Objective: To estimate the projected number of ALS cases in the United States from 2022 to 2030. Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a progressive and fatal neuromuscular disease with no known cure. Because ALS is not a notifiable disease in the United States, the accurate ascertainment of prevalent ALS cases continues to be a challenge. To overcome this, the National ALS Registry (Registry) uses novel methods to estimate newly diagnosed and existing cases in the United States. Methods: We estimated ALS prevalence retrospectively from 2022 to 2024 and prospectively from 2025 to 2030 using prevalence obtained through previous CRC analyses on 2018 Registry data (the most current data available) to generate projected observed, missing, and total cases. Projected prevalent cases were then stratified by age, race, and sex. Results: The number of estimated ALS cases in 2022 was 32,893. By 2030, projected cases increase more than 10%, to 36,308. The largest increase occurs for the population ages 66 years and older, with a 25% increase (from 16,349 cases in 2022 to 20,438 cases in 2030). The projected number of cases classified as "other race" will increase by 15% (from 2,473 cases in 2022 to 2,854 cases in 2030). Conclusions: These estimates of projected ALS cases reflect anticipated changes in the underlying demographics of the United States. Our projections are likely an underestimation because emerging therapeutics and improved healthcare will improve survivability in this vulnerable population. These results should inform policy to more efficiently allocate resources for ALS patients and programs.

Objective: To summarize the prevalence of ALS in all 50 states and Washington, DC in the United States from 2011 to 2018 using data collected and analyzed by the National ALS Registry. In October 2010, the federal Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) launched the congressionally mandated Registry to determine the incidence and prevalence of ALS within the USA, characterize the demographics of persons with ALS, and identify the potential risk factors for the disease. This is the first analysis of state-level ALS prevalence estimates. Methods: ALS is not a notifiable disease in the USA, so the Registry uses a two-pronged approach to identify cases. The first approach uses existing national administrative databases (Medicare, Veterans Health Administration, and Veterans Benefits Administration). The second method uses a secure web portal to gather voluntary participant data and identify cases not included in the national administrative databases. Results: State-level age-adjusted average prevalence from 2011-2018 ranged from 2.6 per 100,000 persons (Hawaii) to 7.8 per 100,000 persons (Vermont), with an average of 4.4 per 100,000 persons in the US. New England and Midwest regions had higher prevalence rates than the national average. Conclusions: These findings summarize the prevalence of ALS for all 50 states from 2011 to 2018. This is a continuing effort to identify ALS cases on a national population basis. The establishment of the National ALS Registry has allowed for epidemiological trends of this disease and the assessment of potential risk factors that could cause ALS.