Last data update: Nov 04, 2024. (Total: 48056 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 372 Records) |
Query Trace: Khan AN[original query] |
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Successful collaborations that resulted in increased U.S. diagnostic testing during the 2022 Mpox outbreak
Hutson CL , Villanueva J , Stenzel T , Olson VA , Gerald N , McNall R , Courtney S , Aden T , Rager S , Egan C , Blevins P , Kuhnert W , Davidson W , Khan T , Baird N , Kling C , Van Meter S , Chaitram J , Salerno RM . J Public Health Manag Pract 2024 CONTEXT: The first case of mpox was detected in the United States in a Laboratory Response Network (LRN) laboratory at the Massachusetts Department of Public Health on May 17, 2022. Through previous years of smallpox preparedness efforts by the United States government, testing capacity in LRN laboratories across the United States utilizing the FDA-cleared Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Non-variola orthopoxvirus (NVO) test was approximately 6000 tests weekly across the nation prior to the mpox outbreak. By early June 2022, the LRN laboratories had capacity to perform up to 8000 tests per week. As the outbreak expanded, cases were identified in every United States state, peaking at ~3000 cases per week nationally in August 2022. OBJECTIVE: Although NVO testing capacity in LRN laboratories exceeded national mpox testing demand overall, LRN testing access in some areas was challenged and test expansion was necessary. PARTICIPANTS: CDC engaged with partners and select commercial laboratories early to increase diagnostic testing access by allowing these commercial laboratories to utilize the NVO test. SETTING: The expansion of testing to commercial laboratories increased testing availability, capacity, and volume nationwide. This was the first time that CDC shared an FDA 510k-cleared molecular test with commercial laboratories to support a public health emergency. DESIGN: Extensive efforts were made to ensure the CDC NVO test was used appropriately in the private sector and that the transfer process met regulatory requirements. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES, RESULTS, CONCLUSIONS: These novel methods to expand NVO testing to commercial laboratories increased national testing capacity to 80 000 mpox tests/week. Test volumes among these laboratories never exceeded this expanded capacity. The rapid increase in the nation's testing capacity, in conjunction and coordination with other public and private health efforts, helped to detect cases rapidly. These actions demonstrated the importance of highly functional and efficient public health and private sector partnerships for responding to public health emergencies. |
Estimates of potential demand for measles and rubella microarray patches
Kayembe LK , Fischer LS , Adhikari BB , Knapp JK , Khan EB , Greening BR , Papania M , Meltzer MI . Vaccines (Basel) 2024 12 (9) Global measles vaccine coverage has stagnated at approximately 85% for over a decade. By simplifying vaccine logistics and administration, the measles and rubella microarray patch (MR-MAP) may improve coverage. Clinical trials have demonstrated similar safety and immunogenicity in 9-month-old infants for MR-MAPs compared with syringe-and-needle vaccination. To aid commercialization, we present estimates of MR-MAP demand. We created a spreadsheet-based tool to estimate demand for MR-MAPs using data from 180 WHO countries during 2000-2016. Five immunization scenarios were analyzed: (1a) Supplementary Immunization Activities (SIAs) in Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance (Gavi)-eligible countries and (1b) WHO countries where preventive SIAs are routinely conducted; (2) SIAs and outbreak response immunization in all WHO countries; (3) routine immunization (RI) and SIAs in six high-burden measles countries (the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Pakistan); (4) RI and SIAs in six high-burden countries and Gavi-eligible countries; and (5) hard-to-reach populations. MR-MAP demand varied greatly across scenarios. Forecasts for 2025-2034 estimate from 137 million doses in hard-to-reach populations (scenario 5) to 2.587 billion doses for RI and SIAs in six high-burden countries and Gavi-eligible countries (scenario 4). When policymakers and manufacturers assess MR-MAP demand, they may consider multiple scenarios to allow for a complete consideration of potential markets and public health needs. |
Cardiovascular disease mortality trends, 2010-2022: An update with final data
Woodruff RC , Tong X , Loustalot F , Khan SS , Shah NS , Jackson SL , Vaughan AS . Am J Prev Med 2024 INTRODUCTION: Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) increased in 2020 and 2021, and provisional data indicated an increase in 2022, resulting in substantial excess CVD deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic. Updated estimates using final data for 2022 are needed. METHODS: The National Vital Statistics System's final Multiple Cause of Death files were analyzed in 2024 to calculate AAMR from 2010 to 2022 and excess deaths from 2020 to 2022 for US adults aged ≥35 years, with CVD as the underlying cause of death. RESULTS: The CVD AAMR among adults aged ≥35 years in 2022 was 434.6 deaths per 100,000 (95% CI: 433.8, 435.5), which was lower than in 2021 (451.8 deaths per 100,000; 95% CI: 450.9, 452.7). The most recent year with a similarly high CVD AAMR as in 2022 was 2012 (434.7 deaths per 100,000 population, 95% CI: 433.8, 435.7). The CVD AAMR for 2022 calculated using provisional data over-estimated the AAMR calculated using final data by 4.6% (95% CI: 4.3%, 4.9%) or 19.9 (95% CI: 18.6, 21.2) deaths per 100,000 population. From 2020 to 2022, an estimated 190,661 (95% CI: 158,139, 223,325) excess CVD deaths occurred. CONCLUSIONS: In 2022, the CVD AAMR among adults aged ≥35 years did not increase, but rather declined from a peak in 2021, signaling improvements in adverse mortality trends that began in 2020, amid the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the 2022 CVD AAMR remains higher than observed before the COVID-19 pandemic, indicating an ongoing need for cardiovascular disease prevention, detection, and management. |
The unspoken wounds: Understanding the psychological impact on healthcare professionals fighting COVID-19 in Pakistan
Khan R , Javed H , Fatima W , Ahsan A , Khan MIU , Ahmad S , Khurshid M . Transboundary and Emerging Diseases 2024 2024(no pagination) During the COVID-19 pandemic, hospital staff faced numerous mental health challenges. However, limited research focused on anxiety and stress specifically among hospital workers during this time. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the anxiety levels of healthcare workers during the COVID-19 pandemic. A multidimensional, cross-sectional survey was distributed to healthcare workers and staff at hospitals, COVID-19 laboratories, and healthcare settings. The survey included a total of 625 frontline healthcare workers, with 445 (71.2%) being male and 180 (28.8%) female. There were 405 (64.8%) lab professionals, 90 (14.0%) doctors, and 130 (20.8%) others, including nursing staff, administrative personnel, and supporting staff crucial to the functioning of healthcare settings. Among the lab professionals, 37.0% reported moderate depression levels and 16.0% reported severe depression levels during the pandemic. For doctors, 22.2% experienced mild depression and 33.33% experienced severe depression. Several factors were significantly associated with depression and anxiety among frontline healthcare workers, including physiological and social factors, fear of infection, risk of infecting family members and colleagues, lack of personal protective equipment (PPE), long working hours, untrained staff, social issues, and cooperation problems. These factors collectively contributed to reduced work efficacy during the pandemic. Frontline health workers played a critical role in the fight against COVID-19. The findings from this study have important implications for developing strategies to improve the mental health of healthcare workers during the pandemic and implementing policies that enhance work efficacy, ultimately leading to the improved outcomes. Copyright © 2024 Rimsha Khan et al. |
Progress toward poliomyelitis eradication - Pakistan, January 2023-June 2024
Mbaeyi C , Ul Haq A , Safdar RM , Khan Z , Corkum M , Henderson E , Wadood ZM , Alam MM , Franka R . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (36) 788-792 Since its launch in 1988, the Global Polio Eradication Initiative has made substantial progress toward the eradication of wild poliovirus (WPV), including eradicating two of the three serotypes, and reducing the countries with ongoing endemic transmission of WPV type 1 (WPV1) to just Afghanistan and Pakistan. Both countries are considered a single epidemiologic block. Despite the occurrence of only a single confirmed WPV1 case during the first half of 2023, Pakistan experienced widespread circulation of WPV1 over the subsequent 12 months, specifically in the historical reservoirs of the cities of Karachi, Peshawar, and Quetta. As of June 30, 2024, eight WPV1 cases had been reported in Pakistan in 2024, compared with six reported during all of 2023. These cases, along with more than 300 WPV1-positive environmental surveillance (sewage) samples reported during 2023-2024, indicate that Pakistan is not on track to interrupt WPV1 transmission. The country's complex sociopolitical and security environment continues to pose formidable challenges to poliovirus elimination. To interrupt WPV1 transmission, sustained political commitment to polio eradication, including increased accountability at all levels, would be vital for the polio program. Efforts to systematically track and vaccinate children who are continually missed during polio vaccination activities should be enhanced by better addressing operational issues and the underlying reasons for community resistance to vaccination and vaccine hesitancy. |
Estimated health and economic outcomes of racial and ethnic tuberculosis disparities in US-born persons
Swartwood NA , Li Y , Regan M , Marks SM , Barham T , Beeler Asay GR , Cohen T , Hill AN , Horsburgh CR Jr , Khan AD , McCree DH , Myles RL , Salomon JA , Self JL , Menzies NA . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (9) e2431988 IMPORTANCE: Despite significant progress made toward tuberculosis (TB) elimination, racial and ethnic disparities persist in TB incidence and case-fatality rates in the US. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the health outcomes and economic cost of TB disparities among US-born persons from 2023 to 2035. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Generalized additive regression models projecting trends in TB incidence and case-fatality rates from 2023 to 2035 were fit based on national TB surveillance data for 2010 to 2019 in the 50 US states and the District of Columbia among US-born persons. This baseline scenario was compared with alternative scenarios in which racial and ethnic disparities in age- and sex-adjusted incidence and case-fatality rates were eliminated by setting rates for each race and ethnicity to goal values. Additional scenarios were created examining the potential outcomes of delayed reduction of racial and ethnic disparities. The potential benefits of eliminating disparities from differences between baseline and alternative scenario outcomes were quantified. Data were analyzed from January 2010 to December 2019. EXPOSURES: Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, non-Hispanic Asian, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, or non-Hispanic White race and ethnicity. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: TB cases and deaths averted, quality-adjusted life years gained, and associated costs from a societal perspective. RESULTS: The study included 31 811 persons with reported TB from 2010 to 2019 (mean [SD] age, 47 [24] years; 20 504 [64%] male; 1179 [4%] American Indian or Alaska Native persons; 1332 [4%] Asian persons; 12 152 [38%] Black persons; 6595 [21%] Hispanic persons; 299 [1%] Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander persons; and 10 254 [32%] White persons). There were 3722 persons with a reported TB death. Persistent racial and ethnic disparities were associated with an estimated 11 901 of 26 203 TB cases among US-born persons (45%; 95% uncertainty interval [UI], 44%-47%), 1421 of 3264 TB deaths among US-born persons (44%; 95% UI, 39%-48%), and an economic cost of $914 (95% UI, $675-$1147) million from 2023 to 2035. Delayed goal attainment reduced the estimated avertable TB outcomes by 505 (95% UI, 495-518) TB cases, 55 (95% UI, 51-59) TB deaths, and $32 (95% UI, $24-$40) million in societal costs annually. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this modeling study of racial and ethnic disparities of TB, these disparities were associated with substantial future health and economic outcomes of TB among US-born persons without interventions beyond current efforts. Actions to eliminate disparities may reduce the excess TB burden among these persons and may contribute to accelerating TB elimination within the US. |
Risk factors underlying racial and ethnic disparities in tuberculosis diagnosis and treatment outcomes, 2011-19: a multiple mediation analysis of national surveillance data
Regan M , Barham T , Li Y , Swartwood NA , Beeler Asay GR , Cohen T , Horsburgh CR Jr , Khan A , Marks SM , Myles RL , Salomon JA , Self JL , Winston CA , Menzies NA . Lancet Public Health 2024 9 (8) e564-e572 BACKGROUND: Despite an overall decline in tuberculosis incidence and mortality in the USA in the past two decades, racial and ethnic disparities in tuberculosis outcomes persist. We aimed to examine the extent to which inequalities in health and neighbourhood-level social vulnerability mediate these disparities. METHODS: We extracted data from the US National Tuberculosis Surveillance System on individuals with tuberculosis during 2011-19. Individuals with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis or missing data on race and ethnicity were excluded. We examined potential disparities in tuberculosis outcomes among US-born and non-US-born individuals and conducted a mediation analysis for groups with a higher risk of treatment incompletion (a summary outcome comprising diagnosis after death, treatment discontinuation, or death during treatment). We used sequential multiple mediation to evaluate eight potential mediators: three comorbid conditions (HIV, end-stage renal disease, and diabetes), homelessness, and four census tract-level measures (poverty, unemployment, insurance coverage, and racialised economic segregation [measured by Index of Concentration at the Extremes(Race-Income)]). We estimated the marginal contribution of each mediator using Shapley values. FINDINGS: During 2011-19, 27 788 US-born individuals and 57 225 non-US-born individuals were diagnosed with active tuberculosis, of whom 27 605 and 56 253 individuals, respectively, met eligibility criteria for our analyses. We did not observe evidence of disparities in tuberculosis outcomes for non-US-born individuals by race and ethnicity. Therefore, subsequent analyses were restricted to US-born individuals. Relative to White individuals, Black and Hispanic individuals had a higher risk of not completing tuberculosis treatment (adjusted relative risk 1·27, 95% CI 1·19-1·35; 1·22, 1·11-1·33, respectively). In multiple mediator analysis, the eight measured mediators explained 67% of the disparity for Black individuals and 65% for Hispanic individuals. The biggest contributors to these disparities for Black individuals and Hispanic individuals were concomitant end-stage renal disease, concomitant HIV, census tract-level racialised economic segregation, and census tract-level poverty. INTERPRETATION: Our findings underscore the need for initiatives to reduce disparities in tuberculosis outcomes among US-born individuals, particularly in highly racially and economically polarised neighbourhoods. Mitigating the structural and environmental factors that lead to disparities in the prevalence of comorbidities and their case management should be a priority. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention National Center for HIV, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and Tuberculosis Prevention Epidemiologic and Economic Modeling Agreement. |
Effectiveness of updated 2023-2024 (monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB and BA.2.86/JN.1 lineage hospitalization and a comparison of clinical severity-IVY Network, 26 hospitals, October 18, 2023-March 9, 2024
Ma KC , Surie D , Lauring AS , Martin ET , Leis AM , Papalambros L , Gaglani M , Columbus C , Gottlieb RL , Ghamande S , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Saeed S , Prekker ME , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Khan A , Hough CL , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Parikh B , Exline MC , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Safdar B , Mosier J , Harris ES , Shapiro NI , Felzer J , Zhu Y , Grijalva CG , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Womack KN , Rhoads JP , Baughman A , Swan SA , Johnson CA , Rice TW , Casey JD , Blair PW , Han JH , Ellington S , Lewis NM , Thornburg N , Paden CR , Atherton LJ , Self WH , Dawood FS , DeCuir J . Clin Infect Dis 2024 BACKGROUND: Assessing variant-specific COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) and severity can inform public health risk assessments and decisions about vaccine composition. BA.2.86 and its descendants, including JN.1 (referred to collectively as "JN lineages"), emerged in late 2023 and exhibited substantial divergence from co-circulating XBB lineages. METHODS: We analyzed patients hospitalized with COVID-19-like illness at 26 hospitals in 20 U.S. states admitted October 18, 2023-March 9, 2024. Using a test-negative, case-control design, we estimated effectiveness of an updated 2023-2024 (Monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccine dose against sequence-confirmed XBB and JN lineage hospitalization using logistic regression. Odds of severe outcomes, including intensive care unit (ICU) admission and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) or death, were compared for JN versus XBB lineage hospitalizations using logistic regression. RESULTS: 585 case-patients with XBB lineages, 397 case-patients with JN lineages, and 4,580 control-patients were included. VE in the first 7-89 days after receipt of an updated dose was 54.2% (95% CI = 36.1%-67.1%) against XBB lineage hospitalization and 32.7% (95% CI = 1.9%-53.8%) against JN lineage hospitalization. Odds of ICU admission (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.80; 95% CI = 0.46-1.38) and IMV or death (aOR 0.69; 95% CI = 0.34-1.40) were not significantly different among JN compared to XBB lineage hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: Updated 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination provided protection against both XBB and JN lineage hospitalization, but protection against the latter may be attenuated by immune escape. Clinical severity of JN lineage hospitalizations was not higher relative to XBB. |
Mortality surveillance for the COVID-19 pandemic: Review of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's multiple system strategy
Khan D , Park M , Grillo P , Rossen L , Lyons BC , David S , Ritchey MD , Ahmad FB , McNaghten AD , Gundlapalli AV , Suthar AB . Am J Public Health 2024 e1-e10 Mortality surveillance systems can have limitations, including reporting delays, incomplete reporting, missing data, and insufficient detail on important risk or sociodemographic factors that can impact the accuracy of estimates of current trends, disease severity, and related disparities across subpopulations. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention used multiple data systems during the COVID-19 emergency response-line-level case‒death surveillance, aggregate death surveillance, and the National Vital Statistics System-to collectively provide more comprehensive and timely information on COVID-19‒associated mortality necessary for informed decisions. This article will review in detail the line-level, aggregate, and National Vital Statistics System surveillance systems and the purpose and use of each. This retrospective review of the hybrid surveillance systems strategy may serve as an example for adaptive informational approaches needed over the course of future public health emergencies. (Am J Public Health. Published online ahead of print July 25, 2024:e1-e10. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2024.307743). |
Association between chlorine-treated drinking water, the gut microbiome, and enteric pathogen burden in young children in Haiti: an observational study
Chac D , Slater DM , Guillaume Y , Dunmire CN , Ternier R , Vissières K , Juin S , Lucien MAB , Boncy J , Sanchez VM , Dumayas MG , Augustin GC , Bhuiyan TR , Qadri F , Chowdhury F , Khan AI , Weil AA , Ivers LC , Harris JB . Int J Infect Dis 2024 107165 OBJECTIVE: The effects of sanitation and hygiene interventions on the gut microbiome and enteric pathogen burden are not well understood. We measured the association between free chlorine residue (FCR) levels in drinking water, microbiome composition, and stool enteric pathogens in infants and young children in Haiti. METHODS: FCR levels were measured in household drinking water and enteric pathogen burden was evaluated using multiplex RT-PCR of stool among 131 children from one month to five years of age living in Mirebalais, Haiti. Microbiome profiling was performed using metagenomic sequencing. RESULTS: Most individuals lived in households with undetectable FCR measured in the drinking water (112/131, 86%). Detection of enteric pathogen DNA in stool was common and did not correlate with household water FCR. The infant microbiome in households with detectable FCR demonstrated reduced richness (fewer total number of species, P=0.04 Kruskall-Wallis test) and less diversity by Inverse Simpson measures (P=0.05) than households with undetectable FCR. Infants in households with a detectable FCR were more likely to have abundant Bifidobacterium. Using in vitro susceptibility testing, we found that some Bifidobacterium species were resistant to chlorine. CONCLUSIONS: FCR in household drinking water did not correlate with enteric pathogen burden in our study. |
Emergence of the novel sixth Candida auris Clade VI in Bangladesh
Khan T , Faysal NI , Hossain MM , Mah EMuneer S , Haider A , Moon SB , Sen D , Ahmed D , Parnell LA , Jubair M , Chow NA , Chowdhury F , Rahman M . Microbiol Spectr 2024 e0354023 Candida auris, initially identified in 2009, has rapidly become a critical concern due to its antifungal resistance and significant mortality rates in healthcare-associated outbreaks. To date, whole-genome sequencing (WGS) has identified five unique clades of C. auris, with some strains displaying resistance to all primary antifungal drug classes. In this study, we presented the first WGS analysis of C. auris from Bangladesh, describing its origins, transmission dynamics, and antifungal susceptibility testing (AFST) profile. Ten C. auris isolates collected from hospital settings in Bangladesh were initially identified by CHROMagar Candida Plus, followed by VITEK2 system, and later sequenced using Illumina NextSeq 550 system. Reference-based phylogenetic analysis and variant calling pipelines were used to classify the isolates in different clades. All isolates aligned ~90% with the Clade I C. auris B11205 reference genome. Of the 10 isolates, 8 were clustered with Clade I isolates, highlighting a South Asian lineage prevalent in Bangladesh. Remarkably, the remaining two isolates formed a distinct cluster, exhibiting >42,447 single-nucleotide polymorphism differences compared to their closest Clade IV counterparts. This significant variation corroborates the emergence of a sixth clade (Clade VI) of C. auris in Bangladesh, with potential for international transmission. AFST results showed that 80% of the C. auris isolates were resistant to fluconazole and voriconazole, whereas Clade VI isolates were susceptible to azoles, echinocandins, and pyrimidine analogue. Genomic sequencing revealed ERG11_Y132F mutation conferring azole resistance while FCY1_S70R mutation found inconsequential in describing 5-flucytosine resistance. Our study underscores the pressing need for comprehensive genomic surveillance in Bangladesh to better understand the emergence, transmission dynamics, and resistance profiles of C. auris infections. Unveiling the discovery of a sixth clade (Clade VI) accentuates the indispensable role of advanced sequencing methodologies.IMPORTANCECandida auris is a nosocomial fungal pathogen that is commonly misidentified as other Candida species. Since its emergence in 2009, this multidrug-resistant fungus has become one of the five urgent antimicrobial threats by 2019. Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) has proven to be the most accurate identification technique of C. auris which also played a crucial role in the initial discovery of this pathogen. WGS analysis of C. auris has revealed five distinct clades where isolates of each clade differ among themselves based on pathogenicity, colonization, infection mechanism, as well as other phenotypic characteristics. In Bangladesh, C. auris was first reported in 2019 from clinical samples of a large hospital in Dhaka city. To understand the origin, transmission dynamics, and antifungal-resistance profile of C. auris isolates circulating in Bangladesh, we conducted a WGS-based surveillance study on two of the largest hospital settings in Dhaka, Bangladesh. |
Detection of a human adenovirus outbreak, including some critical infections, using multipathogen testing at a large university, September 2022-January 2023
Montgomery JP , Marquez JL , Nord J , Stamper AR , Edwards EA , Valentini N , Frank CJ , Washer LL , Ernst RD , Park JI , Price D , Collins J , Smith-jeffcoat sE , Hu f , Knox cL , Khan r , Lu x , Kirking hL , Hsu cH . Open Forum Infect Dis 2024 11 (5) ofae192 BACKGROUND: Human adenoviruses (HAdVs) can cause outbreaks of flu-like illness in university settings. Most infections in healthy young adults are mild; severe illnesses rarely occur. In Fall 2022, an adenovirus outbreak was identified in university students. METHODS: HAdV cases were defined as university students 17-26 years old who presented to the University Health Service or nearby emergency department with flu-like symptoms (eg, fever, cough, headache, myalgia, nausea) and had confirmed adenovirus infections by polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Demographic and clinical characteristics were abstracted from electronic medical records; clinical severity was categorized as mild, moderate, severe, or critical. We performed contact investigations among critical cases. A subset of specimens was sequenced to confirm the HAdV type. RESULTS: From 28 September 2022 to 30 January 2023, 90 PCR-confirmed cases were identified (51% female; mean age, 19.6 years). Most cases (88.9%) had mild illness. Seven cases required hospitalization, including 2 critical cases that required intensive care. Contact investigation identified 44 close contacts; 6 (14%) were confirmed HAdV cases and 8 (18%) reported symptoms but never sought care. All typed HAdV-positive specimens (n = 36) were type 4. CONCLUSIONS: While most students with confirmed HAdV had mild illness, 7 otherwise healthy students had severe or critical illness. Between the relatively high number of hospitalizations and proportion of close contacts with symptoms who did not seek care, the true number of HAdV cases was likely higher. Our findings illustrate the need to consider a wide range of pathogens, even when other viruses are known to be circulating. |
Severity of respiratory syncytial virus vs COVID-19 and influenza among hospitalized US adults
Surie D , Yuengling KA , DeCuir J , Zhu Y , Lauring AS , Gaglani M , Ghamande S , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Ginde AA , Martinez A , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Ali H , Prekker ME , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Leis AM , Khan A , Hough CL , Bender WS , Duggal A , Bendall EE , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Shapiro NI , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Mosier JM , Safdar B , Casey JD , Talbot HK , Rice TW , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Womack KN , Swan SA , Johnson CA , Lwin CT , Lewis NM , Ellington S , McMorrow ML , Martin ET , Self WH . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (4) e244954 IMPORTANCE: On June 21, 2023, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended the first respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccines for adults aged 60 years and older using shared clinical decision-making. Understanding the severity of RSV disease in adults can help guide this clinical decision-making. OBJECTIVE: To describe disease severity among adults hospitalized with RSV and compare it with the severity of COVID-19 and influenza disease by vaccination status. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this cohort study, adults aged 18 years and older admitted to the hospital with acute respiratory illness and laboratory-confirmed RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection were prospectively enrolled from 25 hospitals in 20 US states from February 1, 2022, to May 31, 2023. Clinical data during each patient's hospitalization were collected using standardized forms. Data were analyzed from August to October 2023. EXPOSURES: RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Using multivariable logistic regression, severity of RSV disease was compared with COVID-19 and influenza severity, by COVID-19 and influenza vaccination status, for a range of clinical outcomes, including the composite of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and in-hospital death. RESULTS: Of 7998 adults (median [IQR] age, 67 [54-78] years; 4047 [50.6%] female) included, 484 (6.1%) were hospitalized with RSV, 6422 (80.3%) were hospitalized with COVID-19, and 1092 (13.7%) were hospitalized with influenza. Among patients with RSV, 58 (12.0%) experienced IMV or death, compared with 201 of 1422 unvaccinated patients with COVID-19 (14.1%) and 458 of 5000 vaccinated patients with COVID-19 (9.2%), as well as 72 of 699 unvaccinated patients with influenza (10.3%) and 20 of 393 vaccinated patients with influenza (5.1%). In adjusted analyses, the odds of IMV or in-hospital death were not significantly different among patients hospitalized with RSV and unvaccinated patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.82; 95% CI, 0.59-1.13; P = .22) or influenza (aOR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.82-1.76; P = .35); however, the odds of IMV or death were significantly higher among patients hospitalized with RSV compared with vaccinated patients hospitalized with COVID-19 (aOR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.02-1.86; P = .03) or influenza disease (aOR, 2.81; 95% CI, 1.62-4.86; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among adults hospitalized in this US cohort during the 16 months before the first RSV vaccine recommendations, RSV disease was less common but similar in severity compared with COVID-19 or influenza disease among unvaccinated patients and more severe than COVID-19 or influenza disease among vaccinated patients for the most serious outcomes of IMV or death. |
EH Nexus: CDC’s Communication Network for Environmental Health Professionals
Khan A , Lynch J , Alicea-Torres K . J Environ Health 2024 86 (8) 48-49 |
Achieving Optimal Population Cardiovascular Health Requires an Interdisciplinary Team and a Learning Healthcare System: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association
Foraker RE , Benziger CP , DeBarmore BM , Cené CW , Loustalot F , Khan Y , Anderson CAM , Roger VL . Circulation 12/28/2021 143 (2) e9-e18 Population cardiovascular health, or improving cardiovascular health among patients and the population at large, requires a redoubling of primordial and primary prevention efforts as declines in cardiovascular disease mortality have decelerated over the past decade. Great potential exists for healthcare systems-based approaches to aid in reversing these trends. A learning healthcare system, in which population cardiovascular health metrics are measured, evaluated, intervened on, and re-evaluated, can serve as a model for developing the evidence base for developing, deploying, and disseminating interventions. This scientific statement on optimizing population cardiovascular health summarizes the current evidence for such an approach; reviews contemporary sources for relevant performance and clinical metrics; highlights the role of implementation science strategies; and advocates for an interdisciplinary team approach to enhance the impact of this work. |
Disparities in tuberculosis incidence by race and ethnicity among the U.S.-born population in the United States, 2011 to 2021 : An analysis of national disease registry data
Li Y , Regan M , Swartwood NA , Barham T , Beeler Asay GR , Cohen T , Hill AN , Horsburgh CR Jr , Khan A , Marks SM , Myles RL , Salomon JA , Self JL , Menzies NA . Ann Intern Med 2024 BACKGROUND: Elevated tuberculosis (TB) incidence rates have recently been reported for racial/ethnic minority populations in the United States. Tracking such disparities is important for assessing progress toward national health equity goals and implementing change. OBJECTIVE: To quantify trends in racial/ethnic disparities in TB incidence among U.S.-born persons. DESIGN: Time-series analysis of national TB registry data for 2011 to 2021. SETTING: United States. PARTICIPANTS: U.S.-born persons stratified by race/ethnicity. MEASUREMENTS: TB incidence rates, incidence rate differences, and incidence rate ratios compared with non-Hispanic White persons; excess TB cases (calculated from incidence rate differences); and the index of disparity. Analyses were stratified by sex and by attribution of TB disease to recent transmission and were adjusted for age, year, and state of residence. RESULTS: In analyses of TB incidence rates for each racial/ethnic population compared with non-Hispanic White persons, incidence rate ratios were as high as 14.2 (95% CI, 13.0 to 15.5) among American Indian or Alaska Native (AI/AN) females. Relative disparities were greater for females, younger persons, and TB attributed to recent transmission. Absolute disparities were greater for males. Excess TB cases in 2011 to 2021 represented 69% (CI, 66% to 71%) and 62% (CI, 60% to 64%) of total cases for females and males, respectively. No evidence was found to indicate that incidence rate ratios decreased over time, and most relative disparity measures showed small, statistically nonsignificant increases. LIMITATION: Analyses assumed complete TB case diagnosis and self-report of race/ethnicity and were not adjusted for medical comorbidities or social determinants of health. CONCLUSION: There are persistent disparities in TB incidence by race/ethnicity. Relative disparities were greater for AI/AN persons, females, and younger persons, and absolute disparities were greater for males. Eliminating these disparities could reduce overall TB incidence by more than 60% among the U.S.-born population. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. |
Interim effectiveness of updated 2023-2024 (monovalent xbb.1.5) COVID-19 vaccines against COVID-19-associated emergency department and urgent care encounters and hospitalization among immunocompetent adults aged ≥18 years - VISION and IVY Networks, September 2023-January 2024
DeCuir J , Payne AB , Self WH , Rowley EAK , Dascomb K , DeSilva MB , Irving SA , Grannis SJ , Ong TC , Klein NP , Weber ZA , Reese SE , Ball SW , Barron MA , Naleway AL , Dixon BE , Essien I , Bride D , Natarajan K , Fireman B , Shah AB , Okwuazi E , Wiegand R , Zhu Y , Lauring AS , Martin ET , Gaglani M , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Gibbs KW , Hager DN , Prekker M , Mohamed A , Srinivasan V , Steingrub JS , Khan A , Busse LW , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Safdar B , Mosier JM , Harris ES , Casey JD , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Swan SA , Johnson C , Lewis NM , Ellington S , Adams K , Tenforde MW , Paden CR , Dawood FS , Fleming-Dutra KE , Surie D , Link-Gelles R . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (8) 180-188 In September 2023, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended updated 2023-2024 (monovalent XBB.1.5) COVID-19 vaccination for all persons aged ≥6 months to prevent COVID-19, including severe disease. However, few estimates of updated vaccine effectiveness (VE) against medically attended illness are available. This analysis evaluated VE of an updated COVID-19 vaccine dose against COVID-19-associated emergency department (ED) or urgent care (UC) encounters and hospitalization among immunocompetent adults aged ≥18 years during September 2023-January 2024 using a test-negative, case-control design with data from two CDC VE networks. VE against COVID-19-associated ED/UC encounters was 51% (95% CI = 47%-54%) during the first 7-59 days after an updated dose and 39% (95% CI = 33%-45%) during the 60-119 days after an updated dose. VE estimates against COVID-19-associated hospitalization from two CDC VE networks were 52% (95% CI = 47%-57%) and 43% (95% CI = 27%-56%), with a median interval from updated dose of 42 and 47 days, respectively. Updated COVID-19 vaccine provided increased protection against COVID-19-associated ED/UC encounters and hospitalization among immunocompetent adults. These results support CDC recommendations for updated 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination. All persons aged ≥6 months should receive updated 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccine. |
Evaluation of automated processing of electronically reported serological tests for syphilis using current and historical syphilis results compared with traditional reactor grid processing in Florida
Matthias J , Khan AM , Craze K , Karki S , Newman DR . Sex Transm Dis 2024 BACKGROUND: Syphilis in Florida increased 49% from 2016-2020. Moreover, many serological tests for syphilis (STS) do not indicate current infection. Traditionally, syphilis surveillance systems used reactor grids, a method for prioritizing STS for investigation based on age, non-treponemal titer, and/or sex. In 2022, Florida's STD surveillance system implemented an automated method for processing electronically reported STS (eSTS), expanding upon the reactor grid, using an individual's current STS (treponemal and non-treponemal), treatment history, and historical STS results aiming for more efficiently processing eSTS. We compared the new method of processing eSTS results against the reactor grid and determined potential value in time/cost savings of this change. METHODS: All eSTS (n = 4,144) from 1/2/2023-1/8/2023 were compared by how the logic-based method processed test results vs. how the reactor grid processed test results. Each method was compared using measurements of accuracy (e.g., sensitivity/specificity). Time and cost savings in eSTS processing were estimated. RESULTS: Using the surveillance case definition as reference, the accuracy of the logic-based method for processing eSTS was nearly double (82.3% vs. 43.6%), had greater specificity (79.0% vs. 33.0%), and increased positive predictive value (47.5% vs. 22.0%) when compared to the reactor grid method. Sensitivity (99.5% vs. 98.6%) and negative predictive value (99.9% vs. 99.2%) remained similar. The logic-based method is estimated to save 7,783 hours annually (~$185,000). CONCLUSIONS: Processing eSTS based on current and historical STS results is significantly more accurate than using a reactor grid. Moreover, these improvements save time and resources that can be better allocated to other program prevention activities. |
Longitudinal parental perception of COVID-19 vaccines for children in a multi-site, cohort study
Rivers P , Porter C , LeClair LB , Jeddy Z , Fowlkes AL , Lamberte JM , Herder K , Smith M , Rai R , Grant L , Hegmann KT , Jovel K , Vaughan M , Mathenge C , Phillips AL , Khan S , Britton A , Pilishvili T , Burgess JL , Newes-Adeyi G , Gaglani M , Caban-Martinez A , Yoon S , Lutrick K . Vaccine 2024 OBJECTIVES: Pediatric COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and uptake is not well understood. Among parents of a prospective cohort of children aged 6 months-17 years, we assessed COVID-19 vaccine knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP), and uptake over 15 months. METHODS: The PROTECT study collected sociodemographic characteristics of children at enrollment and COVID-19 vaccination data and parental KAPs quarterly. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to test the effect of KAPs on vaccine uptake; McNemar's test for paired samples was used to evaluate KAP change over time. RESULTS: A total of 2,837 children were enrolled, with more than half (61 %) vaccinated by October 2022. Positive parental beliefs about vaccine safety and effectiveness strongly predicted vaccine uptake among children aged 5-11 years (aOR 13.1, 95 % CI 8.5-20.4 and aOR 6.4, 95 % CI 4.3-9.6, respectively) and children aged 12+ years (aOR 7.0, 95 % CI 3.8-13.0 and aOR 8.9, 95 % CI 4.4-18.0). Compared to enrollment, at follow-up parents (of vaccinated and unvaccinated children) reported higher self-assessed vaccine knowledge, but more negative beliefs towards vaccine safety, effectiveness, and trust in government. Parents unlikely to vaccinate their children at enrollment reported more positive beliefs on vaccine knowledge, safety, and effectiveness at follow-up. CONCLUSION: The PROTECT cohort allows for an examination of factors driving vaccine uptake and how beliefs about COVID-19 and the COVID-19 vaccines change over time. Findings of the current analysis suggest that these beliefs change over time and policies aiming to increase vaccine uptake should focus on vaccine safety and effectiveness. |
Effect of ground beef irradiation on annual nontyphoidal Salmonella and Escherichia coli O157 burden and direct healthcare costs in the United States: A simulation study
Khan MA , Collier SA , Ablan M , Canning M , Robyn M , Marshall KE . J Food Prot 2024 100231 Over 20% of E. coli O157 illnesses and over 5% of Salmonella illnesses are estimated to be attributable to beef consumption in the United States. Irradiating ground beef is one possible method to reduce disease burden. We simulated the effect of ground beef irradiation on illnesses, hospitalizations, deaths, and direct healthcare costs from ground beef-associated E. coli O157 and Salmonella illnesses in the United States. To estimate the fraction of illnesses, hospitalizations, deaths, and direct healthcare costs preventable by ground beef irradiation, we multiplied the disease burden attributable to ground beef; the estimated percentage of ground beef sold that is not currently irradiated; the percentage of unirradiated ground beef that would be irradiated; and the percentage reduction in risk of illness after irradiation. We multiplied this fraction by estimates of burden and direct healthcare costs to calculate the numbers or amounts averted. Model inputs were obtained from the literature and expert opinion. We used Monte Carlo simulation to incorporate uncertainty in inputs into model estimates. Simulation outcomes were summarized with means and 95% uncertainty intervals (UI). Irradiating 50% of the currently unirradiated ground beef supply would avert 3,285 (95% UI: 624-9,977) E. coli O157 illnesses, 135 (95% UI: 24-397) hospitalizations, 197 (95% UI: 34-631) hemolytic uremic syndrome cases, 2 (95% UI: 0-16) deaths, and $2,972,656 (95% UI: $254,708-$14,496,916) in direct healthcare costs annually. For Salmonella, irradiation would avert 20,308 (95% UI: 9,858-38,903) illnesses, 400 (95% UI: 158-834) hospitalizations, 6 (95% UI: 0-18) deaths, and $7,318,632 (95% UI: $1,436,141-$26,439,493) in direct healthcare costs. Increasing ground beef irradiation could reduce E. coli O157 and Salmonella burden in the United States. Additional studies should assess whether targeted irradiation of higher-risk ground beef products could prevent similar numbers of illnesses with less total product irradiated. |
Racial and ethnic disparities in diagnosis and treatment outcomes among US-born people diagnosed with tuberculosis, 2003-19: an analysis of national surveillance data
Regan M , Li Y , Swartwood NA , Barham T , Asay GRB , Cohen T , Hill AN , Horsburgh CR , Khan A , Marks SM , Myles RL , Salomon JA , Self JL , Menzies NA . Lancet Public Health 2024 9 (1) e47-e56 BACKGROUND: Persistent racial and ethnic disparities in tuberculosis incidence exist in the USA, however, less is known about disparities along the tuberculosis continuum of care. This study aimed to describe how race and ethnicity are associated with tuberculosis diagnosis and treatment outcomes. METHODS: In this analysis of national surveillance data, we extracted data from the US National Tuberculosis Surveillance System on US-born patients with tuberculosis during 2003-19. To estimate the association between race and ethnicity and tuberculosis diagnosis (diagnosis after death, cavitation, and sputum smear positivity) and treatment outcomes (treatment for more than 12 months, treatment discontinuation, and death during treatment), we fitted log-binomial regression models adjusting for calendar year, sex, age category, and regional division. Race and ethnicity were defined based on US Census Bureau classification as White, Black, Hispanic, Asian, American Indian or Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, and people of other ethnicities. We quantified racial and ethnic disparities as adjusted relative risks (aRRs) using non-Hispanic White people as the reference group. We also calculated the Index of Disparity as a summary measure that quantifies the dispersion in a given outcome across all racial and ethnic groups, relative to the population mean. We estimated time trends in each outcome to evaluate whether disparities were closing or widening. FINDINGS: From 2003 to 2019, there were 72 809 US-born individuals diagnosed with tuberculosis disease of whom 72 369 (35·7% women and 64·3% men) could be included in analyses. We observed an overall higher risk of any adverse outcome (defined as diagnosis after death, treatment discontinuation, or death during treatment) for non-Hispanic Black people (aRR 1·27, 95% CI 1·22-1·32), Hispanic people (1·20, 1·14-1·27), and American Indian or Alaska Native people (1·24, 1·12-1·37), relative to non-Hispanic White people. The Index of Disparity for this summary outcome remained unchanged over the study period. INTERPRETATION: This study, based on national surveillance data, indicates racial and ethnic disparaties among US-born tuberculosis patients along the tuberculosis continuum of care. Initiatives are needed to reduce diagnostic delays and improve treatment outcomes for US-born racially marginalised people in the USA. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. |
Tropical data: Approach and methodology as applied to trachoma prevalence surveys
Harding-Esch EM , Burgert-Brucker CR , Jimenez C , Bakhtiari A , Willis R , Bejiga MD , Mpyet C , Ngondi J , Boyd S , Abdala M , Abdou A , Adamu Y , Alemayehu A , Alemayehu W , Al-Khatib T , Apadinuwe SC , Awaca N , Awoussi MS , Baayendag G , Badiane MD , Bailey RL , Batcho W , Bay Z , Bella A , Beido N , Bol YY , Bougouma C , Brady CJ , Bucumi V , Butcher R , Cakacaka R , Cama A , Camara M , Cassama E , Chaora SG , Chebbi AC , Chisambi AB , Chu B , Conteh A , Coulibaly SM , Courtright P , Dalmar A , Dat TM , Davids T , Djaker MEA , de Fátima Costa Lopes M , Dézoumbé D , Dodson S , Downs P , Eckman S , Elshafie BE , Elmezoghi M , Elvis AA , Emerson P , Epée EE , Faktaufon D , Fall M , Fassinou A , Fleming F , Flueckiger R , Gamael KK , Garae M , Garap J , Gass K , Gebru G , Gichangi MM , Giorgi E , Goépogui A , Gómez DVF , Gómez Forero DP , Gower EW , Harte A , Henry R , Honorio-Morales HA , Ilako DR , Issifou AAB , Jones E , Kabona G , Kabore M , Kadri B , Kalua K , Kanyi SK , Kebede S , Kebede F , Keenan JD , Kello AB , Khan AA , Khelifi H , Kilangalanga J , Kim SH , Ko R , Lewallen S , Lietman T , Logora MSY , Lopez YA , MacArthur C , Macleod C , Makangila F , Mariko B , Martin DL , Masika M , Massae P , Massangaie M , Matendechero HS , Mathewos T , McCullagh S , Meite A , Mendes EP , Abdi HM , Miller H , Minnih A , Mishra SK , Molefi T , Mosher A , M'Po N , Mugume F , Mukwiza R , Mwale C , Mwatha S , Mwingira U , Nash SD , Nassa C , Negussu N , Nieba C , Noah Noah JC , Nwosu CO , Olobio N , Opon R , Pavluck A , Phiri I , Rainima-Qaniuci M , Renneker KK , Saboyá-Díaz MI , Sakho F , Sanha S , Sarah V , Sarr B , Szwarcwald CL , Shah Salam A , Sharma S , Seife F , Serrano Chavez GM , Sissoko M , Sitoe HM , Sokana O , Tadesse F , Taleo F , Talero SL , Tarfani Y , Tefera A , Tekeraoi R , Tesfazion A , Traina A , Traoré L , Trujillo-Trujillo J , Tukahebwa EM , Vashist P , Wanyama EB , Warusavithana SDP , Watitu TK , West S , Win Y , Woods G , Yajima A , Yaya G , Zecarias A , Zewengiel S , Zoumanigui A , Hooper PJ , Millar T , Rotondo L , Solomon AW . Ophthalmic Epidemiol 2023 30 (6) 544-560 PURPOSE: Population-based prevalence surveys are essential for decision-making on interventions to achieve trachoma elimination as a public health problem. This paper outlines the methodologies of Tropical Data, which supports work to undertake those surveys. METHODS: Tropical Data is a consortium of partners that supports health ministries worldwide to conduct globally standardised prevalence surveys that conform to World Health Organization recommendations. Founding principles are health ministry ownership, partnership and collaboration, and quality assurance and quality control at every step of the survey process. Support covers survey planning, survey design, training, electronic data collection and fieldwork, and data management, analysis and dissemination. Methods are adapted to meet local context and needs. Customisations, operational research and integration of other diseases into routine trachoma surveys have also been supported. RESULTS: Between 29(th) February 2016 and 24(th) April 2023, 3373 trachoma surveys across 50 countries have been supported, resulting in 10,818,502 people being examined for trachoma. CONCLUSION: This health ministry-led, standardised approach, with support from the start to the end of the survey process, has helped all trachoma elimination stakeholders to know where interventions are needed, where interventions can be stopped, and when elimination as a public health problem has been achieved. Flexibility to meet specific country contexts, adaptation to changes in global guidance and adjustments in response to user feedback have facilitated innovation in evidence-based methodologies, and supported health ministries to strive for global disease control targets. |
Monitoring and reporting the US COVID-19 vaccination effort
Scharf LG , Adeniyi K , Augustini E , Boyd D , Corvin L , Kalach RE , Fast H , Fath J , Harris L , Henderson D , Hicks-Thomson J , Jones-Jack N , Kellerman A , Khan AN , McGarvey SS , McGehee JE , EMiner C , Moore LB , Murthy BP , Myerburg S , Neuhaus E , Nguyen K , Parker M , Pierce-Richards S , Samchok D , Shaw LK , Spoto S , Srinivasan A , Stearle C , Thomas J , Winarsky M , Zell E . Vaccine 2023 Immunizations are an important tool to reduce the burden of vaccine preventable diseases and improve population health.(1) High-quality immunization data is essential to inform clinical and public health interventions and respond to outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases. To track COVID-19 vaccines and vaccinations, CDC established an integrated network that included vaccination provider systems, health information exchange systems, immunization information systems, pharmacy and dialysis systems, vaccine ordering systems, electronic health records, and tools to support mass vaccination clinics. All these systems reported data to CDC's COVID-19 response system (either directly or indirectly) where it was processed, analyzed, and disseminated. This unprecedented vaccine tracking effort provided essential information for public health officials that was used to monitor the COVID-19 response and guide decisions. This paper will describe systems, processes, and policies that enabled monitoring and reporting of COVID-19 vaccination efforts and share challenges and lessons learned for future public health emergency responses. |
US county-level variation in preterm birth rates, 2007-2019
Khan SS , Vaughan AS , Harrington K , Seegmiller L , Huang X , Pool LR , Davis MM , Allen NB , Capewell S , O'Flaherty M , Miller GE , Mehran R , Vogel B , Kershaw KN , Lloyd-Jones DM , Grobman WA . JAMA Netw Open 2023 6 (12) e2346864 IMPORTANCE: Preterm birth is a leading cause of preventable neonatal morbidity and mortality. Preterm birth rates at the national level may mask important geographic variation in rates and trends at the county level. OBJECTIVE: To estimate age-standardized preterm birth rates by US county from 2007 to 2019. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This serial cross-sectional study used data from the National Center for Health Statistics composed of all live births in the US between 2007 and 2019. Data analyses were performed between March 22, 2022, and September 29, 2022. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Age-standardized preterm birth (<37 weeks' gestation) and secondarily early preterm birth (<34 weeks' gestation) rates by county and year calculated with a validated small area estimation model (hierarchical bayesian spatiotemporal model) and percent change in preterm birth rates using log-linear regression models. RESULTS: Between 2007 and 2019, there were 51 044 482 live births in 2383 counties. In 2007, the national age-standardized preterm birth rate was 12.6 (95% CI, 12.6-12.7) per 100 live births. Preterm birth rates varied significantly among counties, with an absolute difference between the 90th and 10th percentile counties of 6.4 (95% CI, 6.2-6.7). The gap between the highest and lowest counties for preterm births was 20.7 per 100 live births in 2007. Several counties in the Southeast consistently had the highest preterm birth rates compared with counties in California and New England, which had the lowest preterm birth rates. Although there was no statistically significant change in preterm birth rates between 2007 and 2019 at the national level (percent change, -5.0%; 95% CI, -10.7% to 0.9%), increases occurred in 15.4% (95% CI, 14.1%-16.9%) of counties. The absolute and relative geographic inequalities were similar across all maternal age groups. Higher quartile of the Social Vulnerability Index was associated with higher preterm birth rates (quartile 4 vs quartile 1 risk ratio, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.31-1.36), which persisted across the study period. Similar patterns were observed for early preterm birth rates. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this serial cross-sectional study of county-level preterm and early preterm birth rates, substantial geographic disparities were observed, which were associated with place-based social disadvantage. Stability in aggregated rates of preterm birth at the national level masked increases in nearly 1 in 6 counties between 2007 and 2019. |
Vaccine effectiveness against influenza a-associated hospitalization, organ failure, and death: United States, 2022-2023
Lewis NM , Zhu Y , Peltan ID , Gaglani M , McNeal T , Ghamande S , Steingrub JS , Shapiro NI , Duggal A , Bender WS , Taghizadeh L , Brown SM , Hager DN , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Exline MC , Khan A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Ginde AA , Mohr NM , Mallow C , Lauring AS , Johnson NJ , Gibbs KW , Kwon JH , Columbus C , Gottlieb RL , Raver C , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Johnson C , Lamerato L , Safdar B , Casey JD , Rice TW , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Talbot HK , Baughman A , Womack KN , Swan SA , Harker E , Price A , DeCuir J , Surie D , Ellington S , Self WH . Clin Infect Dis 2023 BACKGROUND: Influenza circulation during the 2022-2023 season in the United States largely returned to pre-coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-pandemic patterns and levels. Influenza A(H3N2) viruses were detected most frequently this season, predominately clade 3C.2a1b.2a, a close antigenic match to the vaccine strain. METHODS: To understand effectiveness of the 2022-2023 influenza vaccine against influenza-associated hospitalization, organ failure, and death, a multicenter sentinel surveillance network in the United States prospectively enrolled adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illness between 1 October 2022, and 28 February 2023. Using the test-negative design, vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates against influenza-associated hospitalization, organ failures, and death were measured by comparing the odds of current-season influenza vaccination in influenza-positive case-patients and influenza-negative, SARS-CoV-2-negative control-patients. RESULTS: A total of 3707 patients, including 714 influenza cases (33% vaccinated) and 2993 influenza- and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-negative controls (49% vaccinated) were analyzed. VE against influenza-associated hospitalization was 37% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 27%-46%) and varied by age (18-64 years: 47% [30%-60%]; ≥65 years: 28% [10%-43%]), and virus (A[H3N2]: 29% [6%-46%], A[H1N1]: 47% [23%-64%]). VE against more severe influenza-associated outcomes included: 41% (29%-50%) against influenza with hypoxemia treated with supplemental oxygen; 65% (56%-72%) against influenza with respiratory, cardiovascular, or renal failure treated with organ support; and 66% (40%-81%) against influenza with respiratory failure treated with invasive mechanical ventilation. CONCLUSIONS: During an early 2022-2023 influenza season with a well-matched influenza vaccine, vaccination was associated with reduced risk of influenza-associated hospitalization and organ failure. |
Early serial echocardiographic and ultrasonographic findings in critically ill patients with COVID-19
Lanspa MJ , Dugar SP , Prigmore HL , Boyd JS , Rupp JD , Lindsell CJ , Rice TW , Qadir N , Lim GW , Shiloh AL , Dieiev V , Gong MN , Fox SW , Hirshberg EL , Khan A , Kornfield J , Schoeneck JH , Macklin N , Files DC , Gibbs KW , Prekker ME , Parsons-Moss D , Bown M , Olsen TD , Knox DB , Cirulis MM , Mehkri O , Duggal A , Tenforde MW , Patel MM , Self WH , Brown SM . CHEST Crit Care 2023 1 (1) 100002 BACKGROUND: Cardiac function of critically ill patients with COVID-19 generally has been reported from clinically obtained data. Echocardiographic deformation imaging can identify ventricular dysfunction missed by traditional echocardiographic assessment. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the prevalence of ventricular dysfunction and what are its implications for the natural history of critical COVID-19? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This is a multicenter prospective cohort of critically ill patients with COVID-19. We performed serial echocardiography and lower extremity vascular ultrasound on hospitalization days 1, 3, and 8. We defined left ventricular (LV) dysfunction as the absolute value of longitudinal strain of < 17% or left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) of < 50%. Primary clinical outcome was inpatient survival. RESULTS: We enrolled 110 patients. Thirty-nine (35.5%) died before hospital discharge. LV dysfunction was present at admission in 38 patients (34.5%) and in 21 patients (36.2%) on day 8 (P = .59). Median baseline LVEF was 62% (interquartile range [IQR], 52%-69%), whereas median absolute value of baseline LV strain was 16% (IQR, 14%-19%). Survivors and nonsurvivors did not differ statistically significantly with respect to day 1 LV strain (17.9% vs 14.4%; P = .12) or day 1 LVEF (60.5% vs 65%; P = .06). Nonsurvivors showed worse day 1 right ventricle (RV) strain than survivors (16.3% vs 21.2%; P = .04). INTERPRETATION: Among patients with critical COVID-19, LV and RV dysfunction is common, frequently identified only through deformation imaging, and early (day 1) RV dysfunction may be associated with clinical outcome. |
Trends in cardiovascular disease mortality rates and excess deaths, 2010-2022
Woodruff RC , Tong X , Khan SS , Shah NS , Jackson SL , Loustalot F , Vaughan AS . Am J Prev Med 2023 INTRODUCTION: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality increased during the initial years of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, but whether these trends endured in 2022 is unknown. The analysis describes temporal trends in CVD death rates from 2010 to 2022 and estimates excess CVD deaths from 2020 to 2022. METHODS: Using national mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System, deaths among adults aged ≥35 years were classified by underlying cause of death International Classification of Diseases 10(th) Revision codes for CVD (I00-I99), heart disease (I00-I09, I11, I13, I20-I51), and stroke (I60-I69). Analyses in Joinpoint software identified trends in CVD age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 100,000 and estimated the number of excess CVD deaths from 2020 to 2022. RESULTS: During 2010-2022, 10,951,403 CVD deaths occurred (75.6% heart disease, 16.9% stroke). The national CVD AAMR declined by 8.9% from 2010 to 2019 (456.6 to 416.0 per 100,000) and then increased by 9.3% from 2019 to 2022 to 454.5 per 100,000, which approximated the 2010 rate (456.7 per 100,000). From 2020 to 2022, 228,524 excess CVD deaths occurred, which was 9.0% more CVD deaths than expected based on trends from 2010 to 2019. Results varied by CVD subtype and population subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Despite stabilization of the public health emergency, declines in CVD mortality rates reversed in 2020 and remained high in 2022, representing almost a decade of lost progress and over 228,000 excess CVD deaths. Findings underscore the importance of prioritizing prevention and management of CVD to improve outcomes. |
Clinical performance and health equity implications of the American Diabetes Association's 2023 screening recommendation for prediabetes and diabetes
O'Brien MJ , Zhang Y , Bailey SC , Khan SS , Ackermann RT , Ali MK , Bowen ME , Benoit SR , Imperatore G , Holliday CS , McKeever Bullard K . Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2023 14 1279348 INTRODUCTION: The American Diabetes Association (ADA) recommends screening for prediabetes and diabetes (dysglycemia) starting at age 35, or younger than 35 years among adults with overweight or obesity and other risk factors. Diabetes risk differs by sex, race, and ethnicity, but performance of the recommendation in these sociodemographic subgroups is unknown. METHODS: Nationally representative data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (2015-March 2020) were analyzed from 5,287 nonpregnant US adults without diagnosed diabetes. Screening eligibility was based on age, measured body mass index, and the presence of diabetes risk factors. Dysglycemia was defined by fasting plasma glucose ≥100mg/dL (≥5.6 mmol/L) or haemoglobin A1c ≥5.7% (≥39mmol/mol). The sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of the ADA screening criteria were examined by sex, race, and ethnicity. RESULTS: An estimated 83.1% (95% CI=81.2-84.7) of US adults were eligible for screening according to the 2023 ADA recommendation. Overall, ADA's screening criteria exhibited high sensitivity [95.0% (95% CI=92.7-96.6)] and low specificity [27.1% (95% CI=24.5-29.9)], which did not differ by race or ethnicity. Sensitivity was higher among women [97.8% (95% CI=96.6-98.6)] than men [92.4% (95% CI=88.3-95.1)]. Racial and ethnic differences in sensitivity and specificity among men were statistically significant (P=0.04 and P=0.02, respectively). Among women, guideline performance did not differ by race and ethnicity. DISCUSSION: The ADA screening criteria exhibited high sensitivity for all groups and was marginally higher in women than men. Racial and ethnic differences in guideline performance among men were small and unlikely to have a significant impact on health equity. Future research could examine adoption of this recommendation in practice and examine its effects on treatment and clinical outcomes by sex, race, and ethnicity. |
Nasal iodophor antiseptic vs nasal mupirocin antibiotic in the setting of chlorhexidine bathing to prevent infections in adult ICUs: A randomized clinical trial
Huang SS , Septimus EJ , Kleinman K , Heim LT , Moody JA , Avery TR , McLean L , Rashid S , Haffenreffer K , Shimelman L , Staub-Juergens W , Spencer-Smith C , Sljivo S , Rosen E , Poland RE , Coady MH , Lee CH , Blanchard EJ , Reddish K , Hayden MK , Weinstein RA , Carver B , Smith K , Hickok J , Lolans K , Khan N , Sturdevant SG , Reddy SC , Jernigan JA , Sands KE , Perlin JB , Platt R . JAMA 2023 330 (14) 1337-1347 IMPORTANCE: Universal nasal mupirocin plus chlorhexidine gluconate (CHG) bathing in intensive care units (ICUs) prevents methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infections and all-cause bloodstream infections. Antibiotic resistance to mupirocin has raised questions about whether an antiseptic could be advantageous for ICU decolonization. OBJECTIVE: To compare the effectiveness of iodophor vs mupirocin for universal ICU nasal decolonization in combination with CHG bathing. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Two-group noninferiority, pragmatic, cluster-randomized trial conducted in US community hospitals, all of which used mupirocin-CHG for universal decolonization in ICUs at baseline. Adult ICU patients in 137 randomized hospitals during baseline (May 1, 2015-April 30, 2017) and intervention (November 1, 2017-April 30, 2019) were included. INTERVENTION: Universal decolonization involving switching to iodophor-CHG (intervention) or continuing mupirocin-CHG (baseline). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: ICU-attributable S aureus clinical cultures (primary outcome), MRSA clinical cultures, and all-cause bloodstream infections were evaluated using proportional hazard models to assess differences from baseline to intervention periods between the strategies. Results were also compared with a 2009-2011 trial of mupirocin-CHG vs no decolonization in the same hospital network. The prespecified noninferiority margin for the primary outcome was 10%. RESULTS: Among the 801 668 admissions in 233 ICUs, the participants' mean (SD) age was 63.4 (17.2) years, 46.3% were female, and the mean (SD) ICU length of stay was 4.8 (4.7) days. Hazard ratios (HRs) for S aureus clinical isolates in the intervention vs baseline periods were 1.17 for iodophor-CHG (raw rate: 5.0 vs 4.3/1000 ICU-attributable days) and 0.99 for mupirocin-CHG (raw rate: 4.1 vs 4.0/1000 ICU-attributable days) (HR difference in differences significantly lower by 18.4% [95% CI, 10.7%-26.6%] for mupirocin-CHG, P < .001). For MRSA clinical cultures, HRs were 1.13 for iodophor-CHG (raw rate: 2.3 vs 2.1/1000 ICU-attributable days) and 0.99 for mupirocin-CHG (raw rate: 2.0 vs 2.0/1000 ICU-attributable days) (HR difference in differences significantly lower by 14.1% [95% CI, 3.7%-25.5%] for mupirocin-CHG, P = .007). For all-pathogen bloodstream infections, HRs were 1.00 (2.7 vs 2.7/1000) for iodophor-CHG and 1.01 (2.6 vs 2.6/1000) for mupirocin-CHG (nonsignificant HR difference in differences, -0.9% [95% CI, -9.0% to 8.0%]; P = .84). Compared with the 2009-2011 trial, the 30-day relative reduction in hazards in the mupirocin-CHG group relative to no decolonization (2009-2011 trial) were as follows: S aureus clinical cultures (current trial: 48.1% [95% CI, 35.6%-60.1%]; 2009-2011 trial: 58.8% [95% CI, 47.5%-70.7%]) and bloodstream infection rates (current trial: 70.4% [95% CI, 62.9%-77.8%]; 2009-2011 trial: 60.1% [95% CI, 49.1%-70.7%]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Nasal iodophor antiseptic did not meet criteria to be considered noninferior to nasal mupirocin antibiotic for the outcome of S aureus clinical cultures in adult ICU patients in the context of daily CHG bathing. In addition, the results were consistent with nasal iodophor being inferior to nasal mupirocin. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03140423. |
Disease severity of respiratory syncytial virus compared with COVID-19 and influenza among hospitalized adults aged ≥60 years - IVY Network, 20 U.S. States, February 2022-May 2023
Surie D , Yuengling KA , DeCuir J , Zhu Y , Gaglani M , Ginde AA , Talbot HK , Casey JD , Mohr NM , Ghamande S , Gibbs KW , Files DC , Hager DN , Ali H , Prekker ME , Gong MN , Mohamed A , Johnson NJ , Steingrub JS , Peltan ID , Brown SM , Leis AM , Khan A , Hough CL , Bender WS , Duggal A , Wilson JG , Qadir N , Chang SY , Mallow C , Kwon JH , Exline MC , Lauring AS , Shapiro NI , Columbus C , Vaughn IA , Ramesh M , Safdar B , Halasa N , Chappell JD , Grijalva CG , Baughman A , Rice TW , Womack KN , Han JH , Swan SA , Mukherjee I , Lewis NM , Ellington S , McMorrow ML , Martin ET , Self WH . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (40) 1083-1088 On June 21, 2023, CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices recommended respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination for adults aged ≥60 years, offered to individual adults using shared clinical decision-making. Informed use of these vaccines requires an understanding of RSV disease severity. To characterize RSV-associated severity, 5,784 adults aged ≥60 years hospitalized with acute respiratory illness and laboratory-confirmed RSV, SARS-CoV-2, or influenza infection were prospectively enrolled from 25 hospitals in 20 U.S. states during February 1, 2022-May 31, 2023. Multivariable logistic regression was used to compare RSV disease severity with COVID-19 and influenza severity on the basis of the following outcomes: 1) standard flow (<30 L/minute) oxygen therapy, 2) high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) or noninvasive ventilation (NIV), 3) intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and 4) invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) or death. Overall, 304 (5.3%) enrolled adults were hospitalized with RSV, 4,734 (81.8%) with COVID-19 and 746 (12.9%) with influenza. Patients hospitalized with RSV were more likely to receive standard flow oxygen, HFNC or NIV, and ICU admission than were those hospitalized with COVID-19 or influenza. Patients hospitalized with RSV were more likely to receive IMV or die compared with patients hospitalized with influenza (adjusted odds ratio = 2.08; 95% CI = 1.33-3.26). Among hospitalized older adults, RSV was less common, but was associated with more severe disease than COVID-19 or influenza. High disease severity in older adults hospitalized with RSV is important to consider in shared clinical decision-making regarding RSV vaccination. |
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