Last data update: Nov 04, 2024. (Total: 48056 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 346 Records) |
Query Trace: Yu P[original query] |
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Spike and nucleocapsid antibody dynamics following SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccination: Implications for sourcing COVID-19 convalescent plasma from routinely collected blood donations
Di Germanio C , Deng X , Balasko BG , Simmons G , Martinelli R , Grebe E , Stone M , Spencer BR , Saa P , Yu EA , Lanteri MC , Green V , Wright D , Lartey I , Kleinman S , Jones J , Biggerstaff BJ , Contestable P , Busch MP . Transfusion 2024 BACKGROUND: COVID-19 convalescent plasma (CCP) remains a treatment option for immunocompromised patients; however, the current FDA qualification threshold of ≥200 BAU/mL of spike antibody appears to be relatively low. We evaluated the levels of binding (bAb) and neutralizing antibodies (nAb) on serial samples from repeat blood donors who were vaccinated and/or infected to inform criteria for qualifying CCP from routinely collected plasma components. METHODS: Donors were categorized into four groups: (1) infected, then vaccinated, (2) vaccinated then infected during the delta, or (3) omicron waves, (4) vaccinated without infection. IgG Spike and total Nuclecapsid bAb were measured, along with S variants and nAb titers using reporter viral particle neutralization. RESULTS: Mean S IgG bAb peaks after infection alone were lower than after primary and booster vaccinations, and higher after delta and omicron infection in previously vaccinated donors. Half-lives for S IgG ranged from 34 to 66 days after first infection/vaccination events and up to 108 days after second events. The levels of S IgG bAb and nAb were similar across different variants, except for omicron, which were lower. Better correlations of nAb with bAb were observed at higher levels (hybrid immunity) than at the current FDA CCP qualifying threshold. DISCUSSION: Routine plasma donations from donors with hybrid immunity had high S bAb and potent neutralizing activity for 3-6 months after infection. In donations with high (>4000 BAU/mL) S IgG, >95% had high nAb titers (>500) against ancestral and variant S, regardless of COVID-19 symptoms. These findings provide the basis for test-based criteria for qualifying CCP from routine blood donations. |
Wastewater surveillance for influenza A virus and H5 subtype concurrent with the highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) virus outbreak in cattle and poultry and associated human cases - United States, May 12-July 13, 2024
Louis S , Mark-Carew M , Biggerstaff M , Yoder J , Boehm AB , Wolfe MK , Flood M , Peters S , Stobierski MG , Coyle J , Leslie MT , Sinner M , Nims D , Salinas V , Lustri L , Bojes H , Shetty V , Burnor E , Rabe A , Ellison-Giles G , Yu AT , Bell A , Meyer S , Lynfield R , Sutton M , Scholz R , Falender R , Matzinger S , Wheeler A , Ahmed FS , Anderson J , Harris K , Walkins A , Bohra S , O'Dell V , Guidry VT , Christensen A , Moore Z , Wilson E , Clayton JL , Parsons H , Kniss K , Budd A , Mercante JW , Reese HE , Welton M , Bias M , Webb J , Cornforth D , Santibañez S , Soelaeman RH , Kaur M , Kirby AE , Barnes JR , Fehrenbach N , Olsen SJ , Honein MA . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (37) 804-809 As part of the response to the highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) virus outbreak in U.S. cattle and poultry and the associated human cases, CDC and partners are monitoring influenza A virus levels and detection of the H5 subtype in wastewater. Among 48 states and the District of Columbia that performed influenza A testing of wastewater during May 12-July 13, 2024, a weekly average of 309 sites in 38 states had sufficient data for analysis, and 11 sites in four states reported high levels of influenza A virus. H5 subtype testing was conducted at 203 sites in 41 states, with H5 detections at 24 sites in nine states. For each detection or high level, CDC and state and local health departments evaluated data from other influenza surveillance systems and partnered with wastewater utilities and agriculture departments to investigate potential sources. Among the four states with high influenza A virus levels detected in wastewater, three states had corresponding evidence of human influenza activity from other influenza surveillance systems. Among the 24 sites with H5 detections, 15 identified animal sources within the sewershed or adjacent county, including eight milk-processing inputs. Data from these early investigations can help health officials optimize the use of wastewater surveillance during the upcoming respiratory illness season. |
Tecovirimat use under expanded access to treat mpox in the United States, 2022-2023
Yu PA , Elmor R , Muhammad K , Yu YC , Rao AK . NEJM Evid 2024 EVIDoa2400189 BACKGROUND: During the ongoing outbreak of clade II monkeypox virus (MPXV), many U.S. patients were prescribed tecovirimat, an antiviral drug that was made available under an expanded access Investigational New Drug (EA-IND) program. We evaluated EA-IND data to summarize characteristics of treated patients, outcomes, and serious adverse events (SAEs). METHODS: We evaluated data from patients prescribed tecovirimat from May 29, 2022, through July 10, 2023. Baseline patient characteristics, clinical courses, and outcomes were evaluated via intake forms, outcome forms, and patient diaries. Data were summarized in aggregate by human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status and by comorbidities of special interest. Reported SAEs were also compiled. RESULTS: Tecovirimat was prescribed for over 7100 patients in the United States, most often for lesions in sensitive anatomical areas, such as certain anogenital lesions (83.5%; 5135 out of 6148 patients), and pain (52.5%; 3227 out of 6148 patients). The demographic and clinical characteristics mirrored those of patients worldwide. Among the 7181 patients with returned intake forms, 1626 also had returned outcome forms (22.6%). Many patients with severe immunocompromise (e.g., HIV with CD4 counts <200 cells/μl) received multiple courses of tecovirimat (43.1%; 22 out of 51 patients), including intravenously, and often experienced poor outcomes (35.3%; 18 out of 51 patients). Overall, 223 SAEs and 40 deaths were reported. Most SAEs were among patients who were severely immunocompromised, one of whom experienced hallucinations after tecovirimat was administered at twice the standard dose. CONCLUSIONS: Tecovirimat was used extensively. The returned EA-IND data suggest that life-threatening or protracted infections occurred in persons who were severely immunocompromised. SAEs were not commonly reported. The EA-IND data are not definitive; controlled clinical trial data are essential to elucidating if and how tecovirimat should be used. |
Homelessness and risk of end-stage kidney disease and death in veterans with chronic kidney disease
Koyama AK , Nee R , Yu W , Choudhury D , Heng F , Cheung AK , Cho ME , Norris KC , Yan G . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (9) e2431973 IMPORTANCE: Adults experiencing homelessness in the US face numerous challenges, including the management of chronic kidney disease (CKD). The extent of a potentially greater risk of adverse health outcomes in the population with CKD experiencing homelessness has not been adequately explored. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between a history of homelessness and the risk of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and death among veterans with incident CKD. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study was conducted between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2017. Participants included veterans aged 18 years and older with incident stage 3 to 5 CKD utilizing the Veterans Health Administration health care network in the US. Patients were followed-up through December 31, 2018, for the occurrence of ESKD and death. Analyses were performed from September 2022 to October 2023. EXPOSURE: History of homelessness, based on utilization of homeless services in the Veterans Health Administration or International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision or International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision codes. Homelessness was measured during the 2-year baseline period prior to the index date of incident CKD. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcomes were ESKD, based on initiation of kidney replacement therapy, and all-cause death. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated to compare veterans with a history of homelessness with those without a history of homelessness. RESULTS: Among 836 361 veterans, the largest proportion were aged 65 to 74 years (274 371 veterans [32.8%]) or 75 to 84 years (270 890 veterans [32.4%]), and 809 584 (96.8%) were male. A total of 26 037 veterans (3.1%) developed ESKD, and 359 991 (43.0%) died. Compared with veterans who had not experienced homelessness, those with a history of homelessness showed a significantly greater risk of ESKD (adjusted HR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.10-1.20). A greater risk of all-cause death was also observed (HR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.46-1.50). After further adjustment for body mass index, comorbidities, and medication use, results were attenuated for all-cause death (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.07-1.11) and were no longer significant for ESKD (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.99-1.09). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cohort study of veterans with incident stage 3 to 5 CKD, a history of homelessness was significantly associated with a greater risk of ESKD and death, underscoring the role of housing as a social determinant of health. |
Evaluating analytic models for individually randomized group treatment trials with complex clustering in nested and crossed designs
Moyer JC , Li F , Cook AJ , Heagerty PJ , Pals SL , Turner EL , Wang R , Zhou Y , Yu Q , Wang X , Murray DM . Stat Med 2024 Many individually randomized group treatment (IRGT) trials randomly assign individuals to study arms but deliver treatments via shared agents, such as therapists, surgeons, or trainers. Post-randomization interactions induce correlations in outcome measures between participants sharing the same agent. Agents can be nested in or crossed with trial arm, and participants may interact with a single agent or with multiple agents. These complications have led to ambiguity in choice of models but there have been no systematic efforts to identify appropriate analytic models for these study designs. To address this gap, we undertook a simulation study to examine the performance of candidate analytic models in the presence of complex clustering arising from multiple membership, single membership, and single agent settings, in both nested and crossed designs and for a continuous outcome. With nested designs, substantial type I error rate inflation was observed when analytic models did not account for multiple membership and when analytic model weights characterizing the association with multiple agents did not match the data generating mechanism. Conversely, analytic models for crossed designs generally maintained nominal type I error rates unless there was notable imbalance in the number of participants that interact with each agent. |
Race, ethnicity, and gender differences in patient reported well-being and cognitive functioning within 3 months of symptomatic illness during COVID-19 pandemic
Hill MJ , Huebinger RM , Ebna Mannan I , Yu H , Wisk LE , O'Laughlin KN , Gentile NL , Stephens KA , Gottlieb M , Weinstein RA , Koo K , Santangelo M , Saydah S , Spatz ES , Lin Z , Schaeffer K , Kean E , Montoy JCC , Rodriguez RM , Idris AH , McDonald S , Elmore JG , Venkatesh A . J Racial Ethn Health Disparities 2024 BACKGROUND: Differences in acute COVID-19 associated morbidity based on race, ethnicity, and gender have been well described; however, less is known about differences in subsequent longer term health-related quality of life and well-being. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included symptomatic adults tested for SARS-CoV-2 who completed baseline and 3-month follow-up surveys. Using the PROMIS-29 tool, a validated measure of health and well-being, we compared outcomes at 3 months and change in outcomes from baseline to 3 months among groups with different races, ethnicities, and/or sexes. RESULTS: Among 6044 participants, 4113 (3202 COVID +) were included. Among COVID + participants, compared to non-Hispanic White participants, Black participants had better PROMIS T-scores for cognitive function (3.6 [1.1, 6.2]) and fatigue (- 4.3 [- 6.6, - 2.0]) at 3 months and experienced more improvement in fatigue over 3 months (- 2.7 [- 4.7, - 0.8]). At 3 months, compared with males, females had worse PROMIS T-scores for cognitive function (- 4.1 [- 5.6, - 2.6]), physical function (- 2.1 [- 3.1, - 1.0]), social participation (- 2.8 [- 4.2, - 1.5]), anxiety (2.8 [1.5, 4.1]), fatigue (5.1 [3.7, 6.4]), and pain interference (2.0 [0.9, 3.2]). Females experienced less improvement in fatigue over 3 months (3.1 [2.0, 4.3]). Transgender/non-binary/other gender participants had worse 3-month scores in all domains except for sleep disturbance and pain interference. CONCLUSIONS: Three months after the initial COVID-19 infection, Black participants reported better cognitive function and fatigue, while females and other gender minoritized groups experienced lower well-being. Future studies are necessary to better understand how and why social constructs, specifically race, ethnicity, and gender, influence differences in COVID-19-related health outcomes. Trials Registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04610515. |
Molecular mimicry in multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children
Bodansky A , Mettelman RC , Sabatino JJ Jr , Vazquez SE , Chou J , Novak T , Moffitt KL , Miller HS , Kung AF , Rackaityte E , Zamecnik CR , Rajan JV , Kortbawi H , Mandel-Brehm C , Mitchell A , Wang CY , Saxena A , Zorn K , Yu DJL , Pogorelyy MV , Awad W , Kirk AM , Asaki J , Pluvinage JV , Wilson MR , Zambrano LD , Campbell AP , Thomas PG , Randolph AG , Anderson MS , DeRisi JL . Nature 2024 Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is a severe, post-infectious sequela of SARS-CoV-2 infection(1,2), yet the pathophysiological mechanism connecting the infection to the broad inflammatory syndrome remains unknown. Here we leveraged a large set of samples from patients with MIS-C to identify a distinct set of host proteins targeted by patient autoantibodies including a particular autoreactive epitope within SNX8, a protein involved in regulating an antiviral pathway associated with MIS-C pathogenesis. In parallel, we also probed antibody responses from patients with MIS-C to the complete SARS-CoV-2 proteome and found enriched reactivity against a distinct domain of the SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein. The immunogenic regions of the viral nucleocapsid and host SNX8 proteins bear remarkable sequence similarity. Consequently, we found that many children with anti-SNX8 autoantibodies also have cross-reactive T cells engaging both the SNX8 and the SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein epitopes. Together, these findings suggest that patients with MIS-C develop a characteristic immune response to the SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein that is associated with cross-reactivity to the self-protein SNX8, demonstrating a mechanistic link between the infection and the inflammatory syndrome, with implications for better understanding a range of post-infectious autoinflammatory diseases. |
Myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome after SARS-CoV-2 infection
Unger ER , Lin JS , Wisk LE , Yu H , L'Hommedieu M , Lavretsky H , Montoy JCC , Gottlieb MA , Rising KL , Gentile NL , Santangelo M , Venkatesh AK , Rodriguez RM , Hill MJ , Geyer RE , Kean ER , Saydah S , McDonald SA , Huebinger R , Idris AH , Dorney J , Hota B , Spatz ES , Stephens KA , Weinstein RA , Elmore JG . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (7) e2423555 IMPORTANCE: Chronic symptoms reported following an infection with SARS-CoV-2, such as cognitive problems, overlap with symptoms included in the definition of myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS). OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence of ME/CFS-like illness subsequent to acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, changes in ME/CFS symptoms through 12 months of follow-up, and the association of ME/CFS symptoms with SARS-CoV-2 test results at the acute infection-like index illness. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective, multisite, longitudinal cohort study (Innovative Support for Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infections Registry [INSPIRE]) enrolled participants from December 11, 2020, to August 29, 2022. Participants were adults aged 18 to 64 years with acute symptoms suggestive of SARS-CoV-2 infection who received a US Food and Drug Administration-approved SARS-CoV-2 test at the time of illness and did not die or withdraw from the study by 3 months. Follow-up surveys were collected through February 28, 2023. EXPOSURE: COVID-19 status (positive vs negative) at enrollment. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: The main outcome was the weighted proportion of participants with ME/CFS-like illness based on the 2015 Institute of Medicine clinical case definition using self-reported symptoms. RESULTS: A total of 4378 participants were included in the study. Most were female (3226 [68.1%]). Mean (SD) age was 37.8 (11.8) years. The survey completion rates ranged from 38.7% (3613 of 4738 participants) to 76.3% (1835 of 4738) and decreased over time. The weighted proportion of participants identified with ME/CFS-like illness did not change significantly at 3 through 12 months of follow-up and was similar in the COVID-19-positive (range, 2.8%-3.7%) and COVID-19-negative (range, 3.1%-4.5%) groups. Adjusted analyses revealed no significant difference in the odds of ME/CFS-like illness at any time point between COVID-19-positive and COVID-19-negative individuals (marginal odds ratio range, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.42-1.67] to 1.18 [95% CI, 0.55-2.51]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this prospective cohort study, there was no evidence that the proportion of participants with ME/CFS-like illness differed between those infected with SARS-CoV-2 vs those without SARS-CoV-2 infection up to 12 months after infection. A 3% to 4% prevalence of ME/CFS-like illness after an acute infection-like index illness would impose a high societal burden given the millions of persons infected with SARS-CoV-2. |
HIV self-test performance evaluation among priority populations in rural Mozambique: Results from a community-based observational study
De Schacht C , Lucas C , Paulo P , Naftal Fernando A , Ernesto Chinai J , Silva WP , Amane G , Sultane T , Honwana N , Malimane I , Couto A , Yu Z , Wester CW . PLoS One 2024 19 (6) e0305391 BACKGROUND: In 2021, Mozambique initiated community-based oral HIV self-testing (HIVST) to increase testing access and uptake among priority groups, including adult males, adolescents, and young adults. Within an HIVST pilot project, we conducted a performance evaluation assessing participants' ability to successfully conduct HIVST procedures and interpret results. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was performed between February-March 2021 among employees, students (18-24 years of age), and community members, using convenience sampling, in two rural districts of Zambézia Province, Mozambique. We quantified how well untrained users performed procedures for the oral HIVST (Oraquick®) through direct observation using a structured checklist, from which we calculated an HIVST usability index (scores ranging 0-100%). Additionally, participants interpreted three previously processed anonymous HIVST results. False reactive and false non-reactive interpretation results were presented as proportions. Bivariate analysis was conducted using Chi-square and Fisher exact tests. RESULTS: A total of 312 persons participated (131[42%] community members, 71[23%] students, 110[35%] employees); 239 (77%) were male; the mean age was 28 years (standard deviation 10). Average usability index scores were 80% among employees, 86% among students, and 77% among community members. Main procedural errors observed included "incorrect tube positioning" (49%), "incorrect specimen collection" (43%), and "improper waiting time for result interpretation" (42%). From the presented anonymous HIVST results, 75% (n = 234) correctly interpreted all three results, while 9 (3%) of study participants failed to correctly interpret any results. Overall, 36 (12%) gave a false non-reactive result interpretation, 21 (7%) a false reactive result interpretation, and 14 (4%) gave both false non-reactive and false reactive result interpretations. Community members generally had lower performance. CONCLUSIONS: Despite some observed testing procedural errors, most users could successfully perform an HIVST. Educational sessions at strategic places (e.g., schools, workplaces), and support via social media and hotlines, may improve HIVST performance quality, reducing the risk of incorrect interpretation. |
A pan-respiratory antiviral chemotype targeting a transient host multi-protein complex
Michon M , Müller-Schiffmann A , Lingappa AF , Yu SF , Du L , Deiter F , Broce S , Mallesh S , Crabtree J , Lingappa UF , Macieik A , Müller L , Ostermann PN , Andrée M , Adams O , Schaal H , Hogan RJ , Tripp RA , Appaiah U , Anand SK , Campi TW , Ford MJ , Reed JC , Lin J , Akintunde O , Copeland K , Nichols C , Petrouski E , Moreira AR , Jiang IT , DeYarman N , Brown I , Lau S , Segal I , Goldsmith D , Hong S , Asundi V , Briggs EM , Phyo NS , Froehlich M , Onisko B , Matlack K , Dey D , Lingappa JR , Prasad DM , Kitaygorodskyy A , Solas D , Boushey H , Greenland J , Pillai S , Lo MK , Montgomery JM , Spiropoulou CF , Korth C , Selvarajah S , Paulvannan K , Lingappa VR . Open Biol 2024 14 (6) 230363 We present a novel small molecule antiviral chemotype that was identified by an unconventional cell-free protein synthesis and assembly-based phenotypic screen for modulation of viral capsid assembly. Activity of PAV-431, a representative compound from the series, has been validated against infectious viruses in multiple cell culture models for all six families of viruses causing most respiratory diseases in humans. In animals, this chemotype has been demonstrated efficacious for porcine epidemic diarrhoea virus (a coronavirus) and respiratory syncytial virus (a paramyxovirus). PAV-431 is shown to bind to the protein 14-3-3, a known allosteric modulator. However, it only appears to target the small subset of 14-3-3 which is present in a dynamic multi-protein complex whose components include proteins implicated in viral life cycles and in innate immunity. The composition of this target multi-protein complex appears to be modified upon viral infection and largely restored by PAV-431 treatment. An advanced analog, PAV-104, is shown to be selective for the virally modified target, thereby avoiding host toxicity. Our findings suggest a new paradigm for understanding, and drugging, the host-virus interface, which leads to a new clinical therapeutic strategy for treatment of respiratory viral disease. |
Challenges of COVID-19 case forecasting in the US, 2020-2021
Lopez VK , Cramer EY , Pagano R , Drake JM , O'Dea EB , Adee M , Ayer T , Chhatwal J , Dalgic OO , Ladd MA , Linas BP , Mueller PP , Xiao J , Bracher J , Castro Rivadeneira AJ , Gerding A , Gneiting T , Huang Y , Jayawardena D , Kanji AH , Le K , Mühlemann A , Niemi J , Ray EL , Stark A , Wang Y , Wattanachit N , Zorn MW , Pei S , Shaman J , Yamana TK , Tarasewicz SR , Wilson DJ , Baccam S , Gurung H , Stage S , Suchoski B , Gao L , Gu Z , Kim M , Li X , Wang G , Wang L , Wang Y , Yu S , Gardner L , Jindal S , Marshall M , Nixon K , Dent J , Hill AL , Kaminsky J , Lee EC , Lemaitre JC , Lessler J , Smith CP , Truelove S , Kinsey M , Mullany LC , Rainwater-Lovett K , Shin L , Tallaksen K , Wilson S , Karlen D , Castro L , Fairchild G , Michaud I , Osthus D , Bian J , Cao W , Gao Z , Lavista Ferres J , Li C , Liu TY , Xie X , Zhang S , Zheng S , Chinazzi M , Davis JT , Mu K , Pastore YPiontti A , Vespignani A , Xiong X , Walraven R , Chen J , Gu Q , Wang L , Xu P , Zhang W , Zou D , Gibson GC , Sheldon D , Srivastava A , Adiga A , Hurt B , Kaur G , Lewis B , Marathe M , Peddireddy AS , Porebski P , Venkatramanan S , Wang L , Prasad PV , Walker JW , Webber AE , Slayton RB , Biggerstaff M , Reich NG , Johansson MA . PLoS Comput Biol 2024 20 (5) e1011200 During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and government entities led by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub (https://covid19forecasthub.org). We evaluated approximately 9.7 million forecasts of weekly state-level COVID-19 cases for predictions 1-4 weeks into the future submitted by 24 teams from August 2020 to December 2021. We assessed coverage of central prediction intervals and weighted interval scores (WIS), adjusting for missing forecasts relative to a baseline forecast, and used a Gaussian generalized estimating equation (GEE) model to evaluate differences in skill across epidemic phases that were defined by the effective reproduction number. Overall, we found high variation in skill across individual models, with ensemble-based forecasts outperforming other approaches. Forecast skill relative to the baseline was generally higher for larger jurisdictions (e.g., states compared to counties). Over time, forecasts generally performed worst in periods of rapid changes in reported cases (either in increasing or decreasing epidemic phases) with 95% prediction interval coverage dropping below 50% during the growth phases of the winter 2020, Delta, and Omicron waves. Ideally, case forecasts could serve as a leading indicator of changes in transmission dynamics. However, while most COVID-19 case forecasts outperformed a naïve baseline model, even the most accurate case forecasts were unreliable in key phases. Further research could improve forecasts of leading indicators, like COVID-19 cases, by leveraging additional real-time data, addressing performance across phases, improving the characterization of forecast confidence, and ensuring that forecasts were coherent across spatial scales. In the meantime, it is critical for forecast users to appreciate current limitations and use a broad set of indicators to inform pandemic-related decision making. |
Prevalence of diabetes by BMI: China Nutrition and Health Surveillance (2015-2017) and U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2015-2018)
Yu D , Martin CB , Fryar CD , Hales CM , Eberhardt MS , Carroll MD , Zhao L , Ogden CL . AJPM Focus 2024 3 (3) 100215 INTRODUCTION: The risk of diabetes begins at a lower BMI among Asian adults. This study compares the prevalence of diabetes between the U.S. and China by BMI. METHODS: Data from the 2015-2017 China Nutrition and Health Surveillance (n=176,223) and the 2015-2018 U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (n=4,464) were used. Diagnosed diabetes was self-reported. Undiagnosed diabetes was no report of diagnosed diabetes and fasting plasma glucose ≥126 mg/dL or HbA1c ≥6.5%. Predicted age-adjusted prevalence estimates by BMI were produced using sex- and country-specific logistic regression models. RESULTS: In China, the age-adjusted prevalence of total diabetes was 7.8% (95% CI=7.4%, 8.3%), lower than the 14.6% (95% CI=13.1%, 16.3%) in the U.S. The prevalence of diagnosed diabetes was also lower in China than in the U.S. There were no statistically significant differences in the prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes between China and the U.S. The distribution of BMI in China was lower than in the U.S., and the predicted prevalence of total diabetes was similar between China and the U.S. when comparing adults with the same BMI. The predicted prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes was higher in China than in the U.S. for both men and women, and this disparity increased with BMI. When comparing adults at the same BMI, there was little difference in the prevalence of total diabetes, but diagnosed diabetes was lower in China than in the U.S., and undiagnosed was higher. CONCLUSIONS: Although differences in BMI appear to explain nearly all of the differences in total diabetes prevalence in the 2 countries, not all factors that are associated with diabetes risk have been investigated. |
Outbreak of invasive Serratia marcescens among persons incarcerated in a state prison, California, USA, March 2020-December 2022
Kamali A , Ferguson D , Dowless H , Ortiz N , Mukhopadhyay R , Schember C , Lunsford R , Hutchinson J , Scherer M , Crandall J , Bauer H , Yu A , Kimura A . Emerg Infect Dis 2024 30 (13) S41-s48 Serratia marcescens is an environmental gram-negative bacterium that causes invasive disease in rare cases. During 2020-2022, an outbreak of 21 invasive Serratia infections occurred in a prison in California, USA. Most (95%) patients had a history of recent injection drug use (IDU). We performed whole-genome sequencing and found isolates from 8 patients and 2 pieces of IDU equipment were closely related. We also identified social interactions among patients. We recovered S. marcescens from multiple environmental samples throughout the prison, including personal containers storing Cell Block 64 (CB64), a quaternary ammonium disinfectant solution. CB64 preparation and storage conditions were suboptimal for S. marcescens disinfection. The outbreak was likely caused by contaminated CB64 and propagated by shared IDU equipment and social connections. Ensuring appropriate preparation, storage, and availability of disinfectants and enacting interventions to counteract disease spread through IDU can reduce risks for invasive Serratia infections in California prisons. |
Food selection and effect of home preparation procedure for antibiotic food mixtures on homogeneity, stability, and dissolution
Huang R , Zhu D , Wang J , Berko Y , Yu PA , Parker CM , Yu YC , Feng X , Xu X , Ashraf M . Int J Pharm 2024 123993 Amoxicillin, doxycycline, and clindamycin are among the commonly used antibiotics to treat bacterial infections. However, dosage forms of antibiotics for pediatric patients may not be as readily available as the formulations for adult patients. As such, it is anticipated that during a public health emergency, special instruction may need to be provided on home preparation and administration procedures to dose pediatric patients using available stockpiles of oral tablet and capsule dosage forms. Mixing crushed tablets or capsule contents with soft- or liquid- foods is one of the most common home preparation procedures. To gain knowledge for safe and effective use of prepared drug product instead of the intended intact dosage form, the impact of manipulation of the dosage form was studied. Capsule opening, capsule content assay and uniformity, dissolution, homogeneity, and stability studies of drug mixed with various liquid and soft foods were carried out using intact capsules of amoxicillin, doxycycline, and clindamycin. Higher recovery of capsule contents was achieved when using hands or knives to open capsules compared to using scissors. The capsules of all three antibiotic products contained the labeled amount of active pharmaceutical ingredients (API). The peanut butter-drug mixtures failed both United States Pharmacopeia (USP) assay and dissolution criteria because the peanut butter significantly affected the solubility of the drugs, and hence it was omitted from further study. All drug-food mixtures of the three antibiotic products and 15 selected foods exhibited fast dissolution (e.g., >80 % in 60 min) in the tested medium, except for the amoxicillin-chocolate pudding mixture. Three household containers (cups, plates, and bowls) and four mixing times (0.5 min, 1 min, 2 min, and 5 min) were found to be suitable for preparation of homogeneous mixtures of the antibiotics and foods. For practical purposes, 1 to 2 min mixing time is sufficient to produce homogeneous mixtures. The results of this study provided product quality data on the interactions between the antibiotics and the foods and can potentially support future development of home preparation instructions of antibiotics for pediatric patients or patients with swallowing difficulties. |
Ethnic and racial differences in self-reported symptoms, health status, activity level, and missed work at 3 and 6 months following SARS-CoV-2 infection
O'Laughlin KN , Klabbers RE , Ebna Mannan I , Gentile NL , Geyer RE , Zheng Z , Yu H , Li SX , Chan KCG , Spatz ES , Wang RC , L'Hommedieu M , Weinstein RA , Plumb ID , Gottlieb M , Huebinger RM , Hagen M , Elmore JG , Hill MJ , Kelly M , McDonald S , Rising KL , Rodriguez RM , Venkatesh A , Idris AH , Santangelo M , Koo K , Saydah S , Nichol G , Stephens KA . Front Public Health 2023 11 1324636 INTRODUCTION: Data on ethnic and racial differences in symptoms and health-related impacts following SARS-CoV-2 infection are limited. We aimed to estimate the ethnic and racial differences in symptoms and health-related impacts 3 and 6 months after the first SARS-CoV-2 infection. METHODS: Participants included adults with SARS-CoV-2 infection enrolled in a prospective multicenter US study between 12/11/2020 and 7/4/2022 as the primary cohort of interest, as well as a SARS-CoV-2-negative cohort to account for non-SARS-CoV-2-infection impacts, who completed enrollment and 3-month surveys (N = 3,161; 2,402 SARS-CoV-2-positive, 759 SARS-CoV-2-negative). Marginal odds ratios were estimated using GEE logistic regression for individual symptoms, health status, activity level, and missed work 3 and 6 months after COVID-19 illness, comparing each ethnicity or race to the referent group (non-Hispanic or white), adjusting for demographic factors, social determinants of health, substance use, pre-existing health conditions, SARS-CoV-2 infection status, COVID-19 vaccination status, and survey time point, with interactions between ethnicity or race and time point, ethnicity or race and SARS-CoV-2 infection status, and SARS-CoV-2 infection status and time point. RESULTS: Following SARS-CoV-2 infection, the majority of symptoms were similar over time between ethnic and racial groups. At 3 months, Hispanic participants were more likely than non-Hispanic participants to report fair/poor health (OR: 1.94; 95%CI: 1.36-2.78) and reduced activity (somewhat less, OR: 1.47; 95%CI: 1.06-2.02; much less, OR: 2.23; 95%CI: 1.38-3.61). At 6 months, differences by ethnicity were not present. At 3 months, Other/Multiple race participants were more likely than white participants to report fair/poor health (OR: 1.90; 95% CI: 1.25-2.88), reduced activity (somewhat less, OR: 1.72; 95%CI: 1.21-2.46; much less, OR: 2.08; 95%CI: 1.18-3.65). At 6 months, Asian participants were more likely than white participants to report fair/poor health (OR: 1.88; 95%CI: 1.13-3.12); Black participants reported more missed work (OR, 2.83; 95%CI: 1.60-5.00); and Other/Multiple race participants reported more fair/poor health (OR: 1.83; 95%CI: 1.10-3.05), reduced activity (somewhat less, OR: 1.60; 95%CI: 1.02-2.51; much less, OR: 2.49; 95%CI: 1.40-4.44), and more missed work (OR: 2.25; 95%CI: 1.27-3.98). DISCUSSION: Awareness of ethnic and racial differences in outcomes following SARS-CoV-2 infection may inform clinical and public health efforts to advance health equity in long-term outcomes. |
Associations of temporal cardiometabolic patterns and incident SARS-cov-2 infection among U.S. blood donors with serologic evidence of vaccination
Yu EA , Stone M , Bravo MD , Grebe E , Bruhn RL , Lanteri MC , Townsend M , Kamel H , Jones JM , Busch MP , Custer B . AJPM Focus 2024 3 (2) 100186 INTRODUCTION: Cardiometabolic diseases are associated with greater COVID-19 severity; however, the influences of cardiometabolic health on SARS-CoV-2 infections after vaccination remain unclear. Our objective was to investigate the associations between temporal blood pressure and total cholesterol patterns and incident SARS-CoV-2 infections among those with serologic evidence of vaccination. METHODS: In this prospective cohort of blood donors, blood samples were collected in 2020-2021 and assayed for binding antibodies of SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid protein antibody seropositivity. We categorized participants into intraindividual pattern subgroups of blood pressure and total cholesterol (persistently, intermittently, or not elevated [systolic blood pressure <130 mmHg, diastolic blood pressure <80 mmHg, total cholesterol <200 mg/dL]) across the study time points. RESULTS: Among 13,930 donors with 39,736 donations representing 1,127,071 person-days, there were 221 incident SARS-CoV-2 infections among those with serologic evidence of vaccination (1.6%). Intermittent hypertension was associated with greater SARS-CoV-2 infections among those with serologic evidence of vaccination risk (adjusted incidence rate ratio=2.07; 95% CI=1.44, 2.96; p<0.01) than among participants with consistent normotension on the basis of a multivariable Poisson regression. Among men, intermittently elevated total cholesterol (adjusted incidence rate ratio=1.90; 95% CI=1.32, 2.74; p<0.01) and higher BMI at baseline (adjusted hazard ratio=1.44; 95% CI=1.07, 1.93; p=0.01; per 10 units) were associated with greater SARS-CoV-2 infections among those with serologic evidence of vaccination probability; these associations were null among women (both p>0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings underscore that the benefits of cardiometabolic health, particularly blood pressure, include a lower risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection after vaccination. |
Tecovirimat resistance in Mpox patients, United States, 2022-2023
Smith TG , Gigante CM , Wynn NT , Matheny A , Davidson W , Yang Y , Condori RE , O'Connell K , Kovar L , Williams TL , Yu YC , Petersen BW , Baird N , Lowe D , Li Y , Satheshkumar PS , Hutson CL . Emerg Infect Dis 2023 29 (12) 2426-2432 During the 2022 multinational outbreak of monkeypox virus (MPXV) infection, the antiviral drug tecovirimat (TPOXX; SIGA Technologies, Inc., https://www.siga.com) was deployed in the United States on a large scale for the first time. The MPXV F13L gene homologue encodes the target of tecovirimat, and single amino acid changes in F13 are known to cause resistance to tecovirimat. Genomic sequencing identified 11 mutations previously reported to cause resistance, along with 13 novel mutations. Resistant phenotype was determined using a viral cytopathic effect assay. We tested 124 isolates from 68 patients; 96 isolates from 46 patients were found to have a resistant phenotype. Most resistant isolates were associated with severely immunocompromised mpox patients on multiple courses of tecovirimat treatment, whereas most isolates identified by routine surveillance of patients not treated with tecovirimat remained sensitive. The frequency of resistant viruses remains relatively low (<1%) compared with the total number of patients treated with tecovirimat. |
Navigating epigenetic epidemiology publications
Yu Wei , Drzymalla Emily , Gyorfy Matheus Fernandes , Khoury Muin J , Sun Yan V , Gwinn Marta . Epigenetics Commun 2023 3 (1) 8 Since its beginning more than 75 years ago [1], epigenetics has been an evolving field with growing applications to the study of cancer, aging, and gene expression in response to environmental exposures. The emergence of high-throughput technology for measuring epigenetic markers has enabled population-based studies [2]. The relatively new field of epigenetic epidemiology investigates epigenetic associations from a population perspective for insights into disease risk, prevention, and progression. Unlike genetic variants, epigenetic markers are dynamic, offering epidemiologists a new approach to linking early life and environmental exposures with disease risk [3]. | | Scientific publications on epigenetic epidemiology have been rapidly increasing in number and variety over the past 20 years. The literature now includes studies of epigenetic markers beyond DNA methylation (DNAm), such as histone modification and non-coding RNA, and consists of a variety of study designs including epigenome-wide association studies (EWAS), candidate gene studies, and clinical trials. Epigenetic markers are investigated as risk factors, such as DNAm in association with type 2 diabetes incidence [4], or outcomes, such as DNAm changes in response to air pollution [5]. The objective of the Epigenetic Epidemiology Publications Database (EEPD) is to offer a user-friendly website to explore the expanding literature in epigenetics, epidemiology, and public health. |
Clinical Policy: Critical Issues in the Management of Adult Patients Presenting to the Emergency Department With Mild Traumatic Brain Injury: Approved by ACEP Board of Directors, February 1, 2023 Clinical Policy Endorsed by the Emergency Nurses Association (April 5, 2023)
Valente JH , Anderson JD , Paolo WF , Sarmiento K , Tomaszewski CA , Haukoos JS , Diercks DB , Diercks DB , Anderson JD , Byyny R , Carpenter CR , Friedman B , Gemme SR , Gerardo CJ , Godwin SA , Hahn SA , Hatten BW , Haukoos JS , Kaji A , Kwok H , Lo BM , Mace SE , Moran M , Promes SB , Shah KH , Shih RD , Silvers SM , Slivinski A , Smith MD , Thiessen MEW , Tomaszewski CA , Trent S , Valente JH , Wall SP , Westafer LM , Yu Y , Cantrill SV , Finnell JT , Schulz T , Vandertulip K . Ann Emerg Med 2023 81 (5) e63-e105 This 2023 Clinical Policy from the American College of Emergency Physicians is an update of the 2008 “Clinical Policy: Neuroimaging and Decisionmaking in Adult Mild Traumatic Brain Injury in the Acute Setting.” A writing subcommittee conducted a systematic review of the literature to derive evidence-based recommendations to answer the following questions: 1) In the adult emergency department patient presenting with minor head injury, are there clinical decision tools to identify patients who do not require a head computed tomography? 2) In the adult emergency department patient presenting with minor head injury, a normal baseline neurologic examination, and taking an anticoagulant or antiplatelet medication, is discharge safe after a single head computed tomography? and 3) In the adult emergency department patient diagnosed with mild traumatic brain injury or concussion, are there clinical decision tools or factors to identify patients requiring follow-up care for postconcussive syndrome or to identify patients with delayed sequelae after emergency department discharge? Evidence was graded and recommendations were made based on the strength of the available data. Widespread and consistent implementation of evidence-based clinical recommendations is warranted to improve patient care. |
Notes from the Field: The National Wastewater Surveillance System's Centers of Excellence contributions to public health action during the respiratory virus season - four U.S. Jurisdictions, 2022-23
Valencia D , Yu AT , Wheeler A , Hopkins L , Pray I , Horter L , Vugia DJ , Matzinger S , Stadler L , Kloczko N , Welton M , Bertsch-Merbach S , Domakonda K , Antkiewicz D , Turner H , Crain C , Mulenga A , Shafer M , Owiti J , Schneider R , Janssen KH , Wolfe MK , McClellan SL , Boehm AB , Roguet A , White B , Schussman MK , Rane MS , Hemming J , Collins C , Abram A , Burnor E , Westergaard R , Ricaldi JN , Person J , Fehrenbach N . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (48) 1309-1312 Wastewater surveillance (WWS), the systematic detection of infectious agents in wastewater, provided a valuable tool for monitoring SARS-CoV-2 circulation during the COVID-19 pandemic; surveillance has expanded from 20 to 53 jurisdictions across the United States, with increasing capacity to test for more respiratory pathogens (1,2). This report highlights the use of wastewater data by the four National Wastewater Surveillance System’s (NWSS) Centers of Excellence (California; Colorado; Houston, Texas; and Wisconsin) to guide public health action during the 2022–23 respiratory disease season. This activity was reviewed by CDC, deemed not research, and was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy.* |
CDC guidelines for the prevention and treatment of anthrax, 2023
Bower WA , Yu Y , Person MK , Parker CM , Kennedy JL , Sue D , Hesse EM , Cook R , Bradley J , Bulitta JB , Karchmer AW , Ward RM , Cato SG , Stephens KC , Hendricks KA . MMWR Recomm Rep 2023 72 (6) 1-47 THIS REPORT UPDATES PREVIOUS CDC GUIDELINES AND RECOMMENDATIONS ON PREFERRED PREVENTION AND TREATMENT REGIMENS REGARDING NATURALLY OCCURRING ANTHRAX. ALSO PROVIDED ARE A WIDE RANGE OF ALTERNATIVE REGIMENS TO FIRST-LINE ANTIMICROBIAL DRUGS FOR USE IF PATIENTS HAVE CONTRAINDICATIONS OR INTOLERANCES OR AFTER A WIDE-AREA AEROSOL RELEASE OF: Bacillus anthracis spores if resources become limited or a multidrug-resistant B. anthracis strain is used (Hendricks KA, Wright ME, Shadomy SV, et al.; Workgroup on Anthrax Clinical Guidelines. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention expert panel meetings on prevention and treatment of anthrax in adults. Emerg Infect Dis 2014;20:e130687; Meaney-Delman D, Rasmussen SA, Beigi RH, et al. Prophylaxis and treatment of anthrax in pregnant women. Obstet Gynecol 2013;122:885-900; Bradley JS, Peacock G, Krug SE, et al. Pediatric anthrax clinical management. Pediatrics 2014;133:e1411-36). Specifically, this report updates antimicrobial drug and antitoxin use for both postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) and treatment from these previous guidelines best practices and is based on systematic reviews of the literature regarding 1) in vitro antimicrobial drug activity against B. anthracis; 2) in vivo antimicrobial drug efficacy for PEP and treatment; 3) in vivo and human antitoxin efficacy for PEP, treatment, or both; and 4) human survival after antimicrobial drug PEP and treatment of localized anthrax, systemic anthrax, and anthrax meningitis. CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS CDC GUIDELINES AND RECOMMENDATIONS INCLUDE AN EXPANDED LIST OF ALTERNATIVE ANTIMICROBIAL DRUGS TO USE WHEN FIRST-LINE ANTIMICROBIAL DRUGS ARE CONTRAINDICATED OR NOT TOLERATED OR AFTER A BIOTERRORISM EVENT WHEN FIRST-LINE ANTIMICROBIAL DRUGS ARE DEPLETED OR INEFFECTIVE AGAINST A GENETICALLY ENGINEERED RESISTANT: B. anthracis strain. In addition, these updated guidelines include new recommendations regarding special considerations for the diagnosis and treatment of anthrax meningitis, including comorbid, social, and clinical predictors of anthrax meningitis. The previously published CDC guidelines and recommendations described potentially beneficial critical care measures and clinical assessment tools and procedures for persons with anthrax, which have not changed and are not addressed in this update. In addition, no changes were made to the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommendations for use of anthrax vaccine (Bower WA, Schiffer J, Atmar RL, et al. Use of anthrax vaccine in the United States: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, 2019. MMWR Recomm Rep 2019;68[No. RR-4]:1-14). The updated guidelines in this report can be used by health care providers to prevent and treat anthrax and guide emergency preparedness officials and planners as they develop and update plans for a wide-area aerosol release of B. anthracis. |
Inequities along the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) pre-exposure prophylaxis services continuum for black women in the United States, 2015-2020
Townes A , Tanner MR , Yu L , Johnson WD , Zhu W , Iqbal K , Dominguez KL , Henny KD , Drezner K , Schumacher C , Bickham J , Elopre L , Edelstein ZR , Hoover KW . Obstet Gynecol 2023 OBJECTIVE: To estimate the number of women who received human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and sexually transmitted infection (STI) testing and HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) services by race and ethnicity in seven THRIVE (Targeted Highly Effective Interventions to Reverse the HIV Epidemic)-funded jurisdictions and to estimate associations of age and syphilis and gonorrhea diagnoses with receipt of HIV PrEP services. METHODS: We analyzed data collected from 2015 to 2020 in Birmingham, Alabama; Baltimore City, Maryland; Washington, DC, New Orleans, Louisiana; Brooklyn, New York; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; and Hampton Roads, Virginia. We compared Black women and women of additional racial and ethnic groups by age, HIV status at enrollment, receipt of STI testing and test positivity, and steps in the PrEP continuum (screened, eligible, referred, linked, and prescribed). We also examined the association of age, syphilis, or gonorrhea with the following steps in the PrEP continuum: screened, referred, linked, and prescribed. RESULTS: Black women made up 69.2% (8,758/12,647) of women served in THRIVE. Compared with non-Black women, Black women were more likely to have a positive test result for syphilis (3.3% vs 2.1%), gonorrhea (4.9% vs 3.5%), chlamydia (5.1% vs 1.9%), or more than one STI (1.4% vs 0.3%). Among women with negative HIV test results or unknown HIV status, Black women were more likely to be screened for PrEP eligibility (88.4% vs 64.9%). Among Black women, the proportion screened for PrEP was higher among those diagnosed with syphilis (97.3%) or gonorrhea (100%) than among those without an STI (88.1% and 87.8%, respectively). Among 219 Black women who presented with syphilis, only 10 (4.6%) were prescribed PrEP; among 407 with gonorrhea, only 11 (2.7%) were prescribed PrEP. CONCLUSION: Although most Black women seeking services received STI testing, the proportion of Black women who were eligible for PrEP and prescribed PrEP was low. To achieve national HIV-prevention goals, it is imperative that Black women have access to PrEP information and services. |
Perspectives of public health organizations partnering with refugee, immigrant, and migrant communities for comprehensive COVID-19 case investigation and contact tracing
Dawson-Hahn E , Fredkove W , Karim S , Mohamed F , Abudiab S , de Acosta D , Ebengho S , Garcia Y , Hoffman S , Keaveney M , Mann E , Thomas C , Yu K , Yun K . Front Public Health 2023 11 1218306 OBJECTIVES: To understand public health organizations' experiences providing comprehensive COVID-19 case investigation and contact tracing, and related promising practices with refugee, immigrant and migrant communities. METHODS: We interviewed public health professionals (September 2020 to February 2021) from local and state health departments using a geographically stratified, purposive sampling approach. A multidisciplinary team at the National Resource Center for Refugees, Immigrants and Migrants (NRC-RIM) conducted a thematic analysis of the data. RESULTS: Six themes were identified: understanding community and public health context, cultivating relationships, ensuring linguistic and cultural concordance, communicating intentionally, evolving response, and implementing equity. The interconnection of themes and promising practices is explored. CONCLUSION: As public health continues to learn from and build upon COVID-19 response experiences, the thematic findings and potential promising practices identified in this project may foster proactive, community-engaged solutions for public health, and other organizations working and partnering with refugee, immigrant, and migrant communities. Implementing these findings with COVID-19 into current and future public health crisis responses may improve public health, collaborations with refugee, immigrant, and migrant communities, and staff wellbeing. |
Prevalence of symptoms 12 months after acute illness, by COVID-19 testing status among adults - United States, December 2020-March 2023
Montoy JCC , Ford J , Yu H , Gottlieb M , Morse D , Santangelo M , O'Laughlin KN , Schaeffer K , Logan P , Rising K , Hill MJ , Wisk LE , Salah W , Idris AH , Huebinger RM , Spatz ES , Rodriguez RM , Klabbers RE , Gatling K , Wang RC , Elmore JG , McDonald SA , Stephens KA , Weinstein RA , Venkatesh AK , Saydah S . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (32) 859-865 To further the understanding of post-COVID conditions, and provide a more nuanced description of symptom progression, resolution, emergence, and reemergence after SARS-CoV-2 infection or COVID-like illness, analysts examined data from the Innovative Support for Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infections Registry (INSPIRE), a prospective multicenter cohort study. This report includes analysis of data on self-reported symptoms collected from 1,296 adults with COVID-like illness who were tested for SARS-CoV-2 using a Food and Drug Administration-approved polymerase chain reaction or antigen test at the time of enrollment and reported symptoms at 3-month intervals for 12 months. Prevalence of any symptom decreased substantially between baseline and the 3-month follow-up, from 98.4% to 48.2% for persons who received a positive SARS-CoV-2 test results (COVID test-positive participants) and from 88.2% to 36.6% for persons who received negative SARS-CoV-2 test results (COVID test-negative participants). Persistent symptoms decreased through 12 months; no difference between the groups was observed at 12 months (prevalence among COVID test-positive and COVID test-negative participants = 18.3% and 16.1%, respectively; p>0.05). Both groups reported symptoms that emerged or reemerged at 6, 9, and 12 months. Thus, these symptoms are not unique to COVID-19 or to post-COVID conditions. Awareness that symptoms might persist for up to 12 months, and that many symptoms might emerge or reemerge in the year after COVID-like illness, can assist health care providers in understanding the clinical signs and symptoms associated with post-COVID-like conditions. |
Role of anemia in dementia risk among veterans with incident CKD
Koyama AK , Nee R , Yu W , Choudhury D , Heng F , Cheung AK , Norris KC , Cho ME , Yan G . Am J Kidney Dis 2023 82 (6) 706-714 RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: While some evidence exists of increased dementia risk from anemia, it is unclear if this association persists among adults with CKD. Anemia may be a key marker for dementia among adults with CKD. We therefore evaluated if anemia is associated with an increased risk of dementia among adults with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: The study included 620,095 veterans aged ≥45 years with incident stage 3 CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2)) between January 2005 and December 2016 in the US Veterans Health Administration system and followed through December 31, 2018 for incident dementia, kidney failure or death. EXPOSURES: Anemia was assessed based on the average of hemoglobin levels (g/L) during the two years prior to the date of incident CKD and categorized as normal, mild and moderate/severe anemia (≥12.0, 11.0-11.9, <11.0 g/dL, respectively for women and ≥13.0, 11.0-12.9, <11.0 g/dL for men). OUTCOMES: Dementia and the composite outcome of kidney failure or death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Adjusted cause-specific hazard ratios were estimated for each outcome. RESULTS: At the time of incident CKD, mean age was 72 years, 97% were male, and mean eGFR was 51 mL/min per 1.73 m(2). Over a median 4.1 years of follow-up, 92,306 (15%) veterans developed dementia before kidney failure or death. Compared to veterans with CKD without anemia, multivariable-adjusted models showed a 16% (95% confidence interval [CI] 14% to 17%) significantly higher risk of dementia for those with mild anemia and a 27% (95% CI 23% to 31%) higher risk with moderate/severe anemia. Combined risk of kidney failure or death was higher at 39% (95% CI 37% to 40%) and 115% (95% CI 112% to 119%) for mild and moderate/severe anemia, respectively, compared to no anemia. LIMITATIONS: Residual confounding from the observational study design. Findings may not be generalizable to the broader U.S. CONCLUSIONS: Anemia was significantly associated with increased risk of dementia among veterans with incident CKD, underscoring the role of anemia as a predictor of dementia risk. |
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the US (preprint)
Cramer EY , Ray EL , Lopez VK , Bracher J , Brennen A , Castro Rivadeneira AJ , Gerding A , Gneiting T , House KH , Huang Y , Jayawardena D , Kanji AH , Khandelwal A , Le K , Mühlemann A , Niemi J , Shah A , Stark A , Wang Y , Wattanachit N , Zorn MW , Gu Y , Jain S , Bannur N , Deva A , Kulkarni M , Merugu S , Raval A , Shingi S , Tiwari A , White J , Abernethy NF , Woody S , Dahan M , Fox S , Gaither K , Lachmann M , Meyers LA , Scott JG , Tec M , Srivastava A , George GE , Cegan JC , Dettwiller ID , England WP , Farthing MW , Hunter RH , Lafferty B , Linkov I , Mayo ML , Parno MD , Rowland MA , Trump BD , Zhang-James Y , Chen S , Faraone SV , Hess J , Morley CP , Salekin A , Wang D , Corsetti SM , Baer TM , Eisenberg MC , Falb K , Huang Y , Martin ET , McCauley E , Myers RL , Schwarz T , Sheldon D , Gibson GC , Yu R , Gao L , Ma Y , Wu D , Yan X , Jin X , Wang YX , Chen Y , Guo L , Zhao Y , Gu Q , Chen J , Wang L , Xu P , Zhang W , Zou D , Biegel H , Lega J , McConnell S , Nagraj VP , Guertin SL , Hulme-Lowe C , Turner SD , Shi Y , Ban X , Walraven R , Hong QJ , Kong S , van de Walle A , Turtle JA , Ben-Nun M , Riley S , Riley P , Koyluoglu U , DesRoches D , Forli P , Hamory B , Kyriakides C , Leis H , Milliken J , Moloney M , Morgan J , Nirgudkar N , Ozcan G , Piwonka N , Ravi M , Schrader C , Shakhnovich E , Siegel D , Spatz R , Stiefeling C , Wilkinson B , Wong A , Cavany S , España G , Moore S , Oidtman R , Perkins A , Kraus D , Kraus A , Gao Z , Bian J , Cao W , Lavista Ferres J , Li C , Liu TY , Xie X , Zhang S , Zheng S , Vespignani A , Chinazzi M , Davis JT , Mu K , Pastore YPiontti A , Xiong X , Zheng A , Baek J , Farias V , Georgescu A , Levi R , Sinha D , Wilde J , Perakis G , Bennouna MA , Nze-Ndong D , Singhvi D , Spantidakis I , Thayaparan L , Tsiourvas A , Sarker A , Jadbabaie A , Shah D , Della Penna N , Celi LA , Sundar S , Wolfinger R , Osthus D , Castro L , Fairchild G , Michaud I , Karlen D , Kinsey M , Mullany LC , Rainwater-Lovett K , Shin L , Tallaksen K , Wilson S , Lee EC , Dent J , Grantz KH , Hill AL , Kaminsky J , Kaminsky K , Keegan LT , Lauer SA , Lemaitre JC , Lessler J , Meredith HR , Perez-Saez J , Shah S , Smith CP , Truelove SA , Wills J , Marshall M , Gardner L , Nixon K , Burant JC , Wang L , Gao L , Gu Z , Kim M , Li X , Wang G , Wang Y , Yu S , Reiner RC , Barber R , Gakidou E , Hay SI , Lim S , Murray C , Pigott D , Gurung HL , Baccam P , Stage SA , Suchoski BT , Prakash BA , Adhikari B , Cui J , Rodríguez A , Tabassum A , Xie J , Keskinocak P , Asplund J , Baxter A , Oruc BE , Serban N , Arik SO , Dusenberry M , Epshteyn A , Kanal E , Le LT , Li CL , Pfister T , Sava D , Sinha R , Tsai T , Yoder N , Yoon J , Zhang L , Abbott S , Bosse NI , Funk S , Hellewell J , Meakin SR , Sherratt K , Zhou M , Kalantari R , Yamana TK , Pei S , Shaman J , Li ML , Bertsimas D , Skali Lami O , Soni S , Tazi Bouardi H , Ayer T , Adee M , Chhatwal J , Dalgic OO , Ladd MA , Linas BP , Mueller P , Xiao J , Wang Y , Wang Q , Xie S , Zeng D , Green A , Bien J , Brooks L , Hu AJ , Jahja M , McDonald D , Narasimhan B , Politsch C , Rajanala S , Rumack A , Simon N , Tibshirani RJ , Tibshirani R , Ventura V , Wasserman L , O'Dea EB , Drake JM , Pagano R , Tran QT , Ho LST , Huynh H , Walker JW , Slayton RB , Johansson MA , Biggerstaff M , Reich NG . medRxiv 2021 2021.02.03.21250974 Short-term probabilistic forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States have served as a visible and important communication channel between the scientific modeling community and both the general public and decision-makers. Forecasting models provide specific, quantitative, and evaluable predictions that inform short-term decisions such as healthcare staffing needs, school closures, and allocation of medical supplies. In 2020, the COVID-19 Forecast Hub (https://covid19forecasthub.org/) collected, disseminated, and synthesized hundreds of thousands of specific predictions from more than 50 different academic, industry, and independent research groups. This manuscript systematically evaluates 23 models that regularly submitted forecasts of reported weekly incident COVID-19 mortality counts in the US at the state and national level. One of these models was a multi-model ensemble that combined all available forecasts each week. The performance of individual models showed high variability across time, geospatial units, and forecast horizons. Half of the models evaluated showed better accuracy than a naïve baseline model. In combining the forecasts from all teams, the ensemble showed the best overall probabilistic accuracy of any model. Forecast accuracy degraded as models made predictions farther into the future, with probabilistic accuracy at a 20-week horizon more than 5 times worse than when predicting at a 1-week horizon. This project underscores the role that collaboration and active coordination between governmental public health agencies, academic modeling teams, and industry partners can play in developing modern modeling capabilities to support local, state, and federal response to outbreaks.Competing Interest StatementAV, MC, and APP report grants from Metabiota Inc outside the submitted work.Funding StatementFor teams that reported receiving funding for their work, we report the sources and disclosures below. CMU-TimeSeries: CDC Center of Excellence, gifts from Google and Facebook. CU-select: NSF DMS-2027369 and a gift from the Morris-Singer Foundation. COVIDhub: This work has been supported by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (1U01IP001122) and the National Institutes of General Medical Sciences (R35GM119582). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of CDC, NIGMS or the National Institutes of Health. Johannes Bracher was supported by the Helmholtz Foundation via the SIMCARD Information& Data Science Pilot Project. Tilmann Gneiting gratefully acknowledges support by the Klaus Tschira Foundation. DDS-NBDS: NSF III-1812699. EPIFORECASTS-ENSEMBLE1: Wellcome Trust (210758/Z/18/Z) GT_CHHS-COVID19: William W. George Endowment, Virginia C. and Joseph C. Mello Endowments, NSF DGE-1650044, NSF MRI 1828187, research cyberinfrastructure resources and services provided by the Partnership for an Advanced Computing Environment (PACE) at Georgia Tech, and the following benefactors at Georgia Tech: Andrea Laliberte, Joseph C. Mello, Richard Rick E. & Charlene Zalesky, and Claudia & Paul Raines GT-DeepCOVID: CDC MInD-Healthcare U01CK000531-Supplement. NSF (Expeditions CCF-1918770, CAREER IIS-2028586, RAPID IIS-2027862, Medium IIS-1955883, NRT DGE-1545362), CDC MInD program, ORNL and funds/computing resources from Georgia Tech and GTRI. IHME: This work was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, as well as funding from the state of Washington and the National Science Foundation (award no. FAIN: 2031096). IowaStateLW-STEM: Iowa State University Plant Sciences Institute Scholars Program, NSF DMS-1916204, NSF CCF-1934884, Laurence H. Baker Center for Bioinformatics and Biological Statistics. JHU_IDD-CovidSP: State of California, US Dept of Health and Human Services, US Dept of Homeland Security, US Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance, Johns Hopkins Health System, Office of the Dean at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University Modeling and Policy Hub, Centers fo Disease Control and Prevention (5U01CK000538-03), University of Utah Immunology, Inflammation, & Infectious Disease Initiative (26798 Seed Grant). LANL-GrowthRate: LANL LDRD 20200700ER. MOBS-GLEAM_COVID: COVID Supplement CDC-HHS-6U01IP001137-01. NotreDame-mobility and NotreDame-FRED: NSF RAPID DEB 2027718 UA-EpiCovDA: NSF RAPID Grant # 2028401. UCSB-ACTS: NSF RAPID IIS 2029626. UCSD-NEU: Google Faculty Award, DARPA W31P4Q-21-C-0014, COVID Supplement CDC-HHS-6U01IP001137-01. UMass-MechBayes: NIGMS R35GM119582, NSF 1749854. UMich-RidgeTfReg: The University of Michigan Physics Department and the University of Michigan Office of Research.Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:UMass-Amherst IRBAll necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesAll data and code referred to in the manuscript are publicly available. https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-forecast-hub/ https://github.com/reichlab/covidEnsembles https://zoltardata.com/project/44 |
Resistance to anti-orthopoxviral drug tecovirimat (TPOXX) during the 2022 mpox outbreak in the US (preprint)
Smith TG , Gigante CM , Wynn NT , Matheny A , Davidson W , Yang Y , Condori RE , O'Connell K , Kovar L , Williams TL , Yu YC , Petersen BW , Baird N , Lowe D , Li Y , Satheshkumar PS , Hutson CL . medRxiv 2023 18 Background: During the 2022 multinational outbreak of monkeypox virus (MPXV) clade IIb, the antiviral drug tecovirimat (TPOXX) was deployed in the US on a large scale for the first time ever. The MPXV F13L gene homolog encodes the target of tecovirimat, and single amino acid changes in the F13 protein are known to cause resistance to tecovirimat in orthopoxviruses (OPXV). Method(s): Whole genome metagenomic sequencing and amplicon-based sequencing targeting the F13L gene was used to identify nine mutations previously reported to cause resistance in other OPXV along with ten novel mutations that have been identified from the 2022 mpox outbreak. A cytopathic effect assay, previously established at CDC as part of WHO smallpox research, was adapted to MPXV for tecovirimat phenotype testing of virus isolated from mpox patients. Result(s): As of March 2023, in total, 70 isolates from 40 patients were tested, and 50 of these isolates from 26 patients were found to have a resistant phenotype. Most resistant isolates were associated with severely immunocompromised mpox patients on multiple courses of TPOXX treatment; while isolates with F13 mutations identified by routine surveillance of patients not treated with TPOXX have remained sensitive. Conclusion(s): These data indicate that tecovirimat resistance is developing in immunocompromised patients treated with TPOXX and that for isolates that we have analyzed, the frequency of resistant viruses remain relatively low (< 1%) compared to the total number of patients treated with TPOXX. These findings inform our understanding of when tecovirimat resistance is likely to occur and highlight the need for additional OPXV therapeutics. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
A distinct cross-reactive autoimmune response in multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) (preprint)
Bodansky A , Sabatino JJ , Vazquez SE , Chou J , Novak T , Moffitt KL , Miller HS , Kung AF , Rackaityte E , Zamecnik CR , Rajan JV , Kortbawi H , Mandel-Brehm C , Mitchell A , Wang CY , Saxena A , Zorn K , Yu DJL , Asaki J , Pluvinage JV , Wilson MR , Loftis LL , Hobbs CV , Tarquinio KM , Kong M , Fitzgerald JC , Espinal PS , Walker TC , Schwartz SP , Crandall H , Irby K , Staat MA , Rowan CM , Schuster JE , Halasa NB , Gertz SJ , Mack EH , Maddux AB , Cvijanovich NZ , Zinter MS , Zambrano LD , Campbell AP , Randolph AG , Anderson MS , DeRisi JL , Kelley H , Murdock M , Colston C , Typpo KV , Sanders RC , Yates M , Smith C , Port E , Mansour R , Shankman S , Baig N , Zorensky F , Chatani B , McLaughlin G , Jones K , Coates BM , Newhams MM , Kucukak S , McNamara ER , Moon HK , Kobayashi T , Melo J , Jackson SR , Rosales MKE , Young C , Chen SR , Da Costa Aguiar R , Gutierrez-Arcelus M , Elkins M , Williams D , Williams L , Cheng L , Zhang Y , Crethers D , Morley D , Steltz S , Zakar K , Armant MA , Ciuculescu F , Flori HR , Dahmer MK , Levy ER , Behl S , Drapeau NM , Kietzman A , Hill S , Cullimore ML , McCulloh RJ , Nofziger RA , Rohlfs CC , Burnett R , Bush J , Reed N , Ampofo KK , Patel MM . medRxiv 2023 30 Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is a severe, post-infectious sequela of SARS-CoV-2 infection, yet the pathophysiological mechanism connecting the infection to the broad inflammatory syndrome remains unknown. Here we leveraged a large set of MIS-C patient samples (n=199) to identify a distinct set of host proteins that are differentially targeted by patient autoantibodies relative to matched controls. We identified an autoreactive epitope within SNX8, a protein expressed primarily in immune cells which regulates an antiviral pathway associated with MIS-C pathogenesis. In parallel, we also probed the SARS-CoV-2 proteome-wide MIS-C patient antibody response and found it to be differentially reactive to a distinct domain of the SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid (N) protein relative to controls. This viral N region and the mapped SNX8 epitope bear remarkable biochemical similarity. Furthermore, we find that many children with anti-SNX8 autoantibodies also have T-cells cross-reactive to both SNX8 and this distinct domain of the SARS-CoV-2 N protein. Together, these findings suggest that MIS-C patients develop a distinct immune response against the SARS-CoV-2 N protein that is associated with cross reactivity to the self-protein SNX8, demonstrating a link from the infection to the inflammatory syndrome. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC 4.0 International license. |
A Pan-respiratory Antiviral Chemotype Targeting a Transient Host Multiprotein Complex (preprint)
Muller-Schiffmann A , Michon M , Lingappa AF , Yu SF , Du L , Deiter F , Broce S , Mallesh S , Crabtree J , Lingappa UF , Macieik A , Muller L , Ostermann PN , Andree M , Adams O , Schaal H , Hogan RJ , Tripp RA , Appaiah U , Anand SK , Campi TW , Ford MJ , Reed JC , Lin J , Akintunde O , Copeland K , Nichols C , Petrouski E , Moreira AR , Jiang IT , DeYarman N , Brown I , Lau S , Segal I , Goldsmith D , Hong S , Asundi V , Briggs EM , Phyo NS , Froehlich M , Onisko B , Matlack K , Dey D , Lingappa JR , Prasad MD , Kitaygorodskyy A , Solas D , Boushey H , Greenland J , Pillai S , Lo MK , Montgomery JM , Spiropoulou CF , Korth C , Selvarajah S , Paulvannan K , Lingappa VR . bioRxiv 2021 18 We present a small molecule chemotype, identified by an orthogonal drug screen, exhibiting nanomolar activity against members of all the six viral families causing most human respiratory viral disease, with a demonstrated barrier to resistance development. Antiviral activity is shown in mammalian cells, including human primary bronchial epithelial cells cultured to an air-liquid interface and infected with SARS-CoV-2. In animals, efficacy of early compounds in the lead series is shown by survival (for a coronavirus) and viral load (for a paramyxovirus). The drug target is shown to include a subset of the protein 14-3-3 within a transient host multi-protein complex containing components implicated in viral lifecycles and in innate immunity. This multi-protein complex is modified upon viral infection and largely restored by drug treatment. Our findings suggest a new clinical therapeutic strategy for early treatment upon upper respiratory viral infection to prevent progression to lower respiratory tract or systemic disease. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license. |
Wastewater sequencing uncovers early, cryptic SARS-CoV-2 variant transmission (preprint)
Karthikeyan S , Levy JI , De Hoff P , Humphrey G , Birmingham A , Jepsen K , Farmer S , Tubb HM , Valles T , Tribelhorn CE , Tsai R , Aigner S , Sathe S , Moshiri N , Henson B , Mark AM , Hakim A , Baer NA , Barber T , Belda-Ferre P , Chacón M , Cheung W , Cresini ES , Eisner ER , Lastrella AL , Lawrence ES , Marotz CA , Ngo TT , Ostrander T , Plascencia A , Salido RA , Seaver P , Smoot EW , McDonald D , Neuhard RM , Scioscia AL , Satterlund AM , Simmons EH , Abelman DB , Brenner D , Bruner JC , Buckley A , Ellison M , Gattas J , Gonias SL , Hale M , Hawkins F , Ikeda L , Jhaveri H , Johnson T , Kellen V , Kremer B , Matthews G , McLawhon RW , Ouillet P , Park D , Pradenas A , Reed S , Riggs L , Sanders A , Sollenberger B , Song A , White B , Winbush T , Aceves CM , Anderson C , Gangavarapu K , Hufbauer E , Kurzban E , Lee J , Matteson NL , Parker E , Perkins SA , Ramesh KS , Robles-Sikisaka R , Schwab MA , Spencer E , Wohl S , Nicholson L , McHardy IH , Dimmock DP , Hobbs CA , Bakhtar O , Harding A , Mendoza A , Bolze A , Becker D , Cirulli ET , Isaksson M , Barrett KMS , Washington NL , Malone JD , Schafer AM , Gurfield N , Stous S , Fielding-Miller R , Garfein RS , Gaines T , Anderson C , Martin NK , Schooley R , Austin B , MacCannell DR , Kingsmore SF , Lee W , Shah S , McDonald E , Yu AT , Zeller M , Fisch KM , Longhurst C , Maysent P , Pride D , Khosla PK , Laurent LC , Yeo GW , Andersen KG , Knight R . medRxiv 2022 As SARS-CoV-2 continues to spread and evolve, detecting emerging variants early is critical for public health interventions. Inferring lineage prevalence by clinical testing is infeasible at scale, especially in areas with limited resources, participation, or testing/sequencing capacity, which can also introduce biases. SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentration in wastewater successfully tracks regional infection dynamics and provides less biased abundance estimates than clinical testing. Tracking virus genomic sequences in wastewater would improve community prevalence estimates and detect emerging variants. However, two factors limit wastewater-based genomic surveillance: low-quality sequence data and inability to estimate relative lineage abundance in mixed samples. Here, we resolve these critical issues to perform a high-resolution, 295-day wastewater and clinical sequencing effort, in the controlled environment of a large university campus and the broader context of the surrounding county. We develop and deploy improved virus concentration protocols and deconvolution software that fully resolve multiple virus strains from wastewater. We detect emerging variants of concern up to 14 days earlier in wastewater samples, and identify multiple instances of virus spread not captured by clinical genomic surveillance. Our study provides a scalable solution for wastewater genomic surveillance that allows early detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants and identification of cryptic transmission. |
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