Last data update: Jun 03, 2024. (Total: 46935 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 82 Records) |
Query Trace: Das M [original query] |
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Emerging trends of self-harm using sodium nitrite in an online suicide community: Observational study using natural language processing analysis
Das S , Walker D , Rajwal S , Lakamana S , Sumner SA , Mack KA , Kaczkowski W , Sarker A . JMIR Ment Health 2024 11 e53730 BACKGROUND: There is growing concern around the use of sodium nitrite (SN) as an emerging means of suicide, particularly among younger people. Given the limited information on the topic from traditional public health surveillance sources, we studied posts made to an online suicide discussion forum, "Sanctioned Suicide," which is a primary source of information on the use and procurement of SN. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to determine the trends in SN purchase and use, as obtained via data mining from subscriber posts on the forum. We also aim to determine the substances and topics commonly co-occurring with SN, as well as the geographical distribution of users and sources of SN. METHODS: We collected all publicly available from the site's inception in March 2018 to October 2022. Using data-driven methods, including natural language processing and machine learning, we analyzed the trends in SN mentions over time, including the locations of SN consumers and the sources from which SN is procured. We developed a transformer-based source and location classifier to determine the geographical distribution of the sources of SN. RESULTS: Posts pertaining to SN show a rise in popularity, and there were statistically significant correlations between real-life use of SN and suicidal intent when compared to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (⍴=0.727; P<.001) and the National Poison Data System (⍴=0.866; P=.001). We observed frequent co-mentions of antiemetics, benzodiazepines, and acid regulators with SN. Our proposed machine learning-based source and location classifier can detect potential sources of SN with an accuracy of 72.92% and showed consumption in the United States and elsewhere. CONCLUSIONS: Vital information about SN and other emerging mechanisms of suicide can be obtained from online forums. |
Influence of eat, sleep, and console on infants pharmacologically treated for opioid withdrawal: A post hoc subgroup analysis of the ESC-NOW randomized clinical trial
Devlin LA , Hu Z , Merhar SL , Ounpraseuth ST , Simon AE , Lee JY , Das A , Crawford MM , Greenberg RG , Smith PB , Higgins RD , Walsh MC , Rice W , Paul DA , Maxwell JR , Fung CM , Wright T , Ross J , McAllister JM , Crowley M , Shaikh SK , Christ L , Brown J , Riccio J , Wong Ramsey K , Braswell EF , Tucker L , McAlmon K , Dummula K , Weiner J , White JR , Newman S , Snowden JN , Young LW . JAMA Pediatr 2024 IMPORTANCE: The function-based eat, sleep, console (ESC) care approach substantially reduces the proportion of infants who receive pharmacologic treatment for neonatal opioid withdrawal syndrome (NOWS). This reduction has led to concerns for increased postnatal opioid exposure in infants who receive pharmacologic treatment. However, the effect of the ESC care approach on hospital outcomes for infants pharmacologically treated for NOWS is currently unknown. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate differences in opioid exposure and total length of hospital stay (LOS) for pharmacologically treated infants managed with the ESC care approach vs usual care with the Finnegan tool. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This post hoc subgroup analysis involved infants pharmacologically treated in ESC-NOW, a stepped-wedge cluster randomized clinical trial conducted at 26 US hospitals. Hospitals maintained pretrial practices for pharmacologic treatment, including opioid type, scheduled opioid dosing, and use of adjuvant medications. Infants were born at 36 weeks' gestation or later, had evidence of antenatal opioid exposure, and received opioid treatment for NOWS between September 2020 and March 2022. Data were analyzed from November 2022 to January 2024. EXPOSURE: Opioid treatment for NOWS and the ESC care approach. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: For each outcome (total opioid exposure, peak opioid dose, time from birth to initiation of first opioid dose, length of opioid treatment, and LOS), we used generalized linear mixed models to adjust for the stepped-wedge design and maternal and infant characteristics. RESULTS: In the ESC-NOW trial, 463 of 1305 infants were pharmacologically treated (143/603 [23.7%] in the ESC care approach group and 320/702 [45.6%] in the usual care group). Mean total opioid exposure was lower in the ESC care approach group with an absolute difference of 4.1 morphine milligram equivalents per kilogram (MME/kg) (95% CI, 1.3-7.0) when compared with usual care (4.8 MME/kg vs 8.9 MME/kg, respectively; P = .001). Mean time from birth to initiation of pharmacologic treatment was 22.4 hours (95% CI, 7.1-37.7) longer with the ESC care approach vs usual care (75.4 vs 53.0 hours, respectively; P = .002). No significant difference in mean peak opioid dose was observed between groups (ESC care approach, 0.147 MME/kg, vs usual care, 0.126 MME/kg). The mean length of treatment was 6.3 days shorter (95% CI, 3.0-9.6) in the ESC care approach group vs usual care group (11.8 vs 18.1 days, respectively; P < .001), and mean LOS was 6.2 days shorter (95% CI, 3.0-9.4) with the ESC care approach than with usual care (16.7 vs 22.9 days, respectively; P < .001). CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: When compared with usual care, the ESC care approach was associated with less opioid exposure and shorter LOS for infants pharmacologically treated for NOWS. The ESC care approach was not associated with a higher peak opioid dose, although pharmacologic treatment was typically initiated later. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04057820. |
Behavioral and social drivers of COVID-19 vaccination initiation in the US: a longitudinal study March─ October 2021
Abad N , Bonner KE , Huang Q , Baack B , Petrin R , Das D , Hendrich MA , Gosz MS , Lewis Z , Lintern DJ , Fisun H , Brewer NT . J Behav Med 2024 Many studies have examined behavioral and social drivers of COVID-19 vaccination initiation, but few have examined these drivers longitudinally. We sought to identify the drivers of COVID-19 vaccination initiation using the Behavioral and Social Drivers of Vaccination (BeSD) Framework. Participants were a nationally-representative sample of 1,563 US adults who had not received a COVID-19 vaccine by baseline. Participants took surveys online at baseline (spring 2021) and follow-up (fall 2021). The surveys assessed variables from BeSD Framework domains (i.e., thinking and feeling, social processes, and practical issues), COVID-19 vaccination initiation, and demographics at baseline and follow-up. Between baseline and follow-up, 65% of respondents reported initiating COVID-19 vaccination. Vaccination intent increased from baseline to follow-up (p < .01). Higher vaccine confidence, more positive social norms towards vaccination, and receiving vaccine recommendations at baseline predicted subsequent COVID-19 vaccine initiation (all p < .01). Among factors assessed at follow-up, social responsibility and vaccine requirements had the greatest associations with vaccine initiation (all p < .01). Baseline vaccine confidence, social norms, and vaccination recommendations were associated with subsequent vaccine initiation, all of which could be useful targets for behavioral interventions. Furthermore, interventions that highlight social responsibility to vaccinate or promote vaccination requirements could also be beneficial. |
HIV-1 incidence, adherence, and drug resistance in individuals taking daily emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate for HIV-1 pre-exposure prophylaxis: Pooled analysis from 72 global studies
Landovitz RJ , Tao L , Yang J , de Boer M , Carter C , Das M , Baeten JM , Liu A , Hoover KW , Celum C , Grinsztejn B , Morris S , Wheeler DP , Mayer KH , Golub SA , Bekker LG , Diabaté S , Hoornenborg E , Myers J , Leech AA , McCormack S , Chan PA , Sweat M , Matthews LT , Grant R . Clin Infect Dis 2024 BACKGROUND: Oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) with emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (F/TDF) has high efficacy against HIV-1 acquisition. Seventy-two prospective studies of daily oral F/TDF PrEP were conducted to evaluate HIV-1 incidence, drug resistance, adherence, and bone and renal safety in diverse settings. METHODS: HIV-1 incidence was calculated from incident HIV-1 diagnoses after PrEP initiation and within 60 days of discontinuation. Tenofovir concentration in dried blood spots (DBS), drug resistance, and bone/renal safety indicators were evaluated in a subset of studies. RESULTS: Among 17,274 participants, there were 101 cases with new HIV-1 diagnosis (0.77 per 100 person-years; 95% CI 0.63-0.94). In 78 cases with resistance data, 18 (23%) had M184I or V, one (1.3%) had K65R, and three (3.8%) had both mutations. In 54 cases with tenofovir concentration data from DBS, 45 (83.3%), 2 (3.7%), 6 (11.1%), and 1 (1.9%) had average adherence of <2, 2-3, 4-6, and ≥7 doses/week, respectively, and the corresponding incidence was 3.9 (95% CI 2.9-5.3), 0.24 (0.060-0.95), 0.27 (0.12-0.60), and 0.054 (0.008-0.38) per 100 person-years. Adherence was low in younger participants, Hispanic/Latinx and Black participants, cisgender women, and transgender women. Bone and renal adverse event incidence rates were 0.69 and 11.8 per 100 person-years, respectively, consistent with previous reports. CONCLUSIONS: Leveraging the largest pooled analysis of global PrEP studies to date, we demonstrate that F/TDF is safe and highly effective, even with less than daily dosing, in diverse clinical settings, geographies, populations, and routes of HIV-1 exposure. |
HIV preexposure prophylaxis with emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate among cisgender women
Marrazzo J , Tao L , Becker M , Leech AA , Taylor AW , Ussery F , Kiragu M , Reza-Paul S , Myers J , Bekker LG , Yang J , Carter C , de Boer M , Das M , Baeten JM , Celum C . Jama 2024 IMPORTANCE: Emtricitabine and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (F/TDF) for HIV preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is highly effective in cisgender men who have sex with men (MSM) when adherence is high (>4 doses/week). Real-world effectiveness and adherence with F/TDF for PrEP in cisgender women is less well characterized. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the effectiveness of F/TDF for PrEP and its relationship with adherence in cisgender women. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Data were pooled from 11 F/TDF PrEP postapproval studies conducted in 6 countries that included 6296 cisgender women aged 15 to 69 years conducted from 2012 to 2020. HIV incidence was evaluated according to adherence level measured objectively (tenofovir diphosphate concentration in dried blood spots or tenofovir concentration in plasma; n = 288) and subjectively (electronic pill cap monitoring, pill counts, self-report, and study-reported adherence scale; n = 2954) using group-based trajectory modeling. EXPOSURES: F/TDF prescribed orally once a day. HIV incidence was analyzed in subgroups based on adherence trajectory. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: HIV incidence. RESULTS: Of the 6296 participants, 46% were from Kenya, 28% were from South Africa, 21% were from India, 2.9% were from Uganda, 1.6% were from Botswana, and 0.8% were from the US. The mean (SD) age at PrEP initiation across all studies was 25 (7) years, with 61% of participants being younger than 25 years. The overall HIV incidence was 0.72 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 0.51-1.01; 32 incident HIV diagnoses among 6296 participants). Four distinct groups of adherence trajectories were identified: consistently daily (7 doses/week), consistently high (4-6 doses/week), high but declining (from a mean of 4-6 doses/week and then declining), and consistently low (less than 2 doses/week). None of the 498 women with consistently daily adherence acquired HIV. Only 1 of the 658 women with consistently high adherence acquired HIV (incidence rate, 0.13/100 person-years [95% CI, 0.02-0.92]). The incidence rate was 0.49 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 0.22-1.08) in the high but declining adherence group (n = 1166) and 1.27 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 0.53-3.04) in the consistently low adherence group (n = 632). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In a pooled analysis of 11 postapproval studies of F/TDF for PrEP among cisgender women, overall HIV incidence was 0.72 per 100 person-years; individuals with consistently daily or consistently high adherence (4-6 doses/week) to PrEP experienced very low HIV incidence. |
The relationship between the intestinal microbiome and body mass index in children with cystic fibrosis
Bernard R , Shilts MH , Strickland BA , Boone HH , Payne DC , Brown RF , Edwards K , Das SR , Nicholson MR . J Cyst Fibros 2023 BACKGROUND: The nutritional status of children with cystic fibrosis (CF), as assessed by their body mass index percentile (BMIp), is a critical determinant of long-term health outcomes. While the intestinal microbiome plays an important role in nutrition, little is known regarding the relationship of the microbiome and BMIp in children with CF. METHODS: Pediatric patients (< 18 years old) with CF and healthy comparison patients (HCs) were enrolled in the study and stool samples obtained. BMIp was categorized as Green Zone (BMIp > 50th), Yellow Zone (BMIp 25th-49th) and Red Zone (BMIp < 25th). Intestinal microbiome assessment was performed via 16S rRNA gene sequencing; microbial richness, diversity, and differential species abundance were assessed. RESULTS: Stool samples were collected from 107 children with CF and 50 age-matched HCs. Compared to HCs, children with CF were found to have lower bacterial richness, alpha-diversity, and a different microbial composition. When evaluating them by their BMIp color zone, richness and alpha-diversity were lowest in those in the Red Zone. In addition, an unclassified amplicon sequence variant (ASV) of Blautia, a known butyrate-producing anaerobe, was of lowest abundance in children in the Red Zone. CONCLUSION: Children with CF have a dysbiotic intestinal microbiome with specific changes that accompany changes in BMIp. Longitudinal assessments of the microbiome and its metabolic activities over time are needed to better understand how improvements in the microbiome may improve nutrition and enhance long-term survival in children with CF. |
Seismoacoustic monitoring of a longwall face using distributed acoustic sensing
Chambers D , Shragge J . Bull Seismol Soc Am 2023 113 (4) 1652-1663 Violent, dynamic failures of rockmasses in underground mines pose significant hazards to workers and operations. Over the past several decades, hardrock mines have widely adopted seismic monitoring to help address such risks. However, coal mines, particularly those employing the longwall mining method, have struggled to implement similar monitoring strategies. This is because typical longwall mines are much larger and mine more rapidly than hardrock mines. Moreover, regulations place significant restrictions on the subsurface use of electronics in coal mines due to potentially explosive atmospheres. We present a new monitoring concept that uses distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) to turn an entire longwall face into a seismoacoustic array. After exploring the acoustic response of our sensors in the laboratory, we deployed the array at an active underground longwall mine for several days. We examine 33 events recorded by both the in-mine DAS array and a surface seismic network. We observed that the array records both seismic vibrations trav-eling through rock and mining equipment as well as sound waves propagating in the workings. We show that waveform moveouts are clearly visible, and that the standard deviation of the audio recordings is a straightforward yet promising metric that could help quantify burst damage. Although improvements are needed before mines can routinely use this monitoring strategy, DAS-based seismoacoustic arrays may assist in understanding coal-burst mechanisms and managing associated risks in underground longwall mines as well as enable better understanding of damage associated with dynamic failures in other underground environments. © Seismological Society of America. |
Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in standardised first few X cases and household transmission investigations: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Lewis HC , Marcato AJ , Meagher N , Valenciano M , Villanueva-Cabezas JP , Spirkoska V , Fielding JE , Karahalios A , Subissi L , Nardone A , Cheng B , Rajatonirina S , Okeibunor J , Aly EA , Barakat A , Jorgensen P , Azim T , Wijesinghe PR , Le LV , Rodriguez A , Vicari A , Van Kerkhove M , McVernon J , Pebody R , Price DJ , Bergeri I , Alemu MA , Alvi Y , Bukusi EA , Chung PS , Dambadarjaa D , Das AK , Dub T , Dulacha D , Ebrahim F , Gonzalez-Duarte MA , Guruge D , Heredia-Melo DC , Herman-Roloff A , Herring BL , Islam F , Jeewandara KC , Kant S , Lako R , Leite J , Malavige GN , Mandakh U , Mariam W , Mend T , Mize VA , Musa S , Nohynek H , Olu OO , Osorio-Merchan MB , Pereyaslov D , Ransom J , Ariqi LA , Khan W , Saxena S , Sharma P , Sreedevi A , Satheesh M , Subhashini KJ , Tippet-Barr BA , Usha A , Wamala JF , Watare SH , Yadav K , Inbanathan FY . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2022 16 (5) 803-819 Abstract We aimed to estimate the household secondary infection attack rate (hSAR) of SARS-CoV-2 in investigations aligned with the WHO Unity Studies Household Transmission Investigations (HHTI) protocol. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis according to PRISMA 2020 guidelines. We searched Medline, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus and medRxiv/bioRxiv for “Unity-aligned” First Few X cases (FFX) and HHTIs published 1 December 2019 to 26 July 2021. Standardised early results were shared by WHO Unity Studies collaborators (to 1 October 2021). We used a bespoke tool to assess investigation methodological quality. Values for hSAR and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were extracted or calculated from crude data. Heterogeneity was assessed by visually inspecting overlap of CIs on forest plots and quantified in meta-analyses. Of 9988 records retrieved, 80 articles (64 from databases; 16 provided by Unity Studies collaborators) were retained in the systematic review; 62 were included in the primary meta-analysis. hSAR point estimates ranged from 2% to 90% (95% prediction interval: 3%–71%; I2 = 99.7%); I2 values remained >99% in subgroup analyses, indicating high, unexplained heterogeneity and leading to a decision not to report pooled hSAR estimates. FFX and HHTI remain critical epidemiological tools for early and ongoing characterisation of novel infectious pathogens. The large, unexplained variance in hSAR estimates emphasises the need to further support standardisation in planning, conduct and analysis, and for clear and comprehensive reporting of FFX and HHTIs in time and place, to guide evidence-based pandemic preparedness and response efforts for SARS-CoV-2, influenza and future novel respiratory viruses. |
Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in standardised First Few X cases and household transmission investigations: a systematic review and meta-analysis (preprint)
Lewis HC , Marcato AJ , Meagher N , Valenciano M , Villanueva-Cabezas JP , Spirkoska V , Fielding JE , Karahalios A , Subissi L , Nardone A , Cheng B , Rajatonirina S , Okeibunor J , Aly EA , Barakat A , Jorgensen P , Azim T , Wijesinghe PR , Le LV , Rodriguez A , Vicari A , Van Kerkhove M , McVernon J , Pebody R , Price DJ , Bergeri I , Alemu MA , Alvi Y , Bukusi EA , Chung PS , Dambadarjaa D , Das AK , Dub T , Dulacha D , Ebrahim F , Gonzalez-Duarte MA , Guruge D , Heredia-Melo DC , Herman-Roloff A , Herring BL , Islam F , Jeewandara KC , Kant S , Lako R , Leite J , Malavige GN , Mandakh U , Mariam W , Mend T , Mize VA , Musa S , Nohynek H , Olu OO , Osorio-Merchan MB , Pereyaslov D , Ransom J , Ariqi LA , Khan W , Saxena S , Sharma P , Sreedevi A , Satheesh M , Subhashini KJ , Tippet-Barr BA , Usha A , Wamala JF , Watare SH , Yadav K , Inbanathan FY . medRxiv 2022 03 (5) 803-819 We aimed to estimate the household secondary infection attack rate (hSAR) of SARS-CoV-2 in investigations aligned with the WHO Unity Studies Household Transmission Investigations (HHTI) protocol. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis according to PRISMA 2020 guidelines. We searched Medline, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus and medRxiv/bioRxiv for 'Unity-aligned' First Few X cases (FFX) and HHTIs published between 1 December 2019 and 26 July 2021. Standardised early results were shared by WHO Unity Studies collaborators (to 1 October 2021). We used a bespoke tool to assess investigation methodological quality. Values for hSAR and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were extracted or calculated from crude data. Heterogeneity was assessed by visually inspecting overlap of CIs on forest plots and quantified in meta-analyses. Of 9988 records retrieved, 80 articles (64 from databases; 16 provided by Unity Studies collaborators) were retained in the systematic review and 62 were included in the primary meta-analysis. hSAR point estimates ranged from 2%-90% (95% prediction interval: 3%-71%; I2=99.7%); I2 values remained >99% in subgroup analyses, indicating high, unexplained heterogeneity and leading to a decision not to report pooled hSAR estimates. FFX and HHTI remain critical epidemiological tools for early and ongoing characterisation of novel infectious pathogens. The large, unexplained variance in hSAR estimates emphasises the need to further support standardisation in planning, conduct and analysis, and for clear and comprehensive reporting of FFX and HHTIs in time and place, to guide evidence-based pandemic preparedness and response efforts for SARS-CoV-2, influenza and future novel respiratory viruses. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY 4.0 International license. |
Evaluation of the impact of guideline communication from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services among US healthcare providers: COVID-19 prevention counselling guidance
Taylor MM , Deb A , Frazier B , Lueken JR , Das M , Molke J , Fitzgerald E , Ullian T , Nair R , Couch M , Turbyfill C , Horter L , Joshi C , DeLuca N . Nurs Open 2023 10 (11) 7437-7445 AIM: To evaluate healthcare provider awareness and uptake of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) billing for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) prevention counselling and the delivery of prevention counselling to patients awaiting severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 test results. DESIGN: Cross sectional survey of US-based healthcare providers in February 2021. METHODS: Analysis of associations with healthcare provider-reported awareness of CMS prevention counselling guidance and billing with provider type, specialty, and work setting. RESULTS: A total of 1919 healthcare providers responded to the survey. Overall, 38% (726/1919) of providers reported awareness of available CMS reimbursement for COVID-19 patient counselling and 29% (465/1614) of CMS billing-eligible providers reported billing for this counselling. Among physicians, those aware of CMS guidance were significantly more likely to bill (58%) versus those unaware (10%). Among RNSights respondents eligible for CMS billing (n = 114), 31% of those aware of the guidance reported billing as compared to 0% of those not aware. |
Evaluation of an open forecasting challenge to assess skill of West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease prediction.
Holcomb KM , Mathis S , Staples JE , Fischer M , Barker CM , Beard CB , Nett RJ , Keyel AC , Marcantonio M , Childs ML , Gorris ME , Rochlin I , Hamins-Puértolas M , Ray EL , Uelmen JA , DeFelice N , Freedman AS , Hollingsworth BD , Das P , Osthus D , Humphreys JM , Nova N , Mordecai EA , Cohnstaedt LW , Kirk D , Kramer LD , Harris MJ , Kain MP , Reed EMX , Johansson MA . Parasit Vectors 2023 16 (1) 11 BACKGROUND: West Nile virus (WNV) is the leading cause of mosquito-borne illness in the continental USA. WNV occurrence has high spatiotemporal variation, and current approaches to targeted control of the virus are limited, making forecasting a public health priority. However, little research has been done to compare strengths and weaknesses of WNV disease forecasting approaches on the national scale. We used forecasts submitted to the 2020 WNV Forecasting Challenge, an open challenge organized by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, to assess the status of WNV neuroinvasive disease (WNND) prediction and identify avenues for improvement. METHODS: We performed a multi-model comparative assessment of probabilistic forecasts submitted by 15 teams for annual WNND cases in US counties for 2020 and assessed forecast accuracy, calibration, and discriminatory power. In the evaluation, we included forecasts produced by comparison models of varying complexity as benchmarks of forecast performance. We also used regression analysis to identify modeling approaches and contextual factors that were associated with forecast skill. RESULTS: Simple models based on historical WNND cases generally scored better than more complex models and combined higher discriminatory power with better calibration of uncertainty. Forecast skill improved across updated forecast submissions submitted during the 2020 season. Among models using additional data, inclusion of climate or human demographic data was associated with higher skill, while inclusion of mosquito or land use data was associated with lower skill. We also identified population size, extreme minimum winter temperature, and interannual variation in WNND cases as county-level characteristics associated with variation in forecast skill. CONCLUSIONS: Historical WNND cases were strong predictors of future cases with minimal increase in skill achieved by models that included other factors. Although opportunities might exist to specifically improve predictions for areas with large populations and low or high winter temperatures, areas with high case-count variability are intrinsically more difficult to predict. Also, the prediction of outbreaks, which are outliers relative to typical case numbers, remains difficult. Further improvements to prediction could be obtained with improved calibration of forecast uncertainty and access to real-time data streams (e.g. current weather and preliminary human cases). |
Building communities of practice through case-based e-learning to prevent and manage TB among people living with HIV-India
Agarwal R , Agarwal U , Das C , Reddy RA , Pant R , Ho C , Kumar BR , Dabla V , Moonan PK , Nyendak M , Anand S , Puri AK , Mattoo SK , Sachdeva KS , Yeldandi VV , Sarin R . BMC Infect Dis 2022 22 (1) 967 BACKGROUND: Co-management of HIV-TB coinfection remains a challenge globally. Addressing TB among people living with HIV (PLHIV) is a key priority for the Government of India (GoI). In 2016, GoI implemented single-window services to prevent and manage TB in PLHIV. To strengthen HIV-TB service delivery, case-based e-learning was introduced to health care providers at Antiretroviral Therapy centres (ARTc). METHODS: We implemented a hub and spoke model to deliver biweekly, virtual, case-based e-learning at select ARTc (n=115), from four states of India-Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu. We evaluated feasibility and acceptability of case-based e-learning and its impact on professional satisfaction, self-efficacy, knowledge retention using baseline and completion surveys, session feedback, pre-and post-session assessments. We reviewed routine programmatic data and patient outcomes to assess practices among participating ARTc. RESULTS: Between May 2018 and September 2020, 59 sessions were conducted with mean participation of 55 spokes and 152 participants. For 95% and 88% of sessions80% of respondents agreed that topics were clear and relevant to practice, and duration of session was appropriate, respectively. Session participants significantly improved in perceived knowledge, skills and competencies (+8.6%; p=0.025), and technical knowledge (+18.3%; p=0.04) from baseline. Participating ARTc increased TB screening (+4.2%, p<0.0001), TB diagnosis (+2.7%, p<0.0001), ART initiation (+4.3%, p<0.0001) and TB preventive treatment completion (+5.2%, p<0.0001). CONCLUSION: Case-based e-learning is an acceptable and effective modus of capacity building and developing communities of practice to strengthen integrated care. E-learning could address demand for accessible and sustainable continuing professional education to manage complex diseases, and thereby enhance health equity. We recommend expansion of this initiative across the country for management of co-morbidities as well as other communicable and non-communicable diseases to augment the existing capacity building interventions by provide continued learning and routine mentorship through communities of practice. |
Acute febrile illness among outpatients seeking health care in Bangladeshi hospitals prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Das P , Rahman MZ , Banu S , Rahman M , Chisti MJ , Chowdhury F , Akhtar Z , Palit A , Martin DW , Anwar MU , Namwase AS , Angra P , Kato CY , Ramos CJ , Singleton J , Stewart-Juba J , Patel N , Condit M , Chung IH , Galloway R , Friedman M , Cohen AL . PLoS One 2022 17 (9) e0273902 Understanding the distribution of pathogens causing acute febrile illness (AFI) is important for clinical management of patients in resource-poor settings. We evaluated the proportion of AFI caused by specific pathogens among outpatients in Bangladesh. During May 2019-March 2020, physicians screened patients aged 2 years in outpatient departments of four tertiary level public hospitals. We randomly enrolled patients having measured fever (100.4F) during assessment with onset within the past 14 days. Blood and urine samples were tested at icddr,b through rapid diagnostic tests, bacterial culture, and polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Acute and convalescent samples were sent to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (USA) for Rickettsia and Orientia (R/O) and Leptospira tests. Among 690 patients, 69 (10%) had enteric fever (Salmonella enterica serotype Typhi orSalmonella enterica serotype Paratyphi), 51 (7.4%) Escherichia coli, and 28 (4.1%) dengue detected. Of the 441 patients tested for R/O, 39 (8.8%) had rickettsioses. We found 7 (2%) Leptospira cases among the 403 AFI patients tested. Nine patients (1%) were hospitalized, and none died. The highest proportion of enteric fever (15%, 36/231) and rickettsioses (14%, 25/182) was in Rajshahi. Dhaka had the most dengue cases (68%, 19/28). R/O affected older children and young adults (IQR 8-23 years) and was detected more frequently in the 21-25 years age-group (17%, 12/70). R/O was more likely to be found in patients in Rajshahi region than in Sylhet (aOR 2.49, 95% CI 0.85-7.32) between July and December (aOR 2.01, 1.01-5.23), and who had a history of recent animal entry inside their house than not (aOR 2.0, 0.93-4.3). Gram-negative Enterobacteriaceae were the most common bacterial infections, and dengue was the most common viral infection among AFI patients in Bangladeshi hospitals, though there was geographic variability. These results can help guide empiric outpatient AFI management. |
A longitudinal assessment of diabetes autoantibodies in the SEARCH for diabetes in youth study
Merjaneh L , Dolan LM , Suerken CK , D'Agostino RJr , Imperatore G , Saydah S , Roberts A , Marcovina S , Mayer-Davis EJ , Dabelea D , Lawrence JM , Pihoker C . Pediatr Diabetes 2022 23 (7) 1027-1037 To assess changes in diabetes autoantibodies (DAs) over time in children and young adults with diabetes and determine whether observed changes were associated with demographic characteristics, clinical parameters and diabetes complications. Participants had DAs measured at baseline (10.3 ± 7.1 months after diabetes diagnosis) and at 12, 24 months and ≥5 years after the baseline measurement. At the ≥5-year follow-up, the presence of diabetes complications was assessed. We examined the associations between change in number of positive DAs and changes in individual DA status with the participants' characteristics and clinical parameters over time. Out of 4179 participants, 62% had longitudinal DA data and 51% had complications and longitudinal DA data. In participants with ≥1 baseline positive DA (n = 1699), 83.4% remained positive after 7.3 ± 2.3 years duration of diabetes. Decrease in number of positive DAs was associated with longer diabetes duration (p = 0.003 for 1 baseline positive DA; p < 0.001 for 2 baseline positive DAs) and younger age at diagnosis (p < 0.001 for 2 baseline positive DAs). No associations were found between change in number of positive DAs in participants with ≥1 baseline positive DA (n = 1391) and HbA1c, insulin dose, acute, or chronic complications after 7.7 ± 1.9 years duration of diabetes. DA status likely remains stable in the first 7 years after diabetes diagnosis. Younger age at diabetes diagnosis and longer duration were associated with less persistence of DAs. Measuring DAs after initial presentation may aid in diabetes classification but not likely in predicting the clinical course. |
Health-care-associated bloodstream and urinary tract infections in a network of hospitals in India: a multicentre, hospital-based, prospective surveillance study
Mathur P , Malpiedi P , Walia K , Srikantiah P , Gupta S , Lohiya A , Chakrabarti A , Ray P , Biswal M , Taneja N , Rupali P , Balaji V , Rodrigues C , Lakshmi Nag V , Tak V , Venkatesh V , Mukhopadhyay C , Deotale V , Padmaja K , Wattal C , Bhattacharya S , Karuna T , Behera B , Singh S , Nath R , Ray R , Baveja S , Fomda BA , Sulochana Devi K , Das P , Khandelwal N , Verma P , Bhattacharyya P , Gaind R , Kapoor L , Gupta N , Sharma A , VanderEnde D , Siromany V , Laserson K , Guleria R . Lancet Glob Health 2022 10 (9) e1317-e1325 BACKGROUND: Health-care-associated infections (HAIs) cause significant morbidity and mortality globally, including in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). Networks of hospitals implementing standardised HAI surveillance can provide valuable data on HAI burden, and identify and monitor HAI prevention gaps. Hospitals in many LMICs use HAI case definitions developed for higher-resourced settings, which require human resources and laboratory and imaging tests that are often not available. METHODS: A network of 26 tertiary-level hospitals in India was created to implement HAI surveillance and prevention activities. Existing HAI case definitions were modified to facilitate standardised, resource-appropriate surveillance across hospitals. Hospitals identified health-care-associated bloodstream infections and urinary tract infections (UTIs) and reported clinical and microbiological data to the network for analysis. FINDINGS: 26 network hospitals reported 2622 health-care-associated bloodstream infections and 737 health-care-associated UTIs from 89 intensive care units (ICUs) between May 1, 2017, and Oct 31, 2018. Central line-associated bloodstream infection rates were highest in neonatal ICUs (>20 per 1000 central line days). Catheter-associated UTI rates were highest in paediatric medical ICUs (4·5 per 1000 urinary catheter days). Klebsiella spp (24·8%) were the most frequent organism in bloodstream infections and Candida spp (29·4%) in UTIs. Carbapenem resistance was common in Gram-negative infections, occurring in 72% of bloodstream infections and 76% of UTIs caused by Klebsiella spp, 77% of bloodstream infections and 76% of UTIs caused by Acinetobacter spp, and 64% of bloodstream infections and 72% of UTIs caused by Pseudomonas spp. INTERPRETATION: The first standardised HAI surveillance network in India has succeeded in implementing locally adapted and context-appropriate protocols consistently across hospitals and has been able to identify a large number of HAIs. Network data show high HAI and antimicrobial resistance rates in tertiary hospitals, showing the importance of implementing multimodal HAI prevention and antimicrobial resistance containment strategies. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention cooperative agreement with All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi. TRANSLATION: For the Hindi translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section. |
Pathogens associated with linear growth faltering in children with diarrhea and impact of antibiotic treatment: The global enteric multicenter study
Nasrin D , Blackwelder WC , Sommerfelt H , Wu Y , Farag TH , Panchalingam S , Biswas K , Saha D , Jahangir Hossain M , Sow SO , Reiman RFB , Sur D , Faruque ASG , Zaidi AKM , Sanogo D , Tamboura B , Onwuchekwa U , Manna B , Ramamurthy T , Kanungo S , Omore R , Ochieng JB , Oundo JO , Das SK , Ahmed S , Qureshi S , Quadri F , Adegbola RA , Antonio M , Mandomando I , Nhampossa T , Bassat Q , Roose A , O'Reilly CE , Mintz ED , Ramakrishnan U , Powell H , Liang Y , Nataro JP , Levine MM , Kotloff KL . J Infect Dis 2021 224 S848-s855 BACKGROUND: The association between childhood diarrheal disease and linear growth faltering in developing countries is well described. However, the impact attributed to specific pathogens has not been elucidated, nor has the impact of recommended antibiotic treatment. METHODS: The Global Enteric Multicenter Study enrolled children with moderate to severe diarrhea (MSD) seeking healthcare at 7 sites in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. At enrollment, we collected stool samples to identify enteropathogens. Length/height was measured at enrollment and follow-up, approximately 60 days later, to calculate change in height-for-age z scores (ΔHAZ). The association of pathogens with ΔHAZ was tested using linear mixed effects regression models. RESULTS: Among 8077 MSD cases analyzed, the proportion with stunting (HAZ below -1) increased from 59% at enrollment to 65% at follow-up (P < .0001). Pathogens significantly associated with linear growth decline included Cryptosporidium (P < .001), typical enteropathogenic Escherichia coli (P = .01), and untreated Shigella (P = .009) among infants (aged 0-11 months) and enterotoxigenic E. coli encoding heat-stable toxin (P < .001) and Cryptosporidium (P = .03) among toddlers (aged 12-23 months). Shigella-infected toddlers given antibiotics had improved linear growth (P = .02). CONCLUSIONS: Linear growth faltering among children aged 0-23 months with MSD is associated with specific pathogens and can be mitigated with targeted treatment strategies, as demonstrated for Shigella. |
Characteristics of Persons with Secondary Detection of SARS-CoV-2 ≥90 days After First Detection - New Mexico, 2020.
Hicks JT , Das S , Matanock A , Griego-Fisher A , Sosin D . J Infect Dis 2021 224 (10) 1684-1689 New Mexico Department of Health (NMDOH) conducted a matched case-control study to compare 315 persons (cases) with and 945 persons (controls) without SARS-CoV-2 secondary detection (i.e., positive SARS-CoV-2 test ≥90 days after first detection as of December 10, 2020). Compared with controls, cases had greater odds of higher SARS-CoV-2 testing frequency (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.2), being female (aOR = 1.6), being non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native (aOR = 2.3), having diabetes mellitus (aOR = 1.8), and residing/working in detention/correctional facilities (aOR = 4.7). Diagnostic tools evaluating infectiousness at secondary detection are urgently needed to inform infection control practices. |
Biomarkers of Potential Harm among Adult Cigarette and Smokeless Tobacco Users in the PATH Study Wave 1 (2013-2014): A Cross-Sectional Analysis
Chang JT , Vivar JC , Tam J , Hammad HT , Christensen CH , van Bemmel DM , Das B , Danilenko U , Chang CM . Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2021 30 (7) 1320-1327 BACKGROUND: While smokeless tobacco (ST) is causes oral cancer and is associated with cardiovascular diseases, less is known about how its effects differ from other tobacco use. Biomarkers of potential harm (BOPH) can measure short-term health effects such as inflammation and oxidative stress. METHOD: We compared BOPH concentrations (interleukin-6 [IL-6], high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (sICAM-1), and F2-isoprostane) across 3,460 adults in Wave 1 of the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health Study (2013-2014) by tobacco use groups: primary ST users (current exclusive ST use among never smokers), secondary ST users (current exclusive ST use among former smokers), exclusive cigarette smokers, dual users of ST and cigarettes, former smokers, and never tobacco users. We estimated geometric mean ratios (GMRs) using never tobacco users, cigarette smokers, and former smokers as referents, adjusting for demographic and health conditions, creatinine (for F2-isoprostane), and pack-years in smoker referent models. RESULTS: BOPH levels among primary ST users were similar to both never tobacco users and former smokers. Most BOPH levels were lower among ST users compared to current smokers. Compared to never tobacco users, dual users had significantly higher sICAM-1, IL-6 and F2-isoprostane. However, compared to smokers, dual users had similar biomarker levels. Former smokers and secondary ST users had similar levels of all five biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: ST users have lower levels of inflammatory and oxidative stress biomarkers than smokers. IMPACT: ST use alone and in combination with smoking may result in different levels of inflammatory and oxidative stress levels. |
Microbial community structure and composition is associated with host species and sex in Sigmodon cotton rats.
Strickland BA , Patel MC , Shilts MH , Boone HH , Kamali A , Zhang W , Stylos D , Boukhvalova MS , Rosas-Salazar C , Yooseph S , Rajagopala SV , Blanco JCG , Das SR . Anim Microbiome 2021 3 (1) 29 BACKGROUND: The cotton rat (genus Sigmodon) is an essential small animal model for the study of human infectious disease and viral therapeutic development. However, the impact of the host microbiome on infection outcomes has not been explored in this model, partly due to the lack of a comprehensive characterization of microbial communities across different cotton rat species. Understanding the dynamics of their microbiome could significantly help to better understand its role when modeling viral infections in this animal model. RESULTS: We examined the bacterial communities of the gut and three external sites (skin, ear, and nose) of two inbred species of cotton rats commonly used in research (S. hispidus and S. fulviventer) by using 16S rRNA gene sequencing, constituting the first comprehensive characterization of the cotton rat microbiome. We showed that S. fulviventer maintained higher alpha diversity and richness than S. hispidus at external sites (skin, ear, nose), but there were no differentially abundant genera. However, S. fulviventer and S. hispidus had distinct fecal microbiomes composed of several significantly differentially abundant genera. Whole metagenomic shotgun sequencing of fecal samples identified species-level differences between S. hispidus and S. fulviventer, as well as different metabolic pathway functions as a result of differential host microbiome contributions. Furthermore, the microbiome composition of the external sites showed significant sex-based differences while fecal communities were not largely different. CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that host genetic background potentially exerts homeostatic pressures, resulting in distinct microbiomes for two different inbred cotton rat species. Because of the numerous studies that have uncovered strong relationships between host microbiome, viral infection outcomes, and immune responses, our findings represent a strong contribution for understanding the impact of different microbial communities on viral pathogenesis. Furthermore, we provide novel cotton rat microbiome data as a springboard to uncover the full therapeutic potential of the microbiome against viral infections. |
Risk of intussusception after monovalent rotavirus vaccine (Rotavac) in Indian infants: A self-controlled case series analysis
Das MK , Arora NK , Poluru R , Tate JE , Gupta B , Sharan A , Aggarwal MK , Haldar P , Parashar UD , Zuber PLF , Bonhoeffer J , Ray A , Wakhlu A , Vyas BR , Iqbal Bhat J , Goswami JK , Mathai J , Kameswari K , Bharadia L , Sankhe L , Ajayakumar MK , Mohan N , Jena PK , Sarangi R , Shad R , Debbarma SK , Shyamala J , Ratan SK , Sarkar S , Kumar V , Maure CG , Dubey AP , Gupta A , Sam CJ , Mufti GN , Trivedi H , Shad J , Lahiri K , R K , Luthra M , Behera N , P P , Rajamani G , Kumar R , Sarkar R , Santosh Kumar A , Sahoo SK , Ghosh SK , Mane S , Dash A , Charoo BA , Tripathy BB , Rajendra Prasad G , S HK , K J , Sarkar NR , Arunachalam P , Mohapatra SSG , Garge S . Vaccine 2021 39 (1) 78-84 BACKGROUND: An association between rotavirus vaccination and intussusception has been documented in post-licensure studies in some countries. We evaluated the risk of intussusception associated with monovalent rotavirus vaccine (Rotavac) administered at 6, 10 and 14 weeks of age in India. METHODS: Active prospective surveillance for intussusception was conducted at 22 hospitals across 16 states from April 2016 through September 2017. Data on demography, clinical features and vaccination were documented. Age-adjusted relative incidence for 1-7, 8-21, and 1-21 days after rotavirus vaccination in children aged 28-364 days at intussusception onset was estimated using the self-controlled case-series (SCCS) method. Only Brighton Collaboration level 1 cases were included. RESULTS: Out of 670 children aged 2-23 months with intussusception, 311 (46.4%) children were aged 28-364 days with confirmed vaccination status. Out of these, 52 intussusception cases with confirmed receipt of RVV were included in the SCCS analysis. No intussusception case was observed within 21 days of dose 1. Only one case occurred during 8-21 days after the dose 2. Post-dose 3, two cases in 1-7 days and 7 cases during 8-21 days period were observed. There was no increased risk of intussusception during 1-7 days after the doses 1 and 2 (zero cases observed) or dose 3 (relative incidence [RI], 1.71 [95% confidence interval {CI} 0.0-5.11]). Similarly, no increased risk during 8-21 days after the dose 1 (zero cases observed), dose 2 (RI, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.0-3.28]) or dose 3 (RI, 2.52 [95% CI, 0.78-5.61]). The results were similar for 1-21 day periods after the doses separately or pooled. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of intussusception during the first 21 days after any dose of rotavirus vaccine (Rotavac) was not higher among the Indian infants than the background risk, based on limited SCCS analysis of 52 children. |
Carriage rates and antimicrobial sensitivity of pneumococci in the upper respiratory tract of children less than ten years old, in a north Indian rural community
Kumar S , Purakayastha DR , Kapil A , Saha S , Dawood FS , Das BK , Amarchand R , Kumar R , Lafond KE , Jain S , Krishnan A . PLoS One 2021 16 (2) e0246522 Pneumococcal carriage studies are important for vaccine introduction and treatment strategies. Pneumococcal carriage rates estimated in this cohort study among children in a rural community of northern India. Between August 2012 and August 2014, trained nurses made weekly home visits to screen enrolled children aged <10 years for acute upper or lower respiratory infections (AURI/ALRI) in Ballabgarh, Haryana. Nasal swab from infants aged <1year and throat swab from children aged ≥1 year were collected. All specimens were cultured for pneumococci; isolates were serotyped and subjected to antimicrobial susceptibility testing. During the study period, 4348 nasal/throat swabs collected from children with clinical features of ARI (836 ALRI, 2492 AURI) and from 1020 asymptomatic children. Overall pneumococcal carriage was 5.1%, the highest carriage rate among children <1 year of age (22.6%). The detection rates were higher among children with ARI (5.6%; 95% CI: 4.8-6.4) than asymptomatic children (3.3%; 95% CI: 2.3-4.6). Among 220 pneumococcal isolates, 42 diverse serotypes were identified, with 6B/C (8.6%), 19A (7.2%), 19F (6.8%), 23F (6.4%), 35A/B/C (6.4%), 15B (5%), 14 (4.5%) and 11A/C/D (3.2%) accounting for 50%. Forty-five percent of the serotypes identified are included in the current formulation of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine. Ninety-six percent of isolates were resistant to co-trimoxazole, 9% were resistant to erythromycin, and 10% had intermediate resistance to penicillin with minimum inhibitory concentration ranges (0.125 to 1.5 μg/ml). Pneumococcal detection was relatively low among children in our study community but demonstrated a diverse range of serotypes and half of these serotypes would be covered by the current formulation of 13-valent pneumococcal vaccine. |
What do pregnant women think about influenza disease and vaccination practices in selected countries
Arriola CS , Suntarattiwong P , Dawood FS , Soto G , Das P , Hunt DR , Sinthuwattanawibool C , Kurhe K , Thompson MG , Wesley MG , Saha S , Hombroek D , Brummer T , Kittikraisak W , Kaoiean S , Neyra J , Romero C , Patel A , Bhargav S , Khedikar V , Garg S , Mott JA , Gonzales O , Cabrera S , Florian R , Parvekar S , Tomyabatra K , Prakash A , Tinoco YO . Hum Vaccin Immunother 2021 17 (7) 1-9 Introduction: We evaluated knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP) related to influenza and influenza vaccination among pregnant women in three selected countries. Methods: During 2017, pregnant women seeking antenatal care at hospitals at participating sites were enrolled. We described characteristics and responses to KAP questions. We also evaluated predictors associated with influenza vaccination during pregnancy at sites with substantial influenza vaccine uptake by multivariable logistic regression. Results: Overall, 4,648 pregnant women completed the survey. There were substantial differences among the three survey populations; only 8% of the women in Nagpur had heard of influenza, compared to 90% in Lima and 96% in Bangkok (p-value<0.01). Despite significant differences in sociodemographic characteristics in the three populations, most participants across sites who were aware of influenza prior to study enrollment believe they and their infants are at risk of influenza and related complications and believe influenza vaccination is safe and effective. Half of women in Lima had verified receipt of influenza vaccine compared to <5% in Bangkok and Nagpur (p < .05). For further analysis conducted among women in Lima only, household income above the poverty line (aOR: 1.38; 95%CI: 1.01, 1.88), having 8+ antenatal visits, compared to 0-4 (aOR: 2.41; 95%CI: 1.39, 2.87, respectively), having 0 children, compared to 2+ (aOR: 1.96; 95%CIs: 1.23, 3.12), and vaccination recommended by a health-care provider (aOR: 8.25; 95%CI: 6.11, 11.14) were strongly associated with receipt of influenza vaccine during pregnancy. Conclusions: Our findings identify opportunities for targeted interventions to improve influenza vaccine uptake among pregnant women in these settings. |
Delivering health interventions to women, children, and adolescents in conflict settings: what have we learned from ten country case studies
Singh NS , Ataullahjan A , Ndiaye K , Das JK , Wise PH , Altare C , Ahmed Z , Sami S , Akik C , Tappis H , Mirzazada S , Garcés-Palacio IC , Ghattas H , Langer A , Waldman RJ , Spiegel P , Bhutta ZA , Blanchet K . Lancet 2021 397 (10273) 533-542 Armed conflict disproportionately affects the morbidity, mortality, and wellbeing of women, newborns, children, and adolescents. Our study presents insights from a collection of ten country case studies aiming to assess the provision of sexual, reproductive, maternal, newborn, child, and adolescent health and nutrition interventions in ten conflict-affected settings in Afghanistan, Colombia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mali, Nigeria, Pakistan, Somalia, South Sudan, Syria, and Yemen. We found that despite large variations in contexts and decision making processes, antenatal care, basic emergency obstetric and newborn care, comprehensive emergency obstetric and newborn care, immunisation, treatment of common childhood illnesses, infant and young child feeding, and malnutrition treatment and screening were prioritised in these ten conflict settings. Many lifesaving women's and children's health (WCH) services, including the majority of reproductive, newborn, and adolescent health services, are not reported as being delivered in the ten conflict settings, and interventions to address stillbirths are absent. International donors remain the primary drivers of influencing the what, where, and how of implementing WCH interventions. Interpretation of WCH outcomes in conflict settings are particularly context-dependent given the myriad of complex factors that constitute conflict and their interactions. Moreover, the comprehensiveness and quality of data remain limited in conflict settings. The dynamic nature of modern conflict and the expanding role of non-state armed groups in large geographic areas pose new challenges to delivering WCH services. However, the humanitarian system is creative and pluralistic and has developed some novel solutions to bring lifesaving WCH services closer to populations using new modes of delivery. These solutions, when rigorously evaluated, can represent concrete response to current implementation challenges to modern armed conflicts. |
Performance of symptom-based case definitions to identify influenza virus infection among pregnant women in middle-income countries: findings from the Pregnancy and Influenza Multinational Epidemiologic (PRIME) Study
Wesley MG , Tinoco Y , Patel A , Suntarratiwong P , Hunt D , Sinthuwattanawibool C , Soto G , Kittikraisak W , Das PK , Arriola CS , Hombroek D , Mott J , Kurhe K , Bhargav S , Prakash A , Florian R , Gonzales O , Cabrera S , Llajaruna E , Brummer T , Malek P , Saha S , Garg S , Azziz-Baumgartner E , Thompson MG , Dawood FS . Clin Infect Dis 2020 73 (11) e4321-e4328 BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends case definitions for influenza surveillance that are also used in public health research, though their performance has not been assessed in many risk groups, including pregnant women in whom influenza may manifest differently. We evaluated the performance of symptom-based definitions to detect influenza in a cohort of pregnant women in India, Peru, and Thailand. METHODS: In 2017 and 2018, we contacted 11,277 pregnant women twice weekly during the influenza season to identify illnesses with new or worsened cough, runny nose, sore throat, difficulty breathing or myalgia, and collected data on other symptoms and nasal swabs for influenza rRT-PCR testing. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of each symptom-predictor, WHO respiratory illness case definitions and a de novo definition derived from results of multivariable modelling. RESULTS: Of 5,444 eligible illness episodes among 3,965 participants, 310 (6%) were positive for influenza. In a multivariable model, measured fever ≥38° Celsius (adjusted odds ratio = 4.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.1, 6.8), myalgia (3.0, 95% CI: 2.2, 4.0), cough (2.7, 95% CI: 1.9, 3.9), and chills (1.6, 95% CI: 1.1, 2.4) were independently associated with influenza illness. A definition based on these four (measured fever, cough, chills or myalgia), was 95% sensitive and 27% specific. The WHO influenza-like illness (ILI) definition was 16% sensitive and 98% specific. CONCLUSIONS: The current WHO ILI case definition was highly specific but had low sensitivity. The intended use of case definitions should be considered when evaluating the tradeoff between sensitivity and specificity. |
The Fire and Tree Mortality Database, for empirical modeling of individual tree mortality after fire
Cansler CA , Hood SM , Varner JM , van Mantgem PJ , Agne MC , Andrus RA , Ayres MP , Ayres BD , Bakker JD , Battaglia MA , Bentz BJ , Breece CR , Brown JK , Cluck DR , Coleman TW , Corace RG3rd , Covington WW , Cram DS , Cronan JB , Crouse JE , Das AJ , Davis RS , Dickinson DM , Fitzgerald SA , Fule PZ , Ganio LM , Grayson LM , Halpern CB , Hanula JL , Harvey BJ , Kevin Hiers J , Huffman DW , Keifer M , Keyser TL , Kobziar LN , Kolb TE , Kolden CA , Kopper KE , Kreitler JR , Kreye JK , Latimer AM , Lerch AP , Lombardero MJ , McDaniel VL , McHugh CW , McMillin JD , Moghaddas JJ , O'Brien JJ , Perrakis DDB , Peterson DW , Prichard SJ , Progar RA , Raffa KF , Reinhardt ED , Restaino JC , Roccaforte JP , Rogers BM , Ryan KC , Safford HD , Santoro AE , Shearman TM , Shumate AM , Sieg CH , Smith SL , Smith RJ , Stephenson NL , Stuever M , Stevens JT , Stoddard MT , Thies WG , Vaillant NM , Weiss SA , Westlind DJ , Woolley TJ , Wright MC . Sci Data 2020 7 (1) 194 Wildland fires have a multitude of ecological effects in forests, woodlands, and savannas across the globe. A major focus of past research has been on tree mortality from fire, as trees provide a vast range of biological services. We assembled a database of individual-tree records from prescribed fires and wildfires in the United States. The Fire and Tree Mortality (FTM) database includes records from 164,293 individual trees with records of fire injury (crown scorch, bole char, etc.), tree diameter, and either mortality or top-kill up to ten years post-fire. Data span 142 species and 62 genera, from 409 fires occurring from 1981-2016. Additional variables such as insect attack are included when available. The FTM database can be used to evaluate individual fire-caused mortality models for pre-fire planning and post-fire decision support, to develop improved models, and to explore general patterns of individual fire-induced tree death. The database can also be used to identify knowledge gaps that could be addressed in future research. |
Early-onset neonatal sepsis 2015 to 2017, the rise of Escherichia coli, and the need for novel prevention strategies
Stoll BJ , Puopolo KM , Hansen NI , Sanchez PJ , Bell EF , Carlo WA , Cotten CM , D'Angio CT , Kazzi SNJ , Poindexter BB , Van Meurs KP , Hale EC , Collins MV , Das A , Baker CJ , Wyckoff MH , Yoder BA , Watterberg KL , Walsh MC , Devaskar U , Laptook AR , Sokol GM , Schrag SJ , Higgins RD . JAMA Pediatr 2020 174 (7) e200593 Importance: Early-onset sepsis (EOS) remains a potentially fatal newborn condition. Ongoing surveillance is critical to optimize prevention and treatment strategies. Objective: To describe the current incidence, microbiology, morbidity, and mortality of EOS among a cohort of term and preterm infants. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective surveillance study included a cohort of infants born at a gestational age (GA) of at least 22 weeks and birth weight of greater than 400 g from 18 centers of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Neonatal Research Network from April 1, 2015, to March 31, 2017. Data were analyzed from June 14, 2019, to January 28, 2020. Main Outcomes and Measures: Early-onset sepsis defined by isolation of pathogenic species from blood or cerebrospinal fluid culture within 72 hours of birth and antibiotic treatment for at least 5 days or until death. Results: A total of 235 EOS cases (127 male [54.0%]) were identified among 217480 newborns (1.08 [95% CI, 0.95-1.23] cases per 1000 live births). Incidence varied significantly by GA and was highest among infants with a GA of 22 to 28 weeks (18.47 [95% CI, 14.57-23.38] cases per 1000). No significant differences in EOS incidence were observed by sex, race, or ethnicity. The most frequent pathogens were Escherichia coli (86 [36.6%]) and group B streptococcus (GBS; 71 [30.2%]). E coli disease primarily occurred among preterm infants (68 of 131 [51.9%]); GBS disease primarily occurred among term infants (54 of 104 [51.9%]), with 24 of 45 GBS cases (53.3%) seen in infants born to mothers with negative GBS screening test results. Intrapartum antibiotics were administered to 162 mothers (68.9%; 110 of 131 [84.0%] preterm and 52 of 104 [50.0%] term), most commonly for suspected chorioamnionitis. Neonatal empirical antibiotic treatment most frequently included ampicillin and gentamicin. All GBS isolates were tested, but only 18 of 81 (22.2%) E coli isolates tested were susceptible to ampicillin; 6 of 77 E coli isolates (7.8%) were resistant to both ampicillin and gentamicin. Nearly all newborns with EOS (220 of 235 [93.6%]) displayed signs of illness within 72 hours of birth. Death occurred in 38 of 131 infected infants with GA of less than 37 weeks (29.0%); no term infants died. Compared with earlier surveillance (2006-2009), the rate of E coli infection increased among very low-birth-weight (401-1500 g) infants (8.68 [95% CI, 6.50-11.60] vs 5.07 [95% CI, 3.93-6.53] per 1000 live births; P = .008). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, EOS incidence and associated mortality disproportionately occurred in preterm infants. Contemporary cases have demonstrated the limitations of current GBS prevention strategies. The increase in E coli infections among very low-birth-weight infants warrants continued study. Ampicillin and gentamicin remained effective antibiotics in most cases, but ongoing surveillance should monitor antibiotic susceptibilities of EOS pathogens. |
Anti-PfGARP activates programmed cell death of parasites and reduces severe malaria.
Raj DK , Das Mohapatra A , Jnawali A , Zuromski J , Jha A , Cham-Kpu G , Sherman B , Rudlaff RM , Nixon CE , Hilton N , Oleinikov AV , Chesnokov O , Merritt J , Pond-Tor S , Burns L , Jolly G , Ben Mamoun C , Kabyemela E , Muehlenbachs A , Lambert L , Orr-Gonzalez S , Gnadig NF , Fidock DA , Park S , Dvorin JD , Pardi N , Weissman D , Mui BL , Tam YK , Friedman JF , Fried M , Duffy PE , Kurtis JD . Nature 2020 582 (7810) 104-108 Malaria caused by Plasmodium falciparum remains the leading single-agent cause of mortality in children1, yet the promise of an effective vaccine has not been fulfilled. Here, using our previously described differential screening method to analyse the proteome of blood-stage P. falciparum parasites2, we identify P. falciparum glutamic-acid-rich protein (PfGARP) as a parasite antigen that is recognized by antibodies in the plasma of children who are relatively resistant—but not those who are susceptible—to malaria caused by P. falciparum. PfGARP is a parasite antigen of 80 kDa that is expressed on the exofacial surface of erythrocytes infected by early-to-late-trophozoite-stage parasites. We demonstrate that antibodies against PfGARP kill trophozoite-infected erythrocytes in culture by inducing programmed cell death in the parasites, and that vaccinating non-human primates with PfGARP partially protects against a challenge with P. falciparum. Furthermore, our longitudinal cohort studies showed that, compared to individuals who had naturally occurring anti-PfGARP antibodies, Tanzanian children without anti-PfGARP antibodies had a 2.5-fold-higher risk of severe malaria and Kenyan adolescents and adults without these antibodies had a twofold-higher parasite density. By killing trophozoite-infected erythrocytes, PfGARP could synergize with other vaccines that target parasite invasion of hepatocytes or the invasion of and egress from erythrocytes. |
Leprosy post-exposure prophylaxis with single-dose rifampicin: Toolkit for implementation
Barth-Jaeggi T , Cavaliero A , Aerts A , Anand S , Arif M , Ay SS , Aye TM , Banstola NL , Baskota R , Blaney D , Bonenberger M , Van Brakel W , Cross H , Das VK , Budiawan T , Fernando N , Gani Z , Greter H , Ignotti E , Kamara D , Kasang C , Komm B , Kumar A , Lay S , Mieras L , Mirza F , Mutayoba B , Njako B , Pakasi T , Richardus JH , Saunderson P , Smith CS , Staheli R , Suriyarachchi N , Shwe T , Tiwari A , Wijesinghe MSD , Van Berkel J , Plaetse BV , Virmond M , Steinmann P . Lepr Rev 2019 90 (4) 356-363 Objective: Leprosy post-exposure prophylaxis with single-dose rifampicin (SDRPEP) has proven effective and feasible, and is recommended by WHO since 2018. This SDR-PEP toolkit was developed through the experience of the leprosy postexposure prophylaxis (LPEP) programme. It has been designed to facilitate and standardise the implementation of contact tracing and SDR-PEP administration in regions and countries that start the intervention. Result(s): Four tools were developed, incorporating the current evidence for SDRPEP and the methods and learnings from the LPEP project in eight countries. (1) the SDR-PEP policy/advocacy PowerPoint slide deck which will help to inform policy makers about the evidence, practicalities and resources needed for SDR-PEP, (2) the SDR-PEP field implementation training PowerPoint slide deck to be used to train front line staff to implement contact tracing and PEP with SDR, (3) the SDR-PEP generic field guide which can be used as a basis to create a location specific field protocol for contact tracing and SDR-PEP serving as a reference for frontline field staff. Finally, (4) the SDR-PEP toolkit guide, summarising the different components of the toolkit and providing instructions on its optimal use. Conclusion(s): In response to interest expressed by countries to implement contact tracing and leprosy PEP with SDR in the light of the WHO recommendation of SDRPEP, this evidence-based, concrete yet flexible toolkit has been designed to serve national leprosy programme managers and support them with the practical means to translate policy into practice. The toolkit is freely accessible on the Infolep homepages and updated as required: https://www.leprosy-information.org/keytopic/leprosy-postexposure-prophylaxis-lpep-programme. |
Diarrhoeal disease and subsequent risk of death in infants and children residing in low-income and middle-income countries: analysis of the GEMS case-control study and 12-month GEMS-1A follow-on study
Levine MM , Nasrin D , Acacio S , Bassat Q , Powell H , Tennant SM , Sow SO , Sur D , Zaidi AKM , Faruque ASG , Hossain MJ , Alonso PL , Breiman RF , O'Reilly CE , Mintz ED , Omore R , Ochieng JB , Oundo JO , Tamboura B , Sanogo D , Onwuchekwa U , Manna B , Ramamurthy T , Kanungo S , Ahmed S , Qureshi S , Quadri F , Hossain A , Das SK , Antonio M , Saha D , Mandomando I , Blackwelder WC , Farag T , Wu Y , Houpt ER , Verweiij JJ , Sommerfelt H , Nataro JP , Robins-Browne RM , Kotloff KL . Lancet Glob Health 2019 8 (2) e204-e214 BACKGROUND: The Global Enteric Multicenter Study (GEMS) was a 3-year case-control study that measured the burden, aetiology, and consequences of moderate-to-severe diarrhoea (MSD) in children aged 0-59 months. GEMS-1A, a 12-month follow-on study, comprised two parallel case-control studies, one assessing MSD and the other less-severe diarrhoea (LSD). In this report, we analyse the risk of death with each diarrhoea type and the specific pathogens associated with fatal outcomes. METHODS: GEMS was a prospective, age-stratified, matched case-control study done at seven sites in Africa and Asia. Children aged 0-59 months with MSD seeking care at sentinel health centres were recruited along with one to three randomly selected matched community control children without diarrhoea. In the 12-month GEMS-1A follow-on study, children with LSD and matched controls, in addition to children with MSD and matched controls, were recruited at six of the seven sites; only cases of MSD and controls were enrolled at the seventh site. We compared risk of death during the period between enrolment and one follow-up household visit done about 60 days later (range 50-90 days) in children with MSD and LSD and in their respective controls. Approximately 50 pathogens were detected using, as appropriate, classic bacteriology, immunoassays, gel-based PCR and reverse transcriptase PCR, and quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR). Specimens from a subset of GEMS cases and controls were also tested by a TaqMan Array Card that compartmentalised probe-based qPCR for 32 enteropathogens. FINDINGS: 223 (2.0%) of 11 108 children with MSD and 43 (0.3%) of 16 369 matched controls died between study enrolment and the follow-up visit at about 60 days (hazard ratio [HR] 8.16, 95% CI 5.69-11.68, p<0.0001). 12 (0.4%) of 2962 children with LSD and seven (0.2%) of 4074 matched controls died during the follow-up period (HR 2.78, 95% CI 0.95-8.11, p=0.061). Risk of death was lower in children with dysenteric MSD than in children with non-dysenteric MSD (HR 0.20, 95% CI 0.05-0.87, p=0.032), and lower in children with LSD than in those with non-dysenteric MSD (HR 0.29, 0.14-0.59, p=0.0006). In children younger than 24 months with MSD, infection with typical enteropathogenic Escherichia coli, enterotoxigenic E coli encoding heat-stable toxin, enteroaggregative E coli, Shigella spp (non-dysentery cases), Aeromonas spp, Cryptosporidium spp, and Entamoeba histolytica increased risk of death. Of 61 deaths in children aged 12-59 months with non-dysenteric MSD, 31 occurred among 942 children qPCR-positive for Shigella spp and 30 deaths occurred in 1384 qPCR-negative children (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.2-3.9, p=0.0090), showing that Shigella was strongly associated with increased risk of death. INTERPRETATION: Risk of death is increased following MSD and, to a lesser extent, LSD. Considering there are approximately three times more cases of LSD than MSD in the population, more deaths are expected among children with LSD than in those with MSD. Because the major attributable LSD-associated and MSD-associated pathogens are the same, implementing vaccines and rapid diagnosis and treatment interventions against these major pathogens are rational investments. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
Neonatal seizures: Case definition & guidelines for data collection, analysis, and presentation of immunization safety data
Pellegrin S , Munoz FM , Padula M , Heath PT , Meller L , Top K , Wilmshurst J , Wiznitzer M , Das MK , Hahn CD , Kucuku M , Oleske J , Vinayan KP , Yozawitz E , Aneja S , Bhat N , Boylan G , Sesay S , Shrestha A , Soul JS , Tagbo B , Joshi J , Soe A , Maltezou HC , Gidudu J , Kochhar S , Pressler RM . Vaccine 2019 37 (52) 7596-7609 Seizures are the most common neurological emergency in newborns and can be associated with significant mortality and neuro-developmental disability. Neonatal seizures are a major challenge for clinicians because of inconspicuous clinical presentation, variable electro-clinical correlation, and poor response to antiseizure drugs. It is well recognized that fever and infection can trigger seizures in young children and that this risk is enhanced in children with epilepsy. As immunization may cause a fever, vaccination can be a non-specific trigger for seizures in children [1]. On the other hand, children with epilepsy do not appear to be at increased risk of seizures following immunization [2]. It is unclear whether vaccination in newborns or maternal vaccination, is associated with a higher risk of neonatal seizures. However, as maternal immunization with established vaccines becomes more prevalent across multiple geographies, and new maternal vaccine candidates enter late-stage development, it is becoming increasingly important to create easily adopted standard definitions for adverse events potentially associated with these interventions. The Brighton Collaboration has previously published a case definition for seizures in children [3] but not for seizures in neonates. |
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