Last data update: Sep 30, 2024. (Total: 47785 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 45 Records) |
Query Trace: Mercy JA[original query] |
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Advanced child tax credit payments and national child abuse hotline contacts, 2019-2022
Merrill-Francis M , Chen MS , Dunphy C , Swedo EA , Zhang Kudon H , Metzler M , Mercy JA , Zhang X , Rogers TM , Wu Shortt J . Inj Prev 2024 BACKGROUND: Children in households experiencing poverty are disproportionately exposed to maltreatment. Income support policies have been associated with reductions in child abuse and neglect. The advance child tax credit (CTC) payments may reduce child maltreatment by improving the economic security of some families. No national studies have examined the association between advance CTC payments and child abuse and neglect. This study examines the association between the advance CTC payments and child abuse and neglect-related contacts to the Childhelp National Child Abuse Hotline. METHODS: A time series study of contacts to the Childhelp National Child Abuse Hotline between January 2019 and December 2022 was used to examine the association between the payments and hotline contacts. An interrupted time series (ITS) exploiting the variation in the advance CTC payments was estimated using fixed effects. RESULTS: The CTC advance payments were associated with an immediate 13.8% (95% CI -17.5% to -10.0%) decrease in contacts to the hotline in the ITS model. Following the expiration of the advance CTC payments, there was a significant and gradual 0.1% (95% CI +0.0% to +0.2%) daily increase in contacts. Sensitivity analyses found significant reductions in contacts following each payment, however, the reductions were associated with the last three of the six total payments. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest the advance CTC payments may reduce child abuse and neglect-related hotline contacts and continue to build the evidence base for associations between income-support policies and reductions in child abuse and neglect. |
Economic burden of health conditions associated with adverse childhood experiences among US adults
Peterson C , Aslam MV , Niolon PH , Bacon S , Bellis MA , Mercy JA , Florence C . JAMA Netw Open 2023 6 (12) e2346323 IMPORTANCE: Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are preventable, potentially traumatic events in childhood, such as experiencing abuse or neglect, witnessing violence, or living in a household with substance use disorder, mental health problems, or instability from parental separation or incarceration. Adults who had ACEs have more harmful risk behaviors and worse health outcomes; the economic burden associated with these issues is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the economic burden of ACE-associated health conditions among US adults. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this economic evaluation, regression models of cross-sectional survey data from the 2019-2020 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) and previous studies were used to estimate ACE population-attributable fractions (PAFs) (ie, the fraction of total cases associated with a specific exposure) for selected health outcomes (anxiety, arthritis, asthma, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, depression, diabetes, heart disease, kidney disease, stroke, and violence) and risk factors (heavy drinking, illicit drug use, overweight and obesity, and smoking) among the 2019 US adult population. Adverse childhood experience PAFs were used to calculate the proportion of total condition-specific medical spending and lost healthy life-years related to ACEs using Global Burden of Disease Study data. Data analysis was performed from September 10, 2021, to November 29, 2022. EXPOSURE: Adverse childhood experiences (age <18 years). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Monetary valuation of ACE-associated morbidity and mortality using standard US value of statistical life methods and presented in terms of annual and lifetime per affected person and total population estimates at the national and state levels. RESULTS: A total of 820 673 adults, representing 255 million individuals, participated in the BRFSS in 2019 and 2020. An estimated 160 million of the total 255 million US adult population (63%) had 1 or more ACE, associated with an annual economic burden of $14.1 trillion ($183 billion in direct medical spending and $13.9 trillion in lost healthy life-years). This was $88 000 per affected adult annually and $2.4 million over their lifetimes. The lifetime economic burden per affected adult was lowest in North Dakota ($1.3 million) and highest in Arkansas ($4.3 million). Twenty-two percent of adults had 4 or more ACEs and comprised 58% of the total economic burden-the estimated per person lifetime economic burden for those adults was $4.0 million. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional analysis of the US adult population, the economic burden of ACE-related health conditions was substantial. The findings suggest that measuring the economic burden of ACEs can support decision-making about investing in strategies to improve population health. |
Costs of fatal and nonfatal firearm injuries in the U.S., 2019 and 2020
Miller GF , Barnett SBL , Florence CS , McDavid Harrison K , Dahlberg LL , Mercy JA . Am J Prev Med 2023 INTRODUCTION: Firearm-related injuries are among the five leading causes of death for people aged 1-44 years in the U.S. The immediate and long-term harms of firearm injuries pose an economic burden on society. Fatal and nonfatal firearm injury costs in the U.S. were estimated providing up-to-date economic burden estimates. METHODS: Counts of nonfatal firearm injuries were obtained from the 2019-2020 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project Nationwide Emergency Department Sample. Data on nonfatal injury intent were obtained from the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System - Firearm Injury Surveillance System. Counts of deaths (firearm as underlying cause) were obtained from the 2019-2020 multiple cause-of-death mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System. Analyses were conducted in 2023. RESULTS: The total nonfatal and fatal cost of firearm-related injuries for 2020 was $493.2 billion. Nonfatal firearm injuries and costs increased by 20% from 2019 to 2020. There are significant disparities in the cost of firearm deaths in 2019-2020, with non-Hispanic Black people, males, and young and middle-aged groups being the most affected. CONCLUSIONS: Most of the nonfatal firearm injury-related costs are attributed to hospitalization. These findings highlight the racial/ethnic differences in fatal firearm injuries and the disproportionate cost burden to urban areas. Addressing this important public health problem can help ameliorate the costs to our society from the rising rates of firearm injuries. |
Prevalence of adverse childhood experiences among U.S. Adults - Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 2011-2020
Swedo EA , Aslam MV , Dahlberg LL , Niolon PH , Guinn AS , Simon TR , Mercy JA . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (26) 707-715 Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are defined as preventable, potentially traumatic events that occur among persons aged <18 years and are associated with numerous negative outcomes; data from 25 states indicate that ACEs are common among U.S. adults (1). Disparities in ACEs are often attributable to social and economic environments in which some families live (2,3). Understanding the prevalence of ACEs, stratified by sociodemographic characteristics, is essential to addressing and preventing ACEs and eliminating disparities, but population-level ACEs data collection has been sporadic (1). Using 2011-2020 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) data, CDC provides estimates of ACEs prevalence among U.S. adults in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and by key sociodemographic characteristics. Overall, 63.9% of U.S. adults reported at least one ACE; 17.3% reported four or more ACEs. Experiencing four or more ACEs was most common among females (19.2%), adults aged 25-34 years (25.2%), non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native (AI/AN) adults (32.4%), non-Hispanic multiracial adults (31.5%), adults with less than a high school education (20.5%), and those who were unemployed (25.8%) or unable to work (28.8%). Prevalence of experiencing four or more ACEs varied substantially across jurisdictions, from 11.9% (New Jersey) to 22.7% (Oregon). Patterns in prevalence of individual and total number of ACEs varied by jurisdiction and sociodemographic characteristics, reinforcing the importance of jurisdiction and local collection of ACEs data to guide targeted prevention and decrease inequities. CDC has released prevention resources, including Preventing Adverse Childhood Experiences: Leveraging the Best Available Evidence, to help provide jurisdictions and communities with the best available strategies to prevent violence and other ACEs, including guidance on how to implement those strategies for maximum impact (4-6). |
Violent victimization during childhood in the United States: Associations with revictimization and health
Basile KC , Chen J , Smith SG , Clayton HB , Simon TR , Mercy JA . Violence Vict 2023 38 (3) 375-395 Childhood violence victimization is a serious adverse childhood experience with lasting health impacts. This study examined the prevalence and characteristics of five forms of childhood violence victimization and their association with revictimization and negative health conditions among adults. Data are from the 2010-2012 National Intimate Partner and Sexual Violence Survey. Age at first victimization and perpetrator sex were assessed; adjusted odds ratios assessed associations with revictimization and health. Ages 14-17 were the most common age at first victimization for most violence types; almost half of male (46.7%) and a quarter of female (27.0%) rape victims reported first victimization before age 10. Most victimization was associated with revictimization and negative health, controlling for adult victimization. Primary prevention of childhood violence may reduce later health risks. |
Emergency department visits for firearm injuries before and during the COVID-19 pandemic - United States, January 2019-December 2022
Zwald ML , Van Dyke ME , Chen MS , Radhakrishnan L , Holland KM , Simon TR , Dahlberg LL , Friar NW , Sheppard M , Kite-Powell A , Mercy JA . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (13) 333-337 During the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. firearm homicide rate increased by nearly 35%, and the firearm suicide rate remained high during 2019-2020 (1). Provisional mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System indicate that rates continued to increase in 2021: the rates of firearm homicide and firearm suicide in 2021 were the highest recorded since 1993 and 1990, respectively (2). Firearm injuries treated in emergency departments (EDs), the primary setting for the immediate medical treatment of such injuries, gradually increased during 2018-2019 (3); however, more recent patterns of ED visits for firearm injuries, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic, are unknown. Using data from the National Syndromic Surveillance Program (NSSP),* CDC examined changes in ED visits for initial firearm injury encounters during January 2019-December 2022, by year, patient sex, and age group. Increases in the overall weekly number of firearm injury ED visits were detected at certain periods during the COVID-19 pandemic. One such period during which there was a gradual increase was March 2020, which coincided with both the declaration of COVID-19 as a national emergency(†) and a pronounced decrease in the total number of ED visits. Another increase in firearm injury ED visits occurred in late May 2020, concurrent with a period marked by public outcry related to social injustice and structural racism (4), changes in state-level COVID-19-specific prevention strategies,(§) decreased engagement in COVID-19 mitigation behaviors (5), and reported increases in some types of crime (4). Compared with 2019, the average number of weekly ED visits for firearm injury was 37% higher in 2020, 36% higher in 2021, and 20% higher in 2022. A comprehensive approach is needed to prevent and respond to firearm injuries in communities, including strategies that engage community and street outreach programs, implement hospital-based violence prevention programs, improve community physical environments, enhance secure storage of firearms, and strengthen social and economic supports. |
Development of a machine learning model to estimate US firearm homicides in near real time
Swedo EA , Alic A , Law RK , Sumner SA , Chen MS , Zwald ML , Van Dyke ME , Bowen DA , Mercy JA . JAMA Netw Open 2023 6 (3) e233413 IMPORTANCE: Firearm homicides are a major public health concern; lack of timely mortality data presents considerable challenges to effective response. Near real-time data sources offer potential for more timely estimation of firearm homicides. OBJECTIVE: To estimate near real-time burden of weekly and annual firearm homicides in the US. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this prognostic study, anonymous, longitudinal time series data were obtained from multiple data sources, including Google and YouTube search trends related to firearms (2014-2019), emergency department visits for firearm injuries (National Syndromic Surveillance Program, 2014-2019), emergency medical service activations for firearm-related injuries (biospatial, 2014-2019), and National Domestic Violence Hotline contacts flagged with the keyword firearm (2016-2019). Data analysis was performed from September 2021 to September 2022. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Weekly estimates of US firearm homicides were calculated using a 2-phase pipeline, first fitting optimal machine learning models for each data stream and then combining the best individual models into a stacked ensemble model. Model accuracy was assessed by comparing predictions of firearm homicides in 2019 to actual firearm homicides identified by National Vital Statistics System death certificates. Results were also compared with a SARIMA (seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average) model, a common method to forecast injury mortality. RESULTS: Both individual and ensemble models yielded highly accurate estimates of firearm homicides. Individual models' mean error for weekly estimates of firearm homicides (root mean square error) varied from 24.95 for emergency department visits to 31.29 for SARIMA forecasting. Ensemble models combining data sources had lower weekly mean error and higher annual accuracy than individual data sources: the all-source ensemble model had a weekly root mean square error of 24.46 deaths and full-year accuracy of 99.74%, predicting the total number of firearm homicides in 2019 within 38 deaths for the entire year (compared with 95.48% accuracy and 652 deaths for the SARIMA model). The model decreased the time lag of reporting weekly firearm homicides from 7 to 8 months to approximately 6 weeks. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this prognostic study of diverse secondary data on machine learning, ensemble modeling produced accurate near real-time estimates of weekly and annual firearm homicides and substantially decreased data source time lags. Ensemble model forecasts can accelerate public health practitioners' and policy makers' ability to respond to unanticipated shifts in firearm homicides. |
Notes from the Field: Increases in Firearm Homicide and Suicide Rates - United States, 2020-2021
Simon TR , Kegler SR , Zwald ML , Chen MS , Mercy JA , Jones CM , Mercado-Crespo MC , Blair JM , Stone DM . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (40) 1286-1287 The firearm homicide rate in the United States increased nearly 35% from 2019 to 2020, coinciding with the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic (1). This increase affected all ages and most population groups, but not equally: existing disparities, including racial and ethnic disparities, widened. The firearm suicide rate was higher than the firearm homicide rate in 2020 and remained consistent with recent years overall; however, increases were observed in some groups (1). To assess potential increases from 2020 to 2021, final 2020 and provisional 2021, National Vital Statistics System mortality data and U.S. Census Bureau population estimates were used to examine all-cause homicide and suicide rates; firearm homicide and suicide rates overall and by sex, age,* race and ethnicity; and the percentage of homicides and suicides from firearm injuries.† This activity was reviewed by CDC and was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy.§ |
Vital Signs: Changes in Firearm Homicide and Suicide Rates - United States, 2019-2020.
Kegler SR , Simon TR , Zwald ML , Chen MS , Mercy JA , Jones CM , Mercado-Crespo MC , Blair JM , Stone DM , Ottley PG , Dills J . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (19) 656-663 INTRODUCTION: The majority of homicides (79%) and suicides (53%) in the United States involved a firearm in 2020. High firearm homicide and suicide rates and corresponding inequities by race and ethnicity and poverty level represent important public health concerns. This study examined changes in firearm homicide and firearm suicide rates coinciding with the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. METHODS: National vital statistics and population data were integrated with urbanization and poverty measures at the county level. Population-based firearm homicide and suicide rates were examined by age, sex, race and ethnicity, geographic area, level of urbanization, and level of poverty. RESULTS: From 2019 to 2020, the overall firearm homicide rate increased 34.6%, from 4.6 to 6.1 per 100,000 persons. The largest increases occurred among non-Hispanic Black or African American males aged 10-44 years and non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native (AI/AN) males aged 25-44 years. Rates of firearm homicide were lowest and increased least at the lowest poverty level and were higher and showed larger increases at higher poverty levels. The overall firearm suicide rate remained relatively unchanged from 2019 to 2020 (7.9 to 8.1); however, in some populations, including AI/AN males aged 10-44 years, rates did increase. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE: During the COVID-19 pandemic, the firearm homicide rate in the United States reached its highest level since 1994, with substantial increases among several population subgroups. These increases have widened disparities in rates by race and ethnicity and poverty level. Several increases in firearm suicide rates were also observed. Implementation of comprehensive strategies employing proven approaches that address underlying economic, physical, and social conditions contributing to the risks for violence and suicide is urgently needed to reduce these rates and disparities. |
Centers for disease control and prevention investments in adverse childhood experience prevention efforts
Gervin DW , Holland KM , Ottley PG , Holmes GM , Niolon PH , Mercy JA . Am J Prev Med 2022 62 S1-s5 Lifelong health and well-being are rooted in developmental experiences faced during childhood.1 Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are preventable, potentially traumatic events that occur in childhood (age 017 years) such as witnessing or experiencing violence, experiencing neglect, or having a family member attempt or die by suicide. Exposure to ACEs is linked to negative outcomes later in life, including chronic disease; mental health and substance use problems; and even lower education attainment, fewer job opportunities, and decreased earning potential.1, 2, 3, 4, 5 More than 60% of adults report experiencing 1 ACE during childhood, and nearly 1 in 6 adults report experiencing 4 ACEs.6 Recent research suggests that preventing ACEs could potentially reduce millions of cases of heart disease, depression, and other negative health outcomes.6 Given the prevalence of ACEs, their documented impacts on future health and social outcomes, and the potential impacts of prevention efforts, investments in ACE prevention may help to improve public health across the lifespan. |
Using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Syndromic Surveillance Program data to monitor trends in US emergency department visits for firearm injuries, 2018 to 2019
Zwald ML , Holland KM , Bowen DA , Simon TR , Dahlberg LL , Stein Z , Idaikkadar N , Mercy JA . Ann Emerg Med 2022 79 (5) 465-473 STUDY OBJECTIVE: We describe trends in emergency department (ED) visits for initial firearm injury encounters in the United States. METHODS: Using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Syndromic Surveillance Program, we analyzed monthly and yearly trends in ED visit rates involving a firearm injury (calculated as the number of firearm injury-related ED visits divided by the total number of ED visits for each month and multiplied by 100,000) by sex-specific age group and US region from 2018 to 2019 and conducted Joinpoint regression to detect trend significance. RESULTS: Among approximately 215 million ED visits captured in the National Syndromic Surveillance Program from January 2018 to December 2019, 132,767 involved a firearm injury (61.6 per 100,000 ED visits). Among males, rates of firearm injury-related ED visits significantly increased for all age groups between 15 and 64 years during the study period. Among females, rates of firearm injury-related ED visits significantly increased for all age groups between 15 and 54 years during the study period. By region, rates significantly changed in the northeast, southeast, and southwest for males and females during the study period. CONCLUSION: These analyses highlight a novel data source for monitoring trends in ED visits for firearm injuries. With increased and effective use of state and local syndromic surveillance data, in addition to improvements to firearm injury syndrome definitions by intent, public health professionals could better detect unusual patterns of firearm injuries across the United States for improved prevention and tailored response efforts. |
Firearm Homicides and Suicides in Major Metropolitan Areas - United States, 2015-2016 and 2018-2019
Kegler SR , Stone DM , Mercy JA , Dahlberg LL . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (1) 14-18 Firearm homicides and suicides represent an ongoing public health concern in the United States. During 2018-2019, a total of 28,372 firearm homicides (including 3,612 [13%] among youths and young adults aged 10-19 years [youths]) and 48,372 firearm suicides (including 2,463 [5%] among youths) occurred among U.S. residents (1). This report is the fourth in a series* that provides statistics on firearm homicides and suicides in major metropolitan areas. As with earlier reports, this report provides a special focus on youth violence, including suicide, recognizing the magnitude of the problem and the importance of early prevention efforts. Firearm homicide and suicide rates were calculated for the 50 most populous U.S. metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs)(†) for the periods 2015-2016 and 2018-2019, separated by a transition year (2017), using mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS) and population data from the U.S. Census Bureau. Following a period of decreased firearm homicide rates among persons of all ages after 2006-2007 in large metropolitan areas collectively and nationally, by 2015-2016 rates had returned to levels comparable to those observed a decade earlier and remained nearly unchanged as of 2018-2019. Firearm suicide rates among persons aged ≥10 years have continued to increase in large MSAs collectively as well as nationally. Although the youth firearm suicide rate remained much lower than the overall rate, the youth rate nationally also continued to increase, most notably outside of large MSAs. The findings in this report underscore a continued and urgent need for a comprehensive approach to prevention. This includes efforts to prevent firearm homicide and suicide in the first place and support individual persons and communities at increased risk, as well as lessening harms after firearm homicide and suicide have occurred. |
Changes in prevalence of violence and risk factors for violence and HIV among children and young people in Kenya: a comparison of the 2010 and 2019 Kenya Violence Against Children and Youth Surveys
Annor FB , Chiang LF , Oluoch PR , Mang'oli V , Mogaka M , Mwangi M , Ngunjiri A , Obare F , Achia T , Patel P , Massetti GM , Dahlberg LL , Simon TR , Mercy JA . Lancet Glob Health 2021 10 (1) e124-e133 BACKGROUND: Previous research has shown a high prevalence of violence among young people in Kenya. Violence is a known risk factor for HIV acquisition and these two public health issues could be viewed as a syndemic. In 2010, Kenya became the third country to implement the Violence Against Children and Youth Survey (VACS). The study found a high prevalence of violence in the country. Led by the Government of Kenya, stakeholders implemented several prevention and response strategies to reduce violence. In 2019, Kenya implemented a second VACS. This study examines the changes in violence and risk factors for violence and HIV between 2010 and 2019. METHODS: The 2010 and 2019 VACS used a similar sampling approach and measures. Both VACS were cross-sectional national household surveys of young people aged 13-24 years, designed to produce national estimates of physical, sexual, and emotional violence. Prevalence and changes in lifetime experiences of violence and risk factors for violence and HIV were estimated. The VACS uses a three-stage cluster sampling approach with random selection of enumeration areas as the first stage, households as the second stage, and an eligible participant from the selected household as the third stage. The VACS questionnaire contains sections on demographics, risk and protective factors, violence victimisation, violence perpetration, sexual behaviour, HIV testing and services, violence service knowledge and uptake, and health outcomes. For this study, the main outcome variables were violence victimisation, context of violence, and risk factors for violence. All analyses were done with the entire sample of 13-24-year-olds stratified by sex and survey year. FINDINGS: The prevalence of lifetime sexual, physical, and emotional violence significantly declined in 2019 compared with 2010, including unwanted sexual touching, for both females and males. Experience of pressured and forced sex among females also decreased between the surveys. Additionally, significantly more females sought and received services for sexual violence and significantly more males knew of a place to seek help in 2019 than in 2010. The prevalence of several risk factors for violence and HIV also declined, including infrequent condom use, endorsement of inequitable gender norms, endorsement of norms justifying wife beating, and never testing for HIV. INTERPRETATION: Kenya observed significant declines in the prevalence of lifetime violence and some risk factors for violence and HIV, and improvements in some service seeking indicators between 2010 and 2019. Continued prioritisation of preventing and responding to violence in Kenya could contribute to further reductions in violence and its negative outcomes. Other countries in the region that have made substantial investments and implemented similar violence prevention programmes could use repeat VACS data to monitor violence and related outcomes over time. FUNDING: None. |
COVID-19-Associated Orphanhood and Caregiver Death in the United States
Hillis SD , Blenkinsop A , Villaveces A , Annor FB , Liburd L , Massetti GM , Demissie Z , Mercy JA , Nelson CA3rd , Cluver L , Flaxman S , Sherr L , Donnelly CA , Ratmann O , Unwin HJT . Pediatrics 2021 148 (6) BACKGROUND: Most coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths occur among adults, not children, and attention has focused on mitigating COVID-19 burden among adults. However, a tragic consequence of adult deaths is that high numbers of children might lose their parents and caregivers to COVID-19-associated deaths. METHODS: We quantified COVID-19-associated caregiver loss and orphanhood in the United States and for each state using fertility and excess and COVID-19 mortality data.We assessed burden and rates of COVID-19-associated orphanhood and deaths of custodial and coresiding grandparents, overall and by race and ethnicity. We further examined variations in COVID-19-associated orphanhood by race and ethnicity for each state. RESULTS: We found that fromApril 1, 2020, through June 30, 2021,>140 000 children in the United States experienced the death of a parent or grandparent caregiver. The risk of such losswas 1.1 to 4.5 times higher among children of racial and ethnicminority groups compared with non-Hispanic White children. The highest burden of COVID-19-associated death of parents and caregivers occurred in Southern border states for Hispanic children, in Southeastern states for Black children, and in stateswith tribal areas for American Indian and/or Alaska Native populations. CONCLUSIONS: We found substantial disparities in distributions of COVID-19-associated death of parents and caregivers across racial and ethnic groups. Children losing caregivers to COVID-19 need care and safe, stable, and nurturing families with economic support, quality child care, and evidence-based parenting support programs. There is an urgent need tomount an evidence-based comprehensive response focused on those children at greatest risk in the statesmost affected. © 2021 American Academy of Pediatrics. All rights reserved. |
Vital Signs: Estimated proportion of adult health problems attributable to adverse childhood experiences and implications for prevention - 25 states, 2015-2017
Merrick MT , Ford DC , Ports KA , Guinn AS , Chen J , Klevens J , Metzler M , Jones CM , Simon TR , Daniel VM , Ottley P , Mercy JA . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2019 68 (44) 999-1005 INTRODUCTION: Adverse childhood experiences, such as violence victimization, substance misuse in the household, or witnessing intimate partner violence, have been linked to leading causes of adult morbidity and mortality. Therefore, reducing adverse childhood experiences is critical to avoiding multiple negative health and socioeconomic outcomes in adulthood. METHODS: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data were collected from 25 states that included state-added adverse childhood experience items during 2015-2017. Outcomes were self-reported status for coronary heart disease, stroke, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cancer (excluding skin cancer), kidney disease, diabetes, depression, overweight or obesity, current smoking, heavy drinking, less than high school completion, unemployment, and lack of health insurance. Logistic regression modeling adjusting for age group, race/ethnicity, and sex was used to calculate population attributable fractions representing the potential reduction in outcomes associated with preventing adverse childhood experiences. RESULTS: Nearly one in six adults in the study population (15.6%) reported four or more types of adverse childhood experiences. Adverse childhood experiences were significantly associated with poorer health outcomes, health risk behaviors, and socioeconomic challenges. Potential percentage reductions in the number of observed cases as indicated by population attributable fractions ranged from 1.7% for overweight or obesity to 23.9% for heavy drinking, 27.0% for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and 44.1% for depression. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE: Efforts that prevent adverse childhood experiences could also potentially prevent adult chronic conditions, depression, health risk behaviors, and negative socioeconomic outcomes. States can use comprehensive public health approaches derived from the best available evidence to prevent childhood adversity before it begins. By creating the conditions for healthy communities and focusing on primary prevention, it is possible to reduce risk for adverse childhood experiences while also mitigating consequences for those already affected by these experiences. |
Workplace interventions for intimate partner violence: A systematic review
Adhia A , Gelaye B , Friedman LE , Marlow LY , Mercy JA , Williams MA . J Workplace Behav Health 2019 34 (3) 149-166 Workplace interventions represent important opportunities to increase awareness of and adherence to disease prevention and health promotion initiatives. However, research on workplace interventions for intimate partner violence (IPV) has not been systematically evaluated. This systematic review summarizes existing studies evaluating workplace interventions for IPV. PubMed, PsycINFO, Business Source Complete, Web of Science, and Social Services Abstracts were systematically searched for English-language studies published before November 2017. Six studies evaluating five interventions were included. Only one study used a randomized design, and only two studies measured whether outcomes were sustained over time. None of the interventions addressed perpetrators of IPV. Interventions focused on recognizing signs of abuse, responding to victims, and providing referrals to community-based resources. Methodological rigor of included studies varied, but all reported at least one intervention-related benefit. Findings included improved awareness of IPV, increased provision of information to victims, and greater willingness to intervene if an employee may be experiencing IPV. Although sparse, available evidence suggests there are potential benefits of workplace interventions for IPV. It is important for future interventions to focus on primary and secondary prevention of IPV and address perpetration, and for investigators to use rigorous study designs and measure whether effects are sustained. |
Firearm homicides and suicides in major metropolitan areas - United States, 2012-2013 and 2015-2016
Kegler SR , Dahlberg LL , Mercy JA . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2018 67 (44) 1233-1237 Firearm homicides and suicides represent a continuing public health concern in the United States. During 2015-2016, a total of 27,394 firearm homicides (including 3,224 [12%] among persons aged 10-19 years) and 44,955 firearm suicides (including 2,118 [5%] among persons aged 10-19 years) occurred among U.S. residents (1). This report updates an earlier report (2) that provided statistics on firearm homicides and suicides in major metropolitan areas during 2006-2007 and 2009-2010, and places continued emphasis on youths, in recognition of the importance of early prevention efforts. Firearm homicide and suicide rates were determined for the 50 most populous U.S. metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs)* during 2012-2013 and 2015-2016 using mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS) and population data from the U.S. Census Bureau. In contrast to the earlier report, which indicated that firearm homicide rates among persons of all ages had been declining both nationally and in large MSAs overall, current findings show that rates have returned to levels comparable to those observed during 2006-2007. Consistent with the earlier report, these findings show that firearm suicide rates among persons aged >/=10 years have continued to increase, both nationally and in large MSAs overall. Although firearm suicide rates among youths remain notably lower than those among persons of all ages, youth rates have also increased both nationally and in large MSAs collectively. These findings can inform ongoing development and monitoring of strategies directed at reducing firearm-related violence. |
The economic burden of child sexual abuse in the United States
Letourneau EJ , Brown DS , Fang X , Hassan A , Mercy JA . Child Abuse Negl 2018 79 413-422 The present study provides an estimate of the U.S. economic impact of child sexual abuse (CSA). Costs of CSA were measured from the societal perspective and include health care costs, productivity losses, child welfare costs, violence/crime costs, special education costs, and suicide death costs. We separately estimated quality-adjusted life year (QALY) losses. For each category, we used the best available secondary data to develop cost per case estimates. All costs were estimated in U.S. dollars and adjusted to the reference year 2015. Estimating 20 new cases of fatal and 40,387 new substantiated cases of nonfatal CSA that occurred in 2015, the lifetime economic burden of CSA is approximately $9.3 billion, the lifetime cost for victims of fatal CSA per female and male victim is on average $1,128,334 and $1,482,933, respectively, and the average lifetime cost for victims of nonfatal CSA is of $282,734 per female victim. For male victims of nonfatal CSA, there was insufficient information on productivity losses, contributing to a lower average estimated lifetime cost of $74,691 per male victim. If we included QALYs, these costs would increase by approximately $40,000 per victim. With the exception of male productivity losses, all estimates were based on robust, replicable incidence-based costing methods. The availability of accurate, up-to-date estimates should contribute to policy analysis, facilitate comparisons with other public health problems, and support future economic evaluations of CSA-specific policy and practice. In particular, we hope the availability of credible and contemporary estimates will support increased attention to primary prevention of CSA. |
Sentinel events preceding youth firearm violence: An investigation of administrative data in Delaware
Sumner SA , Maenner MJ , Socias CM , Mercy JA , Silverman P , Medinilla SP , Martin SS , Xu L , Hillis SD . Am J Prev Med 2016 51 (5) 647-655 INTRODUCTION: Accurately identifying youth at highest risk of firearm violence involvement could permit delivery of focused, comprehensive prevention services. This study explored whether readily available city and state administrative data covering life events before youth firearm violence could elucidate patterns preceding such violence. METHODS: Four hundred twenty-one individuals arrested for homicide, attempted homicide, aggravated assault, or robbery with a firearm committed in Wilmington, Delaware, from January 1, 2009 to May 21, 2014, were matched 1:3 to 1,259 Wilmington resident controls on birth year and sex. In 2015, descriptive statistics and a conditional logistic regression model using Delaware healthcare, child welfare, juvenile services, labor, and education administrative data examined associations between preceding life events and subsequent firearm violence. RESULTS: In a multivariable adjusted model, experiencing a prior gunshot wound injury (AOR=11.4, 95% CI=2.7, 48.1) and being subject to community probation (AOR=13.2, 95% CI=5.7, 30.3) were associated with the highest risk of subsequent firearm violence perpetration, though multiple other sentinel events were informative. The mean number of sentinel events experienced by youth committing firearm violence was 13.0 versus 1.9 among controls (p<0.0001). Within the sample, 84.1% of youth experiencing a sentinel event in all five studied domains ultimately committed firearm violence. CONCLUSIONS: Youth who commit firearm violence have preceding patterns of life events that markedly differ from youth not involved in firearm violence. This information is readily available from administrative data, demonstrating the potential of data sharing across city and state institutions to focus prevention strategies on those at greatest risk. |
The National Violent Death Reporting System: Past, present, and future
Crosby AE , Mercy JA , Houry D . Am J Prev Med 2016 51 S169-s172 Each and every day in the U.S., more than 160 people die as a result of violence due to homicides and suicides.1 These violent deaths constitute an urgent public health problem. Homicide and suicide, taken together, were the fourth leading cause of years of potential life lost in the U.S. in 2014.2 Each year, more than 55,000 people die in the U.S. as a result of violence-related injuries.3 In 2014, suicide was the tenth leading cause of death, claiming more than 42,000 lives1 and resulting in an economic cost estimated to be $53.2 billion, largely associated with lost work productivity.4,5 From 2005 to 2014, the national suicide rate rose for 9 straight years from 10.9 per 100,000 in 2005 to 13.0 per 100,000 in 2014, an increase of more than 18%,6 and now ranks as the second leading cause of death among adolescents and young adults.7,8 Homicide rates in the U.S. have declined over the long term, but are still a major problem resulting in an economic cost estimated at $26.4 billion.2,5 Among high-income nations, the U.S. historically has the highest homicide rate.9 Homicides disproportionately affect boys and men, adolescents and young adults, and certain racial/ethnic groups, such as non-Hispanic blacks, non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Natives, and Hispanics.10 These groups have not experienced the same level of decline and, in some cases, rates have increased.11 Homicide is the third leading cause of death for 10- to 24-year-olds in the U.S. and the leading cause of death for male and female African Americans aged 10–34 years.1 Suicide and homicide are preventable, but to address this problem as efficiently and effectively as possible, practitioners need data that are both timely and provide information that is useful in guiding preventive actions. |
Childhood sexual violence against boys: a study in 3 countries
Sumner SA , Mercy JA , Buluma R , Mwangi MW , Marcelin LH , Kheam T , Lea V , Brookmeyer K , Kress H , Hillis SD . Pediatrics 2016 137 (5) BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Globally, little evidence exists on sexual violence against boys. We sought to produce the first internationally comparable estimates of the magnitude, characteristics, risk factors, and consequences of sexual violence against boys in 3 diverse countries. METHODS: We conducted nationally representative, multistage cluster Violence Against Children Surveys in Haiti, Kenya, and Cambodia among males aged 13 to 24 years. Differences between countries for boys experiencing sexual violence (including sexual touching, attempted sex, and forced/coerced sex) before age 18 years were examined by using chi(2) and logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: In Haiti, Kenya, and Cambodia, respectively, 1459, 1456, and 1255 males completed surveys. The prevalence of experiencing any form of sexual violence ranged from 23.1% (95% confidence Interval [CI]: 20.0-26.2) in Haiti to 14.8% (95% CI: 12.0-17.7) in Kenya, and 5.6% (95% CI: 4.0-7.2) in Cambodia. The largest share of perpetrators in Haiti, Kenya, and Cambodia, respectively, were friends/neighbors (64.7%), romantic partners (37.2%), and relatives (37.0%). Most episodes occurred inside perpetrators' or victims' homes in Haiti (60.4%), contrasted with outside the home in Kenya (65.3%) and Cambodia (52.1%). The most common time period for violence in Haiti, Kenya, and Cambodia was the afternoon (55.0%), evening (41.3%), and morning (38.2%), respectively. Adverse health effects associated with violence were common, including increased odds of transactional sex, alcohol abuse, sexually transmitted infections, anxiety/depression, suicidal ideation/attempts, and violent gender attitudes. CONCLUSIONS: Differences were noted between countries in the prevalence, characteristics, and risk factors of sexual violence, yet associations with adverse health effects were pervasive. Prevention strategies tailored to individual locales are needed. |
Global Violence Prevention: The Time Is Now
Mercy JA . Am J Prev Med 2016 50 (5) 660-2 This issue of American Journal of Preventive Medicine includes an important paper describing the findings of the WHO’s “Global Status Report on Violence Prevention 2014.”1 This is a timely, seminal report that addresses, for the first time, a critical gap in the information needed to monitor and support the prevention of interpersonal violence worldwide: that is, country-level information on efforts to respond to and prevent interpersonal violence. This report is notable for several reasons. | First, the prevention of interpersonal violence is an urgent global public health challenge. Its effects reverberate across families, communities, nations, and generations. Interpersonal violence must be addressed, as homicide is a leading cause of death among adolescents and young adults in most parts of the world. In 2010, homicide was the leading cause of years of life lost in tropical and central Latin America, the fourth-leading cause in southern Sub-Saharan Africa, and the eighth-leading cause in the Caribbean and Eastern Europe.2 This need is also reflected by the pervasive, enduring consequences of exposure to nonfatal violence, especially among children, adolescents, and young adults. Exposure to interpersonal violence increases the risk of injury, infectious diseases such as HIV, mental illnesses, reproductive health problems, and non-communicable diseases such as diabetes, cancer, and heart disease.3 Interpersonal violence directly affects healthcare expenditures worldwide; indirectly, it affects national and local economies—stunting development, increasing inequality, and eroding human capital.4 The costs of interpersonal violence are enormous, and information on countries’ violence prevention efforts will be critical in reducing them. | Second, this report is timely relative to other global developments. The necessity of addressing violence is slowly being recognized, as evidenced in the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) released in September 2015.5 The SDGs are the follow-on to the Millennium Development Goals and are an intergovernmental consensus set of targets relating to international development effective in 2016 and extending until 2030. |
The Center for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) Youth Violence Prevention Centers: paving the way to prevention
Mercy JA , Vivolo-Kantor AM . J Prim Prev 2016 37 (2) 209-14 When you think about violence in the United States in recent years, it is clear that we have been transfixed by a seemingly unending series of tragedies associated with mass shootings. While those events deserve our utmost attention, what has been largely ignored is the fact that we lose an average of 12 youth 10–24 years of age to homicide each day in this country [Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 2014]. In effect, every day in the United States we lose more young people to “unrelated” homicides than occur in a typical mass shooting. The health burden of these “unrelated” homicides and associated nonfatal violence dwarfs that of the mass shootings of which we, as a society, have been so acutely aware. All the while, in the dark, the broader and much larger problem of youth violence continues, largely unacknowledged and unaddressed. However, despite the relative obscurity this issue has faced, great progress is being made in understanding how communities can work together to prevent it. |
The enduring impact of violence against children
Hillis SD , Mercy JA , Saul JR . Psychol Health Med 2016 22 (4) 1-13 More than one billion children - half of all children in the world - are exposed to violence every year. The violence children are exposed to includes both direct experiences of physical, sexual, and emotional abuse, as well as indirectly witnessing violence in their homes, schools, and communities. What these various forms of violence share, based on a review of the literature, is their enduring potential for life-long consequences. These consequences include increases in the risks of injury, HIV, sexually transmitted infections, mental health problems, reproductive health problems, and non-communicable diseases, including cardiovascular disease, cancer, chronic lung disease, and diabetes. Studies addressing biologic underpinnings of such consequences demonstrate that violence-associated toxic stress may cause damage to the nervous, endocrine, circulatory, musculo-skeletal, reproductive, respiratory, and immune systems. Furthermore, rigorous economic evaluations suggest that costs associated with the consequences of violence against children exceed $120 billion in the U.S. and account for up to 3.5% of the GDP in sub-regions of East Asia. The expanding literature confirming the mechanisms of consequences and the associated costs of violence against children has been accompanied by growing evidence on effective approaches to prevention. Moreover, the expanding evidence on prevention has been accompanied by a growing determination on the part of global leaders to accelerate action. Thus, as part of the Post-2015 Sustainable Development agenda, the UN has issued a call-to-action: to eliminate violence against children. This unprecedented UN call may foster new investments, to fuel new progress for protecting children around the world from violence and its preventable consequences. |
Sexual violence against female and male children in the United Republic of Tanzania
Vagi KJ , Brookmeyer KA , Gladden RM , Chiang LF , Brooks A , Nyunt MZ , Kwesigabo G , Mercy JA , Dahlberg LL . Violence Against Women 2016 22 (14) 1788-1807 During a household survey in Tanzania, a nationally representative sample of females and males aged 13-24 years reported any experiences of sexual violence that occurred before the age of 18 years. The authors explore the prevalence, circumstances, and health outcomes associated with childhood sexual violence. The results suggest that violence against children in Tanzania is pervasive, with roughly three in 10 females and one in eight males experiencing some form of childhood sexual violence, and its health consequences are severe. Results are being used by the Tanzanian government to implement a National Plan of Action. |
Prevalence of physical violence against children in Haiti: a national population-based cross-sectional survey
Flynn-O'Brien KT , Rivara FP , Weiss NS , Lea VA , Marcelin LH , Vertefeuille J , Mercy JA . Child Abuse Negl 2015 51 154-62 Although physical violence against children is common worldwide, there are no national estimates in Haiti. To establish baseline national estimates, a three-stage clustered sampling design was utilized to administer a population-based household survey about victimization due to physical violence to 13-24 year old Haitians (n=2,916), including those residing in camps or settlements. Descriptive statistics and weighted analysis techniques were used to estimate national lifetime prevalence and characteristics of physical violence against children. About two-thirds of respondents reported having experienced physical violence during childhood (67.0%; 95% CI 63.4-70.4), the percentage being similar in males and females. More than one-third of 13-17 year old respondents were victimized in the 12 months prior to survey administration (37.8%; 95% CI 33.6-42.1). The majority of violence was committed by parents and teachers; and the perceived intent was often punishment or discipline. While virtually all (98.8%; 95% CI 98.0-99.3) victims of childhood physical violence were punched, kicked, whipped or beaten; 11.0% (95% CI 9.2-13.2) were subject to abuse by a knife or other weapon. Injuries sustained from violence varied by victim gender and perpetrator, with twice as many females (9.6%; 95% CI 7.1-12.7) than males (4.0%; 95% CI 2.6-6.1) sustaining permanent injury or disfigurement by a family member or caregiver (p-value<.001). Our findings suggest that physical violence against children in Haiti is common, and may lead to severe injury. Characterization of the frequency and nature of this violence provides baseline estimates to inform interventions. |
HIV and childhood sexual violence: implications for sexual risk behaviors and HIV testing in Tanzania
Chiang LF , Chen J , Gladden MR , Mercy JA , Kwesigabo G , Mrisho F , Dahlberg LL , Vagi K , Brookmeyer KA . AIDS Educ Prev 2015 27 (5) 474-87 Prior research has established an association between sexual violence and HIV. Exposure to sexual violence during childhood can profoundly impact brain architecture and stress regulatory response. As a result, individuals who have experienced such trauma may engage in sexual risk-taking behavior and could benefit from targeted interventions. In 2009, nationally representative data were collected on violence against children in Tanzania from 13-24 year old respondents (n = 3,739). Analyses show that females aged 19-24 (n = 579) who experienced childhood sexual violence, were more likely to report no/infrequent condom use in the past 12 months (AOR = 3.0, CI [1.5, 6.1], p = 0.0017) and multiple sex partners in the past 12 months (AOR = 2.3, CI [1.0, 5.1], p = 0.0491), but no more likely to know where to get HIV testing or to have ever been tested. Victims of childhood sexual violence could benefit from targeted interventions to mitigate impacts of violence and prevent HIV. |
Adolescent dating violence in context
Mercy JA , Teten Tharp A . Am J Prev Med 2015 49 (3) 441-4 The quality of our relationships lies at the heart of our health and well-being. The relationships we have with our romantic partners, our children, other family members, friends, coworkers, and even casual acquaintances shape our lives in profound ways. Romantic relationships are perhaps among the most central in shaping the contour of our lives. Violence, of course, severely undermines and, in many cases, can destroy these relationships that are so important to our health and well-being. Understanding and preventing adolescent dating violence (ADV) is critical because it represents the first outward manifestation of violence in the context of romantic relationships that a girl or boy directly experiences. As such, what we do as a society to address ADV sets the stage for the extent to which violence continues to be a part of teen romantic relationships as well as for future population levels of intimate partner violence Figure 1. |
Sentinel events predicting later unwanted sex among girls: a national survey in Haiti, 2012
Sumner SA , Marcelin LH , Cela T , Mercy JA , Lea V , Kress H , Hillis SD . Child Abuse Negl 2015 50 49-55 Sexual violence against children is a significant global public health problem, yet limited studies exist from low-resource settings. In Haiti we conducted the country's first, nationally representative survey focused on childhood violence to help inform the development of a national action plan for violence against children. The Haiti Violence Against Children Survey was a household-level, multistage, cluster survey among youth age 13-24. In this analysis we sought to determine whether sexual violence sentinel events (unwanted sexual touching or unwanted attempted sex) were predictive of later unwanted, completed, penetrative sex in Haiti. We also sought to explore characteristics of sentinel events and help-seeking behavior among Haitian children. Multivariable logistic regression was used to test associations between sentinel events and later unwanted, completed, penetrative sex. Overall, 1,457 females reported on experiences of sexual violence occurring in childhood (before age 18). A sentinel event occurred in 40.4% of females who experienced subsequent unwanted completed sex. Females experiencing a sentinel event were approximately two and a half times more likely to experience later unwanted completed sex (adjusted odds ratio=2.40, p=.004) compared to individuals who did not experience a sentinel event. The mean lag time from first sentinel event to first unwanted completed sex was 2.3 years. Only half (54.6%) of children experiencing a sentinel event told someone about their experience of sexual violence. Among children, sentinel events occur frequently before later acts of completed unwanted sex and may represent a useful point of intervention. Reporting of sexual violence by children in Haiti is low and can be improved to better act on sentinel events. |
DELTA PREP: building capacity to meet the public health urgency of intimate partner violence
Mercy JA , Freire KE . Health Educ Behav 2015 42 (4) 433-5 We are social animals, and the quality of our relationships with each other lies at the heart of our health and well-being. The relationships we have with our spouses and domestic partners are perhaps among the most central in shaping our lives. Violence with our partners, of course, severely undermines and, in many cases, can destroy these relationships so important to our health and well-being. Unfortunately, intimate partner violence (IPV) is all too common. In 2011, over 1 in 5 women and 1 in 7 of men had experienced severe physical violence by an intimate partner sometime in their lifetime (Breiding et al., 2014). In addition, almost 1 in 10 women and 1 in 200 men had been raped by an intimate partner in their lifetime. These statistics, however, only tell part of the problem. The women, men, and children exposed to IPV are vulnerable to a broad range of public health problems and risk behaviors including, for example, depression, anxiety, posttraumatic stress disorder, sexually transmitted infections (including HIV), chronic pain, gastrointestinal disorders, cardiovascular disease, stroke, smoking, binge drinking, and HIV risk factors (Breiding, Black, & Ryan, 2008). Because of its prevalence and many health impacts, IPV must be considered an urgent public health problem deserving the same level of attention and investment we give to problems of similar magnitude and impact. | Given the urgency of addressing IPV and an associated increase in the demand for evidence-based IPV prevention innovations, building an infrastructure that can more effectively move innovations from research to action is increasingly important. This infrastructure requires attention to the capacity of state and local organizations to be successful in scaling up effective programs with fidelity (Flaspohler, Meehan, Maras, & Keller, 2012; Wandersman et al., 2008). It also requires a reach beyond traditional health agencies to partners with deep experience and expertise in IPV and social action. The four articles in this focus section describe the DELTA PREP Project, an initiative to build infrastructure to support IPV prevention and accelerate prevention efforts within 19 states through state domestic violence coalitions. The project (2008-2012) was initiated through a partnership between the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) Division of Violence Prevention, state domestic violence coalitions, the CDC Foundation, and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, which provided funding for the project. |
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