Last data update: Dec 02, 2024. (Total: 48272 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 33 Records) |
Query Trace: Michel P[original query] |
---|
COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against hospitalizations in Paraguay, May 2021-April 2022: A test-negative design
Irala S , Hamid S , Penayo E , Michel F , Couto P , Vazquez C , Ortega MJ , Domínguez C , Battaglia S , Von Horoch M , Montoya R , Sequera G , Nogareda F . Vaccine 2023 41 (43) 6453-6460 BACKGROUND: Vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates vary by population characteristics and circulating variants. North America and Europe have generated many COVID-19 VE estimates but relied heavily on mRNA vaccines. Fewer estimates are available for non-mRNA vaccines and from Latin America. We aimed to estimate the effectiveness of several COVID-19 vaccines in preventing SARS-CoV-2-associated severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) in Paraguay from May 2021 to April 2022. METHODS: Using sentinel surveillance data from four hospitals in Paraguay, we conducted a test-negative case-control study to estimate COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against SARI by vaccine type/brand and period of SARS-CoV-2 variant predominance (Gamma, Delta, Omicron). We used multivariable logistic regression adjusting for month of symptom onset, age group, and presence of ≥1 comorbidity to estimate the odds of COVID-19 vaccination in SARS-CoV-2 test-positive SARI case-patients compared to SARS-CoV-2 test-negative SARI control-patients. RESULTS: Of 4,229 SARI patients, 2,381 (56%) were SARS-CoV-2-positive case-patients and 1,848 (44%) were SARS-CoV-2-negative control-patients. A greater proportion of case-patients (73%; 95% CI: 71-75) than of control-patients (40%; 95% CI: 38-42) were unvaccinated. During the Gamma variant-predominant period, VE estimates for partial vaccination with mRNA vaccines and Oxford/AstraZeneca Vaxzevria were 90.4% (95% CI: 66.4-97.6) and 52.2% (95% CI: 25.0-69.0), respectively. During the Delta variant-predominant period, VE estimates for complete vaccination with mRNA vaccines, Oxford/AstraZeneca Vaxzevria, or Gamaleya Sputnik V were 90.4% (95% CI: 74.3-97.3), 83.2% (95% CI: 67.8-91.9), and 82.9% (95% CI: 53.0-95.2), respectively. The effectiveness of all vaccines declined substantially during the Omicron variant-predominant period. CONCLUSIONS: This study contributes to our understanding of COVID-19 VE in Latin America and to global understanding of vaccines that have not been widely used in North America and Europe. VE estimates from Paraguay can parameterize models to estimate the impact of the national COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Paraguay and similar settings. |
End-of-season influenza vaccine effectiveness during the Southern Hemisphere 2022 Influenza Season - Chile, Paraguay, and Uruguay
Chard AN , Nogareda F , Regan AK , Barraza MFO , Fasce RA , Vergara N , Avendaño M , Penayo E , Vázquez C , Von Horoch M , Michel F , Alfonso A , Mogdasy C , Chiparelli H , Goñi N , Alegretti M , Loayza S , Couto P , Rodriguez A , Salas D , Fowlkes AL , Azziz-Baumgartner E . Int J Infect Dis 2023 134 39-44 OBJECTIVE: To estimate the 2022 end-of-season influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) hospitalization in Chile, Paraguay, and Uruguay. METHODS: We pooled surveillance data from SARI cases in 18 sentinel surveillance hospitals in Chile (n=9), Paraguay (n=2), and Uruguay (n=7) during March 16-November 30, 2022. VE was estimated using a test-negative design and logistic regression models adjusted for country, age, sex, presence of ≥1 comorbidity, and week of illness onset. VE estimates were stratified by influenza virus type and subtype (when available) and influenza vaccine target population, categorized as children, individuals with comorbidities, and older adults, defined per countries' national immunization policies. RESULTS: Among the 3,147 SARI cases, there were 382 (12.1%) influenza test-positive case-patients; 328 (85.9%) influenza case-patients were in Chile, 33 (8.6%) were in Paraguay, and 21 (5.5%) were in Uruguay. In all countries, the predominant subtype was influenza A(H3N2) (92.6% of influenza cases). Adjusted VE against any influenza-associated SARI hospitalization was 33.8% (95% CI: 15.3%, 48.2%); VE against influenza A(H3N2)-associated SARI hospitalization was 30.4% (95% CI: 10.1%, 46.0%). VE estimates were similar across target populations. CONCLUSION: During the 2022 influenza season, influenza vaccination reduced the odds of hospitalization among those vaccinated by one-third. Health officials should encourage influenza vaccination in accordance with national recommendations. |
Cholera outbreak - Haiti, September 2022-January 2023
Vega Ocasio D , Juin S , Berendes D , Heitzinger K , Prentice-Mott G , Desormeaux AM , Jn Charles PD , Rigodon J , Pelletier V , Louis RJ , Vertefeuille J , Boncy J , Joseph G , Compère V , Lafontant D , Andrecy LL , Michel E , Pierre K , Thermidor E , Fitter D , Grant-Greene Y , Lozier M , Marseille S . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (2) 21-25 On September 30, 2022, after >3 years with no confirmed cholera cases (1), the Directorate of Epidemiology, Laboratories and Research (DELR) of the Haitian Ministry of Public Health and Population (Ministère de la Santé Publique et de la Population [MSPP]) was notified of two patients with acute, watery diarrhea in the metropolitan area of Port-au-Prince. Within 2 days, Haiti's National Public Health Laboratory confirmed the bacterium Vibrio cholerae O1 in specimens from the two patients with suspected cholera infection, and an outbreak investigation began immediately. As of January 3, 2023, >20,000 suspected cholera cases had been reported throughout the country, and 79% of patients have been hospitalized. The moving 14-day case fatality ratio (CFR) was 3.0%. Cholera, which is transmitted through ingestion of water or food contaminated with fecal matter, can cause acute, severe, watery diarrhea that can rapidly lead to dehydration, shock, and death if not treated promptly (2). Haiti is currently facing ongoing worsening of gang violence, population displacement, social unrest, and insecurity, particularly in the metropolitan area of Port-au-Prince, including Belair, Bas-Delmas, Centre-Ville, Martissant, Cité Soleil, Croix-des Bouquets, and Tabarre, creating an environment that has facilitated the current resurgence of cholera (3). This report describes the initial investigation, ongoing outbreak, and public health response to cholera in Haiti. Cholera outbreak responses require a multipronged, multisectoral approach including surveillance; case management; access to safe water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) services; targeted oral cholera vaccine (OCV) campaigns; risk communication; and community engagement. This activity was reviewed by CDC and was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy. |
Systematic review of in vitro antimicrobial susceptibility testing for bacillus anthracis, 1947-2019
Maxson T , Kongphet-Tran T , Mongkolrattanothai T , Travis T , Hendricks K , Parker C , McLaughlin HP , Bugrysheva J , Ambrosio F , Michel P , Cherney B , Lascols C , Sue D . Clin Infect Dis 2022 75 S373-s378 Bacillus anthracis, the causative agent of anthrax, is a high-consequence bacterial pathogen that occurs naturally in many parts of the world and is considered an agent of biowarfare or bioterrorism. Understanding antimicrobial susceptibility profiles of B. anthracis isolates is foundational to treating naturally occurring outbreaks and to public health preparedness in the event of an intentional release. In this systematic review, we searched the peer-reviewed literature for all publications detailing antimicrobial susceptibility testing of B. anthracis. Within the set of discovered articles, we collated a subset of publications detailing susceptibility testing that followed standardized protocols for Food and Drug Administration-approved, commercially available antimicrobials. We analyzed the findings from the discovered articles, including the reported minimal inhibitory concentrations. Across the literature, most B. anthracis isolates were reported as susceptible to current first-line antimicrobials recommended for postexposure prophylaxis and treatment. The data presented for potential alternative antimicrobials will be of use if significant resistance to first-line antimicrobials arises, the strain is bioengineered, or first-line antimicrobials are not tolerated or available. |
Vaccination of contacts of Ebola virus disease survivors to prevent further transmission.
Doshi RH , Fleming M , Mukoka AK , Carter RJ , Hyde TB , Choi M , Nzaji MK , Bateyi SH , Christie A , Nichol ST , Damon IK , Beach M , Musenga EM , Fitter DL . Lancet Glob Health 2020 8 (12) e1455-e1456 On April 10, 2020, just 2 days before the anticipated declaration of the end of the North Kivu and Ituri Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak in DR Congo, and 53 days after the last confirmed case of EVD had been reported, a new case was confirmed. Sequencing of patient samples from the case in April and six others that followed indicated that these cases were likely to have come from a reintroduction of the virus from a persistently infected survivor.1 This group of cases marked the second flare-up linked to an EVD survivor during this outbreak. In November, 2019, a relapse case in North Kivu resulted in widespread transmission across multiple health zones, helping to extend the outbreak by at least 3 months. |
Molecular characteristics of rotavirus genotypes circulating in the south of Benin, 2016-2018.
Agbla JM , Esona MD , Agbankpe AJ , Capo-Chichi A , Gautam R , Dougnon TV , Razack O , Bowen MD , Bankole HS . BMC Res Notes 2020 13 (1) 485 OBJECTIVE: Rotavirus remains the main causative agent of gastroenteritis in young children in countries that have not yet introduced the vaccine. In Benin, rotavirus vaccine was introduced late December 2019 into the EPI. This study aims to provide pre-vaccination era rotavirus genotyping data in Benin. These data can supplement data from the surveillance system of Ministry of Health of Benin which is supported by the World Health Organization (WHO). RESULTS: Of the 420 diarrheal stool samples, actively collected in southern Benin from July 2016 through November 2018 from children under 5 years old and suffering from gastroenteritis, 167 (39.8%) samples were rotavirus EIA positive. 186 (44.3%) samples contained amplifiable rotavirus RNA detected by qRT-PCR method and were genotyped using one-step RT-PCR multiplex genotyping method. G1P[8] represents the predominant genotype (32%) followed by the G2P[4] (26%), G3P[6] (16%), G12P[8] (13%) and mixed G and P types (1%). Four samples (2%) could not be assigned both G and P type specificity. |
CoMPARA: Collaborative Modeling Project for Androgen Receptor Activity.
Mansouri K , Kleinstreuer N , Abdelaziz AM , Alberga D , Alves VM , Andersson PL , Andrade CH , Bai F , Balabin I , Ballabio D , Benfenati E , Bhhatarai B , Boyer S , Chen J , Consonni V , Farag S , Fourches D , Garcia-Sosa AT , Gramatica P , Grisoni F , Grulke CM , Hong H , Horvath D , Hu X , Huang R , Jeliazkova N , Li J , Li X , Liu H , Manganelli S , Mangiatordi GF , Maran U , Marcou G , Martin T , Muratov E , Nguyen DT , Nicolotti O , Nikolov NG , Norinder U , Papa E , Petitjean M , Piir G , Pogodin P , Poroikov V , Qiao X , Richard AM , Roncaglioni A , Ruiz P , Rupakheti C , Sakkiah S , Sangion A , Schramm KW , Selvaraj C , Shah I , Sild S , Sun L , Taboureau O , Tang Y , Tetko IV , Todeschini R , Tong W , Trisciuzzi D , Tropsha A , Van Den Driessche G , Varnek A , Wang Z , Wedebye EB , Williams AJ , Xie H , Zakharov AV , Zheng Z , Judson RS . Environ Health Perspect 2020 128 (2) 27002 BACKGROUND: Endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) are xenobiotics that mimic the interaction of natural hormones and alter synthesis, transport, or metabolic pathways. The prospect of EDCs causing adverse health effects in humans and wildlife has led to the development of scientific and regulatory approaches for evaluating bioactivity. This need is being addressed using high-throughput screening (HTS) in vitro approaches and computational modeling. OBJECTIVES: In support of the Endocrine Disruptor Screening Program, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) led two worldwide consortiums to virtually screen chemicals for their potential estrogenic and androgenic activities. Here, we describe the Collaborative Modeling Project for Androgen Receptor Activity (CoMPARA) efforts, which follows the steps of the Collaborative Estrogen Receptor Activity Prediction Project (CERAPP). METHODS: The CoMPARA list of screened chemicals built on CERAPP's list of 32,464 chemicals to include additional chemicals of interest, as well as simulated ToxCast metabolites, totaling 55,450 chemical structures. Computational toxicology scientists from 25 international groups contributed 91 predictive models for binding, agonist, and antagonist activity predictions. Models were underpinned by a common training set of 1,746 chemicals compiled from a combined data set of 11 ToxCast/Tox21 HTS in vitro assays. RESULTS: The resulting models were evaluated using curated literature data extracted from different sources. To overcome the limitations of single-model approaches, CoMPARA predictions were combined into consensus models that provided averaged predictive accuracy of approximately 80% for the evaluation set. DISCUSSION: The strengths and limitations of the consensus predictions were discussed with example chemicals; then, the models were implemented into the free and open-source OPERA application to enable screening of new chemicals with a defined applicability domain and accuracy assessment. This implementation was used to screen the entire EPA DSSTox database of approximately 875,000 chemicals, and their predicted AR activities have been made available on the EPA CompTox Chemicals dashboard and National Toxicology Program's Integrated Chemical Environment. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP5580. |
To share is human! Advancing evidence into practice through a national repository of interoperable clinical decision support
Lomotan EA , Meadows G , Michaels M , Michel JJ , Miller K . Appl Clin Inform 2020 11 (1) 112-121 BACKGROUND: Healthcare systems devote substantial resources to the development of clinical decision support (CDS) largely independently. The process of translating evidence-based practice into useful and effective CDS may be more efficient and less duplicative if healthcare systems shared knowledge about the translation, including workflow considerations, key assumptions made during the translation process, and technical details. OBJECTIVE: Describe how a national repository of CDS can serve as a public resource for healthcare systems, academic researchers, and informaticists seeking to share and reuse CDS knowledge resources or "artifacts." METHODS: In 2016, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) launched CDS Connect as a public, web-based platform for authoring and sharing CDS knowledge artifacts. Researchers evaluated early use and impact of the platform by collecting user experiences of AHRQ-sponsored and community-led dissemination efforts and through quantitative/qualitative analysis of site metrics. Efforts are ongoing to quantify efficiencies gained by healthcare systems that leverage shared, interoperable CDS artifacts rather than developing similar CDS de novo and in isolation. RESULTS: Federal agencies, academic institutions, and others have contributed over 50 entries to CDS Connect for sharing and dissemination. Analysis indicates shareable CDS resources reduce team sizes and the number of tasks and time required to design, develop, and deploy CDS. However, the platform needs further optimization to address sociotechnical challenges. Benefits of sharing include inspiring others to undertake similar CDS projects, identifying external collaborators, and improving CDS artifacts as a result of feedback. Organizations are adapting content available through the platform for continued research, innovation, and local implementations. CONCLUSION: CDS Connect has provided a functional platform where CDS developers are actively sharing their work. CDS sharing may lead to improved implementation efficiency through numerous pathways, and further research is ongoing to quantify efficiencies gained. |
Rapid nanopore whole-genome sequencing for anthrax emergency preparedness
McLaughlin HP , Bugrysheva JV , Conley AB , Gulvik CA , Cherney B , Kolton CB , Marston CK , Saile E , Swaney E , Lonsway D , Gargis AS , Kongphet-Tran T , Lascols C , Michel P , Villanueva J , Hoffmaster AR , Gee JE , Sue D . Emerg Infect Dis 2020 26 (2) 358-361 Human anthrax cases necessitate rapid response. We completed Bacillus anthracis nanopore whole-genome sequencing in our high-containment laboratory from a human anthrax isolate hours after receipt. The de novo assembled genome showed no evidence of known antimicrobial resistance genes or introduced plasmid(s). Same-day genomic characterization enhances public health emergency response. |
A Laboratory Medicine Best Practices Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Nucleic Acid Amplification Tests (NAATs) and Algorithms Including NAATs for the Diagnosis of Clostridioides ( Clostridium ) difficile in Adults.
Kraft CS , Parrott JS , Cornish NE , Rubinstein ML , Weissfeld AS , McNult P , Nachamkin I , Humphries RM , Kirn TJ , Dien Bard J , Lutgring JD , Gullett JC , Bittencourt CE , Benson S , Bobenchik AM , Sautter RL , Baselski V , Atlas MC , Marlowe EM , Miller NS , Fischer M , Richter SS , Gilligan P , Snyder JW . Clin Microbiol Rev 2019 32 (3) SUMMARYThe evidence base for the optimal laboratory diagnosis of Clostridioides (Clostridium) difficile in adults is currently unresolved due to the uncertain performance characteristics and various combinations of tests. This systematic review evaluates the diagnostic accuracy of laboratory testing algorithms that include nucleic acid amplification tests (NAATs) to detect the presence of C. difficile The systematic review and meta-analysis included eligible studies (those that had PICO [population, intervention, comparison, outcome] elements) that assessed the diagnostic accuracy of NAAT alone or following glutamate dehydrogenase (GDH) enzyme immunoassays (EIAs) or GDH EIAs plus C. difficile toxin EIAs (toxin). The diagnostic yield of NAAT for repeat testing after an initial negative result was also assessed. Two hundred thirty-eight studies met inclusion criteria. Seventy-two of these studies had sufficient data for meta-analysis. The strength of evidence ranged from high to insufficient. The uses of NAAT only, GDH-positive EIA followed by NAAT, and GDH-positive/toxin-negative EIA followed by NAAT are all recommended as American Society for Microbiology (ASM) best practices for the detection of the C. difficile toxin gene or organism. Meta-analysis of published evidence supports the use of testing algorithms that use NAAT alone or in combination with GDH or GDH plus toxin EIA to detect the presence of C. difficile in adults. There is insufficient evidence to recommend against repeat testing of the sample using NAAT after an initial negative result due to a lack of evidence of harm (i.e., financial, length of stay, or delay of treatment) as specified by the Laboratory Medicine Best Practices (LMBP) systematic review method in making such an assessment. Findings from this systematic review provide clarity to diagnostic testing strategies and highlight gaps, such as low numbers of GDH/toxin/PCR studies, in existing evidence on diagnostic performance, which can be used to guide future clinical research studies. |
New filovirus disease classification and nomenclature.
Kuhn JH , Adachi T , Adhikari NKJ , Arribas JR , Bah IE , Bausch DG , Bhadelia N , Borchert M , Brantsaeter AB , Brett-Major DM , Burgess TH , Chertow DS , Chute CG , Cieslak TJ , Colebunders R , Crozier I , Davey RT , de Clerck H , Delgado R , Evans L , Fallah M , Fischer WA 2nd , Fletcher TE , Fowler RA , Grunewald T , Hall A , Hewlett A , Hoepelman AIM , Houlihan CF , Ippolito G , Jacob ST , Jacobs M , Jakob R , Jacquerioz FA , Kaiser L , Kalil AC , Kamara RF , Kapetshi J , Klenk HD , Kobinger G , Kortepeter MG , Kraft CS , Kratz T , Bosa HSK , Lado M , Lamontagne F , Lane HC , Lobel L , Lutwama J , Lyon GM 3rd , Massaquoi MBF , Massaquoi TA , Mehta AK , Makuma VM , Murthy S , Musoke TS , Muyembe-Tamfum JJ , Nakyeyune P , Nanclares C , Nanyunja M , Nsio-Mbeta J , O'Dempsey T , Paweska JT , Peters CJ , Piot P , Rapp C , Renaud B , Ribner B , Sabeti PC , Schieffelin JS , Slenczka W , Soka MJ , Sprecher A , Strong J , Swanepoel R , Uyeki TM , van Herp M , Vetter P , Wohl DA , Wolf T , Wolz A , Wurie AH , Yoti Z . Nat Rev Microbiol 2019 17 (5) 261-263 The recent large outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Western Africa resulted in greatly increased accumulation of human genotypic, phenotypic and clinical data, and improved our understanding of the spectrum of clinical manifestations. As a result, the WHO disease classification of EVD underwent major revision. |
Analysis of Whole-Genome Sequences for the Prediction of Penicillin Resistance and ß-Lactamase Activity in Bacillus anthracis .
Gargis AS , McLaughlin HP , Conley AB , Lascols C , Michel PA , Gee JE , Marston CK , Kolton CB , Rodriguez RLm , Hoffmaster AR , Weigel LM , Sue D . mSystems 2018 3 (6) Penicillin (PEN) is a low-cost option for anthrax treatment, but naturally occurring resistance has been reported. beta-Lactamase expression (bla1, bla2) in Bacillus anthracis is regulated by a sigma factor (SigP) and its cognate anti-sigma factor (RsiP). Mutations leading to truncation of RsiP were previously described as a basis for PEN resistance. Here, we analyze whole-genome sequencing (WGS) data and compare the chromosomal sigP-bla1 regions from 374 B. anthracis strains to determine the frequency of mutations, identify mutations associated with PEN resistance, and evaluate the usefulness of WGS for predicting PEN resistance. Few (3.5%) strains contained at least 1 of 11 different mutations in sigP, rsiP, or bla1. Nine of these mutations have not been previously associated with PEN resistance. Four strains showed PEN resistance (PEN-R) by conventional broth microdilution, including 1 strain with a novel frameshift in rsiP. One strain that carries the same rsiP frameshift mutation as that found previously in a PEN-R strain showed a PEN-susceptible (PEN-S) phenotype and exhibited decreased bla1 and bla2 transcription. An unexpectedly small colony size, a reduced growth rate, and undetectable beta-lactamase activity levels (culture supernatant and cell lysate) were observed in this PEN-S strain. Sequence analysis revealed mutations in genes associated with growth defects that may contribute to this phenotype. While B. anthracis rsiP mutations cannot be exclusively used to predict resistance, four of the five strains with rsiP mutations were PEN-R. Therefore, the B. anthracis sigP-bla1 region is a useful locus for WGS-based PEN resistance prediction, but phenotypic testing remains essential. IMPORTANCE Determination of antimicrobial susceptibility of B. anthracis is essential for the appropriate distribution of antimicrobial agents for postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) and treatment of anthrax. Analysis of WGS data allows for the rapid detection of mutations in antimicrobial resistance (AMR) genes in an isolate, but the presence of a mutation in an AMR gene does not always accurately predict resistance. As mutations in the anti-sigma factor RsiP have been previously associated with high-level penicillin resistance in a limited number of strains, we investigated WGS assemblies from 374 strains to determine the frequency of mutations and performed functional antimicrobial susceptibility testing. Of the five strains that contained mutations in rsiP, only four were PEN-R by functional antimicrobial susceptibility testing. We conclude that while sequence analysis of this region is useful for AMR prediction in B. anthracis, genetic analysis should not be used exclusively and phenotypic susceptibility testing remains essential. |
An Assessment of Different Genomic Approaches for Inferring Phylogeny of Listeria monocytogenes.
Henri C , Leekitcharoenphon P , Carleton HA , Radomski N , Kaas RS , Mariet JF , Felten A , Aarestrup FM , Gerner Smidt P , Roussel S , Guillier L , Mistou MY , Hendriksen RS . Front Microbiol 2017 8 2351 Background/objectives: Whole genome sequencing (WGS) has proven to be a powerful subtyping tool for foodborne pathogenic bacteria like L. monocytogenes. The interests of genome-scale analysis for national surveillance, outbreak detection or source tracking has been largely documented. The genomic data however can be exploited with many different bioinformatics methods like single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP), core-genome multi locus sequence typing (cgMLST), whole-genome multi locus sequence typing (wgMLST) or multi locus predicted protein sequence typing (MLPPST) on either core-genome (cgMLPPST) or pan-genome (wgMLPPST). Currently, there are little comparisons studies of these different analytical approaches. Our objective was to assess and compare different genomic methods that can be implemented in order to cluster isolates of L. monocytogenes. Methods: The clustering methods were evaluated on a collection of 207 L. monocytogenes genomes of food origin representative of the genetic diversity of the Anses collection. The trees were then compared using robust statistical analyses. Results: The backward comparability between conventional typing methods and genomic methods revealed a near-perfect concordance. The importance of selecting a proper reference when calling SNPs was highlighted, although distances between strains remained identical. The analysis also revealed that the topology of the phylogenetic trees between wgMLST and cgMLST were remarkably similar. The comparison between SNP and cgMLST or SNP and wgMLST approaches showed that the topologies of phylogenic trees were statistically similar with an almost equivalent clustering. Conclusion: Our study revealed high concordance between wgMLST, cgMLST, and SNP approaches which are all suitable for typing of L. monocytogenes. The comparable clustering is an important observation considering that the two approaches have been variously implemented among reference laboratories. |
Genomic history of the seventh pandemic of cholera in Africa.
Weill FX , Domman D , Njamkepo E , Tarr C , Rauzier J , Fawal N , Keddy KH , Salje H , Moore S , Mukhopadhyay AK , Bercion R , Luquero FJ , Ngandjio A , Dosso M , Monakhova E , Garin B , Bouchier C , Pazzani C , Mutreja A , Grunow R , Sidikou F , Bonte L , Breurec S , Damian M , Njanpop-Lafourcade BM , Sapriel G , Page AL , Hamze M , Henkens M , Chowdhury G , Mengel M , Koeck JL , Fournier JM , Dougan G , Grimont PAD , Parkhill J , Holt KE , Piarroux R , Ramamurthy T , Quilici ML , Thomson NR . Science 2017 358 (6364) 785-789 The seventh cholera pandemic has heavily affected Africa, although the origin and continental spread of the disease remain undefined. We used genomic data from 1070 Vibrio cholerae O1 isolates, across 45 African countries and over a 49-year period, to show that past epidemics were attributable to a single expanded lineage. This lineage was introduced at least 11 times since 1970, into two main regions, West Africa and East/Southern Africa, causing epidemics that lasted up to 28 years. The last five introductions into Africa, all from Asia, involved multidrug-resistant sublineages that replaced antibiotic-susceptible sublineages after 2000. This phylogenetic framework describes the periodicity of lineage introduction and the stable routes of cholera spread, which should inform the rational design of control measures for cholera in Africa. |
Impact of Larger Sputum Volume on Xpert(®) MTB/RIF Assay Detection of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Smear-Negative Individuals with Suspected Tuberculosis.
Badal-Faesen S , Firnhaber C , Kendall MA , Wu X , Grinsztejn B , Escada Rods , Fernandez M , Hogg E , Sanne I , Johnson P , Alland D , Mazurek GH , Benator DA , Luetkemeyer AF . J Clin Med 2017 6 (8) As a strategy to improve the sensitivity of nucleic acid-based testing in acid-fast bacilli (AFB) negative samples, larger volumes of sputum (5-10 mL) were tested with Xpert(R) MTB/RIF from 176 individuals with smear-negative sputum undergoing tuberculosis evaluation. Despite larger volumes, this strategy had a suboptimal sensitivity of 50% (4/8). |
Rapid filter-based detection and culture of Burkholderia pseudomallei from small volumes of urine
Michel PA , Lascols C , Gee JE , Weigel LM , Sue D . J Clin Microbiol 2017 55 (9) 2698-2707 Clinical outcomes of melioidosis patients improve when the infecting agent, Burkholderia pseudomallei, is rapidly detected and identified by laboratory testing. Detection of B. pseudomallei DNA or recovery of the pathogen by culture from urine can support a diagnosis of melioidosis and guide patient care. Two new methods designated as Filter-Capture DNA Isolation (FCDI) and Filter Cellular Recovery (FCR) were developed to increase the sensitivity of detection and recovery of viable B. pseudomallei cells from small volumes (0.45 ml) of urine. DNA from eight strains of B. pseudomallei that were spiked into synthetic urine at low concentrations (1 x 102 CFU/ml) was detected in FCDI cell lysates using real-time PCR with greater consistency when compared with preparations from the QIAamp DNA Blood Mini kit. The FCR method showed greater B. pseudomallei detection sensitivity than conventional urine culture methods and resulted in typical colony growth at 24 h from as few as 1 x 102 CFU/ml. In addition, the FCR method does not rely on precipitation of a urine pellet by centrifugation and requires a smaller volume of urine. The FCDI and FCR methods described here could improve time to results and decrease the number of negative B. pseudomallei reports that are currently observed from urine culture as a consequence of samples containing low or variable bacterial cell concentrations. |
Evaluation of Pneumococcal Load in Blood by Polymerase Chain Reaction for the Diagnosis of Pneumococcal Pneumonia in Young Children in the PERCH Study.
Deloria Knoll M , Morpeth SC , Scott JAG , Watson NL , Park DE , Baggett HC , Brooks WA , Feikin DR , Hammitt LL , Howie SRC , Kotloff KL , Levine OS , O'Brien KL , Thea DM , Ahmed D , Antonio M , Awori JO , Baillie VL , Chipeta J , Deluca AN , Dione M , Driscoll AJ , Higdon MM , Jatapai A , Karron RA , Mazumder R , Moore DP , Mwansa J , Nyongesa S , Prosperi C , Seidenberg P , Siludjai D , Sow SO , Tamboura B , Zeger SL , Murdoch DR , Madhi SA . Clin Infect Dis 2017 64 S357-s367 Background.: Detection of pneumococcus by lytA polymerase chain reaction (PCR) in blood had poor diagnostic accuracy for diagnosing pneumococcal pneumonia in children in 9 African and Asian sites. We assessed the value of blood lytA quantification in diagnosing pneumococcal pneumonia. Methods.: The Pneumonia Etiology Research for Child Health (PERCH) case-control study tested whole blood by PCR for pneumococcus in children aged 1-59 months hospitalized with signs of pneumonia and in age-frequency matched community controls. The distribution of load among PCR-positive participants was compared between microbiologically confirmed pneumococcal pneumonia (MCPP) cases, cases confirmed for nonpneumococcal pathogens, nonconfirmed cases, and controls. Receiver operating characteristic analyses determined the "optimal threshold" that distinguished MCPP cases from controls. Results.: Load was available for 290 of 291 cases with pneumococcal PCR detected in blood and 273 of 273 controls. Load was higher in MCPP cases than controls (median, 4.0 x 103 vs 0.19 x 103 copies/mL), but overlapped substantially (range, 0.16-989.9 x 103 copies/mL and 0.01-551.9 x 103 copies/mL, respectively). The proportion with high load (≥2.2 log10 copies/mL) was 62.5% among MCPP cases, 4.3% among nonconfirmed cases, 9.3% among cases confirmed for a nonpneumococcal pathogen, and 3.1% among controls. Pneumococcal load in blood was not associated with respiratory tract illness in controls (P = .32). High blood pneumococcal load was associated with alveolar consolidation on chest radiograph in nonconfirmed cases, and with high (>6.9 log10 copies/mL) nasopharyngeal/oropharyngeal load and C-reactive protein ≥40 mg/L (both P < .01) in nonconfirmed cases but not controls. Conclusions.: Quantitative pneumococcal PCR in blood has limited diagnostic utility for identifying pneumococcal pneumonia in individual children, but may be informative in epidemiological studies. |
Pioneer study of population genetics of Rhodnius ecuadoriensis (Hemiptera: Reduviidae) from the central coast and southern Andean regions of Ecuador.
Villacis AG , Marcet PL , Yumiseva CA , Dotson EM , Tibayrenc M , Breniere SF , Grijalva MJ . Infect Genet Evol 2017 53 116-127 Effective control of Chagas disease vector populations requires a good understanding of the epidemiological components, including a reliable analysis of the genetic structure of vector populations. Rhodnius ecuadoriensis is the most widespread vector of Chagas disease in Ecuador, occupying domestic, peridomestic and sylvatic habitats. It is widely distributed in the central coast and southern highlands regions of Ecuador, two very different regions in terms of bio-geographical characteristics. To evaluate the genetic relationship among R. ecuadoriensis populations in these two regions, we analyzed genetic variability at two microsatellite loci for 326 specimens (n=122 in Manabi and n=204 in Loja) and the mitochondrial cytochrome b gene (Cyt b) sequences for 174 individuals collected in the two provinces (n=73 and=101 in Manabi and Loja respectively). The individual samples were grouped in populations according to their community of origin. A few populations presented positive FIS, possible due to Wahlund effect. Significant pairwise differentiation was detected between populations within each province for both genetic markers, and the isolation by distance model was significant for these populations. Microsatellite markers showed significant genetic differentiation between the populations of the two provinces. The partial sequences of the Cyt b gene (578bp) identified a total of 34 haplotypes among 174 specimens sequenced, which translated into high haplotype diversity (Hd=0.929). The haplotype distribution differed among provinces (significant Fisher's exact test). Overall, the genetic differentiation of R. ecuadoriensis between provinces detected in this study is consistent with the biological and phenotypic differences previously observed between Manabi and Loja populations. The current phylogenetic analysis evidenced the monophyly of the populations of R. ecuadoriensis within the R. pallescens species complex; R. pallescens and R. colombiensis were more closely related than they were to R. ecuadoriensis. |
Identifying gaps in HIV service delivery across the diagnosis-to-treatment cascade: Findings from health facility surveys in six sub-Saharan countries
Church K , Machiyama K , Todd J , Njamwea B , Mwangome M , Hosegood V , Michel J , Oti S , Nyamukapa C , Crampin A , Amek N , Nakigozi G , Michael D , Gómez-Olivé FX , Nakiyingi-Miiro J , Zaba B , Wringe A . J Int AIDS Soc 2017 20 (1) 21188 Introduction: Despite the rollout of antiretroviral therapy (ART), challenges remain in ensuring timely access to care and treatment for people living with HIV. As part of a multi-country study to investigate HIV mortality, we conducted health facility surveys within 10 health and demographic surveillance system sites across six countries in Eastern and Southern Africa to investigate clinic-level factors influencing (i) use of HIV testing services, (ii) use of HIV care and treatment and (iii) patient retention on ART. Methods: Health facilities (n = 156) were sampled within 10 surveillance sites: Nairobi and Kisumu (Kenya), Karonga (Malawi), Agincourt and uMkhanyakude (South Africa), Ifakara and Kisesa (Tanzania), Kyamulibwa and Rakai (Uganda) and Manicaland (Zimbabwe). Structured questionnaires were administered to in-charge staff members of HIV testing, prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) and ART units within the facilities. Forty-one indicators influencing uptake and patient retention along the continuum of HIV care were compared across sites using descriptive statistics. Results: The number of facilities surveyed ranged from six in Malawi to 36 in Zimbabwe. Eighty percent were governmentrun; 73% were lower-level facilities and 17% were district/referral hospitals. Client load varied widely, from less than one up to 65 HIV testing clients per provider per week. Most facilities (>80%) delivered services or interventions that would support patient retention in care such as delivering free services, offering PMTCT within antenatal care, pre-ART monitoring and adherence counselling. Many facilities under-delivered in several areas, however, such as targeted testing for high-risk groups (21%) and mobile testing (36%). There were also intra-site and inter-site differences, including in the delivery of Option B+ (ranging from 6% in Kisumu to 93% in Kyamulibwa), and nurse-led ART initiation (ranging from 50% in Kisesa to 100% in Karonga and Agincourt). Only facilities in Malawi did not require additional lab tests for ART initiation. Stock-outs of HIV test kits and antiretroviral drugs were particularly common in Tanzania. Conclusions: We identified a high standard of health facility performance in delivering strategies that may support progression through the continuum of HIV care. HIV testing policy and practice was particularly weak. Inter- and intracountry differences in quality and coverage represent opportunities to improve the delivery of comprehensive services to people living with HIV. |
Optical Screening for Rapid Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing and for Observation of Phenotypic Diversity among Strains of the Genetically Clonal Species Bacillus anthracis.
McLaughlin HP , Gargis AS , Michel P , Sue D , Weigel LM . J Clin Microbiol 2017 55 (3) 959-970 During high-impact events involving Bacillus anthracis, such as the Amerithrax incident of 2001 or the anthrax outbreaks in Russia and Sweden in 2016, critical decisions to reduce morbidity and mortality include rapid selection and distribution of effective antimicrobial agents for treatment and post-exposure prophylaxis. Detection of antimicrobial resistance currently relies on a conventional broth microdilution (BMD) method that requires a 16 - 20 hour incubation time for B. anthracis Advances in high-resolution optical screening offer a new technology to more rapidly evaluate antimicrobial susceptibility and to simultaneously assess growth characteristics of an isolate. Herein, we describe a new method developed and evaluated as a rapid antimicrobial susceptibility test for B. anthracis This method is based on automated, digital, time-lapse microscopy to observe growth and morphological effects of relevant antibiotics using an optical screening instrument, the oCelloScopeTM B. anthracis strains were monitored over time in the presence and absence of penicillin, ciprofloxacin, and doxycycline. Susceptibility to each antibiotic was determined in ≤ 4 hours, a 75-80% decrease in the time required for conventional methods. Time-lapse video imaging compiled from the optical screening images revealed unexpected differences in growth characteristics among strains of B. anthracis, which is considered to be a clonal organism. This technology provides a new approach for rapidly detecting phenotypic antimicrobial resistance and for documenting growth attributes that may be beneficial in further characterization of individual strains. IMPORTANCE: Early treatment of bacterial infections such as anthrax can dramatically improve survival rates and outcomes for affected populations. Conventional, gold-standard methods to detect drug resistance, such as broth microdilution, functionally assess the ability of bacteria to grow in the presence of drug, but are time intensive and rely on the subjective interpretation of results. Here, we describe the application of automated, time-lapsed optical imaging to rapidly and accurately detect single- and multi-drug resistant strains of Bacillus anthracis based on growth in microtiter cultures. Drug resistance was determined up to 16 hours faster than the conventional BMD method and the ability to visualize growth of B. anthracis in real-time revealed novel growth morphologies. Detailed growth characteristics of strains and rapid time-to-susceptibility results can assist in critical decision-making about clinical treatment or post-exposure prophylaxis regimes during public health emergency events involving infections such as anthrax. |
Mosquito genomics. Highly evolvable malaria vectors: the genomes of 16 Anopheles mosquitoes.
Neafsey DE , Waterhouse RM , Abai MR , Aganezov SS , Alekseyev MA , Allen JE , Amon J , Arca B , Arensburger P , Artemov G , Assour LA , Basseri H , Berlin A , Birren BW , Blandin SA , Brockman AI , Burkot TR , Burt A , Chan CS , Chauve C , Chiu JC , Christensen M , Costantini C , Davidson VL , Deligianni E , Dottorini T , Dritsou V , Gabriel SB , Guelbeogo WM , Hall AB , Han MV , Hlaing T , Hughes DS , Jenkins AM , Jiang X , Jungreis I , Kakani EG , Kamali M , Kemppainen P , Kennedy RC , Kirmitzoglou IK , Koekemoer LL , Laban N , Langridge N , Lawniczak MK , Lirakis M , Lobo NF , Lowy E , MacCallum RM , Mao C , Maslen G , Mbogo C , McCarthy J , Michel K , Mitchell SN , Moore W , Murphy KA , Naumenko AN , Nolan T , Novoa EM , O'Loughlin S , Oringanje C , Oshaghi MA , Pakpour N , Papathanos PA , Peery AN , Povelones M , Prakash A , Price DP , Rajaraman A , Reimer LJ , Rinker DC , Rokas A , Russell TL , Sagnon N , Sharakhova MV , Shea T , Simao FA , Simard F , Slotman MA , Somboon P , Stegniy V , Struchiner CJ , Thomas GW , Tojo M , Topalis P , Tubio JM , Unger MF , Vontas J , Walton C , Wilding CS , Willis JH , Wu YC , Yan G , Zdobnov EM , Zhou X , Catteruccia F , Christophides GK , Collins FH , Cornman RS , Crisanti A , Donnelly MJ , Emrich SJ , Fontaine MC , Gelbart W , Hahn MW , Hansen IA , Howell PI , Kafatos FC , Kellis M , Lawson D , Louis C , Luckhart S , Muskavitch MA , Ribeiro JM , Riehle MA , Sharakhov IV , Tu Z , Zwiebel LJ , Besansky NJ . Science 2015 347 (6217) 1258522 Variation in vectorial capacity for human malaria among Anopheles mosquito species is determined by many factors, including behavior, immunity, and life history. To investigate the genomic basis of vectorial capacity and explore new avenues for vector control, we sequenced the genomes of 16 anopheline mosquito species from diverse locations spanning ~100 million years of evolution. Comparative analyses show faster rates of gene gain and loss, elevated gene shuffling on the X chromosome, and more intron losses, relative to Drosophila. Some determinants of vectorial capacity, such as chemosensory genes, do not show elevated turnover but instead diversify through protein-sequence changes. This dynamism of anopheline genes and genomes may contribute to their flexible capacity to take advantage of new ecological niches, including adapting to humans as primary hosts. |
Molecular surveillance of rotavirus infection in the Democratic Republic of the Congo August 2009 to June 2012.
Pukuta ES , Esona MD , Nkongolo A , Seheri M , Makasi M , Nyembwe M , Mondonge V , Dahl BA , Mphahlele MJ , Cavallaro K , Gentsch J , Bowen MD , Waku-Kouomou D , Muyembe JJ . Pediatr Infect Dis J 2014 33 (4) 355-9 BACKGROUND: Rotavirus is a major cause of severe diarrhea worldwide. It causes 453,000 deaths in children annually. In the Democratic Republic of the Congo, sentinel site surveillance of rotavirus gastroenteritis started in 2009 and aimed to document burden of rotavirus diarrhea and identify circulating rotavirus genotypes. METHODS: Between August 2009 to June 2012, stool samples were collected in Kinshasa and Lubumbashi, from children <5 years of age who met the WHO case definition for rotavirus gastroenteritis. Rotavirus antigen detection was performed using an enzyme immunoassay technique and rotavirus strains were characterized using a multiplex reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction assay. RESULTS: During the study period, 1614 stool samples were screened for rotavirus by enzyme immunoassay and 990 (61%) were positive. Of these, the genotype was determined in 330 (33%) samples. The most common genotypes found in the samples analyzed were G1P[8] in 2009 (28%) and 2012 (33%), G2P[4] (33%) in 2010 and G2P[6] (28%) in 2011. Uncommon strains like G8P[6] (5%), G6P[6] (5%), G12P[6] (3%), G12P[8] (3%) and G8P[8] (2%) were also detected. CONCLUSIONS: In Democratic Republic of the Congo, 61% of the diarrhea in children in <5 years of age was caused by rotavirus infection and a variety of rotavirus genotypes were detected. Implementation of rotavirus genotyping at the national level has improved the timely identification of rotavirus strains. These results will help decision makers in Democratic Republic of the Congo plan the implementation of a rotavirus vaccination program. |
Evaluation of automated and manual DNA purification methods for detecting Ricinus communis DNA during ricin investigations.
Hutchins AS , Astwood MJ , Saah JR , Michel PA , Newton BR , Dauphin LA . Forensic Sci Int 2014 236C 10-15 In April of 2013, letters addressed to the President of United States and other government officials were intercepted and found to be contaminated with ricin, heightening awareness about the need to evaluate laboratory methods for detecting ricin. This study evaluated commercial DNA purification methods for isolating Ricinus communis DNA as measured by real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Four commercially available DNA purification methods (two automated, MagNA Pure compact and MagNA Pure LC, and two manual, MasterPure complete DNA and RNA purification kit and QIAamp DNA blood mini kit) were evaluated. We compared their ability to purify detectable levels of R. communis DNA from four different sample types, including crude preparations of ricin that could be used for biological crimes or acts of bioterrorism. Castor beans, spiked swabs, and spiked powders were included to simulate sample types typically tested during criminal and public health investigations. Real-time PCR analysis indicated that the QIAamp kit resulted in the greatest sensitivity for ricin preparations; the MasterPure kit performed best with spiked powders. The four methods detected equivalent levels by real-time PCR when castor beans and spiked swabs were used. All four methods yielded DNA free of PCR inhibitors as determined by the use of a PCR inhibition control assay. This study demonstrated that DNA purification methods differ in their ability to purify R. communis DNA; therefore, the purification method used for a given sample type can influence the sensitivity of real-time PCR assays for R. communis. |
Genetic variation and exchange in Trypanosoma cruzi isolates from the United States.
Roellig DM , Savage MY , Fujita AW , Barnabe C , Tibayrenc M , Steurer FJ , Yabsley MJ . PLoS One 2013 8 (2) e56198 Trypanosoma cruzi, the causative agent of Chagas disease, is a multiclonal parasite with high levels of genetic diversity and broad host and geographic ranges. Molecular characterization of South American isolates of T. cruzi has demonstrated homologous recombination and nuclear hybridization, as well as the presence of 6 main genetic clusters or "discrete typing units" (DTUs). Few studies have extensively investigated such exchange events and genetic diversity in North American isolates. In the current study, we genetically characterized over 50 US isolates from wildlife reservoirs (e.g., raccoons, opossums, armadillos, skunks), domestic dogs, humans, nonhuman primates, and reduviid vectors from nine states (TX, CA, OK, SC, FL, GA, MD, LA, TN) using a multilocus sequencing method. Single nucleotide polymorphisms were identified in sequences of the mismatch-repair class 2 (MSH2) and Tc52 genes. Typing based on the two genes often paralleled genotyping by classic methodologies using mini-exon and 18S and 24Salpha rRNA genes. Evidence for genetic exchange was obtained by comparing sequence phylogenies of nuclear and mitochondrial gene targets, dihydrofolate reductase-thymidylate synthase (DHFR-TS) and the cytochrome oxidase subunit II- NADH dehydrogenase subunit I region (COll-ND1), respectively. We observed genetic exchange in several US isolates as demonstrated by incongruent mitochondrial and nuclear genes phylogenies, which confirms a previous finding of a single genetic exchange event in a Florida isolate. The presence of SNPs and evidence of genetic exchange illustrates that strains from the US are genetically diverse, even though only two phylogenetic lineages have been identified in this region. |
Years lived with disability (YLDs) for 1160 sequelae of 289 diseases and injuries 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010
Vos Theo , Flaxman Abraham D , Naghavi Mohsen , Lozano Rafael , Michaud Catherine , Ezzati Majid , Shibuya Kenji , Salomon Joshua A , Abdalla Safa , Aboyans Victor , Abraham Jerry , Ackerman Ilana , Aggarwal Rakesh , Ahn Stephanie Y , Ali Mohammed K , Alvarado Miriam , Anderson H Ross , Anderson Laurie M , Andrews Kathryn G , Atkinson Charles , Baddour Larry M , Bahalim Adil N , Barker-Collo Suzanne , Barrero Lope H , Bartels David H , Basanez Maria-Gloria , Baxter Amanda , Bell Michelle L , Benjamin Emelia J , Bennett Derrick , Bernabe Eduardo , Bhalla Kavi , Bhandari Bishal , Bikbov Boris , Bin Abdulhak Aref , Birbeck Gretchen , Black James A , Blencowe Hannah , Blore Jed D , Blyth Fiona , Bolliger Ian , Bonaventure Audrey , Boufous Soufiane , Bourne Rupert , Boussinesq Michel , Braithwaite Tasanee , Brayne Carol , Bridgett Lisa , Brooker Simon , Brooks Peter , Brugha Traolach S , Bryan-Hancock Claire , Bucello Chiara , Buchbinder Rachelle , Buckle Geoffrey , Budke Christine M , Burch Michael , Burney Peter , Burstein Roy , Calabria Bianca , Campbell Benjamin , Canter Charles E , Carabin Helene , Carapetis Jonathan , Carmona Loreto , Cella Claudia , Charlson Fiona , Chen Honglei , Cheng Andrew Tai-Ann , Chou David , Chugh Sumeet S , Coffeng Luc E , Colan Steven D , Colquhoun Samantha , Colson K Ellicott , Condon John , Connor Myles D , Cooper Leslie T , Corriere Matthew , Cortinovis Monica , de Vaccaro Karen Courville , Couser William , Cowie Benjamin C , Criqui Michael H , Cross Marita , Dabhadkar Kaustubh C , Dahiya Manu , Dahodwala Nabila , Damsere-Derry James , Danaei Goodarz , Davis Adrian , De Leo Diego , Degenhardt Louisa , Dellavalle Robert , Delossantos Allyne , Denenberg Julie , Derrett Sarah , Des Jarlais Don C , Dharmaratne Samath D , Dherani Mukesh , Diaz-Torne Cesar , Dolk Helen , Dorsey E Ray , Driscoll Tim , Duber Herbert , Ebel Beth , Edmond Karen , Elbaz Alexis , Ali Suad Eltahir , Erskine Holly , Erwin Patricia J , Espindola Patricia , Ewoigbokhan Stalin E , Farzadfar Farshad , Feigin Valery , Felson David T , Ferrari Alize , Ferri Cleusa P , Fevre Eric M , Finucane Mariel M , Flaxman Seth , Flood Louise , Foreman Kyle , Forouzanfar Mohammad H , Fowkes Francis Gerry R , Franklin Richard , Fransen Marlene , Freeman Michael K , Gabbe Belinda J , Gabriel Sherine E , Gakidou Emmanuela , Ganatra Hammad A , Garcia Bianca , Gaspari Flavio , Gillum Richard F , Gmel Gerhard , Gosselin Richard , Grainger Rebecca , Groeger Justina , Guillemin Francis , Gunnell David , Gupta Ramyani , Haagsma Juanita , Hagan Holly , Halasa Yara A , Hall Wayne , Haring Diana , Haro Josep Maria , Harrison James E , Havmoeller Rasmus , Hay Roderick J , Higashi Hideki , Hill Catherine , Hoen Bruno , Hoffman Howard , Hotez Peter J , Hoy Damian , Huang John J , Ibeanusi Sydney E , Jacobsen Kathryn H , James Spencer L , Jarvis Deborah , Jasrasaria Rashmi , Jayaraman Sudha , Johns Nicole , Jonas Jost B , Karthikeyan Ganesan , Kassebaum Nicholas , Kawakami Norito , Keren Andre , Khoo Jon-Paul , King Charles H , Knowlton Lisa Marie , Kobusingye Olive , Koranteng Adofo , Krishnamurthi Rita , Lalloo Ratilal , Laslett Laura L , Lathlean Tim , Leasher Janet L , Lee Yong Yi , Leigh James , Lim Stephen S , Limb Elizabeth , Lin John Kent , Lipnick Michael , Lipshultz Steven E , Liu Wei , Loane Maria , Ohno Summer Lockett , Lyons Ronan , Ma Jixiang , Mabweijano Jacqueline , MacIntyre Michael F , Malekzadeh Reza , Mallinger Leslie , Manivannan Sivabalan , Marcenes Wagner , March Lyn , Margolis David J , Marks Guy B , Marks Robin , Matsumori Akira , Matzopoulos Richard , Mayosi Bongani M , McAnulty John H , McDermott Mary M , McGill Neil , McGrath John , Medina-Mora Maria Elena , Meltzer Michele , Mensah George A , Merriman Tony R , Meyer Ana-Claire , Miglioli Valeria , Miller Matthew , Miller Ted R , Mitchell Philip B , Mocumbi Ana Olga , Moffitt Terrie E , Mokdad Ali A , Monasta Lorenzo , Montico Marcella , Moradi-Lakeh Maziar , Moran Andrew , Morawska Lidia , Mori Rintaro , Murdoch Michele E , Mwaniki Michael K , Naidoo Kovin , Nair M Nathan , Naldi Luigi , Narayan K M Venkat , Nelson Paul K , Nelson Robert G , Nevitt Michael C , Newton Charles R , Nolte Sandra , Norman Paul , Norman Rosana , O'Donnell Martin , O'Hanlon Simon , Olives Casey , Omer Saad B , Ortblad Katrina , Osborne Richard , Ozgediz Doruk , Page Andrew , Pahari Bishnu , Pandian Jeyaraj Durai , Rivero Andrea Panozo , Patten Scott B , Pearce Neil , Padilla Rogelio Perez , Perez-Ruiz Fernando , Perico Norberto , Pesudovs Konrad , Phillips David , Phillips Michael R , Pierce Kelsey , Pion Sebastien , Polanczyk Guilherme V , Polinder Suzanne , Pope C Arden 3rd , Popova Svetlana , Porrini Esteban , Pourmalek Farshad , Prince Martin , Pullan Rachel L , Ramaiah Kapa D , Ranganathan Dharani , Razavi Homie , Regan Mathilda , Rehm Jurgen T , Rein David B , Remuzzi Guiseppe , Richardson Kathryn , Rivara Frederick P , Roberts Thomas , Robinson Carolyn , De Leon Felipe Rodriguez , Ronfani Luca , Room Robin , Rosenfeld Lisa C , Rushton Lesley , Sacco Ralph L , Saha Sukanta , Sampson Uchechukwu , Sanchez-Riera Lidia , Sanman Ella , Schwebel David C , Scott James Graham , Segui-Gomez Maria , Shahraz Saeid , Shepard Donald S , Shin Hwashin , Shivakoti Rupak , Singh David , Singh Gitanjali M , Singh Jasvinder A , Singleton Jessica , Sleet David A , Sliwa Karen , Smith Emma , Smith Jennifer L , Stapelberg Nicolas J C , Steer Andrew , Steiner Timothy , Stolk Wilma A , Stovner Lars Jacob , Sudfeld Christopher , Syed Sana , Tamburlini Giorgio , Tavakkoli Mohammad , Taylor Hugh R , Taylor Jennifer A , Taylor William J , Thomas Bernadette , Thomson W Murray , Thurston George D , Tleyjeh Imad M , Tonelli Marcello , Towbin Jeffrey A , Truelsen Thomas , Tsilimbaris Miltiadis K , Ubeda Clotilde , Undurraga Eduardo A , van der Werf Marieke J , van Os Jim , Vavilala Monica S , Venketasubramanian N , Wang Mengru , Wang Wenzhi , Watt Kerrianne , Weatherall David J , Weinstock Martin A , Weintraub Robert , Weisskopf Marc G , Weissman Myrna M , White Richard A , Whiteford Harvey , Wiersma Steven T , Wilkinson James D , Williams Hywel C , Williams Sean R M , Witt Emma , Wolfe Frederick , Woolf Anthony D , Wulf Sarah , Yeh Pon-Hsiu , Zaidi Anita K M , Zheng Zhi-Jie , Zonies David , Lopez Alan D , Murray Christopher J L , Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 . Lancet 2013 380 (9859) 2163-96 BACKGROUND: Non-fatal health outcomes from diseases and injuries are a crucial consideration in the promotion and monitoring of individual and population health. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) studies done in 1990 and 2000 have been the only studies to quantify non-fatal health outcomes across an exhaustive set of disorders at the global and regional level. Neither effort quantified uncertainty in prevalence or years lived with disability (YLDs). METHODS: Of the 291 diseases and injuries in the GBD cause list, 289 cause disability. For 1160 sequelae of the 289 diseases and injuries, we undertook a systematic analysis of prevalence, incidence, remission, duration, and excess mortality. Sources included published studies, case notification, population-based cancer registries, other disease registries, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, hospital discharge data, ambulatory care data, household surveys, other surveys, and cohort studies. For most sequelae, we used a Bayesian meta-regression method, DisMod-MR, designed to address key limitations in descriptive epidemiological data, including missing data, inconsistency, and large methodological variation between data sources. For some disorders, we used natural history models, geospatial models, back-calculation models (models calculating incidence from population mortality rates and case fatality), or registration completeness models (models adjusting for incomplete registration with health-system access and other covariates). Disability weights for 220 unique health states were used to capture the severity of health loss. YLDs by cause at age, sex, country, and year levels were adjusted for comorbidity with simulation methods. We included uncertainty estimates at all stages of the analysis. FINDINGS: Global prevalence for all ages combined in 2010 across the 1160 sequelae ranged from fewer than one case per 1 million people to 350,000 cases per 1 million people. Prevalence and severity of health loss were weakly correlated (correlation coefficient -0.37). In 2010, there were 777 million YLDs from all causes, up from 583 million in 1990. The main contributors to global YLDs were mental and behavioural disorders, musculoskeletal disorders, and diabetes or endocrine diseases. The leading specific causes of YLDs were much the same in 2010 as they were in 1990: low back pain, major depressive disorder, iron-deficiency anaemia, neck pain, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, anxiety disorders, migraine, diabetes, and falls. Age-specific prevalence of YLDs increased with age in all regions and has decreased slightly from 1990 to 2010. Regional patterns of the leading causes of YLDs were more similar compared with years of life lost due to premature mortality. Neglected tropical diseases, HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and anaemia were important causes of YLDs in sub-Saharan Africa. INTERPRETATION: Rates of YLDs per 100,000 people have remained largely constant over time but rise steadily with age. Population growth and ageing have increased YLD numbers and crude rates over the past two decades. Prevalences of the most common causes of YLDs, such as mental and behavioural disorders and musculoskeletal disorders, have not decreased. Health systems will need to address the needs of the rising numbers of individuals with a range of disorders that largely cause disability but not mortality. Quantification of the burden of non-fatal health outcomes will be crucial to understand how well health systems are responding to these challenges. Effective and affordable strategies to deal with this rising burden are an urgent priority for health systems in most parts of the world. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010
Lim Stephen S , Vos Theo , Flaxman Abraham D , Danaei Goodarz , Shibuya Kenji , Adair-Rohani Heather , Amann Markus , Anderson H Ross , Andrews Kathryn G , Aryee Martin , Atkinson Charles , Bacchus Loraine J , Bahalim Adil N , Balakrishnan Kalpana , Balmes John , Barker-Collo Suzanne , Baxter Amanda , Bell Michelle L , Blore Jed D , Blyth Fiona , Bonner Carissa , Borges Guilherme , Bourne Rupert , Boussinesq Michel , Brauer Michael , Brooks Peter , Bruce Nigel G , Brunekreef Bert , Bryan-Hancock Claire , Bucello Chiara , Buchbinder Rachelle , Bull Fiona , Burnett Richard T , Byers Tim E , Calabria Bianca , Carapetis Jonathan , Carnahan Emily , Chafe Zoe , Charlson Fiona , Chen Honglei , Chen Jian Shen , Cheng Andrew Tai-Ann , Child Jennifer Christine , Cohen Aaron , Colson K Ellicott , Cowie Benjamin C , Darby Sarah , Darling Susan , Davis Adrian , Degenhardt Louisa , Dentener Frank , Des Jarlais Don C , Devries Karen , Dherani Mukesh , Ding Eric L , Dorsey E Ray , Driscoll Tim , Edmond Karen , Ali Suad Eltahir , Engell Rebecca E , Erwin Patricia J , Fahimi Saman , Falder Gail , Farzadfar Farshad , Ferrari Alize , Finucane Mariel M , Flaxman Seth , Fowkes Francis Gerry R , Freedman Greg , Freeman Michael K , Gakidou Emmanuela , Ghosh Santu , Giovannucci Edward , Gmel Gerhard , Graham Kathryn , Grainger Rebecca , Grant Bridget , Gunnell David , Gutierrez Hialy R , Hall Wayne , Hoek Hans W , Hogan Anthony , Hosgood H Dean 3rd , Hoy Damian , Hu Howard , Hubbell Bryan J , Hutchings Sally J , Ibeanusi Sydney E , Jacklyn Gemma L , Jasrasaria Rashmi , Jonas Jost B , Kan Haidong , Kanis John A , Kassebaum Nicholas , Kawakami Norito , Khang Young-Ho , Khatibzadeh Shahab , Khoo Jon-Paul , Kok Cindy , Laden Francine , Lalloo Ratilal , Lan Qing , Lathlean Tim , Leasher Janet L , Leigh James , Li Yang , Lin John Kent , Lipshultz Steven E , London Stephanie , Lozano Rafael , Lu Yuan , Mak Joelle , Malekzadeh Reza , Mallinger Leslie , Marcenes Wagner , March Lyn , Marks Robin , Martin Randall , McGale Paul , McGrath John , Mehta Sumi , Mensah George A , Merriman Tony R , Micha Renata , Michaud Catherine , Mishra Vinod , Hanafiah Khayriyyah Mohd , Mokdad Ali A , Morawska Lidia , Mozaffarian Dariush , Murphy Tasha , Naghavi Mohsen , Neal Bruce , Nelson Paul K , Nolla Joan Miquel , Norman Rosana , Olives Casey , Omer Saad B , Orchard Jessica , Osborne Richard , Ostro Bart , Page Andrew , Pandey Kiran D , Parry Charles D H , Passmore Erin , Patra Jayadeep , Pearce Neil , Pelizzari Pamela M , Petzold Max , Phillips Michael R , Pope Dan , Pope C Arden 3rd , Powles John , Rao Mayuree , Razavi Homie , Rehfuess Eva A , Rehm Jurgen T , Ritz Beate , Rivara Frederick P , Roberts Thomas , Robinson Carolyn , Rodriguez-Portales Jose A , Romieu Isabelle , Room Robin , Rosenfeld Lisa C , Roy Ananya , Rushton Lesley , Salomon Joshua A , Sampson Uchechukwu , Sanchez-Riera Lidia , Sanman Ella , Sapkota Amir , Seedat Soraya , Shi Peilin , Shield Kevin , Shivakoti Rupak , Singh Gitanjali M , Sleet David A , Smith Emma , Smith Kirk R , Stapelberg Nicolas J C , Steenland Kyle , Stockl Heidi , Stovner Lars Jacob , Straif Kurt , Straney Lahn , Thurston George D , Tran Jimmy H , Van Dingenen Rita , van Donkelaar Aaron , Veerman J Lennert , Vijayakumar Lakshmi , Weintraub Robert , Weissman Myrna M , White Richard A , Whiteford Harvey , Wiersma Steven T , Wilkinson James D , Williams Hywel C , Williams Warwick , Wilson Nicholas , Woolf Anthony D , Yip Paul , Zielinski Jan M , Lopez Alan D , Murray Christopher J L , Ezzati Majid , Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 . Lancet 2013 380 (9859) 2224-60 BACKGROUND: Quantification of the disease burden caused by different risks informs prevention by providing an account of health loss different to that provided by a disease-by-disease analysis. No complete revision of global disease burden caused by risk factors has been done since a comparative risk assessment in 2000, and no previous analysis has assessed changes in burden attributable to risk factors over time. METHODS: We estimated deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs; sum of years lived with disability [YLD] and years of life lost [YLL]) attributable to the independent effects of 67 risk factors and clusters of risk factors for 21 regions in 1990 and 2010. We estimated exposure distributions for each year, region, sex, and age group, and relative risks per unit of exposure by systematically reviewing and synthesising published and unpublished data. We used these estimates, together with estimates of cause-specific deaths and DALYs from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010, to calculate the burden attributable to each risk factor exposure compared with the theoretical-minimum-risk exposure. We incorporated uncertainty in disease burden, relative risks, and exposures into our estimates of attributable burden. FINDINGS: In 2010, the three leading risk factors for global disease burden were high blood pressure (7.0% [95% uncertainty interval 6.2-7.7] of global DALYs), tobacco smoking including second-hand smoke (6.3% [5.5-7.0]), and alcohol use (5.5% [5.0-5.9]). In 1990, the leading risks were childhood underweight (7.9% [6.8-9.4]), household air pollution from solid fuels (HAP; 7.0% [5.6-8.3]), and tobacco smoking including second-hand smoke (6.1% [5.4-6.8]). Dietary risk factors and physical inactivity collectively accounted for 10.0% (95% UI 9.2-10.8) of global DALYs in 2010, with the most prominent dietary risks being diets low in fruits and those high in sodium. Several risks that primarily affect childhood communicable diseases, including unimproved water and sanitation and childhood micronutrient deficiencies, fell in rank between 1990 and 2010, with unimproved water and sanitation accounting for 0.9% (0.4-1.6) of global DALYs in 2010. However, in most of sub-Saharan Africa childhood underweight, HAP, and non-exclusive and discontinued breastfeeding were the leading risks in 2010, while HAP was the leading risk in south Asia. The leading risk factor in Eastern Europe, most of Latin America, and southern sub-Saharan Africa in 2010 was alcohol use; in most of Asia, North Africa and Middle East, and central Europe it was high blood pressure. Despite declines, tobacco smoking including second-hand smoke remained the leading risk in high-income north America and western Europe. High body-mass index has increased globally and it is the leading risk in Australasia and southern Latin America, and also ranks high in other high-income regions, North Africa and Middle East, and Oceania. INTERPRETATION: Worldwide, the contribution of different risk factors to disease burden has changed substantially, with a shift away from risks for communicable diseases in children towards those for non-communicable diseases in adults. These changes are related to the ageing population, decreased mortality among children younger than 5 years, changes in cause-of-death composition, and changes in risk factor exposures. New evidence has led to changes in the magnitude of key risks including unimproved water and sanitation, vitamin A and zinc deficiencies, and ambient particulate matter pollution. The extent to which the epidemiological shift has occurred and what the leading risks currently are varies greatly across regions. In much of sub-Saharan Africa, the leading risks are still those associated with poverty and those that affect children. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 291 diseases and injuries in 21 regions, 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010
Murray Christopher J L , Vos Theo , Lozano Rafael , Naghavi Mohsen , Flaxman Abraham D , Michaud Catherine , Ezzati Majid , Shibuya Kenji , Salomon Joshua A , Abdalla Safa , Aboyans Victor , Abraham Jerry , Ackerman Ilana , Aggarwal Rakesh , Ahn Stephanie Y , Ali Mohammed K , Alvarado Miriam , Anderson H Ross , Anderson Laurie M , Andrews Kathryn G , Atkinson Charles , Baddour Larry M , Bahalim Adil N , Barker-Collo Suzanne , Barrero Lope H , Bartels David H , Basanez Maria-Gloria , Baxter Amanda , Bell Michelle L , Benjamin Emelia J , Bennett Derrick , Bernabe Eduardo , Bhalla Kavi , Bhandari Bishal , Bikbov Boris , Bin Abdulhak Aref , Birbeck Gretchen , Black James A , Blencowe Hannah , Blore Jed D , Blyth Fiona , Bolliger Ian , Bonaventure Audrey , Boufous Soufiane , Bourne Rupert , Boussinesq Michel , Braithwaite Tasanee , Brayne Carol , Bridgett Lisa , Brooker Simon , Brooks Peter , Brugha Traolach S , Bryan-Hancock Claire , Bucello Chiara , Buchbinder Rachelle , Buckle Geoffrey , Budke Christine M , Burch Michael , Burney Peter , Burstein Roy , Calabria Bianca , Campbell Benjamin , Canter Charles E , Carabin Helene , Carapetis Jonathan , Carmona Loreto , Cella Claudia , Charlson Fiona , Chen Honglei , Cheng Andrew Tai-Ann , Chou David , Chugh Sumeet S , Coffeng Luc E , Colan Steven D , Colquhoun Samantha , Colson K Ellicott , Condon John , Connor Myles D , Cooper Leslie T , Corriere Matthew , Cortinovis Monica , de Vaccaro Karen Courville , Couser William , Cowie Benjamin C , Criqui Michael H , Cross Marita , Dabhadkar Kaustubh C , Dahiya Manu , Dahodwala Nabila , Damsere-Derry James , Danaei Goodarz , Davis Adrian , De Leo Diego , Degenhardt Louisa , Dellavalle Robert , Delossantos Allyne , Denenberg Julie , Derrett Sarah , Des Jarlais Don C , Dharmaratne Samath D , Dherani Mukesh , Diaz-Torne Cesar , Dolk Helen , Dorsey E Ray , Driscoll Tim , Duber Herbert , Ebel Beth , Edmond Karen , Elbaz Alexis , Ali Suad Eltahir , Erskine Holly , Erwin Patricia J , Espindola Patricia , Ewoigbokhan Stalin E , Farzadfar Farshad , Feigin Valery , Felson David T , Ferrari Alize , Ferri Cleusa P , Fevre Eric M , Finucane Mariel M , Flaxman Seth , Flood Louise , Foreman Kyle , Forouzanfar Mohammad H , Fowkes Francis Gerry R , Fransen Marlene , Freeman Michael K , Gabbe Belinda J , Gabriel Sherine E , Gakidou Emmanuela , Ganatra Hammad A , Garcia Bianca , Gaspari Flavio , Gillum Richard F , Gmel Gerhard , Gonzalez-Medina Diego , Gosselin Richard , Grainger Rebecca , Grant Bridget , Groeger Justina , Guillemin Francis , Gunnell David , Gupta Ramyani , Haagsma Juanita , Hagan Holly , Halasa Yara A , Hall Wayne , Haring Diana , Haro Josep Maria , Harrison James E , Havmoeller Rasmus , Hay Roderick J , Higashi Hideki , Hill Catherine , Hoen Bruno , Hoffman Howard , Hotez Peter J , Hoy Damian , Huang John J , Ibeanusi Sydney E , Jacobsen Kathryn H , James Spencer L , Jarvis Deborah , Jasrasaria Rashmi , Jayaraman Sudha , Johns Nicole , Jonas Jost B , Karthikeyan Ganesan , Kassebaum Nicholas , Kawakami Norito , Keren Andre , Khoo Jon-Paul , King Charles H , Knowlton Lisa Marie , Kobusingye Olive , Koranteng Adofo , Krishnamurthi Rita , Laden Francine , Lalloo Ratilal , Laslett Laura L , Lathlean Tim , Leasher Janet L , Lee Yong Yi , Leigh James , Levinson Daphna , Lim Stephen S , Limb Elizabeth , Lin John Kent , Lipnick Michael , Lipshultz Steven E , Liu Wei , Loane Maria , Ohno Summer Lockett , Lyons Ronan , Mabweijano Jacqueline , MacIntyre Michael F , Malekzadeh Reza , Mallinger Leslie , Manivannan Sivabalan , Marcenes Wagner , March Lyn , Margolis David J , Marks Guy B , Marks Robin , Matsumori Akira , Matzopoulos Richard , Mayosi Bongani M , McAnulty John H , McDermott Mary M , McGill Neil , McGrath John , Medina-Mora Maria Elena , Meltzer Michele , Mensah George A , Merriman Tony R , Meyer Ana-Claire , Miglioli Valeria , Miller Matthew , Miller Ted R , Mitchell Philip B , Mock Charles , Mocumbi Ana Olga , Moffitt Terrie E , Mokdad Ali A , Monasta Lorenzo , Montico Marcella , Moradi-Lakeh Maziar , Moran Andrew , Morawska Lidia , Mori Rintaro , Murdoch Michele E , Mwaniki Michael K , Naidoo Kovin , Nair M Nathan , Naldi Luigi , Narayan K M Venkat , Nelson Paul K , Nelson Robert G , Nevitt Michael C , Newton Charles R , Nolte Sandra , Norman Paul , Norman Rosana , O'Donnell Martin , O'Hanlon Simon , Olives Casey , Omer Saad B , Ortblad Katrina , Osborne Richard , Ozgediz Doruk , Page Andrew , Pahari Bishnu , Pandian Jeyaraj Durai , Rivero Andrea Panozo , Patten Scott B , Pearce Neil , Padilla Rogelio Perez , Perez-Ruiz Fernando , Perico Norberto , Pesudovs Konrad , Phillips David , Phillips Michael R , Pierce Kelsey , Pion Sebastien , Polanczyk Guilherme V , Polinder Suzanne , Pope C Arden 3rd , Popova Svetlana , Porrini Esteban , Pourmalek Farshad , Prince Martin , Pullan Rachel L , Ramaiah Kapa D , Ranganathan Dharani , Razavi Homie , Regan Mathilda , Rehm Jurgen T , Rein David B , Remuzzi Guiseppe , Richardson Kathryn , Rivara Frederick P , Roberts Thomas , Robinson Carolyn , De Leon Felipe Rodriguez , Ronfani Luca , Room Robin , Rosenfeld Lisa C , Rushton Lesley , Sacco Ralph L , Saha Sukanta , Sampson Uchechukwu , Sanchez-Riera Lidia , Sanman Ella , Schwebel David C , Scott James Graham , Segui-Gomez Maria , Shahraz Saeid , Shepard Donald S , Shin Hwashin , Shivakoti Rupak , Singh David , Singh Gitanjali M , Singh Jasvinder A , Singleton Jessica , Sleet David A , Sliwa Karen , Smith Emma , Smith Jennifer L , Stapelberg Nicolas J C , Steer Andrew , Steiner Timothy , Stolk Wilma A , Stovner Lars Jacob , Sudfeld Christopher , Syed Sana , Tamburlini Giorgio , Tavakkoli Mohammad , Taylor Hugh R , Taylor Jennifer A , Taylor William J , Thomas Bernadette , Thomson W Murray , Thurston George D , Tleyjeh Imad M , Tonelli Marcello , Towbin Jeffrey A , Truelsen Thomas , Tsilimbaris Miltiadis K , Ubeda Clotilde , Undurraga Eduardo A , van der Werf Marieke J , van Os Jim , Vavilala Monica S , Venketasubramanian N , Wang Mengru , Wang Wenzhi , Watt Kerrianne , Weatherall David J , Weinstock Martin A , Weintraub Robert , Weisskopf Marc G , Weissman Myrna M , White Richard A , Whiteford Harvey , Wiebe Natasha , Wiersma Steven T , Wilkinson James D , Williams Hywel C , Williams Sean R M , Witt Emma , Wolfe Frederick , Woolf Anthony D , Wulf Sarah , Yeh Pon-Hsiu , Zaidi Anita K M , Zheng Zhi-Jie , Zonies David , Lopez Alan D , Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 . Lancet 2013 380 (9859) 2197-223 BACKGROUND: Measuring disease and injury burden in populations requires a composite metric that captures both premature mortality and the prevalence and severity of ill-health. The 1990 Global Burden of Disease study proposed disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) to measure disease burden. No comprehensive update of disease burden worldwide incorporating a systematic reassessment of disease and injury-specific epidemiology has been done since the 1990 study. We aimed to calculate disease burden worldwide and for 21 regions for 1990, 2005, and 2010 with methods to enable meaningful comparisons over time. METHODS: We calculated DALYs as the sum of years of life lost (YLLs) and years lived with disability (YLDs). DALYs were calculated for 291 causes, 20 age groups, both sexes, and for 187 countries, and aggregated to regional and global estimates of disease burden for three points in time with strictly comparable definitions and methods. YLLs were calculated from age-sex-country-time-specific estimates of mortality by cause, with death by standardised lost life expectancy at each age. YLDs were calculated as prevalence of 1160 disabling sequelae, by age, sex, and cause, and weighted by new disability weights for each health state. Neither YLLs nor YLDs were age-weighted or discounted. Uncertainty around cause-specific DALYs was calculated incorporating uncertainty in levels of all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, prevalence, and disability weights. FINDINGS: Global DALYs remained stable from 1990 (2.503 billion) to 2010 (2.490 billion). Crude DALYs per 1000 decreased by 23% (472 per 1000 to 361 per 1000). An important shift has occurred in DALY composition with the contribution of deaths and disability among children (younger than 5 years of age) declining from 41% of global DALYs in 1990 to 25% in 2010. YLLs typically account for about half of disease burden in more developed regions (high-income Asia Pacific, western Europe, high-income North America, and Australasia), rising to over 80% of DALYs in sub-Saharan Africa. In 1990, 47% of DALYs worldwide were from communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional disorders, 43% from non-communicable diseases, and 10% from injuries. By 2010, this had shifted to 35%, 54%, and 11%, respectively. Ischaemic heart disease was the leading cause of DALYs worldwide in 2010 (up from fourth rank in 1990, increasing by 29%), followed by lower respiratory infections (top rank in 1990; 44% decline in DALYs), stroke (fifth in 1990; 19% increase), diarrhoeal diseases (second in 1990; 51% decrease), and HIV/AIDS (33rd in 1990; 351% increase). Major depressive disorder increased from 15th to 11th rank (37% increase) and road injury from 12th to 10th rank (34% increase). Substantial heterogeneity exists in rankings of leading causes of disease burden among regions. INTERPRETATION: Global disease burden has continued to shift away from communicable to non-communicable diseases and from premature death to years lived with disability. In sub-Saharan Africa, however, many communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional disorders remain the dominant causes of disease burden. The rising burden from mental and behavioural disorders, musculoskeletal disorders, and diabetes will impose new challenges on health systems. Regional heterogeneity highlights the importance of understanding local burden of disease and setting goals and targets for the post-2015 agenda taking such patterns into account. Because of improved definitions, methods, and data, these results for 1990 and 2010 supersede all previously published Global Burden of Disease results. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
Varenicline for smoking cessation: nausea severity and variation in nicotinic receptor genes.
Swan GE , Javitz HS , Jack LM , Wessel J , Michel M , Hinds DA , Stokowksi RP , McClure JB , Catz SL , Richards J , Zbikowski SM , Deprey M , McAfee T , Conti DV , Bergen AW . Pharmacogenomics J 2012 12 (4) 349-58 This study evaluated association between common and rare sequence variants in 10 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor subunit genes and the severity of nausea 21 days after initiating the standard, Food and Drug Administration-approved varenicline regimen for smoking cessation. A total of 397 participants from a randomized clinical effectiveness trial with complete clinical and DNA resequencing data were included in the analysis (mean age=49.2 years; 68.0% female). Evidence for significant association between common sequence variants in CHRNB2 and nausea severity was obtained after adjusting for age, gender and correlated tests (all P(ACT)<0.05). Individuals with the minor allele of CHRNB2 variants experienced less nausea than did those without the minor allele, consistent with previously reported findings for CHRNB2 and the occurrence of nausea and dizziness as a consequence of first smoking attempt in adolescents, and with the known neurophysiology of nausea. As nausea is the most common reason for discontinuance of varenicline, further pharmacogenetic investigations are warranted. |
Do health benefits outweigh the costs of mass recreational programs? An economic analysis of four Ciclovia programs
Montes F , Sarmiento OL , Zarama R , Pratt M , Wang G , Jacoby E , Schmid TL , Ramos M , Ruiz O , Vargas O , Michel G , Zieff SG , Valdivia JA , Cavill N , Kahlmeier S . J Urban Health 2012 89 (1) 153-70 One promising public health intervention for promoting physical activity is the Ciclovia program. The Ciclovia is a regular multisectorial community-based program in which streets are temporarily closed for motorized transport, allowing exclusive access to individuals for recreational activities and physical activity. The objective of this study was to conduct an analysis of the cost-benefit ratios of physical activity of the Ciclovia programs of Bogota and Medellin in Colombia, Guadalajara in Mexico, and San Francisco in the USA. The data of the four programs were obtained from program directors and local surveys. The annual cost per capita of the programs was: US $6.0 for Bogota, US $23.4 for Medellin, US $6.5 for Guadalajara, and US $70.5 for San Francisco. The cost-benefit ratio for health benefit from physical activity was 3.23-4.26 for Bogota, 1.83 for Medellin, 1.02-1.23 for Guadalajara, and 2.32 for San Francisco. For the program of Bogota, the cost-benefit ratio was more sensitive to the prevalence of physically active bicyclists; for Guadalajara, the cost-benefit ratio was more sensitive to user costs; and for the programs of Medellin and San Francisco, the cost-benefit ratios were more sensitive to operational costs. From a public health perspective for promoting physical activity, these Ciclovia programs are cost beneficial. |
Evaluating RNAlater(R) as a preservative for using near-infrared spectroscopy to predict Anopheles gambiae age and species
Sikulu M , Dowell KM , Hugo LE , Wirtz RA , Michel K , Peiris KH , Moore S , Killeen GF , Dowell FE . Malar J 2011 10 186 BACKGROUND: Mosquito age and species identification is a crucial determinant of the efficacy of vector control programmes. Near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) has previously been applied successfully to rapidly, non-destructively, and simultaneously determine the age and species of freshly anesthetized African malaria vectors from the Anopheles gambiae s.l. species complex: An. gambiae s. s. and Anopheles arabiensis. However, this has only been achieved on freshly-collected specimens and future applications will require samples to be preserved between field collections and scanning by NIRS. In this study, a sample preservation method (RNAlater(R)) was evaluated for mosquito age and species identification by NIRS against scans of fresh samples. METHODS: Two strains of An. gambiae s.s. (CDC and G3) and two strains of An. arabiensis (Dongola, KGB) were reared in the laboratory while the third strain of An. arabiensis (Ifakara) was reared in a semi-field system. All mosquitoes were scanned when fresh and rescanned after preservation in RNAlater(R) for several weeks. Age and species identification was determined using a cross-validation. RESULTS: The mean accuracy obtained for predicting the age of young (<7 days) or old (≥ 7 days) of all fresh (n = 633) and all preserved (n = 691) mosquito samples using the cross-validation technique was 83% and 90%, respectively. For species identification, accuracies were 82% for fresh against 80% for RNAlater(R) preserved. For both analyses, preserving mosquitoes in RNAlater(R) was associated with a highly significant reduction in the likelihood of a misclassification of mosquitoes as young or old using NIRS. Important to note is that the costs for preserving mosquito specimens with RNAlater(R) ranges from 3-13 cents per insect depending on the size of the tube used and the number of specimens pooled in one tube. CONCLUSION: RNAlater(R) can be used to preserve mosquitoes for subsequent scanning and analysis by NIRS to determine their age and species with minimal costs and with accuracy similar to that achieved from fresh insects. Cold storage availability allows samples to be stored longer than a week after field collection. Further study to develop robust calibrations applicable to other strains from diverse ecological settings is recommended. |
- Page last reviewed:Feb 1, 2024
- Page last updated:Dec 02, 2024
- Content source:
- Powered by CDC PHGKB Infrastructure