Last data update: Aug 15, 2025. (Total: 49733 publications since 2009)
| Records 1-2 (of 2 Records) |
| Query Trace: Tran QM[original query] |
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| Why the growth of arboviral diseases necessitates a new generation of global risk maps and future projections
Brady OJ , Bastos LS , Caldwell JM , Cauchemez S , Clapham HE , Dorigatti I , Gaythorpe KAM , Hu W , Hussain-Alkhateeb L , Johansson MA , Lim A , Lopez VK , Maude RJ , Messina JP , Mordecai EA , Peterson AT , Rodriquez-Barraquer I , Rabe IB , Rojas DP , Ryan SJ , Salje H , Semenza JC , Tran QM . PLoS Comput Biol 2025 21 (4) e1012771
Global risk maps are an important tool for assessing the global threat of mosquito and tick-transmitted arboviral diseases. Public health officials increasingly rely on risk maps to understand the drivers of transmission, forecast spread, identify gaps in surveillance, estimate disease burden, and target and evaluate the impact of interventions. Here, we describe how current approaches to mapping arboviral diseases have become unnecessarily siloed, ignoring the strengths and weaknesses of different data types and methods. This places limits on data and model output comparability, uncertainty estimation and generalisation that limit the answers they can provide to some of the most pressing questions in arbovirus control. We argue for a new generation of risk mapping models that jointly infer risk from multiple data types. We outline how this can be achieved conceptually and show how this new framework creates opportunities to better integrate epidemiological understanding and uncertainty quantification. We advocate for more co-development of risk maps among modellers and end-users to better enable risk maps to inform public health decisions. Prospective validation of risk maps for specific applications can inform further targeted data collection and subsequent model refinement in an iterative manner. If the expanding use of arbovirus risk maps for control is to continue, methods must develop and adapt to changing questions, interventions and data availability. |
| Developing monitoring and evaluation tools for event-based surveillance: experience from Vietnam
Clara A , Dao ATP , Mounts AW , Bernadotte C , Nguyen HT , Tran QM , Tran QD , Dang TQ , Merali S , Balajee SA , Do TT . Global Health 2020 16 (1) 38 BACKGROUND: In 2016-2017, Vietnam's Ministry of Health (MoH) implemented an event-based surveillance (EBS) pilot project in six provinces as part of Global Health Security Agenda (GHSA) efforts. This manuscript describes development and design of tools for monitoring and evaluation (M&E) of EBS in Vietnam. METHODS: A strategic EBS framework was developed based on the EBS implementation pilot project's goals and objectives. The main process and outcome components were identified and included input, activities, outputs, and outcome indicators. M&E tools were developed to collect quantitative and qualitative data. The tools included a supervisory checklist, a desk review tool, a key informant interview guide, a focus group discussion guide, a timeliness form, and an online acceptability survey. An evaluation team conducted field visits for assessment of EBS 5-9 months after implementation. RESULTS: The quantitative data collected provided evidence on the number and type of events that were being reported, the timeliness of the system, and the event-to-signal ratio. The qualitative and subjective data collected helped to increase understanding of the system's field utility and acceptance by field staff, reasons for non-compliance with established guidelines, and other factors influencing implementation. CONCLUSIONS: The use of M&E tools for the EBS pilot project in Vietnam provided data on signals and events reported, timeliness of reporting and response, perceptions and opinions of implementers, and fidelity of EBS implementation. These data were valuable for Vietnam's MoH to understand the function of the EBS program, and the success and challenges of implementing this project in Vietnam. |
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