Last data update: Jan 27, 2025. (Total: 48650 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 70 Records) |
Query Trace: Pollock D[original query] |
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Estimating the incidence of antimicrobial resistant Neisseria gonorrhoeae in the United States among men and women aged 15-39 years, 2008-2019
Pondo T , Nielsen KE , Schmerer MW , Spicknall IH , Pollock ED , Kreisel KM . Sex Transm Dis 2024 BACKGROUND: The Gonococcal Isolate Surveillance Project (GISP) was established to monitor antimicrobial resistance (AR) in N. gonorrhoeae in the United States. Isolates collected in GISP undergo antimicrobial susceptibility testing allowing for estimates of resistance, based on exceeding minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs), to be calculated. METHODS: We estimated the annual number and proportion of gonococcal infections with antibiotic resistance or elevated MICs (AR/eMICs) against six antibiotics for men and women aged 15 to 39 years in the US using male urethral specimens collected in GISP during 2008-2019. Although GISP only measured MICs for male gonococcal infections, this study estimated AR/eMICs in women using data from men with female sex partners. GISP data were weighted against national gonorrhea case report data based on four variables (age group, year of report, US Census region, and race/Hispanic ethnicity) to estimate annual, national proportions of gonococcal infections with AR/eMICs. These weighted proportions were then multiplied by national estimates of incident gonococcal infections to calculate the number of incident gonococcal infections with AR/eMICs nationally. RESULTS: Women had a higher estimated number of cases with AR/eMICs compared with men (440,900 vs. 387,200 in 2019) although the estimated percentage of gonococcal infections with AR/eMICs was lower in women (50.7% vs. 54.4% in 2019). Elevated MICs to ceftriaxone remained below 1% throughout the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis indicates that there are more women with AR/eMICs gonorrhea than men. Although the proportion of cases that are resistant to any one antimicrobial is increasing, eMICs to ceftriaxone remains low. |
Human biomonitoring health-based guidance values: A case study of the HB2GV Dashboard and DEHP
Macey K , Lange R , Apel P , Poddalgoda D , Calafat AM , Kolossa-Gehring M , LaKind JS , Melnyk LJ , Nakayama SF , St-Amand A , Pollock T . Int J Hyg Environ Health 2024 263 114490 In 2022, the International Society of Exposure Science (ISES) International Human Biomonitoring (i-HBM) Working Group launched a free, online repository of biomonitoring guidance values referred to as the Human Biomonitoring Health-Based Guidance Value (HB2GV) Dashboard. The goal of the Dashboard is to assist global human biomonitoring data users (e.g., risk assessors, risk managers) and human biomonitoring programs with a readily available compilation of guidance values for the general population. The Dashboard contains approximately 600 HB2GVs for over 150 chemicals or their metabolites. Although there are many different types of HB2GVs, most are Biomonitoring Equivalents (BEs), Human Biomonitoring (HBM-I and HBM-II) values, or Human Biomonitoring Guidance Values (HBM-GVs). For users new to human biomonitoring, understanding how the different types of HB2GVs are derived and how to interpret those values in the context of human biomonitoring data can be difficult. Therefore, there is a need to inform users of the differences among available guidance values and to help users identify the HB2GV that could be most suitable for their purposes. Here, we summarize the derivation of HB2GVs for a case study chemical, di-(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (DEHP). We selected DEHP as there are 36 unique HB2GVs available from three of the most common types of guidance values (i.e., BE, HBM-I value, HBM-GV). We also compare the available HB2GVs with a focus on the differences among their derivation methods, relative quality and confidence, and interpretation. This case study provides guidance on the use of existing HB2GVs for health-based interpretation of human biomonitoring data that may be applied to other chemicals. As with any other type of guidance or regulatory value (e.g., RfDs, MRLs), thoughtful selection and use are strongly encouraged. Appropriately interpreting HBM data with the aid of guidance values can result in improved decision making which, ultimately, could lead to better protection of public health. |
Population-based data linkage describing patterns of cancer clinical trial enrollment among children and adolescents
Siegel DA , Durbin EB , Pollock BH , Grimes A , Ji L , Alonzo TA , Vargas SL , Huang B , McDowell JR , Lycan E , Ransdell P , Tai E , Roth ME , Freyer DR . JCO Oncol Pract 2024 Op2300325 PURPOSE: Database linkage between cancer registries and clinical trial consortia has the potential to elucidate referral patterns of children and adolescents with newly diagnosed cancer, including enrollment into cancer clinical trials. This study's primary objective was to assess the feasibility of this linkage approach. METHODS: Patients younger than 20 years diagnosed with incident cancer during 2012-2017 in the Kentucky Cancer Registry (KCR) were linked with patients enrolled in a Children's Oncology Group (COG) study. Matched patients between databases were described by sex, age, race and ethnicity, geographical location when diagnosed, and cancer type. Logistic regression modeling identified factors associated with COG study enrollment. Timeliness of patient identification by KCR was reported through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Early Case Capture (ECC) program. RESULTS: Of 1,357 patients reported to KCR, 47% were determined by matching to be enrolled in a COG study. Patients had greater odds of enrollment if they were age 0-4 years (v 15-19 years), reported from a COG-affiliated institution, and had renal cancer, neuroblastoma, or leukemia. Patients had lower odds of enrollment if Hispanic (v non-Hispanic White) or had epithelial (eg, thyroid, melanoma) cancer. Most (59%) patients were reported to KCR within 10 days of pathologic diagnosis. CONCLUSION: Linkage of clinical trial data with cancer registries is a feasible approach for tracking patient referral and clinical trial enrollment patterns. Adolescents had lower enrollment compared with younger age groups, independent of cancer type. Population-based early case capture could guide interventions designed to increase cancer clinical trial enrollment. |
Modelling the impact of vaccination and sexual behaviour adaptations on mpox cases in the USA during the 2022 outbreak
Clay PA , Asher JM , Carnes N , Copen CE , Delaney KP , Payne DC , Pollock ED , Mermin J , Nakazawa Y , Still W , Mangla AT , Spicknall IH . Sex Transm Infect 2023 BACKGROUND: The 2022 mpox outbreak has infected over 30 000 people in the USA, with cases declining since mid-August. Infections were commonly associated with sexual contact between men. Interventions to mitigate the outbreak included vaccination and a reduction in sexual partnerships. Understanding the contributions of these interventions to decreasing cases can inform future public health efforts. METHODS: We fit a dynamic network transmission model to mpox cases reported by Washington DC through 10 January 2023. This model incorporated both vaccine administration data and reported reductions in sexual partner acquisition by gay, bisexual or other men who have sex with men (MSM). The model output consisted of daily cases over time with or without vaccination and/or behavioural adaptation. RESULTS: We found that initial declines in cases were likely caused by behavioural adaptations. One year into the outbreak, vaccination and behavioural adaptation together prevented an estimated 84% (IQR 67% to 91%) of cases. Vaccination alone averted 79% (IQR 64% to 88%) of cases and behavioural adaptation alone averted 25% (IQR 10% to 42%) of cases. We further found that in the absence of vaccination, behavioural adaptation would have reduced the number of cases, but would have prolonged the outbreak. CONCLUSIONS: We found that initial declines in cases were likely caused by behavioural adaptation, but vaccination averted more cases overall and was key to hastening outbreak conclusion. Overall, this indicates that outreach to encourage individuals to protect themselves from infection was vital in the early stages of the mpox outbreak, but that combination with a robust vaccination programme hastened outbreak conclusion. |
Using infection prevalence, seroprevalence and case report data to estimate chlamydial infection incidence
Clay PA , Pollock ED , Copen CE , Anyalechi GE , Danavall DC , Hong J , Khosropour CM , Galloway E , Spicknall IH . Sex Transm Infect 2023 99 (8) 513-519 OBJECTIVES: To measure the effectiveness of chlamydia control strategies, we must estimate infection incidence over time. Available data, including survey-based infection prevalence and case reports, have limitations as proxies for infection incidence. We therefore developed a novel method for estimating chlamydial incidence. METHODS: We linked a susceptible infectious mathematical model to serodynamics data from the National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey, as well as to annual case reports. We created four iterations of this model, varying assumptions about how the method of infection clearance (via treatment seeking, routine screening or natural clearance) relates to long-term seropositivity. Using these models, we estimated annual infection incidence for women aged 18-24 and 25-37 years in 2014. To assess model plausibility, we also estimated natural clearance for the same groups. RESULTS: Of the four models we analysed, the model that best explained the empirical data was the one in which longer-lasting infections, natural clearance and symptomatic infections all increased the probability of long-term seroconversion. Using this model, we estimated 5910 (quartile (Q)1, 5330; Q3, 6500) incident infections per 100 000 women aged 18-24 years and 2790 (Q1, 2500; Q3, 3090) incident infections per 100 000 women aged 25-37 years in 2014. Furthermore, we estimated that natural clearance rates increased with age. CONCLUSIONS: Our method can be used to estimate the number of chlamydia infections each year, and thus whether infection incidence increases or decreases over time and after policy changes. Furthermore, our results suggest that clearance via medical intervention may lead to short-term or no seroconversion, and the duration of untreated chlamydial infection may vary with age, underlining the complexity of chlamydial infection dynamics. |
Performance and Implementation Evaluation of the Abbott BinaxNOW Rapid Antigen Test in a High-throughput Drive-through Community Testing Site in Massachusetts (preprint)
Pollock NR , Jacobs JR , Tran K , Cranston AE , Smith S , O'Kane CY , Roady TJ , Moran A , Scarry A , Carroll M , Volinsky L , Perez G , Patel P , Gabriel S , Lennon NJ , Madoff LC , Brown C , Smole SC . medRxiv 2021 2021.01.09.21249499 Background Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) for SARS-CoV-2 antigens (Ag) that can be performed at point-of-care (POC) can supplement molecular testing and help mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic. Deployment of an Ag RDT requires an understanding of its operational and performance characteristics under real-world conditions and in relevant subpopulations. We evaluated the Abbott BinaxNOW™ COVID-19 Ag Card in a high-throughput, drive-through, free community testing site in Massachusetts (MA) using anterior nasal (AN) swab RT-PCR for clinical testing.Methods Individuals presenting for molecular testing in two of seven lanes were offered the opportunity to also receive BinaxNOW testing. Dual AN swabs were collected from symptomatic and asymptomatic children (≤ 18 years) and adults. BinaxNOW testing was performed in a testing pod with temperature/humidity monitoring. One individual performed testing and official result reporting for each test, but most tests had a second independent reading to assess inter-operator agreement. Positive BinaxNOW results were scored as faint, medium, or strong. Positive BinaxNOW results were reported to patients by phone and they were instructed to isolate pending RT-PCR results. The paired RT-PCR result was the reference for sensitivity and specificity calculations.Results Of 2482 participants, 1380 adults and 928 children had paired RT-PCR/BinaxNOW results and complete symptom data. 974/1380 (71%) adults and 829/928 (89%) children were asymptomatic. BinaxNOW had 96.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 90.0-99.3) sensitivity and 100% (98.6-100.0) specificity in adults within 7 days of symptoms, and 84.6% (65.1-95.6) sensitivity and 100% (94.5-100.0) specificity in children within 7 days of symptoms. Sensitivity and specificity in asymptomatic adults were 70.2% (56.6-81.6) and 99.6% (98.9-99.9), respectively, and in asymptomatic children were 65.4% (55.6-74.4) and 99.0% (98.0-99.6), respectively. By cycle threshold (Ct) value cutoff, sensitivity in all subgroups combined (n=292 RT-PCR-positive individuals) was 99.3% with Ct ≤25, 95.8% with ≤30, and 81.2% with ≤35. Twelve false positive BinaxNOW results (out of 2308 tests) were observed; in all twelve, the test bands were faint but otherwise normal, and were noted by both readers. One invalid BinaxNOW result was identified. Inter-operator agreement (positive versus negative BinaxNOW result) was 100% (n = 2230/2230 double reads). Each operator was able to process 20 RDTs per hour. In a separate set of 30 specimens (from individuals with symptoms ≤7 days) run at temperatures below the manufacturer’s recommended range (46-58.5°F), sensitivity was 66.7% and specificity 95.2%.Conclusions BinaxNOW had very high specificity in both adults and children and very high sensitivity in newly symptomatic adults. Overall, 95.8% sensitivity was observed with Ct ≤ 30. These data support public health recommendations for use of the BinaxNOW test in adults with symptoms for ≤7 days without RT-PCR confirmation. Excellent inter-operator agreement indicates that an individual can perform and read the BinaxNOW test alone. A skilled laboratorian can perform and read 20 tests per hour. Careful attention to temperature is critical.Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.Funding StatementThis work was funded by the MA Department of Public Health. The community testing site was funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Building and Enhancing Epidemiology, Laboratory and Health Information Systems Capacity in Massachusetts--Enhancing Detection COVID Supplement (Grant # 6 NU50CK000518-01-08). BinaxNOW kits were supplied as part of the federal allocation to state health departments.Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:The study was reviewed by the Massachusetts Department of Public Health IRB and deemed not human subject research.All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesAll data referred to in the manuscript are publicly available. |
Performance and Operational Evaluation of the Access Bio CareStart Rapid Antigen Test in a High-throughput Drive-through Community Testing Site in Massachusetts (preprint)
Pollock NR , Tran K , Jacobs JR , Cranston AE , Smith S , O'Kane CY , Roady TJ , Moran A , Scarry A , Carroll M , Volinsky L , Perez G , Patel P , Gabriel S , Lennon NJ , Madoff LC , Brown C , Smole SC . medRxiv 2021 2021.03.07.21253101 Background To facilitate deployment of point-of-care testing for SARS-CoV-2, we evaluated the Access Bio CareStart COVID-19 Antigen test in a high-throughput, drive-through, free community testing site using anterior nasal (AN) swab RT-PCR for clinical testing.Methods Consenting symptomatic and asymptomatic children (≤18 years) and adults received dual AN swabs. CareStart testing was performed with temperature/humidity monitoring. All tests had two independent reads to assess inter-operator agreement. Patients with positive CareStart results were called and instructed to isolate pending RT-PCR results. The paired RT-PCR result was the reference for sensitivity and specificity calculations.Results Of 1603 participants, 1245 adults and 253 children had paired RT-PCR/CareStart results and complete symptom data. 83% of adults and 87% of children were asymptomatic. CareStart sensitivity/specificity were 84.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 71.1-93.7)/97.2% (92.0-99.4) and 85.7% (42.1-99.6)/89.5% (66.9-98.7) in adults and children, respectively, within 5 days of symptoms. Sensitivity/specificity were 50.0% (41.0-59.0)/99.1% (98.3-99.6) in asymptomatic adults and 51.4% (34.4-68.1)/97.8% (94.5-99.4) in asymptomatic children. Sensitivity in all 234 RT-PCR-positive people was 96.3% with cycle threshold (Ct) ≤25, 79.6% with Ct ≤30, and 61.4% with Ct ≤35. All 21 false positive CareStart tests had faint but normal bands. Inter-operator agreement was 99.5%. Operational challenges included identification of faint test bands and inconsistent swab elution volumes.Conclusions CareStart had high sensitivity in people with Ct ≤25 and moderate sensitivity in symptomatic people overall. Specificity was unexpectedly lower in symptomatic versus asymptomatic people. Excellent inter-operator agreement was observed, but operational challenges indicate that operator training is warranted.Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.Funding StatementThis work was funded by the MA Department of Public Health. The community testing site and the work of N.R.P. were funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Building and Enhancing Epidemiology, Laboratory and Health Information Systems Capacity in Massachusetts - Enhancing Detection COVID Supplement (Grant # 6 NU50CK000518-01-08). CareStart kits were donated by the manufacturer.Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:The study was reviewed by the Massachusetts Department of Public Health IRB and deemed not human subjects research.All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesAll data referred to in the manuscript are available. |
Modelling the impact of vaccination and sexual behavior change on reported cases of mpox in Washington D.C (preprint)
Clay PA , Asher JM , Carnes N , Copen CE , Delaney KP , Payne DC , Pollock ED , Mermin J , Nakazawa Y , Still W , Mangla AT , Spicknall IH . medRxiv 2023 14 Background: The 2022 mpox outbreak infected over 30,000 people in the United States. Infections were commonly associated with sexual contact between men. Interventions included vaccination and reductions in sexual partnerships. We estimated the averted infections attributable to each intervention using mathematical modeling. Method(s): We fit a dynamic network transmission model to mpox cases reported by the District of Columbia through January 2023. We incorporated vaccine administration data and reported reductions in sexual partnerships among gay, bisexual, or other men who have sex with men (MSM). Model output consisted of predicted cases over time with or without vaccination and/or behavior change. Result(s): We estimated initial case reductions were due to behavior change. Vaccination alone averted 64% [IQR:57%-72%] and behavior change alone averted 21% [IQR:11%-29%] of cases. Vaccination and behavior change together averted 80% [IQR:74%-85%] of cases. In the absence of vaccination, behavior change reduced cumulative cases but also prolonged the outbreak. Conclusion(s): Initial case declines were likely caused by behavior change, but vaccination averted more cases overall. Overall, this indicates that encouraging individuals to protect themselves was vital in the early outbreak, but that combination with a robust vaccination program was ultimately required for control. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
Residual insecticide surface treatment for preventing malaria: a systematic review protocol (preprint)
Munn Z , Stone JC , Barker TH , Price C , Pollock D , Kabaghe AN , Gimnig JE , Stevenson JC . medRxiv 2021 14 Introduction: Malaria presents a significant global public health burden, although substantial progress has been made, with vector control initiatives such as indoor residual surface spraying with insecticides and insecticide treated nets. There now exists many different approaches to apply residual insecticide to indoor and outdoor surfaces in malaria endemic settings. This review aims to synthesise the best available evidence regarding full or partial indoor or outdoor residual insecticide surface treatment for preventing malaria. Methods and Analysis: This review will comprehensively search the literature (both published and unpublished) for any studies investigating the effectiveness of residual insecticide surface treatment for malaria. Studies will be screened to meet the inclusion criteria by a minimum of two authors, followed by assessment of risk of bias (using appropriate risk of bias tools for randomised and non-randomised studies) and extraction of relevant information using structured forms by two independent authors. Meta-analysis will be carried out where possible for epidemiological outcomes such as malaria, anaemia, malaria related mortality, all-cause mortality and adverse effects. Certainty in the evidence will be established with GRADE assessments. Ethics and Dissemination: A full review report will be submitted to the Vector Control & Insecticide Resistance Unit, Global Malaria Program, WHO. A version of this report will be submitted for publication in an open access peer-reviewed journal. The report will inform the development of WHO recommendations regarding residual insecticide treatment for malaria. This systematic review does not require ethics approval as it is a review of primary studies. Registration: PROSPERO, ID 293194 (in progress as of 24th November, 2021). Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY 4.0 International license. |
Residual insecticide surface treatment for preventing malaria: a systematic review protocol
Munn Z , Stone JC , Barker TH , Price C , Pollock D , Kabaghe AN , Gimnig JE , Stevenson JC . Syst Rev 2023 12 (1) 89 INTRODUCTION: Malaria presents a significant global public health burden, although substantial progress has been made, with vector control initiatives such as indoor residual surface spraying with insecticides and insecticide-treated nets. There now exists many different approaches to apply residual insecticide to indoor and outdoor surfaces in malaria-endemic settings, although no comprehensive systematic reviews exist evaluating these interventions. This manuscript outlines the protocol for a systematic review which aims to synthesise the best available evidence regarding full or partial indoor or outdoor residual insecticide surface treatment for preventing malaria. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This review will comprehensively search the literature (both published and unpublished) for any studies investigating the effectiveness of residual insecticide surface treatment for malaria. Studies will be screened to meet the inclusion criteria by a minimum of two authors, followed by assessment of risk of bias (using appropriate risk-of-bias tools for randomised and non-randomised studies) and extraction of relevant information using structured forms by two independent authors. Meta-analysis will be carried out where possible for epidemiological outcomes such as malaria, anaemia, malaria-related mortality, all-cause mortality and adverse effects. Certainty in the evidence will be established with GRADE assessments. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: A full review report will be submitted to the Vector Control & Insecticide Resistance Unit, Global Malaria Program, WHO. A version of this report will be submitted for publication in an open access peer-reviewed journal. The report will inform the development of WHO recommendations regarding residual insecticide treatment for malaria. This systematic review does not require ethics approval as it is a review of primary studies. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO 293194. |
Potential for recurrent mpox outbreaks among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men - United States, 2023
Pollock ED , Clay PA , Keen A , Currie DW , Carter RJ , Quilter LAS , Gundlapalli AV , Mermin J , Spicknall IH . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (21) 568-573 More than 30,000 monkeypox (mpox) cases have been diagnosed in the United States since May 2022, primarily among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (MSM) (1,2). In recent months, diagnoses have declined to one case per day on average. However, mpox vaccination coverage varies regionally, suggesting variable potential risk for mpox outbreak recurrence (3). CDC simulated dynamic network models representing sexual behavior among MSM to estimate the risk for and potential size of recurrent mpox outbreaks at the jurisdiction level for 2023 and to evaluate the benefits of vaccination for preparedness against mpox reintroduction. The risk for outbreak recurrence after mpox reintroduction is linearly (inversely) related to the proportion of MSM who have some form of protective immunity: the higher the population prevalence of immunity (from vaccination or natural infection), the lower the likelihood of recurrence in that jurisdiction across all immunity levels modeled. In contrast, the size of a potential recurrent outbreak might have thresholds: very small recurrences are predicted for jurisdictions with mpox immunity of 50%-100%; exponentially increasing sizes of recurrences are predicted for jurisdictions with 25%-50% immunity; and linearly increasing sizes of recurrences are predicted for jurisdictions with <25% immunity. Among the 50 jurisdictions examined, 15 are predicted to be at minimal risk for recurrence because of their high levels of population immunity. This analysis underscores the ongoing need for accessible and sustained mpox vaccination to decrease the risk for and potential size of future mpox recurrences. |
Vaccine Effectiveness against DS-1-Like Rotavirus Strains in Infants with Acute Gastroenteritis, Malawi, 2013-2015
Jere KC , Bar-Zeev N , Chande A , Bennett A , Pollock L , Sanchez-Lopez PF , Nakagomi O , Tate JE , Parashar UD , Heyderman RS , French N , Iturriza-Gomara M , Cunliffe NA . Emerg Infect Dis 2019 25 (9) 1734-1737 Atypical DS-1-like G1P[8] rotaviruses emerged in 2013 in Malawi after rotavirus vaccine introduction. Vaccine effectiveness among infants hospitalized with acute DS-1-like G1P[8] rotavirus gastroenteritis was 85.6% (95% CI 34.4%-96.8%). These findings suggest that vaccine provides protection against these strains despite their emergence coinciding with vaccine introduction. |
Selective and cascade reporting of antimicrobial susceptibility testing results and its impact on antimicrobial resistance surveillance-National Healthcare Safety Network, April 2020 to March 2021
Wu H , Lutgring JD , McDonald LC , Webb A , Fields V , Blum L , Mojica M , Edwards J , Soe MM , Pollock DA . Microbiol Spectr 2023 11 (2) e0164622 Selective or cascade reporting (SR/CR) of antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) results is a strategy for antimicrobial stewardship. SR/CR is often achieved by suppressing AST results of secondary drugs in electronic laboratory reports. We assessed the extent of SR/CR and its impact on cumulative antibiograms (CAs) in a large cohort of U.S. hospitals submitting AST data to the CDC's National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN) through electronic data exchange. The NHSN calls for hospitals to extract AST data from their electronic systems. We analyzed the AST reported for Escherichia coli (blood and urine) and Staphylococcus aureus (blood and lower respiratory tract [LRT]) isolates from April 2020 to March 2021, used AST reporting patterns to assign SR/CR reporting status for hospitals, and compared their CAs. Sensitivity analyses were done to account for those potentially extracted complete data. At least 35% and 41% of the hospitals had AST data that were suppressed in more than 20% blood isolates for E. coli and S. aureus isolates, respectively. At least 63% (blood) and 50% (urine) routinely reported ciprofloxacin or levofloxacin for E. coli isolates; and 60% (blood) and 59% (LRT) routinely reported vancomycin for S. aureus isolates. The distribution of CAs for many agents differed between high SR/CR and low- or non-SR/CR hospitals. Hospitals struggled to obtain complete AST data through electronic data exchange because of data suppression. Use of SR/CR can bias CAs if incomplete data are used. Technical solutions are needed for extracting complete AST results for public health surveillance. IMPORTANCE This study is the first to assess the extent of using selective and/or cascade antimicrobial susceptibility reporting for antimicrobial stewardship among U.S. hospitals and its impact on cumulative antibiograms in the context of electronic data exchange for national antimicrobial resistance surveillance. |
Estimated Incidence and Prevalence of Gonorrhea in the United States, 2006-2019.
Pollock ED , Clay PA , Kreisel KM , Spicknall IH . Sex Transm Dis 2023 50 (4) 188-195 ![]() ![]() BACKGROUND: We extend recent work estimating incidence and prevalence of gonococcal infections among men and women aged 15-39 years in the US in 2018 by applying the same modeling framework to estimate gonococcal incidence and prevalence during 2006-2019. METHODS: The model is informed by cases from the Nationally Notifiable Disease Surveillance System, data from the National Survey of Family Growth, and data on other factors known to impact gonococcal incidence and prevalence. We use Monte Carlo simulation to account for uncertainty in input parameters. Results are reported as median annual per-capita incidence and prevalence; uncertainty intervals are characterized by the 25th and 75th simulated percentiles. RESULTS: 1,603,473 (1,467,801-1,767,779) incident cases of gonorrhea were estimated in 2019. Per-capita incidence increased 32%, from 1101 (1002-1221) to 1456 (1333-1605) infections per 100,000 persons. This trend in per-capita incidence had three phrases: an initial decline during 2006-2009, a plateau through 2013, and a rapid increase of 66% through 2019. Men aged 25-39 experienced the greatest increase in incidence (125%, 541 (467-651) to 1212 infections (1046-1458) per 100,000 men). Women aged 25-39 had the lowest incidence in 2019, with 1040 infections (882-1241) per 100,000 women. Prevalence increased more slowly among those aged 25-39 vs. 15-24. The incidence ratio comparing men to women aged 25-39 increased from 0.76 to 1.18. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of gonorrhea has increased among men and women aged 15-39 years since 2013. An increasing proportion of incident infections are among men. Additional biomedical and behavioral interventions are needed to control gonococcal transmission. |
Interpreting biomonitoring data: Introducing the international human biomonitoring (i-HBM) working group's health-based guidance value (HB2GV) dashboard.
Nakayama SF , St-Amand A , Pollock T , Apel P , Bamai YA , Barr DB , Bessems J , Calafat AM , Castaño A , Covaci A , Duca RC , Faure S , Galea KS , Hays S , Hopf NB , Ito Y , Jeddi MZ , Kolossa-Gehring M , Kumar E , LaKind JS , López ME , Louro H , Macey K , Makris KC , Melnyk L , Murawski A , Naiman J , Nassif J , Noisel N , Poddalgoda D , Quirós-Alcalá L , Rafiee A , Rambaud L , Silva MJ , Ueyama J , Verner MA , Waras MN , Werry K . Int J Hyg Environ Health 2022 247 114046 ![]() Human biomonitoring (HBM) data measured in specific contexts or populations provide information for comparing population exposures. There are numerous health-based biomonitoring guidance values, but to locate these values, interested parties need to seek them out individually from publications, governmental reports, websites and other sources. Until now, there has been no central, international repository for this information. Thus, a tool is needed to help researchers, public health professionals, risk assessors, and regulatory decision makers to quickly locate relevant values on numerous environmental chemicals. A free, on-line repository for international health-based guidance values to facilitate the interpretation of HBM data is now available. The repository is referred to as the "Human Biomonitoring Health-Based Guidance Value (HB2GV) Dashboard". The Dashboard represents the efforts of the International Human Biomonitoring Working Group (i-HBM), affiliated with the International Society of Exposure Science. The i-HBM's mission is to promote the use of population-level HBM data to inform public health decision-making by developing harmonized resources to facilitate the interpretation of HBM data in a health-based context. This paper describes the methods used to compile the human biomonitoring health-based guidance values, how the values can be accessed and used, and caveats with using the Dashboard for interpreting HBM data. To our knowledge, the HB2GV Dashboard is the first open-access, curated database of HBM guidance values developed for use in interpreting HBM data. This new resource can assist global HBM data users such as risk assessors, risk managers and biomonitoring programs with a readily available compilation of guidance values. |
Modeling the impact of sexual networks in the transmission of monkeypox virus among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men - United States, 2022
Spicknall IH , Pollock ED , Clay PA , Oster AM , Charniga K , Masters N , Nakazawa YJ , Rainisch G , Gundlapalli AV , Gift TL . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (35) 1131-1135 What is already known about this topic? The 2022 monkeypox outbreak is associated with sexual and intimate contact. Survey data suggest that gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (MSM), who have been disproportionately affected, are reducing one-time partnerships. What is added by this report? Modeling of sexual infection transmission between men indicates that one-time partnerships, which account for 3% of daily sexual partnerships and 16% of daily sex acts, account for approximately 50% of daily Monkeypox virus (MPXV) transmission. A 40% reduction in one-time partnerships might delay the spread of monkeypox and reduce the percentage of persons infected by 20% to 31%. What are the implications for public health practice? Reductions in one-time partnerships, already being reported by MSM, might significantly reduce MPXV transmission. © 2022 Department of Health and Human Services. All rights reserved. |
Declines in pregnancies among US adolescents from 2007 to 2017: Behavioral contributors to the trend
Goodreau SM , Pollock ED , Wang LY , Li J , Aslam MV , Katz DA , Hamilton DT , Rosenberg ES . J Pediatr Adolesc Gynecol 2022 35 (6) 676-684 STUDY OBJECTIVES: Adolescents in the United States have undergone dramatic declines in pregnancies and births in recent decades. We aimed to estimate the contribution of changes in three proximal behaviors to these declines among 14-18-year-olds for 2007-2017: 1) delays in age at first sexual intercourse, 2) declines in number of sexual partners, and 3) changes in contraceptive use, particularly uptake of long-acting reversible contraception (LARC). DESIGN: We adapted an existing iterative dynamic population model and parameterized it using six waves of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Youth Risk Behavior Survey. We compared pregnancies from observed behavioral trends with counterfactual scenarios that assumed constant behaviors over the decade. We calculated outcomes by cause, year and age. RESULTS: We found that changes in these behaviors could explain reductions of 496,200, 78,500, and 40,700 pregnancies over the decade, respectively, with total medical and societal cost savings of $9.71 billion, $1.54 billion, and $796 million. LARC adoption, particularly among 18-year-olds, could explain much of the improvements from contraception use. The three factors together did not fully explain observed birth declines; adding a 50% decline in sex acts per partner did. CONCLUSIONS: Delays in first sexual intercourse contributed the most to declining births over this decade, although all behaviors considered had major effects. Differences from earlier models may result from differences in years and ages covered. Evidence-based teen pregnancy prevention programs, including comprehensive sex education, youth-friendly reproductive health services and parental and community support can continue to address these drivers and reduce teen pregnancy. |
National Healthcare Safety Network 2018 baseline neonatal Standardized Antimicrobial Administration Ratios
O'Leary EN , Edwards JR , Srinivasan A , Neuhauser MM , Soe MM , Webb AK , Edwards EM , Horbar JD , Soll RF , Roberts J , Hicks LA , Wu H , Zayack D , Braun D , Cali S , Edwards WH , Flannery DD , Fleming-Dutra KE , Guzman-Cottrill JA , Kuzniewicz M , Lee GM , Newland J , Olson J , Puopolo KM , Rogers SP , Schulman J , Septimus E , Pollock DA . Hosp Pediatr 2022 12 (2) 190-198 BACKGROUND: The microbiologic etiologies, clinical manifestations, and antimicrobial treatment of neonatal infections differ substantially from infections in adult and pediatric patient populations. In 2019, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention developed neonatal-specific (Standardized Antimicrobial Administration Ratios SAARs), a set of risk-adjusted antimicrobial use metrics that hospitals participating in the National Healthcare Safety Network's (NHSN's) antimicrobial use surveillance can use in their antibiotic stewardship programs (ASPs). METHODS: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, in collaboration with the Vermont Oxford Network, identified eligible patient care locations, defined SAAR agent categories, and implemented neonatal-specific NHSN Annual Hospital Survey questions to gather hospital-level data necessary for risk adjustment. SAAR predictive models were developed using 2018 data reported to NHSN from eligible neonatal units. RESULTS: The 2018 baseline neonatal SAAR models were developed for 7 SAAR antimicrobial agent categories using data reported from 324 neonatal units in 304 unique hospitals. Final models were used to calculate predicted antimicrobial days, the SAAR denominator, for level II neonatal special care nurseries and level II/III, III, and IV NICUs. CONCLUSIONS: NHSN's initial set of neonatal SAARs provides a way for hospital ASPs to assess whether antimicrobial agents in their facility are used at significantly higher or lower rates compared with a national baseline or whether an individual SAAR value is above or below a specific percentile on a given SAAR distribution, which can prompt investigations into prescribing practices and inform ASP interventions. |
US emergency department visits attributed to medication harms, 2017-2019
Budnitz DS , Shehab N , Lovegrove MC , Geller AI , Lind JN , Pollock DA . JAMA 2021 326 (13) 1299-1309 IMPORTANCE: Assessing the scope of acute medication harms to patients should include both therapeutic and nontherapeutic medication use. OBJECTIVE: To describe the characteristics of emergency department (ED) visits for acute harms from both therapeutic and nontherapeutic medication use in the US. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Active, nationally representative, public health surveillance based on patient visits to 60 EDs in the US participating in the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System-Cooperative Adverse Drug Event Surveillance Project from 2017 through 2019. EXPOSURES: Medications implicated in ED visits, with visits attributed to medication harms (adverse events) based on the clinicians' diagnoses and supporting data documented in the medical record. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Nationally weighted estimates of ED visits and subsequent hospitalizations for medication harms. RESULTS: Based on 96 925 cases (mean patient age, 49 years; 55% female), there were an estimated 6.1 (95% CI, 4.8-7.5) ED visits for medication harms per 1000 population annually and 38.6% (95% CI, 35.2%-41.9%) resulted in hospitalization. Population rates of ED visits for medication harms were higher for patients aged 65 years or older than for those younger than 65 years (12.1 vs 5.0 [95% CI, 7.4-16.8 vs 4.1-5.8] per 1000 population). Overall, an estimated 69.1% (95% CI, 63.6%-74.7%) of ED visits for medication harms involved therapeutic medication use, but among patients younger than 45 years, an estimated 52.5% (95% CI, 48.1%-56.8%) of visits for medication harms involved nontherapeutic use. The proportions of ED visits for medication harms involving therapeutic use were lowest for barbiturates (6.3%), benzodiazepines (11.1%), nonopioid analgesics (15.7%), and antihistamines (21.8%). By age group, the most frequent medication types and intents of use associated with ED visits for medication harms were therapeutic use of anticoagulants (4.5 [95% CI, 2.3-6.7] per 1000 population) and diabetes agents (1.8 [95% CI, 1.3-2.3] per 1000 population) for patients aged 65 years and older; therapeutic use of diabetes agents (0.8 [95% CI, 0.5-1.0] per 1000 population) for patients aged 45 to 64 years; nontherapeutic use of benzodiazepines (1.0 [95% CI, 0.7-1.3] per 1000 population) for patients aged 25 to 44 years; and unsupervised medication exposures (2.2 [95% CI, 1.8-2.7] per 1000 population) and therapeutic use of antibiotics (1.4 [95% CI, 1.0-1.8] per 1000 population) for children younger than 5 years. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: According to data from 60 nationally representative US emergency departments, visits attributed to medication harms in 2017-2019 were frequent, with variation in products and intent of use by age. |
Ecological Analysis of the Decline in Incidence Rates of COVID-19 Among Nursing Home Residents Associated with Vaccination, United States, December 2020-January 2021.
Benin AL , Soe MM , Edwards JR , Bagchi S , Link-Gelles R , Schrag SJ , Verani JR , Budnitz D , Nanduri S , Jernigan J , Edens C , Gharpure R , Patel A , Wu H , Golshir BC , Li Q , Srinivasan A , Pollock DA , Bell J . J Am Med Dir Assoc 2021 22 (10) 2009-2015 OBJECTIVE: To evaluate if facility-level vaccination after an initial vaccination clinic was independently associated with COVID-19 incidence adjusted for other factors in January 2021 among nursing home residents. DESIGN: Ecological analysis of data from the CDC's National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN) and from the CDC's Pharmacy Partnership for Long-Term Care Program. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: CMS-certified nursing homes participating in both NHSN and the Pharmacy Partnership for Long-Term Care Program. METHODS: A multivariable, random intercepts, negative binomial model was applied to contrast COVID-19 incidence rates among residents living in facilities with an initial vaccination clinic during the week ending January 3, 2021 (n = 2843), vs those living in facilities with no vaccination clinic reported up to and including the week ending January 10, 2021 (n = 3216). Model covariates included bed size, resident SARS-CoV-2 testing, staff with COVID-19, cumulative COVID-19 among residents, residents admitted with COVID-19, community county incidence, and county social vulnerability index (SVI). RESULTS: In December 2020 and January 2021, incidence of COVID-19 among nursing home residents declined to the lowest point since reporting began in May, diverged from the pattern in community cases, and began dropping before vaccination occurred. Comparing week 3 following an initial vaccination clinic vs week 2, the adjusted reduction in COVID-19 rate in vaccinated facilities was 27% greater than the reduction in facilities where vaccination clinics had not yet occurred (95% confidence interval: 14%-38%, P < .05). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Vaccination of residents contributed to the decline in COVID-19 incidence in nursing homes; however, other factors also contributed. The decline in COVID-19 was evident prior to widespread vaccination, highlighting the benefit of a multifaced approach to prevention including continued use of recommended screening, testing, and infection prevention practices as well as vaccination to keep residents in nursing homes safe. |
Building an interactive geospatial visualization application for national health care-associated infection surveillance: Development study
Zheng S , Edwards JR , Dudeck MA , Patel PR , Wattenmaker L , Mirza M , Tejedor SC , Lemoine K , Benin AL , Pollock DA . JMIR Public Health Surveill 2021 7 (7) e23528 BACKGROUND: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC's) National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN) is the most widely used health care-associated infection (HAI) and antimicrobial use and resistance surveillance program in the United States. Over 37,000 health care facilities participate in the program and submit a large volume of surveillance data. These data are used by the facilities themselves, the CDC, and other agencies and organizations for a variety of purposes, including infection prevention, antimicrobial stewardship, and clinical quality measurement. Among the summary metrics made available by the NHSN are standardized infection ratios, which are used to identify HAI prevention needs and measure progress at the national, regional, state, and local levels. OBJECTIVE: To extend the use of geospatial methods and tools to NHSN data, and in turn to promote and inspire new uses of the rendered data for analysis and prevention purposes, we developed a web-enabled system that enables integrated visualization of HAI metrics and supporting data. METHODS: We leveraged geocoding and visualization technologies that are readily available and in current use to develop a web-enabled system designed to support visualization and interpretation of data submitted to the NHSN from geographically dispersed sites. The server-client model-based system enables users to access the application via a web browser. RESULTS: We integrated multiple data sets into a single-page dashboard designed to enable users to navigate across different HAI event types, choose specific health care facility or geographic locations for data displays, and scale across time units within identified periods. We launched the system for internal CDC use in January 2019. CONCLUSIONS: CDC NHSN statisticians, data analysts, and subject matter experts identified opportunities to extend the use of geospatial methods and tools to NHSN data and provided the impetus to develop NHSNViz. The development effort proceeded iteratively, with the developer adding or enhancing functionality and including additional data sets in a series of prototype versions, each of which incorporated user feedback. The initial production version of NHSNViz provides a new geospatial analytic resource built in accordance with CDC user requirements and extensible to additional users and uses in subsequent versions. |
Performance and Operational Evaluation of the Access Bio CareStart Rapid Antigen Test in a High-Throughput Drive-Through Community Testing Site in Massachusetts.
Pollock NR , Tran K , Jacobs JR , Cranston AE , Smith S , O'Kane CY , Roady TJ , Moran A , Scarry A , Carroll M , Volinsky L , Perez G , Patel P , Gabriel S , Lennon NJ , Madoff LC , Brown C , Smole SC . Open Forum Infect Dis 2021 8 (7) ofab243 ![]() ![]() BACKGROUND: To facilitate deployment of point-of-care testing for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, we evaluated the Access Bio CareStart COVID-19 Antigen test in a high-throughput, drive-through, free community testing site using anterior nasal (AN) swab reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for clinical testing. METHODS: Consenting symptomatic and asymptomatic children (≤18 years) and adults received dual AN swabs. CareStart testing was performed with temperature/humidity monitoring. All tests had 2 independent reads to assess interoperator agreement. Patients with positive CareStart results were called and instructed to isolate pending RT-PCR results. The paired RT-PCR result was the reference for sensitivity and specificity calculations. RESULTS: Of 1603 participants, 1245 adults and 253 children had paired RT-PCR/CareStart results and complete symptom data. Eighty-three percent of adults and 87% of children were asymptomatic. CareStart sensitivity/specificity were 84.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 71.1-93.7)/97.2% (95% CI, 92.0-99.4) and 85.7% (95% CI, 42.1-99.6)/89.5% (95% CI, 66.9-98.7) in adults and children, respectively, within 5 days of symptoms. Sensitivity/specificity were 50.0% (95% CI, 41.0-59.0)/99.1% (95% CI, 98.3-99.6) in asymptomatic adults and 51.4% (95% CI, 34.4-68.1)/97.8% (95% CI, 94.5-99.4) in asymptomatic children. Sensitivity in all 234 RT-PCR-positive people was 96.3% with cycle threshold (Ct) ≤25, 79.6% with Ct ≤30, and 61.4% with Ct ≤35. All 21 false-positive CareStart tests had faint but normal bands. Interoperator agreement was 99.5%. Operational challenges included identification of faint test bands and inconsistent swab elution volumes. CONCLUSIONS: CareStart had high sensitivity in people with Ct ≤25 and moderate sensitivity in symptomatic people overall. Specificity was unexpectedly lower in symptomatic versus asymptomatic people. Excellent interoperator agreement was observed, but operational challenges indicate that operator training is warranted. |
Hospital capacities and shortages of healthcare resources among US hospitals during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN), March 27-July 14, 2020.
Wu H , Soe MM , Konnor R , Dantes R , Haass K , Dudeck MA , Gross C , Leaptrot D , Sapiano MRP , Allen-Bridson K , Wattenmaker L , Peterson K , Lemoine K , Chernetsky Tejedor S , Edwards JR , Pollock D , Benin AL . Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 2021 43 (10) 1-12 During March 27-July 14, 2020, the CDC's National Healthcare Safety Network extended its surveillance to hospital capacities responding to COVID-19 pandemic. The data showed wide variations across hospitals in case burden, bed occupancies, ventilator usage, and healthcare personnel and supply status. These data were used to inform emergency responses. |
Protecting Privacy and Transforming COVID-19 Case Surveillance Datasets for Public Use.
Lee B , Dupervil B , Deputy NP , Duck W , Soroka S , Bottichio L , Silk B , Price J , Sweeney P , Fuld J , Weber JT , Pollock D . Public Health Rep 2021 136 (5) 333549211026817 OBJECTIVES: Federal open-data initiatives that promote increased sharing of federally collected data are important for transparency, data quality, trust, and relationships with the public and state, tribal, local, and territorial partners. These initiatives advance understanding of health conditions and diseases by providing data to researchers, scientists, and policymakers for analysis, collaboration, and use outside the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), particularly for emerging conditions such as COVID-19, for which data needs are constantly evolving. Since the beginning of the pandemic, CDC has collected person-level, de-identified data from jurisdictions and currently has more than 8 million records. We describe how CDC designed and produces 2 de-identified public datasets from these collected data. METHODS: We included data elements based on usefulness, public request, and privacy implications; we suppressed some field values to reduce the risk of re-identification and exposure of confidential information. We created datasets and verified them for privacy and confidentiality by using data management platform analytic tools and R scripts. RESULTS: Unrestricted data are available to the public through Data.CDC.gov, and restricted data, with additional fields, are available with a data-use agreement through a private repository on GitHub.com. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: Enriched understanding of the available public data, the methods used to create these data, and the algorithms used to protect the privacy of de-identified people allow for improved data use. Automating data-generation procedures improves the volume and timeliness of sharing data. |
Changes in the Number of Intensive Care Unit Beds in U.S. Hospitals During the Early Months of the COVID-19 Pandemic, as reported to the National Healthcare Safety Network's COVID-19 Module.
Weiner-Lastinger LM , Dudeck MA , Allen-Bridson K , Dantes R , Gross C , Nkwata A , Tejedor SC , Pollock D , Benin A . Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 2021 43 (10) 1-12 Using data from the National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN), we assessed changes to intensive care unit (ICU) bed capacity during the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic. Changes in capacity varied by hospital type and size. ICU beds increased by 36%, highlighting the pressure placed on hospitals during the pandemic. |
Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Central Line-Associated Bloodstream Infections During the Early Months of 2020, National Healthcare Safety Network.
Patel PR , Weiner-Lastinger LM , Dudeck MA , Fike LV , Kuhar DT , Edwards JR , Pollock D , Benin A . Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 2021 43 (6) 1-8 Data reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN) were analyzed to understand the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on central line-associated bloodstream infections (CLABSIs) in acute care hospitals. Descriptive analysis of the Standardized Infection Ratio (SIR) was conducted by locations, location type, geographic area, and bed size. |
Performance and Implementation Evaluation of the Abbott BinaxNOW Rapid Antigen Test in a High-throughput Drive-through Community Testing Site in Massachusetts.
Pollock NR , Jacobs JR , Tran K , Cranston AE , Smith S , O'Kane CY , Roady TJ , Moran A , Scarry A , Carroll M , Volinsky L , Perez G , Patel P , Gabriel S , Lennon NJ , Madoff LC , Brown C , Smole SC . J Clin Microbiol 2021 59 (5) Background: Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) for SARS-CoV-2 antigens (Ag) that can be performed at point-of-care (POC) can supplement molecular testing and help mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic. Deployment of an Ag RDT requires an understanding of its operational and performance characteristics under real-world conditions and in relevant subpopulations. We evaluated the Abbott BinaxNOW™ COVID-19 Ag Card in a high-throughput, drive-through, free community testing site in Massachusetts (MA) using anterior nasal (AN) swab RT-PCR for clinical testing.Methods: Individuals presenting for molecular testing in two of seven lanes were offered the opportunity to also receive BinaxNOW testing. Dual AN swabs were collected from symptomatic and asymptomatic children (≤ 18 years) and adults. BinaxNOW testing was performed in a testing pod with temperature/humidity monitoring. One individual performed testing and official result reporting for each test, but most tests had a second independent reading to assess inter-operator agreement. Positive BinaxNOW results were scored as faint, medium, or strong. Positive BinaxNOW results were reported to patients by phone and they were instructed to isolate pending RT-PCR results. The paired RT-PCR result was the reference for sensitivity and specificity calculations.Results: Of 2482 participants, 1380 adults and 928 children had paired RT-PCR/BinaxNOW results and complete symptom data. 974/1380 (71%) adults and 829/928 (89%) children were asymptomatic. BinaxNOW had 96.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 90.0- 99.3) sensitivity and 100% (98.6-100.0) specificity in adults within 7 days of symptoms, and 84.6% (65.1-95.6) sensitivity and 100% (94.5-100.0) specificity in children within 7 days of symptoms. Sensitivity and specificity in asymptomatic adults were 70.2% (56.6-81.6) and 99.6% (98.9-99.9), respectively, and in asymptomatic children were 65.4% (55.6-74.4) and 99.0% (98.0-99.6), respectively. By cycle threshold (Ct) value cutoff, sensitivity in all subgroups combined (n=292 RT-PCR-positive individuals) was 99.3% with Ct ≤25, 95.8% with ≤30, and 81.2% with ≤35. Twelve false positive BinaxNOW results (out of 2308 tests) were observed; in all twelve, the test bands were faint but otherwise normal, and were noted by both readers. One invalid BinaxNOW result was identified. Inter-operator agreement (positive versus negative BinaxNOW result) was 100% (n = 2230/2230 double reads). Each operator was able to process 20 RDTs per hour. In a separate set of 30 specimens (from individuals with symptoms ≤7 days) run at temperatures below the manufacturer's recommended range (46-58.5°F), sensitivity was 66.7% and specificity 95.2%.Conclusions: BinaxNOW had very high specificity in both adults and children and very high sensitivity in newly symptomatic adults. Overall, 95.8% sensitivity was observed with Ct ≤ 30. These data support public health recommendations for use of the BinaxNOW test in adults with symptoms for ≤7 days without RT-PCR confirmation. Excellent inter-operator agreement indicates that an individual can perform and read the BinaxNOW test alone. A skilled laboratorian can perform and read 20 tests per hour. Careful attention to temperature is critical. |
Impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on US Hospitals and Patients, April-July 2020.
Sapiano MRP , Dudeck MA , Soe M , Edwards JR , O'Leary EN , Wu H , Allen-Bridson K , Amor A , Arcement R , Chernetsky Tejedor S , Dantes R , Gross C , Haass K , Konnor R , Kroop SR , Leaptrot D , Lemoine K , Nkwata A , Peterson K , Wattenmaker L , Weiner-Lastinger LM , Pollock D , Benin AL . Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 2021 43 (1) 1-28 OBJECTIVE: The rapid spread of SARS-CoV-2 throughout key regions of the United States (U.S.) in early 2020 placed a premium on timely, national surveillance of hospital patient censuses. To meet that need, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN), the nation's largest hospital surveillance system, launched a module for collecting hospital COVID-19 data. This paper presents time series estimates of the critical hospital capacity indicators during April 1-July 14, 2020. DESIGN: From March 27-July 14, 2020, NHSN collected daily data on hospital bed occupancy, number of hospitalized patients with COVID-19, and availability/use of mechanical ventilators. Time series were constructed using multiple imputation and survey weighting to allow near real-time daily national and state estimates to be computed. RESULTS: During the pandemic's April peak in the United States, among an estimated 431,000 total inpatients, 84,000 (19%) had COVID-19. Although the number of inpatients with COVID-19 decreased during April to July, the proportion of occupied inpatient beds increased steadily. COVID-19 hospitalizations increased from mid-June in the South and Southwest after stay-at-home restrictions were eased. The proportion of inpatients with COVID-19 on ventilators decreased from April to July. CONCLUSIONS: The NHSN hospital capacity estimates served as important, near-real time indicators of the pandemic's magnitude, spread, and impact, providing quantitative guidance for the public health response. Use of the estimates detected the rise of hospitalizations in specific geographic regions in June after declining from a peak in April. Patient outcomes appeared to improve from early April to mid-July. |
Impacts of changing sexual behavior on chlamydia and gonorrhea burden among US high school students, 2007-2017
Goodreau SM , Pollock ED , Wang LY , Aslam MV , Barrios LC , Dunville RL , Rosenthal EM , Hamilton DT , Katz DA , Rosenberg ES . Sex Transm Dis 2021 48 (9) 635-642 BACKGROUND: Rates of adolescent sexual activity have long been declining in the United States. We sought to estimate the number of cases of gonorrhea and chlamydia averted over one decade associated with these declines, and associated costs saved. METHODS: We analyzed data from the CDC's Youth Risk Behavior Survey of US high-school students from 2007-2017 and combined it with epidemiological estimates drawn from the literature to parameterize a dynamic population transmission model. We compared transmissions from observed behavioral trends to a counterfactual scenario that assumed sexual behaviors from 2007 remained constant over 10 years. We calculated outcomes by age and for three racial/ethnic groups (Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black, and non-Hispanic White adolescents) who vary on underlying burden and amount of behavioral change. RESULTS: We estimated 1,118,483 cases of chlamydia and 214,762 cases of gonorrhea were averted (19.5% of burden across all ages). This yielded $474 million (2017 dollars) savings in medical costs over the decade. The largest number of averted cases (767,543) was among Black adolescents, but the largest proportion (28.7%) was among Hispanic adolescents. CONCLUSIONS: Whatever its origins, changing sexual behavior among adolescents results in large estimated reductions in STI burden and medical costs relative to previous cohorts. Although diagnoses among adolescents have not declined at this rate, multiple explanations could make these apparently divergent trends consistent. Efforts to continue supporting effective sex education in and out of school along with STI screening for adolescents should reinforce these gains. |
Rates of COVID-19 Among Residents and Staff Members in Nursing Homes - United States, May 25-November 22, 2020.
Bagchi S , Mak J , Li Q , Sheriff E , Mungai E , Anttila A , Soe MM , Edwards JR , Benin AL , Pollock DA , Shulman E , Ling S , Moody-Williams J , Fleisher LA , Srinivasan A , Bell JM . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021 70 (2) 52-55 During the beginning of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, nursing homes were identified as congregate settings at high risk for outbreaks of COVID-19 (1,2). Their residents also are at higher risk than the general population for morbidity and mortality associated with infection with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, in light of the association of severe outcomes with older age and certain underlying medical conditions (1,3). CDC's National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN) launched nationwide, facility-level COVID-19 nursing home surveillance on April 26, 2020. A federal mandate issued by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), required nursing homes to commence enrollment and routine reporting of COVID-19 cases among residents and staff members by May 25, 2020. This report uses the NHSN nursing home COVID-19 data reported during May 25-November 22, 2020, to describe COVID-19 rates among nursing home residents and staff members and compares these with rates in surrounding communities by corresponding U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) region.* COVID-19 cases among nursing home residents increased during June and July 2020, reaching 11.5 cases per 1,000 resident-weeks (calculated as the total number of occupied beds on the day that weekly data were reported) (week of July 26). By mid-September, rates had declined to 6.3 per 1,000 resident-weeks (week of September 13) before increasing again, reaching 23.2 cases per 1,000 resident-weeks by late November (week of November 22). COVID-19 cases among nursing home staff members also increased during June and July (week of July 26 = 10.9 cases per 1,000 resident-weeks) before declining during August-September (week of September 13 = 6.3 per 1,000 resident-weeks); rates increased by late November (week of November 22 = 21.3 cases per 1,000 resident-weeks). Rates of COVID-19 in the surrounding communities followed similar trends. Increases in community rates might be associated with increases in nursing home COVID-19 incidence, and nursing home mitigation strategies need to include a comprehensive plan to monitor local SARS-CoV-2 transmission and minimize high-risk exposures within facilities. |
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