Last data update: Jul 08, 2025. (Total: 49524 publications since 2009)
Records 1-19 (of 19 Records) |
Query Trace: Mellis AM[original query] |
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Neutralizing antibody response to influenza A(H5N1) virus in dairy farm workers, Michigan, USA
Levine MZ , Liu F , Bagdasarian N , Holiday C , Jefferson S , Li ZN , Pappas C , Tumpey T , Uyeki TM , Mellis AM , Kniss K , Coyle J , Eckel S , Kuo J , Weinberg M , Lyon-Callo S , Mikesell L , Stoddard B , Morse J . Emerg Infect Dis 2025 31 (4) ![]() ![]() Since March 2024, highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) viruses have caused outbreaks in dairy cattle and poultry in the United States, and they continue to spill over into humans. However, data on human immune response to those viruses is limited. We report neutralizing antibody responses in 2 dairy farm worker H5N1 cases. |
Ongoing symptoms after acute SARS-CoV-2 or influenza infection in a case-ascertained household transmission study: 7 US Sites, 2021-2023
Bullock A , Dalton AF , Stockwell MS , McLaren SH , Sano E , Nguyen HQ , Rao S , Asturias E , Lutrick K , Ellingson KD , Maldonado Y , Mellis AM , Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Grijalva CG , Talbot HK , Rolfes MAR , Biddle JE , Zhu Y , Ledezma K , Pryor K , Valdez de Romero A , Vargas C , Petrie JG , Floris-Moore M , Bowman N . Clin Infect Dis 2025 ![]() ![]() BACKGROUND: The prevalence and risk factors for ongoing symptoms following severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) [SCV2]) or influenza infection are not well characterized. We conducted a prospective cohort study of households wherein ≥1 individual was infected with SCV2 or influenza to evaluate prevalence of and factors associated with ongoing symptoms at 90 days. METHODS: Index cases and their household contacts provided baseline health and sociodemographic information and collected daily respiratory specimens for 10 days following enrollment. Participants completed a follow-up survey 90 days after enrollment to characterize ongoing symptoms. RESULTS: We analyzed 1967 participants enrolled between December 2021 and May 2023. The risk of ongoing symptoms did not differ by infection status in SCV2 (SCV2-positive: 15.6%; SCV2-negative: 13.9%; odds ratio [OR]: 1.14; 95% CI: .7-1.69) or influenza (influenza-positive: 8.8%; influenza-negative: 10.0%; OR: .87; 95% CI: .45-1.72) households. However, among study participants with a documented infection, SCV2-positive participants had nearly twice the odds of ongoing symptoms as influenza-positive participants (OR: 1.92; 95% CI: 1.27-2.97). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that SCV2 households have a significantly higher prevalence of ongoing symptoms compared with influenza households (OR: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.28-2.47). Among participants with SCV2 infection, underlying conditions (adjusted OR [aOR]: 2.65; 95% CI: 1.80-3.90) and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-like symptoms (aOR: 2.92; 95% CI: 1.15-7.43) during acute infection increased odds of ongoing symptoms at 90 days, whereas hybrid immunity reduced the odds of ongoing symptoms (aOR: 0.44; 95% CI: .22-.90). |
Notes from the field: Seroprevalence of highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5) virus infections among bovine veterinary practitioners - United States, September 2024
Leonard J , Harker EJ , Szablewski CM , Margrey SF , Gingrich KF 2nd , Crossley K , Fletcher E , McCreavy CJ , Weis-Torres S , Wang D , Noble EK , Levine MZ , Pagano HP , Holiday C , Liu F , Jefferson S , Li ZN , Gross FL , Reed C , Ellington S , Mellis AM , Olson SM . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2025 74 (4) 50-52 ![]() ![]() |
Estimating the generation time for influenza transmission using household data in the United States
Chan LYH , Morris SE , Stockwell MS , Bowman NM , Asturias E , Rao S , Lutrick K , Ellingson KD , Nguyen HQ , Maldonado Y , McLaren SH , Sano E , Biddle JE , Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Biggerstaff M , Rolfes MA , Talbot HK , Grijalva CG , Borchering RK , Mellis AM . Epidemics 2025 50 100815 ![]() ![]() The generation time, representing the interval between infections in primary and secondary cases, is essential for understanding and predicting the transmission dynamics of seasonal influenza, including the real-time effective reproduction number (Rt). However, comprehensive generation time estimates for seasonal influenza, especially since the 2009 influenza pandemic, are lacking. We estimated the generation time utilizing data from a 7-site case-ascertained household study in the United States over two influenza seasons, 2021/2022 and 2022/2023. More than 200 individuals who tested positive for influenza and their household contacts were enrolled within 7 days of the first illness in the household. All participants were prospectively followed for 10 days, completing daily symptom diaries and collecting nasal swabs, which were then tested for influenza via RT-PCR. We analyzed these data by modifying a previously published Bayesian data augmentation approach that imputes infection times of cases to obtain both intrinsic (assuming no susceptible depletion) and realized (observed within household) generation times. We assessed the robustness of the generation time estimate by varying the incubation period, and generated estimates of the proportion of transmission occurring before symptomatic onset, the infectious period, and the latent period. We estimated a mean intrinsic generation time of 3.2 (95 % credible interval, CrI: 2.9-3.6) days, with a realized household generation time of 2.8 (95 % CrI: 2.7-3.0) days. The generation time exhibited limited sensitivity to incubation period variation. Estimates of the proportion of transmission that occurred before symptom onset, the infectious period, and the latent period were sensitive to variations in the incubation period. Our study contributes to the ongoing efforts to refine estimates of the generation time for influenza. Our estimates, derived from recent data following the COVID-19 pandemic, are consistent with previous pre-pandemic estimates, and will be incorporated into real-time Rt estimation efforts. |
Highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) virus infections in humans
Garg S , Reinhart K , Couture A , Kniss K , Davis CT , Kirby MK , Murray EL , Zhu S , Kraushaar V , Wadford DA , Drehoff C , Kohnen A , Owen M , Morse J , Eckel S , Goswitz J , Turabelidze G , Krager S , Unutzer A , Gonzales ER , Abdul Hamid C , Ellington S , Mellis AM , Budd A , Barnes JR , Biggerstaff M , Jhung MA , Richmond-Crum M , Burns E , Shimabukuro TT , Uyeki TM , Dugan VG , Reed C , Olsen SJ . N Engl J Med 2024 BACKGROUND: Highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) viruses have caused widespread infections in dairy cows and poultry in the United States, with sporadic human cases. We describe characteristics of human A(H5N1) cases identified from March through October 2024 in the United States. METHODS: We analyzed data from persons with laboratory-confirmed A(H5N1) virus infection using a standardized case-report form linked to laboratory results from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention influenza A/H5 subtyping kit. RESULTS: Of 46 case patients, 20 were exposed to infected poultry, 25 were exposed to infected or presumably infected dairy cows, and 1 had no identified exposure; that patient was hospitalized with nonrespiratory symptoms, and A(H5N1) virus infection was detected through routine surveillance. Among the 45 case patients with animal exposures, the median age was 34 years, and all had mild A(H5N1) illness; none were hospitalized, and none died. A total of 42 patients (93%) had conjunctivitis, 22 (49%) had fever, and 16 (36%) had respiratory symptoms; 15 (33%) had conjunctivitis only. The median duration of illness among 16 patients with available data was 4 days (range, 1 to 8). Most patients (87%) received oseltamivir; oseltamivir was started a median of 2 days after symptom onset. No additional cases were identified among the 97 household contacts of case patients with animal exposures. The types of personal protective equipment (PPE) that were most commonly used by workers exposed to infected animals were gloves (71%), eye protection (60%), and face masks (47%). CONCLUSIONS: In the cases identified to date, A(H5N1) viruses generally caused mild illness, mostly conjunctivitis, of short duration, predominantly in U.S. adults exposed to infected animals; most patients received prompt antiviral treatment. No evidence of human-to-human A(H5N1) transmission was identified. PPE use among occupationally exposed persons was suboptimal, which suggests that additional strategies are needed to reduce exposure risk. (Funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.). |
Estimated effectiveness of influenza vaccines in preventing secondary infections in households
Grijalva CG , Nguyen HQ , Zhu Y , Mellis AM , McGonigle T , Meece JK , Biddle JE , Halasa NB , Reed C , Fry AM , Yang Y , Belongia EA , Talbot HK , Rolfes MA . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (11) e2446814 ![]() IMPORTANCE: Influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) is commonly assessed against prevention of illness that requires medical attention. Few studies have evaluated VE against secondary influenza infections. OBJECTIVE: To determine the estimated effectiveness of influenza vaccines in preventing secondary infections after influenza was introduced into households. DESIGN, SETTINGS, AND PARTICIPANTS: During 3 consecutive influenza seasons (2017-2020), primary cases (the first household members with laboratory-confirmed influenza) and their household contacts in Tennessee and Wisconsin were enrolled into a prospective case-ascertained household transmission cohort study. Participants collected daily symptom diaries and nasal swabs for up to 7 days. Data were analyzed from September 2022 to February 2024. EXPOSURES: Vaccination history, self-reported and verified through review of medical and registry records. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Specimens were tested using reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction to determine influenza infection. Longitudinal chain binomial models were used to estimate secondary infection risk and the effectiveness of influenza vaccines in preventing infection among household contacts overall and by virus type and subtype and/or lineage. RESULTS: The analysis included 699 primary cases and 1581 household contacts. The median (IQR) age of the primary cases was 13 (7-38) years, 381 (54.5%) were female, 60 (8.6%) were Hispanic, 46 (6.6%) were non-Hispanic Black, 553 (79.1%) were Non-Hispanic White, and 343 (49.1%) were vaccinated. Among household contacts, the median age was 31 (10-41) years, 833 (52.7%) were female, 116 (7.3%) were Hispanic, 78 (4.9%) were non-Hispanic Black, 1283 (81.2%) were non-Hispanic White, 792 (50.1%) were vaccinated, and 356 (22.5%) had laboratory-confirmed influenza during follow-up. The overall secondary infection risk of influenza among household contacts was 18.8% (95% CI, 15.9% to 22.0%). The risk was highest among children and was 20.3% (95% CI, 16.4% to 24.9%) for influenza A and 15.9% (95% CI, 11.8% to 21.0%) for influenza B. The overall estimated VE for preventing secondary infections among unvaccinated household contacts was 21.0% (95% CI, 1.4% to 36.7%) and varied by type; estimated VE against influenza A was 5.0% (95% CI, -22.3% to 26.3%) and 56.4% (95% CI, 30.1% to 72.8%) against influenza B. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: After influenza was introduced into households, the risk of secondary influenza among unvaccinated household contacts was approximately 15% to 20%, and highest among children. Estimated VE varied by influenza type, with demonstrated protection against influenza B virus infection. |
Serologic evidence of recent infection with highly pathogenic avian influenza a(H5) virus among dairy workers - Michigan and Colorado, June-August 2024
Mellis AM , Coyle J , Marshall KE , Frutos AM , Singleton J , Drehoff C , Merced-Morales A , Pagano HP , Alade RO , White EB , Noble EK , Holiday C , Liu F , Jefferson S , Li ZN , Gross FL , Olsen SJ , Dugan VG , Reed C , Ellington S , Montoya S , Kohnen A , Stringer G , Alden N , Blank P , Chia D , Bagdasarian N , Herlihy R , Lyon-Callo S , Levine MZ . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (44) 1004-1009 Since April 2024, sporadic infections with highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) A(H5) viruses have been detected among dairy farm workers in the United States. To date, infections have mostly been detected through worker monitoring, and have been mild despite the possibility of more severe illness. During June-August 2024, CDC collaborated with the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services and the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment to implement cross-sectional serologic surveys to ascertain the prevalence of recent infection with HPAI A(H5) virus among dairy workers. In both states, a convenience sample of persons who work in dairies was interviewed, and blood specimens were collected. Among 115 persons, eight (7%; 95% CI = 3.6%-13.1%) had serologic evidence of recent infection with A(H5) virus; all reported milking cows or cleaning the milking parlor. Among persons with serologic evidence of infection, four recalled being ill around the time cows were ill; symptoms began before or within a few days of A(H5) virus detections among cows. This finding supports the need to identify and implement strategies to prevent transmission among dairy cattle to reduce worker exposures and for education and outreach to dairy workers concerning prevention, symptoms, and where to seek medical care if the workers develop symptoms. Timely identification of infected herds can support rapid initiation of monitoring, testing, and treatment for human illness, including mild illness, among exposed dairy workers. |
Influenza virus shedding and symptoms: Dynamics and implications from a multiseason household transmission study
Morris SE , Nguyen HQ , Grijalva CG , Hanson KE , Zhu Y , Biddle JE , Meece JK , Halasa NB , Chappell JD , Mellis AM , Reed C , Biggerstaff M , Belongia EA , Talbot HK , Rolfes MA . PNAS Nexus 2024 3 (9) pgae338 Isolation of symptomatic infectious persons can reduce influenza transmission. However, virus shedding that occurs without symptoms will be unaffected by such measures. Identifying effective isolation strategies for influenza requires understanding the interplay between individual virus shedding and symptom presentation. From 2017 to 2020, we conducted a case-ascertained household transmission study using influenza real-time RT-qPCR testing of nasal swabs and daily symptom diary reporting for up to 7 days after enrolment (≤14 days after index onset). We assumed real-time RT-qPCR cycle threshold (Ct) values were indicators of quantitative virus shedding and used symptom diaries to create a score that tracked influenza-like illness (ILI) symptoms (fever, cough, or sore throat). We fit phenomenological nonlinear mixed-effects models stratified by age and vaccination status and estimated two quantities influencing isolation effectiveness: shedding before symptom onset and shedding that might occur once isolation ends. We considered different isolation end points (including 24 h after fever resolution or 5 days after symptom onset) and assumptions about the infectiousness of Ct shedding trajectories. Of the 116 household contacts with ≥2 positive tests for longitudinal analyses, 105 (91%) experienced ≥1 ILI symptom. On average, children <5 years experienced greater peak shedding, longer durations of shedding, and elevated ILI symptom scores compared with other age groups. Most individuals (63/105) shed <10% of their total shed virus before symptom onset, and shedding after isolation varied substantially across individuals, isolation end points, and infectiousness assumptions. Our results can inform strategies to reduce transmission from symptomatic individuals infected with influenza. |
Reduced risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection among household contacts with recent vaccination and past COVID-19 infection: Results from two multi-site case-ascertained household transmission studies
Rolfes MA , Talbot HK , Morrissey KG , Stockwell MS , Maldonado Y , McLean HQ , Lutrick K , Bowman NM , Rao S , Izurieta HS , Zhu Y , Chappell J , Battan-Wraith S , Merrill LS , McClaren S , Sano E , Petrie JG , Biddle J , Johnson S , Salvatore P , Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Asturias EJ , Lin JT , Ellingson KD , Belongia EA , Olivo V , Mellis AM , Grijalva CG . Am J Epidemiol 2024 Households are a primary setting for transmission of SARS-CoV-2. We examined the role of prior SARS-CoV-2 immunity on the risk of infection in household close contacts. Households in the United States with an individual who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 during September 2021-May 2023 were enrolled if the index case's illness began ≤6 days prior. Household members had daily self-collected nasal swabs tested by RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2. The effects of prior SARS-CoV-2 immunity (vaccination, prior infection, or hybrid immunity) on SARS-CoV-2 infection risk among household contacts were assessed by robust, clustered multivariable Poisson regression. Of 1,532 contacts (905 households), 8% had immunity from prior infection alone, 51% from vaccination alone, 29% hybrid immunity, and 11% had no prior immunity. Sixty percent of contacts tested SARS-CoV-2-positive during follow-up. The adjusted risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection was lowest among contacts with vaccination and prior infection (aRR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.70, 0.93, compared with contacts with no prior immunity) and was lowest when the last immunizing event occurred ≤6 months before COVID-19 affected the household (aRR: 0.69, 95% CI: 0.57, 0.83). In high-transmission settings like households, immunity from COVID-19 vaccination and prior infection was synergistic in protecting household contacts from SARS-CoV-2 infection. |
Asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic influenza virus infections by season -- Case-ascertained household transmission studies, United States, 2017-2023
Biddle JE , Nguyen HQ , Talbot HK , Rolfes MA , Biggerstaff M , Johnson S , Reed C , Belongia EA , Grijalva CG , Mellis AM . medRxiv 2024 Asymptomatic influenza virus infection occurs but may vary by factors such as age, influenza vaccination status, or influenza season. We examined the frequency of influenza virus infection and associated symptoms using data from two case-ascertained household transmission studies (conducted from 2017-2023) with prospective, systematic collection of respiratory specimens and symptoms. From the 426 influenza virus infected household contacts that met our inclusion criteria, 8% were asymptomatic, 6% had non-respiratory symptoms, 23% had acute respiratory symptoms, and 62% had influenza-like illness symptoms. Understanding the prevalence of asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic influenza cases is important for implementing effective influenza prevention strategies and enhancing the effectiveness of symptom-based surveillance systems. |
Symptoms, viral loads, and rebound among COVID-19 outpatients treated with nirmatrelvir/ritonavir compared to propensity score matched untreated individuals
Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Biddle JE , Talbot HK , Morrissey KG , Stockwell MS , Maldonado Y , McLean HQ , Ellingson KD , Bowman NM , Asturias E , Mellis AM , Johnson S , Kirking HL , Rolfes MAR , Olivo V , Merrill L , Battan-Wraith S , Sano E , McLaren SH , Vargas CY , Goodman S , Sarnquist CC , Govindaranjan P , Petrie JG , Belongia EA , Ledezma K , Pryor K , Lutrick K , Bullock A , Yang A , Haehnel Q , Rao S , Zhu Y , Schmitz J , Hart K , Grijalva CG , Salvatore PP . Clin Infect Dis 2024 78 (5) 1175-1184 ![]() ![]() BACKGROUND: Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (N/R) reduces severe outcomes from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); however, rebound after treatment has been reported. We compared symptom and viral dynamics in individuals with COVID-19 who completed N/R treatment and similar untreated individuals. METHODS: We identified symptomatic participants who tested severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2-positive and were N/R eligible from a COVID-19 household transmission study. Index cases from ambulatory settings and their households contacts were enrolled. We collected daily symptoms, medication use, and respiratory specimens for quantitative polymerase chain reaction for 10 days during March 2022-May 2023. Participants who completed N/R treatment (treated) were propensity score matched to untreated participants. We compared symptom rebound, viral load (VL) rebound, average daily symptoms, and average daily VL by treatment status measured after N/R treatment completion or 7 days after symptom onset if untreated. RESULTS: Treated (n = 130) and untreated participants (n = 241) had similar baseline characteristics. After treatment completion, treated participants had greater occurrence of symptom rebound (32% vs 20%; P = .009) and VL rebound (27% vs 7%; P < .001). Average daily symptoms were lower among treated participants without symptom rebound (1.0 vs 1.6; P < .01) but not statistically lower with symptom rebound (3.0 vs 3.4; P = .5). Treated participants had lower average daily VLs without VL rebound (0.9 vs 2.6; P < .01) but not statistically lower with VL rebound (4.8 vs 5.1; P = .7). CONCLUSIONS: Individuals who completed N/R treatment experienced fewer symptoms and lower VL but rebound occured more often compared with untreated individuals. Providers should prescribe N/R, when indicated, and communicate rebound risk to patients. |
SARS-CoV-2 viral shedding and rapid antigen test performance - Respiratory Virus Transmission Network, November 2022-May 2023
Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Mellis AM , Grijalva CG , Talbot HK , Schmitz J , Lutrick K , Ellingson KD , Stockwell MS , McLaren SH , Nguyen HQ , Rao S , Asturias EJ , Davis-Gardner ME , Suthar MS , Kirking HL . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (16) 365-371 ![]() ![]() As population immunity to SARS-CoV-2 evolves and new variants emerge, the role and accuracy of antigen tests remain active questions. To describe recent test performance, the detection of SARS-CoV-2 by antigen testing was compared with that by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and viral culture testing during November 2022-May 2023. Participants who were enrolled in a household transmission study completed daily symptom diaries and collected two nasal swabs (tested for SARS-CoV-2 via RT-PCR, culture, and antigen tests) each day for 10 days after enrollment. Among participants with SARS-CoV-2 infection, the percentages of positive antigen, RT-PCR, and culture results were calculated each day from the onset of symptoms or, in asymptomatic persons, from the date of the first positive test result. Antigen test sensitivity was calculated using RT-PCR and viral culture as references. The peak percentage of positive antigen (59.0%) and RT-PCR (83.0%) results occurred 3 days after onset, and the peak percentage of positive culture results (52%) occurred 2 days after onset. The sensitivity of antigen tests was 47% (95% CI = 44%-50%) and 80% (95% CI = 76%-85%) using RT-PCR and culture, respectively, as references. Clinicians should be aware of the lower sensitivity of antigen testing compared with RT-PCR, which might lead to false-negative results. This finding has implications for timely initiation of SARS-CoV-2 antiviral treatment, when early diagnosis is essential; clinicians should consider RT-PCR for persons for whom antiviral treatment is recommended. Persons in the community who are at high risk for severe COVID-19 illness and eligible for antiviral treatment should seek testing from health care providers with the goal of obtaining a more sensitive diagnostic test than antigen tests (i.e., an RT-PCR test). |
Sex differences in COVID-19 symptom severity and trajectories among ambulatory adults
Massion SP , Howa AC , Zhu Y , Kim A , Halasa N , Chappell J , McGonigle T , Mellis AM , Deyoe JE , Reed C , Rolfes MA , Talbot HK , Grijalva CG . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2023 17 (12) e13235 BACKGROUND: The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has led to hundreds of millions of infections worldwide. Although differences in COVID-19 hospitalization rates between males and females have been described, many infections in the general population have been mild, and the severity of symptoms during the course of COVID-19 in non-hospitalized males and females is not well understood. METHODS: We conducted a case-ascertained study to examine household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Nashville, Tennessee, between April 2020 and April 2021. Among enrolled ambulatory adult participants with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections, we assessed the presence and severity of symptoms (total, systemic, and respiratory) daily using a symptoms severity questionnaire, from illness onset and throughout the 2-week follow-up period. We compared the mean daily symptom severity scores (0-3: none, mild, moderate, and severe) and change in symptoms between males and females using a multivariable linear mixed effects regression model. RESULTS: The analysis included 223 enrolled adults with SARS-CoV-2 infection (58% females, mostly white, non-Hispanic) from 146 households with 2917 total daily symptom reports. The overall mean severity of total symptoms reported over the illness period was 1.04 and 0.90 for females and males, respectively. Mean systemic and respiratory scores were higher for females than for males (p < 0.001). In multivariable analyses, females reported more severe total and systemic symptoms during the illness period compared with males. However, no significant differences in reported respiratory symptoms were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that among ambulatory adults with SARS-CoV-2 infections, females reported slightly higher symptom severity during their illness compared with males. |
Changes in Transmission and Symptoms of SARS-CoV-2 in United States Households, April 2020-September 2022 (preprint)
Mellis AM , Lauring AS , Talbot HK , McLean HQ , Morrissey KG , Stockwell MS , Bowman NM , Maldonado Y , Ellingson KD , Rao S , Biddle JE , Johnson S , Ogokeh C , Salvatore PP , Reed C , Smith-Jeffcoat SE , Meece JK , Hanson KE , Belongia EA , Bendall EE , Gilbert J , Olivo V , Merrill LS , McLaren SH , Sano E , Vargas CY , Saiman L , Silverio Francisco RA , Bullock A , Lin J , Govindarajan P , Goodman SH , Sarnquist CC , Lutrick K , Ledezma KI , Ramadan FA , Pryor K , Miiro FN , Asturias E , Dominguez S , Olson D , Izurieta HS , Chappell J , Lindsell C , Halasa N , Hart K , Zhu Y , Schmitz J , Rolfes MA , Grijalva CG . medRxiv 2023 19 Background: The natural history of SARS-CoV-2 infection and transmission dynamics may have changed as SARS-CoV-2 has evolved and population immunity has shifted. Method(s): Household contacts, enrolled from two multi-site case-ascertained household transmission studies (April 2020-April 2021 and September 2021-September 2022), were followed for 10-14 days after enrollment with daily collection of nasal swabs and/or saliva for SARS-CoV-2 testing and symptom diaries. SARS-CoV-2 virus lineage was determined by whole genome sequencing, with multiple imputation where sequences could not be recovered. Adjusted infection risks were estimated using modified Poisson regression. Finding(s): 858 primary cases with 1473 household contacts were examined. Among unvaccinated household contacts, the infection risk adjusted for presence of prior infection and age was 58% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 49-68%) in households currently exposed to pre-Delta lineages and 90% (95% CI: 74-100%) among those exposed to Omicron BA.5 (detected May - September 2022). The fraction of infected household contacts reporting any symptom was similarly high between pre-Delta (86%, 95% CI: 81-91%) and Omicron lineages (77%, 70-85%). Among Omicron BA.5-infected contacts, 48% (41-56%) reported fever, 63% (56-71%) cough, 22% (17-28%) shortness of breath, and 20% (15-27%) loss of/change in taste/smell. Interpretation(s): The risk of infection among household contacts exposed to SARS-CoV-2 is high and increasing with more recent SARS-CoV-2 lineages. This high infection risk highlights the importance of vaccination to prevent severe disease. Funding(s): Funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Food and Drug Administration. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
SARS-CoV-2 virus dynamics in recently infected people - data from a household transmission study (preprint)
Mellis AM , Meece JK , Halasa NB , Chappell JD , McLean HQ , Grijalva CG , Hanson KE , Zhu Y , Kim A , Deyoe J , Ivacic LC , Reed C , Talbot HK , Rolfes MA . medRxiv 2022 18 (10) 1699-1703 We used daily real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) results from 67 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a household transmission study to examine the trajectory of cycle threshold (Ct) values, an inverse correlate of viral RNA concentration, from nasal specimens collected between April 2020 and May 2021. Ct values varied over the course of infection, across RT-PCR platforms, and by participant age. Specimens collected from children and adolescents showed higher Ct values and adults aged >=50 years showed lower Ct values than adults aged 18-49 years. Ct values were lower on days when participants reported experiencing symptoms. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
Household transmission of influenza A viruses in 2021-2022
Rolfes MA , Talbot HK , McLean HQ , Stockwell MS , Ellingson KD , Lutrick K , Bowman NM , Bendall EE , Bullock A , Chappell JD , Deyoe JE , Gilbert J , Halasa NB , Hart KE , Johnson S , Kim A , Lauring AS , Lin JT , Lindsell CJ , McLaren SH , Meece JK , Mellis AM , Moreno Zivanovich M , Ogokeh CE , Rodriguez M , Sano E , Silverio Francisco RA , Schmitz JE , Vargas CY , Yang A , Zhu Y , Belongia EA , Reed C , Grijalva CG . JAMA 2023 329 (6) 482-489 IMPORTANCE: Influenza virus infections declined globally during the COVID-19 pandemic. Loss of natural immunity from lower rates of influenza infection and documented antigenic changes in circulating viruses may have resulted in increased susceptibility to influenza virus infection during the 2021-2022 influenza season. OBJECTIVE: To compare the risk of influenza virus infection among household contacts of patients with influenza during the 2021-2022 influenza season with risk of influenza virus infection among household contacts during influenza seasons before the COVID-19 pandemic in the US. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective study of influenza transmission enrolled households in 2 states before the COVID-19 pandemic (2017-2020) and in 4 US states during the 2021-2022 influenza season. Primary cases were individuals with the earliest laboratory-confirmed influenza A(H3N2) virus infection in a household. Household contacts were people living with the primary cases who self-collected nasal swabs daily for influenza molecular testing and completed symptom diaries daily for 5 to 10 days after enrollment. EXPOSURES: Household contacts living with a primary case. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Relative risk of laboratory-confirmed influenza A(H3N2) virus infection in household contacts during the 2021-2022 season compared with prepandemic seasons. Risk estimates were adjusted for age, vaccination status, frequency of interaction with the primary case, and household density. Subgroup analyses by age, vaccination status, and frequency of interaction with the primary case were also conducted. RESULTS: During the prepandemic seasons, 152 primary cases (median age, 13 years; 3.9% Black; 52.0% female) and 353 household contacts (median age, 33 years; 2.8% Black; 54.1% female) were included and during the 2021-2022 influenza season, 84 primary cases (median age, 10 years; 13.1% Black; 52.4% female) and 186 household contacts (median age, 28.5 years; 14.0% Black; 63.4% female) were included in the analysis. During the prepandemic influenza seasons, 20.1% (71/353) of household contacts were infected with influenza A(H3N2) viruses compared with 50.0% (93/186) of household contacts in 2021-2022. The adjusted relative risk of A(H3N2) virus infection in 2021-2022 was 2.31 (95% CI, 1.86-2.86) compared with prepandemic seasons. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among cohorts in 5 US states, there was a significantly increased risk of household transmission of influenza A(H3N2) in 2021-2022 compared with prepandemic seasons. Additional research is needed to understand reasons for this association. |
Early and increased influenza activity among children - Tennessee, 2022-23 influenza season
Thomas CM , White EB , Kojima N , Fill MA , Hanna S , Jones TF , Newhouse CN , Orejuela K , Roth E , Winders S , Chandler DR , Grijalva CG , Schaffner W , Schmitz JE , DaSilva J , Kirby MK , Mellis AM , Rolfes MA , Sumner KM , Flannery B , Talbot HK , Dunn JR . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (3) 49-54 Influenza seasons typically begin in October and peak between December and February (1); however, the 2022-23 influenza season in Tennessee began in late September and was characterized by high pediatric hospitalization rates during November. This report describes a field investigation conducted in Tennessee during November 2022, following reports of increasing influenza hospitalizations. Data from surveillance networks, patient surveys, and whole genome sequencing of influenza virus specimens were analyzed to assess influenza activity and secondary illness risk. Influenza activity increased earlier than usual among all age groups, and rates of influenza-associated hospitalization among children were high in November, reaching 12.6 per 100,000 in children aged <5 years, comparable to peak levels typically seen in high-severity seasons. Circulating influenza viruses were genetically similar to vaccine components. Among persons who received testing for influenza at outpatient clinics, children were twice as likely to receive a positive influenza test result as were adults. Among household contacts exposed to someone with influenza, children were more than twice as likely to become ill compared with adults. As the influenza season continues, it is important for all persons, especially those at higher risk for severe disease, to protect themselves from influenza. To prevent influenza and severe influenza complications, all persons aged ≥6 months should get vaccinated, avoid contact with ill persons, and take influenza antivirals if recommended and prescribed. |
SARS-CoV-2 virus dynamics in recently infected people - data from a household transmission study.
Mellis AM , Meece JK , Halasa NB , Chappell JD , McLean HQ , Grijalva CG , Hanson KE , Zhu Y , Kim A , Deyoe J , Ivacic LC , Reed C , Talbot HK , Rolfes MA . J Infect Dis 2022 226 (10) 1699-1703 ![]() ![]() We used daily real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) results from 67 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a household transmission study, conducted April 2020--May 2021, to examine the trajectory of cycle threshold (Ct) values, an inverse correlate of viral RNA concentration. Ct values varied across RT-PCR platforms and by participant age. Specimens collected from children and adolescents had higher Ct values and adults aged ≥50 years showed lower Ct values than adults aged 18-49 years. Ct values were lower on days when participants reported experiencing symptoms, with the lowest Ct value occurring 2-6 days after symptom onset. |
Household Transmission and Clinical Features of SARS-CoV-2 Infections.
McLean HQ , Grijalva CG , Hanson KE , Zhu Y , Deyoe JE , Meece JK , Halasa NB , Chappell JD , Mellis AM , Reed C , Belongia EA , Talbot HK , Rolfes MA . Pediatrics 2022 149 (3) OBJECTIVES: Examine age differences in severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission risk from primary cases and infection risk among household contacts and symptoms among those with SARS-CoV-2 infection. METHODS: People with SARS-CoV-2 infection in Nashville, Tennessee and central and western Wisconsin and their household contacts were followed daily for 14 days to ascertain symptoms and secondary transmission events. Households were enrolled between April 2020 and April 2021. Secondary infection risks (SIR) by age of the primary case and contacts were estimated using generalized estimating equations. RESULTS: The 226 primary cases were followed by 198 (49%) secondary SARS-CoV-2 infections among 404 household contacts. Age group-specific SIR among contacts ranged from 36% to 53%, with no differences by age. SIR was lower in primary cases age 12 to 17 years than from primary cases 18 to 49 years (risk ratio [RR] 0.42; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.19-0.91). SIR was 55% and 45%, respectively, among primary case-contact pairs in the same versus different age group (RR 1.47; 95% CI 0.98-2.22). SIR was highest among primary case-contact pairs age ≥65 years (76%) and 5 to 11 years (69%). Among secondary SARS-CoV-2 infections, 19% were asymptomatic; there was no difference in the frequency of asymptomatic infections by age group. CONCLUSIONS: Both children and adults can transmit and are susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection. SIR did not vary by age, but further research is needed to understand age-related differences in probability of transmission from primary cases by age. |
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