Last data update: Apr 28, 2025. (Total: 49156 publications since 2009)
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Patterns and differences in lung cancer treatment - United States, 2015-2020
Kava CM , Siegel DA , Qin J , Sabatino SA , Wilson R , Wu M . Chest 2024 BACKGROUND: Treatment for lung cancer can improve prognosis, but 5-year survival remains low at 26%. An examination of treatment using data with higher population coverage, and among a broader number of treatment modalities and individual characteristics, would provide greater insight into differences in lung cancer treatment. RESEARCH QUESTION: Among adults diagnosed with lung cancer, how does reported receipt of lung cancer treatment differ by sociodemographic characteristics? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: We used 2015-2020 National Program of Cancer Registry data covering 89% of the US population to describe first-course treatment among people aged ≥ 20 years and diagnosed with lung and bronchus cancer. We performed multivariable logistic regression to examine associations between sociodemographic characteristics and treatment received. RESULTS: Among 1,068,155 people diagnosed with lung cancer, 22% received surgery, 41% received chemotherapy, 40% received radiation, 13% received immunotherapy, and 75% received at least one of the four treatments. People who were aged ≥ 45 years (OR range, 0.08-0.67); were of American Indian or Alaska Native (OR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.77-0.87), Black (OR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.81-0.84), or Hispanic (OR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.78-0.82) race/ethnicity; resided in a nonmetropolitan county (OR, 0.98; 0.96-0.99); resided in the bottom 25% (OR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.78-0.81) and middle 50% (OR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.86-0.88) of counties by economic status (considers unemployment rate, per capita market income, and poverty rate); and in the West US census region (OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.94-0.97) had significantly lower odds of receiving at least one of the four treatments. INTERPRETATION: Chemotherapy and radiation were the most common types of first-course treatment reported. Receipt of at least one of the four treatments examined was lower among several groups, including certain racial and ethnic groups and those residing in counties with lower economic status. Future studies might further identify and intervene on factors underlying differences. |
Cervical cancer incidence in the US-affiliated Pacific Islands
Gopalani SV , Qin J , Baksa J , Thompson TD , Saraiya M , Senkomago V , Pordell P , Jeong Y , Palafox NA , Reichhardt M , Buenconsejo-Lum LE . JAMA Oncol 2024 IMPORTANCE: The World Health Organization has called for eliminating cervical cancer as a public health problem. Accurate and up-to-date estimates of population-based cervical cancer incidence are essential for monitoring progress toward elimination and informing local cancer control strategies, but these estimates are lacking for the US-Affiliated Pacific Islands (USAPI). OBJECTIVE: To calculate age-standardized incidence rates for cervical cancer in the 6 USAPI and compare these rates with rates in the US (50 states and the District of Columbia). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study used population-based data from the Pacific Regional Central Cancer Registry for women aged 20 years or older who were diagnosed with invasive cervical cancer from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2020. The registry comprises data on all cervical cancers from the USAPI, which include 3 US territories (American Samoa, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, and Guam) and 3 freely associated states (Federated States of Micronesia [FSM], Republic of the Marshall Islands [RMI], and Republic of Palau). Data were analyzed from July 10, 2023, to November 28, 2023. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The main outcome was age-standardized cervical cancer incidence rates, stratified by age, stage, and histologic code for the USAPI using population estimates from 3 different sources (US Census Bureau International Database, United Nations Population Division, and Pacific Data Hub). Rate ratios were calculated to compare incidence rates between the USAPI and the US. RESULTS: From 2007 to 2020, 409 cases of cervical cancer were diagnosed in the USAPI (median age at diagnosis, 46.0 years [25th-75th percentile, 39.0-55.0 years]), with an age-standardized incidence rate ranging from 21.7 (95% CI, 19.6-23.9) to 22.1 (95% CI, 20.0-24.4) per 100 000 women, depending on the population estimate. Incidence rates were highest in RMI, ranging from 58.1 (95% CI, 48.0-69.7) to 83.4 (95% CI, 68.3-101.0) per 100 000 women, followed by FSM, ranging from 28.7 (95% CI, 23.4-34.9) to 29.8 (95% CI, 24.3-36.3) per 100 000 women. Compared with the US, incidence rates were highest in RMI (rate ratio, 5.7 [95% CI, 4.7-6.8] to 8.2 [95% CI, 6.7-9.9]) and FSM (rate ratio; 2.8; 95% CI, 2.3-3.4). Of all cases in the USAPI, 213 (68.2%) were diagnosed at a late stage. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional study, cervical cancer remained a major public health issue in some USAPI, with RMI reporting the highest incidence rates. The findings suggest that improvements in human papillomavirus vaccination and cancer screening coverage through efforts tailored to the unique geographic, sociocultural, economic, and health care landscape of the USAPI may reduce the burden of cervical cancer. |
Lung cancer incidence, 2019-2020, United States: The potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic
Kava CM , Siegel DA , Sabatino SA , Qin J , Richards TB , Jane Henley S . Ann Epidemiol 2024 PURPOSE: Cancer incidence declined during the COVID-19 pandemic in part due to health care delivery challenges. We examined the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on changes in lung cancer incidence. METHODS: We used 2019-2020 US Cancer Statistics data from 49 cancer registries covering 97% of the US population. We calculated the number of new lung cancer diagnoses in 2019 and 2020, age-adjusted lung cancer incidence rates per 100,000 persons, and 2019-to-2020 percentage changes in incidence rates. We also calculated number and percentage of new lung cancer diagnoses by month and stage at diagnosis. RESULTS: The age-adjusted lung cancer incidence rate per 100,000 persons was 47.9 in 2019 vs. 41.4 in 2020-a 13.6% decrease. Differences in the percentage change in incidence rates were observed by age, race and ethnicity, US census region, histology, and stage at diagnosis. A higher percentage of people were diagnosed at distant stage in 2020 than 2019. CONCLUSIONS: This report provides new insight into subgroups that experienced the greatest decline in observed lung cancer incidence during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. The findings can be used to inform intervention efforts to improve lung cancer screening, diagnosis, and treatment. |
Breast cancer incidence and stage at diagnosis in the six US-Affiliated Pacific Islands
Gopalani SV , Qin J , Baksa J , Thompson TD , Senkomago V , Pordell P , Jeong Y , Reichhardt M , Palafox N , Buenconsejo-Lum L . Cancer Epidemiol 2024 92 102611 BACKGROUND: Breast cancer is the most common cancer diagnosed among women globally and in the United States (US); however, its incidence in the six US-Affiliated Pacific Islands (USAPI) remains less characterized. METHODS: We analyzed data from a population-based cancer registry using different population estimates to calculate incidence rates for breast cancer among women aged >20 years in the USAPI. Rate ratios and 95 % confidence intervals (CI) were calculated to compare incidence rates between the USAPI and the US (50 states and the District of Columbia). RESULTS: From 2007-2020, 1118 new cases of breast cancer were diagnosed in the USAPI, with 66.3 % (n = 741) of cases reported in Guam. Age-standardized incidence rates ranged from 66.4 to 68.7 per 100,000 women in USAPI and 101.1-110.5 per 100,000 women in Guam. Compared to the US, incidence rates were lower in USAPI, with rate ratios ranging from 0.38 (95 % CI: 0.36, 0.40) to 0.39 (95 % CI: 0.37, 0.42). The proportion of late-stage cancer was significantly higher in the USAPI (48.7 %) than in the US (34.0 %), particularly in the Federated States of Micronesia (78.7 %) and Palau (73.1 %). CONCLUSIONS: Breast cancer incidence rates were lower in the USAPI than in the US; however, late-stage diagnoses were disproportionately higher. Low incidence and late-stage cancers may signal challenges in screening, cancer surveillance, and health care access and resources. Expanding access to timely breast cancer screening, diagnosis, and treatment could reduce the proportion of late-stage cancers and improve survival in the USAPI. |
Building capacity for cervical cancer prevention in U.S.-Affiliated Pacific Islands: The Pacific Against Cervical Cancer Project
Qin J , Scarinci I , Lu E , Senkomago V , Ngoc Nguyen DT , Abonales L , Soin K , Edilyong J , Reichhardt M , Marfel M , Simms K , Canfell K , Maxwell K , Saraiya M , Palafox N . J Womens Health (Larchmt) 2024 The U.S.-affiliated Pacific Islands (USAPI) have higher cervical cancer incidence and mortality rates and lower screening coverage compared with the United States. This is likely because of economic, geographical, health care delivery, and cultural barriers for women living in these resource-constrained, isolated regions. The most recent U.S. and World Health Organization cervical cancer screening guidelines recommended primary human papillomavirus (HPV) testing as one screening option or the preferred screening modality. Primary HPV screening-based strategies offer several advantages over current screening methods in the USAPI. However, adoption of this newer screening modality has been slow in the United States and not yet incorporated into USAPI screening programs. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and partners initiated the Pacific Against Cervical Cancer (PACe) project in 2019 to evaluate the feasibility, acceptability, and cost-effectiveness of primary HPV testing-based strategies in Guam and in Yap, Federated States of Micronesia. This report provides an overview of the PACe project and outlines the approaches we took in implementing primary HPV testing as a new cervical cancer screening strategy (including the option of self-sampling in Yap), encompassing four core components: (1) community engagement and education, (2) medical and laboratory capacity building, (3) health information and system improvement, and (4) modeling and cost-effectiveness analysis. The PACe project provides examples of systematic implementation and resource appropriate technologies to the USAPI, with broader implications for never screened and under-screened populations in the United States and Pacific as they face similar barriers to accessing cervical cancer screening services. |
Employment characteristics and tobacco product use, United States, 2021
Kava CM , Syamlal G , VanFrank B , Siegel DA , Henley SJ , Bryant-Genevier J , Qin J , Sabatino SA . Am J Prev Med 2024 INTRODUCTION: Over 30 million U.S. working adults use tobacco, and tobacco use varies by occupation. Limited information is available on employment characteristics and tobacco use prevalence. The purpose of this study was to describe the prevalence of current tobacco use by employment characteristics and occupation group among U.S. working adults. METHODS: This cross-sectional study used 2021 National Health Interview Survey data for currently working adults (n=16,461) analyzed in 2023. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds of tobacco use by employment characteristics and occupation group. RESULTS: In 2021, 20.0% of working adults used tobacco. Any tobacco use was significantly lower among workers who were offered workplace health insurance (aOR=0.86, 95% CI=0.77-0.97), had paid sick leave (aOR=0.81, 95% CI=0.73-0.91), and government vs. private employment (aOR=0.61, 95% CI=0.52-0.70). Any tobacco use was significantly higher among workers who usually worked ≥35 hours per week vs. did not usually work ≥35 hours per week (aOR=1.21, 95% CI=1.06-1.39), worked a rotating or 'some other' shift vs. daytime shift (aOR=1.19, 95% CI=1.02-1.38), experienced schedule instability (aOR=1.17, 95% CI=1.03-1.31), and worked while physically ill in the past 3 months (aOR=1.25, 95% CI=1.11-1.41). Tobacco use by employment characteristics also varied by occupation group. CONCLUSIONS: Current tobacco use varied according to employment characteristics and occupation group. Findings from this study could inform workplace tobacco cessation interventions and policies (e.g., access to paid sick leave or insurance coverage) to better support tobacco cessation and overall worker health. |
Examination of SARS-CoV-2 serological test results from multiple commercial and laboratory platforms with an in-house serum panel
Lester SN , Stumpf M , Freeman BD , Mills L , Schiffer J , Semenova V , Jia T , Desai R , Browning P , Alston B , Ategbole M , Bolcen S , Chen A , David E , Manitis P , Tatum H , Qin Y , Zellner B , Drobeniuc J , Tejada-Strop A , Chatterjee P , Shrivastava-Ranjan P , Jenks MH , McMullan LK , Flint M , Spiropoulou CF , Niemeyer GP , Werner BJ , Bean CJ , Johnson JA , Hoffmaster AR , Satheshkumar PS , Schuh AJ , Owen SM , Thornburg NJ . Access Microbiol 2024 6 (2) Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a novel human coronavirus that was identified in 2019. SARS-CoV-2 infection results in an acute, severe respiratory disease called coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The emergence and rapid spread of SARS-CoV-2 has led to a global public health crisis, which continues to affect populations across the globe. Real time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) is the reference standard test for COVID-19 diagnosis. Serological tests are valuable tools for serosurveillance programs and establishing correlates of protection from disease. This study evaluated the performance of one in-house enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) utilizing the pre-fusion stabilized ectodomain of SARS-CoV-2 spike (S), two commercially available chemiluminescence assays Ortho VITROS Immunodiagnostic Products Anti-SARS-CoV-2 Total Reagent Pack and Abbott SARS-CoV-2 IgG assay and one commercially available Surrogate Virus Neutralization Test (sVNT), GenScript USA Inc., cPass SARS-CoV-2 Neutralization Antibody Detection Kit for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 specific antibodies. Using a panel of rRT-PCR confirmed COVID-19 patients' sera and a negative control group as a reference standard, all three immunoassays demonstrated high comparable positivity rates and low discordant rates. All three immunoassays were highly sensitive with estimated sensitivities ranging from 95.4-96.6 %. ROC curve analysis indicated that all three immunoassays had high diagnostic accuracies with area under the curve (AUC) values ranging from 0.9698 to 0.9807. High positive correlation was demonstrated among the conventional microneutralization test (MNT) titers and the sVNT inhibition percent values. Our study indicates that independent evaluations are necessary to optimize the overall utility and the interpretation of the results of serological tests. Overall, we demonstrate that all serological tests evaluated in this study are suitable for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. |
Tubal sterilization and cervical cancer underscreening in the United States
Holt HK , Martinez G , Reyes MF , Saraiya M , Qin J , Sawaya GF . J Womens Health (Larchmt) 2024 Background: Tubal sterilization is more commonly utilized by racial/ethnic minority groups and has been implicated in underscreening for cervical cancer. The objective is to determine if prior tubal sterilization is a risk factor for cervical cancer underscreening. Methods: National Survey of Family Growth dataset from 2015 to 2019 used for analysis; data were weighted to represent the 72 million women in the U.S. population aged 22-49. Chi-square tests, Fisher exact tests, and logistic regression were used for analysis. The primary predictor variable was tubal sterilization which was categorized into no previous sterilization, sterilization completed <5 years ago, and sterilization completed ≥5 years ago. The outcome variable was underscreened versus not underscreened. Other predictor variables included age, household income as a percent of federal poverty level, previous live birth, primary care provider, and insurance status. Results: Prevalence of tubal sterilization completed 5 or more years ago was 12.5% and varied by most measured characteristics in univariate analyses. Approximately 8% of women were underscreened for cervical cancer. In multivariable analyses, women with a tubal sterilization 5 or more years ago had 2.64 times the odds (95% confidence interval = 1.75-4.00) of being underscreened for cervical cancer compared with women who did not have a tubal sterilization. Conclusions: Approximately 4.3 million women ages 22-49 in the United States are potentially underscreened for cervical cancer and women with previous tubal ligation ≥5 years ago are more likely to be underscreened. These results may inform the need for culturally sensitive public health messages informing people who have had these procedures about the need for continued screening. |
Medicaid expansion and health care use among adults with asthma and low incomes: The Adult Asthma Call-Back Survey
Qin X , Mirabelli MC , Flanders WD , Hsu J . Public Health Rep 2024 333549241228501 OBJECTIVES: Asthma disproportionately affects Black people and people with low incomes, but Medicaid expansion (hereinafter, expansion) data on these populations are limited. We investigated health care use among adults with asthma, before and after expansion, and examined whether asthma-related health care use after expansion varied by demographic characteristics. METHODS: We analyzed data from the 2011-2013 and 2015-2019 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Adult Asthma Call-Back Survey on participants aged 18-64 years with current asthma and low incomes in 23 US states. We assessed 5 asthma-related outcomes, including medical visits (routine and emergency) and medication use, for expansion and nonexpansion groups. We used t tests to compare weighted percentages and 95% CIs, then performed adjusted difference-in-differences analyses. Secondary analyses stratified data by race, ethnicity, and sex. RESULTS: Primary analyses (N = 10 796) found no significant associations between expansion and any outcome. Analyses stratified by race and ethnicity found no significant changes (eg, asthma controller medication use among non-Hispanic Black participants in the expansion group was 24.1% [95% CI, 14.4%-37.5%] in 2011-2013 and 35.5% [95% CI, 27.0%-45.1%] in 2015-2019; P = .13). Use of asthma controller medication increased significantly among non-Hispanic Other participants in the nonexpansion group (2011-2013: 16.0% [95% CI, 9.5%-25.5%]; 2015-2019: 40.2% [95% CI, 25.5%-56.8%]; P = .01). Asthma-related hospitalizations decreased significantly among women in the expansion group: 2011-2013 (7.8%; 95% CI, 5.3%-11.3%) and 2015-2019 (3.5%; 95% CI, 2.5%-4.9%) (P = .009). CONCLUSIONS: Investigating factors other than health insurance (eg, social determinants of health) that influence the use of asthma-related health care could advance knowledge of potential strategies to advance health equity for adults with asthma and lower incomes. |
Factors associated with emergency department visits for asthma resulting in hospital admission- United States, 2020
Qin X , Pate CA , Zahran HS . J Asthma 2024 1-13 ObjectiveTo identify risk factors associated with hospital admission following an ED visit for asthma at the time of discharge among U.S. children and adults.MethodsAsthma emergency department visits resulting in hospital admissions using discharge data among children (aged 0-17 years) and adults (aged 18 years or older) from the 2020 Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS), Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP), Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality were examined. Risk factors associated with hospital admission following ED visits were identified using univariable and multi-variable logistic regression models.ResultsAmong children, hospital admission after asthma-related ED visits was higher for females, ages less than 12 years, and discharged in January-March or in October-December and lower for Black children, Hispanic children, Medicaid or Medicare beneficiaries, other/no charge/self-pay, and in metropolitan non-teaching or non-metropolitan hospitals. Among adults, asthma ED visits resulting in hospital admissions were higher for females, ages 35 years or older, discharged in January-March, and for Medicare beneficiaries and lower for Black adults, Hispanic adults, adults of other races, other/no charge/self-pay, in metropolitan non-teaching or non-metropolitan hospitals, and median household income quartiles for patient's ZIP Code of less than $59,000 were lower.ConclusionsSociodemographic factors, healthcare use, and household income were significantly associated with hospital admissions at the time of discharge from the ED. Examining hospital admission after an ED visit for asthma is important in identifying these groups and better addressing their healthcare needs. |
Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty
Howerton E , Contamin L , Mullany LC , Qin M , Reich NG , Bents S , Borchering RK , Jung SM , Loo SL , Smith CP , Levander J , Kerr J , Espino J , van Panhuis WG , Hochheiser H , Galanti M , Yamana T , Pei S , Shaman J , Rainwater-Lovett K , Kinsey M , Tallaksen K , Wilson S , Shin L , Lemaitre JC , Kaminsky J , Hulse JD , Lee EC , McKee CD , Hill A , Karlen D , Chinazzi M , Davis JT , Mu K , Xiong X , Pastore YPiontti A , Vespignani A , Rosenstrom ET , Ivy JS , Mayorga ME , Swann JL , España G , Cavany S , Moore S , Perkins A , Hladish T , Pillai A , Ben Toh K , Longini I Jr , Chen S , Paul R , Janies D , Thill JC , Bouchnita A , Bi K , Lachmann M , Fox SJ , Meyers LA , Srivastava A , Porebski P , Venkatramanan S , Adiga A , Lewis B , Klahn B , Outten J , Hurt B , Chen J , Mortveit H , Wilson A , Marathe M , Hoops S , Bhattacharya P , Machi D , Cadwell BL , Healy JM , Slayton RB , Johansson MA , Biggerstaff M , Truelove S , Runge MC , Shea K , Viboud C , Lessler J . Nat Commun 2023 14 (1) 7260 ![]() Our ability to forecast epidemics far into the future is constrained by the many complexities of disease systems. Realistic longer-term projections may, however, be possible under well-defined scenarios that specify the future state of critical epidemic drivers. Since December 2020, the U.S. COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub (SMH) has convened multiple modeling teams to make months ahead projections of SARS-CoV-2 burden, totaling nearly 1.8 million national and state-level projections. Here, we find SMH performance varied widely as a function of both scenario validity and model calibration. We show scenarios remained close to reality for 22 weeks on average before the arrival of unanticipated SARS-CoV-2 variants invalidated key assumptions. An ensemble of participating models that preserved variation between models (using the linear opinion pool method) was consistently more reliable than any single model in periods of valid scenario assumptions, while projection interval coverage was near target levels. SMH projections were used to guide pandemic response, illustrating the value of collaborative hubs for longer-term scenario projections. |
Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination (preprint)
Truelove S , Smith CP , Qin M , Mullany LC , Borchering RK , Lessler J , Shea K , Howerton E , Contamin L , Levander J , Salerno J , Hochheiser H , Kinsey M , Tallaksen K , Wilson S , Shin L , Rainwater-Lovett K , Lemaitre JC , Dent J , Kaminsky J , Lee EC , Perez-Saez J , Hill A , Karlen D , Chinazzi M , Davis JT , Mu K , Xiong X , Piontti APY , Vespignani A , Srivastava A , Porebski P , Venkatramanan S , Adiga A , Lewis B , Klahn B , Outten J , Schlitt J , Corbett P , Telionis PA , Wang L , Peddireddy AS , Hurt B , Chen J , Vullikanti A , Marathe M , Hoops S , Bhattacharya P , Machi D , Chen S , Paul R , Janies D , Thill JC , Galanti M , Yamana T , Pei S , Shaman J , Reich NG , Healy JM , Slayton RB , Biggerstaff M , Johansson MA , Runge MC , Viboud C . medRxiv 2021 WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC? The highly transmissible SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant has begun to cause increases in cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in parts of the United States. With slowed vaccination uptake, this novel variant is expected to increase the risk of pandemic resurgence in the US in July-December 2021. WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT? Data from nine mechanistic models project substantial resurgences of COVID-19 across the US resulting from the more transmissible Delta variant. These resurgences, which have now been observed in most states, were projected to occur across most of the US, coinciding with school and business reopening. Reaching higher vaccine coverage in July-December 2021 reduces the size and duration of the projected resurgence substantially. The expected impact of the outbreak is largely concentrated in a subset of states with lower vaccination coverage. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE? Renewed efforts to increase vaccination uptake are critical to limiting transmission and disease, particularly in states with lower current vaccination coverage. Reaching higher vaccination goals in the coming months can potentially avert 1.5 million cases and 21,000 deaths and improve the ability to safely resume social contacts, and educational and business activities. Continued or renewed non-pharmaceutical interventions, including masking, can also help limit transmission, particularly as schools and businesses reopen. |
Adult asthma prevalence and trend analysis by urban–rural status across sociodemographic characteristics—United States, 2012-20
Qin X , Pate CA , Zahran HS . J Allergy Clin Immunol Glob 2023 2 (2) 100085 Background: Asthma prevalence estimates among adults are limited for urban–rural classification across sociodemographic characteristics. Objectives: This study examined current asthma prevalence and annual trends by 6-level urban–rural categories across sociodemographic characteristics among US adults. Methods: Asthma prevalence for 2020 and annual trends for 2012-20 were estimated using Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data. The 2013 National Center for Health Statistics urban and rural categories were used to define urban–rural status. Results: Current asthma prevalence was higher in medium (9.7%; prevalence ratio 1.103 [95% CI 1.037, 1.174]) and small (9.9%; 1.111 [1.031, 1.197]) metro than in large fringe metropolitan (8.6%), was higher in micropolitan (10.2%) than in both large fringe (8.6%; 1.115 [1.042, 1.194]) and large central metropolitan (8.8%; 1.080 [1.001, 1.066]) areas. Prevalence by sociodemographic characteristics varied between urban–rural scheme; the prevalence was significantly higher among adults aged 55-64 years in micropolitan (11.9%), women in small metro (12.8%), and other race non-Hispanic in noncore (most rural) (13.6%) areas, adults without a high school diploma in micropolitan areas (13.8%), household income <100% of federal poverty level in micropolitan areas (15.7%), and adults with insurance coverage in micropolitan areas (10.3%) compared to the corresponding populations in other urban–rural categories. During 2012-20, an increasing trend in prevalence was observed only in medium metro areas, with an annual percentage change of 0.81. Conclusions: Asthma prevalence differed by 6-level urban–rural categories. These findings might be helpful in establishing effective asthma control programs and targeting resource allocation at the local level. © 2023 |
Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: a multi-model study (preprint)
Borchering RK , Mullany LC , Howerton E , Chinazzi M , Smith CP , Qin M , Reich NG , Contamin L , Levander J , Kerr J , Espino J , Hochheiser H , Lovett K , Kinsey M , Tallaksen K , Wilson S , Shin L , Lemaitre JC , Hulse JD , Kaminsky J , Lee EC , Davis JT , Mu K , Xiong X , Pastore y Piontti A , Vespignani A , Srivastava A , Porebski P , Venkatramanan S , Adiga A , Lewis B , Klahn B , Outten J , Hurt B , Chen J , Mortveit H , Wilson A , Marathe M , Hoops S , Bhattacharya P , Machi D , Chen S , Paul R , Janies D , Thill JC , Galanti M , Yamana T , Pei S , Shaman J , Espana G , Cavany S , Moore S , Perkins A , Healy JM , Slayton RB , Johansson MA , Biggerstaff M , Shea K , Truelove SA , Runge MC , Viboud C , Lessler J . medRxiv 2022 10 Background SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of persons aged 12 years and older has reduced disease burden in the United States. The COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub convened multiple modeling teams in September 2021 to project the impact of expanding vaccine administration to children 5-11 years old on anticipated COVID-19 burden and resilience against variant strains. Methods Nine modeling teams contributed state- and national-level projections for weekly counts of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in the United States for the period September 12, 2021 to March 12, 2022. Four scenarios covered all combinations of: 1) presence vs. absence of vaccination of children ages 5-11 years starting on November 1, 2021; and 2) continued dominance of the Delta variant vs. emergence of a hypothetical more transmissible variant on November 15, 2021. Individual team projections were combined using linear pooling. The effect of childhood vaccination on overall and age-specific outcomes was estimated by meta-analysis approaches. Findings Absent a new variant, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths among all ages were projected to decrease nationally through mid-March 2022. Under a set of specific assumptions, models projected that vaccination of children 5-11 years old was associated with reductions in all-age cumulative cases (7.2%, mean incidence ratio [IR] 0.928, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.880-0.977), hospitalizations (8.7%, mean IR 0.913, 95% CI 0.834-0.992), and deaths (9.2%, mean IR 0.908, 95% CI 0.797-1.020) compared with scenarios where children were not vaccinated. This projected effect of vaccinating children 5-11 years old increased in the presence of a more transmissible variant, assuming no change in vaccine effectiveness by variant. Larger relative reductions in cumulative cases, hospitalizations, and deaths were observed for children than for the entire U.S. population. Substantial state-level variation was projected in epidemic trajectories, vaccine benefits, and variant impacts. Conclusions Results from this multi-model aggregation study suggest that, under a specific set of scenario assumptions, expanding vaccination to children 5-11 years old would provide measurable direct benefits to this age group and indirect benefits to the all-age U.S. population, including resilience to more transmissible variants. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY 4.0 International license. |
Asthma disparities among U.S. children and adults
Pate CA , Qin X , Johnson C , Zahran HS . J Asthma 2023 60 (12) 1-16 Objective: To assess factors that are associated with asthma prevalence and asthma attacks among children (0-17 years) and adults (18 years and over) in the United States of America.Methods: The 2019-2021 National Health Interview Survey data were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression models to determine associations between health outcomes (i.e., current asthma and asthma attacks) and demographic and socioeconomic factors. Each health outcome was regressed over each characteristic variable, adjusting for age, sex, and race/ethnicity for adults and sex and race/ethnicity for children.Results: Asthma was more common among children who were male, blacks, parental education less than bachelor's, or had public health insurance, and among adults who had less than a bachelor's degree, do not own a home, or not in the workforce. Persons in families facing difficulty paying medical bills were more likely to have current asthma (children: aPR = 1.62[1.40-1.88]; adults: aPR = 1.67[1.55-1.81]) and asthma attacks (children: aPR = 1.34[1.15-1.56]; adults: aPR = 1.31[1.20-1.43]). Persons with family income <100% federal poverty threshold (FPT) (children: aPR = 1.39[1.17-1.64]; adults: aPR = 1.64[1.50-1.80]) or adults 100%-199% FPT (aPR = 1.28[1.19-1.39]) were more likely to have current asthma. Children and adults with family income <100% FPT and adults 100%-199% FPT were also more likely to have asthma attacks. Having asthma attacks was common among adults not in the workforce as well (aPR = 1.17[1.07-1.27]).Conclusions: Asthma affects certain groups disproportionately. The findings of this paper suggesting asthma disparities continue to persist, may increase public health programs awareness to better deliver effective and evidence-based interventions. |
Highlights From an Expert Meeting on Opportunities for Cancer Prevention Among Older Adults
Cancer Prevention During Older Adulthood Writing Group , Ekwueme Donatus U , Flagg T’Ronda , Holman Dawn M , Peipins Lucy , Qin Jin , Shoemaker Meredith , White Mary C . Gerontologist 2019 59 S94-s101 This paper provides highlights from an expert meeting to explore opportunities to reduce cancer risk and promote health at older ages. Factors that increase cancer risk among older adults include exposure to carcinogens from multiple sources, chronic conditions such as obesity and diabetes, and unhealthy behaviors. Emerging research points to chronic social stressors - social isolation, loneliness, and financial hardship - as being linked to accelerated biological aging and increased cancer risk later in life. Older adults may disproportionately encounter these stressors as well as barriers to preventive health care services, accurate health information, and environments that promote health. Researchers can use existing cohort studies of older adults to deepen our understanding of the relative benefit of modifying specific behaviors and circumstances. The evidence points to the value of comprehensive, transdisciplinary approaches to promote health and reduce cancer risk across the entire lifespan, extending through older adulthood. Clinical encounters with older adults provide opportunities for psychosocial and behavioral screening and counseling. In the presence of multiple morbidities, preventive health services may offer greater health benefits than cancer-screening tests. Strategies that involve families and caregivers, promote positive attitudes about aging, and engage many different community sectors have the potential to prevent or delay the development of cancer at older ages. |
Assessing asthma self-management education among US children with current asthma, Asthma Call-back Survey (ACBS) 2015-2017
Pattath P , Cornwell CR , Sircar K , Qin X . J Asthma 2023 60 (10) 1-15 OBJECTIVE: Asthma self-management education (AS-ME) is an effective strategy to help children with asthma achieve better asthma control and outcome. The objective of this study is to assess the association between the prevalence of receiving AS-ME curriculum components and sociodemographic characteristics among children with current asthma. METHODS: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, child Asthma Call-back Survey 2015-2017 aggregated data were used. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess associations of each AS-ME component question and sociodemographic characteristic, adjusting for sample weighting. RESULTS: Among 3,213 children with current asthma, 52% of children reported ever being given an asthma action plan by a doctor or other healthcare professional. After adjusting for other variables, boys and Non-Hispanic Black children were more likely to report being given an action plan (APR= 1.15[95% CI 1.00-1.32] and APR= 1.28[95% CI 1.07-1.54] respectively). Non-Hispanic Black (APR = 2.15 [95% CI 1.30-3.55]), non-Hispanic, other race (APR = 1.95 [95% CI1.04-3.66]), and Hispanic children (APR = 1.84 [95% CI 1.18-2.89]) were more likely to report taking a course to learn how to manage asthma than non-Hispanic White children. Hispanic children (40.8%) were more likely to report being advised to change home environment compared to non-Hispanic Whites (31.5%) (APR =1.28 [95% CI 1.01-1.63). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of some elements of asthma-self management education was relatively low and there were differences observed in the prevalence of receiving AS-ME by race/ethnicity, parental education, and income. Targeted implementation of asthma self-management components and interventions may improve asthma control and reduce asthma morbidity. |
Lack of awareness of human papillomavirus testing among U.S. women
Berkowitz Z , Qin J , Smith JL , Saraiya M . Am J Prev Med 2023 65 (4) 710-715 INTRODUCTION: -National surveys provide important information for public health planning. Lack of preventive screenings awareness may result in unreliable survey estimates. This study examines women's awareness of receiving human papillomavirus (HPV) testing using three national surveys. METHODS: -In 2022, self-reported data analyses on HPV testing status among women without hysterectomy were conducted from the 2020 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System [BRFSS, n=80648, (aged 30-64 years)], the 2019 National Health Interview Survey [NHIS, n=7062, (aged 30-65 years)], and the 2017-2019 National Survey of Family Growth [NSFG, n=2973, (aged 30-49 years)]. Associations between HPV awareness status, (yes, no, don't know) and demographic characteristics were examined with generalized multinomial logistic model to generate adjusted prevalence ratios (APR). Adjusted risk differences were assessed with the t-test for the Don't know answer. RESULTS: -21.8%, or over 12 million in the study population of women in BRFSS, 19.5%, (over 10.5 million women) in NHIS, and 9.4% in NSFG responded "don't know" to HPV testing awareness status question. Women aged 40-64 years in BRFSS and 50-65 years in NHIS were more likely to answer "don't know" than those aged 30-34 (p<0.05 and p<.01, respectively). Non-Hispanic (NH) White women were more likely to answer "don't know" than NH Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander (NHPI), NH Black, NH Asian, and Hispanic women in BRFSS and NH Black women in NHIS [(APR range: 0.60 to 0.78; p<.001) and (APR=0.72; p<.001) respectively]. CONCLUSIONS: -One in five women was unaware of her HPV testing status, and awareness was lower among older and NH White women. The awareness gap may affect reliability of estimated HPV testing population uptake using survey data. |
Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: A multi-model study.
Borchering RK , Mullany LC , Howerton E , Chinazzi M , Smith CP , Qin M , Reich NG , Contamin L , Levander J , Kerr J , Espino J , Hochheiser H , Lovett K , Kinsey M , Tallaksen K , Wilson S , Shin L , Lemaitre JC , Hulse JD , Kaminsky J , Lee EC , Hill AL , Davis JT , Mu K , Xiong X , Pastore YPiontti A , Vespignani A , Srivastava A , Porebski P , Venkatramanan S , Adiga A , Lewis B , Klahn B , Outten J , Hurt B , Chen J , Mortveit H , Wilson A , Marathe M , Hoops S , Bhattacharya P , Machi D , Chen S , Paul R , Janies D , Thill JC , Galanti M , Yamana T , Pei S , Shaman J , España G , Cavany S , Moore S , Perkins A , Healy JM , Slayton RB , Johansson MA , Biggerstaff M , Shea K , Truelove SA , Runge MC , Viboud C , Lessler J . Lancet Reg Health Am 2023 17 100398 ![]() BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub convened nine modeling teams to project the impact of expanding SARS-CoV-2 vaccination to children aged 5-11 years on COVID-19 burden and resilience against variant strains. METHODS: Teams contributed state- and national-level weekly projections of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in the United States from September 12, 2021 to March 12, 2022. Four scenarios covered all combinations of 1) vaccination (or not) of children aged 5-11 years (starting November 1, 2021), and 2) emergence (or not) of a variant more transmissible than the Delta variant (emerging November 15, 2021). Individual team projections were linearly pooled. The effect of childhood vaccination on overall and age-specific outcomes was estimated using meta-analyses. FINDINGS: Assuming that a new variant would not emerge, all-age COVID-19 outcomes were projected to decrease nationally through mid-March 2022. In this setting, vaccination of children 5-11 years old was associated with reductions in projections for all-age cumulative cases (7.2%, mean incidence ratio [IR] 0.928, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.880-0.977), hospitalizations (8.7%, mean IR 0.913, 95% CI 0.834-0.992), and deaths (9.2%, mean IR 0.908, 95% CI 0.797-1.020) compared with scenarios without childhood vaccination. Vaccine benefits increased for scenarios including a hypothesized more transmissible variant, assuming similar vaccine effectiveness. Projected relative reductions in cumulative outcomes were larger for children than for the entire population. State-level variation was observed. INTERPRETATION: Given the scenario assumptions (defined before the emergence of Omicron), expanding vaccination to children 5-11 years old would provide measurable direct benefits, as well as indirect benefits to the all-age U.S. population, including resilience to more transmissible variants. FUNDING: Various (see acknowledgments). |
Use trends and recent expenditures for cervical cancer screening-associated services in Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries older than 65 years
Qin J , Holt HK , Richards TB , Saraiya M , Sawaya GF . JAMA Intern Med 2022 183 (1) 11-20 IMPORTANCE: Since 1996, the US Preventive Services Task Force has recommended against cervical cancer screening in average-risk women 65 years or older with adequate prior screening. Little is known about the use of cervical cancer screening-associated services in this age group. OBJECTIVE: To examine annual use trends in cervical cancer screening-associated services, specifically cytology and human papillomavirus (HPV) tests, colposcopy, and cervical procedures (loop electrosurgical excision procedure, cone biopsy, and ablation) in Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries during January 1, 1999, to December 31, 2019, and estimate expenditures for services performed in 2019. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This population-based, cross-sectional analysis included health service use data across 21 years for women aged 65 to 114 years with Medicare fee-for-service coverage (15-16 million women per year). Data analysis was conducted between July 2021 and April 2022. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Proportion of testing modalities (cytology alone, cytology plus HPV testing [cotesting], HPV testing alone); annual use rate per 1 000 women of cytology and HPV testing, colposcopy, and cervical procedures from 1999 to 2019; Medicare expenditure for these services in 2019. RESULTS: There were 15 323 635 women 65 years and older with Medicare fee-for-service coverage in 1999 and 15 298 656 in 2019. In 2019, the mean (SD) age of study population was 76.2 (8.1) years, 5.1% were Hispanic, 0.5% were non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native, 3.0% were non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander, 7.4% were non-Hispanic Black, and 82.0% were non-Hispanic White. From 1999 to 2019, the percentage of women who received at least 1 cytology or HPV test decreased from 18.9% (2.9 million women) in 1999 to 8.5% (1.3 million women) in 2019, a reduction of 55.3%; use rates of colposcopy and cervical procedures decreased 43.2% and 64.4%, respectively. Trend analyses showed a 4.6% average annual reduction in use of cytology or HPV testing during 1999 to 2019 (P < .001). Use rates of colposcopy and cervical procedures decreased before 2015 then plateaued during 2015 to 2019. The total Medicare expenditure for all services rendered in 2019 was about $83.5 million. About 3% of women older than 80 years received at least 1 service at a cost of $7.4 million in 2019. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The results of this cross-sectional study suggest that while annual use of cervical cancer screening-associated services in the Medicare fee-for-service population older than 65 years has decreased during the last 2 decades, more than 1.3 million women received these services in 2019 at substantial costs. |
Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination.
Truelove S , Smith CP , Qin M , Mullany LC , Borchering RK , Lessler J , Shea K , Howerton E , Contamin L , Levander J , Salerno J , Hochheiser H , Kinsey M , Tallaksen K , Wilson S , Shin L , Rainwater-Lovett K , Lemairtre JC , Dent Hulse J , Kaminsky J , Lee EC , Perez-Saez J , Hill A , Karlen D , Chinazzi M , Davis JT , Mu K , Xiong X , Pastore YPiontti A , Vespignani A , Srivastava A , Porebski P , Venkatramanan S , Adiga A , Lewis B , Klahn B , Outten J , Orr M , Harrison G , Hurt B , Chen J , Vullikanti A , Marathe M , Hoops S , Bhattacharya P , Machi D , Chen S , Paul R , Janies D , Thill JC , Galanti M , Yamana TK , Pei S , Shaman JL , Healy JM , Slayton RB , Biggerstaff M , Johansson MA , Runge MC , Viboud C . Elife 2022 11 ![]() ![]() In Spring 2021, the highly transmissible SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant began to cause increases in cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in parts of the United States. At the time, with slowed vaccination uptake, this novel variant was expected to increase the risk of pandemic resurgence in the US in summer and fall 2021. As part of the COVID-10 Scenario Modeling Hub, an ensemble of nine mechanistic models produced six-month scenario projections for July-December 2021 for the United States. These projections estimated substantial resurgences of COVID-19 across the US resulting from the more transmissible Delta variant, projected to occur across most of the US, coinciding with school and business reopening. The scenarios revealed that reaching higher vaccine coverage in July-December 2021 reduced the size and duration of the projected resurgence substantially, with the expected impacts was largely concentrated in a subset of states with lower vaccination coverage. Despite accurate projection of COVID-19 surges occurring and timing, the magnitude was substantially underestimated 2021 by the models compared with the of the reported cases, hospitalizations, and deaths occurring during July-December, highlighting the continued challenges to predict the evolving COVID-19 pandemic. Vaccination uptake remains critical to limiting transmission and disease, particularly in states with lower vaccination coverage. Higher vaccination goals at the onset of the surge of the new variant were estimated to avert over 1.5 million cases and 21,000 deaths, though may have had even greater impacts, considering the underestimated resurgence magnitude from the model. |
The 2021 WHO catalogue of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex mutations associated with drug resistance: a genotypic analysis
Walker TM , Fowler PW , Knaggs J , Hunt M , Peto TE , Walker AS , Crook DW , Walker TM , Miotto P , Cirillo DM , Kser CU , Knaggs J , Iqbal Z , Hunt M , Chindelevitch L , Farhat MR , Comas I , Comas I , Posey J , Omar SV , Peto TE , Walker AS , Crook DW , Suresh A , Uplekar S , Laurent S , Colman RE , Rodwell TC , Nathanson CM , Zignol M , Ismail N , Rodwell TC , Walker AS , Steyn AJC , Lalvani A , Baulard A , Christoffels A , Mendoza-Ticona A , Trovato A , Skrahina A , Lachapelle AS , Brankin A , Piatek A , GibertoniCruz A , Koch A , Cabibbe AM , Spitaleri A , Brandao AP , Chaiprasert A , Suresh A , Barbova A , VanRie A , Ghodousi A , Bainomugisa A , Mandal A , Roohi A , Javid B , Zhu B , Letcher B , Rodrigues C , Nimmo C , Nathanson CM , Duncan C , Coulter C , Utpatel C , Liu C , Grazian C , Kong C , Kser CU , Wilson DJ , Cirillo DM , Matias D , Jorgensen D , Zimenkov D , Chetty D , Moore DA , Clifton DA , Crook DW , vanSoolingen D , Liu D , Kohlerschmidt D , Barreira D , Ngcamu D , SantosLazaro ED , Kelly E , Borroni E , Roycroft E , Andre E , Bttger EC , Robinson E , Menardo F , Mendes FF , Jamieson FB , Coll F , Gao GF , Kasule GW , Rossolini GM , Rodger G , Smith EG , Meintjes G , Thwaites G , Hoffmann H , Albert H , Cox H , Laurenson IF , Comas I , Arandjelovic I , Barilar I , Robledo J , Millard J , Johnston J , Posey J , Andrews JR , Knaggs J , Gardy J , Guthrie J , Taylor J , Werngren J , Metcalfe J , Coronel J , Shea J , Carter J , Pinhata JM , Kus JV , Todt K , Holt K , Nilgiriwala KS , Ghisi KT , Malone KM , Faksri K , Musser KA , Joseph L , Rigouts L , Chindelevitch L , Jarrett L , Grandjean L , Ferrazoli L , Rodrigues M , Farhat M , Schito M , Fitzgibbon MM , Loemb MM , Wijkander M , Ballif M , Rabodoarivelo MS , Mihalic M , Wilcox M , Hunt M , Zignol M , Merker M , Egger M , O'Donnell M , Caws M , Wu MH , Whitfield MG , Inouye M , Mansj M , DangThi MH , Joloba M , Kamal SM , Okozi N , Ismail N , Mistry N , Hoang NN , Rakotosamimanana N , Paton NI , Rancoita PMV , Miotto P , Lapierre P , Hall PJ , Tang P , Claxton P , Wintringer P , Keller PM , Thai PVK , Fowler PW , Supply P , Srilohasin P , Suriyaphol P , Rathod P , Kambli P , Groenheit R , Colman RE , Ong RTH , Warren RM , Wilkinson RJ , Diel R , Oliveira RS , Khot R , Jou R , Tahseen S , Laurent S , Gharbia S , Kouchaki S , Shah S , Plesnik S , Earle SG , Dunstan S , Hoosdally SJ , Mitarai S , Gagneux S , Omar SV , Yao SY , GrandjeanLapierre S , Battaglia S , Niemann S , Pandey S , Uplekar S , Halse TA , Cohen T , Cortes T , Prammananan T , Kohl TA , Thuong NTT , Teo TY , Peto TEA , Rodwell TC , William T , Walker TM , Rogers TR , Surve U , Mathys V , Furi V , Cook V , Vijay S , Escuyer V , Dreyer V , Sintchenko V , Saphonn V , Solano W , Lin WH , vanGemert W , He W , Yang Y , Zhao Y , Qin Y , Xiao YX , Hasan Z , Iqbal Z , Puyen ZM , CryPticConsortium theSeq , Treat Consortium . Lancet Microbe 2022 3 (4) e265-e273 Background: Molecular diagnostics are considered the most promising route to achievement of rapid, universal drug susceptibility testing for Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC). We aimed to generate a WHO-endorsed catalogue of mutations to serve as a global standard for interpreting molecular information for drug resistance prediction. Methods: In this systematic analysis, we used a candidate gene approach to identify mutations associated with resistance or consistent with susceptibility for 13 WHO-endorsed antituberculosis drugs. We collected existing worldwide MTBC whole-genome sequencing data and phenotypic data from academic groups and consortia, reference laboratories, public health organisations, and published literature. We categorised phenotypes as follows: methods and critical concentrations currently endorsed by WHO (category 1); critical concentrations previously endorsed by WHO for those methods (category 2); methods or critical concentrations not currently endorsed by WHO (category 3). For each mutation, we used a contingency table of binary phenotypes and presence or absence of the mutation to compute positive predictive value, and we used Fisher's exact tests to generate odds ratios and Benjamini-Hochberg corrected p values. Mutations were graded as associated with resistance if present in at least five isolates, if the odds ratio was more than 1 with a statistically significant corrected p value, and if the lower bound of the 95% CI on the positive predictive value for phenotypic resistance was greater than 25%. A series of expert rules were applied for final confidence grading of each mutation. Findings: We analysed 41 137 MTBC isolates with phenotypic and whole-genome sequencing data from 45 countries. 38 215 MTBC isolates passed quality control steps and were included in the final analysis. 15 667 associations were computed for 13 211 unique mutations linked to one or more drugs. 1149 (73%) of 15 667 mutations were classified as associated with phenotypic resistance and 107 (07%) were deemed consistent with susceptibility. For rifampicin, isoniazid, ethambutol, fluoroquinolones, and streptomycin, the mutations' pooled sensitivity was more than 80%. Specificity was over 95% for all drugs except ethionamide (914%), moxifloxacin (916%) and ethambutol (933%). Only two resistance mutations were identified for bedaquiline, delamanid, clofazimine, and linezolid as prevalence of phenotypic resistance was low for these drugs. Interpretation: We present the first WHO-endorsed catalogue of molecular targets for MTBC drug susceptibility testing, which is intended to provide a global standard for resistance interpretation. The existence of this catalogue should encourage the implementation of molecular diagnostics by national tuberculosis programmes. Funding: Unitaid, Wellcome Trust, UK Medical Research Council, and Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license |
CYP2C8, CYP2C9 and CYP2C19 characterization using Next Generation Sequencing and Haplotype Analysis: A GeT-RM Collaborative Project.
Gaedigk A , Boone EC , Scherer SE , Lee SB , Numanagi I , Sahinalp C , Smith JD , McGee S , Radhakrishnan A , Qin X , Wang WY , Farrow EG , Gonzaludo N , Halpern AL , Nickerson DA , Miller NA , Pratt VM , Kalman LV . J Mol Diagn 2022 24 (4) 337-350 ![]() Pharmacogenetic tests typically target selected sequence variants to identify haplotypes that are often defined by star (*) allele nomenclature. Due to their design, these targeted genotyping assays are unable to detect novel variants that may change the function of the gene product and thereby affect phenotype prediction and patient care. In the current study, 137 DNA samples that were previously characterized by the Genetic Testing Reference Material (GeT-RM) Program using a variety of targeted genotyping methods were recharacterized using targeted and whole genome sequencing analysis. Sequence data were analyzed using three genotype calling tools to identify star allele diplotypes for CYP2C8, CYP2C9 and CYP2C19. The genotype calls from next-generation sequencing (NGS) correlated well to those previously reported, except when novel alleles were present in a sample. Six novel alleles and 38 novel suballeles were identified in the three genes due to identification of variants not covered by targeted genotyping assays. In addition, several ambiguous genotype calls from a previous study were resolved using the NGS and/or long read NGS data. Diplotype calls were mostly consistent between the calling algorithms, although several discrepancies were noted. This study highlights the utility of NGS for pharmacogenetic testing and demonstrates that there are many novel alleles that are yet to be discovered, even in highly characterized genes such as CYP2C9 and CYP2C19. |
Trends in Asthma-Related School Health Policies and Practices in the US States
Qin X , Zahran HS , Leon-Nguyen M , Kilmer G , Collins P , Welch P , Malilay J . J Sch Health 2021 92 (3) 252-260 BACKGROUND: Asthma is one of the leading causes of school absenteeism. Schools can play an important role in coordinating asthma care. The purpose of this study was to assess the implementation of asthma-related school health policies and practices across states and how they have changed over time. METHODS: Data were analyzed from 36 states that conducted School Health Profiles surveys during 2008 to 2018. Trends in 6 topics were analyzed by logistic regression and JointPoint trend test. RESULTS: Trends in efforts to identify and track students with asthma and improve students' and parents' knowledge about asthma were stable or increased. Interest among lead health education teachers in receiving professional development on asthma trended downward in 35 of 36 states. CONCLUSIONS: Stable to upward trends suggest that a majority of schools have maintained or improved their efforts to identify and track students with asthma and increase the knowledge of students and parents about asthma. However, further improvement is needed in referral of students with asthma to health care professionals and encouraging asthma-related professional development of lead health education teachers. |
Using a One Health approach to prioritize zoonotic diseases in China, 2019.
Wang X , Rainey JJ , Goryoka GW , Liang Z , Wu S , Wen L , Duan R , Qin S , Huang H , Kharod G , Rao CY , Salyer SJ , Behravesh CB , Jing H . PLoS One 2021 16 (11) e0259706 ![]() ![]() BACKGROUND: China is vulnerable to zoonotic disease transmission due to a large agricultural work force, sizable domestic livestock population, and a highly biodiverse ecology. To better address this threat, representatives from the human, animal, and environmental health sectors in China held a One Health Zoonotic Disease Prioritization (OHZDP) workshop in May 2019 to develop a list of priority zoonotic diseases for multisectoral, One Health collaboration. METHODS: Representatives used the OHZDP Process, developed by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (US CDC), to prioritize zoonotic diseases for China. Representatives defined the criteria used for prioritization and determined questions and weights for each individual criterion. A review of English and Chinese literature was conducted prior to the workshop to collect disease specific information on prevalence, morbidity, mortality, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) from China and the Western Pacific Region for zoonotic diseases considered for prioritization. RESULTS: Thirty zoonotic diseases were evaluated for prioritization. Criteria selected included: 1) disease hazard/severity (case fatality rate) in humans, 2) epidemic scale and intensity (in humans and animals) in China, 3) economic impact, 4) prevention and control, and 5) social impact. Disease specific information was obtained from 792 articles (637 in English and 155 in Chinese) and subject matter experts for the prioritization process. Following discussion of the OHZDP Tool output among disease experts, five priority zoonotic diseases were identified for China: avian influenza, echinococcosis, rabies, plague, and brucellosis. CONCLUSION: Representatives agreed on a list of five priority zoonotic diseases that can serve as a foundation to strengthen One Health collaboration for disease prevention and control in China; this list was developed prior to the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 and the COVID-19 pandemic. Next steps focused on establishing a multisectoral, One Health coordination mechanism, improving multisectoral linkages in laboratory testing and surveillance platforms, creating multisectoral preparedness and response plans, and increasing workforce capacity. |
Asthma among adults and children by urban-rural classification scheme, United States, 2016-2018
Guo Z , Qin X , Pate CA , Zahran HS , Malilay J . Public Health Rep 2021 137 (6) 1100-1106 OBJECTIVES: Although data on the prevalence of current asthma among adults and children are available at national, regional, and state levels, such data are limited at the substate level (eg, urban-rural classification and county). We examined the prevalence of current asthma in adults and children across 6 levels of urban-rural classification in each state. METHODS: We estimated current asthma prevalence among adults for urban-rural categories in the 50 states and the District of Columbia and among children for urban-rural categories in 27 states by analyzing 2016-2018 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System survey data. We used the 2013 National Center for Health Statistics 6-level urban-rural classification scheme to define urban-rural status of counties. RESULTS: During 2016-2018, the current asthma prevalence among US adults in medium metropolitan (9.5%), small metropolitan (9.5%), micropolitan (10.0%), and noncore (9.6%) areas was higher than the asthma prevalence in large central metropolitan (8.6%) and large fringe metropolitan (8.7%) areas. Current asthma prevalence in adults differed significantly among the 6 levels of urban-rural categories in 19 states. In addition, the prevalence of current asthma in adults was significantly higher in the Northeast (9.9%) than in the South (8.7%) and the West (8.8%). The current asthma prevalence in children differed significantly by urban-rural categories in 7 of 27 states. For these 7 states, the prevalence of asthma in children was higher in large central metropolitan areas than in micropolitan or noncore areas, except for Oregon, in which the prevalence in the large central metropolitan area was the lowest. CONCLUSIONS: Knowledge about county-level current asthma prevalence in adults and children may aid state and local policy makers and public health officers in establishing effective asthma control programs and targeted resource allocation. |
Asthma surveillance - United States, 2006-2018
Pate CA , Zahran HS , Qin X , Johnson C , Hummelman E , Malilay J . MMWR Surveill Summ 2021 70 (5) 1-32 PROBLEM: Asthma is a chronic disease of the airways that requires ongoing medical management. Socioeconomic and demographic factors as well as health care use might influence health patterns in urban and rural areas. Persons living in rural areas tend to have less access to health care and health resources and worse health outcomes. Characterizing asthma indicators (i.e., prevalence of current asthma, asthma attacks, emergency department and urgent care center [ED/UCC] visits, and asthma-associated deaths) and determining how asthma exacerbations and health care use vary across the United States by geographic area, including differences between urban and rural areas, and by sociodemographic factors can help identify subpopulations at risk for asthma-related complications. REPORTING PERIOD: 2006-2018. DESCRIPTION OF SYSTEM: The National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) is an annual cross-sectional household health survey among the civilian noninstitutionalized population in the United States. NHIS data were used to produce estimates for current asthma and among them, asthma attacks and ED/UCC visits. National Vital Statistics System (NVSS) data were used to estimate asthma deaths. Estimates of current asthma, asthma attacks, ED/UCC visits, and asthma mortality rates are described by demographic characteristics, poverty level (except for deaths), and geographic area for 2016-2018. Trends in asthma indicators by metropolitan statistical area (MSA) category for 2006-2018 were determined. Current asthma and asthma attack prevalence are provided by MSA category and state for 2016-2018. Detailed urban-rural classifications (six levels) were determined by merging 2013 National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) urban-rural classification data with 2016-2018 NHIS data by county and state variables. All subregional estimates were accessed through the NCHS Research Data Center. RESULTS: Current asthma was higher among boys aged <18 years, women aged ≥18 years, non-Hispanic Black (Black) persons, non-Hispanic multiple-race (multiple-race) persons, and Puerto Rican persons. Asthma attacks were more prevalent among children, females, and multiple-race persons. ED/UCC visits were more prevalent among children, women aged ≥18 years, and all racial and ethnic groups (i.e., Black, non-Hispanic Asian, multiple race, and Hispanic, including Puerto Rican, Mexican, and other Hispanic) except American Indian and Alaska Native persons compared with non-Hispanic White (White) persons. Asthma deaths were higher among adults, females, and Black persons. All pertinent asthma outcomes were also more prevalent among persons with low family incomes. Current asthma prevalence was higher in the Northeast than in the South and the West, particularly in small MSA areas. The prevalence was also higher in small and medium metropolitan areas than in large central metropolitan areas. The prevalence of asthma attacks differed by MSA category in four states. The prevalence of ED/UCC visits was higher in the South than the Northeast and the Midwest and was also higher in large central metropolitan areas than in micropolitan and noncore areas. The asthma mortality rate was highest in non-MSAs, specifically noncore areas. The asthma mortality rate was also higher in the Northeast, Midwest, and West than in the South. Within large MSAs, asthma deaths were higher in the Northeast and Midwest than the South and West. INTERPRETATION: Despite some improvements in asthma outcomes over time, the findings from this report indicate that disparities in asthma indicators persist by demographic characteristics, poverty level, and geographic location. PUBLIC HEALTH ACTION: Disparities in asthma outcomes and health care use in rural and urban populations identified from NHIS and NVSS can aid public health programs in directing resources and interventions to improve asthma outcomes. These data also can be used to develop strategic goals and achieve CDC's Controlling Childhood Asthma and Reducing Emergencies (CCARE) initiative to reduce childhood asthma hospitalizations and ED visits and prevent 500,000 asthma-related hospitalizations and ED visits by 2024. |
Trends in the use of cervical cancer screening tests in a large medical claims database, United States, 2013-2019.
Qin J , Shahangian S , Saraiya M , Holt H , Gagnon M , Sawaya GF . Gynecol Oncol 2021 163 (2) 378-384 ![]() OBJECTIVE: To examine trends in the use of cervical cancer screening tests during 2013-2019 among commercially insured women. METHODS: The study population included women of all ages with continuous enrollment each year in the IBM MarketScan commercial or Medicare supplemental databases and without known history of cervical cancer or precancer (range = 6.9-9.8 million women per year). Annual cervical cancer screening test use was examined by three modalities: cytology alone, cytology plus HPV testing (cotesting), and HPV testing alone. Trends were assessed using 2-sided Poisson regression. RESULTS: Use of cytology alone decreased from 34.2% in 2013 to 26.4% in 2019 among women aged 21-29 years (P < .0001). Among women aged 30-64 years, use of cytology alone decreased from 18.9% in 2013 to 8.6% in 2019 (P < .0001), whereas cotesting use increased from 14.9% in 2013 to 19.3% in 2019 (P < .0001). Annual test use for HPV testing alone was below 0.5% in all age groups throughout the study period. Annually, 8.7%-13.6% of women aged 18-20 years received cervical cancer screening. There were persistent differences in screening test use by metropolitan residence and census regions despite similar temporal trends. CONCLUSIONS: Temporal changes in the use of cervical cancer screening tests among commercially insured women track changes in clinical guidelines. Screening test use among individuals younger than 21 years shows that many young women are inappropriately screened for cervical cancer. |
Incidence rates of influenza illness during pregnancy in Suzhou, China, 2015-2018
Chen L , Zhou S , Bao L , Millman AJ , Zhang Z , Wang Y , Tan Y , Song Y , Cui P , Pang Y , Liu C , Qin J , Zhang P , Thompson MG , Iuliano AD , Zhang R , Greene CM , Zhang J . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2021 16 (1) 14-23 BACKGROUND: Data on influenza incidence during pregnancy in China are limited. METHODS: From October 2015 to September 2018, we conducted active surveillance for acute respiratory illness (ARI) among women during pregnancy. Nurses conducted twice weekly phone and text message follow-up upon enrollment until delivery to identify new episodes of ARI. Nasal and throat swabs were collected ≤10 days from illness onset to detect influenza. RESULTS: In total, we enrolled 18 724 pregnant women median aged 28 years old, 37% in first trimester, 48% in second trimester, and 15% in third trimester, with seven self-reported influenza vaccination during pregnancy. In the 18-week epidemic period during October 2015 to September 2016, influenza incidence was 0.7/100 person-months (95% CI: 0.5-0.9). In the cumulative 29-week-long epidemic during October 2016 to September 2017, influenza incidence was 1.0/100 person-months (95% CI: 0.8-1.2). In the 11-week epidemic period during October 2017 to September 2018, influenza incidence was 2.1/100 person-months (95% CI: 1.9-2.4). Influenza incidence was similar by trimester. More than half of the total influenza illnesses had no elevated temperature and cough. Most influenza-associated ARIs were mild, and <5.1% required hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza illness in all trimesters of pregnancy was common. These data may help inform decisions regarding the use of influenza vaccine to prevent influenza during pregnancy. |
Bayesian toxicokinetic modeling of cadmium exposure in Chinese population.
Qing Y , Yang J , Zhang Q , Zhu Y , Ruiz P , Wu M , Zhao G , Zhao Q , Liu H , Cai H , Qin L , Zheng W , He G . J Hazard Mater 2021 413 125465 ![]() ![]() Cadmium (Cd) is a toxic heavy metal widely present in the environment. Estimating its internal levels for a given external exposure using toxicokinetic (TK) models is key to the human health risk assessment of Cd. In this study, existing Cd TK models were adapted to develop a one-compartment TK model and a multi-compartment physiologically based toxicokinetic (PBTK) model by estimating the characteristics of Cd kinetics based on Cd exposure data from 814 Chinese residents. Both models not only considered the effect of gender difference on Cd kinetics, but also described the model parameters in terms of distributions to reflect individual variability. For both models, the posterior distributions of sensitive parameters were estimated using the Markov chain-Monte Carlo method (MCMC) and the approximate Bayesian computation-MCMC algorithm (ABC-MCMC). Validation with the test dataset showed 1.4–22.5% improvement in the root mean square error (RMSE) over the original models. After a systematic literature search, the optimized models showed acceptable prediction on other Chinese datasets. The study provides a method for parameter optimization of TK models under different exposure environment, and the validated models can serve as new quantitative assessment tools for the risk assessment of Cd in the Chinese population. © 2021 Elsevier B.V. |
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