Last data update: Jun 20, 2025. (Total: 49421 publications since 2009)
Records 1-3 (of 3 Records) |
Query Trace: Telford CT[original query] |
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Predictive Model for Estimating Annual Ebolavirus Spillover Potential
Telford CT , Amman BR , Towner JS , Montgomery JM , Lessler J , Shoemaker T . Emerg Infect Dis 2025 31 (4) 689-698 ![]() ![]() Forest changes, human population dynamics, and meteorologic conditions have been associated with zoonotic Ebolavirus spillover into humans. High-resolution spatial data for those variables can be used to produce estimates of spillover potential and assess possible annual changes. We developed a model of Ebolavirus spillover during 2001-2021, accounting for variables measured across multiple spatial and temporal scales. We estimated the annual relative odds of Ebolavirus spillover during 2021 and 2022. The highest relative spillover odds estimates occurred in patches that closely followed the spatial distribution of forest loss and fragmentation. Regions throughout equatorial Africa had increased spillover estimates related to changes in forests and human populations. Spillover events in 2022 occurred in locations in the top 0.1% of overall spillover odds estimates or where estimates increased from 2021 to 2022. This model can be used to preemptively target surveillance to identify outbreaks, mitigate disease spread, and educate the public on risk factors for infection. |
Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever Outbreak in Refugee Settlement during COVID-19 Pandemic, Uganda, April 2021.
Nyakarahuka L , Whitmer S , Kyondo J , Mulei S , Cossaboom CM , Telford CT , Tumusiime A , Akurut GG , Namanya D , Kamugisha K , Baluku J , Lutwama J , Balinandi S , Shoemaker T , Klena JD . Emerg Infect Dis 2022 28 (11) 2326-2329 Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) was detected in 2 refugees living in a refugee settlement in Kikuube district, Uganda. Investigations revealed a CCHF IgG seroprevalence of 71.3% (37/52) in goats within the refugee settlement. This finding highlights the need for a multisectoral approach to controlling CCHF in humans and animals in Uganda. |
Geospatial transmission hotspots of recent HIV infection - Malawi, October 2019-March 2020
Telford CT , Tessema Z , Msukwa M , Arons MM , Theu J , Bangara FF , Ernst A , Welty S , O'Malley G , Dobbs T , Shanmugam V , Kabaghe A , Dale H , Wadonda-Kabondo N , Gugsa S , Kim A , Bello G , Eaton JW , Jahn A , Nyirenda R , Parekh BS , Shiraishi RW , Kim E , Tobias JL , Curran KG , Payne D , Auld AF . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (9) 329-334 Persons infected with HIV are more likely to transmit the virus during the early stages (acute and recent) of infection, when viral load is elevated and opportunities to implement risk reduction are limited because persons are typically unaware of their status (1,2). Identifying recent HIV infections (acquired within the preceding 12 months)* is critical to understanding the factors and geographic areas associated with transmission to strengthen program intervention, including treatment and prevention (2). During June 2019, a novel recent infection surveillance initiative was integrated into routine HIV testing services in Malawi, a landlocked country in southeastern Africa with one of the world's highest prevalences of HIV infection.(†) The objectives of this initiative were to collect data on new HIV diagnoses, characterize the epidemic, and guide public health response (2). New HIV diagnoses were classified as recent infections based on a testing algorithm that included results from the rapid test for recent infection (RTRI)(§) and HIV viral load testing (3,4). Among 9,168 persons aged ≥15 years with a new HIV diagnosis who received testing across 103 facilities during October 2019-March 2020, a total of 304 (3.3%) were classified as having a recent infection. Higher proportions of recent infections were detected among females, persons aged <30 years, and clients at maternal and child health and youth clinics. Using a software application that analyzes clustering in spatially referenced data, transmission hotspots were identified with rates of recent infection that were significantly higher than expected. These near real-time HIV surveillance data highlighted locations across Malawi, allowing HIV program stakeholders to assess program gaps and improve access to HIV testing, prevention, and treatment services. Hotspot investigation information could be used to tailor HIV testing, prevention, and treatment to ultimately interrupt transmission. |
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