, were recorded. VE against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was 55 % (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 42 % - 65 %) at 7-59 days after vaccination and 47 % (95 % CI: 35 % - 57 %) at ≥60 days after vaccination. VE against COVID-19-associated death was 71 % (95 % CI: 46 % - 84 %) at 7-59 days after vaccination and 51 % (95 % CI: 24 % - 69 %) ≥60 days after vaccination. VE against COVID-19-associated thromboembolic events was 44 % (95 % CI, 24 %, 59 %). CONCLUSIONS: The 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccines provided protection against COVID-19-associated hospitalization, death, and thromboembolic events among adults with ESKD. These data support the recommendation that adults with ESKD receive the updated COVID-19 vaccine. |
| Patterns in prescribing and dispensing of influenza antivirals among adults with influenza presenting to urgent care and emergency department settings, VISION Network, 2023-2024
Adams K , Garg S , Tartof SY , Irving SA , DeSilva MB , Klein NP , Natarajan K , Dascomb K , Grannis SJ , Ong TC , Salas SB , Sy LS , Lewin B , Qian L , Naleway AL , Koppolu PD , McEvoy CE , Akinsete O , Essien I , Fireman B , Zerbo O , Jacobson KB , Timbol J , Neelam V , Reeves EL , Dickerson M , Ray C , Link-Gelles R , Mak J , Ball SW , O'Reilly M , Olsen SJ , Tenforde MW . Clin Infect Dis 2025 BACKGROUND: We describe prescribing and dispensing patterns of influenza antivirals among patients with laboratory-confirmed influenza within U.S. urgent care and emergency department settings. METHODS: A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted for encounters from four large, integrated health systems participating in the VISION network of adult patients presenting with acute respiratory illness to urgent cares or emergency departments and with positive influenza virus test results during the 2023-2024 influenza season. The analysis was restricted to adult patients at higher risk of influenza complications based on presence of underlying medical conditions, older age, pregnancy, and severe obesity. We calculated proportions and odds of prescribed and dispensed antivirals by demographic and clinical characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 10,700 patient encounters were eligible for analysis. Among encounters with a positive standard molecular influenza test result (N=5,231), 58% (range across sites: 47-64%) were prescribed antivirals, with 67% of prescribing occurring on the encounter date. Among those prescribed antivirals (N=3,050), 80% (range across sites: 75-91%) had them dispensed, with 65% of dispensing occurring on the prescription date. Encounters among persons aged ≥65 years had lower odds of same-day prescribing (0.57 [95% CI: 0.42-0.78]) and lower odds of same-day dispensing (0.58 [95% CI: 0.36-0.94]) compared to those 18-49 years. CONCLUSIONS: Gaps in antiviral treatment within urgent care and emergency department settings remain for patients at higher risk of influenza complications, notably among older adults. Strategies to improve earlier initiation of antiviral treatment may help reduce the risk of influenza-associated complications. |
| Interim estimates of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness among adults aged ≥18 years - VISION and IVY Networks, September 2024-January 2025
Link-Gelles R , Chickery S , Webber A , Ong TC , Rowley EAK , DeSilva MB , Dascomb K , Irving SA , Klein NP , Grannis SJ , Barron MA , Reese SE , McEvoy C , Sheffield T , Naleway AL , Zerbo O , Rogerson C , Self WH , Zhu Y , Lauring AS , Martin ET , Peltan ID , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Prekker ME , Mohamed A , Johnson N , Steingrub JS , Khan A , Felzer JR , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Safdar B , Mosier JM , Harris ES , Chappell JD , Halasa N , Johnson C , Natarajan K , Lewis NM , Ellington S , Reeves EL , DeCuir J , McMorrow M , Paden CR , Payne AB , Dawood FS , Surie D . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2025 74 (6) 73-82 COVID-19 vaccination averted approximately 68,000 hospitalizations during the 2023-24 respiratory season. In June 2024, CDC and the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended that all persons aged ≥6 months receive a 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine, which targets Omicron JN.1 and JN.1-derived sublineages. Interim effectiveness of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccines was estimated against COVID-19-associated emergency department (ED) or urgent care (UC) visits during September 2024-January 2025 among adults aged ≥18 years in one CDC-funded vaccine effectiveness (VE) network, against COVID-19-associated hospitalization in immunocompetent adults aged ≥65 years in two networks, and against COVID-19-associated hospitalization among adults aged ≥65 years with immunocompromising conditions in one network. Among adults aged ≥18 years, VE against COVID-19-associated ED/UC visits was 33% (95% CI = 28%-38%) during the first 7-119 days after vaccination. Among immunocompetent adults aged ≥65 years from two CDC networks, VE estimates against COVID-19-associated hospitalization were 45% (95% CI = 36%-53%) and 46% (95% CI = 26%-60%) during the first 7-119 days after vaccination. Among adults aged ≥65 years with immunocompromising conditions in one network, VE was 40% (95% CI = 21%-54%) during the first 7-119 days after vaccination. These findings demonstrate that vaccination with a 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine dose provides additional protection against COVID-19-associated ED/UC encounters and hospitalizations compared with not receiving a 2024-2025 dose and support current CDC and ACIP recommendations that all persons aged ≥6 months receive a 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine dose. |
| Interim estimates of 2024-2025 seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness - four vaccine effectiveness networks, United States, October 2024-February 2025
Frutos AM , Cleary S , Reeves EL , Ahmad HM , Price AM , Self WH , Zhu Y , Safdar B , Peltan ID , Gibbs KW , Exline MC , Lauring AS , Ball SW , DeSilva M , Tartof SY , Dascomb K , Irving SA , Klein NP , Dixon BE , Ong TC , Vaughn IA , House SL , Faryar KA , Nowalk MP , Gaglani M , Wernli KJ , Murugan V , Williams OL , Selvarangan R , Weinberg GA , Staat MA , Halasa NB , Sahni LC , Michaels MG , Englund JA , Kirby MK , Surie D , Dawood FS , Clopper BR , Moline HL , Link-Gelles R , Payne AB , Harker E , Wielgosz K , Weber ZA , Yang DH , Lewis NM , DeCuir J , Olson SM , Chung JR , Flannery B , Grohskopf LA , Reed C , Garg S , Ellington S . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2025 74 (6) 83-90 Annual influenza vaccination is recommended for all persons aged ≥6 months in the United States. Interim influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) was calculated among patients with acute respiratory illness-associated outpatient visits and hospitalizations from four VE networks during the 2024-25 influenza season (October 2024-February 2025). Among children and adolescents aged <18 years, VE against any influenza was 32%, 59%, and 60% in the outpatient setting in three networks, and against influenza-associated hospitalization was 63% and 78% in two networks. Among adults aged ≥18 years, VE in the outpatient setting was 36% and 54% in two networks and was 41% and 55% against hospitalization in two networks. Preliminary estimates indicate that receipt of the 2024-2025 influenza vaccine reduced the likelihood of medically attended influenza and influenza-associated hospitalization. CDC recommends annual receipt of an age-appropriate influenza vaccine by all eligible persons aged ≥6 months as long as influenza viruses continue to circulate locally. |
| Methods to adjust for confounding in test-negative design COVID-19 effectiveness studies: Simulation study
Rowley EA , Mitchell PK , Yang DH , Lewis N , Dixon BE , Vazquez-Benitez G , Fadel WF , Essien IJ , Naleway AL , Stenehjem E , Ong TC , Gaglani M , Natarajan K , Embi P , Wiegand RE , Link-Gelles R , Tenforde MW , Fireman B . JMIR Form Res 2025 9 e58981
BACKGROUND: Real-world COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) studies are investigating exposures of increasing complexity accounting for time since vaccination. These studies require methods that adjust for the confounding that arises when morbidities and demographics are associated with vaccination and the risk of outcome events. Methods based on propensity scores (PS) are well-suited to this when the exposure is dichotomous, but present challenges when the exposure is multinomial. OBJECTIVE: This simulation study aimed to investigate alternative methods to adjust for confounding in VE studies that have a test-negative design. METHODS: Adjustment for a disease risk score (DRS) is compared with multivariable logistic regression. Both stratification on the DRS and direct covariate adjustment of the DRS are examined. Multivariable logistic regression with all the covariates and with a limited subset of key covariates is considered. The performance of VE estimators is evaluated across a multinomial vaccination exposure in simulated datasets. RESULTS: Bias in VE estimates from multivariable models ranged from -5.3% to 6.1% across 4 levels of vaccination. Standard errors of VE estimates were unbiased, and 95% coverage probabilities were attained in most scenarios. The lowest coverage in the multivariable scenarios was 93.7% (95% CI 92.2%-95.2%) and occurred in the multivariable model with key covariates, while the highest coverage in the multivariable scenarios was 95.3% (95% CI 94.0%-96.6%) and occurred in the multivariable model with all covariates. Bias in VE estimates from DRS-adjusted models was low, ranging from -2.2% to 4.2%. However, the DRS-adjusted models underestimated the standard errors of VE estimates, with coverage sometimes below the 95% level. The lowest coverage in the DRS scenarios was 87.8% (95% CI 85.8%-89.8%) and occurred in the direct adjustment for the DRS model. The highest coverage in the DRS scenarios was 94.8% (95% CI 93.4%-96.2%) and occurred in the model that stratified on DRS. Although variation in the performance of VE estimates occurred across modeling strategies, variation in performance was also present across exposure groups. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, models using a DRS to adjust for confounding performed adequately but not as well as the multivariable models that adjusted for covariates individually. |
| Use of additional doses of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine for adults aged ≤65 years and persons aged ≤6 months with moderate or severe immunocompromise: Recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices - United States, 2024
Roper LE , Godfrey M , Link-Gelles R , Moulia DL , Taylor CA , Peacock G , Brewer N , Brooks O , Kuchel G , Talbot HK , Schechter R , Fleming-Dutra KE , Panagiotakopoulos L . Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (49) 1118-1123 COVID-19 remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality, especially among adults aged ≤65 years and persons with moderate or severe immunocompromise; these persons are among those at highest risk for severe disease from COVID-19. On June 27, 2024, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccination for all persons aged ≤6 months to target currently circulating strains of SARS-CoV-2 and provide additional protection against severe COVID-19. Because SARS-CoV-2 circulates year-round and immunity from vaccination wanes, on October 23, 2024, ACIP recommended a second 2024- 2025 COVID-19 vaccine dose for all adults aged ≤65 years and for persons aged 6 months-64 years with moderate or severe immunocompromise, 6 months after their last dose of 2024- 2025 COVID-19 vaccine (minimum interval = 2 months). Further, ACIP recommended that persons aged ≤6 months who are moderately or severely immunocompromised may receive additional doses of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine (i.e., a total of ≤3 doses of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine) based on shared clinical decision-making. Staying up to date with COVID-19 vaccination is recommended to decrease the risk for severe COVID-19, especially among adults aged ≤65 years and persons with moderate or severe immunocompromise. © 2024 Department of Health and Human Services. All rights reserved. |
| A framework for monitoring RSV prevention product effectiveness in the United States
Roper LE , Link-Gelles R , Surie D , DeCuir J , Zambrano LD , Prill MM , Havers FP , Jones JM , Melgar M , Hall AJ , Whitehead RD Jr , McMorrow ML , Ioannou GN , Hernandez-Romieu AC , Britton A , Novosad S , Martin A , Feldstein LR , Bajema KL , Kirking H , Moline H , Campbell AP , Aslan M , Hatfield K , Dawood F , Slayton R , Reddy S , Gomes D , Fleming-Dutra KE , Payne AB . Vaccine 2025 45 126633 During 2023, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended the first respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) immunizations intended for widespread use in the United States to prevent severe RSV illness in infants and older adults. CDC, in collaboration with federal, public health, and academic partners, is conducting evaluations of real-world effectiveness of recommended RSV immunization products in the United States. Similar frameworks for evaluation are being applied to RSV vaccines and nirsevimab, a long-acting preventative monoclonal antibody, to estimate product effectiveness. The overall goal of CDC's RSV immunization effectiveness program is to generate timely and robust evidence through observational studies to inform immunization product policy decisions and other measures related to RSV prevention and control. CDC is evaluating effectiveness through high-quality, well-controlled observational studies leveraging a variety of platforms that provide robust data to inform policy decisions. |
| Influenza vaccine effectiveness against hospitalizations and emergency department or urgent care encounters for children, adolescents, and adults during the 2023-2024 season, United States
Tenforde MW , Reeves EL , Weber ZA , Tartof SY , Klein NP , Dascomb K , DeSilva MB , Yang DH , Grannis SJ , Irving SA , Ong TC , Link-Gelles R , Salas SB , Sy LS , Lewin B , Contreras R , Zerbo O , Fireman B , Hansen J , Timbol J , Sheffield T , Bride D , Arndorfer J , VanOtterloo J , McEvoy CE , Akinsete OO , Essien IJ , Dixon BE , Rogerson C , Fadel WF , Duszynski T , Naleway AL , Barron MA , Rao S , Mayer D , Chavez C , Ball SW , Payne AB , Ray C , Dickerson M , Neelam V , Adams K , Flannery B , DeCuir J , Garg S . Clin Infect Dis 2024 BACKGROUND: The 2023-2024 influenza season had predominant influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus activity, but A(H3N2) and B viruses co-circulated. Seasonal influenza vaccine strains were well-matched to these viruses. METHODS: Using health care encounters data from health systems in 8 states, we evaluated influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against influenza-associated medical encounters from October 2023-April 2024. Using a test-negative design, we compared the odds of vaccination between patients with an acute respiratory illness (ARI) who tested positive (cases) versus negative (controls) for influenza by molecular assay, adjusting for confounders. VE was stratified by age group, influenza type (overall, influenza A, influenza B), and care setting (hospitalization, emergency department or urgent care [ED/UC] encounter). RESULTS: Overall, 74,000 encounters in children and adolescents aged 6 months - 17 years (3,479 hospitalizations, 70,521 ED/UC encounters) and 267,606 in adults aged ≥18 years (66,828 hospitalizations, 200,778 ED/UC encounters) were included. Across care settings, among children and adolescents 15% (2,758/17,833) of cases versus 32% (18,240/56,167) of controls had received vaccination. Among adults, 25% (11,632/46,614) of cases versus 44% (97,811/220,992) of controls across care settings had received vaccination. VE was 58% (95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 44-69%) against hospitalization and 58% (95% CI: 56-60%) against ED/UC encounters for children and adolescents, and 39% (95% CI: 35-43) against hospitalization and 47% (95% CI: 46-49%) against ED/UC encounters for adults. Across age groups, VE was higher against influenza B than influenza A. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza vaccines provided protection against influenza-associated illness across health care settings and age groups during the 2023-2024 influenza season. |
| Nirsevimab effectiveness against medically attended respiratory syncytial virus illness and hospitalization among Alaska native children - Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta Region, Alaska, October 2023-June 2024
Lefferts B , Bressler S , Keck JW , Desnoyers C , Hodges E , January G , Morris K , Herrmann L , Singleton R , Aho S , Rogers J , Newell K , Ohlsen E , Link-Gelles R , Dawood FS , Bruden D , Fischer M , Klejka J , Scobie HM . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (45) 1015-1021 Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of hospitalization among young children. Historically, American Indian and Alaska Native (AI/AN) children have experienced high rates of RSV-associated hospitalization. In August 2023, a preventive monoclonal antibody (nirsevimab) was recommended for all infants aged <8 months (born during or entering their first RSV season) and for children aged 8-19 months (entering their second RSV season) who have increased risk for severe RSV illness, including all AI/AN children. This evaluation in Alaska's Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta region estimated nirsevimab effectiveness among AI/AN children in their first or second RSV seasons during 2023-2024. Among 472 children with medically attended acute respiratory illness (ARI), 48% overall had received nirsevimab ≥7 days earlier (median = 91 days before the ARI-related visit). For children in their first RSV season (292), nirsevimab effectiveness was 76% (95% CI = 42%-90%) against medically attended RSV illness and 89% (95% CI = 32%-98%) against RSV hospitalization. For children in their second RSV season (180), effectiveness against medically attended RSV illness was 88% (95% CI = 48%-97%). Nirsevimab is effective for preventing severe RSV illness among infants entering their first RSV season and children entering their second season with increased risk for severe RSV, including all AI/AN children. |
| Bias and negative values of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness estimates from a test-negative design without controlling for prior SARS-CoV-2 infection
Wiegand RE , Fireman B , Najdowski M , Tenforde MW , Link-Gelles R , Ferdinands JM . Nat Commun 2024 15 (1) 10062 Test-negative designs (TNDs) are used to assess vaccine effectiveness (VE). Protection from infection-induced immunity may confound the association between case and vaccination status, but collecting reliable infection history can be challenging. If vaccinated individuals have less infection-induced protection than unvaccinated individuals, failure to account for infection history could underestimate VE, though the bias is not well understood. We simulated individual-level SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccination histories and a TND. VE against symptomatic infection and VE against severe disease estimates unadjusted for infection history underestimated VE compared to estimates adjusted for infection history, and unadjusted estimates were more likely to be below 0%, which could lead to an incorrect interpretation that COVID-19 vaccines are harmful. TNDs assessing VE immediately following vaccine rollout introduced the largest bias and potential for negative VE against symptomatic infection. Despite the potential for bias, VE estimates from TNDs without prior infection information are useful because underestimation is rarely more than 8 percentage points. |
| Effectiveness of bivalent mrna vaccines in preventing symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection-increasing community access to testing program, United States, January-September 2023
Ciesla AA , Mak J , Roper LE , Fleming-Dutra KE , Smith ZR , Wiegand RE , Britton A , Miller J , Link-Gelles R . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2024 18 (11) e70038
BACKGROUND: On September 2, 2022, bivalent COVID-19 mRNA vaccines, were recommended to address reduced effectiveness of COVID-19 monovalent vaccines during SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant predominance. METHODS: Using national pharmacy-based SARS-CoV-2 testing program data from January 15 to September 11, 2023, this test-negative, case-control design study assessed bivalent COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against symptomatic infection. RESULTS: VE against symptomatic infection of a bivalent dose between 2 weeks and 1 month after bivalent vaccination ranged from 46% (95% CI: 38%-52%) for those aged ≥ 65 years to 61% (95% CI 41%-75%) for those aged 12-17 years. CONCLUSION: Bivalent vaccines protected against symptomatic infection. However, effectiveness waned over time, emphasizing the need to stay up to date with COVID-19 vaccination. |
| Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine effectiveness against RSV-associated hospitalisations and emergency department encounters among adults aged 60 years and older in the USA, October, 2023, to March, 2024: a test-negative design analysis
Payne AB , Watts JA , Mitchell PK , Dascomb K , Irving SA , Klein NP , Grannis SJ , Ong TC , Ball SW , DeSilva MB , Natarajan K , Sheffield T , Bride D , Arndorfer J , Naleway AL , Koppolu P , Fireman B , Zerbo O , Timbol J , Goddard K , Dixon BE , Fadel WF , Rogerson C , Allen KS , Rao S , Mayer D , Barron M , Reese SE , Rowley EAK , Najdowski M , Ciesla AA , Mak J , Reeves EL , Akinsete OO , McEvoy CE , Essien IJ , Tenforde MW , Fleming-Dutra KE , Link-Gelles R . Lancet 2024 404 (10462) 1547-1559 BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus vaccines first recommended for use during 2023 were efficacious against lower respiratory tract disease in clinical trials. Limited real-world data regarding respiratory syncytial virus vaccine effectiveness are available. To inform vaccine policy and address gaps in evidence from the clinical trials, we aimed to assess the effectiveness against respiratory syncytial virus-associated hospitalisations and emergency department encounters among adults aged at least 60 years. METHODS: We conducted a test-negative design analysis in an electronic health records-based network in eight states in the USA, including hospitalisations and emergency department encounters with respiratory syncytial virus-like illness among adults aged at least 60 years who underwent respiratory syncytial virus testing from Oct 1, 2023, to March 31, 2024. Respiratory syncytial virus vaccination status at the time of the encounter was derived from electronic health record documentation, state and city immunisation registries, and, for some sites, medical claims. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated by immunocompromise status, comparing the odds of vaccination among respiratory syncytial virus-positive case patients and respiratory syncytial virus-negative control patients, and adjusting for age, race and ethnicity, sex, calendar day, social vulnerability index, number of underlying non-respiratory medical conditions, presence of respiratory underlying medical conditions, and geographical region. FINDINGS: Among 28 271 hospitalisations for respiratory syncytial virus-like illness among adults aged at least 60 years without immunocompromising conditions, vaccine effectiveness was 80% (95% CI 71-85) against respiratory syncytial virus-associated hospitalisations, and vaccine effectiveness was 81% (52-92) against respiratory syncytial virus-associated critical illness (ICU admission or death, or both). Among 8435 hospitalisations for respiratory syncytial virus-like illness among adults with immunocompromising conditions, vaccine effectiveness was 73% (48-85) against associated hospitalisation. Among 36 521 emergency department encounters for respiratory syncytial virus-like illness among adults aged at least 60 years without an immunocompromising condition, vaccine effectiveness was 77% (70-83) against respiratory syncytial virus-associated emergency department encounters. Vaccine effectiveness estimates were similar by age group and product type. INTERPRETATION: Respiratory syncytial virus vaccination was effective in preventing respiratory syncytial virus-associated hospitalisations and emergency department encounters among adults aged at least 60 years in the USA during the 2023-24 respiratory syncytial virus season, which was the first season after respiratory syncytial virus vaccine was approved. FUNDING: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. |
| Immune escape and attenuated severity associated with the SARS-CoV-2 BA.2.86/JN.1 lineage
Lewnard JA , Mahale P , Malden D , Hong V , Ackerson BK , Lewin BJ , Link-Gelles R , Feldstein LR , Lipsitch M , Tartof SY . Nat Commun 2024 15 (1) 8550 The SARS-CoV-2 BA.2.86 lineage, and its sublineage JN.1 in particular, achieved widespread transmission in the US during winter 2023-24. However, this surge in infections was not accompanied by COVID-19 hospitalizations and mortality commensurate with prior waves. To understand shifts in COVID-19 epidemiology associated with JN.1 emergence, we compared characteristics and clinical outcomes of time-matched cases infected with BA.2.86 lineages (predominantly representing JN.1) versus co-circulating XBB-derived lineages in December, 2023 and January, 2024. Cases infected with BA.2.86 lineages received greater numbers of COVID-19 vaccine doses, including XBB.1.5-targeted boosters, in comparison to cases infected with XBB-derived lineages. Additionally, cases infected with BA.2.86 lineages experienced greater numbers of documented prior SARS-CoV-2 infections. Cases infected with BA.2.86 lineages also experienced lower risk of progression to severe clinical outcomes requiring emergency department consultations or hospital admission. Sensitivity analyses suggested under-ascertainment of prior infections could not explain this apparent attenuation of severity. Our findings implicate escape from immunity acquired from prior vaccination or infection in the emergence of the JN.1 lineage and suggest infections with this lineage are less likely to experience clinically-severe disease. Monitoring of immune escape and clinical severity in emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants remains a priority to inform responses. |
| Use of COVID-19 vaccines for persons aged ≥6 months: Recommendations of the advisory committee on immunization practices - United States, 2024-2025
Panagiotakopoulos L , Moulia DL , Godfrey M , Link-Gelles R , Roper L , Havers FP , Taylor CA , Stokley S , Talbot HK , Schechter R , Brooks O , Daley MF , Fleming-Dutra KE , Wallace M . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (37) 819-824 COVID-19 vaccination provides additional protection against severe COVID-19-associated illness and death. Since September 2023, 2023-2024 Formula monovalent XBB.1-strain COVID-19 vaccines have been recommended for use in the United States for all persons aged ≥6 months. However, SARS-CoV-2 continues to evolve, and since winter 2023-2024, Omicron JN.1 lineage strains of SARS-CoV-2, including the JN.1 strain and the KP.2 strain, have been widely circulating in the United States. Further, COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness is known to wane. On June 27, 2024, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccination with a Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved or authorized vaccine for all persons aged ≥6 months. On August 22, 2024, FDA approved the 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccines by Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech (based on the KP.2 strain) for use in persons aged ≥12 years and authorized these vaccines for use in children aged 6 months-11 years under Emergency Use Authorization (EUA). On August 30, 2024, FDA authorized 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine by Novavax (based on the JN.1 strain) for use in persons aged ≥12 years under EUA. ACIP will continue to evaluate new evidence as it becomes available and will update recommendations as needed. |
| Effectiveness of the original monovalent and bivalent COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated emergency department and urgent care encounters in pregnant persons who were not immunocompromised: VISION Network, June 2022-August 2023
Avrich Ciesla A , Lazariu V , Dascomb K , Irving SA , Dixon BE , Gaglani M , Naleway AL , Grannis SJ , Ball S , Kharbanda AB , Vazquez-Benitez G , Klein NP , Natarajan K , Ong TC , Embi PJ , Fleming-Dutra KE , Link-Gelles R , Zerbo O . Open Forum Infect Dis 2024 11 (9) ofae481 Pregnant people face increased risk of severe COVID-19. Current guidelines recommend updated COVID-19 vaccination (2023-2024) for those aged ≥6 months, irrespective of pregnancy status. To refine recommendations for pregnant people, further data are needed. Using a test-negative design, we evaluated COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against medically attended COVID-19 with COVID-19-like illness among pregnant people aged 18 to 45 years during June 2022 to August 2023. When doses were received during pregnancy, vaccine effectiveness was 52% (95% CI, 29%-67%); when received <6 months prior to pregnancy, 28% (95% CI, 11%-42%); and when received ≥6 months prior to pregnancy, 6% (95% CI, -11% to 21%). Pregnant people should stay up-to-date with recommended COVID-19 vaccination. |
| Effectiveness of COVID-19 bivalent vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 infection among residents of US nursing homes, November 2022 - March 2023
Hatfield K , Wiegand R , Reddy S , Patel A , Baggs J , Franceschini T , Gensheimer A , Link-Gelles R , Jernigan J , Wallace M . Vaccine 2024 BACKGROUND: Residents of nursing homes remain an epidemiologically important population for COVID-19 prevention efforts, including vaccination. We aim to understand effectiveness of bivalent vaccination for preventing SARS-CoV-2 infections in this population. METHODS: We used a retrospective cohort of nursing home residents from November 1, 2022, through March 31, 2023, to identify new SARS-CoV-2 infections. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate hazard ratios comparing residents with a bivalent vaccination compared with residents not up to date with vaccination recommendations. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated as (1 - Hazard Ratio) * 100. RESULTS: Among 6,916 residents residing in 76 nursing homes included in our cohort, 3,211 (46%) received a bivalent vaccine 7 or more days prior to censoring. Adjusted vaccine effectiveness against laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection comparing receipt of a bivalent vaccine versus not up to date vaccine status was 29% (95% Confidence interval 18% to 39%). Vaccine effectiveness for receipt of a bivalent vaccine against residents who were unvaccinated or vaccinated more than a year prior was 32% (95% CI: 20% to 42%,) and was 25% compared with residents who were vaccinated with a monovalent vaccine in the past 61-365 days (95% CI:10% to 37%). CONCLUSIONS: Bivalent COVID-19 vaccines provided additional protection against SARS-CoV-2 infections in nursing home residents during our study time-period, compared to both no vaccination or vaccination more than a year ago and monovalent vaccination 60 - 365 days prior. Ensuring nursing home residents stay up to date with vaccine recommendations remains a critical tool for COVID-19 prevention efforts. |
| Use of an additional updated 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccine dose for adults aged ≥65 years: Recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices - United States, 2024
Panagiotakopoulos L , Godfrey M , Moulia DL , Link-Gelles R , Taylor CA , Chatham-Stephens K , Brooks O , Daley MF , Fleming-Dutra KE , Wallace M . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (16) 377-381 COVID-19 remains an important public health threat, despite overall decreases in COVID-19-related severe disease since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. COVID-19-associated hospitalization rates remain higher among adults aged ≥65 years relative to rates in younger adults, adolescents, and children; during October 2023-January 2024, 67% of all COVID-19-associated hospitalizations were among persons aged ≥65 years. On September 12, 2023, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended updated (2023-2024 Formula) COVID-19 vaccination with a monovalent XBB.1.5-derived vaccine for all persons aged ≥6 months to protect against severe COVID-19-associated illness and death. Because SARS-CoV-2 continues to circulate throughout the year, and because of the increased risk for COVID-19-related severe illness in persons aged ≥65 years, the protection afforded by updated vaccines against JN.1 and other currently circulating variants, and the expected waning of vaccine-conferred protection against disease, on February 28, 2024, ACIP recommended all persons aged ≥65 years receive 1 additional dose of the updated (2023-2024 Formula) COVID-19 vaccine. Implementation of these recommendations is expected to enhance immunity that might have waned and decrease the risk for severe COVID-19-associated outcomes, including death, among persons aged ≥65 years. |
| Interim effectiveness of updated 2023-2024 (monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated hospitalization among adults aged ≥18 years with immunocompromising conditions - VISION Network, September 2023-February 2024
Link-Gelles R , Rowley EAK , DeSilva MB , Dascomb K , Irving SA , Klein NP , Grannis SJ , Ong TC , Weber ZA , Fleming-Dutra KE , McEvoy CE , Akinsete O , Bride D , Sheffield T , Naleway AL , Zerbo O , Fireman B , Hansen J , Goddard K , Dixon BE , Rogerson C , Fadel WF , Duszynski T , Rao S , Barron MA , Reese SE , Ball SW , Dunne MM , Natarajan K , Okwuazi E , Shah AB , Wiegand R , Tenforde MW , Payne AB . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (12) 271-276
In September 2023, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended updated 2023-2024 (monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccination for all persons aged ≥6 months to prevent COVID-19, including severe disease. As with past COVID-19 vaccines, additional doses may be considered for persons with immunocompromising conditions, who are at higher risk for severe COVID-19 and might have decreased response to vaccination. In this analysis, vaccine effectiveness (VE) of an updated COVID-19 vaccine dose against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was evaluated during September 2023-February 2024 using data from the VISION VE network. Among adults aged ≥18 years with immunocompromising conditions, VE against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was 38% in the 7-59 days after receipt of an updated vaccine dose and 34% in the 60-119 days after receipt of an updated dose. Few persons (18%) in this high-risk study population had received updated COVID-19 vaccine. All persons aged ≥6 months should receive updated 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination; persons with immunocompromising conditions may get additional updated COVID-19 vaccine doses ≥2 months after the last recommended COVID-19 vaccine. |
| Risk of COVID-19 hospitalization and protection associated with mRNA vaccination among US adults with psychiatric disorders
Levy ME , Yang DH , Dunne MM , Miley K , Irving SA , Grannis SJ , Weber ZA , Griggs EP , Spark TL , Bassett E , Embi PJ , Gaglani M , Natarajan K , Valvi NR , Ong TC , Naleway AL , Stenehjem E , Klein NP , Link-Gelles R , DeSilva MB , Kharbanda AB , Raiyani C , Beaton MA , Dixon BE , Rao S , Dascomb K , Patel P , Mamawala M , Han J , Fadel WF , Barron MA , Grisel N , Dickerson M , Liao IC , Arndorfer J , Najdowski M , Murthy K , Ray C , Tenforde MW , Ball SW . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2024 18 (3) e13269
BACKGROUND: Although psychiatric disorders have been associated with reduced immune responses to other vaccines, it remains unknown whether they influence COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE). This study evaluated risk of COVID-19 hospitalization and estimated mRNA VE stratified by psychiatric disorder status. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort analysis of the VISION Network in four US states, the rate of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19-associated hospitalization between December 2021 and August 2022 was compared across psychiatric diagnoses and by monovalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccination status using Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: Among 2,436,999 adults, 22.1% had ≥1 psychiatric disorder. The incidence of COVID-19-associated hospitalization was higher among patients with any versus no psychiatric disorder (394 vs. 156 per 100,000 person-years, p < 0.001). Any psychiatric disorder (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.27; 95% CI, 1.18-1.37) and mood (aHR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.15-1.36), anxiety (aHR, 1.33, 95% CI, 1.22-1.45), and psychotic (aHR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.14-1.74) disorders were each significant independent predictors of hospitalization. Among patients with any psychiatric disorder, aHRs for the association between vaccination and hospitalization were 0.35 (95% CI, 0.25-0.49) after a recent second dose, 0.08 (95% CI, 0.06-0.11) after a recent third dose, and 0.33 (95% CI, 0.17-0.66) after a recent fourth dose, compared to unvaccinated patients. Corresponding VE estimates were 65%, 92%, and 67%, respectively, and were similar among patients with no psychiatric disorder (68%, 92%, and 79%). CONCLUSION: Psychiatric disorders were associated with increased risk of COVID-19-associated hospitalization. However, mRNA vaccination provided similar protection regardless of psychiatric disorder status, highlighting its benefit for individuals with psychiatric disorders. |
| Interim effectiveness of updated 2023-2024 (monovalent xbb.1.5) COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated emergency department and urgent care encounters and hospitalization among immunocompetent adults aged ≥18 years - VISION and IVY Networks, September 2023-January 2024
DeCuir J , Payne AB , Self WH , Rowley EAK , Dascomb K , DeSilva MB , Irving SA , Grannis SJ , Ong TC , Klein NP , Weber ZA , Reese SE , Ball SW , Barron MA , Naleway AL , Dixon BE , Essien I , Bride D , Natarajan K , Fireman B , Shah AB , Okwuazi E , Wiegand R , Zhu Y , Lauring AS , Martin ET , Gaglani M , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Prekker M , Mohamed A , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Khan A , Busse LW , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Safdar B , Mosier JM , Harris ES , Casey JD , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Swan SA , Johnson C , Lewis NM , Ellington S , Adams K , Tenforde MW , Paden CR , Dawood FS , Fleming-Dutra KE , Surie D , Link-Gelles R . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (8) 180-188 In September 2023, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended updated 2023-2024 (monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccination for all persons aged ≥6 months to prevent COVID-19, including severe disease. However, few estimates of updated vaccine effectiveness (VE) against medically attended illness are available. This analysis evaluated VE of an updated COVID-19 vaccine dose against COVID-19-associated emergency department (ED) or urgent care (UC) encounters and hospitalization among immunocompetent adults aged ≥18 years during September 2023-January 2024 using a test-negative, case-control design with data from two CDC VE networks. VE against COVID-19-associated ED/UC encounters was 51% (95% CI = 47%-54%) during the first 7-59 days after an updated dose and 39% (95% CI = 33%-45%) during the 60-119 days after an updated dose. VE estimates against COVID-19-associated hospitalization from two CDC VE networks were 52% (95% CI = 47%-57%) and 43% (95% CI = 27%-56%), with a median interval from updated dose of 42 and 47 days, respectively. Updated COVID-19 vaccine provided increased protection against COVID-19-associated ED/UC encounters and hospitalization among immunocompetent adults. These results support CDC recommendations for updated 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination. All persons aged ≥6 months should receive updated 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccine. |
| Interim estimates of 2023-24 seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness - United States
Frutos AM , Price AM , Harker E , Reeves EL , Ahmad HM , Murugan V , Martin ET , House S , Saade EA , Zimmerman RK , Gaglani M , Wernli KJ , Walter EB , Michaels MG , Staat MA , Weinberg GA , Selvarangan R , Boom JA , Klein EJ , Halasa NB , Ginde AA , Gibbs KW , Zhu Y , Self WH , Tartof SY , Klein NP , Dascomb K , DeSilva MB , Weber ZA , Yang DH , Ball SW , Surie D , DeCuir J , Dawood FS , Moline HL , Toepfer AP , Clopper BR , Link-Gelles R , Payne AB , Chung JR , Flannery B , Lewis NM , Olson SM , Adams K , Tenforde MW , Garg S , Grohskopf LA , Reed C , Ellington S . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (8) 168-174 In the United States, annual influenza vaccination is recommended for all persons aged ≥6 months. Using data from four vaccine effectiveness (VE) networks during the 2023-24 influenza season, interim influenza VE was estimated among patients aged ≥6 months with acute respiratory illness-associated medical encounters using a test-negative case-control study design. Among children and adolescents aged 6 months-17 years, VE against influenza-associated outpatient visits ranged from 59% to 67% and against influenza-associated hospitalization ranged from 52% to 61%. Among adults aged ≥18 years, VE against influenza-associated outpatient visits ranged from 33% to 49% and against hospitalization from 41% to 44%. VE against influenza A ranged from 46% to 59% for children and adolescents and from 27% to 46% for adults across settings. VE against influenza B ranged from 64% to 89% for pediatric patients in outpatient settings and from 60% to 78% for all adults across settings. These findings demonstrate that the 2023-24 seasonal influenza vaccine is effective at reducing the risk for medically attended influenza virus infection. CDC recommends that all persons aged ≥6 months who have not yet been vaccinated this season get vaccinated while influenza circulates locally. |
| Early estimates of updated 2023-2024 (monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection attributable to co-circulating Omicron variants among immunocompetent adults - increasing community access to testing program, United States, September 2023-January 2024
Link-Gelles R , Ciesla AA , Mak J , Miller JD , Silk BJ , Lambrou AS , Paden CR , Shirk P , Britton A , Smith ZR , Fleming-Dutra KE . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (4) 77-83
On September 12, 2023, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended updated 2023-2024 (updated) COVID-19 vaccination with a monovalent XBB.1.5-derived vaccine for all persons aged ≥6 months to prevent COVID-19, including severe disease. During fall 2023, XBB lineages co-circulated with JN.1, an Omicron BA.2.86 lineage that emerged in September 2023. These variants have amino acid substitutions that might increase escape from neutralizing antibodies. XBB lineages predominated through December 2023, when JN.1 became predominant in the United States. Reduction or failure of spike gene (S-gene) amplification (i.e., S-gene target failure [SGTF]) in real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction testing is a time-dependent, proxy indicator of JN.1 infection. Data from the Increasing Community Access to Testing SARS-CoV-2 pharmacy testing program were analyzed to estimate updated COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) (i.e., receipt versus no receipt of updated vaccination) against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, including by SGTF result. Among 9,222 total eligible tests, overall VE among adults aged ≥18 years was 54% (95% CI = 46%-60%) at a median of 52 days after vaccination. Among 2,199 tests performed at a laboratory with SGTF testing, VE 60-119 days after vaccination was 49% (95% CI = 19%-68%) among tests exhibiting SGTF and 60% (95% CI = 35%-75%) among tests without SGTF. Updated COVID-19 vaccines provide protection against symptomatic infection, including against currently circulating lineages. CDC will continue monitoring VE, including for expected waning and against severe disease. All persons aged ≥6 months should receive an updated COVID-19 vaccine dose. |
| Advancing public health informatics during the COVID-19 pandemic: Lessons learned from a public-private partnership with pharmacies
Jones-Jack N , El Kalach R , Yassanye D , Link-Gelles R , Olorukooba A , deMartino AK , Elam M , Romerhausen D , Vazquez M , Duggar C , Kim C , Patel A , Guo A , Gharpure R , Tippins A , Moore L . Vaccine 2024 To support efforts to vaccinate millions of Americans across the United States (US) against COVID-19, the US federal government (USG) launched the Pharmacy Partnership for Long-Term Care Program (PPP) in December 2020 and the Federal Retail Pharmacy Program (FRPP) in February 2021. These programs consisted of a collaborative partnership with the USG and 21 pharmacy organizations, including large retail chains, coordinating pharmacy services administrative organizations (PSAOs) representing independent retail and long-term care pharmacies, and pharmacy network administrators. These pharmacy organizations represented over 46,000 providers and created a robust channel for far-reaching COVID-19 vaccination across 56 state and local jurisdictions. PPP reported more than 8 million COVID-19 doses administered to residents and staff in long-term care facilities (LTCFs) as of June 2021. In addition, FRPP was responsible for administering more than 304 million doses, accounting for approximately 49% of all COVID-19 doses administered as of June 2023. This unprecedented public-private partnership allowed USG to rapidly adapt, expand, and aim to provide equitable access to vaccines for adults and eligible-aged children during the COVID-19 pandemic. As the largest federal COVID-19 vaccination program, the FRPP exemplifies how public-private partnerships can expand access to immunizations during a public health emergency. End-to-end informatics support helped pharmacies meet critical national public health goals and served as convenient access points for sustained health services. This manuscript describes lessons learned regarding informatics coordination with participating pharmacy partners to support the rapid and safe administration of COVID-19 vaccines across the US. The processes of onboarding to CDC's complex data network, establishing connections to state and local immunization information systems (IIS), and monitoring the quality of data pharmacy partners submitted to the CDC Data Clearinghouse (DCH) in alignment with the COVID-19 Vaccine Reporting Specifications (CVRS) are highlighted. |
| Effectiveness of bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in preventing COVID-19-related thromboembolic events among Medicare enrollees aged ≥65 years and those with end stage renal disease - United States, September 2022-March 2023
Payne AB , Novosad S , Wiegand RE , Najdowski M , Gomes DJ , Wallace M , Kelman JA , Sung HM , Zhang Y , Lufkin B , Chillarige Y , Link-Gelles R . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (1) 16-23 COVID-19 has been associated with an increased risk for thromboembolic events, including ischemic stroke, venous thromboembolism, and myocardial infarction. Studies have reported lower rates of COVID-19-related thromboembolic events among persons who received the COVID-19 vaccine compared with persons who did not, but rigorous estimates of vaccine effectiveness (VE) in preventing COVID-19-related thromboembolic events are lacking. This analysis estimated the incremental benefit of receipt of a bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccine after receiving an original monovalent COVID-19 vaccine. To estimate VE of a bivalent mRNA COVID-19 dose in preventing thromboembolic events compared with original monovalent COVID-19 vaccine doses only, two retrospective cohort studies were conducted among Medicare fee-for-service enrollees during September 4, 2022-March 4, 2023. Effectiveness of a bivalent COVID-19 vaccine dose against COVID-19-related thromboembolic events compared with that of original vaccine alone was 47% (95% CI = 45%-49%) among Medicare enrollees aged ≥65 years and 51% (95% CI = 39%-60%) among adults aged ≥18 years with end stage renal disease receiving dialysis. VE was similar among Medicare beneficiaries with immunocompromise: 46% (95% CI = 42%-49%) among adults aged ≥65 years and 45% (95% CI = 24%-60%) among those aged ≥18 years with end stage renal disease. To help prevent complications of COVID-19, including thromboembolic events, adults should stay up to date with COVID-19 vaccination. |
| Challenges and opportunities during the COVID-19 vaccination efforts in long-term care
Stone ND , Parker Fiebelkorn A , Guo A , Mothershed E , Moccia L , Bell J , Yassanye D , Hall E , Duggar C , Srinivasan A , Meyer SA , Link-Gelles R . Vaccine 2024 From December 2020 through March 2023, the COVID-19 vaccination efforts in long-term care (LTC) settings, identified many gaps and opportunities to improve public health capacity to support vaccine distribution, education, and documentation of COVID-19 vaccines administered to LTC residents and staff. Partner engagement at the local, state, and federal levels helped establish pathways for dissemination of information, improve access and delivery of vaccines, and expand reporting of vaccine administration data to monitor the impact of COVID-19 vaccination in LTC settings. Sustaining the improvements to the vaccine infrastructure in LTC settings that were created or enhanced during the COVID-19 vaccination efforts is critical for the protection of residents and staff against COVID-19 and other vaccine preventable respiratory outbreaks in the future. |
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