Last data update: Sep 23, 2024. (Total: 47723 publications since 2009)
Records 1-3 (of 3 Records) |
Query Trace: Smith-Sreen J [original query] |
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Trends in HIV prevalence, incidence, and progress towards the UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets in Malawi among individuals aged 15-64 years: population-based HIV impact assessments, 2015-16 and 2020-21
Payne D , Wadonda-Kabondo N , Wang A , Smith-Sreen J , Kabaghe A , Bello G , Kayigamba F , Tenthani L , Maida A , Auld A , Voetsch AC , Jonnalagadda S , Brown K , West CA , Kim E , Ogollah F , Farahani M , Dobbs T , Jahn A , Mirkovic K , Nyirenda R . Lancet HIV 2023 10 (9) e597-e605 BACKGROUND: In 2014, UNAIDS set the goal of ending the AIDS epidemic by 2030 through the achievement of testing and treatment cascade targets. To evaluate progress achieved and highlight persisting gaps in HIV epidemic control in Malawi, we aimed to compare key indicators (prevalence, incidence, viral load suppression, and UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets) from the 2015-16 and 2020-21 Malawi Population-based HIV Impact Assessment (PHIA) survey results. METHODS: The Malawi PHIAs were nationally representative, cross-sectional surveys with a two-stage cluster sampling design. The first survey was conducted between Nov 27, 2015, and Aug 26, 2016; the second survey was conducted between Jan 15, 2020, and April 26, 2021. Our analysis included survey participants aged 15-64 years. Participants were interviewed and a 14 mL blood sample was collected and tested for HIV infection using the national rapid testing algorithm. For each survey, we estimated key HIV epidemic indicators and achievement of 95-95-95 targets. The risk ratio (RR) of the indicators between surveys were computed and considered significant at a confidence level of 0·05. All results were weighted, and self-reported awareness and treatment status were adjusted to account for detection of antiretrovirals. FINDINGS: Our analysis included 17 187 participants aged 15-64 years in 2015-16 and 21 208 in 2020-21 who participated in the surveys and blood draw. In the 2020-21 survey, 88·4% (95% CI 86·7-90·0) of people living with HIV were aware of their HIV-positive status; of those aware, 97·8% (97·1-98·5) were on antiretroviral therapy; and of those on treatment, 96·9% (95·9-97·7) were virally suppressed. Between surveys, the national HIV prevalence decreased significantly from 10·6% (10·0-11·2) to 8·9% (8·4-9·5) with RR 0·85 (95% CI 0·78-0·92; p<0·0001). The annual HIV incidence decreased from 0·37% (0·20-0·53) to 0·22% (0·11-0·34) with RR 0·61 (95% CI 0·31-1·20; p=0·15). The population viral load suppression increased from 68·3% (66·0-70·7) in 2015-16 to 87·0% (85·3-88·5) in 2020-21 (RR 1·27 [95% CI 1·22-1·32]; p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: These results suggest that Malawi had already surpassed the UNAIDS viral load suppression target for 2030 (85·7%) by 2020-21. Through strategies and evidence-informed interventions implemented in the last half decade, especially scale-up of effective HIV treatment, Malawi has made tremendous progress, including decreasing HIV prevalence and incidence and achieving both the second and third 95 targets ahead of 2030. To address the first 95, efforts in HIV diagnosis should focus on males and younger age groups. There is a continued need for effective linkage to care, retention on antiretroviral therapy, and adherence support to maintain and build on progress. FUNDING: US President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief through the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. |
Comparison of COVID-19 pandemic waves in 10 countries in Southern Africa, 2020-2021
Smith-Sreen J , Miller B , Kabaghe AN , Kim E , Wadonda-Kabondo N , Frawley A , Labuda S , Manuel E , Frietas H , Mwale AC , Segolodi T , Harvey P , Seitio-Kgokgwe O , Vergara AE , Gudo ES , Dziuban EJ , Shoopala N , Hines JZ , Agolory S , Kapina M , Sinyange N , Melchior M , Mirkovic K , Mahomva A , Modhi S , Salyer S , Azman AS , McLean C , Riek LP , Asiimwe F , Adler M , Mazibuko S , Okello V , Auld AF . Emerg Infect Dis 2022 28 (13) S93-s104 We used publicly available data to describe epidemiology, genomic surveillance, and public health and social measures from the first 3 COVID-19 pandemic waves in southern Africa during April 6, 2020-September 19, 2021. South Africa detected regional waves on average 7.2 weeks before other countries. Average testing volume 244 tests/million/day) increased across waves and was highest in upper-middle-income countries. Across the 3 waves, average reported regional incidence increased (17.4, 51.9, 123.3 cases/1 million population/day), as did positivity of diagnostic tests (8.8%, 12.2%, 14.5%); mortality (0.3, 1.5, 2.7 deaths/1 million populaiton/day); and case-fatality ratios (1.9%, 2.1%, 2.5%). Beta variant (B.1.351) drove the second wave and Delta (B.1.617.2) the third. Stringent implementation of safety measures declined across waves. As of September 19, 2021, completed vaccination coverage remained low (8.1% of total population). Our findings highlight opportunities for strengthening surveillance, health systems, and access to realistically available therapeutics, and scaling up risk-based vaccination. |
Commercial and social value of pharmaceutical industry-led access programs: Conceptual framework and descriptive analysis
Smith-Sreen J , Heerdegen ACS , Wirtz VJ , Kulkarni P , Machado M , Rockers PC . Health Syst Reform 2022 8 (1) e2057831 Pharmaceutical industry-led access programs are growing in number globally and are increasingly adopting a hybrid approach intended to generate commercial and social value in parallel. We developed and applied a new conceptual framework in a descriptive analysis of observable indicators measuring commercial and social value for 91 programs registered in the Access Observatory. We found that most programs had features consistent with the generation of commercial value, directly through revenue generation (50.0%), or indirectly by creating competitive advantage (70.3%). We also found that most programs were implemented in countries where the company has commercial products registered (85.5%). While many programs had features consistent with the generation of social value, it was difficult to ascertain the level of that value because most did not share data (83.5%) and had not been evaluated (74.7%). Future efforts by the global health community and the pharmaceutical industry should focus on strengthening measurement and reporting on commercial and social indicators of industry-led access programs. |
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