Last data update: Mar 21, 2025. (Total: 48935 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 62 Records) |
Query Trace: Zucker J[original query] |
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Modeling the impact of vaccine dose prioritization strategies during the 2022 Mpox Outbreak
Clay PA , Pollock ED , Saldarriaga EM , Pathela P , Macaraig M , Zucker JR , Crouch B , Kracalik I , Spicknall IH . Am J Epidemiol 2025 Early in the 2022 mpox outbreak, the U.S. recommendation was to administer two doses of the JYNNEOS® vaccine 4 weeks apart. However, because of limited vaccine supply, New York City (NYC) prioritized single dose vaccination. We estimated mpox cases averted by this strategy compared to strategies that prioritized 2-dose vaccination for a smaller portion of the population. We fit a network transmission model to incident mpox cases in NYC. Model output consisted of predicted cases over time when vaccine doses were administered with the 'first-dose priority' strategy, compared with counterfactual simulations where doses were administered to those eligible for a second dose ahead of those waiting for a first dose ('intermediate' strategy), or where individuals were pre-allocated full courses of the vaccine ('second-dose priority' strategy). We estimate that NYC's strategy averted 66% [IQR:47%-78%] of potential mpox cases compared to no vaccination. This 'first-dose priority' strategy averted 0.6% [IQR:-11%-9.8%] more cases than the 'intermediate' strategy, and 17% [IQR:2.9%-38%] more cases than the 'second-dose priority' strategy. Thus, for the 2022 mpox outbreak in NYC, pre-allocating vaccine doses to ensure full vaccination in a high-priority subset of the population would have increased the size of the outbreak. |
Notes from the field: Trichophyton mentagrophytes genotype VII - New York City, April-July 2024
Zucker J , Caplan AS , Gunaratne SH , Gallitano SM , Zampella JG , Otto C , Sally R , Chaturvedi S , O'Brien B , Todd GC , Anand P , Quilter LAS , Smith DJ , Chiller T , Lockhart SR , Lyman M , Pathela P , Gold JAW . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (43) 985-988 ![]() |
Antimicrobial resistance at a crossroads: the cost of inaction
Craig M , Jernigan D , Laserson K , McBride S , Fairbanks J , Sievert D , Armstrong PA , Ewing Ogle H , Zucker H . Lancet 2024 |
Effect of childcare influenza vaccine requirement on vaccination rates, New York City, 2012-2020
Metroka AE , Papadouka V , Ternier A , Cheng I , Zucker JR . Public Health Rep 2024 333549241260166 OBJECTIVES: In 2014, New York City initiated a childcare influenza vaccine requirement to increase influenza vaccination rates among children aged 6-59 months attending city-regulated childcare, including prekindergarten. We evaluated the requirement's effect on vaccination rates in childcare-aged children in New York City. METHODS: We examined influenza vaccination rates in children aged 6-59 months and by age groups of 1, 2, 3, and 4 years for 8 influenza seasons (2012-2013 through 2019-2020), representing 2 seasons before the requirement, 2 seasons during the requirement, 2 seasons after its suspension, and 2 seasons after its reinstatement. We also assessed rates in a comparison group of children aged 5-8 years. We performed a difference-in-differences analysis to compare rate differences in age groups when the requirement was and was not in effect. We considered P < .05 as significant based on the Wald χ(2) test. RESULTS: Influenza vaccination rates among children aged 6-59 months increased 3.7 percentage points (from 47.7% to 51.4%) by the requirement's second year and declined 6.7 percentage points to 44.7% after suspension. After reinstatement, rates increased 10.7 percentage points to 55.4%. Rate changes were most pronounced among 4-year-olds, increasing 12.7 percentage points (from 45.3% to 58.0%) by the requirement's second year, declining 14.1 percentage points to 43.9% after suspension, and increasing 22.2 percentage points to 66.1% after reinstatement. In the comparison group, rates increased 4.9 percentage points (from 36.5% to 41.4%) after reinstatement. Rates increased significantly among 4-year-olds before versus at the initial requirement and decreased significantly after suspension. After reinstatement, rates increased significantly among all groups except 1-year-olds. CONCLUSION: The New York City influenza vaccine requirement improved influenza vaccination rates among preschool-aged children, adding to the evidence base showing that vaccine requirements raise vaccination rates. |
Development and pilot of an Mpox severity scoring system (MPOX-SSS)
Zucker J , McLean J , Huang S , DeLaurentis C , Gunaratne S , Stoeckle K , Glesby MJ , Wilkin TJ , Fischer W , Damon I , Brooks JT . J Infect Dis 2024 229 S229-s233 Clinical severity scores facilitate comparisons to understand risk factors for severe illness. For the 2022 multinational monkeypox clade IIb virus outbreak, we developed a 7-item Mpox Severity Scoring System (MPOX-SSS) with initial variables refined by data availability and parameter correlation. Application of MPOX-SSS to the first 200 patients diagnosed with mpox revealed higher scores in those treated with tecovirimat, presenting >3 days after symptom onset, and with CD4 counts <200 cells/mm3. For individuals evaluated repeatedly, serial scores were concordant with clinical observations. The pilot MPOX-SSS demonstrated good discrimination, distinguished change over time, and identified higher scores in expected groups. |
JYNNEOS™ effectiveness as post-exposure prophylaxis against Mpox: Challenges using real-world outbreak data
Rosen JB , Arciuolo RJ , Pathela P , Boyer CB , Baumgartner J , Latash J , Malec L , Lee EH , Reddy V , King R , Edward Real J , Lipsitch M , Zucker JR . Vaccine 2024 BACKGROUND: JYNNEOS(TM) vaccine has been used as post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) during a mpox outbreak in New York City (NYC). Data on effectiveness are limited. METHODS: Effectiveness of a single dose of JYNNEOS(TM) vaccine administered subcutaneously ≤ 14 days as PEP for preventing mpox disease was assessed among individuals exposed to case-patients from May 22, 2022-August 24, 2022. Individuals were evaluated for mpox through 21 days post-exposure. An observational study was conducted emulating a sequence of nested "target" randomized trials starting each day after exposure. Results were adjusted for exposure risk and race/ethnicity. Analyses were conducted separately based on last (PEP(L)) and first (PEP(F)) exposure date. We evaluated the potential to overestimate PEP effectiveness when using conventional analytic methods due to exposed individuals developing illness before they can obtain PEP (immortal time bias) compared to the target trial. RESULTS: Median time from last exposure to symptom onset (incubation period) among cases that did not receive PEP(L) was 7 days (range 1-16). Time to PEP(L) receipt was 7 days (range 0-14). Among 549 individuals, adjusted PEP(L) and PEP(F) effectiveness was 19 % (95 % Confidence Interval [CI], -54 % to 57 %) and -7% (95 % CI, -144 % to 53 %) using the target trial emulation, respectively, and 78 % (95 % CI, 50 % to 91 %) and 73 % (95 % CI, 31 % to 91 %) using conventional analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Determining PEP effectiveness using real-world data during an outbreak is challenging. Time to PEP in NYC coupled with the observed incubation period resulted in overestimated PEP effectiveness using a conventional method. The target trial emulation, while yielding wide confidence intervals due to small sample size, avoided immortal time bias. While results from these evaluations cannot be used as reliable estimates of PEP effectiveness, we present important methodologic considerations for future evaluations. |
Modeling undetected poliovirus circulation following the 2022 outbreak in the United States
Kalkowska DA , Badizadegan K , Routh JA , Burns CC , Rosenberg ES , Brenner IR , Zucker JR , Langdon-Embry M , Thompson KM . Expert Rev Vaccines 2024 23 (1) 186-195 BACKGROUND: New York State (NYS) reported a polio case (June 2022) and outbreak of imported type 2 circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV2) (last positive wastewater detection in February 2023), for which uncertainty remains about potential ongoing undetected transmission. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Extending a prior deterministic model, we apply an established stochastic modeling approach to characterize the confidence about no circulation (CNC) of cVDPV2 as a function of time since the last detected signal of transmission (i.e. poliovirus positive acute flaccid myelitis case or wastewater sample). RESULTS: With the surveillance coverage for the NYS population majority and its focus on outbreak counties, modeling suggests a high CNC (95%) within 3-10 months of the last positive surveillance signal, depending on surveillance sensitivity and population mixing patterns. Uncertainty about surveillance sensitivity implies longer durations required to achieve higher CNC. CONCLUSIONS: In populations that maintain high immunization coverage with inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV), rare polio cases may occur in un(der)-vaccinated individuals. Modeling demonstrates the unlikeliness of such outbreaks reestablishing endemic transmission or resulting in large absolute numbers of paralytic cases. Achieving and maintaining high immunization coverage with IPV remains the most effective measure to prevent outbreaks and shorten the duration of imported poliovirus transmission. |
Prolonged Mpox disease in people with advanced HIV: characterization of Mpox skin lesions
O'Shea J , Zucker J , Stampfer S , Cash-Goldwasser S , Minhaj FS , Dretler A , Cheeley J , Chaudhuri S , Gallitano SM , Gunaratne S , Parkinson M , Epling B , Morcock DR , Sereti I , Deleage C . J Infect Dis 2023 We report three complicated and prolonged cases of mpox in people with advanced HIV not on antiretroviral therapy (ART) at mpox diagnosis. Multiple medical countermeasures were used, including prolonged tecovirimat treatment and immune optimization with ART initiation. Immunofluorescence of skin biopsies demonstrated a dense immune infiltrate of predominantly myeloid and CD8+ T-cells, with a strong type-I interferon local response. RNAscope detected abundant replication of monkeypox virus (MPXV) in epithelial cells and dendritic cells. These data suggest that prolonged mpox in people with advanced HIV may be due to ongoing MPXV replication, warranting aggressive medical countermeasures and immune optimization. |
Modeling poliovirus transmission and responses in New York State
Thompson KM , Kalkowska DA , Routh JA , Brenner IR , Rosenberg ES , Zucker JR , Langdon-Embry M , Sugerman DE , Burns CC , Badizadegan K . J Infect Dis 2023 BACKGROUND: In July 2022, New York State (NYS) reported a case of paralytic polio in an unvaccinated young adult, and subsequent wastewater surveillance confirmed sustained local transmission of type 2 vaccine-derived poliovirus (VDPV2) in NYS with genetic linkage to the paralyzed patient. METHODS: We adapted an established poliovirus transmission and oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) evolution model to characterize dynamics of poliovirus transmission in NYS, including consideration of the immunization activities performed as part of the declared state of emergency. RESULTS: Despite sustained transmission of imported VDPV2 in NYS involving potentially thousands of individuals (depending on seasonality, population structure and mixing assumptions) in 2022, the expected number of additional paralytic cases in years 2023 and beyond is small (less than 0.5). However, continued transmission and/or reintroduction of poliovirus into NYS and other populations remains a possible risk in communities that do not achieve and maintain high immunization coverage. CONCLUSION: In countries such as the US that use only inactivated poliovirus vaccine, even with high average immunization coverage, imported polioviruses may circulate and pose a small but non-zero risk of causing paralysis in non-immune individuals. |
Reduced Odds of SARS-CoV-2 Reinfection after Vaccination among New York City Adults, June-August 2021 (preprint)
Levin-Rector A , Firestein L , McGibbon E , Sell J , Lim S , Lee EH , Weiss D , Geevarughese A , Zucker JR , Greene SK . medRxiv 2021 11 Background Belief in immunity from prior infection and concern that vaccines might not protect against new variants are contributors to vaccine hesitancy. We assessed effectiveness of full and partial COVID-19 vaccination against reinfection when Delta was the predominant variant in New York City. Methods We conducted a case-control study in which case-patients with reinfection during June 15-August 31, 2021 and control subjects with no reinfection were matched (1:3) on age, sex, timing of initial positive test in 2020, and neighborhood poverty level. Conditional logistic regression was used to calculate matched odds ratios (mOR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results Of 349,598 adult residents who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection in 2020, did not test positive again >90 days after initial positive test through June 15, 2021, and did not die before June 15, 2021, 1,067 were reinfected during June 15-August 31, 2021. Of 1,048 with complete matching criteria data, 499 (47.6%) were known to be symptomatic for COVID-19-like-illness, and 75 (7.2%) were hospitalized. Unvaccinated individuals, compared with fully vaccinated individuals, had elevated odds of reinfection (mOR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.90, 2.61), of symptomatic reinfection (mOR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.72, 2.74), and of reinfection with hospitalization (mOR, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.43, 4.69). Partially versus fully vaccinated individuals had 1.58 (95% CI: 1.22, 2.06) times the odds of reinfection. All three vaccines authorized or approved for use in the U.S. were similarly effective. Conclusion Among adults with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, vaccination reduced odds of reinfections when the Delta variant predominated. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
Neurological diagnoses in hospitalized COVID-19 patients during the B.1.1.529 surge
Kim CY , Sardar Z , Ayele BA , Fleck-Derderian S , Barrett CE , Sun Y , Clague M , Hurst HA , Boruah A , Zucker J , Maddox R , Sejvar J , Thakur KT . Ann Clin Transl Neurol 2023 10 (8) 1433-1441 ![]() OBJECTIVE: Emerging variants and sublineages of SARS-CoV-2 have differing disease severity, transmissibility, and immune evasion. The neurological conditions associated with the original strain of SARS-CoV-2 are well established. Our study assessed the neurological presentations specific to hospitalized patients during the B.1.1.529 (Omicron) variant surge in New York City. METHODS: A total of 178 cases with positive RT-PCR result within 6 weeks before admission, and subsequent development of select neurological conditions during the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.529 (Omicron) surge between December 1, 2021 and February 28, 2022, were included from 12,800 SARS-CoV-2-positive hospital admissions. Clinical data from acute hospitalizations were compared to findings of inpatient neurological cases with COVID-19 infections from the initial surge in NYC in the same hospital system. RESULTS: Compared to SARS-CoV-2 infections of the original strain, COVID-19 cases hospitalized during the Omicron surge (B.1.1.529) were associated with incidental and/or asymptomatic COVID-19 cases (96, 53.9%) and an increased incidence of pre-existing neurological and immunocompromising conditions. Encephalopathy, seizures, and stroke remained the most prevalent neurological conditions identified in hospitalized COVID-19 cases during the study period, reflecting a similar distribution of neurological presentations associated with the original strain. INTERPRETATION: In our cohort of 178 admitted SARS-CoV-2-positive patients with select neurological conditions during the Omicron B.1.1.529 surge, 54% of COVID-19 cases were considered incidental and/or asymptomatic, and the identified neurological conditions resembled those associated with the original SARS-CoV-2 strain. Further studies characterizing neurological presentation in Omicron sublineages and other variants are warranted in an ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. |
Notes from the field: Posttreatment lesions after tecovirimat treatment for mpox - New York City, August-September 2022
Seifu L , Garcia E , McPherson TD , Lash M , Alroy KA , Foote M , Lee EH , Kwong J , Radix A , Riska P , Zucker J , Zuercher S , Wong M . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (17) 471-472 Monkeypox virus is an orthopoxvirus that can cause substantial morbidity due to skin and mucosal lesions (1). During the 2022 multinational Monkeypox (mpox) outbreak, tecovirimat, an antiviral medication approved for the treatment of smallpox, was used as an investigational treatment for severe mpox. However, efficacy and optimal treatment duration are still being investigated (1,2). In a late 2022 assessment of the use of tecovirimat for treatment of mpox under the expanded access Investigational New Drug protocol, three patients were found to have developed new lesions after completing treatment (3). This report describes a series of patients in New York City (NYC) with mpox who also developed new lesions after completing tecovirimat treatment, suggesting that posttreatment lesions might occur more commonly than previously reported. | | A case of posttreatment mpox lesions was defined as the occurrence of new skin or mucosal lesions in an NYC resident with probable or confirmed mpox (4), emerging ≤30 days after completing the recommended 14-day tecovirimat treatment course, after improvement or resolution of initial mpox lesions. During August–September 2022, health care providers voluntarily reported 10 such cases to the NYC Department of Health and Mental Hygiene (DOHMH). Providers were asked to complete a survey detailing patient demographic and clinical characteristics and illness course. Descriptive analyses were performed on the nine surveys submitted. |
Increases in COVID-19 vaccination among NYC municipal employees after implementation of vaccination requirements
Rubenstein BL , Amiel PJ , Ternier A , Helmy H , Lim S , Chokshi DA , Zucker JR . Health Aff (Millwood) 2023 42 (3) 357-365 In July 2021 New York City (NYC) instituted a requirement for all municipal employees to be vaccinated against COVID-19 or undergo weekly testing. The city eliminated the testing option November 1 of that year. We used general linear regression to compare changes in weekly primary vaccination series completion among NYC municipal employees ages 18-64 living in the city and a comparison group of all other NYC residents in this age group during May-December 2021. The rate of change in vaccination prevalence among NYC municipal employees was greater than that of the comparison group only after the testing option was eliminated (employee slope = 12.0; comparison slope = 5.3). Among racial and ethnic groups, the rate of change in vaccination prevalence among municipal employees was higher than the comparison group for Black and White people. The requirements were associated with narrowing the gap in vaccination prevalence between municipal employees and the comparison group overall and between Black municipal employees and employees from other racial and ethnic groups. Workplace requirements are a promising strategy for increasing vaccination among adults and reducing racial and ethnic disparities in vaccination uptake. |
Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection among long-term care facility staff with and without prior infection in New York City, January-June 2021.
Peebles K , Arciuolo RJ , Romano AS , Sell J , Greene SK , Lim S , Mulready-Ward C , Ternier A , Badenhop B , Blaney K , Real JE , Spencer M , McPherson TD , Ahuja SD , Sullivan Meissner J , Zucker JR , Rosen JB . J Infect Dis 2023 227 (4) 533-542 ![]() ![]() BACKGROUND: Evidence is accumulating of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine effectiveness among persons with prior severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. METHODS: We evaluated the effect against incident SARS-CoV-2 infection of (1) prior infection without vaccination, (2) vaccination (2 doses of Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine) without prior infection, and (3) vaccination after prior infection, all compared with unvaccinated persons without prior infection. We included long-term care facility staff in New York City aged <65 years with weekly SARS-CoV-2 testing from 21 January to 5 June 2021. Test results were obtained from state-mandated laboratory reporting. Vaccination status was obtained from the Citywide Immunization Registry. Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for confounding with inverse probability of treatment weights. RESULTS: Compared with unvaccinated persons without prior infection, incident SARS-CoV-2 infection risk was lower in all groups: 54.6% (95% confidence interval, 38.0%-66.8%) lower among unvaccinated, previously infected persons; 80.0% (67.6%-87.7%) lower among fully vaccinated persons without prior infection; and 82.4% (70.8%-89.3%) lower among persons fully vaccinated after prior infection. CONCLUSIONS: Two doses of Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine reduced SARS-CoV-2 infection risk by ≥80% and, for those with prior infection, increased protection from prior infection alone. These findings support recommendations that all eligible persons, regardless of prior infection, be vaccinated against COVID-19. |
Wastewater Testing and Detection of Poliovirus Type 2 Genetically Linked to Virus Isolated from a Paralytic Polio Case - New York, March 9-October 11, 2022.
Ryerson AB , Lang D , Alazawi MA , Neyra M , Hill DT , St George K , Fuschino M , Lutterloh E , Backenson B , Rulli S , Ruppert PS , Lawler J , McGraw N , Knecht A , Gelman I , Zucker JR , Omoregie E , Kidd S , Sugerman DE , Jorba J , Gerloff N , Ng TFF , Lopez A , Masters NB , Leung J , Burns CC , Routh J , Bialek SR , Oberste MS , Rosenberg ES . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (44) 1418-1424 ![]() In July 2022, a case of paralytic poliomyelitis resulting from infection with vaccine-derived poliovirus (VDPV) type 2 (VDPV2)(§) was confirmed in an unvaccinated adult resident of Rockland County, New York (1). As of August 10, 2022, poliovirus type 2 (PV2)(¶) genetically linked to this VDPV2 had been detected in wastewater** in Rockland County and neighboring Orange County (1). This report describes the results of additional poliovirus testing of wastewater samples collected during March 9-October 11, 2022, and tested as of October 20, 2022, from 48 sewersheds (the community area served by a wastewater collection system) serving parts of Rockland County and 12 surrounding counties. Among 1,076 wastewater samples collected, 89 (8.3%) from 10 sewersheds tested positive for PV2. As part of a broad epidemiologic investigation, wastewater testing can provide information about where poliovirus might be circulating in a community in which a paralytic case has been identified; however, the most important public health actions for preventing paralytic poliomyelitis in the United States remain ongoing case detection through national acute flaccid myelitis (AFM) surveillance(††) and improving vaccination coverage in undervaccinated communities. Although most persons in the United States are sufficiently immunized, unvaccinated or undervaccinated persons living or working in Kings, Orange, Queens, Rockland, or Sullivan counties, New York should complete the polio vaccination series as soon as possible. |
Risk Factors for New Neurologic Diagnoses in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19: A Case-Control Study in New York City.
Thakur KT , Chu VT , Hughes C , Kim CY , Fleck-Derderian S , Barrett CE , Matthews E , Balbi A , Bilski A , Chomba M , Lieberman O , Jacobson SD , Agarwal S , Roh D , Park S , Ssonko V , Silver WG , Vargas WD , Geneslaw A , Bell M , Waters B , Rao A , Claassen J , Boehme A , Willey JZ , Elkind MSV , Sobieszczyk ME , Zucker J , McCollum A , Sejvar J . Neurol Clin Pract 2022 12 (4) E66-E74 Background and ObjectivesThere have been numerous reports of neurologic manifestations identified in hospitalized patients infected with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. Here, we identify the spectrum of associated neurologic symptoms and diagnoses, define the time course of their development, and examine readmission rates and mortality risk posthospitalization in a multiethnic urban cohort.MethodsWe identify the occurrence of new neurologic diagnoses among patients with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in New York City. A retrospective cohort study was performed on 532 cases (hospitalized patients with new neurologic diagnoses within 6 weeks of positive SARS-CoV-2 laboratory results between March 1, 2020, and August 31, 2020). We compare demographic and clinical features of the 532 cases with 532 controls (hospitalized COVID-19 patients without neurologic diagnoses) in a case-control study with one-to-one matching and examine hospital-related data and outcomes of death and readmission up to 6 months after acute hospitalization in a secondary case-only analysis.ResultsAmong the 532 cases, the most common new neurologic diagnoses included encephalopathy (478, 89.8%), stroke (66, 12.4%), and seizures (38, 7.1%). In the case-control study, cases were more likely than controls to be male (58.6% vs 52.8%, p = 0.05), had baseline neurologic comorbidities (36.3% vs 13.0%, p < 0.0001), and were to be treated in an intensive care unit (62.0% vs 9.6%, p < 0.0001). Of the 394 (74.1%) cases who survived acute hospitalization, more than half (220 of 394, 55.8%) were readmitted within 6 months, with a mortality rate of 23.2% during readmission.DiscussionHospitalized patients with SARS-CoV-2 and new neurologic diagnoses have significant morbidity and mortality postdischarge. Further research is needed to define the effect of neurologic diagnoses during acute hospitalization on longitudinal post-COVID-19-related symptoms including neurocognitive impairment. © American Academy of Neurology. |
Reduced Odds of SARS-CoV-2 Reinfection after Vaccination among New York City Adults, July-November 2021.
Levin-Rector A , Firestein L , McGibbon E , Sell J , Lim S , Lee EH , Weiss D , Geevarughese A , Zucker JR , Greene SK . Clin Infect Dis 2022 76 (3) e469-e476 ![]() BACKGROUND: Belief that vaccination is not needed for individuals with prior infection contributes to COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. Among individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 before vaccines became available, we assessed whether vaccinated individuals had reduced odds of reinfection. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study among adult New York City residents who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection in 2020, did not test positive again >90 days after initial positive test through July 1, 2021, and did not die before July 1, 2021. Case-patients with reinfection during July-November 2021 and control subjects with no reinfection were matched (1:3) on age, sex, timing of initial positive test in 2020, and neighborhood poverty level. Matched odds ratios (mOR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: Of 349,827 eligible adults, 2,583 were reinfected during July-November 2021. Of 2,401 with complete matching criteria data, 1,102 (45.9%) were known to be symptomatic for COVID-19-like-illness, and 96 (4.0%) were hospitalized. Unvaccinated individuals, compared with individuals fully vaccinated within the prior 90 days, had elevated odds of reinfection (mOR, 3.21; 95% CI, 2.70, 3.82), of symptomatic reinfection (mOR, 2.97; 95% CI, 2.31, 3.83), and of reinfection with hospitalization (mOR, 2.09; 95% CI, 0.91, 4.79). All three vaccines authorized or approved for use in the U.S. were similarly effective. CONCLUSION: Vaccination reduced odds of reinfections when the Delta variant predominated. Further studies should assess risk of severe outcomes among reinfected persons as new variants emerge, infection- and vaccine-induced immunity wanes, and booster doses are administered. |
Maintenance of measles elimination status in the United States for 20 years despite increasing challenges
Mathis AD , Clemmons NS , Redd SB , Pham H , Leung J , Wharton AK , Anderson R , McNall RJ , Rausch-Phung E , Rosen JB , Blog D , Zucker JR , Bankamp B , Rota PA , Patel M , Gastañaduy PA . Clin Infect Dis 2021 75 (3) 416-424 BACKGROUND: Measles elimination (interruption of endemic measles virus transmission) in the United States was declared in 2000; however, the number of cases and outbreaks have increased in recent years. We characterized the epidemiology of measles outbreaks and measles transmission patterns post-elimination to identify potential gaps in the U.S. measles control program. METHODS: We analyzed national measles notification data from January 1, 2001-December 31, 2019. We defined measles infection clusters as single cases (isolated cases not linked to additional cases), 2-case clusters, or outbreaks with 3 or more linked cases. We calculated the effective reproduction number (R) to assess changes in transmissibility and reviewed molecular epidemiology data. RESULTS: During 2001-2019, 3,873 measles cases, including 747 international importations, were reported in the United States; 29% of importations were associated with outbreaks. Among 871 clusters, 69% were single cases and 72% had no spread. Larger and longer clusters were reported since 2013, including seven outbreaks with >50 cases lasting >2 months, 5 of which occurred in known underimmunized, close-knit communities. No measles lineage circulated in a single transmission chain for >12 months. Higher estimates of R were noted in recent years, although R remained below the epidemic threshold of 1. CONCLUSIONS: Current epidemiology continues to support the interruption of endemic measles virus transmission in the United States. However, larger and longer outbreaks in recent post-elimination years and emerging trends of increased transmission in underimmunized communities emphasize the need for targeted approaches to close existing immunity gaps and maintain measles elimination. |
A governance framework to integrate longitudinal clinical and community data in a distributed data network: The Childhood Obesity Data Initiative
Kraus EM , Scott KA , Zucker R , Heisey-Grove D , King RJ , Carton TW , Daley MF , Deakyne Davies SJ , Block JP , Haemer M , Goodman AB , Garrett N , Davidson AJ . J Public Health Manag Pract 2021 28 (2) E421-E429 CONTEXT: Integrating longitudinal data from community-based organizations (eg, physical activity programs) with electronic health record information can improve capacity for childhood obesity research. OBJECTIVE: A governance framework that protects individual privacy, accommodates organizational data stewardship requirements, and complies with laws and regulations was developed and implemented to support the harmonization of data from disparate clinical and community information systems. PARTICIPANTS AND SETTING: Through the Childhood Obesity Data Initiative (CODI), 5 Colorado-based organizations collaborated to expand an existing distributed health data network (DHDN) to include community-generated data and assemble longitudinal patient records for research. DESIGN: A governance work group expanded an existing DHDN governance infrastructure with CODI-specific data use and exchange policies and procedures that were codified in a governance plan and a delegated-authority, multiparty, reciprocal agreement. RESULTS: A CODI governance work group met from January 2019 to March 2020 to conceive an approach, develop documentation, and coordinate activities. Governance requirements were synthesized from the CODI use case, and a customized governance approach was constructed to address governance gaps in record linkage, a procedure to request data, and harmonizing community and clinical data. A Master Sharing and Use Agreement (MSUA) and Memorandum of Understanding were drafted and executed to support creation of linked longitudinal records of clinical- and community-derived childhood obesity data. Furthermore, a multiparty infrastructure protocol was approved by the local institutional review board (IRB) to expedite future CODI research by simplifying IRB research applications. CONCLUSION: CODI implemented a clinical-community governance strategy that built trust between organizations and allowed efficient data exchange within a DHDN. A thorough discovery process allowed CODI stakeholders to assess governance capacity and reveal regulatory and organizational obstacles so that the governance infrastructure could effectively leverage existing knowledge and address challenges. The MSUA and complementary governance documents can inform similar efforts. |
Trends in hepatitis B surveillance among pregnant women in New York City, 1998-2015
Arciuolo RJ , Lazaroff JE , Rosen JB , Lim S , Zucker JR . Public Health Rep 2020 135 (5) 676-684 OBJECTIVE: Infants born to women with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection are at high risk for chronic HBV infection and premature death. We examined epidemiologic trends among women with HBV infection who gave birth in New York City (NYC) to inform public health prevention activities. METHODS: We obtained data on HBV-infected women residing and giving birth in NYC during 1998-2015 from the NYC Perinatal HBV Prevention Program. We obtained citywide birth data from the NYC Office of Vital Statistics. We calculated the incidence of births to HBV-infected women per 100 000 live births and stratified by maternal race, birthplace, and age. We calculated annual percentage change (APC) in incidence of births to HBV-infected women by using joinpoint regression. RESULTS: Of 29 896 HBV-infected women included in the study, 28 195 (94.3%) were non-US-born, of whom 16 600 (58.9%) were born in China. Overall incidence of births to HBV-infected women per 100 000 live births increased from 1156 in 1998 to 1573 in 2006 (APC = 3.1%; P < .001) but declined to 1329 in 2015 (APC = -1.4%; P = .02). Incidence among US-born women declined from 1998 to 2015 (330 to 84; APC = -7.3%; P < .001) and among non-US-born women increased from 1998 to 2007 (1877 to 2864; APC = 3.6%; P < .001) but not thereafter. Incidence among women born in China increased from 1998 to 2006 (13 275 to 16 480; APC = 1.8%; P = .02) but decreased to 12 631 through 2015 (APC = -3.3%; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of births to HBV-infected women in NYC declined significantly among US-born women but not among non-US-born women, highlighting the need for successful vaccination programs worldwide. |
Notes from the Field: Rebound in Routine Childhood Vaccine Administration Following Decline During the COVID-19 Pandemic - New York City, March 1-June 27, 2020.
Langdon-Embry M , Papadouka V , Cheng I , Almashhadani M , Ternier A , Zucker JR . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2020 69 (30) 999-1001 Concerns have been raised about falling childhood vaccine administration and vaccination coverage rates (1,2) during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. In New York City (NYC), decreasing vaccination coverage has been of particular concern in light of recent outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases, including a large measles outbreak during 2018–2019 (3). The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on routine childhood vaccination was monitored by the NYC Department of Health and Mental Hygiene (DOHMH) using the Citywide Immunization Registry (CIR),* a population-based immunization information system with high data quality and provider participation (4,5). CIR includes 2.7 million patient records for NYC persons aged 0–18 years and receives reports from approximately 1,600 immunization facilities. The weekly number of routine childhood vaccine doses administered to persons aged <24 months and 2–18 years in 2020 was compared with the number administered during the same period in 2019; influenza vaccine and vaccines administered in pharmacies and hospital nurseries were excluded from this report.† Likewise, the weekly number of unique facilities that reported administering at least one childhood vaccine in 2020 to 2019 was also compared. |
Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children in New York State.
Dufort EM , Koumans EH , Chow EJ , Rosenthal EM , Muse A , Rowlands J , Barranco MA , Maxted AM , Rosenberg ES , Easton D , Udo T , Kumar J , Pulver W , Smith L , Hutton B , Blog D , Zucker H . N Engl J Med 2020 383 (4) 347-358 BACKGROUND: A multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is associated with coronavirus disease 2019. The New York State Department of Health (NYSDOH) established active, statewide surveillance to describe hospitalized patients with the syndrome. METHODS: Hospitals in New York State reported cases of Kawasaki's disease, toxic shock syndrome, myocarditis, and potential MIS-C in hospitalized patients younger than 21 years of age and sent medical records to the NYSDOH. We carried out descriptive analyses that summarized the clinical presentation, complications, and outcomes of patients who met the NYSDOH case definition for MIS-C between March 1 and May 10, 2020. RESULTS: As of May 10, 2020, a total of 191 potential cases were reported to the NYSDOH. Of 95 patients with confirmed MIS-C (laboratory-confirmed acute or recent severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 [SARS-CoV-2] infection) and 4 with suspected MIS-C (met clinical and epidemiologic criteria), 53 (54%) were male; 31 of 78 (40%) were black, and 31 of 85 (36%) were Hispanic. A total of 31 patients (31%) were 0 to 5 years of age, 42 (42%) were 6 to 12 years of age, and 26 (26%) were 13 to 20 years of age. All presented with subjective fever or chills; 97% had tachycardia, 80% had gastrointestinal symptoms, 60% had rash, 56% had conjunctival injection, and 27% had mucosal changes. Elevated levels of C-reactive protein, d-dimer, and troponin were found in 100%, 91%, and 71% of the patients, respectively; 62% received vasopressor support, 53% had evidence of myocarditis, 80% were admitted to an intensive care unit, and 2 died. The median length of hospital stay was 6 days. CONCLUSIONS: The emergence of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children in New York State coincided with widespread SARS-CoV-2 transmission; this hyperinflammatory syndrome with dermatologic, mucocutaneous, and gastrointestinal manifestations was associated with cardiac dysfunction. |
Use of capture-recapture analysis to assess reporting completeness of births to hepatitis B-positive women in New York City, 2013-2014
Devinney K , Lazaroff J , Rosen JB , Zimmerman CM , Zucker JR . Public Health Rep 2020 135 (3) 322-328 OBJECTIVES: The New York City (NYC) Department of Health and Mental Hygiene (DOHMH) depends on reporting by health care facilities and laboratories for disease surveillance. Our objective was to evaluate the completeness of DOHMH surveillance to identify births to hepatitis B virus (HBV)-positive women to prevent perinatal transmission. METHODS: We identified infants born to HBV-positive women by matching mothers of all infants born in NYC during May 1, 2013-May 1, 2014, identified from the Citywide Immunization Registry (CIR) to persons with HBV-positive laboratory reports in the Electronic Laboratory Reporting (ELR) system. We then matched infants born to mothers identified in the CIR/ELR match to infants born to HBV-positive women from the DOHMH perinatal HBV surveillance database. We performed capture-recapture analysis to evaluate completeness of DOHMH case identification. We compared the proportion of infants born to HBV-positive mothers reported to DOHMH with the proportion of infants identified only through the CIR/ELR match for receipt of postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) and completion of the HBV vaccination series and post-vaccination serology testing. RESULTS: Of 1662 infants identified from the CIR/ELR match and 1554 infants in the DOHMH database, 1493 infants matched. Of 169 infants only in the CIR/ELR data set, 55 were born to HBV-positive women residing in NYC. Sixty-one infants were only in the DOHMH database. An estimated 2 infants were not identified by either method. The CIR/ELR match increased infant identification by 3.5%, from 1554 to 1609 infants. The proportion of infants who received PEP was significantly higher among infants whose mothers were reported to DOHMH (vs not reported to DOHMH). PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: Use of the CIR/ELR match may further improve DOHMH identification of infants born to HBV-positive women and receipt of infant PEP. |
Surveillance data confirm multiyear predictions of rotavirus dynamics in New York City
Olson DR , Lopman BA , Konty KJ , Mathes RW , Papadouka V , Ternier A , Zucker JR , Simonsen L , Grenfell BT , Pitzer VE . Sci Adv 2020 6 (9) eaax0586 Prediction skill is a key test of models for epidemic dynamics. However, future validation of models against out-of-sample data is rare, partly because of a lack of timely surveillance data. We address this gap by analyzing the response of rotavirus dynamics to infant vaccination. Syndromic surveillance of emergency department visits for diarrhea in New York City reveals a marked decline in diarrheal incidence among infants and young children, in line with data on rotavirus-coded hospitalizations and laboratory-confirmed cases, and a shift from annual to biennial epidemics increasingly affecting older children and adults. A published mechanistic model qualitatively predicted these patterns more than 2 years in advance. Future efforts to increase vaccination coverage may disrupt these patterns and lead to further declines in the incidence of rotavirus-attributable gastroenteritis. |
Consequences of undervaccination - measles outbreak, New York City, 2018-2019
Zucker JR , Rosen JB , Iwamoto M , Arciuolo RJ , Langdon-Embry M , Vora NM , Rakeman JL , Isaac BM , Jean A , Asfaw M , Hawkins SC , Merrill TG , Kennelly MO , Maldin Morgenthau B , Daskalakis DC , Barbot O . N Engl J Med 2020 382 (11) 1009-1017 BACKGROUND: Measles was declared eliminated in the United States in 2000, but the risk of outbreaks owing to international importations remains. An outbreak of measles in New York City began when one unvaccinated child returned home from Israel with measles; onset of rash occurred on September 30, 2018, 9 days after the child returned home. METHODS: We investigated suspected cases of measles by conducting interviews, reviewing medical and immunization records, identifying exposed persons, and performing diagnostic testing. Measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine (given as either MMR or measles-mumps-rubella-varicella vaccine and collectively referred to as MMR vaccine) uptake was monitored with the use of the Citywide Immunization Registry. The total direct cost to the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene was calculated. RESULTS: A total of 649 cases of measles were confirmed, with onsets of rash occurring between September 30, 2018, and July 15, 2019. A majority of the patients (93.4%) were part of the Orthodox Jewish community, and 473 of the patients (72.9%) resided in the Williamsburg area of Brooklyn, New York. The median age was 3 years; 81.2% of the patients were 18 years of age or younger, and 85.8% of the patients with a known vaccination history were unvaccinated. Serious complications included pneumonia (in 37 patients [5.7%]) and hospitalization (in 49 patients [7.6%]); among the patients who were hospitalized, 20 (40.8%) were admitted to an intensive care unit. As a result of efforts to promote vaccination, the percentage of children in Williamsburg who received at least one dose of MMR vaccine increased from 79.5% to 91.1% among children 12 to 59 months of age. As of September 9, 2019, a total of 559 staff members at the Department of Health and Mental Hygiene (7% of the agency) had been involved in the measles response. The cost of the Department of Health and Mental Hygiene response was $8.4 million. CONCLUSIONS: Importation of measles and vaccination delays among young children led to an outbreak of measles in New York City. The outbreak response was resource intensive and caused serious illness, particularly among unvaccinated children. |
Mumps: an Update on Outbreaks, Vaccine Efficacy, and Genomic Diversity.
Lam E , Rosen JB , Zucker JR . Clin Microbiol Rev 2020 33 (2) ![]() SUMMARYMumps is an acute viral infection characterized by inflammation of the parotid and other salivary glands. Persons with mumps are infectious from 2 days before through 5 days after parotitis onset, and transmission is through respiratory droplets. Despite the success of mumps vaccination programs in the United States and parts of Europe, a recent increase in outbreaks of mumps virus infections among fully vaccinated populations has been reported. Although the effectiveness of the mumps virus component of the measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine is suboptimal, a range of contributing factors has led to these outbreaks occurring in high-vaccination-coverage settings, including the intensity of exposure, the possibility of vaccine strain mismatch, delayed implementation of control measures due to the timeliness of reporting, a lack of use of appropriate laboratory tests (such as reverse transcription-PCR), and time since last vaccination. The resurgence of mumps virus infections among previously vaccinated individuals over the past decade has prompted discussions about new strategies to mitigate the risk of future outbreaks. The decision to implement a third dose of the MMR vaccine in response to an outbreak should be considered in discussions with local public health agencies. Traditional public health measures, including the isolation of infectious persons, timely contact tracing, and effective communication and awareness education for the public and medical community, should remain key interventions for outbreak control. Maintaining high mumps vaccination coverage remains key to U.S. and global efforts to reduce disease incidence and rates of complications. |
Cost comparison between 2 responses to hepatitis A virus incidents in restaurant food handlers - New York City, 2015 and 2017
Baum SE , Reddy V , Vora NM , Balter S , Daskalakis D , Barbot O , Misener M , Rakeman J , Rojas J , Starr D , Waechter H , Zucker J , Lee D . J Public Health Manag Pract 2020 26 (2) 176-179 CONTEXT: While the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene (DOHMH) can use agency-wide emergency activation to respond to a hepatitis A virus-infected food handler, there is a need to identify alternative responses that conserve scarce resources. OBJECTIVE: To compare the costs incurred by DOHMH of responding to a hepatitis A case in restaurant food handlers using an agency-wide emergency activation (2015) versus the cost of collaborating with a private network of urgent care clinics (2017). DESIGN: We partially evaluate the costs incurred by DOHMH of responding to a hepatitis A case in a restaurant food handler using agency-wide emergency activation (2015) with the cost of collaborating with a private network of urgent care clinics (2017) estimated for a scenario in which DOHMH incurred the retail cost of services rendered. RESULTS: Costs incurred by DOHMH for emergency activation were $65 831 ($238 per restaurant employee evaluated) of which DOHMH personnel services accounted for 85% ($55 854). Costs of collaboration would have totaled $50 914 ($253 per restaurant employee evaluated) of which personnel services accounted for 6% ($3146). CONCLUSIONS: Accounting for incident size, collaborating with the clinic network was more expensive than agency-wide emergency activation, though required fewer DOHMH personnel services. |
National update on measles cases and outbreaks - United States, January 1-October 1, 2019
Patel M , Lee AD , Clemmons NS , Redd SB , Poser S , Blog D , Zucker JR , Leung J , Link-Gelles R , Pham H , Arciuolo RJ , Rausch-Phung E , Bankamp B , Rota PA , Weinbaum CM , Gastanaduy PA . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2019 68 (40) 893-896 During January 1-October 1, 2019, a total of 1,249 measles cases and 22 measles outbreaks were reported in the United States. This represents the most U.S. cases reported in a single year since 1992 (1), and the second highest number of reported outbreaks annually since measles was declared eliminated* in the United States in 2000 (2). Measles is an acute febrile rash illness with an attack rate of approximately 90% in susceptible household contacts (3). Domestic outbreaks can occur when travelers contract measles outside the United States and subsequently transmit infection to unvaccinated persons they expose in the United States. Among the 1,249 measles cases reported in 2019, 1,163 (93%) were associated with the 22 outbreaks, 1,107 (89%) were in patients who were unvaccinated or had an unknown vaccination status, and 119 (10%) measles patients were hospitalized. Closely related outbreaks in New York City (NYC) and New York State (NYS; excluding NYC), with ongoing transmission for nearly 1 year in large and close-knit Orthodox Jewish communities, accounted for 934 (75%) cases during 2019 and threatened the elimination status of measles in the United States. Robust responses in NYC and NYS were effective in controlling transmission before the 1-year mark; however, continued vigilance for additional cases within these communities is essential to determine whether elimination has been sustained. Collaboration between public health authorities and undervaccinated communities is important for preventing outbreaks and limiting transmission. The combination of maintenance of high national vaccination coverage with measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine (MMR) and rapid implementation of measles control measures remains the cornerstone for preventing widespread measles transmission (4). |
Notes from the field: Interventions to reduce measles virus exposures in outpatient health care facilities - New York City, 2018
Alroy KA , Vora NM , Arciuolo RJ , Asfaw M , Isaac BM , Iwamoto M , Jean A , Benkel DH , Blaney K , Crouch B , Geevarughese A , Graham KA , Lash M , Daskalakis D , Zucker JR , Rosen JB . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2019 68 (36) 791-792 Strengthening health care facility infection control is crucial to preventing infectious disease transmission. Guidelines to prevent or minimize airborne pathogen spread in outpatient health care facilities exist (1); however, few reports describe practical implementation when engineering controls, such as recommended airborne infection isolation rooms (negative pressure rooms), are unavailable* (2). On September 30, 2018, a person with measles, a highly contagious respiratory illness characterized by fever and rash, that is spread by airborne transmission, was detected in New York City (NYC),† and as of December 10, 42 laboratory or epidemiologically linked cases had been confirmed. By September 3, 2019, with 654 confirmed cases, this measles outbreak had become the largest in the United States since 1992, well before endemic domestic measles transmission was declared eliminated in 2000§,¶ (3,4). Interventions used in 15 outpatient health care facilities to attempt to prevent health care facility exposure from patients with suspected measles were evaluated. |
Notes from the field: Measles outbreaks from imported cases in orthodox Jewish communities - New York and New Jersey, 2018-2019
McDonald R , Ruppert PS , Souto M , Johns DE , McKay K , Bessette N , McNulty LX , Crawford JE , Bryant P , Mosquera MC , Frontin S , Deluna-Evans T , Regenye DE , Zaremski EF , Landis VJ , Sullivan B , Rumpf BE , Doherty J , Sen K , Adler E , DiFedele L , Ostrowski S , Compton C , Rausch-Phung E , Gelman I , Montana B , Blog D , Hutton BJ , Zucker HA . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2019 68 (19) 444-445 On October 1, 2018, the Rockland County (New York) Department of Health (RCDOH) alerted the New York State Department of Health (NYSDOH) of an unvaccinated teenaged traveler with diagnosed measles. During the next 17 days, RCDOH learned of an additional six unvaccinated travelers with measles. On October 24, 2018, the Ocean County (New Jersey) Health Department alerted the New Jersey Department of Health (NJDOH) of a case of measles in an international traveler, with rash onset October 17. The unvaccinated travelers reported recent travel in Israel, where an outbreak of approximately 3,150 cases of measles is ongoing (1). Investigations during October 1, 2018–April 30, 2019, identified 242 laboratory-confirmed and epidemiologically linked measles cases in New York, excluding New York City, and during October 17, 2018–November 30, 2018, identified 33 in New Jersey (Figure). The cases of measles were primarily in members of orthodox Jewish communities. |
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