IMPORTANCE: Elimination of tuberculosis (TB) disease in the US hinges on the ability of tests to detect individual risk of developing disease to inform prevention. The relative performance of 3 available TB tests-the tuberculin skin test (TST) and 2 interferon-γ release assays (IGRAs; QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube [QFT-GIT] and SPOT.TB [TSPOT])-in predicting TB disease development in the US remains unknown. OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance of the TST with the QFT-GIT and TSPOT IGRAs in predicting TB disease in high-risk populations. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective diagnostic study included participants at high risk of TB infection (TBI) or progression to TB disease at 10 US sites between 2012 and 2020. Participants of any age who had close contact with a case patient with infectious TB, were born in a country with medium or high TB incidence, had traveled recently to a high-incidence country, were living with HIV infection, or were from a population with a high local prevalence were enrolled from July 12, 2012, through May 5, 2017. Participants were assessed for 2 years after enrollment and through registry matches until the study end date (November 15, 2020). Data analysis was performed in June 2023. EXPOSURES: At enrollment, participants were concurrently tested with 2 IGRAs (QFT-GIT from Qiagen and TSPOT from Oxford Immunotec) and the TST. Participants were classified as case patients with incident TB disease when diagnosed more than 30 days from enrollment. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Estimated positive predictive value (PPV) ratios from generalized estimating equation models were used to compare test performance in predicting incident TB. Incremental changes in PPV were estimated to determine whether predictive performance significantly improved with the addition of a second test. Case patients with prevalent TB were examined in sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: A total of 22 020 eligible participants were included in this study. Their median age was 32 (range, 0-102) years, more than half (51.2%) were male, and the median follow-up was 6.4 (range, 0.2-8.3) years. Most participants (82.0%) were born outside the US, and 9.6% were close contacts. Tuberculosis disease was identified in 129 case patients (0.6%): 42 (0.2%) had incident TB and 87 (0.4%) had prevalent TB. The TSPOT and QFT-GIT assays performed significantly better than the TST (PPV ratio, 1.65 [95% CI, 1.35-2.02] and 1.47 [95% CI, 1.22-1.77], respectively). The incremental gain in PPV, given a positive TST result, was statistically significant for positive QFT-GIT and TSPOT results (1.64 [95% CI, 1.40-1.93] and 1.94 [95% CI, 1.65-2.27], respectively). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this diagnostic study assessing predictive value, IGRAs demonstrated superior performance for predicting incident TB compared with the TST. Interferon-γ release assays provided a statistically significant incremental improvement in PPV when a positive TST result was known. These findings suggest that IGRA performance may enhance decisions to treat TBI and prevent TB.

BACKGROUND: An outbreak of listeriosis was identified in South Africa in 2017. The source was unknown. METHODS: We conducted epidemiologic, trace-back, and environmental investigations and used whole-genome sequencing to type Listeria monocytogenes isolates. A case was defined as laboratory-confirmed L. monocytogenes infection during the period from June 11, 2017, to April 7, 2018. RESULTS: A total of 937 cases were identified, of which 465 (50%) were associated with pregnancy; 406 of the pregnancy-associated cases (87%) occurred in neonates. Of the 937 cases, 229 (24%) occurred in patients 15 to 49 years of age (excluding those who were pregnant). Among the patients in whom human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status was known, 38% of those with pregnancy-associated cases (77 of 204) and 46% of the remaining patients (97 of 211) were infected with HIV. Among 728 patients with a known outcome, 193 (27%) died. Clinical isolates from 609 patients were sequenced, and 567 (93%) were identified as sequence type 6 (ST6). In a case-control analysis, patients with ST6 infections were more likely to have eaten polony (a ready-to-eat processed meat) than those with non-ST6 infections (odds ratio, 8.55; 95% confidence interval, 1.66 to 43.35). Polony and environmental samples also yielded ST6 isolates, which, together with the isolates from the patients, belonged to the same core-genome multilocus sequence typing cluster with no more than 4 allelic differences; these findings showed that polony produced at a single facility was the outbreak source. A recall of ready-to-eat processed meat products from this facility was associated with a rapid decline in the incidence of L. monocytogenes ST6 infections. CONCLUSIONS: This investigation showed that in a middle-income country with a high prevalence of HIV infection, L. monocytogenes caused disproportionate illness among pregnant girls and women and HIV-infected persons. Whole-genome sequencing facilitated the detection of the outbreak and guided the trace-back investigations that led to the identification of the source.