Last data update: Apr 18, 2025. (Total: 49119 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 43 Records) |
Query Trace: Madewell ZJ[original query] |
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Population-level respiratory virus-virus interactions, Puerto Rico, 2013-2023
Madewell ZJ , Wong JM , Thayer MB , Rivera-Amill V , Sainz de la Peña D , Pasarell JB , Paz-Bailey G , Adams LE , Yang Y . Int J Infect Dis 2025 107878 ![]() ![]() BACKGROUND: Understanding virus-virus interactions is important for evaluating disease transmission and severity. Positive interactions suggest concurrent circulation, while negative interactions indicate reduced transmission of one virus when another is prevalent. This study examines interactions among seven respiratory viruses using a Bayesian approach that accounts for seasonality and long-term trends. METHODS: We analyzed data from 43,385 acute febrile illness cases in the Sentinel Enhanced Dengue Surveillance System in Puerto Rico (2013-2023). Viruses studied included influenza A (IAV), influenza B (IBV), respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), human parainfluenza viruses 1 and 3 (HPIV-1, HPIV-3), human adenovirus (HAdV), and human metapneumovirus (HMPV). Wavelet coherence analysis investigated synchronous or asynchronous viral co-variation, while a Bayesian hierarchical model estimated pairwise interactions. RESULTS: Among 43,385 participants, 26.0% tested positive for at least one virus, with IAV (9.5%), HAdV (4.1%), RSV (3.6%), and IBV (3.6%) being most frequent. Coinfections occurred in 0.5% of cases, often involving HAdV. Wavelet coherence identified significant synchronization among RSV/HMPV, HPIV-1/HMPV, and other virus pairs, with minimal coherence during the COVID-19 pandemic. Bayesian modeling suggested five virus-virus associations: four positive (RSV/HPIV-3, HMPV/HPIV-1, IBV/HAdV, IBV/HMPV) and one negative (IAV/HAdV). However, when restricting the analysis to the pre-pandemic period, fewer associations remained statistically credible. CONCLUSIONS: Respiratory viruses in Puerto Rico demonstrate patterns of co-circulation that may reflect complex interactions, but these associations appear context-dependent. Findings highlight the need for continued surveillance to better understand virus-virus dynamics and their implications for public health interventions. |
Investigating the role of cytomegalovirus as a cause of stillbirths and child deaths in low and middle-income countries through postmortem minimally invasive tissue sampling
Velaphi S , Madewell ZJ , Tippett-Barr B , Blau DM , Rogena EA , Lala SG , Mahtab S , Swart PJ , Akelo V , Onyango D , Otieno K , Rogena EA , Were JA , Bassat Q , Carrilho C , Mandomando I , Torres-Fernandez D , Varo R , Luke R , Moses F , Nwajiobi-Princewill P , Ogbuanu IU , Ojulong J , El Arifeen S , Gurley ES , Assefa N , Gedefa L , Madrid L , Scott JAG , Wale H , Juma J , Keita AM , Kotloff KL , Sow SO , Tapia MD , Mutevedzi P , Whitney CG , Madhi SA . Clin Infect Dis 2025 BACKGROUND: There is paucity of information on the role of cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection as a cause of stillbirths or childhood deaths in low-and middle-income countries (LMICs). We investigated attribution of CMV-disease in the causal pathway to stillbirths and deaths in children <5 years of age in seven LMICs participating in the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) network. METHODS: We analyzed stillbirths and decedents enrolled between December 2016 and July 2023. Deaths were investigated using post-mortem minimally invasive tissue sampling with histopathology and molecular diagnostic investigations of tissues and body fluids, along with review of clinical records. Multi-disciplinary expert panels reviewed findings and reported on the causal pathway to death. RESULTS: CMV was detected in 19.5%(1140/5841) of all evaluated deaths, including 5.0% (111/2204), 6.2% (139/2229), 41.2% (107/260), 68.1%(323/474) and 68.2%(460/674) of stillbirths, neonates (deaths 0-<28 days postnatal), young infants (28-<90 days), older infants (90-<365 days) and children (12-<60 months), respectively. CMV-disease was attributed in the causal pathway to death in 0.9%(20/2204) of stillbirths, 0.8%(17/2229) of neonates, 13.1% (34/260) of young infants, 9.7%(46/474) of older infants and 3.3%(22/674) of children. Decedents with CMV-disease compared with those without CMV-disease in the causal pathway, were more likely to have severe microcephaly (38.2% vs. 21.1%; aOR 2.2, 95%CI: 1.3-3.6) and HIV-infected (36.9% vs. 6.2%; aOR: 10.9, 95%CI: 6.5-18.5). CONCLUSIONS: CMV-disease is an important contributor to deaths during infancy and childhood and is often associated with severe microcephaly and HIV-infection. Improving management of CMV in HIV-infected children and a vaccine to prevent CMV are needed interventions. |
Dengue outbreak and response - Puerto Rico, 2024
Ware-Gilmore F , Rodriguez DM , Ryff Mph K , Torres JM , Velez MP , Torres-Toro CT , Santiago GA , Rivera A , Madewell ZJ , Maldonado Y , Cardona-Gerena I , Brown GC , Adams LE , Paz-Bailey G , Marzán-Rodriguez M . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2025 74 (5) 54-60 ![]() ![]() Dengue, a mosquitoborne viral infection, is a public health threat in Puerto Rico, where multiple dengue virus (DENV) serotypes circulate. Dengue causes an acute febrile illness that can progress to severe disease or death. The last outbreak declared by the Puerto Rico Department of Health occurred during 2013. In January 2024, the number of dengue cases in Puerto Rico surpassed the epidemic threshold and remained elevated, prompting the Puerto Rico Department of Health to declare a public health emergency in March 2024. In collaboration with CDC, a dengue outbreak response was initiated to monitor the outbreak and implement vector-control measures alongside public health campaigns to raise awareness about increasing dengue case numbers and strategies to prevent mosquito bites. During 2024, a total of 6,291 confirmed dengue cases were reported; the highest numbers of cases were reported in the municipalities of San Juan (1,200; 17.3%), Carolina (354; 5.1%), and Rincón (252; 3.6%). DENV serotype 3 predominated, accounting for 59.2% of cases with known serotype. Approximately one half of ill patients (52.3%) required hospitalization, with the highest percentages of hospitalizations (33.9%) and severe dengue cases (28.4%) occurring among persons aged 10-19 years. Overall, severe dengue was identified in 4.2% of cases, with 11 reported fatalities (0.2%). Transmission remains elevated in multiple regions, underscoring the need for tailored public health measures, including vaccination among eligible populations, vector management, community outreach, and provider education to facilitate improved outcomes. To reduce the risk for mosquito bites, residents of and visitors to Puerto Rico should consider using repellents, wearing protective clothing, and staying in places with door and window screens. |
Importance of postmortem anthropometric evaluation in defining the role of malnutrition as a cause of infant and child deaths in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia: a cohort study
Das PM , Madewell ZJ , Blau DM , Whitney CG , Ramakrishnan U , Stein AD , Young MF , Suchdev PS . BMJ Open 2025 15 (2) e089874 OBJECTIVES: To evaluate how postmortem anthropometric malnutrition (PAM) measures align with expert panel attribution of malnutrition as a causal or significant condition in under-5 mortality (U5M). DESIGN: Cohort study using data from the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance network, incorporating clinical records, postmortem anthropometrics, minimally invasive tissue sampling, clinical abstraction and verbal autopsy to determine multiple causes of death. SETTING/PARTICIPANTS: 1405 deaths of children aged 1-59 months from six African countries between 2016 and 2023. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: PAM was determined using z-scores from the WHO Child Growth Standards: underweight (weight-for-age<(-2)), wasting (arm circumference-for-age or weight-for-length<(-2)) and stunting (length-for-age <(-2)). Performance metrics (sensitivity (SE), specificity (SP) and positive predictive values (PPV)) were calculated to determine the alignment between PAM and expert panel attribution of malnutrition as a causal or significant condition to death. RESULTS: Nearly 75% of cases demonstrated moderate-to-severe malnutrition by PAM, while expert panels attributed malnutrition in 41% of cases. Performance metrics varied across anthropometric indices: underweight exhibited the highest SE (89.7%), while wasting based on arm circumference had the highest SP (81.9%) and PPV (76.8%). Discrepancies between PAM classification and expert panel attribution differed significantly by site, age, location of death and preventability of death (p<0.05). Adjusted multivariate regression showed that expert panel attribution was more likely with increasing severity of PAM. CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of U5M attributable to malnutrition ranged between 41% (expert panel attribution) and 74% (PAM). Variability in classification underscores the need for monitoring and quality improvement measures to address discrepancies. Improved alignment between PAM and panel assessments is essential for accurately identifying malnutrition-related deaths and designing effective interventions to reduce U5M. |
Longitudinal analysis of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody durability in Puerto Rico
Madewell ZJ , Graff NE , Lopez VK , Rodriguez DM , Wong JM , Maniatis P , Medina FA , Muñoz JL , Briggs-Hagen M , Adams LE , Rivera-Amill V , Paz-Bailey G , Major CG . Sci Rep 2024 14 (1) 30743 ![]() Understanding the dynamics of antibody responses following vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection is important for informing effective vaccination strategies and other public health interventions. This study investigates SARS-CoV-2 antibody dynamics in a Puerto Rican cohort, analyzing how IgG levels vary by vaccination status and previous infection. We assess waning immunity and the distribution of hybrid immunity with the aim to inform public health strategies and vaccination programs in Puerto Rico and similar settings. We conducted a prospective, longitudinal cohort study to identify SARS-CoV-2 infections and related outcomes in Ponce, Puerto Rico, from June 2020-August 2022. Participants provided self-collected nasal swabs every week and serum every six months for RT-PCR and IgG testing, respectively. IgG reactivity against nucleocapsid (N) antigens, which generally indicate previous infection, and spike (S1) and receptor-binding domain (RBD) antigens, which indicate history of either infection or vaccination, was assessed using the Luminex Corporation xMAP® SARS-CoV-2 Multi-Antigen IgG Assay. Prior infection was defined by positive RT-PCRs, categorized by the predominant circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant at the event time. Demographic information, medical history, and COVID-19 vaccination history were collected through standardized questionnaires. Of 882 participants included in our analysis, 34.0% experienced at least one SARS-CoV-2 infection, with most (78.7%) occurring during the Omicron wave (December 2021 onwards). SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence increased over time, reaching 98.4% by the final serum collection, 67.0% attributable to vaccination alone, 1.6% from infection alone, and 31.4% from both. Regardless of prior infection status, RBD and S1 IgG levels gradually declined following two vaccine doses. A third dose boosted these antibody levels and showed a slower decline over time. N-antibody levels peaked during the Omicron surge and waned over time. Vaccination in individuals with prior SARS-CoV-2 infection elicited the highest and most durable antibody responses. N or S1 seropositivity was associated with lower odds of a subsequent positive PCR test during the Omicron period, with N antibodies showing a stronger association. By elucidating the differential decay of RBD and S1 antibodies following vaccination and the complexities of N-antibody response following infection, this study in a Puerto Rican cohort strengthens the foundation for developing targeted interventions and public health strategies. |
Epidemiology of Dengue - Puerto Rico, 2010-2024
Rodriguez DM , Madewell ZJ , Torres JM , Rivera A , Wong JM , Santiago GA , Rivera-Amill V , Paz-Bailey G , Marzan-Rodriguez M , Adams LE . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (49) 1112-1117 Dengue is a mosquitoborne viral illness that can cause acute febrile illness, severe disease, or death. Worldwide, the number of dengue cases is increasing. During the last dengue outbreaks in Puerto Rico throughout 2010-2013, dengue virus (DENV) serotype 1 (DENV-1) predominated, and the largest proportion of cases occurred among adolescents and young adults aged 10-19 years. Dengue case data from January 1, 2010-November 4, 2024, were obtained from the Puerto Rico Department of Health. Bivariate analyses were conducted to evaluate the distribution of cases by patient age, DENV serotype, and hospitalization status during three periods: 2010-2019, 2020-2022, and 2023-2024. During 2023-2024, the median age of dengue cases increased to 26 years (95% CI = 25-27 years) compared with that during 2020-2022 (17 years; 95% CI = 17-18 years) and 2010-2019 (19 years; 95% CI = 19-19 years). After >10 years of DENV-1 predominance, the proportions of DENV serotypes 2 (DENV-2) and 3 (DENV-3) increased significantly during 2023-2024, with DENV-3 replacing DENV-1 as the predominant serotype. In addition, the proportion of dengue patients who were hospitalized increased from 35.7% (2010-2019) to 53.5% (2023-2024). The current dengue outbreak in Puerto Rico marks a shift in serotype predominance to DENV-3 and increasing percentages of cases in older age groups (61.7% in adults aged ≥20 years), although a high proportion of cases still occur among adolescents aged 10-19 years (29.5%). The current dengue outbreak also has a higher rate of hospitalizations than those in previous years. Understanding the changing epidemiology of dengue is crucial to guiding public health strategies for dengue control, including clinical management, surveillance and health care system resilience, and public outreach and education. |
Contribution of malnutrition to infant and child deaths in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia
Madewell ZJ , Keita AM , Das PM , Mehta A , Akelo V , Oluoch OB , Omore R , Onyango D , Sagam CK , Cain CJ , Chukwuegbo C , Kaluma E , Luke R , Ogbuanu IU , Bassat Q , Kincardett M , Mandomando I , Rakislova N , Varo R , Xerinda EG , Dangor Z , du Toit J , Lala SG , Madhi SA , Mahtab S , Breines MR , Degefa K , Heluf H , Madrid L , Scott JAG , Sow SO , Tapia MD , El Arifeen S , Gurley ES , Hossain MZ , Islam KM , Rahman A , Mutevedzi PC , Whitney CG , Blau DM , Suchdev PS , Kotloff KL . BMJ Glob Health 2024 9 (12) INTRODUCTION: Malnutrition contributes to 45% of all childhood deaths globally, but these modelled estimates lack direct measurements in countries with high malnutrition and under-5 mortality rates. We investigated malnutrition's role in infant and child deaths in the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) network. METHODS: We analysed CHAMPS data from seven sites (Bangladesh, Ethiopia, Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Sierra Leone and South Africa) collected between 2016 and 2023. An expert panel assessed each death to determine whether malnutrition was an underlying, antecedent or immediate cause or other significant condition. Malnutrition was further classified based on postmortem anthropometry using WHO growth standards for underweight (z-scores for weight-for-age <-2), stunting (length-for-age <-2), and wasting (weight-for-length or MUAC Z-scores <-2). RESULTS: Of 1601 infant and child deaths, malnutrition was considered a causal or significant condition in 632 (39.5%) cases, including 85 (13.4%) with HIV infection. Postmortem measurements indicated 90.1%, 61.2% and 94.1% of these cases were underweight, stunted and wasted, respectively. Most malnutrition-related deaths (n=632) had an infectious cause (89.1%). The adjusted odds of having malnutrition as causal or significant condition were 2.4 (95% CI 1.7 to 3.2) times higher for deaths involving infectious diseases compared with other causes. Common pathogens in the causal pathway for malnutrition-related deaths included Klebsiella pneumoniae (30.4%), Streptococcus pneumoniae (21.5%), Plasmodium falciparum (18.7%) and Escherichia coli/Shigella (17.2%). CONCLUSION: Malnutrition was identified as a causal or significant factor in 39.5% of under-5 deaths in the CHAMPS network, often in combination with infectious diseases. These findings highlight the need for integrated interventions addressing both malnutrition and infectious diseases to effectively reduce under-5 mortality. |
Etiologies and comorbidities of meningitis deaths in children under 5 years in high-mortality settings: Insights from the CHAMPS Network in the post-pneumococcal vaccine era
Mahtab S , Madewell ZJ , Baillie V , Dangor Z , Lala SG , Assefa N , Berihun M , Madrid L , Regassa LD , Scott JAG , Ameh S , Bangura J , Ita O , Kaluma E , Ogbuanu IU , Gaume B , Kotloff KL , Sow SO , Tapia MD , Ajanovic S , Garrine M , Mandomando I , Varo R , Xerinda EG , Alam M , El Arifeen S , Gurley ES , Hossain MZ , Rahman A , Akelo V , Igunza KA , Onyango C , Onyango D , Verani JR , Mutevedzi P , Whitney CG , Blau DM , Madhi SA , Bassat Q . J Infect 2024 106341 BACKGROUND: The role of meningitis in causing deaths and in children under 5 is unclear, especially since widespread use of vaccines to prevent common causes of meningitis. Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) uses post-mortem minimally invasive tissue sampling (MITS) and ante-mortem data to explore death causes. We aimed to assess meningitis's contribution to mortality and identify causative pathogens in children under 5 within CHAMPS Network sites. METHOD: In this observational study, we analyzed deaths in live-born children <5 years of age that occurred between December 16, 2016, and December 31, 2023, in CHAMPS catchments in six sub-Saharan African countries (Ethiopia, Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Sierra Leone, South Africa) and Bangladesh. MITS was conducted within 24-72hours of death, including blood and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) culture, multi-organism targeted nucleic acid amplification tests on blood, CSF and lung tissue, and histopathology of lung, liver and brain. Expert panels at each site reviewed data to attribute causes of death following ICD-10 standards. RESULT: Meningitis was in the causal pathway for 7.0% (270/3857) of deaths; in 4.8% (13/270) meningitis was considered the underlying condition. Neonates accounted for 65.9% (178/270) and infants or children 34.1% (92/270). Among neonatal meningitis deaths, 55.6% (99/178) occurred ≥72hours post-hospital admission; and common pathogens were Acinetobacter baumannii (49.5%, 49/99; mainly from South Africa) and Klebsiella pneumoniae (40.4%, 40/99). Forty-four percent (79/178) of neonatal meningitis deaths were community-associated, primarily due to K. pneumoniae (35.4%, 28/79) and Escherichia coli (13.9%, 11/79). Among infant and child meningitis deaths, 43.5% (40/92) occurred ≥72hours post-admission; and common pathogens were K. pneumoniae (42.5%,17/40) and A. baumannii (17.5%, 7/40). Among community-associated meningitis deaths in infants and children (56.5%, 52/92), Streptococcus pneumoniae (34.6%, 18/52) and K. pneumoniae (19.2%, 10/52) were common pathogens. Pathogen prevalence varied by region. CONCLUSION: Our study highlights meningitis as a significant contributor to under-5 mortality in low-middle-income countries. The prominent role of K. pneumoniae and A. baumannii, particularly in healthcare settings and specific regions, highlights the need for better infection control, targeted interventions, and more effective treatment strategies. |
Factors influencing knowledge of COVID-19 prevention in Eastern Ethiopia
Dheresa M , Madewell ZJ , Muir JA , Getachew T , Daraje G , Mengesha G , Whitney CG , Assefa N , Cunningham SA . SAGE Open 2024 14 (3) This study examined coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) prevention knowledge among community residents in Eastern Ethiopia to support public health interventions and vaccination coverage. A cross-sectional survey in August-September 2021 recruited 880 participants from households in a Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) in Harari and Oromia, Ethiopia. Participants were randomly selected and interviewed in person using tablets and a standardized questionnaire. Principal components analysis was used to create a score representing COVID-19 prevention knowledge. Quasi-Poisson regression was used to examine associations between demographic characteristics and COVID-19 prevention knowledge. The survey also assessed awareness of community/government COVID-19 prevention measures and healthcare services for under-5 children and pregnant women. The most cited COVID-19 prevention measures were handwashing with soap (91.5%) and wearing facemasks (89.2%); least mentioned were avoiding travel (22.2%) and wearing medical gloves (20.3%). Commonly recognized community/government measures included school closures (77.0%), avoiding gatherings (75.2%), and staying home (62.3%). Adjusted analyses demonstrated higher COVID-19 prevention knowledge among rural participants, those aged ≥65 years (reference: <25), with secondary education (reference: no education), with monthly income of ≥2,001 Birr (reference: 0–1,200), and were farmers, domestic/subsistence workers, or government employees (reference: unemployed). Knowledge was lower among households with ≥5 household members. Of households with under-5 children and pregnant women, 9.4% and 12.3% missed medical care visits since mid-March 2020 consequent to the pandemic. Public health interventions to reduce COVID-19 transmission rely on risk perception and knowledge. Understanding these factors can help Ethiopian authorities design effective health education programs to control community and household SARS-CoV-2 transmission. © The Author(s) 2024. |
Neurological symptoms and cause of death among young children in low- and middle-income countries
Ajanovic S , Madewell ZJ , El Arifeen S , Gurley ES , Hossain MZ , Islam KM , Rahman A , Assefa N , Madrid L , Abdulahi M , Igunza KA , Murila F , Revathi G , Christopher M , Sow SO , Kotloff KL , Tapia MD , Traor CB , Mandomando I , Xerinda E , Varo R , Kincardett M , Ogbuanu IU , Nwajiobi-Princewill P , Swarray-Deen A , Luke R , Madhi SA , Mahtab S , Dangor Z , du Toit J , Akelo V , Mutevedzi P , Tippett Barr BA , Blau DM , Whitney CG , Bassat Q . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (9) e2431512 IMPORTANCE: The emergence of acute neurological symptoms in children necessitates immediate intervention. Although low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) bear the highest burden of neurological diseases, there is a scarcity of diagnostic and therapeutic resources. Therefore, current understanding of the etiology of neurological emergencies in LMICs relies mainly on clinical diagnoses and verbal autopsies. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the association of premortem neurological symptoms and their management with postmortem-confirmed cause of death among children aged younger than 5 years in LMICs and to identify current gaps and improve strategies to enhance child survival. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study was conducted between December 3, 2016, and July 22, 2022, at the 7 participating sites in the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) network (Bangladesh, Ethiopia, Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Sierra Leone, and South Africa). Minimally invasive tissue sampling was performed at the CHAMPS sites with specimens from deceased children aged younger than 5 years. This study included deceased children who underwent a premortem neurological evaluation and had a postmortem-confirmed cause of death. Data analysis was performed between July 22, 2022, and January 15, 2023. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Descriptive analysis was performed using neurological evaluations from premortem clinical records and from postmortem determination of cause of death (based on histopathology, microbiological testing, clinical records, and verbal autopsies). RESULTS: Of the 2127 deaths of children codified during the study period, 1330 (62.5%) had neurological evaluations recorded and were included in this analysis. The 1330 children had a median age of 11 (IQR, 2-324) days; 745 (56.0%) were male and 727 (54.7%) presented with neurological symptoms during illness before death. The most common postmortem-confirmed neurological diagnoses related to death were hypoxic events (308 [23.2%]), meningoencephalitis (135 [10.2%]), and cerebral malaria (68 [5.1%]). There were 12 neonates with overlapping hypoxic events and meningoencephalitis, but there were no patients with overlapping meningoencephalitis and cerebral malaria. Neurological symptoms were similar among diagnoses, and no combination of symptoms was accurate in differentiating them without complementary tools. However, only 25 children (18.5%) with meningitis had a lumbar puncture performed before death. Nearly 90% of deaths (442 of 511 [86.5%]) with neurological diagnoses in the chain of events leading to death were considered preventable. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional study of children aged younger than 5 years, neurological symptoms were frequent before death. However, clinical phenotypes were insufficient to differentiate the most common underlying neurological diagnoses. The low rate of lumbar punctures performed was especially worrying, suggesting a challenge in quality of care of children presenting with neurological symptoms. Improved diagnostic management of neurological emergencies is necessary to ultimately reduce mortality in this vulnerable population. |
Comparison of the sensitivity and specificity of commercial anti-dengue virus IgG tests to identify persons eligible for dengue vaccination
Medina FA , Vila F , Adams LE , Cardona J , Carrion J , Lamirande E , Acosta LN , De León-Rodríguez CM , Beltran M , Grau D , Rivera-Amill V , Balmaseda A , Harris E , Madewell ZJ , Waterman SH , Paz-Bailey G , Whitehead S , Muñoz-Jordán JL . J Clin Microbiol 2024 e0059324 The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommended that dengue pre-vaccination screening tests for Dengvaxia administration have at least 98% specificity and 75% sensitivity. This study evaluates the performance of commercial anti-DENV IgG tests to identify tests that could be used for pre-vaccination screening. First, for seven tests, we evaluated sensitivity and specificity in early convalescent dengue virus (DENV) infection, using 44 samples collected 7-30 days after symptom onset and confirmed by RT-PCR. Next, for the five best-performing tests and two additional tests (with and without an external test reader) that became available later, we evaluated performance to detect past dengue infection among a panel of 44 specimens collected in 2018-2019 from healthy 9- to 16-year-old children from Puerto Rico. Finally, a full-scale evaluation was done with the four best-performing tests using 400 specimens from the same population. We used virus focus reduction neutralization test and an in-house DENV IgG ELISA as reference standards. Of seven tests, five showed ≥75% sensitivity in detecting anti-DENV IgG in early convalescent specimens with low cross-reactivity to the Zika virus. For the detection of previous DENV infections, the tests with the highest performance were the Euroimmun NS1 IgG ELISA (sensitivity 84.5%, specificity 97.1%) and CTK Dengue IgG rapid test R0065C with the test reader (sensitivity 76.2% specificity 98.1%). There are IgG tests available that can be used to accurately classify individuals with previous DENV infection as eligible for dengue vaccination to support safe vaccine implementation. IMPORTANCE: The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) has set forth recommendations that dengue pre-vaccination screening tests must exhibit at least 98% specificity and 75% sensitivity. Our research rigorously assesses the performance of various commercial tests against these benchmarks using well-characterized specimens from Puerto Rico. The findings from our study are particularly relevant given FDA approval and ACIP recommendation of Sanofi Pasteur's Dengvaxia vaccine, highlighting the need for accurate pre-vaccination screening tools. |
Diagnostic accuracy of the Abbott BinaxNOW COVID-19 antigen card test, Puerto Rico
Madewell ZJ , Major CG , Graff N , Adams C , Rodriguez DM , Morales T , Medina Lopes NA , Tosado R , Sánchez-González L , Perez-Padilla J , Volkman HR , Bertrán-Pasarell J , Sainz de la Peña D , Munoz-Jordan J , Santiago GA , Lorenzi O , Rivera-Amill V , Rolfes MA , Paz-Bailey G , Adams LE , Wong JM . Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2024 18 (7) e13305 ![]() BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic underscored the need for rapid and accurate diagnostic tools. In August 2020, the Abbott BinaxNOW COVID-19 Antigen Card test became available as a timely and affordable alternative for SARS-CoV-2 molecular testing, but its performance may vary due to factors including timing and symptomatology. This study evaluates BinaxNOW diagnostic performance in diverse epidemiological contexts. METHODS: Using RT-PCR as reference, we assessed performance of the BinaxNOW COVID-19 test for SARS-CoV-2 detection in anterior nasal swabs from participants of two studies in Puerto Rico from December 2020 to May 2023. Test performance was assessed by days post symptom onset, collection strategy, vaccination status, symptomatology, repeated testing, and RT-PCR cycle threshold (Ct) values. RESULTS: BinaxNOW demonstrated an overall sensitivity of 84.1% and specificity of 98.8%. Sensitivity peaked within 1-6 days after symptom onset (93.2%) and was higher for symptomatic (86.3%) than asymptomatic (67.3%) participants. Sensitivity declined over the course of infection, dropping from 96.3% in the initial test to 48.4% in testing performed 7-14 days later. BinaxNOW showed 99.5% sensitivity in participants with low Ct values (≤ 25) but lower sensitivity (18.2%) for participants with higher Cts (36-40). CONCLUSIONS: BinaxNOW demonstrated high sensitivity and specificity, particularly in early-stage infections and symptomatic participants. In situations where test sensitivity is crucial for clinical decision-making, nucleic acid amplification tests are preferred. These findings highlight the importance of considering clinical and epidemiological context when interpreting test results and emphasize the need for ongoing research to adapt testing strategies to emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants. |
Clinicopathological discrepancies in the diagnoses of childhood causes of death in the CHAMPS network: An analysis of antemortem diagnostic inaccuracies
Leulseged H , Bethencourt C , Igunza KA , Akelo V , Onyango D , Omore R , Ogbuanu IU , Ameh S , Moseray A , Kowuor D , Bassey IA , El Arifeen S , Gurley ES , Hossain MZ , Rahman A , Alam M , Assefa N , Madrid L , Alemu A , Abdullahi YY , Kotloff KL , Sow SO , Tapia MD , Kourouma N , Sissoko S , Bassat Q , Varo R , Mandomando I , Carrilho C , Rakislova N , Fernandes F , Madhi S , Dangor Z , Mahtab S , Hale M , Baillie V , du Toit J , Madewell ZJ , Blau DM , Martines RB , Mutevedzi PC , Breiman RF , Whitney CG , Rees CA . BMJ Paediatr Open 2024 8 (1) INTRODUCTION: Determining aetiology of severe illness can be difficult, especially in settings with limited diagnostic resources, yet critical for providing life-saving care. Our objective was to describe the accuracy of antemortem clinical diagnoses in young children in high-mortality settings, compared with results of specific postmortem diagnoses obtained from Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS). METHODS: We analysed data collected during 2016-2022 from seven sites in Africa and South Asia. We compared antemortem clinical diagnoses from clinical records to a reference standard of postmortem diagnoses determined by expert panels at each site who reviewed the results of histopathological and microbiological testing of tissue, blood, and cerebrospinal fluid. We calculated test characteristics and 95% CIs of antemortem clinical diagnostic accuracy for the 10 most common causes of death. We classified diagnostic discrepancies as major and minor, per Goldman criteria later modified by Battle. RESULTS: CHAMPS enrolled 1454 deceased young children aged 1-59 months during the study period; 881 had available clinical records and were analysed. The median age at death was 11 months (IQR 4-21 months) and 47.3% (n=417) were female. We identified a clinicopathological discrepancy in 39.5% (n=348) of deaths; 82.3% of diagnostic errors were major. The sensitivity of clinician antemortem diagnosis ranged from 26% (95% CI 14.6% to 40.3%) for non-infectious respiratory diseases (eg, aspiration pneumonia, interstitial lung disease, etc) to 82.2% (95% CI 72.7% to 89.5%) for diarrhoeal diseases. Antemortem clinical diagnostic specificity ranged from 75.2% (95% CI 72.1% to 78.2%) for diarrhoeal diseases to 99.0% (95% CI 98.1% to 99.6%) for HIV. CONCLUSIONS: Antemortem clinical diagnostic errors were common for young children who died in areas with high childhood mortality rates. To further reduce childhood mortality in resource-limited settings, there is an urgent need to improve antemortem diagnostic capability through advances in the availability of diagnostic testing and clinical skills. |
Coronavirus awareness and household hardship survey data for the CHAMPS HDSS network: Data collected between April 2021 and February 2022 in the Manhiça HDSS, Mozambique
Muir JA , Matsena T , Madewell ZJ , Keiri F , Sacoor CN , Jamisse EL , Xerinda EG , Hunguana AM , Bassat Q , Mandomando I , Nhacolo A , Cunningham SA . Data Brief 2024 55 Data collection was implemented through an initiative by the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) Network to assess whether lockdowns and other social distancing policies during COVID-19 had implications for household economic status, maternal and child health, and healthcare accessibility for pregnant women and children. The data were collected from April 2021 until February 2022 from a population living in a rural community of Mozambique. This rural community is located within a Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) that operates in the Manhiça district of Maputo province. The survey instrument used for data collection was specifically designed to examine household awareness, knowledge, and prevalence of COVID-19; it was also designed to document hardships experienced by households during the pandemic period such as food insecurity, job losses and/or business closures of household members, and access to healthcare. The data are generalizable to a contiguous community in Manhiça, Mozambique of approximately 200,000 inhabitants. © 2024 The Author(s) |
Coronavirus awareness, prevention, and household hardship survey data for the CHAMPS HDSS network: Data collected between August and September of 2022 from the Bamako HDSS, Mali
Muir JA , Onwuchekwa UU , Madewell ZJ , Traore MO , Kourouma M , Keiri F , Cunningham SA , Sow SO , Tapia MD , Kotloff KL . Data Brief 2024 55 Data were gathered through a collaborative initiative to investigate impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and related lockdowns on child and maternal health, economic hardships, and access to care for children and pregnant women by the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) Network. The data were gathered in Bamako, the capital city of Mali (population ∼2.9 million) between August and September of 2022 through a Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS). Data collectors used a survey instrument specifically designed to measure household awareness, knowledge, and prevalence of COVID-19, as well as hardships that households experienced since the onset of the pandemic in March of 2020. The data are from two neighborhoods of Bamako, Banconi and Djicoroni; the Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) operating in these neighborhoods tracks the health of approximately 235,000 inhabitants. The data were collected using a stratified random sample of 454 households. © 2024 The Author(s) |
Sentinel enhanced dengue surveillance system - Puerto Rico, 2012-2022
Madewell ZJ , Hernandez-Romieu AC , Wong JM , Zambrano LD , Volkman HR , Perez-Padilla J , Rodriguez DM , Lorenzi O , Espinet C , Munoz-Jordan J , Frasqueri-Quintana VM , Rivera-Amill V , Alvarado-Domenech LI , Sainz D , Bertran J , Paz-Bailey G , Adams LE . MMWR Surveill Summ 2024 73 (3) 1-29 PROBLEM/CONDITION: Dengue is the most prevalent mosquitoborne viral illness worldwide and is endemic in Puerto Rico. Dengue's clinical spectrum can range from mild, undifferentiated febrile illness to hemorrhagic manifestations, shock, multiorgan failure, and death in severe cases. The disease presentation is nonspecific; therefore, various other illnesses (e.g., arboviral and respiratory pathogens) can cause similar clinical symptoms. Enhanced surveillance is necessary to determine disease prevalence, to characterize the epidemiology of severe disease, and to evaluate diagnostic and treatment practices to improve patient outcomes. The Sentinel Enhanced Dengue Surveillance System (SEDSS) was established to monitor trends of dengue and dengue-like acute febrile illnesses (AFIs), characterize the clinical course of disease, and serve as an early warning system for viral infections with epidemic potential. REPORTING PERIOD: May 2012-December 2022. DESCRIPTION OF SYSTEM: SEDSS conducts enhanced surveillance for dengue and other relevant AFIs in Puerto Rico. This report includes aggregated data collected from May 2012 through December 2022. SEDSS was launched in May 2012 with patients with AFIs from five health care facilities enrolled. The facilities included two emergency departments in tertiary acute care hospitals in the San Juan-Caguas-Guaynabo metropolitan area and Ponce, two secondary acute care hospitals in Carolina and Guayama, and one outpatient acute care clinic in Ponce. Patients arriving at any SEDSS site were eligible for enrollment if they reported having fever within the past 7 days. During the Zika epidemic (June 2016-June 2018), patients were eligible for enrollment if they had either rash and conjunctivitis, rash and arthralgia, or fever. Eligibility was expanded in April 2020 to include reported cough or shortness of breath within the past 14 days. Blood, urine, nasopharyngeal, and oropharyngeal specimens were collected at enrollment from all participants who consented. Diagnostic testing for dengue virus (DENV) serotypes 1-4, chikungunya virus, Zika virus, influenza A and B viruses, SARS-CoV-2, and five other respiratory viruses was performed by the CDC laboratory in San Juan. RESULTS: During May 2012-December 2022, a total of 43,608 participants with diagnosed AFI were enrolled in SEDSS; a majority of participants (45.0%) were from Ponce. During the surveillance period, there were 1,432 confirmed or probable cases of dengue, 2,293 confirmed or probable cases of chikungunya, and 1,918 confirmed or probable cases of Zika. The epidemic curves of the three arboviruses indicate dengue is endemic; outbreaks of chikungunya and Zika were sporadic, with case counts peaking in late 2014 and 2016, respectively. The majority of commonly identified respiratory pathogens were influenza A virus (3,756), SARS-CoV-2 (1,586), human adenovirus (1,550), respiratory syncytial virus (1,489), influenza B virus (1,430), and human parainfluenza virus type 1 or 3 (1,401). A total of 5,502 participants had confirmed or probable arbovirus infection, 11,922 had confirmed respiratory virus infection, and 26,503 had AFI without any of the arboviruses or respiratory viruses examined. INTERPRETATION: Dengue is endemic in Puerto Rico; however, incidence rates varied widely during the reporting period, with the last notable outbreak occurring during 2012-2013. DENV-1 was the predominant virus during the surveillance period; sporadic cases of DENV-4 also were reported. Puerto Rico experienced large outbreaks of chikungunya that peaked in 2014 and of Zika that peaked in 2016; few cases of both viruses have been reported since. Influenza A and respiratory syncytial virus seasonality patterns are distinct, with respiratory syncytial virus incidence typically reaching its annual peak a few weeks before influenza A. The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 led to a reduction in the circulation of other acute respiratory viruses. PUBLIC HEALTH ACTION: SEDSS is the only site-based enhanced surveillance system designed to gather information on AFI cases in Puerto Rico. This report illustrates that SEDSS can be adapted to detect dengue, Zika, chikungunya, COVID-19, and influenza outbreaks, along with other seasonal acute respiratory viruses, underscoring the importance of recognizing signs and symptoms of relevant diseases and understanding transmission dynamics among these viruses. This report also describes fluctuations in disease incidence, highlighting the value of active surveillance, testing for a panel of acute respiratory viruses, and the importance of flexible and responsive surveillance systems in addressing evolving public health challenges. Various vector control strategies and vaccines are being considered or implemented in Puerto Rico, and data from ongoing trials and SEDSS might be integrated to better understand epidemiologic factors underlying transmission and risk mitigation approaches. Data from SEDSS might guide sampling strategies and implementation of future trials to prevent arbovirus transmission, particularly during the expansion of SEDSS throughout the island to improve geographic representation. |
Nowcasting and forecasting the 2022 U.S. Mpox outbreak: Support for public health decision making and lessons learned
Charniga K , Madewell ZJ , Masters NB , Asher J , Nakazawa Y , Spicknall IH . Epidemics 2024 47 100755 ![]() In June of 2022, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Mpox Response wanted timely answers to important epidemiological questions which can now be answered more effectively through infectious disease modeling. Infectious disease models have shown to be valuable tools for decision making during outbreaks; however, model complexity often makes communicating the results and limitations of models to decision makers difficult. We performed nowcasting and forecasting for the 2022 mpox outbreak in the United States using the R package EpiNow2. We generated nowcasts/forecasts at the national level, by Census region, and for jurisdictions reporting the greatest number of mpox cases. Modeling results were shared for situational awareness within the CDC Mpox Response and publicly on the CDC website. We retrospectively evaluated forecast predictions at four key phases (early, exponential growth, peak, and decline) during the outbreak using three metrics, the weighted interval score, mean absolute error, and prediction interval coverage. We compared the performance of EpiNow2 with a naïve Bayesian generalized linear model (GLM). The EpiNow2 model had less probabilistic error than the GLM during every outbreak phase except for the early phase. We share our experiences with an existing tool for nowcasting/forecasting and highlight areas of improvement for the development of future tools. We also reflect on lessons learned regarding data quality issues and adapting modeling results for different audiences. |
Identifying delays in healthcare seeking and provision: The Three Delays-in-Healthcare and mortality among infants and children aged 1-59 months
Garcia Gomez E , Igunza KA , Madewell ZJ , Akelo V , Onyango D , El Arifeen S , Gurley ES , Hossain MZ , Chowdhury MAI , Islam KM , Assefa N , Scott JAG , Madrid L , Tilahun Y , Orlien S , Kotloff KL , Tapia MD , Keita AM , Mehta A , Magaço A , Torres-Fernandez D , Nhacolo A , Bassat Q , Mandomando I , Ogbuanu I , Cain CJ , Luke R , Kamara SIB , Legesse H , Madhi S , Dangor Z , Mahtab S , Wise A , Adam Y , Whitney CG , Mutevedzi PC , Blau DM , Breiman RF , Tippett Barr BA , Rees CA . PLOS Glob Public Health 2024 4 (2) e0002494 Delays in illness recognition, healthcare seeking, and in the provision of appropriate clinical care are common in resource-limited settings. Our objective was to determine the frequency of delays in the "Three Delays-in-Healthcare", and factors associated with delays, among deceased infants and children in seven countries with high childhood mortality. We conducted a retrospective, descriptive study using data from verbal autopsies and medical records for infants and children aged 1-59 months who died between December 2016 and February 2022 in six sites in sub-Saharan Africa and one in South Asia (Bangladesh) and were enrolled in Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS). Delays in 1) illness recognition in the home/decision to seek care, 2) transportation to healthcare facilities, and 3) the receipt of clinical care in healthcare facilities were categorized according to the "Three Delays-in-Healthcare". Comparisons in factors associated with delays were made using Chi-square testing. Information was available for 1,326 deaths among infants and under 5 children. The majority had at least one identified delay (n = 854, 64%). Waiting >72 hours after illness recognition to seek health care (n = 422, 32%) was the most common delay. Challenges in obtaining transportation occurred infrequently when seeking care (n = 51, 4%). In healthcare facilities, prescribed medications were sometimes unavailable (n = 102, 8%). Deceased children aged 12-59 months experienced more delay than infants aged 1-11 months (68% vs. 61%, P = 0.018). Delays in seeking clinical care were common among deceased infants and children. Additional study to assess the frequency of delays in seeking clinical care and its provision among children who survive is warranted. |
Post-mortem investigation of deaths due to pneumonia in children aged 1-59 months in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia from 2016 to 2022: an observational study
Mahtab S , Blau DM , Madewell ZJ , Ogbuanu I , Ojulong J , Lako S , Legesse H , Bangura JS , Bassat Q , Mandomando I , Xerinda E , Fernandes F , Varo R , Sow SO , Kotloff KL , Tapia MD , Keita AM , Sidibe D , Onyango D , Akelo V , Gethi D , Verani JR , Revathi G , Scott JAG , Assefa N , Madrid L , Bizuayehu H , Tirfe TT , El Arifeen S , Gurley ES , Islam KM , Alam M , Zahid Hossain M , Dangor Z , Baillie VL , Hale M , Mutevedzi P , Breiman RF , Whitney CG , Madhi SA . Lancet Child Adolesc Health 2024 BACKGROUND: The Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) Network programme undertakes post-mortem minimally invasive tissue sampling (MITS), together with collection of ante-mortem clinical information, to investigate causes of childhood deaths across multiple countries. We aimed to evaluate the overall contribution of pneumonia in the causal pathway to death and the causative pathogens of fatal pneumonia in children aged 1-59 months enrolled in the CHAMPS Network. METHODS: In this observational study we analysed deaths occurring between Dec 16, 2016, and Dec 31, 2022, in the CHAMPS Network across six countries in sub-Saharan Africa (Ethiopia, Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Sierra Leone, and South Africa) and one in South Asia (Bangladesh). A standardised approach of MITS was undertaken on decedents within 24-72 h of death. Diagnostic tests included blood culture, multi-organism targeted nucleic acid amplifications tests (NAATs) of blood and lung tissue, and histopathology examination of various organ tissue samples. An interdisciplinary expert panel at each site reviewed case data to attribute the cause of death and pathogenesis thereof on the basis of WHO-recommended reporting standards. FINDINGS: Pneumonia was attributed in the causal pathway of death in 455 (40·6%) of 1120 decedents, with a median age at death of 9 (IQR 4-19) months. Causative pathogens were identified in 377 (82·9%) of 455 pneumonia deaths, and multiple pathogens were implicated in 218 (57·8%) of 377 deaths. 306 (67·3%) of 455 deaths occurred in the community or within 72 h of hospital admission (presumed to be community-acquired pneumonia), with the leading bacterial pathogens being Streptococcus pneumoniae (108 [35·3%]), Klebsiella pneumoniae (78 [25·5%]), and non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae (37 [12·1%]). 149 (32·7%) deaths occurred 72 h or more after hospital admission (presumed to be hospital-acquired pneumonia), with the most common pathogens being K pneumoniae (64 [43·0%]), Acinetobacter baumannii (19 [12·8%]), S pneumoniae (15 [10·1%]), and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (15 [10·1%]). Overall, viruses were implicated in 145 (31·9%) of 455 pneumonia-related deaths, including 54 (11·9%) of 455 attributed to cytomegalovirus and 29 (6·4%) of 455 attributed to respiratory syncytial virus. INTERPRETATION: Pneumonia contributed to 40·6% of all childhood deaths in this analysis. The use of post-mortem MITS enabled biological ascertainment of the cause of death in the majority (82·9%) of childhood deaths attributed to pneumonia, with more than one pathogen being commonly implicated in the same case. The prominent role of K pneumoniae, non-typable H influenzae, and S pneumoniae highlight the need to review empirical management guidelines for management of very severe pneumonia in low-income and middle-income settings, and the need for research into new or improved vaccines against these pathogens. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
Burden of child mortality from malaria in high endemic areas: results from the CHAMPS Network using minimally invasive tissue sampling
Ogbuanu IU , Otieno K , Varo R , Sow SO , Ojulong J , Duduyemi B , Kowuor D , Cain CJ , Rogena EA , Onyango D , Akelo V , Tippett Barr BA , terKuile F , Kotloff KL , Tapia MD , Keita AM , Juma J , Assefa N , Assegid N , Acham Y , Madrid L , Scott JAG , Arifeen SE , Gurley ES , Mahtab S , Dangor Z , Wadula J , Dutoit J , Madhi SA , Mandomando I , Torres-Fernandez D , Kincardett M , Mabunda R , Mutevedzi P , Madewell ZJ , Blau DM , Whitney CG , Samuels AM , Bassat Q . J Infect 2024 BACKGROUND: Malaria is a leading cause of childhood mortality worldwide. However, accurate estimates of malaria prevalence and causality among patients who die at the country level are lacking due to the limited specificity of diagnostic tools used to attribute etiologies. Accurate estimates are crucial for prioritizing interventions and resources aimed at reducing malaria-related mortality. METHODS: Seven Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) Network sites collected comprehensive data on stillbirths and children <5 years, using minimally invasive tissue sampling (MITS). A DeCoDe (Determination of Cause of Death) panel employed standardized protocols for assigning underlying, intermediate, and immediate causes of death, integrating sociodemographic, clinical, laboratory (including extensive microbiology, histopathology, and malaria testing), and verbal autopsy data. Analyses were conducted to ascertain the strength of evidence for cause of death (CoD), describe factors associated with malaria-related deaths, estimate malaria-specific mortality, and assess the proportion of preventable deaths. FINDINGS: Between December 3, 2016, and December 31, 2022, 2673 deaths underwent MITS and had a CoD attributed from four CHAMPS sites with at least 1 malaria-attributed death. No malaria-attributable deaths were documented among 891 stillbirths or 924 neonatal deaths, therefore this analysis concentrates on the remaining 858 deaths among children aged 1-59 months. Malaria was in the causal chain for 42.9% (126/294) of deaths from Sierra Leone, 31.4% (96/306) in Kenya, 18.2% (36/198) in Mozambique, 6.7% (4/60) in Mali, and 0.3% (1/292) in South Africa. Compared to non-malaria related deaths, malaria-related deaths skewed towards older infants and children (p<0.001), with 71.0% among ages 12-59 months. Malaria was the sole infecting pathogen in 184 (70.2%) of malaria-attributed deaths, whereas bacterial and viral co-infections were identified in the causal pathway in 24·0% and 12.2% of cases, respectively. Malnutrition was found at a similar level in the causal pathway of both malaria (26.7%) and non-malaria (30.7%, p=0.256) deaths. Less than two-thirds (164/262; 62.6%) of malaria deaths had received antimalarials prior to death. Nearly all (98·9%) malaria-related deaths were deemed preventable. INTERPRETATION: Malaria remains a significant cause of childhood mortality in the CHAMPS malaria-endemic sites. The high bacterial co-infection prevalence among malaria deaths underscores the potential benefits of antibiotics for severe malaria patients. Compared to non-malaria deaths, many of malaria-attributed deaths are preventable through accessible malaria control measures. FUNDING: This work was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation [OPP1126780]. |
Child deaths caused by Klebsiella pneumoniae in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia: a secondary analysis of Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) data
Verani JR , Blau DM , Gurley ES , Akelo V , Assefa N , Baillie V , Bassat Q , Berhane M , Bunn J , Cossa ACA , El Arifeen S , Gunturu R , Hale M , Igunza A , Keita AM , Kenneh S , Kotloff KL , Kowuor D , Mabunda R , Madewell ZJ , Madhi S , Madrid L , Mahtab S , Miguel J , Murila FV , Ogbuanu IU , Ojulong J , Onyango D , Oundo JO , Scott JAG , Sow S , Tapia M , Traore CB , Velaphi S , Whitney CG , Mandomando I , Breiman RF . Lancet Microbe 2024 BACKGROUND: Klebsiella pneumoniae is an important cause of nosocomial and community-acquired pneumonia and sepsis in children, and antibiotic-resistant K pneumoniae is a growing public health threat. We aimed to characterise child mortality associated with this pathogen in seven high-mortality settings. METHODS: We analysed Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) data on the causes of deaths in children younger than 5 years and stillbirths in sites located in seven countries across sub-Saharan Africa (Ethiopia, Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Sierra Leone, and South Africa) and south Asia (Bangladesh) from Dec 9, 2016, to Dec 31, 2021. CHAMPS sites conduct active surveillance for deaths in catchment populations and following reporting of an eligible death or stillbirth seek consent for minimally invasive tissue sampling followed by extensive aetiological testing (microbiological, molecular, and pathological); cases are reviewed by expert panels to assign immediate, intermediate, and underlying causes of death. We reported on susceptibility to antibiotics for which at least 30 isolates had been tested, and excluded data on antibiotics for which susceptibility testing is not recommended for Klebsiella spp due to lack of clinical activity (eg, penicillin and ampicillin). FINDINGS: Among 2352 child deaths with cause of death assigned, 497 (21%, 95% CI 20-23) had K pneumoniae in the causal chain of death; 100 (20%, 17-24) had K pneumoniae as the underlying cause. The frequency of K pneumoniae in the causal chain was highest in children aged 1-11 months (30%, 95% CI 26-34; 144 of 485 deaths) and 12-23 months (28%, 22-34; 63 of 225 deaths); frequency by site ranged from 6% (95% CI 3-11; 11 of 184 deaths) in Bangladesh to 52% (44-61; 71 of 136 deaths) in Ethiopia. K pneumoniae was in the causal chain for 450 (22%, 95% CI 20-24) of 2023 deaths that occurred in health facilities and 47 (14%, 11-19) of 329 deaths in the community. The most common clinical syndromes among deaths with K pneumoniae in the causal chain were sepsis (44%, 95% CI 40-49; 221 of 2352 deaths), sepsis in conjunction with pneumonia (19%, 16-23; 94 of 2352 deaths), and pneumonia (16%, 13-20; 80 of 2352 deaths). Among K pneumoniae isolates tested, 121 (84%) of 144 were resistant to ceftriaxone and 80 (75%) of 106 to gentamicin. INTERPRETATION: K pneumoniae substantially contributed to deaths in the first 2 years of life across multiple high-mortality settings, and resistance to antibiotics used for sepsis treatment was common. Improved strategies are needed to rapidly identify and appropriately treat children who might be infected with this pathogen. These data suggest a potential impact of developing and using effective K pneumoniae vaccines in reducing neonatal, infant, and child deaths globally. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
Prevalence of food insecurity amid COVID-19 lockdowns and sociodemographic indicators of household vulnerability in Harar and Kersa, Ethiopia
Muir JA , Dheresa M , Madewell ZJ , Getachew T , Daraje G , Mengesha G , Whitney CG , Assefa N , Cunningham SA . BMC Nutr 2024 10 (1) 7 BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with widespread social disruptions, as governments implemented lockdowns to quell disease spread. To advance knowledge of consequences for households in resource-limited countries, we examine food insecurity during the pandemic period. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study and used logistic regression to examine factors associated with food insecurity. Data were collected between August and September of 2021 through a Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) using a survey instrument focused on knowledge regarding the spread of COVID-19; food availability; COVID-19 related shocks/coping; under-five child healthcare services; and healthcare services for pregnant women. The study is set in two communities in Eastern Ethiopia, one rural (Kersa) and one urban (Harar), and included a random sample of 880 households. RESULTS: Roughly 16% of households reported not having enough food to eat during the pandemic, an increase of 6% since before the pandemic. After adjusting for other variables, households were more likely to report food insecurity if they were living in an urban area, were a larger household, had a family member lose employment, reported an increase in food prices, or were food insecure before the pandemic. Households were less likely to report food insecurity if they were wealthier or had higher household income. CONCLUSIONS: After taking individual and household level sociodemographic characteristics into consideration, households in urban areas were at higher risk for food insecurity. These findings suggest a need for expanding food assistance programs to more urban areas to help mitigate the impact of lockdowns on more vulnerable households. |
Notes from the field: Transmission of Mpox to nonsexual close contacts - Two U.S. Jurisdictions, May 1-July 31, 2022
Thomas ES , Madewell ZJ , Still WL , Rowse J , Shapiro B , Gately E , Shaffner J , Mangla AT , Ricaldi JN . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (50) 1351-1352 During the 2022 multinational mpox outbreak, U.S. mpox cases primarily occurred among adult gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (1). Among all cases, 94% of patients reported exposure through sexual or other intimate contact (1). Currently, little is known about less common nonsexual mpox transmission. A systematic review of mpox transmission in countries with endemic mpox in Central Africa found that the secondary attack rate among unvaccinated household contacts ranged from 0% to 11%, with a pooled estimate of 8% (2). A better understanding of the risk for nonsexual transmission during the current outbreak in countries where mpox is not endemic is important for developing and implementing future prevention and control strategies. |
Modeling the impacts of antiviral prophylaxis strategies in mitigating seasonal influenza outbreaks in nursing homes
Morris SE , Zipfel CM , Peer K , Madewell ZJ , Brenner S , Garg S , Paul P , Slayton RB , Biggerstaff M . Clin Infect Dis 2023 BACKGROUND: Antiviral chemoprophylaxis is recommended for use during influenza outbreaks in nursing homes to prevent transmission and severe disease among non-ill residents. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) guidance recommends prophylaxis be initiated for all non-ill residents once an influenza outbreak is detected and be continued for at least 14 days and until seven days after the last laboratory-confirmed influenza case is identified. However, not all facilities strictly adhere to this guidance and the impact of such partial adherence is not fully understood. METHODS: We developed a stochastic compartmental framework to model influenza transmission within an average-sized U.S. nursing home. We compared the number of symptomatic illnesses and hospitalizations under varying prophylaxis implementation strategies, in addition to different levels of prophylaxis uptake and adherence by residents and healthcare personnel (HCP). RESULTS: Prophylaxis implemented according to current guidance reduced total symptomatic illnesses and hospitalizations among residents by an average of 12% and 36%, respectively, compared with no prophylaxis. We did not find evidence that alternative implementations of prophylaxis were more effective: compared to full adoption of current guidance, partial adoption resulted in increased symptomatic illnesses and/or hospitalizations, and longer or earlier adoption offered no additional improvements. In addition, increasing uptake and adherence among nursing home residents was effective in reducing resident illnesses and hospitalizations, but increasing HCP uptake had minimal indirect impacts for residents. CONCLUSIONS: The greatest benefits of influenza prophylaxis during nursing home outbreaks will likely be achieved through increasing uptake and adherence among residents and following current CDC guidance. |
Hepatic vitamin A concentrations and association with infectious causes of child death
Gupta PM , Madewell ZJ , Gannon BM , Grahn M , Akelo V , Onyango D , Mahtab S , Madhi SA , Giri J , Blau DM , Ramakrishnan U , Stein AD , Whitney CG , Young MF , Tanumihardjo SA , Suchdev PS . J Pediatr 2023 265 113816 OBJECTIVES: To assess postmortem vitamin A (VA) concentrations in children under 5 years of age and evaluate the association between vitamin A deficiency (VAD) and infectious causes of death (CoD). STUDY DESIGN: In this cross-sectional study from the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) Network, liver biopsies collected within 72 hours of death were analyzed from 405 stillbirths and children under 5 years in Kenya and South Africa. Total liver vitamin A (VA) concentrations were quantified using ultra-performance liquid chromatography, and cutoffs of ≤0.1 μmol/g, >0.1 to <0.7 μmol/g, ≥0.7 to <1.0 μmol/g, and ≥1.0 μmol/g were used to define VAD, adequate VA status, high VA, and hypervitaminosis A, respectively. Causes of death (CoD) were determined by expert panel review. RESULTS: Among 366 liver samples with viable extraction, pooled prevalences of VAD, adequacy, high VA, and hypervitaminosis were 34.2%, 51.1%, 6.0%, and 8.7%, respectively. VAD was more common among neonates compared with stillbirths, infants, or children, and among those with low birthweight, underweight, or stunting (p<0.05). When adjusting for site, age, and sex, there was no significant association of VAD with increased infectious CoD (OR 1.9, 95%CI 0.9, 3.8, p=0.073). In stratified analyses, VA deficient boys, but not girls, had an increased risk of infectious CoD (OR 3.4, 95%CI 1.3, 10.3, p=0.013). CONCLUSIONS: Definitive post-mortem assessment of VA status identified both VAD and VA excess among children under 5 years of age in Kenya and South Africa. VAD in boys was associated with increased risk of infectious mortality. Our findings may inform a transition from universal VA supplementation to targeted strategies in certain countries. |
Knowledge of COVID-19 symptoms, transmission, and prevention: Evidence from health and demographic surveillance in Southern Mozambique
Nhacolo A , Madewell ZJ , Muir JA , Sacoor C , Xerinda E , Matsena T , Jamisse E , Bassat Q , Whitney CG , Mandomando I , Cunningham SA . PLOS Glob Public Health 2023 3 (11) e0002532 Understanding community members' knowledge of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and prevention is essential for directing public health interventions to reduce disease spread and improve vaccination coverage. Here, we describe knowledge of COVID-19 transmission, prevention, and symptoms among community residents in Mozambique. We conducted a cross-sectional survey among 33,087 households in a Health and Demographic Surveillance System in Manhiça, Mozambique. Participants were recruited in April 2021 before the Delta variant wave to the peak of Omicron cases in February 2022. Principal components analysis was used to create scores representing knowledge of COVID-19 symptoms, transmission, and prevention. Multiple imputation and quasi-Poisson regression were used to examine associations between demographic characteristics and sources of COVID-19 information, and knowledge of COVID-19 symptoms, transmission, and prevention. We examined whether sources of COVID-19 information mediated the relationship between educational attainment and knowledge of symptoms, transmission, and prevention. Across this rural community, 98.2%, 97.0%, and 85.1% of respondents reported knowing how COVID-19 could be prevented, that SARS-CoV-2 can cause disease, and how SARS-CoV-2 is transmitted, respectively. The most recognized COVID-19 symptoms were cough (51.2%), headaches (44.9%), and fever (44.5%); transmission mechanisms were saliva droplets (50.5%) or aerosol (46.9%) from an infected person; and prevention measures were handwashing (91.9%) and mask-wearing (91.8%). Characteristics associated with greater knowledge of symptoms, transmission, and prevention included having at least primary education, older age, employment, higher wealth, and Christian religion. Respondents who had experienced COVID-19 symptoms were also more likely to possess knowledge of symptoms, transmission, and prevention. Receiving information from television, WhatsApp, radio, and hospital, mediated the relationship between educational attainment and knowledge scores. These findings support the need for outreach and for community-engaged messaging to promote prevention measures, particularly among people with low education. |
Household hardships and responses to COVID-19 pandemic-related shocks in Eastern Ethiopia
Muir JA , Dheresa M , Madewell ZJ , Getachew T , Daraje G , Mengesha G , Whitney CG , Assefa N , Cunningham SA . BMC Public Health 2023 23 (1) 2086 BACKGROUND: COVID-19 resulted in enormous disruption to life around the world. To quell disease spread, governments implemented lockdowns that likely created hardships for households. To improve knowledge of consequences, we examine how the pandemic period was associated with household hardships and assess factors associated with these hardships. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study using quasi-Poisson regression to examine factors associated with household hardships. Data were collected between August and September of 2021 from a random sample of 880 households living within a Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) located in the Harari Region and the District of Kersa, both in Eastern Ethiopia. RESULTS: Having a head of household with no education, residing in a rural area, larger household size, lower income and/or wealth, and community responses to COVID-19, including lockdowns and travel restrictions, were independently associated with experiencing household hardships. CONCLUSIONS: Our results identify characteristics of groups at-risk for household hardships during the pandemic; these findings may inform efforts to mitigate the consequences of COVID-19 and future disease outbreaks. |
Provider adherence to clinical care recommendations for infants and children who died in seven low- and middle-income countries in the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) network
Rees CA , Igunza KA , Madewell ZJ , Akelo V , Onyango D , El Arifeen S , Gurley ES , Hossain MZ , Rahman A , Alam M , Scott JAG , Assefa N , Madrid L , Belachew A , Leulseged H , Kotloff KL , Sow SO , Tapia MD , Keita AM , Sidibe D , Sitoe A , Varo R , Ajanovic S , Bassat Q , Mandomando I , Tippett Barr BA , Ogbuanu I , Cain CJ , Bassey IA , Luke R , Gassama K , Madhi S , Dangor Z , Mahtab S , Velaphi S , du Toit J , Mutevedzi PC , Blau DM , Breiman RF , Whitney CG . EClinicalMedicine 2023 63 102198 BACKGROUND: Most childhood deaths globally are considered preventable through high-quality clinical care, which includes adherence to clinical care recommendations. Our objective was to describe adherence to World Health Organization recommendations for the management of leading causes of death among children. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, descriptive study examining clinical data for children aged 1-59 months who were hospitalized and died in a Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) catchment, December 2016-June 2021. Catchment areas included: Baliakandi and Faridpur, Bangladesh; Kersa, Haramaya, and Harar, Ethiopia; Kisumu and Siaya, Kenya; Bamako, Mali; Manhiça and Quelimane, Mozambique; Makeni, Sierra Leone; Soweto, South Africa. We reviewed medical records of those who died from lower respiratory tract infections, sepsis, malnutrition, malaria, and diarrheal diseases to determine the proportion who received recommended treatments and compared adherence by hospitalization duration. FINDINGS: CHAMPS enrolled 460 hospitalized children who died from the leading causes (median age 12 months, 53.0% male). Median hospital admission was 31 h. There were 51.0% (n = 127/249) of children who died from lower respiratory tract infections received supplemental oxygen. Administration of intravenous fluids for sepsis (15.9%, n = 36/226) and supplemental feeds for malnutrition (14.0%, n = 18/129) were uncommon. There were 51.4% (n = 55/107) of those who died from malaria received antimalarials. Of the 80 children who died from diarrheal diseases, 76.2% received intravenous fluids. Those admitted for ≥24 h more commonly received antibiotics for lower respiratory tract infections and sepsis, supplemental feeds for malnutrition, and intravenous fluids for sepsis than those admitted <24 h. INTERPRETATION: Provision of recommended clinical care for leading causes of death among young children was suboptimal. Further studies are needed to understand the reasons for deficits in clinical care recommendation adherence. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
COVID-19 impact data for the CHAMPS HDSS network: Data from Harar and Kersa, Ethiopia
Muir JA , Dheresa M , Madewell ZJ , Getachew T , Daraje G , Mengesha G , Whitney CG , Assefa N , Cunningham SA . Data Brief 2023 50 109508 Data were collected as part of the Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) network to learn about the effects of COVID-19 lockdowns on child health and access to care. Data were collected between August and September 2021 through a Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) operating in Eastern Ethiopia using a survey instrument focused on knowledge about COVID-19 and changes in food availability and healthcare services during the COVID-19 related lockdown. The data are representative of two communities in Eastern Ethiopia, one rural (Kersa) and one urban (Harar), and consist of a random sample of 880 households. |
Stillbirths and neonatal deaths caused by group B streptococcus in Africa and South Asia identified through Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS)
Mahtab S , Madewell ZJ , Madhi SA , Wise A , Swart PJ , Velaphi S , Mandomando I , Bramugy J , Mabunda R , Xerinda E , Scott AG , Assefa N , Madrid L , Bweihun M , Temesgen F , Onyango D , Akelo V , Oliech R , Otieno P , Verani JR , Arifeen SE , Gurley ES , Alam M , Rahman A , Hossain MZ , Sow S , Kotloff K , Tapia M , Keita AM , Sanogo D , Ogbuanu I , Ojulong J , Lako S , Ita O , Kaluma E , Wilson T , Mutevedzi P , Barr BAT , Whitney CG , Blau DM , Bassat Q . Open Forum Infect Dis 2023 10 (9) ofad356 BACKGROUND: Invasive Group B Streptococcus (GBS) is a common cause of early-onset neonatal sepsis and is also associated with stillbirth. This study aimed to determine the proportion of stillborn infants and infants who died between 0 and 90 days attributable to GBS using postmortem minimally invasive tissue sampling (MITS) in 7 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) participating in Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS). METHODS: Deaths that occurred between December 2016 and December 2021 were investigated with MITS, including culture for bacteria of blood and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), multipathogen polymerase chain reaction on blood, CSF, and lung tissue and histopathology of lung, liver, and brain. Data collection included clinical record review and verbal autopsy. Expert panels reviewed all information and assigned causes of death. RESULTS: We evaluated 2966 deaths, including stillborn infants (n = 1322), infants who died during first day of life (0 to <24 hours, n = 597), early neonatal deaths (END) (1 day to <7 days; END; n = 593), and deaths from 7 to 90 days (n = 454). Group B Streptococcus was determined to be in the causal pathway of death for 2.7% of infants (79 of 2, 966; range, 0.3% in Sierra Leone to 7.2% in South Africa), including 2.3% (31 of 1322) of stillbirths, 4.7% (28 of 597) 0 to <24 hours, 1.9% (11 of 593) END, and 2.0% (9 of 454) of deaths from 7 to 90 days of age. Among deaths attributed to GBS with birth weight data available, 61.9% (39 of 63) of decedents weighed <2500 grams at birth. Group B Streptococcus sepsis was the postmortem diagnosis for 100% (31 of 31) of stillbirths. For deaths <90 days, postmortem diagnoses included GBS sepsis (83.3%, 40 of 48), GBS meningitis (4.2%, 2 of 48), and GBS pneumonia (2.1%, 1 of 48). CONCLUSIONS: Our study reveals significant heterogeneity in the contribution of invasive GBS disease to infant mortality across different countries, emphasizing the need for tailored prevention strategies. Moreover, our findings highlight the substantial impact of GBS on stillbirths, shedding light on a previously underestimated aspect in LMICs. |
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