Last data update: Jun 03, 2024. (Total: 46935 publications since 2009)
Records 1-15 (of 15 Records) |
Query Trace: Learner ER [original query] |
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Changes in partner seeking and sexual behavior among United States adults during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic
Rushmore J , Copen CE , Schneider J , Lamuda PSM , Taylor BG , Kirkcaldy RD , Learner ER , Bernstein KT . Sex Transm Dis 2024 BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic may have influenced partner-seeking and sexual behaviors of adults. METHODS: We examined cross-sectional survey data collected at the end of the first year (n = 1,161) and second year (n = 1,233) of the COVID-19 pandemic by the National Opinion Research Center's (NORC) nationally representative, probability-based AmeriSpeak panel. Data were analyzed to: 1) quantify behavioral changes across pandemic years, 2) examine changes of in-person dating prevalence during year 2, and 3) assess risk perception for acquiring COVID-19 or HIV/STIs through new partnerships during year 2. Weighted percentages were calculated for responses; univariate relationships between demographic characteristics and outcomes were assessed. RESULTS: Prevalence of new partners for dating remained stable across pandemic years (year 1: n = 1,157 [10%]; year 2: n = 1,225 [12%]). The prevalence of in-person sex with new partners was also stable (year 1: n = 1,157 [7%], year 2: n = 1,225 [6%]), marking a decline from a prepandemic estimate (2015-2016: 16%). Partner-seeking experiences varied by age and sexual identity in both years, and by race/ethnicity during year 2. Reports of in-person dating fluctuated throughout year 2, without clear relationship to viral variants. Respondents who met new partners in person during year 2 generally reported greater concern and preparedness for reducing risks associated with HIV/STIs than COVID-19. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of U.S. adults seeking new partners for dating or sex remained stable across pandemic years. During future public health emergencies, public health officials are encouraged to offer guidance for reducing disease risks in partnerships, while emphasizing sexual health and providing tailored messaging for persons more susceptible to infection. |
Expanding the evidence-base for improving sexual health among transgender communities: the importance of rigorous epidemiologic studies
Rushmore J , Learner ER , Bernstein KT . J Infect Dis 2024 Though approximately 1.3 million adults identify as transgender in United States (US) [1], | transgender populations remain marginalized and understudied in public health. Epidemiological | studies of health outcomes of transgender populations are infrequent, but available data show | alarming disparities with respect to sexual health between transgender and cisgender populations | [2-4]. Additionally, the few studies examining health, and specifically sexual health, of | transgender populations are often published in specialty journals. This highlights the important | work published by Brown et al. about sexual health of transgender women in this issue of The | Journal of Infectious Diseases. | Brown et al. greatly advance the field of transgender sexual health research by presenting baseline | findings for a multisite prospective cohort study called The Leading Innovation for Transgender | Women’s Health and Empowerment (LITE). Specifically, Brown et al. investigate the prevalence | and factors associated with bacterial sexually transmitted infections (STIs) among a communitybased sample of adult transgender women, stratified by HIV status, in six cities across the eastern | and southern US. The study highlights the high prevalence of bacterial STIs among transgender | women (16%) and differences in STI prevalence by HIV status(32% among transgender with HIV | versus 11% without HIV). These findings suggest unique considerations are needed for | transgender women with and without HIV and may help inform tailored interventions to curtail | sexual health inequities. Given the sparsity of robust epidemiologic data to inform best practices for improving the sexual and reproductive health of transgender persons, Brown et al.’s paper is | impactful. |
Primary and secondary syphilis among men who have sex with men and women, 2010-2019
Learner ER , Grey JA , Bernstein K , Kirkcaldy RD , Torrone EA . Sex Transm Dis 2022 49 (11) 794-796 The relative proportion of cases of P&S syphilis among men who have sex with men and women reported through national case report data from 2010 through 2019 appeared stable overall and stratified by race/ethnicity, region, and age group, but case counts increased. |
Predicting Emergence of Primary and Secondary Syphilis Among Women of Reproductive Age in U.S. Counties
Kimball A , Torrone EA , Bernstein KT , Grey JA , Bowen VB , Rickless DS , Learner ER . Sex Transm Dis 2021 49 (3) 177-183 BACKGROUND: Syphilis, a sexually transmitted infection that can cause severe congenital disease when not treated during pregnancy, is on the rise in the United States. Our objective was to identify U.S. counties with elevated risk for emergence of primary and secondary (P&S) syphilis among reproductive-aged women. METHODS: Using syphilis case reports, we identified counties with no cases of P&S syphilis among reproductive-aged women in 2017 and ≥ 1 case in 2018. Using county-level syphilis and sociodemographic data, we developed a model to predict counties with emergence of P&S syphilis among women and a risk score to identify counties at elevated risk. RESULTS: Of 2,451 counties with no cases of P&S syphilis among reproductive-aged women in 2017, 345 counties (14.1%) had documented emergence of syphilis in 2018. Emergence was predicted by the county's P&S syphilis rate among men; violent crime rate; proportions of Black, White, Asian, and Hawaiian/Pacific Islander persons; urbanicity; presence of a metropolitan area; population size; and having a neighboring county with P&S syphilis among women. A risk score of ≥20 identified 75% of counties with emergence. CONCLUSIONS: Jurisdictions can identify counties at elevated risk for emergence of syphilis in women and tailor prevention efforts. Prevention of syphilis requires multidisciplinary collaboration to address underlying social factors. |
Antimicrobial susceptibility of urogenital and extragenital neisseria gonorrhoeae isolates among men who have sex with men - SURRG and eGISP, 2018-2019
Quilter LAS , St Cyr SB , Hong J , Asbel L , Bautista I , Carter B , Casimir Y , Denny M , Ervin M , Gomez R , Harvey A , Holderman JL , Johnson K , Kohn RP , Learner ER , Mauk K , Menza T , Mettenbrink C , Nettleton WD , Nicosia KR , Pham CD , Ried C , Schlanger K , Schneider A , Soge OO , Tabidze I , Taylor SN , Tilghman W , Toler C , Weinstock H , Torrone EA . Sex Transm Dis 2021 48 S111-S117 BACKGROUND: We investigated differences in gonococcal antimicrobial susceptibility by anatomic site among cisgender men who have sex with men (MSM) using specimens collected through CDC's enhanced Gonococcal Isolate Surveillance Project (eGISP) and Strengthening the U.S. Response to Resistant Gonorrhea (SURRG). METHODS: During January 1, 2018-December 31, 2019, 12 eGISP and 8 SURRG sites collected urogenital, pharyngeal, and rectal isolates from cisgender MSM in STD clinics. Gonococcal isolates were sent to regional laboratories for antimicrobial susceptibility testing by agar dilution. To account for correlated observations, linear mixed-effects models were used to calculate geometric mean minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) and mixed-effects logistic regression models were used to calculate the proportion of isolates with elevated or resistant MICs; comparisons were made across anatomic sites. RESULTS: Participating clinics collected 3,974 urethral, 1,553 rectal, and 1,049 pharyngeal isolates from 5,456 unique cisgender MSM. There were no significant differences in the geometric mean MICs for azithromycin, ciprofloxacin, penicillin, and tetracycline by anatomic site. For cefixime and ceftriaxone, geometric mean MICs for pharyngeal isolates were higher compared to anogenital isolates (p < 0.05). The proportion of isolates with elevated ceftriaxone MICs (≥0.125 μg/ml) at the pharynx (0.67%) was higher than at rectal (0.13%) and urethral (0.18%) sites (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Based on data collected from multi-jurisdictional sentinel surveillance projects, antimicrobial susceptibility patterns of N. gonorrhoeae isolates may differ among MSM at extragenital sites, particularly at the pharynx. Continued investigation into gonococcal susceptibility patterns by anatomic site may be an important strategy to monitor and detect the emergence of antimicrobial resistant gonorrhea over time. |
Strengthening the U.S. Response to Resistant Gonorrhea (SURRG): An overview of a multi-site program to enhance local response capacity for antibiotic-resistant Neisseria gonorrhoeae
Schlanger K , Learner ER , Pham CD , Mauk K , Golden M , Wendel KA , Amsterdam L , McNeil CJ , Johnson K , Nguyen TQ , Holderman JL , Hasty GL , St Cyr SB , Town K , Nash EE , Kirkcaldy RD . Sex Transm Dis 2021 48 S97-S103 BACKGROUND: In 2016, CDC initiated Strengthening the U.S. Response to Resistant Gonorrhea (SURRG) in multiple jurisdictions to enhance antibiotic resistant gonorrhea rapid detection and response infrastructure and evaluate the impact of key strategies. METHODS: Eight jurisdictions were funded to establish or enhance local gonococcal culture specimen collection in STD and community clinics, conduct rapid antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) in local laboratories, modify systems for enhanced data collection and rapid communication of results, and initiate enhanced partner services among patients with gonorrhea demonstrating elevated minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) to ceftriaxone, cefixime or azithromycin. RESULTS: Grantees incorporated genital, pharyngeal, and rectal gonococcal culture collection from all genders at participating clinics. During 2018-2019, grantees collected 58,441 culture specimens from 46,822 patients and performed AST on 10,814 isolates (representing 6.8% (3,412) and 8.9% (4,883) of local reported cases in 2018 and 2019 respectively). Of isolates that underwent AST, 11% demonstrated elevated azithromycin MICs; fewer than 0.5% demonstrated elevated ceftriaxone or cefixime MICs. Among patients whose infections demonstrated elevated MICs, 81.7% were interviewed for partner elicitation; however, limited new cases were identified among partners and contacts. CONCLUSIONS: As a public health model to build capacity to slow the spread of emerging resistance, SURRG successfully expanded culture collection, implemented rapid AST, and implemented an enhanced partner services investigation approach in participating jurisdictions. Findings from SURRG may enhance preparedness efforts and inform a longer-term, comprehensive, and evidence-based public health response to emerging gonococcal resistance. Continued development of innovative approaches to address emerging resistance is needed. |
Demographic and epidemiological characteristics associated with reduced antimicrobial susceptibility to Neisseria gonorrhoeae in the United States, Strengthening the U.S. Response to Resistant Gonorrhea (SURRG), 2018-2019
Gieseker K , Learner ER , Mauk K , Barbee LA , McNeil CJ , Hasty GL , Black JM , Johnson K , Quyen Nguyen T , Shrestha D , Pham CD , St Cyr S , Schlanger K , Kirkcaldy RD . Sex Transm Dis 2021 48 S118-S123 BACKGROUND: Jurisdictions participating in Strengthening the United States Response to Resistant Gonorrhea (SURRG) implemented specimen collection for culture and antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) from a sample of persons of all genders (at multiple anatomic sites) attending STD clinics and community clinics. We describe the percentage and characteristics of patients whose isolates demonstrated reduced susceptibility (RS) to azithromycin, ceftriaxone, or cefixime. METHODS: We included patients from clinics that participated in SURRG whose isolates underwent AST by Etest. We defined RS as azithromycin minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) ≥2 μg/ml (AZM-RS), ceftriaxone MICs ≥0.125 μg/ml (CRO-RS), or cefixime MICs ≥0.25 μg/ml (CFX-RS). Patients with repeated infections appeared >1 time in the data. We calculated the frequency and percentage of patients with an isolate demonstrating RS by epidemiological characteristics. RESULTS: During 2018-2019, 10,013 patients from eight jurisdictions provided 10,735 isolates. Among 10,013 patients, 11.0% (n = 1,099) had ≥1 isolate with AZM-RS (range by jurisdiction 2.5%-18.0%). Approximately 11.3% of 8,771 of patients visiting STD clinics and approximately 8.8% of 1,242 patients visiting community clinics had an AZM-RS isolate. Nearly 6% of 1,013 females had an AZM-RS isolate; among males, the percent of patients with an AZM-RS isolate was 17.7% among 4,177 men who have sex only with men and 6.1% among 3,581 men who have sex only with women. Few (0.4%) patients had isolates with CFX-RS (n = 40) or CRO-RS (n = 43). CONCLUSIONS: Although infections with reduced cephalosporin susceptibility were rare, AZM-RS infections were prevalent in this sample of patients in multiple jurisdictions and across gender and gender of sex partner categories. |
Impact of anatomic site, specimen collection timing, and patient symptom status on Neisseria gonorrhoeae culture recovery
Nash EE , Pham CD , Raphael B , Learner ER , Mauk K , Weiner J , Mettenbrink C , Thibault CS , Fukuda A , Dobre-Buonya O , Black JM , Johnson K , Sellers K , Schlanger K . Sex Transm Dis 2021 48 S151-S156 BACKGROUND: Neisseria gonorrhoeae culture is required for antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST), but recovering isolates from clinical specimens is challenging. While many variables influence culture recovery, studies evaluating the impact of culture specimen collection timing and patient symptom status are limited. This study analyzed urogenital and extragenital culture recovery data from CDC's Strengthening US Response to Resistant Gonorrhea (SURRG) program, a multi-site project, which enhances local N. gonorrhoeae culture and AST capacity. METHODS: Eight SURRG jurisdictions collected gonococcal cultures from patients with N. gonorrhoeae-positive nucleic acid amplification tests (NAATs) attending STD and community clinics. Matched NAAT and culture specimens from the same anatomic site were collected, and culture recovery was assessed. Time between NAAT and culture specimen collection was categorized as, same day, 1-7 days, 8-14 days, or ≥ 15 days and patient symptoms were matched to the anatomic site where culture specimens were collected. RESULTS: From 2018-2019, among persons with N. gonorrhoeae-positive NAAT, urethral infections resulted in the highest culture recovery (5927/6515 = 91.0%), followed by endocervical, (222/363 = 61.2%), vaginal (63/133 = 47.4%) rectal (1117/2805 = 39.8%), and pharyngeal (1019/3678 = 27.7%) infections. Culture recovery was highest when specimens were collected on the same day as NAAT specimens and significantly decreased after 7 days. Symptoms were significantly associated with culture recovery at urethral (p = <0.0001) and rectal (p = <0.0001) sites of infection but not endocervical, vaginal, or pharyngeal sites. CONCLUSIONS: Culture specimen collection timing and patient symptomatic status can impact culture recovery. These findings can guide decisions about culture collection protocols to maximize culture recovery and strengthen detection of antimicrobial resistant infections. |
Test of cure return rate and test positivity, Strengthening the U.S Response to Resistant Gonorrhea (SURRG), United States, 2018-2019
Schlanger K , Mauk K , Learner ER , Schillinger JA , Nishiyama M , Kohn R , Thibault C , Hermus H , Dewater J , Pabon V , Black J , St Cyr S , Pham CR , Kirkcaldy RD . Sex Transm Dis 2021 48 S167-S173 BACKGROUND: Reduced antibiotic susceptibility (RS) in Neisseria gonorrhoeae (GC) may increase treatment failure. Conducting tests-of-cure (TOC) for patients with RS-GC may facilitate identification of treatment failures. METHODS: We examined 2018-2019 data from eight jurisdictions participating in CDC's Strengthening U.S. Response to Resistant Gonorrhea project. Jurisdictions collected GC isolates and epidemiological data from patients and performed antimicrobial susceptibility testing. Minimum inhibitory concentrations of ceftriaxone ≥0.125 μg/mL, cefixime ≥0.250 μg/mL, or azithromycin ≥2.0 μg/mL were defined as RS. Patients with RS-infections were asked to return for a TOC 8-10 days post-treatment. We calculated a weighted TOC return rate and described time to TOC and suspected reasons for any positive TOC results. RESULTS: Overall, 1,165 patients were diagnosed with RS-infections. Over half returned for TOC (weighted TOC: 61% [95% confidence interval: 50.1%-72.6%], range by jurisdiction: 32%-80%). TOC rates were higher among asymptomatic (68%) than symptomatic patients (53%, p = 0.001), and MSM (62%) compared to MSW (50%; p < 0.001). Median time between treatment and TOC was 12 days (interquartile range: 9-16). Of the 31 (4.5%) TOC patients with positive results, 13 (42%) were suspected due to reinfection and 11 (36%) due to false positive results. There were no treatment failures suspected to be due to RS-GC. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients with a RS-infection returned for a TOC, though return rates varied by jurisdiction and patient characteristics. TOC can identify and facilitate treatment of reinfections, but false positive TOC results may complicate interpretation and clinical management. |
Outcomes of traditional and enhanced gonorrhea partner services in the strengthening the US Response to Resistant Gonorrhea Project, 2017- 2019
Learner ER , Schlanger K , Mauk K , Pham CD , Holderman JL , Kirkcaldy RD . Sex Transm Dis 2021 48 S124-S130 INTRODUCTION: The CDC implemented Strengthening the U.S. Response to Resistant Gonorrhea (SURRG) to build local detection and response capacity and evaluate responses to antibiotic-resistant gonorrhea outbreaks, including partner services for gonorrhea. We evaluated outcomes of traditional partner services conducted under SURRG, which involved (1) counseling index patients and eliciting sexual partners, (2) interviewing, testing and treating partners, and (3) providing partner services to partners newly diagnosed with gonorrhea. We also evaluated outcomes of enhanced partner services, which additionally involved interviewing and testing partners of persons who tested negative, and social contacts of index patients and partners. METHODS: We analyzed partner services investigation data from eight jurisdictions participating in SURRG from 2017 through 2019. We summed total index patients, partners from traditional partner services, and partners and contacts from enhanced partner services, and calculated partner services outcomes among partners and contacts. We also visualized sexual networks from partner services data. RESULTS: Of 1,242 index patients identified, 506 named at least one sexual partner. Traditional partner services yielded 1,088 sexual partners and 105 were newly diagnosed with gonorrhea. Enhanced partner services yielded an additional 59 sexual partners and 52 social contacts. Of those partners and contacts, 3 were newly diagnosed with gonorrhea. Network visualization revealed sparse networks with few complex partnership clusters. CONCLUSIONS: Traditional partner services for gonorrhea may be useful for eliciting, notifying, and diagnosing partners of index patients in an outbreak setting. Enhanced partner services are unlikely to be effective for eliciting, notifying, and diagnosing a substantial number of additional people. |
Exploring and comparing the structure of sexual networks affected by Neisseria gonorrhoeae using sexual partner services investigation and genomic data.
Town K , Learner ER , Chivukula VL , Mauk K , Reimche JL , Schmerer MW , Black J , Pathela P , Bhattacharyya S , Kerani RP , Gieseker KE , Fukuda A , Sankaran M , McNeil CJ , Spicknall IH , Raphael BH , St Cyr SB , Bernstein K , Kersh EN , Kirkcaldy RD , Schlanger K , Gernert KM . Sex Transm Dis 2021 48 S131-S136 BACKGROUND: Sexual networks are difficult to construct due to incomplete sexual partner data. The proximity of people within a network may be inferred from genetically similar infections. We explored genomic data combined with partner services investigation (PSI) data to extend our understanding of sexual networks affected by Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG). METHODS: We used 2017-2019 PSI and whole-genome sequencing (WGS) data from eight jurisdictions participating in CDC's Strengthening the United States Response to Resistant Gonorrhea (SURRG) project. Clusters were identified from sexual contacts and through genetically similar NG isolates. Sexual mixing patterns were characterized by describing the clusters by the individual's gender and gender of their sex partners. RESULTS: Our study included 4,627 diagnoses of NG infection (81% sequenced), 2,455 people received a PSI, 393 people were negative contacts of cases, and 495 contacts with unknown NG status. We identified 823 distinct clusters using PSI data combined with WGS data. Of cases that were not linked to any other case using PSI data, 37% were linked when using WGS data. Overall, 40% of PSI cases were allocated to a larger cluster when PSI and WGS data were combined compared with PSI data alone. Mixed clusters containing women, men who report sex with women, and men who report sex with men were common when using the WGS data either alone or in combination with the PSI data. CONCLUSIONS: Combining PSI and WGS data improves our understanding of sexual network connectivity. |
Transactional sex and incident chlamydia and gonorrhea among black men who have sex with men in Atlanta, Georgia
Rucinski KB , Eaton LA , Learner ER , Watson RJ , Maksut JL , Earnshaw VA . Sex Transm Dis 2020 47 (6) 355-360 BACKGROUND: Black men who have sex with men (BMSM) are disproportionately affected by sexually transmitted infections (STI), including chlamydia and gonorrhea. Transactional sex is an hypothesized risk factor for STI acquisition in BMSM. METHODS: We estimated the association of transactional sex with incident chlamydia/gonococcal infection among BMSM using longitudinal data from a randomized trial in Atlanta (2012-2015). BMSM were eligible for inclusion if they tested human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-antibody-negative and reported both ≥2 male sex partners and any condomless anal sex in the last year. We defined chlamydia/gonorrhea incidence as the first occurrence of either rectal or urogenital chlamydia or gonococcal infections after a negative result at enrollment. We used Poisson regression to estimate the incidence rate (IR) for chlamydia/gonorrhea over 12 months. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) compared estimates by reported experience of transactional sex. Subgroup analyses assessed potential heterogeneity by age and sexual identity. RESULTS: This analysis included 416 BMSM, of whom 191 (46%) were gay-identified, 146 (42%) reported a history of transactional sex, and 57 (14%) had prevalent chlamydia/gonococcal infection at baseline. Over a median of 1 year of follow-up, an additional 55 men tested laboratory-positive for chlamydia/gonorrhea (IR, 17.3 per 100 person-years). Transactional sex was not associated with chlamydia/gonorrhea incidence overall. However, among gay-identified BMSM, transactional sex was associated with incident chlamydia/gonorrhea (IRR, 2.9; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-6.8). CONCLUSIONS: Economic and social vulnerabilities may motivate engagement in high-risk sexual behaviors through commodified sex, potentially increasing the burden of STIs among BMSM. In this investigation, the relationship between transactional sex and chlamydia/gonorrhea was not homogenous across BMSM with diverse sexual identities in Atlanta, suggesting that within select sexual networks, transactional sex may drive STI risks. Delivering accessible and targeted STI screening for marginalized BMSM should be prioritized for STI and HIV prevention. |
Gonorrhea prevalence among young women and men entering the National Job Training Program, 2000-2017
Learner ER , Kreisel K , Kirkcaldy RD , Schlanger K , Torrone EA . Am J Public Health 2020 110 (5) e1-e8 Objectives. To examine long-term gonorrhea prevalence trends from a sentinel surveillance population of young people at elevated risk for gonorrhea.Methods. We analyzed annual cross-sectional urogenital gonorrhea screening data from 191 991 women (2000-2017) and 224 348 men (2003-2017) 16 to 24 years of age entering the National Job Training Program, a US vocational training program. We estimated prevalence among women using an expectation-maximization algorithm incorporated into a logistic regression to account for increases in screening test sensitivity; log-binomial regression was used to estimate prevalence among men.Results. The adjusted gonorrhea prevalence among women followed a U-shaped curve, falling from 2.9% to 1.6% from 2000 through 2011 before rising to 2.7% in 2017. The prevalence among men declined from 1.4% to 0.8% from 2003 through 2017. In the case of both women and men, the prevalence was highest across all study years among those who were Black or American Indian/Alaska Native and those who resided in the South or Midwest.Conclusions. Trends among National Job Training Program enrollees suggest that gonorrhea prevalence is rising among young women while remaining low and steady among young men. (Am J Public Health. Published online ahead of print March 19, 2020: e1-e8. doi:10.2105/AJPH.2019.305559). |
The influence of screening, misclassification, and reporting biases on reported chlamydia case rates among young women in the US, 2000 through 2017
Learner ER , Powers KA , Torrone EA , Pence BW , Fine JP , Miller WC . Sex Transm Dis 2020 47 (6) 369-375 BACKGROUND: National chlamydia case rate trends are difficult to interpret due to biases from partial screening coverage, imperfect diagnostic tests, and under-reporting. We examined the extent to which these time-varying biases could influence reported annual chlamydia case rates. METHODS: Annual reported case rates among women aged 15 through 24 years from 2000 through 2017 were obtained from the CDC's National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention AtlasPlus tool. Estimates of reporting completeness, diagnostic test sensitivity and specificity, and screening coverage were derived from literature review and expert opinion. We adjusted annual reported case rates for incomplete reporting, imperfect diagnostic tests, and partial screening coverage through a series of corrections, and calculated annual adjusted case rates of correctly diagnosed chlamydia. RESULTS: Adjusted chlamydia case rates among young women were higher than reported case rates throughout the study period. Reported case rates increased over the study period, but adjusted rates declined from 12,900 to 7,900 cases per 100,000 person-years between 2000 and 2007. After 2007, adjusted case rates declined to 7,500 cases per 100,000 person-years in 2017. Bias from partial screening coverage had a larger impact on case rate magnitude and trend shape than bias from imperfect diagnostic tests or under-reporting. CONCLUSIONS: Reported chlamydia case rates may be substantially lower than true chlamydia case rates due to incomplete reporting, imperfect diagnostic tests, and partial screening coverage. Because the magnitude of these biases has declined over time, the differences between reported and adjusted case rates has narrowed, revealing a sharp decline in adjusted case rates even as reported case rates have risen. The decline in adjusted case rates suggests that the rise in reported case rates should not be interpreted strictly as increasing chlamydia incidence, as the observed rise can be explained by improvements in screening coverage, diagnostic tests, and reporting. |
Chlamydia prevalence trends among women and men entering the National Job Training Program from 1990 through 2012
Learner ER , Torrone EA , Fine JP , Pence BW , Powers KA , Miller WC . Sex Transm Dis 2018 45 (8) 554-559 BACKGROUND: Evaluating chlamydia prevalence trends from sentinel surveillance is important for understanding population disease burden over time. However, prevalence trend estimates from surveillance data may be misleading if they do not account for changes in risk profiles of individuals who are screened (case mix) and changing performance of the screening tests used. METHODS: We analyzed chlamydia screening data from a sentinel surveillance population of 389,555 young women (1990-2012) and 303,699 young men (2003-2012) entering the US National Job Training Program. This period follows the introduction of national chlamydia screening programs designed to prevent transmission and reduce population disease burden. After ruling out bias due to case mix, we used an expectation-maximization based maximum likelihood approach to account for measurement error from changing screening tests, and generated minimally-biased long-term chlamydia prevalence trend estimates among youth and young adults in this sentinel surveillance population. RESULTS: Adjusted chlamydia prevalence among women was high throughout the study period, but fell from 20% in 1990 to 12% in 2003, and remained between 12% and 14% through 2012. Adjusted prevalence among men was steady throughout the study period at approximately 7%. For both women and men, adjusted prevalence was highest among Black and American Indian youth and young adults, and in the Southern and Midwestern regions of the US throughout the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Our minimally-biased trend estimates provide support for an initial decrease in chlamydia prevalence among women soon after the introduction of national chlamydia screening programs. Constant chlamydia prevalence in more recent years suggests that screening may not be sufficient to further reduce chlamydia prevalence among high-risk youth and young adults. |
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