BACKGROUND: Risk factors for severe respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) illness include early infancy, premature birth, and underlying medical conditions. However, the clinical significance of respiratory viral co-detection is unclear. We compared the clinical outcomes of young children with RSV-only detection and those with RSV viral co-detection. METHODS: We conducted active, population-based surveillance of children with medically attended fever or respiratory symptoms at 7 US medical centers (1 December 2016-31 March 2020). Demographic and clinical data were collected through parental interviews and chart abstractions. Nasal swabs, with or without throat swabs, were systematically tested for RSV and 6 other common respiratory virus groups. We compared clinical outcomes, including hospitalization, and among those hospitalized, length of stay, intensive care unit admission, supplemental oxygen use, and intubation, between children aged <2 years with RSV-only detection and those with RSV co-detection. RESULTS: We enrolled 18 008 children aged <2 years. Of 17 841 (99.1%) tested for RSV, 5099 (28.6%) were positive. RSV was singly detected in 3927 children (77.0%) and co-detected in 1172 (23.0%). RSV co-detection with parainfluenza virus or adenovirus was associated with significantly lower odds of hospitalization (adjusted odds ratio, 0.56; 95% confidence interval [CI]: .33-.95; P = .031) and supplemental oxygen use (adjusted odds ratio, 0.66; 95% CI: .46-.95; P = .026), respectively, than RSV-only detection. For all other comparisons, we did not identify a significant association between RSV co-detection and worse clinical outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Co-detection of RSV with another respiratory virus was not significantly associated with worse clinical outcomes compared with RSV-only detection.

IMPORTANCE: Enterovirus D68 (EV-D68) typically causes mild to severe acute respiratory illness (ARI). Testing and surveillance for EV-D68 in the US are limited, and important epidemiologic gaps remain. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the epidemiology and clinical severity of EV-D68 among US children seeking care for ARI from 2017 to 2022, using a multisite, active, systematic surveillance network. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study collected data from the New Vaccine Surveillance Network, an active, prospective, population-based surveillance system of emergency departments (EDs) and hospitals at 7 US academic medical centers. Children with ARI and EV-D68-positive results were enrolled during platform-wide EV-D68 testing periods (July to October 2017, July to November 2018, July to November 2020, and July 2021 to December 2022). Included children were aged younger than 18 years, reported 1 or more qualifying ARI symptoms, with a symptom duration less than 14 days at enrollment. Data were analyzed from in October 2024. EXPOSURES: Laboratory-confirmed EV-D68 infection, including overall infections or those without viral codetection. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Trends and characteristics of EV-D68, including demographics, underlying conditions, and clinical severity by health care setting, were explored. Among hospitalized children with EV-D68-positive results without viral codetection, multivariable logistic regression was used to examine factors associated with receipt of (1) supplemental oxygen or (2) intensive care. RESULTS: From 2017 to 2022, 976 children with EV-D68-positive results were identified (median [IQR] age, 47 [18-63] months; 391 [40.1%] female); most were enrolled in 2018 (382 children) and 2022 (533 children). Among these, 856 had no viral codetection, of which 320 were discharged home from the ED (median [IQR] age, 33 [16-59] months; 180 male [56.3%]; 237 [74.1%] with no reported underlying conditions) and 536 were hospitalized (median [IQR] age, 40 [19-69] months; 330 male [61.6%]; 268 [50.0%] with no reported underlying conditions). Among those hospitalized, 199 (37.1%) reported a history of asthma or reactive airway disease (RAD) and 77 (14.4%) reported a condition other than asthma or RAD. Having an underlying condition other than asthma or RAD was associated with increased odds of receiving supplemental oxygen (adjusted odds ratio, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.43-5.18) or intensive care admission (adjusted odds ratio, 3.09; 95% CI, 1.72-5.56); neither age group nor history of asthma or RAD were associated with oxygen receipt or intensive care admission. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional study of children with medically attended EV-D68 infections, EV-D68 was associated with severe disease in otherwise healthy children of all ages, and children with nonasthma or RAD comorbidities were at higher risk for severe outcomes when hospitalized.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of lower respiratory tract infection in children less than 5 years of age worldwide. In the United States, RSV commonly causes hospitalization in young children and is the leading cause of hospitalizations in infants. As new RSV immunizations become available, burden estimates are critical to guide the implementation of recommendations and quantify impact. METHODS: We estimated RSV-associated hospitalization rates at a large US pediatric medical center during an 8-year period using five approaches, namely, estimation directly from active and passive surveillance systems, both a crude and stratified capture-recapture analysis of data from both systems, and estimation based on discharge diagnosis codes. The stratified analysis was performed to ensure adherence with the capture-recapture methodology assumption that samples are independent and participants have an equal probability of being observed within each system. RESULTS: Overall, estimated RSV-associated hospitalization rates per 1000 children were 4.0 (2.5, 6.1) based on adjusted estimates from active surveillance, 1.7 (2.1, 4.4) from passive surveillance, 7.9 (5.7, 13.0) from crude capture-recapture analysis, 5.0 (3.8, 7.2) from the stratified capture-recapture, and 4.4 (4.0, 4.9) from discharge diagnosis codes. CONCLUSIONS: Each method has limitations and inherent biases that may impact the estimation of the burden of RSV. Capture-recapture analysis may be a useful tool to estimate the burden of RSV, but needs to be adjusted to account for possible violation of the assumptions of independence and equal probability of capture to ensure accurate approximation of disease burden and avoid over estimation.

Nirsevimab is a long-acting monoclonal antibody that protects infants and young children against severe respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease. Children are eligible for one 50 mg dose, one 100 mg dose, or two 100 mg doses of nirsevimab based on age, weight, time of year, maternal vaccination, and risk of severe disease. In winter 2023/2024, we developed a model to project the number of nirsevimab doses needed to immunize all eligible U.S. children during the 2024/2025 season. We grouped all births from March 2023 through March 2025 into weekly cohorts, partitioned those cohorts based on eligibility criteria, and computed eligibility for each partition. In the absence of maternal RSV vaccination, we estimated U.S. children would be eligible to receive 4.3 million nirsevimab doses in 2024/2025, of which 48% would be 100 mg doses. Projections of total eligibility can be used to inform production goals and avoid shortages of nirsevimab.

COVID-19 vaccination averted approximately 68,000 hospitalizations during the 2023-24 respiratory season. In June 2024, CDC and the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended that all persons aged ≥6 months receive a 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine, which targets Omicron JN.1 and JN.1-derived sublineages. Interim effectiveness of 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccines was estimated against COVID-19-associated emergency department (ED) or urgent care (UC) visits during September 2024-January 2025 among adults aged ≥18 years in one CDC-funded vaccine effectiveness (VE) network, against COVID-19-associated hospitalization in immunocompetent adults aged ≥65 years in two networks, and against COVID-19-associated hospitalization among adults aged ≥65 years with immunocompromising conditions in one network. Among adults aged ≥18 years, VE against COVID-19-associated ED/UC visits was 33% (95% CI = 28%-38%) during the first 7-119 days after vaccination. Among immunocompetent adults aged ≥65 years from two CDC networks, VE estimates against COVID-19-associated hospitalization were 45% (95% CI = 36%-53%) and 46% (95% CI = 26%-60%) during the first 7-119 days after vaccination. Among adults aged ≥65 years with immunocompromising conditions in one network, VE was 40% (95% CI = 21%-54%) during the first 7-119 days after vaccination. These findings demonstrate that vaccination with a 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine dose provides additional protection against COVID-19-associated ED/UC encounters and hospitalizations compared with not receiving a 2024-2025 dose and support current CDC and ACIP recommendations that all persons aged ≥6 months receive a 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccine dose.

During 2023, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended the first respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) immunizations intended for widespread use in the United States to prevent severe RSV illness in infants and older adults. CDC, in collaboration with federal, public health, and academic partners, is conducting evaluations of real-world effectiveness of recommended RSV immunization products in the United States. Similar frameworks for evaluation are being applied to RSV vaccines and nirsevimab, a long-acting preventative monoclonal antibody, to estimate product effectiveness. The overall goal of CDC's RSV immunization effectiveness program is to generate timely and robust evidence through observational studies to inform immunization product policy decisions and other measures related to RSV prevention and control. CDC is evaluating effectiveness through high-quality, well-controlled observational studies leveraging a variety of platforms that provide robust data to inform policy decisions.

IMPORTANCE: During the 2023-2024 respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) season in the United States, 2 new RSV prevention products were recommended to protect infants in their first RSV season: nirsevimab and Pfizer's maternal RSV vaccine. Postlicensure studies are needed to assess prevention product impact and effectiveness. OBJECTIVE: To compare the epidemiology and disease burden of medically attended RSV-associated acute respiratory illness (ARI) among children younger than 5 years during the 2023-2024 RSV season with 3 prepandemic RSV seasons (2017-2020), estimate nirsevimab effectiveness against medically attended RSV-associated ARI, and compare nirsevimab binding site mutations among circulating RSV in infants with and without nirsevimab receipt. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This study included a prospective population-based surveillance for medically attended ARI with systematic molecular testing for RSV and whole-genome sequencing of RSV positive samples, as well as a test-negative case-control design to estimate nirsevimab effectiveness. The study was conducted in 7 academic pediatric medical centers in the United States with data from RSV seasons (September 1 through April 30) in 2017 through 2024. Participants were children younger than 5 years with medically attended ARI. EXPOSURE: For the nirsevimab effectiveness analyses, nirsevimab receipt among infants younger than 8 months as of or born after October 1, 2023. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURE: Medically attended RSV-associated ARI. RESULTS: Overall, 28 689 children younger than 5 years with medically attended ARI were enrolled, including 9536 during September 1, 2023, through April 30, 2024, and 19 153 during the same calendar period of 2017-2020. Of these children, 16 196 (57%) were male, and 12 444 (43.4) were female; the median (IQR) age was 15 (6-29) months. During 2023-2024, the proportion of children with RSV was 23% (2199/9490) among all medically attended episodes, similar to 2017-2020. RSV-associated hospitalization rates in 2023-2024 were similar to average 2017-2020 seasonal rates with 5.0 (95% CI, 4.6-5.3) per 1000 among children younger than 5 years; the highest rates were among children aged 0 to 2 months (26.6; 95% CI, 23.0-30.2). Low maternal RSV vaccine uptake precluded assessment of effectiveness. Overall, 10 of 765 case patients (1%) who were RSV positive and 126 of 851 control patients (15%) who were RSV negative received nirsevimab. Nirsevimab effectiveness was 89% (95% CI, 79%-94%) against medically attended RSV-associated ARI and 93% (95% CI, 82%-97%) against RSV-associated hospitalization. Among 229 sequenced specimens, there were no differences in nirsevimab binding site mutations by infant nirsevimab receipt status. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This analysis documented the continued high burden of medically attended RSV-associated ARI among young children in the US. There is a potential for substantial public health impact with increased and equitable prevention product coverage in future seasons.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes substantial hospitalization in US infants. The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended nirsevimab in infants younger than 8 months born during or entering their first RSV season and for children aged 8 to 19 months at increased risk of RSV hospitalization in their second season. This study's objective was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of nirsevimab in all infants in their first RSV season and in high-risk children in their second season. METHODS: We simulated healthcare utilization and deaths from RSV with and without nirsevimab among infants aged 0 to 7 months and those 8 to 19 months old over a single RSV season. Data came from published literature, US Food and Drug Administration approval documents, and epidemiologic surveillance data. We evaluated societal outcomes over a lifetime discounting at 3% and reporting in 2022 US dollars. Sensitivity and scenario analyses identified influential variables. RESULTS: We estimated that 107 253 outpatient visits, 38 204 emergency department visits, and 14 341 hospitalizations could be averted each year if half of the US birth cohort receives nirsevimab. This would cost $153 517 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) saved. Nirsevimab in the second season for children facing a 10-fold higher risk of hospitalization would cost $308 468 per QALY saved. Sensitivity analyses showed RSV hospitalization costs, nirsevimab cost, and QALYs lost from RSV disease were the most influential parameters with cost-effectiveness ratios between cost-saving and $323 788 per QALY saved. CONCLUSIONS: Nirsevimab for infants may be cost-effective, particularly among those with higher risks and costs of RSV.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) commonly causes hospitalization among US infants. A maternal vaccine preventing RSV in infants, RSV bivalent prefusion F maternal vaccine (RSVpreF), was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration and recommended by the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices. Our objective was to evaluate the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of vaccinating pregnant persons in the United States using RSVpreF. METHODS: We simulated RSV infection and disease with and without seasonal RSVpreF vaccination in half of the pregnant persons in the annual US birth cohort during weeks 32 through 36 of gestation. Model inputs came from peer-reviewed literature, Food and Drug Administration records, and epidemiological surveillance databases. The results are reported using a societal perspective in 2022 US dollars for a 1-year time frame, discounting future health outcomes and costs at 3%. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were performed. RESULTS: Year-round maternal vaccination with RSVpreF would prevent 45 693 outpatient visits, 15 866 ED visits, and 7571 hospitalizations among infants each year. Vaccination had a societal incremental cost of $396 280 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) saved. Vaccination from September through January cost $163 513 per QALY saved. The most influential inputs were QALYs lost from RSV disease, the cost of the vaccine, and RSV-associated hospitalization costs; changes in these inputs yielded outcomes ranging from cost-saving to $800 000 per QALY saved. CONCLUSIONS: Seasonal maternal RSV vaccination designed to prevent RSV lower respiratory tract infection in infants may be cost-effective, particularly if administered to pregnant persons immediately before or at the beginning of the RSV season.

BACKGROUND: Assessments of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness are needed to monitor the protection provided by updated vaccines against severe COVID-19. We evaluated the effectiveness of original monovalent and bivalent (ancestral strain and Omicron BA.4/5) COVID-19 vaccination against COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes. METHODS: During September 8, 2022 to August 31, 2023, adults aged ≥ 18 years hospitalized with COVID-19-like illness were enrolled at 26 hospitals in 20 US states. Using a test-negative case-control design, we estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) with multivariable logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, admission date, and geographic region. RESULTS: Among 7028 patients, 2924 (41.6%) were COVID-19 case patients, and 4104 (58.4%) were control patients. Compared to unvaccinated patients, absolute VE against COVID-19-associated hospitalization was 6% (-7%-17%) for original monovalent doses only (median time since last dose [IQR] = 421 days [304-571]), 52% (39%-61%) for a bivalent dose received 7-89 days earlier, and 13% (-10%-31%) for a bivalent dose received 90-179 days earlier. Absolute VE against COVID-19-associated invasive mechanical ventilation or death was 51% (34%-63%) for original monovalent doses only, 61% (35%-77%) for a bivalent dose received 7-89 days earlier, and 50% (11%-71%) for a bivalent dose received 90-179 days earlier. CONCLUSION: Bivalent vaccination provided protection against COVID-19-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes within 3 months of receipt, followed by a decline in protection to a level similar to that remaining from previous original monovalent vaccination by 3-6 months. These results underscore the benefit of remaining up to date with recommended COVID-19 vaccines.

Serum neutralizing antibodies (nAbs) induced by vaccination have been linked to protection against symptomatic and severe coronavirus disease 2019. However, much less is known about the efficacy of nAbs in preventing the acquisition of infection, especially in the context of natural immunity and against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) immune-escape variants. Here we conducted mediation analysis to assess serum nAbs induced by prior SARS-CoV-2 infections as potential correlates of protection against Delta and Omicron infections, in rural and urban household cohorts in South Africa. We find that, in the Delta wave, D614G nAbs mediate 37% (95% confidence interval: 34-40%) of the total protection against infection conferred by prior exposure to SARS-CoV-2, and that protection decreases with waning immunity. In contrast, Omicron BA.1 nAbs mediate 11% (95% confidence interval: 9-12%) of the total protection against Omicron BA.1 or BA.2 infections, due to Omicron's neutralization escape. These findings underscore that correlates of protection mediated through nAbs are variant specific, and that boosting of nAbs against circulating variants might restore or confer immune protection lost due to nAb waning and/or immune escape. However, the majority of immune protection against SARS-CoV-2 conferred by natural infection cannot be fully explained by serum nAbs alone. Measuring these and other immune markers including T cell responses, both in the serum and in other compartments such as the nasal mucosa, may be required to comprehensively understand and predict immune protection against SARS-CoV-2.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic disrupted respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) seasonality resulting in early, atypical RSV seasons in 2021 and 2022, with an intense 2022 peak overwhelming many pediatric healthcare facilities. METHODS: We conducted prospective surveillance for acute respiratory illness during 2016-2022 at 7 pediatric hospitals. We interviewed parents, reviewed medical records, and tested respiratory specimens for RSV and other respiratory viruses. We estimated annual RSV-associated hospitalization rates in children aged <5 years and compared hospitalization rates and characteristics of RSV-positive hospitalized children over 4 prepandemic seasons (2016-2020) to those hospitalized in 2021 or 2022. RESULTS: There was no difference in median age or age distribution between prepandemic and 2021 seasons. Median age of children hospitalized with RSV was higher in 2022 (9.6 months vs 6.0 months, P < .001). RSV-associated hospitalization rates were higher in 2021 and 2022 than the prepandemic average across age groups. Comparing 2021 to 2022, RSV-associated hospitalization rates were similar among children <2 years of age; however, children aged 24 to 59 months had significantly higher rates of RSV-associated hospitalization in 2022 (rate ratio 1.68 [95% confidence interval 1.37-2.00]). More RSV-positive hospitalized children received supplemental oxygen and there were more respiratory virus codetections in 2022 than in prepandemic seasons (P < .001 and P = .003, respectively), but there was no difference in the proportion hypoxemic, mechanically ventilated, or admitted to intensive care. CONCLUSIONS: The atypical 2021 and 2022 RSV seasons resulted in higher hospitalization rates with similar disease severity to prepandemic seasons.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of acute respiratory illnesses in children. RSV can be broadly categorized into 2 major subtypes: A and B. RSV subtypes have been known to cocirculate with variability in different regions of the world. Clinical associations with viral subtype have been studied among children with conflicting findings such that no conclusive relationships between RSV subtype and severity have been established. METHODS: During 2016-2020, children aged <5 years were enrolled in prospective surveillance in the emergency department or inpatient settings at 7 US pediatric medical centers. Surveillance data collection included parent/guardian interviews, chart reviews, and collection of midturbinate nasal plus/minus throat swabs for RSV (RSV-A, RSV-B, and untyped) using reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. RESULTS: Among 6398 RSV-positive children aged <5 years, 3424 (54%) had subtype RSV-A infections, 2602 (41%) had subtype RSV-B infections, and 272 (5%) were not typed, inconclusive, or mixed infections. In both adjusted and unadjusted analyses, RSV-A-positive children were more likely to be hospitalized, as well as when restricted to <1 year. By season, RSV-A and RSV-B cocirculated in varying levels, with 1 subtype dominating proportionally. CONCLUSIONS: Findings indicate that RSV-A and RSV-B may only be marginally clinically distinguishable, but both subtypes are associated with medically attended illness in children aged <5 years. Furthermore, circulation of RSV subtypes varies substantially each year, seasonally and geographically. With introduction of new RSV prevention products, this highlights the importance of continued monitoring of RSV-A and RSV-B subtypes.

This Viewpoint discusses recommendations from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for newly licensed immunizations for respiratory syncytial virus in infants, children with high-risk conditions, and older adults. | eng

IMPORTANCE: On June 21, 2023, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended the first respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccines for adults aged 60 years and older using shared clinical decision-making. Understanding the severity of RSV disease in adults can help guide this clinical decision-making. OBJECTIVE: To describe disease severity among adults hospitalized with RSV and compare it with the severity of COVID-19 and influenza disease by vaccination status. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this cohort study, adults aged 18 years and older admitted to the hospital with acute respiratory illness and laboratory-confirmed RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection were prospectively enrolled from 25 hospitals in 20 US states from February 1, 2022, to May 31, 2023. Clinical data during each patient's hospitalization were collected using standardized forms. Data were analyzed from August to October 2023. EXPOSURES: RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Using multivariable logistic regression, severity of RSV disease was compared with COVID-19 and influenza severity, by COVID-19 and influenza vaccination status, for a range of clinical outcomes, including the composite of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and in-hospital death. RESULTS: Of 7998 adults (median [IQR] age, 67 [54-78] years; 4047 [50.6%] female) included, 484 (6.1%) were hospitalized with RSV, 6422 (80.3%) were hospitalized with COVID-19, and 1092 (13.7%) were hospitalized with influenza. Among patients with RSV, 58 (12.0%) experienced IMV or death, compared with 201 of 1422 unvaccinated patients with COVID-19 (14.1%) and 458 of 5000 vaccinated patients with COVID-19 (9.2%), as well as 72 of 699 unvaccinated patients with influenza (10.3%) and 20 of 393 vaccinated patients with influenza (5.1%). In adjusted analyses, the odds of IMV or in-hospital death were not significantly different among patients hospitalized with RSV and unvaccinated patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.82; 95% CI, 0.59-1.13; P = .22) or influenza (aOR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.82-1.76; P = .35); however, the odds of IMV or death were significantly higher among patients hospitalized with RSV compared with vaccinated patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (aOR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.02-1.86; P = .03) or influenza disease (aOR, 2.81; 95% CI, 1.62-4.86; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among adults hospitalized in this US cohort during the 16 months before the first RSV vaccine recommendations, RSV disease was less common but similar in severity compared with COVID-19 or influenza disease among unvaccinated patients and more severe than COVID-19 or influenza disease among vaccinated patients for the most serious outcomes of IMV or death.

OBJECTIVE: To assess medical costs of hospitalizations and emergency department (ED) care associated with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease in children enrolled in the New Vaccine Surveillance Network. STUDY DESIGN: We used accounting and prospective surveillance data from six pediatric health systems to assess direct medical costs from laboratory-confirmed RSV-associated hospitalizations (n=2,007) and ED visits (n=1,267) from 2016 through 2019 among children aged <5 years. We grouped costs into categories relevant to clinical care and administrative billing practices. We examined RSV-associated medical costs by care setting using descriptive and bivariate analyses. We assessed associations between known RSV risk factors and hospitalization costs and length of stay (LOS) using chi-square tests of association. RESULTS: The median cost was $7,100 (IQR: $4,006-$13,355) per hospitalized child and $503 (IQR: $387-$930) per ED visit. Eighty percent (n=2,628) of our final sample were children aged <2 years. Fewer weeks' gestational age (GA) was associated with higher median costs in hospitalized children [p<0.001, ≥37 weeks' GA: $6,840 ($3,905-$12,450); 29-36 weeks' GA: $7,721 ($4,362-$15,274); <29 w weeks' GA: $9,131 ($4,518-$19,924)]. Full-term infants accounted for 70% of the total expenditures in our sample. Almost three quarters of the healthcare dollars spent originated in children under 12 months of age; the primary age group targeted by recommended RSV prophylactics. CONCLUSIONS: Reducing the cost burden for RSV-associated medical care in young children will require prevention of RSV in all young children, not just high-risk infants. Newly available maternal vaccine and immunoprophylaxis products could substantially reduce RSV-associated medical costs.

BACKGROUND: Data on the characteristics of individuals with mild and asymptomatic infections with different SARS-CoV-2 variants are limited. We therefore compared the characteristics of individuals infected with ancestral, Beta and Delta SARS-CoV-2 variants in South Africa. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study in a rural and an urban site during July 2020-August 2021. Mid-turbinate nasal swabs were collected twice-weekly from household members irrespective of symptoms and tested for SARS-CoV-2 using real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR). Differences in demographic and clinical characteristics, shedding and cycle threshold (Ct) value of infection episodes by variant were evaluated using multinomial regression. Overall and age-specific incidence rates of infection were compared by variant. RESULTS: We included 1200 individuals from 222 households and 648 rRT-PCR-confirmed infection episodes (66, 10% ancestral, 260, 40% Beta, 322, 50% Delta). Symptomatic proportion was similar for ancestral (7, 11%), Beta (44, 17%), and Delta (46, 14%) infections (p=0.4). After accounting for previous infection, peak incidence shifted to younger age groups in successive waves (40-59 years ancestral, 19-39 years Beta, 13-18 years Delta). On multivariable analysis, compared to ancestral, Beta infection was more common in individuals aged 5-12 years (vs 19-39)(adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.6, 95% confidence interval (CI)1.1-6.6) and PCR cycle threshold (Ct) value <30 (vs >35)(aOR 3.2, 95%CI 1.3-7.9), while Delta was more common in individuals aged <5 (aOR 6.7, 95%CI1.4-31.2) and 5-12 years (aOR 6.6 95%CI2.6-16.7)(vs 19-39) and Ct value <30 (aOR 4.5, 95%CI 1.3-15.5) and 30-35 (aOR 6.0, 95%CI 2.3-15.7)(vs >35). CONCLUSIONS: Consecutive SARS-CoV-2 waves with Beta and Delta variants were associated with a shift to younger individuals. Beta and Delta infections were associated with higher peak viral loads, potentially increasing infectiousness.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of hospitalization among infants in the United States. In August 2023, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended nirsevimab, a long-acting monoclonal antibody, for infants aged <8 months to protect against RSV-associated lower respiratory tract infection during their first RSV season and for children aged 8-19 months at increased risk for severe RSV disease. In phase 3 clinical trials, nirsevimab efficacy against RSV-associated lower respiratory tract infection with hospitalization was 81% (95% CI = 62%-90%) through 150 days after receipt; post-introduction effectiveness has not been assessed in the United States. In this analysis, the New Vaccine Surveillance Network evaluated nirsevimab effectiveness against RSV-associated hospitalization among infants in their first RSV season during October 1, 2023-February 29, 2024. Among 699 infants hospitalized with acute respiratory illness, 59 (8%) received nirsevimab ≥7 days before symptom onset. Nirsevimab effectiveness was 90% (95% CI = 75%-96%) against RSV-associated hospitalization with a median time from receipt to symptom onset of 45 days (IQR = 19-76 days). The number of infants who received nirsevimab was too low to stratify by duration from receipt; however, nirsevimab effectiveness is expected to decrease with increasing time after receipt because of antibody decay. Although nirsevimab uptake and the interval from receipt of nirsevimab were limited in this analysis, this early estimate supports the current nirsevimab recommendation for the prevention of severe RSV disease in infants. Infants should be protected by maternal RSV vaccination or infant receipt of nirsevimab.

BACKGROUND: The endemic coronaviruses OC43, HKU1, NL63 and 229E cause cold-like symptoms and are related to SARS-CoV-2, but their natural histories are poorly understood. In a cohort of children followed from birth to 4 years, we documented all coronavirus infections, including SARS-CoV-2, to understand protection against subsequent infections with the same virus (homotypic immunity) or a different coronavirus (heterotypic immunity). METHODS: Mother-child pairs were enrolled in metropolitan Cincinnati during the third trimester of pregnancy in 2017-18. Mothers reported their child's socio-demographics, risk factors, and weekly symptoms. Mid-turbinate nasal swabs were collected weekly. Blood was collected at 6 weeks, 6, 12, 18, 24 months and annually thereafter. Infections were detected by testing nasal swabs by an RT-PCR multi-pathogen panel and by serum IgG responses. Health care visits were documented from pediatric records. Analysis was limited to 116 children with high sample adherence. Re-consent for monitoring SARS-CoV-2 infections from June 2020 through November 2021 was obtained for 74 (64%) children. RESULTS: We detected 345 endemic coronavirus infections (1.1 infections/child-year) and 21 SARS-CoV-2 infections (0.3 infections/child-year). Endemic coronavirus and SARS-CoV-2 infections were asymptomatic or mild. Significant protective homotypic immunity occurred after a single infection with OC43 (77%) and HKU1 (84%), and after two infections with NL63 (73%). No heterotypic protection against endemic coronaviruses or SARS-CoV-2 was identified. CONCLUSIONS: Natural coronavirus infections were common and resulted in strong homotypic immunity but not heterotypic immunity against other coronaviruses, including SARS-CoV-2. Endemic coronavirus and SARS-CoV-2 infections in this US cohort were typically asymptomatic or mild.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory viral shedding is incompletely characterized by existing studies due to the lack of longitudinal nasal sampling and limited inclusion of healthy/asymptomatic children. We describe characteristics associated with prolonged virus detection by PCR in a community-based birth cohort. METHODS: Children were followed from birth to 2 years of age in the PREVAIL cohort. Weekly nasal swabs were collected and tested using the Luminex Respiratory Pathogen Panel. Weekly text surveys were administered to ascertain the presence of acute respiratory illnesses defined as fever and/or cough. Maternal reports and medical chart abstractions identified healthcare utilization. Prolonged virus detection was defined as a persistently positive test lasting >4 weeks. Factors associated with prolonged virus detection were assessed using mixed effects multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: From a sub-cohort of 101 children with >70% weekly swabs collected, a total of 1489 viral infections were detected. Prolonged virus detection was found in 23.4% of viral infections overall, 39% of bocavirus infections, 33% of rhinovirus/enterovirus infections, 14% of RSV A infections, and 7% of RSV B infections. No prolonged detection was found for influenza A or B, coronavirus 229E or HKU1, and parainfluenza 2 or 4 virus infections. First lifetime infection with each virus, and co-detection of another respiratory virus were significantly associated with prolonged detection, while symptom status, child sex, and child age were not. CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged virus detection was observed in 1 in 4 viral infections in this cohort of healthy children and varied by pathogen, occurring most often for bocavirus and rhinovirus/enterovirus. Evaluating the immunological basis of how viral co-detections and recurrent viral infections impact duration of virus detection by PCR is needed to better understand the dynamics of prolonged viral shedding.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to characterize the epidemiology of human seasonal coronaviruses (HCoVs) in southern Malawi. METHODS: We tested for HCoVs 229E, OC43, NL63, and HKU1 using real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) on upper respiratory specimens from asymptomatic controls and individuals of all ages recruited through severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) surveillance at Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, and a prospective influenza-like illness (ILI) observational study between 2011 and 2017. We modeled the probability of having a positive PCR for each HCoV using negative binomial models, and calculated pathogen-attributable fractions (PAFs). RESULTS: Overall, 8.8% (539/6107) of specimens were positive for ≥1 HCoV. OC43 was the most frequently detected HCoV (3.1% [191/6107]). NL63 was more frequently detected in ILI patients (adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR], 9.60 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 3.25-28.30]), while 229E (aIRR, 8.99 [95% CI, 1.81-44.70]) was more frequent in SARI patients than asymptomatic controls. In adults, 229E and OC43 were associated with SARI (PAF, 86.5% and 89.4%, respectively), while NL63 was associated with ILI (PAF, 85.1%). The prevalence of HCoVs was similar between children with SARI and controls. All HCoVs had bimodal peaks but distinct seasonality. CONCLUSIONS: OC43 was the most prevalent HCoV in acute respiratory illness of all ages. Individual HCoVs had distinct seasonality that differed from temperate settings.

BACKGROUND: Prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infections in people who are immunocompromised might predict or source the emergence of highly mutated variants. The types of immunosuppression placing patients at highest risk for prolonged infection have not been systematically investigated. We aimed to assess risk factors for prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infection and associated intrahost evolution. METHODS: In this multicentre, prospective analysis, participants were enrolled at five US medical centres. Eligible patients were aged 18 years or older, were SARS-CoV-2-positive in the previous 14 days, and had a moderately or severely immunocompromising condition or treatment. Nasal specimens were tested by real-time RT-PCR every 2-4 weeks until negative in consecutive specimens. Positive specimens underwent viral culture and whole genome sequencing. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess factors associated with duration of infection. FINDINGS: From April 11, 2022, to Oct 1, 2022, 156 patients began the enrolment process, of whom 150 were enrolled and included in the analyses. Participants had B-cell malignancy or anti-B-cell therapy (n=18), solid organ transplantation or haematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (HSCT; n=59), AIDS (n=5), non-B-cell malignancy (n=23), and autoimmune or autoinflammatory conditions (n=45). 38 (25%) participants were real-time RT-PCR-positive and 12 (8%) were culture-positive 21 days or longer after initial SARS-CoV-2 detection or illness onset. Compared with the group with autoimmune or autoinflammatory conditions, patients with B-cell dysfunction (adjusted hazard ratio 0·32 [95% CI 0·15-0·64]), solid organ transplantation or HSCT (0·60 [0·38-0·94]), and AIDS (0·28 [0·08-1·00]) had longer duration of infection, defined as time to last positive real-time RT-PCR test. There was no significant difference in the non-B-cell malignancy group (0·58 [0·31-1·09]). Consensus de novo spike mutations were identified in five individuals who were real-time RT-PCR-positive longer than 56 days; 14 (61%) of 23 were in the receptor-binding domain. Mutations shared by multiple individuals were rare (<5%) in global circulation. INTERPRETATION: In this cohort, prolonged replication-competent omicron SARS-CoV-2 infections were uncommon. Within-host evolutionary rates were similar across patients, but individuals with infections lasting longer than 56 days accumulated spike mutations, which were distinct from those seen globally. Populations at high risk should be targeted for repeated testing and treatment and monitored for the emergence of antiviral resistance. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of hospitalization in US infants. Accurate estimates of severe RSV disease inform policy decisions for RSV prevention. METHODS: We conducted prospective surveillance for children <5 years old with acute respiratory illness from 2016 to 2020 at 7 pediatric hospitals. We interviewed parents, reviewed medical records, and tested midturbinate nasal ± throat swabs by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction for RSV and other respiratory viruses. We describe characteristics of children hospitalized with RSV, risk factors for ICU admission, and estimate RSV-associated hospitalization rates. RESULTS: Among 13 524 acute respiratory illness inpatients <5 years old, 4243 (31.4%) were RSV-positive; 2751 (64.8%) of RSV-positive children had no underlying condition or history of prematurity. The average annual RSV-associated hospitalization rate was 4.0 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.8-4.1) per 1000 children <5 years, was highest among children 0 to 2 months old (23.8 [95% CI: 22.5-25.2] per 1000) and decreased with increasing age. Higher RSV-associated hospitalization rates were found in premature versus term children (rate ratio = 1.95 [95% CI: 1.76-2.11]). Risk factors for ICU admission among RSV-positive inpatients included: age 0 to 2 and 3 to 5 months (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.97 [95% CI: 1.54-2.52] and aOR = 1.56 [95% CI: 1.18-2.06], respectively, compared with 24-59 months), prematurity (aOR = 1.32 [95% CI: 1.08-1.60]) and comorbid conditions (aOR = 1.35 [95% CI: 1.10-1.66]). CONCLUSIONS: Younger infants and premature children experienced the highest rates of RSV-associated hospitalization and had increased risk of ICU admission. RSV prevention products are needed to reduce RSV-associated morbidity in young infants.

Data on respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) incidence and household transmission are limited. To describe RSV incidence and transmission, we conducted a prospective cohort study in rural and urban communities in South Africa over two seasons during 2017-2018. Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected twice-weekly for 10 months annually and tested for RSV using PCR. We tested 81,430 samples from 1,116 participants in 225 households (follow-up 90%). 32% (359/1116) of individuals had ≥1 RSV infection; 10% (37/359) had repeat infection during the same season, 33% (132/396) of infections were symptomatic, and 2% (9/396) sought medical care. Incidence was 47.2 infections/100 person-years and highest in children <5 years (78.3). Symptoms were commonest in individuals aged <12 and ≥65 years. Individuals 1-12 years accounted for 55% (134/242) of index cases. Household cumulative infection risk was 11%. On multivariable analysis, index cases with ≥2 symptoms and shedding duration >10 days were more likely to transmit; household contacts aged 1-4 years vs. ≥65 years were more likely to acquire infection. Within two South African communities, RSV attack rate was high, and most infections asymptomatic. Young children were more likely to introduce RSV into the home, and to be infected. Future studies should examine whether vaccines targeting children aged <12 years could reduce community transmission.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies explored which pathogens drive the global burden of pneumonia hospitalizations among young children. However, the etiology of broader acute lower respiratory tract infections (ALRIs) remains unclear. METHODS: Using a multicountry study (Albania, Jordan, Nicaragua, and the Philippines) of hospitalized infants and non-ill community controls between 2015 and 2017, we assessed the prevalence and severity of viral infections and coinfections. We also estimated the proportion of ALRI hospitalizations caused by 21 respiratory pathogens identified via multiplex real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction with bayesian nested partially latent class models. RESULTS: An overall 3632 hospitalized infants and 1068 non-ill community controls participated in the study and had specimens tested. Among hospitalized infants, 1743 (48.0%) met the ALRI case definition for the etiology analysis. After accounting for the prevalence in non-ill controls, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) was responsible for the largest proportion of ALRI hospitalizations, although the magnitude varied across sites-ranging from 65.2% (95% credible interval, 46.3%-79.6%) in Albania to 34.9% (95% credible interval, 20.0%-49.0%) in the Philippines. While the fraction of ALRI hospitalizations caused by RSV decreased as age increased, it remained the greatest driver. After RSV, rhinovirus/enterovirus (range, 13.4%-27.1%) and human metapneumovirus (range, 6.3%-12.0%) were the next-highest contributors to ALRI hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: We observed substantial numbers of ALRI hospitalizations, with RSV as the largest source, particularly in infants aged <3 months. This underscores the potential for vaccines and long-lasting monoclonal antibodies on the horizon to reduce the burden of ALRI in infants worldwide.

SARS-CoV-2 infection in young children is often mild or asymptomatic; however, some children are at risk for severe disease. Data describing the protective effectiveness of COVID-19 mRNA vaccines against COVID-19-associated emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalization in this population are limited. Data from the New Vaccine Surveillance Network, a prospective population-based surveillance system, were used to estimate vaccine effectiveness using a test-negative, case-control design and describe the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 in infants and children aged 6 months-4 years during July 1, 2022-September 30, 2023. Among 7,434 children included, 5% received a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result, and 95% received a negative test result; 86% were unvaccinated, 4% had received 1 dose of any vaccine product, and 10% had received ≥2 doses. When compared with receipt of no vaccines among children, receipt of ≥2 COVID-19 mRNA vaccine doses was 40% effective (95% CI = 8%-60%) in preventing ED visits and hospitalization. These findings support existing recommendations for COVID-19 vaccination of young children to reduce COVID-19-associated ED visits and hospitalization.

We enrolled 1323 hospitalised infants aged <1 year in 2016-2018, and examined the association between HIV status and in-hospital mortality. After controlling for confounders, HIV exposed uninfected infants did not have an increased risk of mortality, whereas infants living with HIV had four-times greater risk compared to HIV uninfected infants.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of hospitalization among U.S. infants. Nirsevimab (Bevfortus, Sanofi and AstraZeneca) is recommended to prevent RSV-associated lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) in infants. In August 2023, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved RSVpreF vaccine (Abrysvo, Pfizer Inc.) for pregnant persons as a single dose during 32-36 completed gestational weeks (i.e., 32 weeks and zero days' through 36 weeks and 6 days' gestation) to prevent RSV-associated lower respiratory tract disease in infants aged <6 months. Since October 2021, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) RSV Vaccines Pediatric/Maternal Work Group has reviewed RSV epidemiology and evidence regarding safety, efficacy, and potential economic impact of pediatric and maternal RSV prevention products, including RSVpreF vaccine. On September 22, 2023, ACIP and CDC recommended RSVpreF vaccine using seasonal administration (i.e., during September through end of January in most of the continental United States) for pregnant persons as a one-time dose at 32-36 weeks' gestation for prevention of RSV-associated LRTI in infants aged <6 months. Either maternal RSVpreF vaccination during pregnancy or nirsevimab administration to the infant is recommended to prevent RSV-associated LRTI among infants, but both are not needed for most infants. All infants should be protected against RSV-associated LRTI through use of one of these products.