Last data update: Apr 18, 2025. (Total: 49119 publications since 2009)
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Query Trace: Surie D[original query] |
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Vaccine Effectiveness Against Influenza A(H1N1), A(H3N2), and B-Associated Hospitalizations-United States, September 1, 2023-May 31, 2024
Lewis NM , Harker EJ , Cleary S , Zhu Y , Grijalva CG , Chappell JD , Rhoads JP , Baughman A , Casey JD , Blair PW , Jones ID , Johnson CA , Halasa NB , Lauring AS , Martin ET , Gaglani M , Ghamande S , Columbus C , Steingrub JS , Duggal A , Felzer JR , Prekker ME , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Hager DN , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Exline MC , Khan A , Ferguson SAN , Mosier J , Qadir N , Chang SY , Ginde AA , Zepeski A , Mallow C , Harris ES , Johnson NJ , Gibbs KW , Kwon JH , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Safdar B , Surie D , Dawood FS , Ellington S , Self WH . J Infect Dis 2025 BACKGROUND: The 2023-2024 influenza season included sustained elevated activity from December 2023-February 2024 and continued activity through May 2024. Influenza A(H1N1), A(H3N2), and B viruses circulated during the season. METHODS: During September 1, 2023-May 31, 2024, a multistate sentinel surveillance network of 24 medical centers in 20 U.S. states enrolled adults aged ≥18 years hospitalized with acute respiratory illness (ARI). Consistent with a test-negative design, cases tested positive for influenza viruses by molecular or antigen test, and controls tested negative for influenza viruses and SARS-CoV-2. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) against influenza-associated hospitalization was calculated as (1 - adjusted odds ratio for vaccination) × 100%. RESULTS: Among 7690 patients, including 1170 influenza cases (33% vaccinated) and 6520 controls, VE was 40% (95% CI: 31%-48%) with varying estimates by age (18-49 years: 53% [34%-67%]; 50-64 years: 47% [31%-60%]; ≥65 years: 31% [16%-43%]). Protection was similar among immunocompetent patients (40% [30%-49%]) and immunocompromised patients (32% [7-50%]). VE was statistically significant against influenza B (67% [35%-84%]) and A(H1N1) (36% [21%-48%]) and crossed the null against A(H3N2) (19% [-8%-39%]). VE was higher for patients 14-60 days from vaccination (54% [40%-65%]) than >120 days (18% [-1%-33%]). CONCLUSIONS: During 2023-2024, influenza vaccination reduced the risk of influenza A(H1N1)- and influenza B-associated hospitalizations among adults; effectiveness was lower in patients vaccinated >120 days prior to illness onset compared with those vaccinated 14-60 days prior. |
Patient- and community-level characteristics associated with respiratory syncytial virus vaccination
Surie D , Yuengling KA , Safdar B , Ginde AA , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Gaglani M , Ghamande S , Gottlieb RL , Columbus C , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , O'Rourke M , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Steingrub JS , Khan A , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Busse LW , Felzer J , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Lauring AS , Martin ET , Mosier JM , Harris ES , Baughman A , Swan SA , Johnson CA , Blair PW , Lewis NM , Ellington S , Rutkowski RE , Zhu Y , Self WH , Dawood FS . JAMA Netw Open 2025 8 (4) e252841 IMPORTANCE: In 2023, the first respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccines were recommended for US adults 60 years or older, but few data are available about which patients were most likely to receive vaccine to inform future RSV vaccine outreach efforts. OBJECTIVE: To assess patient- and community-level characteristics associated with RSV vaccine receipt and patient knowledge and attitudes related to RSV disease and RSV vaccines. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: During the first season of RSV vaccine use from October 1, 2023, to April 30, 2024, adults 60 years or older hospitalized with RSV-negative acute respiratory illness were enrolled in this cross-sectional study from 26 hospitals in 20 US states. Sociodemographic and clinical data were abstracted from health records, and structured interviews were conducted for knowledge and attitudes about RSV disease and RSV vaccines. EXPOSURES: Age, sex, race and ethnicity, pulmonary disease, immunocompromised status, long-term care facility residence, medical insurance, social vulnerability index (SVI), and educational level. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The exposures were identified a priori as possible factors associated with RSV vaccine receipt and were entered into a modified Poisson regression model accounting for state clustering, to assess for association with RSV vaccine receipt. Knowledge and attitudes were summarized with frequencies and proportions. RESULTS: Among 6746 hospitalized adults 60 years or older, median age was 73 (IQR, 66-80) years and 3451 (51.2%) were female. Among the 6599 patients with self-reported race and ethnicity, 699 (10.6%) were Hispanic, 1288 (19.5%) were non-Hispanic Black, 4299 (65.1%) were non-Hispanic White, and 313 (4.7%) were other race or ethnicity. There were 700 RSV-vaccinated (10.4%) and 6046 unvaccinated (89.6%) adults. Among 3219 unvaccinated adults who responded to RSV knowledge questions, 1519 (47.2%) had not heard of RSV or were unsure; 2525 of 3218 (78.5%) were unsure if they were eligible for RSV vaccine or thought they were not. In adjusted analyses, characteristics associated with RSV vaccination were being 75 years or older (adjusted risk ratio [ARR], 1.23; 95% CI, 1.10-1.38, P < .001), being male (ARR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.01-1.30; P = .04), and having pulmonary disease (ARR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.16-1.67; P < .001), immunocompromised status (ARR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.14-1.48; P < .001), low (ARR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.18-1.83, P < .001) or moderate (ARR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.21-1.79; P < .001) SVI, and educational level consisting of 4 or more years of college (ARR, 2.91; 95% CI, 2.14-3.96; P < .001), at least some college or technical training (ARR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.35-2.53; P < .001), or grade 12 education or General Educational Development (ARR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.03-2.00; P = .03). RSV vaccination was less likely among residents of long-term care facilities, patients with Medicaid coverage, and uninsured patients. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional study of hospitalized adults, knowledge of RSV disease and RSV vaccine eligibility was low. Older adults and those with certain medical conditions were more likely to have received vaccine, suggesting appropriate prioritization, but sociodemographic differences in vaccine uptake occurred. |
Urine metabolite-determined isoniazid adherence under programmatic conditions in people living with HIV
Nabity SA , Moffitt AD , Mponda K , Melgar M , Zimba SB , Surie D , Marshall RE , Nyirenda R , Girma B , Mekonnen TF , Maida A , Auld AF , Gunde LJ , Muula AS , Gutreuter S , Oeltmann JE . Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2025 29 (3) 97-102 <sec><title>BACKGROUND</title>Chemotherapy to prevent TB is a core component of care for persons living with HIV (PLHIV). There are few reports describing adherence to TB prevention under programmatic conditions in high TB burden settings.</sec><sec><title>METHODS</title>We measured adherence to daily isoniazid (INH) preventive treatment (IPT) using a commercially available colourimetric assay to detect urine INH metabolites among PLHIV who self-reported INH ingestion within the preceding 24 h. Enrollee characteristics associated with non-adherence despite self-reported INH ingestion were identified in multivariate log-binomial regression. Interoperator reliability for the detection of INH metabolites was calculated among three independent operators.</sec><sec><title>RESULTS</title>Self-reported INH ingestion and metabolite data were known for 300 PLHIV. INH metabolite was detected in 112 (68.7%) of 163 PLHIV who self-reported INH ingestion in the preceding 24 h. The prevalence of alcohol consumption was significantly higher among INH-non-adherent PLHIV compared with INH-adherent PLHIV (adjusted prevalence ratio 2.43, 95% CI 1.16-5.12). Two-way interoperator reliability ranged from κ 0.86 to κ 0.94.</sec><sec><title>CONCLUSIONS</title>Compared with self-reported 24-h INH ingestion in a high TB-HIV-incidence programmatic setting, biometric adherence to IPT was suboptimal in this sample of PLHIV. Alcohol consumption was the only potentially modifiable risk factor significantly associated with INH non-adherence. Colourimetric interpretation reliability across three operators was moderate/strong.</sec>. |
Genomic characterization of RSV in the US by vaccination status
Lauring AS , Edson C , Surie D , Dawood FS , Self WH , Lucero-Obusan C , Holodniy M . Jama 2025 ![]() ![]() This study examines respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) genomic surveillance results from 2 large US networks after the introduction of RSV vaccines. | eng |
Interim estimates of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness among adults aged ≥18 years - VISION and IVY Networks, September 2024-January 2025
Link-Gelles R , Chickery S , Webber A , Ong TC , Rowley EAK , DeSilva MB , Dascomb K , Irving SA , Klein NP , Grannis SJ , Barron MA , Reese SE , McEvoy C , Sheffield T , Naleway AL , Zerbo O , Rogerson C , Self WH , Zhu Y , Lauring AS , Martin ET , Peltan ID , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Prekker ME , Mohamed A , Johnson N , Steingrub JS , Khan A , Felzer JR , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Safdar B , Mosier JM , Harris ES , Chappell JD , Halasa N , Johnson C , Natarajan K , Lewis NM , Ellington S , Reeves EL , DeCuir J , McMorrow M , Paden CR , Payne AB , Dawood FS , Surie D . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2025 74 (6) 73-82 COVID-19 vaccination averted approximately 68,000 hospitalizations during the 2023-24 respiratory season. In June 2024, CDC and the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended that all persons aged ≥6 months receive a 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine, which targets Omicron JN.1 and JN.1-derived sublineages. Interim effectiveness of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccines was estimated against COVID-19-associated emergency department (ED) or urgent care (UC) visits during September 2024-January 2025 among adults aged ≥18 years in one CDC-funded vaccine effectiveness (VE) network, against COVID-19-associated hospitalization in immunocompetent adults aged ≥65 years in two networks, and against COVID-19-associated hospitalization among adults aged ≥65 years with immunocompromising conditions in one network. Among adults aged ≥18 years, VE against COVID-19-associated ED/UC visits was 33% (95% CI = 28%-38%) during the first 7-119 days after vaccination. Among immunocompetent adults aged ≥65 years from two CDC networks, VE estimates against COVID-19-associated hospitalization were 45% (95% CI = 36%-53%) and 46% (95% CI = 26%-60%) during the first 7-119 days after vaccination. Among adults aged ≥65 years with immunocompromising conditions in one network, VE was 40% (95% CI = 21%-54%) during the first 7-119 days after vaccination. These findings demonstrate that vaccination with a 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine dose provides additional protection against COVID-19-associated ED/UC encounters and hospitalizations compared with not receiving a 2024-2025 dose and support current CDC and ACIP recommendations that all persons aged ≥6 months receive a 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine dose. |
Interim estimates of 2024-2025 seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness - four vaccine effectiveness networks, United States, October 2024-February 2025
Frutos AM , Cleary S , Reeves EL , Ahmad HM , Price AM , Self WH , Zhu Y , Safdar B , Peltan ID , Gibbs KW , Exline MC , Lauring AS , Ball SW , DeSilva M , Tartof SY , Dascomb K , Irving SA , Klein NP , Dixon BE , Ong TC , Vaughn IA , House SL , Faryar KA , Nowalk MP , Gaglani M , Wernli KJ , Murugan V , Williams OL , Selvarangan R , Weinberg GA , Staat MA , Halasa NB , Sahni LC , Michaels MG , Englund JA , Kirby MK , Surie D , Dawood FS , Clopper BR , Moline HL , Link-Gelles R , Payne AB , Harker E , Wielgosz K , Weber ZA , Yang DH , Lewis NM , DeCuir J , Olson SM , Chung JR , Flannery B , Grohskopf LA , Reed C , Garg S , Ellington S . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2025 74 (6) 83-90 Annual influenza vaccination is recommended for all persons aged ≥6 months in the United States. Interim influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) was calculated among patients with acute respiratory illness-associated outpatient visits and hospitalizations from four VE networks during the 2024-25 influenza season (October 2024-February 2025). Among children and adolescents aged <18 years, VE against any influenza was 32%, 59%, and 60% in the outpatient setting in three networks, and against influenza-associated hospitalization was 63% and 78% in two networks. Among adults aged ≥18 years, VE in the outpatient setting was 36% and 54% in two networks and was 41% and 55% against hospitalization in two networks. Preliminary estimates indicate that receipt of the 2024-2025 influenza vaccine reduced the likelihood of medically attended influenza and influenza-associated hospitalization. CDC recommends annual receipt of an age-appropriate influenza vaccine by all eligible persons aged ≥6 months as long as influenza viruses continue to circulate locally. |
A framework for monitoring RSV prevention product effectiveness in the United States
Roper LE , Link-Gelles R , Surie D , DeCuir J , Zambrano LD , Prill MM , Havers FP , Jones JM , Melgar M , Hall AJ , Whitehead RD Jr , McMorrow ML , Ioannou GN , Hernandez-Romieu AC , Britton A , Novosad S , Martin A , Feldstein LR , Bajema KL , Kirking H , Moline H , Campbell AP , Aslan M , Hatfield K , Dawood F , Slayton R , Reddy S , Gomes D , Fleming-Dutra KE , Payne AB . Vaccine 2025 45 126633 During 2023, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended the first respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) immunizations intended for widespread use in the United States to prevent severe RSV illness in infants and older adults. CDC, in collaboration with federal, public health, and academic partners, is conducting evaluations of real-world effectiveness of recommended RSV immunization products in the United States. Similar frameworks for evaluation are being applied to RSV vaccines and nirsevimab, a long-acting preventative monoclonal antibody, to estimate product effectiveness. The overall goal of CDC's RSV immunization effectiveness program is to generate timely and robust evidence through observational studies to inform immunization product policy decisions and other measures related to RSV prevention and control. CDC is evaluating effectiveness through high-quality, well-controlled observational studies leveraging a variety of platforms that provide robust data to inform policy decisions. |
Benefit of early oseltamivir therapy for adults hospitalized with influenza A: an observational study
Lewis NM , Harker EJ , Grant LB , Zhu Y , Grijalva CG , Chappell JD , Rhoads JP , Baughman A , Casey JD , Blair PW , Jones ID , Johnson CA , Lauring AS , Gaglani M , Ghamande S , Columbus C , Steingrub JS , Shapiro NI , Duggal A , Busse LW , Felzer J , Prekker ME , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Hager DN , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Exline MC , Khan A , Hough CL , Wilson JG , Mosier J , Qadir N , Chang SY , Ginde AA , Martinez A , Mohr NM , Mallow C , Harris ES , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Gibbs KW , Kwon JH , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Safdar B , Goyal A , DeLamielleure LE , DeCuir J , Surie D , Dawood FS , Tenforde MW , Uyeki TM , Garg S , Ellington S , Self WH . Clin Infect Dis 2024 BACKGROUND: clinical guidelines recommend initiation of antiviral therapy as soon as possible for patients hospitalized with confirmed or suspected influenza. METHODS: A multicenter US observational sentinel surveillance network prospectively enrolled adults (aged ≥18 years) hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed influenza at 24 hospitals during October 1, 2022-July 21, 2023. A multivariable proportional odds model was used to compare peak pulmonary disease severity (no oxygen support, standard supplemental oxygen, high-flow oxygen/non-invasive ventilation, invasive mechanical ventilation, or death) after the day of hospital admission among patients starting oseltamivir treatment on the day of admission (early) versus those who did not (late or not treated), adjusting for baseline (admission day) severity, age, sex, site, and vaccination status. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to evaluate the odds of intensive care unit (ICU) admission, acute kidney replacement therapy or vasopressor use, and in-hospital death. RESULTS: A total of 840 influenza-positive patients were analyzed, including 415 (49%) who started oseltamivir treatment on the day of admission, and 425 (51%) who did not. Compared with late or not treated patients, those treated early had lower peak pulmonary disease severity (proportional aOR: 0.60, 95% CI: 0.49-0.72), and lower odds of intensive care unit admission (aOR: 0.24, 95% CI: 0.13-0.47), acute kidney replacement therapy or vasopressor use (aOR: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.22-0.67), and in-hospital death (aOR: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.18-0.72). CONCLUSION: Among adults hospitalized with influenza, treatment with oseltamivir on day of hospital admission was associated reduced risk of disease progression, including pulmonary and extrapulmonary organ failure and death. |
Assessment and mitigation of bias in influenza and COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness analyses - IVY Network, September 1, 2022-March 30, 2023
Lewis NM , Harker EJ , Leis A , Zhu Y , Talbot HK , Grijalva CG , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Johnson CA , Rice TW , Casey JD , Lauring AS , Gaglani M , Ghamande S , Columbus C , Steingrub JS , Shapiro NI , Duggal A , Felzer J , Prekker ME , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Hager DN , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Exline MC , Khan A , Wilson JG , Mosier J , Qadir N , Chang SY , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Mallow C , Harris ES , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Gibbs KW , Kwon JH , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Safdar B , DeCuir J , Surie D , Dawood FS , Ellington S , Self WH , Martin ET . Vaccine 2024 43 126492 BACKGROUND: In test-negative studies of vaccine effectiveness (VE), including patients with co-circulating, vaccine-preventable, respiratory pathogens in the control group for the pathogen of interest can introduce a downward bias on VE estimates. METHODS: A multicenter sentinel surveillance network in the US prospectively enrolled adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illness from September 1, 2022-March 31, 2023. We evaluated bias in estimates of VE against influenza-associated and COVID-19-associated hospitalization based on: inclusion vs exclusion of patients with a co-circulating virus among VE controls; observance of VE against the co-circulating virus (rather than the virus of interest), unadjusted and adjusted for vaccination against the virus of interest; and observance of influenza or COVID-19 against a sham outcome of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). RESULTS: Overall VE against influenza-associated hospitalizations was 6 percentage points lower when patients with COVID-19 were included in the control group, and overall VE against COVID-19-associated hospitalizations was 2 percentage points lower when patients with influenza were included in the control group. Analyses of VE against the co-circulating virus and against the sham outcome of RSV showed that downward bias was largely attributable the correlation of vaccination status across pathogens, but also potentially attributable to other sources of residual confounding in VE models. CONCLUSION: Excluding cases of confounding respiratory pathogens from the control group in VE analysis for a pathogen of interest can reduce downward bias. This real-world analysis demonstrates that such exclusion is a helpful bias mitigation strategy, especially for measuring influenza VE, which included a high proportion of COVID-19 cases among controls. |
Effectiveness of original monovalent and bivalent COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes among adults in the United States, September 2022-August 2023
DeCuir J , Surie D , Zhu Y , Lauring AS , Gaglani M , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Ginde AA , Steinwand A , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Ali H , Frosch A , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Khan A , Busse LW , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Shapiro NI , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Safdar B , Mosier JM , Casey JD , Talbot HK , Rice TW , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Womack KN , Rhoads JP , Swan SA , Johnson C , Lewis N , Ellington S , Dawood FS , McMorrow M , Self WH . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2024 18 (11) e70027 ![]() ![]() BACKGROUND: Assessments of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness are needed to monitor the protection provided by updated vaccines against severe COVID-19. We evaluated the effectiveness of original monovalent and bivalent (ancestral strain and Omicron BA.4/5) COVID-19 vaccination against COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes. METHODS: During September 8, 2022 to August 31, 2023, adults aged ≥ 18 years hospitalized with COVID-19-like illness were enrolled at 26 hospitals in 20 US states. Using a test-negative case-control design, we estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) with multivariable logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, admission date, and geographic region. RESULTS: Among 7028 patients, 2924 (41.6%) were COVID-19 case patients, and 4104 (58.4%) were control patients. Compared to unvaccinated patients, absolute VE against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was 6% (-7%-17%) for original monovalent doses only (median time since last dose [IQR] = 421 days [304-571]), 52% (39%-61%) for a bivalent dose received 7-89 days earlier, and 13% (-10%-31%) for a bivalent dose received 90-179 days earlier. Absolute VE against COVID-19-associated invasive mechanical ventilation or death was 51% (34%-63%) for original monovalent doses only, 61% (35%-77%) for a bivalent dose received 7-89 days earlier, and 50% (11%-71%) for a bivalent dose received 90-179 days earlier. CONCLUSION: Bivalent vaccination provided protection against COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes within 3 months of receipt, followed by a decline in protection to a level similar to that remaining from previous original monovalent vaccination by 3-6 months. These results underscore the benefit of remaining up to date with recommended COVID-19 vaccines. |
RSV vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization among US adults 60 years and older
Surie D , Self WH , Zhu Y , Yuengling KA , Johnson CA , Grijalva CG , Dawood FS . Jama 2024 This study evaluates the effectiveness of the respiratory syncytial virus vaccine against hospitalization for acute respiratory illness among US adults aged 60 years and older. | eng |
Effectiveness of updated 2023-2024 (monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB and BA.2.86/JN.1 lineage hospitalization and a comparison of clinical severity-IVY Network, 26 hospitals, October 18, 2023-March 9, 2024
Ma KC , Surie D , Lauring AS , Martin ET , Leis AM , Papalambros L , Gaglani M , Columbus C , Gottlieb RL , Ghamande S , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Saeed S , Prekker ME , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Khan A , Hough CL , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Parikh B , Exline MC , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Safdar B , Mosier J , Harris ES , Shapiro NI , Felzer J , Zhu Y , Grijalva CG , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Womack KN , Rhoads JP , Baughman A , Swan SA , Johnson CA , Rice TW , Casey JD , Blair PW , Han JH , Ellington S , Lewis NM , Thornburg N , Paden CR , Atherton LJ , Self WH , Dawood FS , DeCuir J . Clin Infect Dis 2024 ![]() ![]() BACKGROUND: Assessing variant-specific COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) and severity can inform public health risk assessments and decisions about vaccine composition. BA.2.86 and its descendants, including JN.1 (referred to collectively as "JN lineages"), emerged in late 2023 and exhibited substantial divergence from co-circulating XBB lineages. METHODS: We analyzed patients hospitalized with COVID-19-like illness at 26 hospitals in 20 U.S. states admitted October 18, 2023-March 9, 2024. Using a test-negative, case-control design, we estimated effectiveness of an updated 2023-2024 (Monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccine dose against sequence-confirmed XBB and JN lineage hospitalization using logistic regression. Odds of severe outcomes, including intensive care unit (ICU) admission and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) or death, were compared for JN versus XBB lineage hospitalizations using logistic regression. RESULTS: 585 case-patients with XBB lineages, 397 case-patients with JN lineages, and 4,580 control-patients were included. VE in the first 7-89 days after receipt of an updated dose was 54.2% (95% CI = 36.1%-67.1%) against XBB lineage hospitalization and 32.7% (95% CI = 1.9%-53.8%) against JN lineage hospitalization. Odds of ICU admission (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.80; 95% CI = 0.46-1.38) and IMV or death (aOR 0.69; 95% CI = 0.34-1.40) were not significantly different among JN compared to XBB lineage hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: Updated 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination provided protection against both XBB and JN lineage hospitalization, but protection against the latter may be attenuated by immune escape. Clinical severity of JN lineage hospitalizations was not higher relative to XBB. |
Antigenic characterization of circulating and emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants in the U.S. Throughout the Delta to Omicron waves
Di H , Pusch EA , Jones J , Kovacs NA , Hassell N , Sheth M , Lynn KS , Keller MW , Wilson MM , Keong LM , Cui D , Park SH , Chau R , Lacek KA , Liddell JD , Kirby MK , Yang G , Johnson M , Thor S , Zanders N , Feng C , Surie D , DeCuir J , Lester SN , Atherton L , Hicks H , Tamin A , Harcourt JL , Coughlin MM , Self WH , Rhoads JP , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Shapiro NI , Exline MC , Lauring AS , Rambo-Martin B , Paden CR , Kondor RJ , Lee JS , Barnes JR , Thornburg NJ , Zhou B , Wentworth DE , Davis CT . Vaccines (Basel) 2024 12 (5) ![]() ![]() Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has evolved into numerous lineages with unique spike mutations and caused multiple epidemics domestically and globally. Although COVID-19 vaccines are available, new variants with the capacity for immune evasion continue to emerge. To understand and characterize the evolution of circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants in the U.S., the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) initiated the National SARS-CoV-2 Strain Surveillance (NS3) program and has received thousands of SARS-CoV-2 clinical specimens from across the nation as part of a genotype to phenotype characterization process. Focus reduction neutralization with various antisera was used to antigenically characterize 143 SARS-CoV-2 Delta, Mu and Omicron subvariants from selected clinical specimens received between May 2021 and February 2023, representing a total of 59 unique spike protein sequences. BA.4/5 subvariants BU.1, BQ.1.1, CR.1.1, CQ.2 and BA.4/5 + D420N + K444T; BA.2.75 subvariants BM.4.1.1, BA.2.75.2, CV.1; and recombinant Omicron variants XBF, XBB.1, XBB.1.5 showed the greatest escape from neutralizing antibodies when analyzed against post third-dose original monovalent vaccinee sera. Post fourth-dose bivalent vaccinee sera provided better protection against those subvariants, but substantial reductions in neutralization titers were still observed, especially among BA.4/5 subvariants with both an N-terminal domain (NTD) deletion and receptor binding domain (RBD) substitutions K444M + N460K and recombinant Omicron variants. This analysis demonstrated a framework for long-term systematic genotype to antigenic characterization of circulating and emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants in the U.S., which is critical to assessing their potential impact on the effectiveness of current vaccines and antigen recommendations for future updates. |
Severity of respiratory syncytial virus vs COVID-19 and influenza among hospitalized US adults
Surie D , Yuengling KA , DeCuir J , Zhu Y , Lauring AS , Gaglani M , Ghamande S , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Ginde AA , Martinez A , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Ali H , Prekker ME , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Leis AM , Khan A , Hough CL , Bender WS , Duggal A , Bendall EE , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Shapiro NI , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Mosier JM , Safdar B , Casey JD , Talbot HK , Rice TW , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Womack KN , Swan SA , Johnson CA , Lwin CT , Lewis NM , Ellington S , McMorrow ML , Martin ET , Self WH . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (4) e244954 IMPORTANCE: On June 21, 2023, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended the first respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccines for adults aged 60 years and older using shared clinical decision-making. Understanding the severity of RSV disease in adults can help guide this clinical decision-making. OBJECTIVE: To describe disease severity among adults hospitalized with RSV and compare it with the severity of COVID-19 and influenza disease by vaccination status. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this cohort study, adults aged 18 years and older admitted to the hospital with acute respiratory illness and laboratory-confirmed RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection were prospectively enrolled from 25 hospitals in 20 US states from February 1, 2022, to May 31, 2023. Clinical data during each patient's hospitalization were collected using standardized forms. Data were analyzed from August to October 2023. EXPOSURES: RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Using multivariable logistic regression, severity of RSV disease was compared with COVID-19 and influenza severity, by COVID-19 and influenza vaccination status, for a range of clinical outcomes, including the composite of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and in-hospital death. RESULTS: Of 7998 adults (median [IQR] age, 67 [54-78] years; 4047 [50.6%] female) included, 484 (6.1%) were hospitalized with RSV, 6422 (80.3%) were hospitalized with COVID-19, and 1092 (13.7%) were hospitalized with influenza. Among patients with RSV, 58 (12.0%) experienced IMV or death, compared with 201 of 1422 unvaccinated patients with COVID-19 (14.1%) and 458 of 5000 vaccinated patients with COVID-19 (9.2%), as well as 72 of 699 unvaccinated patients with influenza (10.3%) and 20 of 393 vaccinated patients with influenza (5.1%). In adjusted analyses, the odds of IMV or in-hospital death were not significantly different among patients hospitalized with RSV and unvaccinated patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.82; 95% CI, 0.59-1.13; P = .22) or influenza (aOR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.82-1.76; P = .35); however, the odds of IMV or death were significantly higher among patients hospitalized with RSV compared with vaccinated patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (aOR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.02-1.86; P = .03) or influenza disease (aOR, 2.81; 95% CI, 1.62-4.86; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among adults hospitalized in this US cohort during the 16 months before the first RSV vaccine recommendations, RSV disease was less common but similar in severity compared with COVID-19 or influenza disease among unvaccinated patients and more severe than COVID-19 or influenza disease among vaccinated patients for the most serious outcomes of IMV or death. |
Interim effectiveness of updated 2023-2024 (monovalent xbb.1.5) COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated emergency department and urgent care encounters and hospitalization among immunocompetent adults aged ≥18 years - VISION and IVY Networks, September 2023-January 2024
DeCuir J , Payne AB , Self WH , Rowley EAK , Dascomb K , DeSilva MB , Irving SA , Grannis SJ , Ong TC , Klein NP , Weber ZA , Reese SE , Ball SW , Barron MA , Naleway AL , Dixon BE , Essien I , Bride D , Natarajan K , Fireman B , Shah AB , Okwuazi E , Wiegand R , Zhu Y , Lauring AS , Martin ET , Gaglani M , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Prekker M , Mohamed A , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Khan A , Busse LW , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Safdar B , Mosier JM , Harris ES , Casey JD , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Swan SA , Johnson C , Lewis NM , Ellington S , Adams K , Tenforde MW , Paden CR , Dawood FS , Fleming-Dutra KE , Surie D , Link-Gelles R . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (8) 180-188 In September 2023, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended updated 2023-2024 (monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccination for all persons aged ≥6 months to prevent COVID-19, including severe disease. However, few estimates of updated vaccine effectiveness (VE) against medically attended illness are available. This analysis evaluated VE of an updated COVID-19 vaccine dose against COVID-19-associated emergency department (ED) or urgent care (UC) encounters and hospitalization among immunocompetent adults aged ≥18 years during September 2023-January 2024 using a test-negative, case-control design with data from two CDC VE networks. VE against COVID-19-associated ED/UC encounters was 51% (95% CI = 47%-54%) during the first 7-59 days after an updated dose and 39% (95% CI = 33%-45%) during the 60-119 days after an updated dose. VE estimates against COVID-19-associated hospitalization from two CDC VE networks were 52% (95% CI = 47%-57%) and 43% (95% CI = 27%-56%), with a median interval from updated dose of 42 and 47 days, respectively. Updated COVID-19 vaccine provided increased protection against COVID-19-associated ED/UC encounters and hospitalization among immunocompetent adults. These results support CDC recommendations for updated 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination. All persons aged ≥6 months should receive updated 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccine. |
Interim estimates of 2023-24 seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness - United States
Frutos AM , Price AM , Harker E , Reeves EL , Ahmad HM , Murugan V , Martin ET , House S , Saade EA , Zimmerman RK , Gaglani M , Wernli KJ , Walter EB , Michaels MG , Staat MA , Weinberg GA , Selvarangan R , Boom JA , Klein EJ , Halasa NB , Ginde AA , Gibbs KW , Zhu Y , Self WH , Tartof SY , Klein NP , Dascomb K , DeSilva MB , Weber ZA , Yang DH , Ball SW , Surie D , DeCuir J , Dawood FS , Moline HL , Toepfer AP , Clopper BR , Link-Gelles R , Payne AB , Chung JR , Flannery B , Lewis NM , Olson SM , Adams K , Tenforde MW , Garg S , Grohskopf LA , Reed C , Ellington S . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (8) 168-174 In the United States, annual influenza vaccination is recommended for all persons aged ≥6 months. Using data from four vaccine effectiveness (VE) networks during the 2023-24 influenza season, interim influenza VE was estimated among patients aged ≥6 months with acute respiratory illness-associated medical encounters using a test-negative case-control study design. Among children and adolescents aged 6 months-17 years, VE against influenza-associated outpatient visits ranged from 59% to 67% and against influenza-associated hospitalization ranged from 52% to 61%. Among adults aged ≥18 years, VE against influenza-associated outpatient visits ranged from 33% to 49% and against hospitalization from 41% to 44%. VE against influenza A ranged from 46% to 59% for children and adolescents and from 27% to 46% for adults across settings. VE against influenza B ranged from 64% to 89% for pediatric patients in outpatient settings and from 60% to 78% for all adults across settings. These findings demonstrate that the 2023-24 seasonal influenza vaccine is effective at reducing the risk for medically attended influenza virus infection. CDC recommends that all persons aged ≥6 months who have not yet been vaccinated this season get vaccinated while influenza circulates locally. |
SARS-CoV-2 shedding and evolution in patients who were immunocompromised during the omicron period: a multicentre, prospective analysis
Raglow Z , Surie D , Chappell JD , Zhu Y , Martin ET , Kwon JH , Frosch AE , Mohamed A , Gilbert J , Bendall EE , Bahr A , Halasa N , Talbot HK , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Womack KN , Johnson C , Swan SA , Koumans E , McMorrow ML , Harcourt JL , Atherton LJ , Burroughs A , Thornburg NJ , Self WH , Lauring AS . Lancet Microbe 2024 ![]() ![]() BACKGROUND: Prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infections in people who are immunocompromised might predict or source the emergence of highly mutated variants. The types of immunosuppression placing patients at highest risk for prolonged infection have not been systematically investigated. We aimed to assess risk factors for prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infection and associated intrahost evolution. METHODS: In this multicentre, prospective analysis, participants were enrolled at five US medical centres. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older, were SARS-CoV-2-positive in the previous 14 days, and had a moderately or severely immunocompromising condition or treatment. Nasal specimens were tested by real-time RT-PCR every 2-4 weeks until negative in consecutive specimens. Positive specimens underwent viral culture and whole genome sequencing. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess factors associated with duration of infection. FINDINGS: From April 11, 2022, to Oct 1, 2022, 156 patients began the enrolment process, of whom 150 were enrolled and included in the analyses. Participants had B-cell malignancy or anti-B-cell therapy (n=18), solid organ transplantation or haematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (HSCT; n=59), AIDS (n=5), non-B-cell malignancy (n=23), and autoimmune or autoinflammatory conditions (n=45). 38 (25%) participants were real-time RT-PCR-positive and 12 (8%) were culture-positive 21 days or longer after initial SARS-CoV-2 detection or illness onset. Compared with the group with autoimmune or autoinflammatory conditions, patients with B-cell dysfunction (adjusted hazard ratio 0·32 [95% CI 0·15-0·64]), solid organ transplantation or HSCT (0·60 [0·38-0·94]), and AIDS (0·28 [0·08-1·00]) had longer duration of infection, defined as time to last positive real-time RT-PCR test. There was no significant difference in the non-B-cell malignancy group (0·58 [0·31-1·09]). Consensus de novo spike mutations were identified in five individuals who were real-time RT-PCR-positive longer than 56 days; 14 (61%) of 23 were in the receptor-binding domain. Mutations shared by multiple individuals were rare (<5%) in global circulation. INTERPRETATION: In this cohort, prolonged replication-competent omicron SARS-CoV-2 infections were uncommon. Within-host evolutionary rates were similar across patients, but individuals with infections lasting longer than 56 days accumulated spike mutations, which were distinct from those seen globally. Populations at high risk should be targeted for repeated testing and treatment and monitored for the emergence of antiviral resistance. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. |
Long-term follow-up of persons diagnosed with multidrug-resistant TB in Chennai, India, 2013-2020
Surie D , Sathyanarayanan MK , Lavanya J , Smith JP , Shanmugam SK , Tamilzhalagan S , Selvaraj A , Ramesh G , Tripathy S , Khaparde SD , Ho CS , Hall-Eidson PJ , Ranganathan UDK , Selvaraju S , Moonan PK . Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2024 28 (1) 54-56 India has the largest number of multidrug-resistant TB | (MDR-TB) cases, defined as Mycobacterium tuberculosis | resistant to at least isoniazid (INH) and rifampicin (RIF).1 | However, less than half of all persons with MDR-TB in | India successfully complete treatment.1 Although initial | end-of-treatment outcomes offer a standardised time point | to assess the effect of treatment, these tend to | underestimate the overall burden of unfavourable longterm outcomes among persons treated for TB.2,3 The longterm outcomes of persons diagnosed with MDR-TB in | India, including the proportion with recurrent TB disease | or mortality, are unknown. This analysis was conducted | under programmatic conditions in a high-burden setting, | with no regular check-ups after treatment. The results can | be used to show the burden of recurrent illness and death | following treatment, and can be used as a benchmark to | measure improvement. |
Vaccine effectiveness against influenza a-associated hospitalization, organ failure, and death: United States, 2022-2023
Lewis NM , Zhu Y , Peltan ID , Gaglani M , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Steingrub JS , Shapiro NI , Duggal A , Bender WS , Taghizadeh L , Brown SM , Hager DN , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Exline MC , Khan A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Mallow C , Lauring AS , Johnson NJ , Gibbs KW , Kwon JH , Columbus C , Gottlieb RL , Raver C , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Johnson C , Lamerato L , Safdar B , Casey JD , Rice TW , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Talbot HK , Baughman A , Womack KN , Swan SA , Harker E , Price A , DeCuir J , Surie D , Ellington S , Self WH . Clin Infect Dis 2023 BACKGROUND: Influenza circulation during the 2022-2023 season in the United States largely returned to pre-coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-pandemic patterns and levels. Influenza A(H3N2) viruses were detected most frequently this season, predominately clade 3C.2a1b.2a, a close antigenic match to the vaccine strain. METHODS: To understand effectiveness of the 2022-2023 influenza vaccine against influenza-associated hospitalization, organ failure, and death, a multicenter sentinel surveillance network in the United States prospectively enrolled adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illness between 1 October 2022, and 28 February 2023. Using the test-negative design, vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates against influenza-associated hospitalization, organ failures, and death were measured by comparing the odds of current-season influenza vaccination in influenza-positive case-patients and influenza-negative, SARS-CoV-2-negative control-patients. RESULTS: A total of 3707 patients, including 714 influenza cases (33% vaccinated) and 2993 influenza- and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-negative controls (49% vaccinated) were analyzed. VE against influenza-associated hospitalization was 37% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 27%-46%) and varied by age (18-64 years: 47% [30%-60%]; ≥65 years: 28% [10%-43%]), and virus (A[H3N2]: 29% [6%-46%], A[H1N1]: 47% [23%-64%]). VE against more severe influenza-associated outcomes included: 41% (29%-50%) against influenza with hypoxemia treated with supplemental oxygen; 65% (56%-72%) against influenza with respiratory, cardiovascular, or renal failure treated with organ support; and 66% (40%-81%) against influenza with respiratory failure treated with invasive mechanical ventilation. CONCLUSIONS: During an early 2022-2023 influenza season with a well-matched influenza vaccine, vaccination was associated with reduced risk of influenza-associated hospitalization and organ failure. |
Disease severity of respiratory syncytial virus compared with COVID-19 and influenza among hospitalized adults aged ≥60 years - IVY Network, 20 U.S. States, February 2022-May 2023
Surie D , Yuengling KA , DeCuir J , Zhu Y , Gaglani M , Ginde AA , Talbot HK , Casey JD , Mohr NM , Ghamande S , Gibbs KW , Files DC , Hager DN , Ali H , Prekker ME , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Steingrub JS , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Leis AM , Khan A , Hough CL , Bender WS , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Lauring AS , Shapiro NI , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Safdar B , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Rice TW , Womack KN , Han JH , Swan SA , Mukherjee I , Lewis NM , Ellington S , McMorrow ML , Martin ET , Self WH . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (40) 1083-1088 On June 21, 2023, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination for adults aged ≥60 years, offered to individual adults using shared clinical decision-making. Informed use of these vaccines requires an understanding of RSV disease severity. To characterize RSV-associated severity, 5,784 adults aged ≥60 years hospitalized with acute respiratory illness and laboratory-confirmed RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection were prospectively enrolled from 25 hospitals in 20 U.S. states during February 1, 2022-May 31, 2023. Multivariable logistic regression was used to compare RSV disease severity with COVID-19 and influenza severity on the basis of the following outcomes: 1) standard flow (<30 L/minute) oxygen therapy, 2) high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) or noninvasive ventilation (NIV), 3) intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and 4) invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) or death. Overall, 304 (5.3%) enrolled adults were hospitalized with RSV, 4,734 (81.8%) with COVID-19 and 746 (12.9%) with influenza. Patients hospitalized with RSV were more likely to receive standard flow oxygen, HFNC or NIV, and ICU admission than were those hospitalized with COVID-19 or influenza. Patients hospitalized with RSV were more likely to receive IMV or die compared with patients hospitalized with influenza (adjusted odds ratio = 2.08; 95% CI = 1.33-3.26). Among hospitalized older adults, RSV was less common, but was associated with more severe disease than COVID-19 or influenza. High disease severity in older adults hospitalized with RSV is important to consider in shared clinical decision-making regarding RSV vaccination. |
Bivalent mRNA vaccine improves antibody-mediated neutralization of many SARS-CoV-2 Omicron lineage variants (preprint)
Jiang N , Wang L , Hatta M , Feng C , Currier M , Lin X , Hossain J , Cui D , Mann BR , Kovacs NA , Wang W , Atteberry G , Wilson M , Chau R , Lacek KA , Paden CR , Hassell N , Rambo-Martin B , Barnes JR , Kondor RJ , Self WH , Rhoads JP , Baughman A , Chappell JD , Shapiro NI , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Lauring AS , Surie D , McMorrow ML , Thornburg NJ , Wentworth DE , Zhou B . bioRxiv 2023 09 The early Omicron lineage variants evolved and gave rise to diverging lineages that fueled the COVID-19 pandemic in 2022. Bivalent mRNA vaccines, designed to broaden protection against circulating and future variants, were authorized by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in August 2022 and recommended by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in September 2022. The impact of bivalent vaccination on eliciting neutralizing antibodies against homologous BA.4/BA.5 viruses as well as emerging heterologous viruses needs to be analyzed. In this study, we analyze the neutralizing activity of sera collected after a third dose of vaccination (2-6 weeks post monovalent booster) or a fourth dose of vaccination (2-7 weeks post bivalent booster) against 10 predominant/recent Omicron lineage viruses including BA.1, BA.2, BA.5, BA.2.75, BA.2.75.2, BN.1, BQ.1, BQ.1.1, XBB, and XBB.1. The bivalent booster vaccination enhanced neutralizing antibody titers against all Omicron lineage viruses tested, including a 10-fold increase in neutralization of BQ.1 and BQ.1.1 viruses that predominated in the U.S. during the last two months of 2022. Overall, the data indicate the bivalent vaccine booster strengthens protection against Omicron lineage variants that evolved from BA.5 and BA.2 progenitors. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
Vaccine Effectiveness of Primary Series and Booster Doses against Omicron Variant COVID-19-Associated Hospitalization in the United States (preprint)
Adams K , Rhoads JP , Surie D , Gaglani M , Ginde AA , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Huynh D , Talbot HK , Casey JD , Mohr NM , Zepeski A , Shapiro NI , Gibbs KW , Files DC , Hicks M , Hager DN , Ali H , Prekker ME , Frosch AE , Exline MC , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Martin ET , Monto AS , Lauring AS , Khan A , Hough CL , Busse LW , ten Lohuis CC , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Gordon AJ , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Rivas C , Babcock HM , Kwon JH , Chappell JD , Halasa N , Grijalva CG , Rice TW , Stubblefield WB , Baughman A , Lindsell CJ , Hart KW , Lester SN , Thornburg NJ , Park S , McMorrow ML , Patel MM , Tenforde MW , Self WH . medRxiv 2022 14 Objectives: To compare the effectiveness of a primary COVID-19 vaccine series plus a booster dose with a primary series alone for the prevention of Omicron variant COVID-19 hospitalization. Design(s): Multicenter observational case-control study using the test-negative design to evaluate vaccine effectiveness (VE). Setting(s): Twenty-one hospitals in the United States (US). Participant(s): 3,181 adults hospitalized with an acute respiratory illness between December 26, 2021 and April 30, 2022, a period of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant (BA.1, BA.2) predominance. Participants included 1,572 (49%) case-patients with laboratory confirmed COVID-19 and 1,609 (51%) control patients who tested negative for SARS-CoV-2. Median age was 64 years, 48% were female, and 21% were immunocompromised; 798 (25%) were vaccinated with a primary series plus booster, 1,326 (42%) were vaccinated with a primary series alone, and 1,057 (33%) were unvaccinated. Main Outcome Measure(s): VE against COVID-19 hospitalization was calculated for a primary series plus a booster and a primary series alone by comparing the odds of being vaccinated with each of these regimens versus being unvaccinated among cases versus controls. VE analyses were stratified by immune status (immunocompetent; immunocompromised) because the recommended vaccine schedules are different for these groups. The primary analysis evaluated all COVID-19 vaccine types combined and secondary analyses evaluated specific vaccine products. Result(s): Among immunocompetent patients, VE against Omicron COVID-19 hospitalization for a primary series plus one booster of any vaccine product dose was 77% (95% CI: 71-82%), and for a primary series alone was 44% (95% CI: 31-54%) (p<0.001). VE was higher for a boosted regimen than a primary series alone for both mRNA vaccines used in the US (BNT162b2: primary series plus booster VE 80% (95% CI: 73-85%), primary series alone VE 46% (95% CI: 30-58%) [p<0.001]; mRNA-1273: primary series plus booster VE 77% (95% CI: 67-83%), primary series alone VE 47% (95% CI: 30-60%) [p<0.001]). Among immunocompromised patients, VE for a primary series of any vaccine product against Omicron COVID-19 hospitalization was 60% (95% CI: 41-73%). Insufficient sample size has accumulated to calculate effectiveness of boosted regimens for immunocompromised patients. Conclusion(s): Among immunocompetent people, a booster dose of COVID-19 vaccine provided additional benefit beyond a primary vaccine series alone for preventing COVID-19 hospitalization due to the Omicron variant. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. |
Neutralizing Antibody to Omicron BA.1, BA.2 and BA.5 in COVID-19 Patients (preprint)
Linderman SL , Lai L , Bocangel Gamarra EL , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Steingrub JS , Exline MC , Shapiro NI , Frosch AE , Qadir N , Edupuganti S , Surie D , Tenforde MW , Davis-Gardner ME , Chappell JD , Lau MSY , McElrath MJ , Lauring AS , Suthar MS , Patel MM , Self WH , Ahmed R . medRxiv 2022 22 Neutralizing antibody plays a key role in protective immunity against COVID-19. As increasingly distinct variants circulate, debate continues regarding the value of adding novel variants to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. In this study, we have analyzed live virus neutralization titers against WA1, Delta, BA.1, BA.2, and BA.5 in 187 hospitalized patients infected with Delta or Omicron strains. This information will be useful in selection of the SARS-CoV-2 strains to include in an updated vaccine. Our results show that unvaccinated Delta infected patients made a highly biased neutralizing antibody response towards the infecting Delta strain with slightly lower responses against the WA1 strain, but with strikingly lower titers against BA.1, BA.2, and BA.5. Delta infected patients that had been previously vaccinated with the WA1 containing COVID vaccine made equivalent responses to WA1 and Delta strains, but still had very low neutralizing antibody responses to Omicron strains. In striking contrast, both unvaccinated and vaccinated Omicron patients exhibited a more balanced ratio of Omicron virus neutralization compared to neutralization of ancestral strains. Interestingly, Omicron patients infected with BA.1 or BA.2 had detectable neutralizing antibody titers to BA.5, but these titers were lower than neutralization titers to BA.1 and BA.2. Taken together, these results suggest that inclusion of the Omicron BA.5 strain in a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine would be beneficial in protection against the widely circulating BA.5 variant. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license. |
Comparison of mRNA vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19-associated hospitalization by vaccination source: Immunization information systems, electronic medical records, and self-report-IVY Network, February 1-August 31, 2022
Surie D , Bonnell LN , DeCuir J , Gaglani M , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Steingrub JS , Shapiro NI , Busse LW , Prekker ME , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Hager DN , Ali H , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Khan A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Ginde AA , Huynh D , Mohr NM , Mallow C , Martin ET , Lauring AS , Johnson NJ , Casey JD , Gibbs KW , Kwon JH , Baughman A , Chappell JD , Hart KW , Grijalva CG , Rhoads JP , Swan SA , Keipp Talbot H , Womack KN , Zhu Y , Tenforde MW , Adams K , Self WH , McMorrow ML . Vaccine 2023 41 (29) 4249-4256 BACKGROUND: Accurate determination of COVID-19 vaccination status is necessary to produce reliable COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates. Data comparing differences in COVID-19 VE by vaccination sources (i.e., immunization information systems [IIS], electronic medical records [EMR], and self-report) are limited. We compared the number of mRNA COVID-19 vaccine doses identified by each of these sources to assess agreement as well as differences in VE estimates using vaccination data from each individual source and vaccination data adjudicated from all sources combined. METHODS: Adults aged ≥18 years who were hospitalized with COVID-like illness at 21 hospitals in 18 U.S. states participating in the IVY Network during February 1-August 31, 2022, were enrolled. Numbers of COVID-19 vaccine doses identified by IIS, EMR, and self-report were compared in kappa agreement analyses. Effectiveness of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was estimated using multivariable logistic regression models to compare the odds of COVID-19 vaccination between SARS-CoV-2-positive case-patients and SARS-CoV-2-negative control-patients. VE was estimated using each source of vaccination data separately and all sources combined. RESULTS: A total of 4499 patients were included. Patients with ≥1 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine dose were identified most frequently by self-report (n = 3570, 79 %), followed by IIS (n = 3272, 73 %) and EMR (n = 3057, 68 %). Agreement was highest between IIS and self-report for 4 doses with a kappa of 0.77 (95 % CI = 0.73-0.81). VE point estimates of 3 doses against COVID-19 hospitalization were substantially lower when using vaccination data from EMR only (VE = 31 %, 95 % CI = 16 %-43 %) than when using all sources combined (VE = 53 %, 95 % CI = 41 %-62%). CONCLUSION: Vaccination data from EMR only may substantially underestimate COVID-19 VE. |
Changing severity and epidemiology of adults hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the United States after introduction of COVID-19 vaccines, March 2021-August 2022
Kojima N , Adams K , Self WH , Gaglani M , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Steingrub JS , Shapiro NI , Duggal A , Busse LW , Prekker ME , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Hager DN , Ali H , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Exline MC , Khan A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Ginde AA , Withers CA , Mohr NM , Mallow C , Martin ET , Lauring AS , Johnson NJ , Casey JD , Stubblefield WB , Gibbs KW , Kwon JH , Baughman A , Chappell JD , Hart KW , Jones ID , Rhoads JP , Swan SA , Womack KN , Zhu Y , Surie D , McMorrow ML , Patel MM , Tenforde MW . Clin Infect Dis 2023 77 (4) 547-557 ![]() INTRODUCTION: Understanding the changing epidemiology of adults hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) informs research priorities and public health policies. METHODS: Among adults (≥18 years) hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed, acute COVID-19 between 11 March 2021, and 31 August 2022 at 21 hospitals in 18 states, those hospitalized during the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron-predominant period (BA.1, BA.2, BA.4/BA.5) were compared to those from earlier Alpha- and Delta-predominant periods. Demographic characteristics, biomarkers within 24 hours of admission, and outcomes, including oxygen support and death, were assessed. RESULTS: Among 9825 patients, median (interquartile range [IQR]) age was 60 years (47-72), 47% were women, and 21% non-Hispanic Black. From the Alpha-predominant period (Mar-Jul 2021; N = 1312) to the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 sublineage-predominant period (Jun-Aug 2022; N = 1307): the percentage of patients who had ≥4 categories of underlying medical conditions increased from 11% to 21%; those vaccinated with at least a primary COVID-19 vaccine series increased from 7% to 67%; those ≥75 years old increased from 11% to 33%; those who did not receive any supplemental oxygen increased from 18% to 42%. Median (IQR) highest C-reactive protein and D-dimer concentration decreased from 42.0 mg/L (9.9-122.0) to 11.5 mg/L (2.7-42.8) and 3.1 mcg/mL (0.8-640.0) to 1.0 mcg/mL (0.5-2.2), respectively. In-hospital death peaked at 12% in the Delta-predominant period and declined to 4% during the BA.4/BA.5-predominant period. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to adults hospitalized during early COVID-19 variant periods, those hospitalized during Omicron-variant COVID-19 were older, had multiple co-morbidities, were more likely to be vaccinated, and less likely to experience severe respiratory disease, systemic inflammation, coagulopathy, and death. |
Effectiveness of a Third Dose of Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna Vaccines in Preventing COVID-19 Hospitalization Among Immunocompetent and Immunocompromised Adults - United States, August-December 2021.
Tenforde MW , Patel MM , Gaglani M , Ginde AA , Douin DJ , Talbot HK , Casey JD , Mohr NM , Zepeski A , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Gibbs KW , Files DC , Hager DN , Shehu A , Prekker ME , Erickson HL , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Martin ET , Monto AS , Khan A , Hough CL , Busse LW , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Rivas C , Babcock HM , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Botros M , Lauring AS , Shapiro NI , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Rice TW , Jones ID , Stubblefield WB , Baughman A , Womack KN , Rhoads JP , Lindsell CJ , Hart KW , Zhu Y , Naioti EA , Adams K , Lewis NM , Surie D , McMorrow ML , Self WH , IVY Network . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (4) 118-124 COVID-19 mRNA vaccines (BNT162b2 [Pfizer-BioNTech] and mRNA-1273 [Moderna]) provide protection against infection with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, and are highly effective against COVID-19-associated hospitalization among eligible persons who receive 2 doses (1,2). However, vaccine effectiveness (VE) among persons with immunocompromising conditions* is lower than that among immunocompetent persons (2), and VE declines after several months among all persons (3). On August 12, 2021, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued an emergency use authorization (EUA) for a third mRNA vaccine dose as part of a primary series ≥28 days after dose 2 for persons aged ≥12 years with immunocompromising conditions, and, on November 19, 2021, as a booster dose for all adults aged ≥18 years at least 6 months after dose 2, changed to ≥5 months after dose 2 on January 3, 2022 (4,5,6). Among 2,952 adults (including 1,385 COVID-19 case-patients and 1,567 COVID-19-negative controls) hospitalized at 21 U.S. hospitals during August 19-December 15, 2021, effectiveness of mRNA vaccines against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was compared between adults eligible for but who had not received a third vaccine dose (1,251) and vaccine-eligible adults who received a third dose ≥7 days before illness onset (312). Among 1,875 adults without immunocompromising conditions (including 1,065 [57%] unvaccinated, 679 [36%] 2-dose recipients, and 131 [7%] 3-dose [booster] recipients), VE against COVID-19 hospitalization was higher among those who received a booster dose (97%; 95% CI = 95%-99%) compared with that among 2-dose recipients (82%; 95% CI = 77%-86%) (p <0.001). Among 1,077 adults with immunocompromising conditions (including 324 [30%] unvaccinated, 572 [53%] 2-dose recipients, and 181 [17%] 3-dose recipients), VE was higher among those who received a third dose to complete a primary series (88%; 95% CI = 81%-93%) compared with 2-dose recipients (69%; 95% CI = 57%-78%) (p <0.001). Administration of a third COVID-19 mRNA vaccine dose as part of a primary series among immunocompromised adults, or as a booster dose among immunocompetent adults, provides improved protection against COVID-19-associated hospitalization. |
Effectiveness of monovalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccination in preventing COVID-19-associated invasive mechanical ventilation and death among immunocompetent adults during the Omicron variant period - IVY Network, 19 U.S. States, February 1, 2022-January 31, 2023
DeCuir J , Surie D , Zhu Y , Gaglani M , Ginde AA , Douin DJ , Talbot HK , Casey JD , Mohr NM , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Gibbs KW , Files DC , Hager DN , Phan M , Prekker ME , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Steingrub JS , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Martin ET , Monto AS , Khan A , Bender WS , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Lauring AS , Shapiro NI , Columbus C , Gottlieb R , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Lamerato LE , Safdar B , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Womack KN , Rhoads JP , Hart KW , Swan SA , Lewis N , McMorrow ML , Self WH . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (17) 463-468 ![]() As of April 2023, the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in 1.1 million deaths in the United States, with approximately 75% of deaths occurring among adults aged ≥65 years (1). Data on the durability of protection provided by monovalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccination against critical outcomes of COVID-19 are limited beyond the Omicron BA.1 lineage period (December 26, 2021-March 26, 2022). In this case-control analysis, the effectiveness of 2-4 monovalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccine doses was evaluated against COVID-19-associated invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and in-hospital death among immunocompetent adults aged ≥18 years during February 1, 2022-January 31, 2023. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) against IMV and in-hospital death was 62% among adults aged ≥18 years and 69% among those aged ≥65 years. When stratified by time since last dose, VE was 76% at 7-179 days, 54% at 180-364 days, and 56% at ≥365 days. Monovalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccination provided substantial, durable protection against IMV and in-hospital death among adults during the Omicron variant period. All adults should remain up to date with recommended COVID-19 vaccination to prevent critical COVID-19-associated outcomes. |
Fungal pathogens as causes of acute respiratory illness in hospitalized veterans: Frequency of fungal positive test results using rapid immunodiagnostic assays
Caceres DH , Rodriguez-Barradas MC , Whitaker M , Jackson BR , Kim L , Surie D , Cikesh B , Lindsley MD , McCotter OZ , Berkow EL , Toda M . J Fungi (Basel) 2023 9 (4) Fungal respiratory illnesses caused by endemic mycoses can be nonspecific and are often mistaken for viral or bacterial infections. We performed fungal testing on serum specimens from patients hospitalized with acute respiratory illness (ARI) to assess the possible role of endemic fungi as etiologic agents. Patients hospitalized with ARI at a Veterans Affairs hospital in Houston, Texas, during November 2016-August 2017 were enrolled. Epidemiologic and clinical data, nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal samples for viral testing (PCR), and serum specimens were collected at admission. We retrospectively tested remnant sera from a subset of patients with negative initial viral testing using immunoassays for the detection of Coccidioides and Histoplasma antibodies (Ab) and Cryptococcus, Aspergillus, and Histoplasma antigens (Ag). Of 224 patient serum specimens tested, 49 (22%) had positive results for fungal pathogens, including 30 (13%) by Coccidioides immunodiagnostic assays, 19 (8%) by Histoplasma immunodiagnostic assays, 2 (1%) by Aspergillus Ag, and none by Cryptococcus Ag testing. A high proportion of veterans hospitalized with ARI had positive serological results for fungal pathogens, primarily endemic mycoses, which cause fungal pneumonia. The high proportion of Coccidioides positivity is unexpected as this fungus is not thought to be common in southeastern Texas or metropolitan Houston, though is known to be endemic in southwestern Texas. Although serological testing suffers from low specificity, these results suggest that these fungi may be more common causes of ARI in southeast Texas than commonly appreciated and more increased clinical evaluation may be warranted. |
Total and subgenomic RNA viral load in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 Alpha, Delta, and Omicron variants
Dimcheff DE , Blair CN , Zhu Y , Chappell JD , Gaglani M , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Steingrub JS , Shapiro NI , Duggal A , Busse LW , Frosch AEP , Peltan ID , Hager DN , Gong MN , Exline MC , Khan A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Ginde AA , Douin DJ , Mohr NM , Mallow C , Martin ET , Johnson NJ , Casey JD , Stubblefield WB , Gibbs KW , Kwon JH , Talbot HK , Halasa N , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Womack KN , Hart KW , Swan SA , Surie D , Thornburg NJ , McMorrow ML , Self WH , Lauring AS . J Infect Dis 2023 228 (3) 235-244 BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 genomic and subgenomic RNA levels are frequently used as a correlate of infectiousness. The impact of host factors and SARS-CoV-2 lineage on RNA viral load is unclear. METHODS: Total nucleocapsid (N) and subgenomic N (sgN) RNA levels were measured by RT-qPCR in specimens from 3,204 individuals hospitalized with COVID-19 at 21 hospitals. RT-qPCR cycle threshold (Ct) values were used to estimate RNA viral load. The impact of time of sampling, SARS-CoV-2 variant, age, comorbidities, vaccination, and immune status on N and sgN Ct values were evaluated using multiple linear regression. RESULTS: Ct values at presentation for N (mean ±standard deviation) were 24.14±4.53 for non-variants of concern, 25.15±4.33 for Alpha, 25.31±4.50 for Delta, and 26.26±4.42 for Omicron. N and sgN RNA levels varied with time since symptom onset and infecting variant but not with age, comorbidity, immune status, or vaccination. When normalized to total N RNA, sgN levels were similar across all variants. CONCLUSIONS: RNA viral loads were similar among hospitalized adults, irrespective of infecting variant and known risk factors for severe COVID-19. Total N and subgenomic RNA N viral loads were highly correlated, suggesting that subgenomic RNA measurements adds little information for the purposes of estimating infectivity. |
Absolute and relative vaccine effectiveness of primary and booster series of COVID-19 vaccines (mRNA and adenovirus vector) against COVID-19 hospitalizations in the United States, December 2021-April 2022
Lewis NM , Murray N , Adams K , Surie D , Gaglani M , Ginde AA , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Douin DJ , Talbot HK , Casey JD , Mohr NM , Zepeski A , Shapiro NI , Gibbs KW , Files DC , Hager DN , Ali H , Prekker ME , Frosch AE , Exline MC , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Martin ET , Monto AS , Lauring AS , Khan A , Hough CL , Busse LW , Bender W , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Gordon AJ , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Rivas C , Babcock HM , Kwon JH , Chappell JD , Halasa N , Grijalva CG , Rice TW , Stubblefield WB , Baughman A , Lindsell CJ , Hart KW , Rhoads JP , McMorrow ML , Tenforde MW , Self WH , Patel MM . Open Forum Infect Dis 2023 10 (1) ofac698 BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine effectiveness (VE) studies are increasingly reporting relative VE (rVE) comparing a primary series plus booster doses with a primary series only. Interpretation of rVE differs from traditional studies measuring absolute VE (aVE) of a vaccine regimen against an unvaccinated referent group. We estimated aVE and rVE against COVID-19 hospitalization in primary-series plus first-booster recipients of COVID-19 vaccines. METHODS: Booster-eligible immunocompetent adults hospitalized at 21 medical centers in the United States during December 25, 2021-April 4, 2022 were included. In a test-negative design, logistic regression with case status as the outcome and completion of primary vaccine series or primary series plus 1 booster dose as the predictors, adjusted for potential confounders, were used to estimate aVE and rVE. RESULTS: A total of 2060 patients were analyzed, including 1104 COVID-19 cases and 956 controls. Relative VE against COVID-19 hospitalization in boosted mRNA vaccine recipients versus primary series only was 66% (95% confidence interval [CI], 55%-74%); aVE was 81% (95% CI, 75%-86%) for boosted versus 46% (95% CI, 30%-58%) for primary. For boosted Janssen vaccine recipients versus primary series, rVE was 49% (95% CI, -9% to 76%); aVE was 62% (95% CI, 33%-79%) for boosted versus 36% (95% CI, -4% to 60%) for primary. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccine booster doses increased protection against COVID-19 hospitalization compared with a primary series. Comparing rVE measures across studies can lead to flawed interpretations of the added value of a new vaccination regimen, whereas difference in aVE, when available, may be a more useful metric. |
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