BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic is one of the most devastating public health emergencies of international concern to have occurred in the past century. To ensure a safe, scalable, and sustainable response, it is imperative to understand the burden of disease, epidemiological trends, and responses to activities that have already been implemented. We aimed to analyze how COVID-19 tests, cases, and deaths varied by time and region in the general population and healthcare workers (HCWs) in Ethiopia. METHODS: COVID-19 data were captured between October 01, 2021, and September 30, 2022, in 64 systematically selected health facilities throughout Ethiopia. The number of health facilities included in the study was proportionally allocated to the regional states of Ethiopia. Data were captured by standardized tools and formats. Analysis of COVID-19 testing performed, cases detected, and deaths registered by region and time was carried out. RESULTS: We analyzed 215,024 individuals' data that were captured through COVID-19 surveillance in Ethiopia. Of the 215,024 total tests, 18,964 COVID-19 cases (8.8%, 95% CI: 8.7%- 9.0%) were identified and 534 (2.8%, 95% CI: 2.6%- 3.1%) were deceased. The positivity rate ranged from 1% in the Afar region to 15% in the Sidama region. Eight (1.2%, 95% CI: 0.4%- 2.0%) HCWs died out of 664 infected HCWs, of which 81.5% were from Addis Ababa. Three waves of outbreaks were detected during the analysis period, with the highest positivity rate of 35% during the Omicron period and the highest rate of ICU beds and mechanical ventilators (38%) occupied by COVID-19 patients during the Delta period. CONCLUSIONS: The temporal and regional variations in COVID-19 cases and deaths in Ethiopia underscore the need for concerted efforts to address the disparities in the COVID-19 surveillance and response system. These lessons should be critically considered during the integration of the COVID-19 surveillance system into the routine surveillance system.

We conducted a case-control study to identify risk and protective factors during a cholera outbreak in Jijiga, Ethiopia, in June 2017. A case-patient was defined as anyone > 5 years old with at least three loose stools in 24 hours who was admitted to a cholera treatment center in Jijiga on or after June 16, 2017. Two controls were matched to each case by type of residency (rural or urban) and age group. We enrolled 55 case-patients and 102 controls from June 16 to June 23, 2017. Identified risk factors for cholera were male sex, eating cold food, and eating food outside the home. Eating hot food was protective, as was reported handwashing after defecation; no other reported water, sanitation, and hygiene factors were associated with cholera risk. Recommendations included continuing messaging about safe food handling practices at home, the dangers of consuming meals prepared away from home, and the importance of hand hygiene practices.

BACKGROUND: Globally, men who have sex with men (MSM) continue to bear a disproportionately high burden of HIV infection. Rwanda experiences a mixed HIV epidemic, which is generalized in the adult population, with aspects of a concentrated epidemic among certain key populations at higher risk of HIV infection, including MSM. Limited data exist to estimate the population size of MSM at a national scale; hence, an important piece is missing in determining the denominators to use in estimates for policy makers, program managers, and planners to effectively monitor HIV epidemic control. OBJECTIVE: The aims of this study were to provide the first national population size estimate (PSE) and geographic distribution of MSM in Rwanda. METHODS: Between October and December 2021, a three-source capture-recapture method was used to estimate the MSM population size in Rwanda. Unique objects were distributed to MSM through their networks (first capture), who were then tagged according to MSM-friendly service provision (second capture), and a respondent-driven sampling survey was used as the third capture. Capture histories were aggregated in a 2k-1 contingency table, where k indicates the number of capture occasions and "1" and "0" indicate captured and not captured, respectively. Statistical analysis was performed in R (version 4.0.5) and the Bayesian nonparametric latent-class capture-recapture package was used to produce the final PSE with 95% credibility sets (CS). RESULTS: We sampled 2465, 1314, and 2211 MSM in capture one, two, and three, respectively. There were 721 recaptures between captures one and two, 415 recaptures between captures two and three, and 422 recaptures between captures one and three. There were 210 MSM captured in all three captures. The total estimated population size of MSM above 18 years old in Rwanda was 18,100 (95% CS 11,300-29,700), corresponding to 0.70% (95% CI 0.4%-1.1%) of total adult males. Most MSM reside in the city of Kigali (7842, 95% CS 4587-13,153), followed by the Western province (2469, 95% CS 1994-3518), Northern province (2375, 95% CS 842-4239), Eastern province (2287, 95% CS 1927-3014), and Southern province (2109, 95% CS 1681-3418). CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides, for the first time, a PSE of MSM aged 18 years or older in Rwanda. MSM are concentrated in the city of Kigali and are almost evenly distributed across the other 4 provinces. The national proportion estimate bounds of MSM out of the total adult males includes the World Health Organization's minimum recommended proportion (at least 1.0%) based on 2012 census population projections for 2021. These results will inform denominators to be used for estimating service coverage and fill existing information gaps to enable policy makers and planners to monitor the HIV epidemic among MSM nationally. There is an opportunity for conducting small-area MSM PSEs for subnational-level HIV treatment and prevention interventions.

BACKGROUND: Ethiopia reported the first case of COVID-19 on 13(th) March, 2020 with community transmission ensuing by mid-May. A national, population-based serosurvey against anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG was conducted to measure the prevalence of prior COVID-19 infections and better approximate the burden across major towns in Ethiopia. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional, population-based serosurvey from June 24 to July 8, 2020 in 14 major urban areas. Two-stage cluster sampling was used to randomly select enumeration areas and households. All persons aged ≥15 years were enrolled. Serum samples were tested by Abbott™ ARCHITECT™ assay for SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies. National COVID-19 surveillance data on the median date of the serosurvey is analyzed for comparison. FINDINGS: Adjusted seroprevalence was 3.5% (95% CI: 3.2%-3.8%) after controlling for age, sex and test kit performance. Males (3.7%) and females (3.3%) were nearly equally infected, while middle-aged adults '40-65 years' had the highest (4.0%) prevalence. Gambella (7.5%), Dire Dawa (6.2%) and Jigjiga (6.1%) were the most affected towns. About 6.7% and 8.0% of seropositives had symptoms and chronic underlying illness, respectively. A surveillance system had identified 4,416 RT-PCR confirmed cases in Addis Ababa. INTERPRETATION: This serosurvey shows that a majority of urban Ethiopians remain uninfected with SARS-CoV-2. Most anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG positive cases were asymptomatic with no underlying illness, keeping case detection to a minimum.