The UNAIDS 95-95-95 targets are an important metric for guiding national HIV programs and measuring progress towards ending the HIV epidemic as a public health threat by 2030. Nevertheless, as proportional targets, the outcome of reaching the 95-95-95 targets will vary greatly across, and within, countries owing to the geographic diversity of the HIV epidemic. Countries and subnational units with a higher initial prevalence and number of people living with HIV (PLHIV) will remain with a larger number and higher prevalence of virally unsuppressed PLHIV-persons who may experience excess morbidity and mortality and can transmit the virus to others. Reliance on achievement of uniform proportional targets as a measure of program success can potentially mislead resource allocation and progress towards equitable epidemic control. More granular surveillance information on the HIV epidemic is required to effectively calibrate strategies and intensity of HIV programs across geographies and address current and projected health disparities that may undermine efforts to reach and sustain HIV epidemic control even after the 95 targets are achieved.

INTRODUCTION: In 2004, the U.S. President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), with CDC as a major U.S. government implementing agency, began providing HIV antiretroviral therapy (ART) worldwide. Through suppression of HIV viral load, effective ART reduces morbidity and mortality among persons with HIV infection and prevents vertical and sexual transmission. METHODS: To describe program impact, data were analyzed from all PEPFAR programs and from six countries that have conducted nationally representative Population-based HIV Impact Assessment (PHIA) surveys, including PEPFAR programmatic data on the number of persons with HIV infection receiving PEPFAR-supported ART (2004-2022), rates of viral load coverage (the proportion of eligible persons with HIV infection who received a viral load test) and viral load suppression (proportion of persons who received a viral load test with <1,000 HIV copies per mL of blood) (2015-2022), and population viral load suppression rates in six countries that had two PHIA surveys conducted during 2015-2021. To assess health system strengthening, data on workforce and laboratory systems were analyzed. RESULTS: By September 2022, approximately 20 million persons with HIV infection in 54 countries were receiving PEPFAR-supported ART (62% CDC-supported); this number increased 300-fold from the 66,550 reported in September 2004. During 2015-2022, viral load coverage more than tripled, from 24% to 80%, and viral load suppression increased from 80% to 95%. Despite increases in viral load suppression rates and health system strengthening investments, variability exists in viral load coverage among some subpopulations (children aged <10 years, males, pregnant women, men who have sex with men [MSM], persons in prisons and other closed settings [persons in prisons], and transgender persons) and in viral load suppression among other subpopulations (pregnant and breastfeeding women, persons in prisons, and persons aged <20 years). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE: Since 2004, PEPFAR has scaled up effective ART to approximately 20 million persons with HIV infection in 54 countries. To eliminate HIV as a global public health threat, achievements must be sustained and expanded to reach all subpopulations. CDC and PEPFAR remain committed to tackling HIV while strengthening public health systems and global health security.

Increasing the volume, strengthening the quality, and proactively using data of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) load testing are pivotal to limiting the threat of HIV drug resistance (HIVDR) accumulation,and allow for optimal case-based HIVDR surveillance. Triangulation of viral load (VL) and HIVDR testing data could be pursued to answer key questions and translate data and results for program and public policy. Identification of virologic failure and early management mitigates the greater risk of HIVDR. Routine VL monitoring and evaluation systems are necessary, and countries should consider reviewing system requirements, structural needs, and procedural and technical factors for the entire VL cascade, with special emphasis on post-test result use.