Last data update: Aug 15, 2025. (Total: 49733 publications since 2009)
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| Pediatric COVID-19 Hospitalization Trends by Race and Ethnicity, 2020-2023
Anglin O , Patel K , Daily Kirley P , Sachdev D , Alden NB , Armistead I , Yousey-Hindes K , Meek J , Witt LS , Openo KP , Monroe ML , Kim S , Urlaub E , Como-Sabetti K , D'Heilly P , Ropp SL , Eisenberg N , Rowlands JV , Barney G , Bushey S , St George K , Sutton M , Abdullah N , Schaffner W , Talbot HK , Chatelain R , Price A , King H , Taylor CA , Patton ME , Havers FP . JAMA Netw Open 2025 8 (7) e2521009 IMPORTANCE: Examining racial and ethnic disparities in pediatric COVID-19 hospitalizations is critical to inform public health efforts to reduce those disparities. OBJECTIVE: To characterize trends in pediatric COVID-19 hospitalizations by race and ethnicity from March 2020 to September 2023, focusing on recent epidemiologic findings (October 2022 to September 2023). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study used data from the COVID-19 Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET) including 13 555 hospitalizations among patients aged 17 years or younger with a laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection who are residents of the COVID-NET catchment area in 12 states, covering approximately 10% of the US population. EXPOSURE: Laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection within 14 days prior to or during hospitalization. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Pediatric COVID-19-associated hospitalization rates by race and ethnicity and characteristics associated with COVID-19-associated hospitalizations. RESULTS: Between March 2020 and September 2023, COVID-NET identified 13 555 pediatric hospitalizations (median patient age, 3.3 years [IQR, 0.6-12.5 years]; 7110 boys [52.5%]; 780 non-Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander children [5.8%], 3837 non-Hispanic Black children [28.3%], 4131 Hispanic children [30.5%], and 4807 non-Hispanic White children [35.5%]). Hospitalization rates were 2.15 (95% CI, 2.01-2.34) times higher for Black children and 2.06 (95% CI, 1.91-2.23) times higher for Hispanic children compared with Asian or Pacific Islander children, who had the lowest rates. Despite overall decreased pediatric hospitalization rates between October 2022 and September 2023, higher rates of intensive care unit admissions among Black and Hispanic children persisted, at 1.88 (95% CI, 1.28-2.74) times higher for Black children and 2.13 (95% CI, 1.47-3.10) times higher for Hispanic children compared with Asian or Pacific Islander children. Among hospitalized children, 61.4% (95% CI, 57.0%-65.8%) of Black patients and 45.5% (95% CI, 41.9%-49.3%) of Hispanic patients had 1 or more underlying medical condition compared with 45.6% (95% CI, 42.1%-49.1%) of White children and 45.0% (95% CI, 41.9%-49.3%) of Asian or Pacific Islander children. Obesity (17.8%; 95% CI, 15.3%-20.5%) and neurologic disorders (15.2%; 95% CI, 13.7%-16.8%) were the most common conditions overall; 11.9% (95% CI, 9.1%-15.1%) of Black children had sickle cell disease, the fourth most common condition in this group. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This study found that among pediatric patients hospitalized with COVID-19, Black and Hispanic children were disproportionately more likely to be hospitalized for COVID-19 and experience severe disease compared with White and Asian or Pacific Islander children. A higher proportion of hospitalized Black children had underlying medical conditions. This study underlines the need for targeted interventions, particularly for children with underlying medical conditions, and the need for equitable access and use of vaccines and therapeutics for disproportionately affected populations. |
| Hospitalization for COVID-19 and Risk Factors for Severe Disease Among Children: 2022-2024
Free RJ , Patel K , Taylor CA , Sachdev D , Kawasaki B , Meek J , Openo KP , Ryan PA , Reeg L , D'Heilly P , Smelser C , Engesser K , Tesini BL , Sutton M , Talbot HK , Swain A , Campbell AP , Havers FP . Pediatrics 2025 OBJECTIVES: We assessed characteristics associated with pediatric COVID-19 hospitalizations and risk factors for severe disease among hospitalized children ≥6 months. METHODS: Using data from COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET) during October 1, 2022-April 30, 2024, we described demographic characteristics, underlying medical conditions, COVID-19 vaccination status, and clinical outcomes, including severe disease (ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, in-hospital death), of hospitalized children 6 months-17 years residing in the COVID-NET catchment area with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Multivariable log-linked Poisson generalized estimating equations were conducted to assess risk factors for severe disease among children 6-23 months and 2-17 years. RESULTS: Of 2,490 children hospitalized for COVID-19, 1114 (44.7%) were 6-23 months; 1358 (54.1%) were male. Overall, 1464 (58.9%) had ≥1 underlying conditions: 471 (41.8%) of children 6-23 months, 290 (61.6%) 2-4 years, 383 (79.2%) 5-11 years, and 320 (77.0%) 12-17 years. 100 (3.8%) were up-to-date with recommended COVID-19 vaccination. Among children 6-23 months, severe disease was associated with underlying chronic lung (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 1.5, 95% CI: 1.2-1.8) and cardiovascular disease (aRR: 1.4, 95% CI: 1.1-1.7). Among children ≥2 years, severity was associated with chronic lung disease (aRR: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.5-2.3), diabetes (aRR: 1.5, 95% CI: 1.2-1.8), and neurologic disorders (aRR: 1.4, 95% CI: 1.2-1.6). CONCLUSION: Most hospitalized children ≥6 months had ≥1 underlying conditions and <5% were up-to-date with COVID-19 vaccination. Specific conditions were associated with increased risk of severe illness. Increasing COVID-19 vaccination, particularly among children with high-risk conditions, may reduce pediatric COVID-19 hospitalizations and severe outcomes. |
| The epidemiology of bacterial meningitis in the United States during 2008–2023: an analysis of active, laboratory, population-based, multistate surveillance data
Prasad N , Kobayashi M , Collins JP , Rubis AB , Derado G , Delahoy MJ , Payne DC , McGee L , Chochua S , Marjuki H , McNamara LA , Fox LM , Reingold A , Barnes M , Petit S , Farley MM , Harrison LH , Lynfield R , Houston J , Anderson BJ , Thomas A , Talbot KH , Schaffner W , Cohen AL , Schrag SJ , Arvay M . Lancet Reg Health - Am 2025 47
Background: Bacterial meningitis is a severe syndrome with dynamic epidemiology, but assessments of current trends are limited. We aimed to describe changing epidemiologic patterns among common bacterial causes of meningitis in the United States. Methods: We analyzed data on bacterial meningitis cases caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, group B Streptococcus (GBS), Haemophilus influenzae, Neisseria meningitidis, and Listeria monocytogenes in 10 U.S. surveillance sites. We compared incidence (cases per 100,000) across four epidemiologic periods: 2008–2009, 2010–2019, 2020–2021, and 2022–2023. Findings: We identified 5,032 bacterial meningitis cases; among those with outcome data, 11% (573/5028) died. S. pneumoniae was the dominant pathogen (59% [2922/5032]) throughout. However, GBS predominated among infants aged 0–2 months (85% [660/775]), the age group with the highest incidence. Between 2008–2009 and 2010–2019, overall bacterial meningitis incidence declined from 1.3 to 1.1, driven by decreases in S. pneumoniae meningitis caused by serotypes contained in the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) and N. meningitidis meningitis. Meningitis caused by non-b H. influenzae strains increased during this period. During 2020–2021, incidence declined to 0.7, driven by decreases in S. pneumoniae, H. influenzae, and N. meningitidis meningitis, regardless of organism subtype. During 2022–2023, incidence increased to 1.0, driven by increases in S. pneumoniae and H. influenzae meningitis. Case fatality ratios remained stable throughout. Interpretation: Bacterial meningitis incidence rates have declined since 2008, with a notable low during 2020–2021, followed by a resurgence during 2022–2023. Case fatality remains high. Strategies that provide effective and broader pneumococcal and H. influenzae serotype protection and prevent infant GBS meningitis could reduce residual meningitis burden. Funding: U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. © 2025 |
| Interim Evaluation of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Hospitalization Rates Among Infants and Young Children After Introduction of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Prevention Products - United States, October 2024-February 2025
Patton ME , Moline HL , Whitaker M , Tannis A , Pham H , Toepfer AP , Taylor CA , Goldstein L , Reingold A , Kirley PD , Alden NB , Kawasaki B , Meek J , Kim D , Witt LS , Openo KP , Ryan PA , Mumm E , Lynfield R , Salazar-Sanchez Y , Pacheco F , Keating F , Anderson BJ , Tesini BL , Felsen CB , Sutton M , Thomas A , Schaffner W , Talbot HK , Harbi K , Doran E , Weinberg GA , Staat MA , Payne DC , Halasa NB , Stewart L , Boom JA , Sahni LC , Klein EJ , Englund JA , Williams JV , Michaels MG , Schuster JE , Selvarangan R , Szilagyi PG , Havers FP , Dawood FS . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2025 74 (16) 273-281 Maternal respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccine and nirsevimab, a long-acting monoclonal antibody for infants aged 0-7 months and children aged 8-19 months who are at increased risk for severe RSV disease, became widely available for prevention of severe RSV disease among infants and young children during the 2024-25 RSV season. To evaluate the association between availability of these products and infant and child RSV-associated hospitalization rates, the rates among children aged <5 years were compared for the 2024-25 and 2018-20 RSV seasons using data from the RSV-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (RSV-NET) and New Vaccine Surveillance Network (NVSN). Among infants aged 0-7 months (eligible for protection with maternal vaccination or nirsevimab), 2024-25 RSV-associated hospitalization rates were lower compared with 2018-20 pooled rates (estimated relative rate reductions of 43% [RSV-NET: 95% CI = 40%-46%] and 28% [NVSN: 95% CI = 18%-36%]). The largest estimated rate reduction was observed among infants aged 0-2 months (RSV-NET: 52%, 95% CI = 49%-56%; NVSN: 45%, 95% CI = 32%-57%) and during peak hospitalization periods (December-February). These findings support Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices' recommendations for maternal vaccination or nirsevimab to protect against severe RSV disease in infants and highlight the importance of implementing the recommendations to protect infants as early in the RSV season as possible, before peak transmission, and for infants born during the RSV season, within the first week of life, ideally during the birth hospitalization. |
| In depth sequencing of a serially sampled household cohort reveals the within-host dynamics of Omicron SARS-CoV-2 and rare selection of novel spike variants
Bendall EE , Dimcheff D , Papalambros L , Fitzsimmons WJ , Zhu Y , Schmitz J , Halasa N , Chappell J , Martin ET , Biddle JE , Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Rolfes MA , Mellis A , Talbot HK , Grijalva C , Lauring AS . PLoS Pathog 2025 21 (4) e1013134
SARS-CoV-2 has undergone repeated and rapid evolution to circumvent host immunity. However, outside of prolonged infections in immunocompromised hosts, within-host positive selection has rarely been detected. Here we combine daily longitudinal sampling of individuals with replicate sequencing to increase the accuracy of and lower the threshold for variant calling. We sequenced 577 specimens from 105 individuals in a household cohort during the BA.1/BA.2 variant period. Individuals exhibited extremely low viral diversity, and we estimated a low within-host evolutionary rate. Within-host dynamics were dominated by genetic drift and purifying selection. Positive selection was rare but highly concentrated in spike. A Wright Fisher Approximate Bayesian Computational model identified positive selection at 14 loci with 7 in spike, including S:448 and S:339. This detectable immune-mediated selection is unusual in acute respiratory infections and may be caused by the relatively narrow antibody repertoire in individuals during the early Omicron phase of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. |
| Identification and characterisation of clinically distinct subgroups of adults hospitalised with influenza in the USA: a repeated cross-sectional study
Bozio CH , Masalovich S , O'Halloran A , Kirley PD , Hoover C , Alden NB , Austin E , Meek J , Yousey-Hindes K , Openo KP , Witt LS , Monroe ML , Falkowski A , Leegwater L , Lynfield R , McMahon M , Sosin DM , Khanlian SA , Anderson BJ , Spina N , Felsen CB , Gaitan MA , Lung K , Shiltz E , Thomas A , Schaffner W , Talbot HK , Mendez E , Staten H , Reed C , Garg S . EClinicalMedicine 2025 83 103207 BACKGROUND: Patients hospitalised with influenza have heterogeneous clinical presentations and disease severity, which may complicate epidemiologic study design or interpretation. We applied latent class analysis to identify clinically distinct subgroups of adults hospitalised with influenza. METHODS: We analysed cross-sectional study data on adults (≥18 years) hospitalised with laboratory-confirmed influenza from the population-based U.S. Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network (FluSurv-NET) including 13 states during 2017-2018 and 2018-2019 influenza seasons (October 1 through April 30). Adults were included if they were residents of the FluSurv-NET catchment area, hospitalised with laboratory-confirmed influenza during these two seasons, and had both the main case report form and the supplemental disease severity case report form completed. We constructed a latent class model to identify subgroups from multiple observed variables including baseline characteristics (age and comorbidities) and clinical course (symptoms at admission, respiratory support requirement, and development of new complications and exacerbations of underlying conditions). FINDINGS: Among the 43,811 influenza-associated hospitalizations reported during the 2017-2018 and 2018-2019 influenza seasons, 15,873 (36.2%) were included in our analytic population: among them, 7069 (44.5%) were male and 8804 (55.5%) were female. We identified five subgroups. Subgroup A included persons of all ages with few comorbidities and 87.9% (255/290) of pregnant women. Subgroup B included older adults with comorbidities (cardiovascular disease (79.7% [3650/4581]) and diabetes (50.6% [2320/4581])). Almost all patients in subgroups C and D had asthma or chronic lung disease and high proportions with exacerbations of underlying conditions (59.7% [889/1489] and 65.1% [2274/3496], respectively). Subgroup E had the highest proportion with new complications (90.3% [1383/1531]). Subgroups D and E had the highest proportions with severe disease indicators: 21.0% (733/3496) and 50.4% (771/1531) required ICU admission, 7.2% (253/3496) and 28.0% (428/1531) required invasive mechanical ventilation, and 3.3% (116/3496) and 11.4% (174/1531) died in-hospital, respectively. INTERPRETATION: The five identified subgroups of adults hospitalised with influenza had varying distributions of age, comorbid conditions, and clinical courses characterized by new complications versus exacerbations of existing conditions. Stratifying by these subgroups may strengthen analyses that assess the impact of influenza vaccination and antiviral treatment on risk of severe disease. Limitations included that results were based on a convenience sample within FluSurv-NET sites and were likely not representative of all adults hospitalised with influenza in the United States. Influenza testing was also clinician-driven, likely leading to under-ascertainment. FUNDING: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. |
| Invasive Group A Streptococcal Infections in 10 US States
Gregory CJ , Okaro JO , Reingold A , Chai S , Herlihy R , Petit S , Farley MM , Harrison LH , Como-Sabetti K , Lynfield R , Snippes Vagnone P , Sosin D , Anderson BJ , Burzlaff K , Martin T , Thomas A , Schaffner W , Talbot HK , Beall B , Chochua S , Chung Y , Park S , Van Beneden C , Li Y , Schrag SJ . Jama 2025
IMPORTANCE: Invasive group A Streptococcus (GAS) infections are associated with substantial morbidity, mortality, and economic burden. OBJECTIVE: To update trends in invasive GAS disease incidence rates in 10 US states between 2013 and 2022. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Clinical, demographic, and laboratory data for invasive GAS cases were collected as part of population-based surveillance in the Active Bacterial Core surveillance network covering 34.9 million persons across 10 US states. A case was defined as isolation of GAS from a normally sterile site or from a wound in a patient with necrotizing fasciitis or streptococcal toxic shock syndrome between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2022. Demographic and clinical data were collected from medical record review. From 2013 to 2014, available isolates were emm typed and antimicrobial susceptibilities determined using conventional methods; from 2015 onward, whole-genome sequencing was used. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Incidence rates by sex, age, race, and selected risk factors; clinical syndromes, outcomes, and underlying patient conditions; and isolate characteristics, including antimicrobial susceptibility. RESULTS: Surveillance in 10 US states identified 21 312 cases of invasive GAS from 2013 through 2022, including 1981 deaths. The majority of cases (57.5%) were in males. Among case-patients, 1272 (6.0%) were aged 0 to 17 years, 13 565 (63.7%) were aged 18 to 64 years, and 6474 (30.4%) were 65 years or older; 5.5% were American Indian or Alaska Native, 14.3% were Black, and 67.1% were White. Incidence rose from 3.6 per 100 000 persons in 2013 to 8.2 per 100 000 persons in 2022 (P < .001 for trend). Incidence was highest among persons 65 years or older; however, the relative increase over time was greatest among adults aged 18 to 64 years (3.2 to 8.7 per 100 000 persons). Incidence was higher among American Indian or Alaska Native persons than in other racial and ethnic groups. People experiencing homelessness, people who inject drugs, and residents of long-term care facilities had substantially elevated GAS incidence rates. Among tested isolates, those nonsusceptible to macrolides and clindamycin increased from 12.7% in 2013 to 33.1% in 2022. CONCLUSIONS: Invasive GAS infections increased substantially in 10 US states during a surveillance period from 2013 to 2022. Accelerated efforts to prevent and control GAS are needed, especially among groups at highest risk of infection. |
| The burden of all-cause mortality following influenza-associated hospitalizations, FluSurv-NET, 2010-2019
O'Halloran AC , Millman AJ , Holstein R , Olsen SJ , Cummings CN , Chai SJ , Kirley PD , Alden NB , Yousey-Hindes K , Meek J , Openo KP , Fawcett E , Ryan PA , Leegwater L , Henderson J , McMahon M , Lynfield R , Angeles KM , Bleecker M , McGuire S , Spina NL , Tesini BL , Gaitan MA , Lung K , Shiltz E , Thomas A , Talbot HK , Schaffner W , Hill M , Reed C , Garg S . Clin Infect Dis 2025 80 (3) e43-e45 BACKGROUND: While the estimated number of US influenza-associated deaths is reported annually, detailed data on the epidemiology of influenza-associated deaths, including the burden of in-hospital vs post-hospital discharge deaths, are limited. METHODS: Using data from the 2010-2011 through 2018-2019 seasons from the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network, we linked cases to death certificates to identify patients who died from any cause during their influenza hospital stay or within 30 days post discharge. We described demographic and clinical characteristics of patients who died in the hospital vs post discharge and characterized locations and causes of death (CODs). RESULTS: Among 121 390 cases hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed influenza over 9 seasons, 5.5% died; 76% of deaths were in patients aged ≥65 years, 71% were non-Hispanic White, and 34% had 4 or more underlying medical conditions. Among all patients with an influenza-associated hospitalization who died, 48% of deaths occurred after hospital discharge; the median number of days from discharge to death was 9 (interquartile range, 3-19). Post-discharge deaths more often occurred in older patients and among those with underlying medical conditions. Only 37% of patients who died had "influenza" as a COD on their death certificate. Influenza was more frequently listed as a COD among persons who died in the hospital compared with cardiovascular disease among those who died after discharge. CONCLUSIONS: All-cause mortality burden is substantial among patients hospitalized with influenza, with almost 50% of deaths occurring within 30 days after hospital discharge. Surveillance systems should consider capture of post-discharge outcomes to better characterize the impact of influenza on all-cause mortality. |
| Ongoing symptoms after acute SARS-CoV-2 or influenza infection in a case-ascertained household transmission study: 7 US Sites, 2021-2023
Bullock A , Dalton AF , Stockwell MS , McLaren SH , Sano E , Nguyen HQ , Rao S , Asturias E , Lutrick K , Ellingson KD , Maldonado Y , Mellis AM , Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Grijalva CG , Talbot HK , Rolfes MAR , Biddle JE , Zhu Y , Ledezma K , Pryor K , Valdez de Romero A , Vargas C , Petrie JG , Floris-Moore M , Bowman N . Clin Infect Dis 2025
BACKGROUND: The prevalence and risk factors for ongoing symptoms following severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) [SCV2]) or influenza infection are not well characterized. We conducted a prospective cohort study of households wherein ≥1 individual was infected with SCV2 or influenza to evaluate prevalence of and factors associated with ongoing symptoms at 90 days. METHODS: Index cases and their household contacts provided baseline health and sociodemographic information and collected daily respiratory specimens for 10 days following enrollment. Participants completed a follow-up survey 90 days after enrollment to characterize ongoing symptoms. RESULTS: We analyzed 1967 participants enrolled between December 2021 and May 2023. The risk of ongoing symptoms did not differ by infection status in SCV2 (SCV2-positive: 15.6%; SCV2-negative: 13.9%; odds ratio [OR]: 1.14; 95% CI: .7-1.69) or influenza (influenza-positive: 8.8%; influenza-negative: 10.0%; OR: .87; 95% CI: .45-1.72) households. However, among study participants with a documented infection, SCV2-positive participants had nearly twice the odds of ongoing symptoms as influenza-positive participants (OR: 1.92; 95% CI: 1.27-2.97). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that SCV2 households have a significantly higher prevalence of ongoing symptoms compared with influenza households (OR: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.28-2.47). Among participants with SCV2 infection, underlying conditions (adjusted OR [aOR]: 2.65; 95% CI: 1.80-3.90) and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-like symptoms (aOR: 2.92; 95% CI: 1.15-7.43) during acute infection increased odds of ongoing symptoms at 90 days, whereas hybrid immunity reduced the odds of ongoing symptoms (aOR: 0.44; 95% CI: .22-.90). |
| Timing of influenza antiviral therapy and risk of death in adults hospitalized with influenza-associated pneumonia, FluSurv-NET, 2012-2019
Tenforde MW , Noah KP , O'Halloran AC , Kirley PD , Hoover C , Alden NB , Armistead I , Meek J , Yousey-Hindes K , Openo KP , Witt LS , Monroe ML , Ryan PA , Falkowski A , Reeg L , Lynfield R , McMahon M , Hancock EB , Hoffman MR , McGuire S , Spina NL , Felsen CB , Gaitan MA , Lung K , Shiltz E , Thomas A , Schaffner W , Talbot HK , Crossland MT , Price A , Masalovich S , Adams K , Holstein R , Sundaresan D , Uyeki TM , Reed C , Bozio CH , Garg S . Clin Infect Dis 2025 80 (2) 461-468 BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is common in adults hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed influenza, but the association between timeliness of influenza antiviral treatment and severe clinical outcomes in patients with influenza-associated pneumonia is not well characterized. METHODS: We included adults aged ≥18 years hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed influenza and a discharge diagnosis of pneumonia over 7 influenza seasons (2012-2019) sampled from a multistate population-based surveillance network. We evaluated 3 treatment groups based on timing of influenza antiviral initiation relative to admission date (day 0, day 1, days 2-5). Baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes were compared across groups using unweighted counts and weighted percentages accounting for the complex survey design. Logistic regression models were generated to evaluate the association between delayed treatment and 30-day all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 26 233 adults were sampled in the analysis. Median age was 71 years and most (92.2%) had ≥1 non-immunocompromising condition. Overall, 60.9% started antiviral treatment on day 0, 29.5% on day 1, and 9.7% on days 2-5 (median, 2 days). Baseline characteristics were similar across groups. Thirty-day mortality occurred in 7.5%, 8.5%, and 10.2% of patients who started treatment on day 0, day 1, and days 2-5, respectively. Compared to those treated on day 0, adjusted odds ratio for death was 1.14 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.27) in those starting treatment on day 1 and 1.40 (95% CI, 1.17-1.66) in those starting on days 2-5. CONCLUSIONS: Delayed initiation of antiviral treatment in patients hospitalized with influenza-associated pneumonia was associated with higher risk of death, highlighting the importance of timely initiation of antiviral treatment at admission. |
| Estimating the generation time for influenza transmission using household data in the United States
Chan LYH , Morris SE , Stockwell MS , Bowman NM , Asturias E , Rao S , Lutrick K , Ellingson KD , Nguyen HQ , Maldonado Y , McLaren SH , Sano E , Biddle JE , Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Biggerstaff M , Rolfes MA , Talbot HK , Grijalva CG , Borchering RK , Mellis AM . Epidemics 2025 50 100815
The generation time, representing the interval between infections in primary and secondary cases, is essential for understanding and predicting the transmission dynamics of seasonal influenza, including the real-time effective reproduction number (Rt). However, comprehensive generation time estimates for seasonal influenza, especially since the 2009 influenza pandemic, are lacking. We estimated the generation time utilizing data from a 7-site case-ascertained household study in the United States over two influenza seasons, 2021/2022 and 2022/2023. More than 200 individuals who tested positive for influenza and their household contacts were enrolled within 7 days of the first illness in the household. All participants were prospectively followed for 10 days, completing daily symptom diaries and collecting nasal swabs, which were then tested for influenza via RT-PCR. We analyzed these data by modifying a previously published Bayesian data augmentation approach that imputes infection times of cases to obtain both intrinsic (assuming no susceptible depletion) and realized (observed within household) generation times. We assessed the robustness of the generation time estimate by varying the incubation period, and generated estimates of the proportion of transmission occurring before symptomatic onset, the infectious period, and the latent period. We estimated a mean intrinsic generation time of 3.2 (95 % credible interval, CrI: 2.9-3.6) days, with a realized household generation time of 2.8 (95 % CrI: 2.7-3.0) days. The generation time exhibited limited sensitivity to incubation period variation. Estimates of the proportion of transmission that occurred before symptom onset, the infectious period, and the latent period were sensitive to variations in the incubation period. Our study contributes to the ongoing efforts to refine estimates of the generation time for influenza. Our estimates, derived from recent data following the COVID-19 pandemic, are consistent with previous pre-pandemic estimates, and will be incorporated into real-time Rt estimation efforts. |
| Vaccine effectiveness against influenza-associated hospitalizations in adults with liver disease, 2015-2020: US Hospitalized Adult Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network (HAIVEN)
Huang PH , Nowalk MP , Zimmerman RK , Olson SM , Talbot HK , Zhu Y , Gaglani M , Murthy K , Monto AS , Martin ET , Silveira FP , Balasubramani GK . Hum Vaccin Immunother 2025 21 (1) 2457205
Influenza causes 100,000-710,000 hospitalizations annually in the U.S. Patients with liver disease are at higher risk of severe outcomes following influenza infection. This study evaluated influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against influenza-associated hospitalization among adults with liver disease. Data from the U.S. Hospitalized Adult Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network (HAIVEN), a test-negative case-control study, from 2015 to 2020 were used to estimate VE among adults ≥18 years admitted for acute respiratory illness. VE was calculated as (1-adjusted odds ratio)*100%, comparing the odds of vaccine receipt between laboratory-confirmed influenza cases and test-negative controls using multiple logistic regression with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). In total, 1,622 (12.8%) of 12,704 adults had ≥1 liver disease(s). Compared with those without liver disease, adults with liver disease were more likely to be admitted to the intensive care unit (15.7% vs 12.8%, p = .001) or to die in hospital (3.0% vs 1.4%, p < .001). The IPTW-adjusted VE against influenza-associated hospitalization was 27% (95% confidence interval [CI], 22-32%) among patients without liver disease, but the VE of 11% (95% CI, -8-26%) was not significant among those with liver disease. Significant effect modification of VE by the presence of liver disease was found (p < .05 for interaction term). While influenza vaccination significantly reduced the risk of influenza-associated hospitalization among adults without liver disease, the protective effect was not significant among those with liver disease. Further studies are warranted to evaluate influenza VE in patients with different types of liver disease and with specific vaccine formulations. | Using a test-negative, case-control study, we observed that influenza vaccination was associated with a significantly lower risk of influenza-associated hospitalization among adults without liver disease, but the protective effect was not significant among those with liver disease. | eng |
| Association of symptoms and viral culture positivity for SARS-CoV-2-Tennessee, April-July 2020
Biddle JE , Bonenfant G , Grijalva CG , Zhu Y , Halasa NB , Chappell JD , Mellis A , Reed C , Talbot HK , Zhou B , Rolfes MA . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2024 18 (6) e13318
BACKGROUND: Understanding how symptoms are associated with SARS-CoV-2 culture positivity is important for isolation and transmission control guidelines. METHODS: Individuals acutely infected with SARS-CoV-2 in Tennessee and their household contacts were recruited into a prospective study. All participants self-collected nasal swabs daily for 14 days and completed symptom diaries from the day of illness onset through day 14 postenrollment. Nasal specimens were tested for SARS-CoV-2 using RT-qPCR. Positive specimens with cycle threshold values < 40 were sent to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for viral culture. First, we modeled the association between symptoms and the risk of culture positivity using an age-adjusted generalized additive model (GAM) accounting for repeated measurements within participants and a symptom-day spline. Next, we investigated how timing of symptom resolution was associated with the timing of culture resolution. RESULTS: In a GAM restricted to follow-up days after symptoms began, the odds of a specimen being culture positive was significantly increased on days when wheezing, loss of taste or smell, runny nose, nasal congestion, sore throat, fever, or any symptom were reported. For all symptoms except sore throat, it was more common for participants to have culture resolution before symptom resolution than for culture to resolve after or on the same day as symptom resolution. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, symptomatic individuals were more likely to be SARS-CoV-2 viral culture positive. For most symptoms, culture positivity was more likely to end before symptoms resolved. However, a proportion of individuals remained culture positive after symptom resolved, across all symptoms. |
| Effectiveness of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines and hybrid immunity in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19 among adults in the United States
Feldstein LR , Ruffin J , Wiegand RE , Borkowf CB , James-Gist J , Babu TM , Briggs-Hagen M , Chappell J , Chu HY , Englund JA , Kuntz JL , Lauring AS , Lo N , Carone M , Lockwood C , Martin ET , Midgley CM , Monto AS , Naleway AL , Ogilvie T , Saydah S , Schmidt MA , Schmitz JE , Smith N , Sohn I , Starita L , Talbot HK , Weil AA , Grijalva CG . J Infect Dis 2025
BACKGROUND: Understanding protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection by vaccine and hybrid immunity is important for informing public health strategies as new variants emerge. METHODS: We analyzed data from three cohort studies spanning September 1, 2022-July 31, 2023, to estimate COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19 among adults with and without prior infection in the United States. Participants collected weekly nasal swabs, irrespective of symptoms, annual blood draws, and completed periodic surveys, which included vaccination status and prior infection history. Swabs were tested molecularly for SARS-CoV-2. VE was estimated using Cox proportional hazards models for the hazard ratios of infections, adjusting for covariates. VE was calculated considering prior infection and recency of vaccination. RESULTS: Among 3,344 adults, adjusted VE of bivalent vaccine against infection was 37.2% (95% CI: 12.3-55.7%) within 7-59 days of vaccination and 21.1% (95% CI: -0.5-37.1%) within 60-179 days of vaccination compared to participants who were unvaccinated/received an original monovalent vaccine dose ≥180 days prior. Overall, adjusted VE of bivalent vaccine against infection, in conjunction with prior infection, was 62.2% (95% CI: 46.0-74.5%) within 7-179 days of vaccination and 39.4% (95% CI: 12.5-61.6%) ≥180 days compared to naïve participants who were unvaccinated/received a monovalent vaccine dose ≥180 days prior. CONCLUSIONS: Adults with both prior infection and recent vaccination had high protection against infection and symptomatic illness. Recent vaccination alone provided moderate protection. |
| Use of additional doses of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine for adults aged ≤65 years and persons aged ≤6 months with moderate or severe immunocompromise: Recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices - United States, 2024
Roper LE , Godfrey M , Link-Gelles R , Moulia DL , Taylor CA , Peacock G , Brewer N , Brooks O , Kuchel G , Talbot HK , Schechter R , Fleming-Dutra KE , Panagiotakopoulos L . Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (49) 1118-1123 COVID-19 remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality, especially among adults aged ≤65 years and persons with moderate or severe immunocompromise; these persons are among those at highest risk for severe disease from COVID-19. On June 27, 2024, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccination for all persons aged ≤6 months to target currently circulating strains of SARS-CoV-2 and provide additional protection against severe COVID-19. Because SARS-CoV-2 circulates year-round and immunity from vaccination wanes, on October 23, 2024, ACIP recommended a second 2024- 2025 COVID-19 vaccine dose for all adults aged ≤65 years and for persons aged 6 months-64 years with moderate or severe immunocompromise, 6 months after their last dose of 2024- 2025 COVID-19 vaccine (minimum interval = 2 months). Further, ACIP recommended that persons aged ≤6 months who are moderately or severely immunocompromised may receive additional doses of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine (i.e., a total of ≤3 doses of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine) based on shared clinical decision-making. Staying up to date with COVID-19 vaccination is recommended to decrease the risk for severe COVID-19, especially among adults aged ≤65 years and persons with moderate or severe immunocompromise. © 2024 Department of Health and Human Services. All rights reserved. |
| Social vulnerability, intervention utilization, and outcomes in US adults hospitalized with influenza
Adams K , Yousey-Hindes K , Bozio CH , Jain S , Kirley PD , Armistead I , Alden NB , Openo KP , Witt LS , Monroe ML , Kim S , Falkowski A , Lynfield R , McMahon M , Hoffman MR , Shaw YP , Spina NL , Rowe A , Felsen CB , Licherdell E , Lung K , Shiltz E , Thomas A , Talbot HK , Schaffner W , Crossland MT , Olsen KP , Chang LW , Cummings CN , Tenforde MW , Garg S , Hadler JL , O'Halloran A . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (11) e2448003 IMPORTANCE: Seasonal influenza is associated with substantial disease burden. The relationship between census tract-based social vulnerability and clinical outcomes among patients with influenza remains unknown. OBJECTIVE: To characterize associations between social vulnerability and outcomes among patients hospitalized with influenza and to evaluate seasonal influenza vaccine and influenza antiviral utilization patterns across levels of social vulnerability. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective repeated cross-sectional study was conducted among adults with laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations from the 2014 to 2015 through the 2018 to 2019 influenza seasons. Data were from a population-based surveillance network of counties within 13 states. Data analysis was conducted in December 2023. EXPOSURE: Census tract-based social vulnerability. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Associations between census tract-based social vulnerability and influenza outcomes (intensive care unit admission, invasive mechanical ventilation and/or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support, and 30-day mortality) were estimated using modified Poisson regression as adjusted prevalence ratios. Seasonal influenza vaccine and influenza antiviral utilization were also characterized across levels of social vulnerability. RESULTS: Among 57 964 sampled cases, the median (IQR) age was 71 (58-82) years; 55.5% (95% CI, 51.5%-56.0%) were female; 5.2% (5.0%-5.4%) were Asian or Pacific Islander, 18.3% (95% CI, 18.0%-18.6%) were Black or African American, and 64.6% (95% CI, 64.2%-65.0%) were White; and 6.6% (95% CI, 6.4%-68%) were Hispanic or Latino and 74.7% (95% CI, 74.3%-75.0%) were non-Hispanic or Latino. High social vulnerability was associated with higher prevalence of invasive mechanical ventilation and/or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support (931 of 13 563 unweighted cases; adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR], 1.25 [95% CI, 1.13-1.39]), primarily due to socioeconomic status (790 of 11 255; aPR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.17-1.47]) and household composition and disability (773 of 11 256; aPR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.09-1.32]). Vaccination status, presence of underlying medical conditions, and respiratory symptoms partially mediated all significant associations. As social vulnerability increased, the proportion of patients receiving seasonal influenza vaccination declined (-19.4% relative change across quartiles; P < .001) as did the proportion vaccinated by October 31 (-6.8%; P < .001). No differences based on social vulnerability were found in in-hospital antiviral receipt, but early in-hospital antiviral initiation (-1.0%; P = .01) and prehospital antiviral receipt (-17.3%; P < .001) declined as social vulnerability increased. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional study, social vulnerability was associated with a modestly increased prevalence of invasive mechanical ventilation and/or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support among patients hospitalized with influenza. Contributing factors may have included worsened baseline respiratory health and reduced receipt of influenza prevention and prehospital or early in-hospital treatment interventions among persons residing in low socioeconomic areas. |
| Estimated effectiveness of influenza vaccines in preventing secondary infections in households
Grijalva CG , Nguyen HQ , Zhu Y , Mellis AM , McGonigle T , Meece JK , Biddle JE , Halasa NB , Reed C , Fry AM , Yang Y , Belongia EA , Talbot HK , Rolfes MA . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (11) e2446814
IMPORTANCE: Influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) is commonly assessed against prevention of illness that requires medical attention. Few studies have evaluated VE against secondary influenza infections. OBJECTIVE: To determine the estimated effectiveness of influenza vaccines in preventing secondary infections after influenza was introduced into households. DESIGN, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: During 3 consecutive influenza seasons (2017-2020), primary cases (the first household members with laboratory-confirmed influenza) and their household contacts in Tennessee and Wisconsin were enrolled into a prospective case-ascertained household transmission cohort study. Participants collected daily symptom diaries and nasal swabs for up to 7 days. Data were analyzed from September 2022 to February 2024. EXPOSURES: Vaccination history, self-reported and verified through review of medical and registry records. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Specimens were tested using reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction to determine influenza infection. Longitudinal chain binomial models were used to estimate secondary infection risk and the effectiveness of influenza vaccines in preventing infection among household contacts overall and by virus type and subtype and/or lineage. RESULTS: The analysis included 699 primary cases and 1581 household contacts. The median (IQR) age of the primary cases was 13 (7-38) years, 381 (54.5%) were female, 60 (8.6%) were Hispanic, 46 (6.6%) were non-Hispanic Black, 553 (79.1%) were Non-Hispanic White, and 343 (49.1%) were vaccinated. Among household contacts, the median age was 31 (10-41) years, 833 (52.7%) were female, 116 (7.3%) were Hispanic, 78 (4.9%) were non-Hispanic Black, 1283 (81.2%) were non-Hispanic White, 792 (50.1%) were vaccinated, and 356 (22.5%) had laboratory-confirmed influenza during follow-up. The overall secondary infection risk of influenza among household contacts was 18.8% (95% CI, 15.9% to 22.0%). The risk was highest among children and was 20.3% (95% CI, 16.4% to 24.9%) for influenza A and 15.9% (95% CI, 11.8% to 21.0%) for influenza B. The overall estimated VE for preventing secondary infections among unvaccinated household contacts was 21.0% (95% CI, 1.4% to 36.7%) and varied by type; estimated VE against influenza A was 5.0% (95% CI, -22.3% to 26.3%) and 56.4% (95% CI, 30.1% to 72.8%) against influenza B. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: After influenza was introduced into households, the risk of secondary influenza among unvaccinated household contacts was approximately 15% to 20%, and highest among children. Estimated VE varied by influenza type, with demonstrated protection against influenza B virus infection. |
| Underutilization of influenza antiviral treatment among children and adolescents at higher risk for influenza-associated complications - United States, 2023-2024
Frutos AM , Ahmad HM , Ujamaa D , O'Halloran AC , Englund JA , Klein EJ , Zerr DM , Crossland M , Staten H , Boom JA , Sahni LC , Halasa NB , Stewart LS , Hamdan O , Stopczynski T , Schaffner W , Talbot HK , Michaels MG , Williams JV , Sutton M , Hendrick MA , Staat MA , Schlaudecker EP , Tesini BL , Felsen CB , Weinberg GA , Szilagyi PG , Anderson BJ , Rowlands JV , Khalifa M , Martinez M , Selvarangan R , Schuster JE , Lynfield R , McMahon M , Kim S , Nunez VT , Ryan PA , Monroe ML , Wang YF , Openo KP , Meek J , Yousey-Hindes K , Alden NB , Armistead I , Rao S , Chai SJ , Kirley PD , Toepfer AP , Dawood FS , Moline HL , Uyeki TM , Ellington S , Garg S , Bozio CH , Olson SM . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (45) 1022-1029 Annually, tens of thousands of U.S. children and adolescents are hospitalized with seasonal influenza virus infection. Both influenza vaccination and early initiation of antiviral treatment can reduce complications of influenza. Using data from two U.S. influenza surveillance networks for children and adolescents aged <18 years with medically attended, laboratory-confirmed influenza for whom antiviral treatment is recommended, the percentage who received treatment was calculated. Trends in antiviral treatment of children and adolescents hospitalized with influenza from the 2017-18 to the 2023-2024 influenza seasons were also examined. Since 2017-18, when 70%-86% of hospitalized children and adolescents with influenza received antiviral treatment, the proportion receiving treatment notably declined. Among children and adolescents with influenza during the 2023-24 season, 52%-59% of those hospitalized received antiviral treatment. During the 2023-24 season, 31% of those at higher risk for influenza complications seen in the outpatient setting in one network were prescribed antiviral treatment. These findings demonstrate that influenza antiviral treatment is underutilized among children and adolescents who could benefit from treatment. All hospitalized children and adolescents, and those at higher risk for influenza complications in the outpatient setting, should receive antiviral treatment as soon as possible for suspected or confirmed influenza. |
| Burden of respiratory syncytial virus-associated hospitalizations in US adults, October 2016 to September 2023
Havers FP , Whitaker M , Melgar M , Pham H , Chai SJ , Austin E , Meek J , Openo KP , Ryan PA , Brown C , Como-Sabetti K , Sosin DM , Barney G , Tesini BL , Sutton M , Talbot HK , Chatelain R , Daily Kirley P , Armistead I , Yousey-Hindes K , Monroe ML , Tellez Nunez V , Lynfield R , Esquibel CL , Engesser K , Popham K , Novak A , Schaffner W , Markus TM , Swain A , Patton ME , Kim L . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (11) e2444756 IMPORTANCE: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection can cause severe illness in adults. However, there is considerable uncertainty in the burden of RSV-associated hospitalizations among adults prior to RSV vaccine introduction. OBJECTIVE: To describe the demographic characteristics of adults hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed RSV and to estimate annual rates and numbers of RSV-associated hospitalizations, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, and in-hospital deaths. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study used data from the RSV Hospitalization Surveillance Network (RSV-NET), a population-based surveillance platform that captures RSV-associated hospitalizations in 58 counties in 12 states, covering approximately 8% of the US population. The study period spanned 7 surveillance seasons from 2016-2017 through 2022-2023. Included cases from RSV-NET were nonpregnant hospitalized adults aged 18 years or older residing in the surveillance catchment area and with a positive RSV test result. EXPOSURE: Laboratory-confirmed RSV-associated hospitalization, defined as a positive RSV test result within 14 days before or during hospitalization. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Hospitalization rates per 100 000 adult population, stratified by age group. After adjusting for test sensitivity and undertesting for RSV in adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illnesses, rates were extrapolated to the US population to estimate annual numbers of RSV-associated hospitalizations. Clinical outcome data were used to estimate RSV-associated ICU admissions and in-hospital deaths. RESULTS: From the 2016 to 2017 through the 2022 to 2023 RSV seasons, there were 16 575 RSV-associated hospitalizations in adults (median [IQR] age, 70 [58-81] years; 9641 females [58.2%]). Excluding the 2020 to 2021 and the 2021 to 2022 seasons, when the COVID-19 pandemic affected RSV circulation, hospitalization rates ranged from 48.9 (95% CI, 33.4-91.5) per 100 000 adults in 2016 to 2017 to 76.2 (95% CI, 55.2-122.7) per 100 000 adults in 2017 to 2018. Rates were lowest among adults aged 18 to 49 years (8.6 [95% CI, 5.7-16.8] per 100 000 adults in 2016-2017 to 13.1 [95% CI, 11.0-16.1] per 100 000 adults in 2022-2023) and highest among adults 75 years or older (244.7 [95% CI, 207.9-297.3] per 100 000 adults in 2022-2023 to 411.4 [95% CI, 292.1-695.4] per 100 000 adults in 2017-2018). Annual hospitalization estimates ranged from 123 000 (95% CI, 84 000-230 000) in 2016 to 2017 to 193 000 (95% CI, 140 000-311 000) in 2017 to 2018. Annual ICU admission estimates ranged from 24 400 (95% CI, 16 700-44 800) to 34 900 (95% CI, 25 500-55 600) for the same seasons. Estimated annual in-hospital deaths ranged from 4680 (95% CI, 3570-6820) in 2018 to 2019 to 8620 (95% CI, 6220-14 090) in 2017 to 2018. Adults 75 years or older accounted for 45.6% (range, 43.1%-48.8%) of all RSV-associated hospitalizations, 38.6% (range, 36.7%-41.0%) of all ICU admissions, and 58.7% (range, 51.9%-67.1%) of all in-hospital deaths. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional study of adults hospitalized with RSV before the 2023 introduction of RSV vaccines, RSV was associated with substantial burden of hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and in-hospital deaths in adults, with the highest rates occurring in adults 75 years or older. Increasing RSV vaccination of older adults has the potential to reduce associated hospitalizations and severe clinical outcomes. |
| Assessment and mitigation of bias in influenza and COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness analyses - IVY Network, September 1, 2022-March 30, 2023
Lewis NM , Harker EJ , Leis A , Zhu Y , Talbot HK , Grijalva CG , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Johnson CA , Rice TW , Casey JD , Lauring AS , Gaglani M , Ghamande S , Columbus C , Steingrub JS , Shapiro NI , Duggal A , Felzer J , Prekker ME , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Hager DN , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Exline MC , Khan A , Wilson JG , Mosier J , Qadir N , Chang SY , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Mallow C , Harris ES , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Gibbs KW , Kwon JH , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Safdar B , DeCuir J , Surie D , Dawood FS , Ellington S , Self WH , Martin ET . Vaccine 2024 43 126492 BACKGROUND: In test-negative studies of vaccine effectiveness (VE), including patients with co-circulating, vaccine-preventable, respiratory pathogens in the control group for the pathogen of interest can introduce a downward bias on VE estimates. METHODS: A multicenter sentinel surveillance network in the US prospectively enrolled adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illness from September 1, 2022-March 31, 2023. We evaluated bias in estimates of VE against influenza-associated and COVID-19-associated hospitalization based on: inclusion vs exclusion of patients with a co-circulating virus among VE controls; observance of VE against the co-circulating virus (rather than the virus of interest), unadjusted and adjusted for vaccination against the virus of interest; and observance of influenza or COVID-19 against a sham outcome of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). RESULTS: Overall VE against influenza-associated hospitalizations was 6 percentage points lower when patients with COVID-19 were included in the control group, and overall VE against COVID-19-associated hospitalizations was 2 percentage points lower when patients with influenza were included in the control group. Analyses of VE against the co-circulating virus and against the sham outcome of RSV showed that downward bias was largely attributable the correlation of vaccination status across pathogens, but also potentially attributable to other sources of residual confounding in VE models. CONCLUSION: Excluding cases of confounding respiratory pathogens from the control group in VE analysis for a pathogen of interest can reduce downward bias. This real-world analysis demonstrates that such exclusion is a helpful bias mitigation strategy, especially for measuring influenza VE, which included a high proportion of COVID-19 cases among controls. |
| Trends in COVID-19-attributable hospitalizations among adults with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2-COVID-NET, June 2020 to September 2023
Taylor CA , Whitaker M , Patton ME , Melgar M , Kirley PD , Kawasaki B , Yousey-Hindes K , Openo KP , Ryan PA , Kim S , Como-Sabetti K , Solhtalab D , Barney G , Tesini BL , Moran NE , Sutton M , Talbot HK , Olsen K , Havers FP . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2024 18 (11) e70021 BACKGROUND: Screening for SARS-CoV-2 infection among hospital admissions made interpretation of COVID-19 hospitalization data challenging as SARS-CoV-2-positive persons with mild or asymptomatic infection may be incorrectly identified as COVID-19-associated hospitalizations. The study objective is to estimate the proportion of hospitalizations likely attributable to COVID-19 among SARS-CoV-2-positive hospitalized patients. METHODS: A sample of laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2-positive hospitalizations from the COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET) from June 2020 to September 2023 was analyzed, with a focus on July 2022 to September 2023. Likely COVID-19-attributable hospitalizations were defined as hospitalizations among SARS-CoV-2-positive non-pregnant adults ages ≥ 18 years with COVID-19-related presenting complaint, treatment, or discharge diagnosis. RESULTS: Among 44,816 sampled hospitalizations, 90% met the definition of likely COVID-19-attributable. Among the 9866 admissions occurring during July 2022 to September 2023, 86% were likely COVID-19-attributable; 87% had a COVID-19-related presenting complaint, 64% received steroids or COVID-19-related treatment, 47% had respiratory- and 10% had coagulopathy-related discharge diagnoses, and 39% had COVID-19 as the principal discharge diagnosis code. More than 70% met ≥ 2 criteria. Compared with likely COVID-19-attributable hospitalizations, SARS-CoV-2-positive patients who did not meet the case definition were more likely to be ages 18-49 years (27% vs. 13%), have no underlying medical conditions (14% vs. 4%), or be asymptomatic for COVID-19 upon admission (46% vs. 10%) (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Most hospitalizations among SARS-CoV-2-positive adults in a recent period were likely attributable to COVID-19. COVID-19-attributable hospitalizations are less common among younger SARS-CoV-2-positive hospitalized adults but still account for nearly three quarters of all admissions among SARS-CoV-2-positive adults in this age group. |
| Effectiveness of original monovalent and bivalent COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes among adults in the United States, September 2022-August 2023
DeCuir J , Surie D , Zhu Y , Lauring AS , Gaglani M , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Ginde AA , Steinwand A , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Ali H , Frosch A , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Khan A , Busse LW , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Shapiro NI , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Safdar B , Mosier JM , Casey JD , Talbot HK , Rice TW , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Womack KN , Rhoads JP , Swan SA , Johnson C , Lewis N , Ellington S , Dawood FS , McMorrow M , Self WH . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2024 18 (11) e70027
BACKGROUND: Assessments of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness are needed to monitor the protection provided by updated vaccines against severe COVID-19. We evaluated the effectiveness of original monovalent and bivalent (ancestral strain and Omicron BA.4/5) COVID-19 vaccination against COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes. METHODS: During September 8, 2022 to August 31, 2023, adults aged ≥ 18 years hospitalized with COVID-19-like illness were enrolled at 26 hospitals in 20 US states. Using a test-negative case-control design, we estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) with multivariable logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, admission date, and geographic region. RESULTS: Among 7028 patients, 2924 (41.6%) were COVID-19 case patients, and 4104 (58.4%) were control patients. Compared to unvaccinated patients, absolute VE against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was 6% (-7%-17%) for original monovalent doses only (median time since last dose [IQR] = 421 days [304-571]), 52% (39%-61%) for a bivalent dose received 7-89 days earlier, and 13% (-10%-31%) for a bivalent dose received 90-179 days earlier. Absolute VE against COVID-19-associated invasive mechanical ventilation or death was 51% (34%-63%) for original monovalent doses only, 61% (35%-77%) for a bivalent dose received 7-89 days earlier, and 50% (11%-71%) for a bivalent dose received 90-179 days earlier. CONCLUSION: Bivalent vaccination provided protection against COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes within 3 months of receipt, followed by a decline in protection to a level similar to that remaining from previous original monovalent vaccination by 3-6 months. These results underscore the benefit of remaining up to date with recommended COVID-19 vaccines. |
| Laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations among children and adults - Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network, United States, 2010-2023
Naquin A , O'Halloran A , Ujamaa D , Sundaresan D , Masalovich S , Cummings CN , Noah K , Jain S , Kirley PD , Alden NB , Austin E , Meek J , Yousey-Hindes K , Openo K , Witt L , Monroe ML , Henderson J , Nunez VT , Lynfield R , McMahon M , Shaw YP , McCahon C , Spina N , Engesser K , Tesini BL , Gaitan MA , Shiltz E , Lung K , Sutton M , Hendrick MA , Schaffner W , Talbot HK , George A , Zahid H , Reed C , Garg S , Bozio CH . MMWR Surveill Summ 2024 73 (6) 1-18 PROBLEM/CONDITION: Seasonal influenza accounts for 9.3 million-41 million illnesses, 100,000-710,000 hospitalizations, and 4,900-51,000 deaths annually in the United States. Since 2003, the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network (FluSurv-NET) has been conducting population-based surveillance for laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations in the United States, including weekly rate estimations and descriptions of clinical characteristics and outcomes for hospitalized patients. However, a comprehensive summary of trends in hospitalization rates and clinical data collected from the surveillance platform has not been available. REPORTING PERIOD: 2010-11 through 2022-23 influenza seasons. DESCRIPTION OF SYSTEM: FluSurv-NET conducts population-based surveillance for laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations among children and adults. During the reporting period, the surveillance network included 13-16 participating sites each influenza season, with prespecified geographic catchment areas that covered 27 million-29 million persons and included an estimated 8.8%-9.5% of the U.S. population. A case was defined as a person residing in the catchment area within one of the participating states who had a positive influenza laboratory test result within 14 days before or at any time during their hospitalization. Each site abstracted case data from hospital medical records into a standardized case report form, with selected variables submitted to CDC on a weekly basis for rate estimations. Weekly and cumulative laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalization rates per 100,000 population were calculated for each season from 2010-11 through 2022-23 and stratified by patient age (0-4 years, 5-17 years, 18-49 years, 50-64 years, and ≥65 years), sex, race and ethnicity, influenza type, and influenza A subtype. During the 2020-21 season, only the overall influenza hospitalization rate was reported because case counts were insufficient to estimate stratified rates. RESULTS: During the 2010-11 to 2022-23 influenza seasons, laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalization rates varied significantly across seasons. Before the COVID-19 pandemic, hospitalization rates per 100,000 population ranged from 8.7 (2011-12) to 102.9 (2017-18) and had consistent seasonality. After SARS-CoV-2 emerged, the hospitalization rate for 2020-21 was 0.8, and the rate did not return to recent prepandemic levels until 2022-23. Inconsistent seasonality also was observed during 2020-21 through 2022-23, with influenza activity being very low during 2020-21, extending later than usual during 2021-22, and occurring early during 2022-23. Molecular assays, particularly multiplex standard molecular assays, were the most common influenza test type in recent seasons, increasing from 12% during 2017-18 for both pediatric and adult cases to 43% and 55% during 2022-23 for pediatric and adult cases, respectively. During each season, adults aged ≥65 years consistently had the highest influenza-associated hospitalization rate across all age groups, followed in most seasons by children aged 0-4 years. Black or African American and American Indian or Alaska Native persons had the highest age-adjusted influenza-associated hospitalization rates across these seasons. Among patients hospitalized with influenza, the prevalence of at least one underlying medical condition increased with increasing age, ranging from 36.9% among children aged 0-4 years to 95.4% among adults aged ≥65 years. Consistently across each season, the most common underlying medical conditions among children and adolescents were asthma, neurologic disorders, and obesity. The most common underlying medical conditions among adults were hypertension, obesity, chronic metabolic disease, chronic lung disease, and cardiovascular disease. The proportion of FluSurv-NET patients with acute respiratory signs and symptoms at hospital admission decreased from 90.6% during 2018-19 to 83.2% during 2022-23. Although influenza antiviral use increased during the 2010-11 through the 2017-18 influenza seasons, it decreased from 90.2% during 2018-19 to 79.1% during 2022-23, particularly among children and adolescents. Admission to the intensive care unit, need for invasive mechanical ventilation, and in-hospital death ranged from 14.1% to 22.3%, 4.9% to 11.1%, and 2.2% to 3.5% of patients hospitalized with influenza, respectively, during the reported surveillance period. INTERPRETATIONS: Influenza continues to cause severe morbidity and mortality, particularly in older adults, and disparities have persisted in racial and ethnic minority groups. Persons with underlying medical conditions represented a large proportion of patients hospitalized with influenza. Increased use of multiplex tests and other potential changes in facility-level influenza testing practices (e.g., influenza screening at all hospital admissions) could have implications for the detection of influenza infections among hospitalized patients. Antiviral use decreased in recent seasons, and explanations for the decrease should be further evaluated. PUBLIC HEALTH ACTION: Continued robust influenza surveillance is critical to monitor progress in efforts to encourage antiviral treatment and improve clinical outcomes for persons hospitalized with influenza. In addition, robust influenza surveillance can potentially reduce disparities by informing efforts to increase access to preventive measures for influenza and monitoring any subsequent changes in hospitalization rates. |
| Influenza A virus within-host evolution and positive selection in a densely sampled household cohort over three seasons
Bendall EE , Zhu Y , Fitzsimmons WJ , Rolfes M , Mellis A , Halasa N , Martin ET , Grijalva CG , Talbot HK , Lauring AS . Virus Evol 2024 10 (1) veae084
While influenza A virus (IAV) antigenic drift has been documented globally, in experimental animal infections, and in immunocompromised hosts, positive selection has generally not been detected in acute infections. This is likely due to challenges in distinguishing selected rare mutations from sequencing error, a reliance on cross-sectional sampling, and/or the lack of formal tests of selection for individual sites. Here, we sequenced IAV populations from 346 serial, daily nasal swabs from 143 individuals collected over three influenza seasons in a household cohort. Viruses were sequenced in duplicate, and intrahost single nucleotide variants (iSNVs) were identified at a 0.5% frequency threshold. Within-host populations exhibited low diversity, with >75% mutations present at <2% frequency. Children (0-5 years) had marginally higher within-host evolutionary rates than adolescents (6-18 years) and adults (>18 years, 4.4 × 10(-6) vs. 9.42 × 10(-7) and 3.45 × 10(-6), P < .001). Forty-five iSNVs had evidence of parallel evolution but were not over-represented in HA and NA. Several increased from minority to consensus level, with strong linkage among iSNVs across segments. A Wright-Fisher approximate Bayesian computational model identified positive selection at 23/256 loci (9%) in A(H3N2) specimens and 19/176 loci (11%) in A(H1N1)pdm09 specimens, and these were infrequently found in circulation. Overall, we found that within-host IAV populations were subject to genetic drift and purifying selection, with only subtle differences across seasons, subtypes, and age strata. Positive selection was rare and inconsistently detected. |
| Extrapolating sentinel surveillance information to estimate national COVID hospital admission rates: A Bayesian modeling approach
Devine O , Pham H , Gunnels B , Reese HE , Steele M , Couture A , Iuliano D , Sachdev D , Alden NB , Meek J , Witt L , Ryan PA , Reeg L , Lynfield R , Ropp SL , Barney G , Tesini BL , Shiltz E , Sutton M , Talbot HK , Reyes I , Havers FP . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2024 18 (10) e70026
The COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network (COVID-NET) was established in March 2020 to monitor trends in hospitalizations associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. COVID-NET is a geographically diverse population-based surveillance system for laboratory-confirmed COVID-19-associated hospitalizations with a combined catchment area covering approximately 10% of the US population. Data collected in COVID-NET includes monthly counts of hospitalizations for persons with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection who reside within the defined catchment area. A Bayesian modeling approach is proposed to estimate US national COVID-associated hospital admission rates based on information reported in the COVID-NET system. A key component of the approach is the ability to estimate uncertainty resulting from extrapolation of hospitalization rates observed within COVID-NET to the US population. In addition, the proposed model enables estimation of other contributors to uncertainty including temporal dependence among reported COVID-NET admission counts, the impact of unmeasured site-specific factors, and the frequency and accuracy of testing for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Based on the proposed model, an estimated 6.3 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 5.4-7.3 million) COVID-19-associated hospital admissions occurred in the United States from September 2020 through December 2023. Between April 2020 and December 2023, model-based monthly admission rate estimates ranged from a minimum of 1 per 10,000 population (95% UI 0.7-1.2) in June of 2023 to a highest monthly level of 16 per 10,000 (95% UI 13-19) in January 2022. |
| COVID-19-associated hospitalizations among U.S. Adults aged ≥18 years - COVID-NET, 12 States, October 2023-April 2024
Taylor CA , Patel K , Pham H , Kirley PD , Kawasaki B , Meek J , Witt L , Ryan PA , Reeg L , Como-Sabetti K , Domen A , Anderson B , Bushey S , Sutton M , Talbot HK , Mendez E , Havers FP . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (39) 869-875 Among adults, COVID-19 hospitalization rates increase with age. Data from the COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network were analyzed to estimate population-based COVID-19-associated hospitalization rates during October 2023-April 2024 and identify demographic and clinical characteristics of adults aged ≥18 years hospitalized with COVID-19. Adults aged ≥65 years accounted for 70% of all adult COVID-19-associated hospitalizations, and their COVID-19-associated hospitalization rates were higher than those among younger adult age groups. Cumulative rates of COVID-19-associated hospitalization during October 2023-April 2024 were the lowest for all adult age groups during an October-April surveillance period since 2020-2021. However, hospitalization rates among all adults aged ≥75 years approached one COVID-19-associated hospitalization for every 100 persons. Among adults hospitalized with COVID-19, 88.1% had not received the 2023-2024 formula COVID-19 vaccine before hospitalization, 80.0% had multiple underlying medical conditions, and 16.6% were residents of long-term care facilities (LTCFs). Guidance for adults at high risk for severe COVID-19 illness, including adults aged ≥65 years and residents of LTCFs, should continue to focus on adopting measures to reduce risk for contracting COVID-19, advocating for receipt of recommended COVID-19 vaccinations, and seeking prompt outpatient antiviral treatment after receipt of a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result. |
| Use of COVID-19 vaccines for persons aged ≥6 months: Recommendations of the advisory committee on immunization practices - United States, 2024-2025
Panagiotakopoulos L , Moulia DL , Godfrey M , Link-Gelles R , Roper L , Havers FP , Taylor CA , Stokley S , Talbot HK , Schechter R , Brooks O , Daley MF , Fleming-Dutra KE , Wallace M . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (37) 819-824 COVID-19 vaccination provides additional protection against severe COVID-19-associated illness and death. Since September 2023, 2023-2024 Formula monovalent XBB.1-strain COVID-19 vaccines have been recommended for use in the United States for all persons aged ≥6 months. However, SARS-CoV-2 continues to evolve, and since winter 2023-2024, Omicron JN.1 lineage strains of SARS-CoV-2, including the JN.1 strain and the KP.2 strain, have been widely circulating in the United States. Further, COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness is known to wane. On June 27, 2024, the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccination with a Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved or authorized vaccine for all persons aged ≥6 months. On August 22, 2024, FDA approved the 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccines by Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech (based on the KP.2 strain) for use in persons aged ≥12 years and authorized these vaccines for use in children aged 6 months-11 years under Emergency Use Authorization (EUA). On August 30, 2024, FDA authorized 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine by Novavax (based on the JN.1 strain) for use in persons aged ≥12 years under EUA. ACIP will continue to evaluate new evidence as it becomes available and will update recommendations as needed. |
| Influenza virus shedding and symptoms: Dynamics and implications from a multiseason household transmission study
Morris SE , Nguyen HQ , Grijalva CG , Hanson KE , Zhu Y , Biddle JE , Meece JK , Halasa NB , Chappell JD , Mellis AM , Reed C , Biggerstaff M , Belongia EA , Talbot HK , Rolfes MA . PNAS Nexus 2024 3 (9) pgae338 Isolation of symptomatic infectious persons can reduce influenza transmission. However, virus shedding that occurs without symptoms will be unaffected by such measures. Identifying effective isolation strategies for influenza requires understanding the interplay between individual virus shedding and symptom presentation. From 2017 to 2020, we conducted a case-ascertained household transmission study using influenza real-time RT-qPCR testing of nasal swabs and daily symptom diary reporting for up to 7 days after enrolment (≤14 days after index onset). We assumed real-time RT-qPCR cycle threshold (Ct) values were indicators of quantitative virus shedding and used symptom diaries to create a score that tracked influenza-like illness (ILI) symptoms (fever, cough, or sore throat). We fit phenomenological nonlinear mixed-effects models stratified by age and vaccination status and estimated two quantities influencing isolation effectiveness: shedding before symptom onset and shedding that might occur once isolation ends. We considered different isolation end points (including 24 h after fever resolution or 5 days after symptom onset) and assumptions about the infectiousness of Ct shedding trajectories. Of the 116 household contacts with ≥2 positive tests for longitudinal analyses, 105 (91%) experienced ≥1 ILI symptom. On average, children <5 years experienced greater peak shedding, longer durations of shedding, and elevated ILI symptom scores compared with other age groups. Most individuals (63/105) shed <10% of their total shed virus before symptom onset, and shedding after isolation varied substantially across individuals, isolation end points, and infectiousness assumptions. Our results can inform strategies to reduce transmission from symptomatic individuals infected with influenza. |
| Reduced risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection among household contacts with recent vaccination and past COVID-19 infection: Results from two multi-site case-ascertained household transmission studies
Rolfes MA , Talbot HK , Morrissey KG , Stockwell MS , Maldonado Y , McLean HQ , Lutrick K , Bowman NM , Rao S , Izurieta HS , Zhu Y , Chappell J , Battan-Wraith S , Merrill LS , McClaren S , Sano E , Petrie JG , Biddle J , Johnson S , Salvatore P , Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Asturias EJ , Lin JT , Ellingson KD , Belongia EA , Olivo V , Mellis AM , Grijalva CG . Am J Epidemiol 2024 Households are a primary setting for transmission of SARS-CoV-2. We examined the role of prior SARS-CoV-2 immunity on the risk of infection in household close contacts. Households in the United States with an individual who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 during September 2021-May 2023 were enrolled if the index case's illness began ≤6 days prior. Household members had daily self-collected nasal swabs tested by RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2. The effects of prior SARS-CoV-2 immunity (vaccination, prior infection, or hybrid immunity) on SARS-CoV-2 infection risk among household contacts were assessed by robust, clustered multivariable Poisson regression. Of 1,532 contacts (905 households), 8% had immunity from prior infection alone, 51% from vaccination alone, 29% hybrid immunity, and 11% had no prior immunity. Sixty percent of contacts tested SARS-CoV-2-positive during follow-up. The adjusted risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection was lowest among contacts with vaccination and prior infection (aRR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.70, 0.93, compared with contacts with no prior immunity) and was lowest when the last immunizing event occurred ≤6 months before COVID-19 affected the household (aRR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.57, 0.83). In high-transmission settings like households, immunity from COVID-19 vaccination and prior infection was synergistic in protecting household contacts from SARS-CoV-2 infection. |
| Asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic influenza virus infections by season -- Case-ascertained household transmission studies, United States, 2017-2023
Biddle JE , Nguyen HQ , Talbot HK , Rolfes MA , Biggerstaff M , Johnson S , Reed C , Belongia EA , Grijalva CG , Mellis AM . medRxiv 2024 Asymptomatic influenza virus infection occurs but may vary by factors such as age, influenza vaccination status, or influenza season. We examined the frequency of influenza virus infection and associated symptoms using data from two case-ascertained household transmission studies (conducted from 2017-2023) with prospective, systematic collection of respiratory specimens and symptoms. From the 426 influenza virus infected household contacts that met our inclusion criteria, 8% were asymptomatic, 6% had non-respiratory symptoms, 23% had acute respiratory symptoms, and 62% had influenza-like illness symptoms. Understanding the prevalence of asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic influenza cases is important for implementing effective influenza prevention strategies and enhancing the effectiveness of symptom-based surveillance systems. |
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