Last data update: Jan 27, 2025. (Total: 48650 publications since 2009)
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Query Trace: Hines J[original query] |
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Geographic factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 prevalence during the first wave - 6 districts in Zambia, July 2020
Chanda SL , Imamura T , Malambo W , Bain R , Musuka C , Sinyange N , Hines JZ . BMC Public Health 2025 25 (1) 123 BACKGROUND: Geographical factors can affect infectious disease transmission, including SARS-CoV-2, a virus that is spread through respiratory secretions. Prioritization of surveillance and response activities during a pandemic can be informed by a pathogen's geographical transmission patterns. We assessed the relationship between geographical factors and SARS-CoV-2 prevalence in Zambia. METHODS: We did a cross-sectional study of SARS-CoV-2 prevalence in six districts in July 2020, which was during the upslope of the first wave in Zambia. In each district, 16 Standard Enumeration Areas (SEAs) were randomly selected and 20 households from each SEA were sampled. The SEA PCR prevalence was calculated as the number of persons testing PCR positive for SARS-CoV-2 in the SEA times the individual sampling weight for the SEA divided by the SEA population. We analysed SEA geographical data for population density, socioeconomic status (SES) (with lower scores indicating reduced vulnerability), literacy, access to water, and sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) factors. Gaussian conditional autoregressive (CAR) models and Generalised estimating equations (GEE) were used to measure adjusted prevalence Ratios (aPRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for SARS-CoV-2 prevalence with geographical factors, after adjusting for clustering by district, in R. RESULTS: Overall, the median SARS-CoV-2 prevalence in the 96 SEAs was 41.7 (Interquartile range (IQR), 0.0-96.2) infections per 1000 persons. In the multivariable CAR analysis, increasing SES vulnerability was associated with lower SARS-CoV-2 prevalence (aPR) = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.78-0.94). Conversely, urban SEAs and poor access to WASH were associated with a higher SARS-CoV-2 prevalence (aPR = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.46-2.03, No soap: aPR = 1.47, 95% CI: 1.05-2.05, households without piped water: aPR = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.05-1.65, 30 min to fetch water: aPR = 23.39, 95% CI: 8.89-61.52). Findings were similar in the multivariable GEE analysis. CONCLUSIONS: SARS-CoV-2 prevalence was higher in wealthier, urban EAs, with poor access to WASH. As this study was conducted early in the first wave could have impacted our findings. Additional analyses from subsequent waves could confirm if these findings persist. During the beginning of a COVID-19 wave in Zambia, surveillance and response activities should be focused on urban population centres and improving access to WASH. |
Outbreak of blastomycosis among paper mill workers -- Michigan, November 2022-May 2023
Harvey RR , O'Connor AW , Stanton ML , Park JH , Shi D , Callaway PC , Liang X , LeBouf R , Bailey R , Fechter-Leggett E , Hennessee I , Toda M , Reik R , Stobierski MG , McFadden J , Palmer S , Millerick-May M , Yin R , Snyder M , Meece J , Olstadt J , Sterkel AK , Dargle S , Bree O , Weissman D , de Perio MA , Hines S , Cox-Ganser J . MMWR 2025 73 (5152) 1157-1162 Blastomycosis is a fungal disease caused by inhalation of Blastomyces spores from the environment that can result in severe pulmonary illness and high hospitalization rates. In early March 2023, Public Health Delta and Menominee Counties (Michigan) reported a cluster of blastomycosis cases among paper mill workers to the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services (MDHHS). MDHHS subsequently notified CDC. On March 17, paper mill management requested a health hazard evaluation (HHE) from CDC’s National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) to investigate potential workplace exposures to Blastomyces and recommend prevention and control measures at the mill. The workplace epidemiologic investigation combined a NIOSH HHE medical survey consisting of a questionnaire on work and health with Blastomyces urine antigen testing of specimens obtained from workers to assist in case finding, with additional case information from MDHHS blastomycosis surveillance data. Assessment of 645 mill workers identified 162 cases of blastomycosis with illness onset during November 1, 2022-May 15, 2023, with the weekly case count peaking at 21 cases in early March 2023. HHE environmental sampling in and around the mill did not identify the source of workers' Blastomyces exposure in the mill. This outbreak was the largest documented blastomycosis outbreak in the United States, and the first associated with a paper mill or an industrial setting. A coordinated public health response facilitated swift prevention measures with recommendations focused on reducing workers' exposure to Blastomyces, including hazard communication, respiratory protection, mill cleaning, and ventilation system improvements. |
COVID-19 vaccine uptake and associated risk factors among first antenatal care attendees in Zambia, 2021-2022: A repeated cross-sectional study
Tembo T , Somwe P , Bosomprah S , Heilmann E , Kalenga K , Moyo N , Kabamba B , Seffren V , Fwoloshi S , Rutagwera MR , Musunse M , Mwiinga L , Gutman JR , Hines JZ , Sikazwe I . PLOS Glob Public Health 2024 4 (10) e0003028 Pregnant women are considered a high-risk group for COVID-19, and a priority for vaccination. Routine antenatal care (ANC) provides an opportunity to track trends and factors associated with vaccine uptake. We sought to evaluate COVID-19 vaccine uptake among pregnant women attending ANC and assess the factors associated with vaccine in Zambia. We conducted a repeated cross-sectional study in 39 public health facilities in four districts in Zambia from September 2021 to September 2022. Pregnant women who were aged 15-49 years were enrolled during their first ANC visit. Every month, ~20 women per facility were interviewed during individual HIV counseling and testing. We estimated vaccine uptake as the proportion of eligible participants who self-reported having received the COVID-19 vaccine. A total of 9,203 pregnant women were screened, of which 9,111 (99%) were eligible and had vaccination status. Of the 9,111 included in the analysis, 1,818 (20%) had received the COVID-19 vaccine during the study period, with a trend of increasing coverage with time (0.5% in September 2020, 27% in September 2022). Conversely, 3,789 (42%) reported not being offered a COVID-19 vaccine. We found that women aged 40-49 years, had no education or attained some primary school education, were not employed, and had prior COVID-19 infection were significantly associated with vaccine uptake. COVID-19 vaccine uptake among pregnant women was lower than estimates from the general population (27% across the four districts in September 2022), pointing to missed opportunities to protect this high-risk group. ANC visits were a viable point for conducting COVID-19 surveillance. Incorporating the vaccine as part of the routine ANC package might increase coverage in this group. |
An assessment of excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic, a retrospective post-mortem surveillance in 12 districts - Zambia, 2020-2022
Chanda SL , Hines JZ , Malambo W , Hamukale A , Kapata N , Sinyange N , Kapina M , Mucheleng'anga LA , Chilengi R . BMC Public Health 2024 24 (1) 2625 BACKGROUND: The number of COVID-19 deaths reported in Zambia (N = 4069) is most likely an underestimate due to limited testing, incomplete death registration and inability to account for indirect deaths due to socioeconomic disruption during the pandemic. We sought to assess excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Zambia. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of monthly-death-counts (2017-2022) and individual-daily-deaths (2020-2022) of all reported health facility and community deaths at district referral health facility mortuaries in 12 districts in Zambia. We defined COVID-19 wave periods based on a sustained nationally reported SARS-CoV-2 test positivity of greater than 5%. Excess mortality was calculated as the difference between observed monthly death counts during the pandemic (2020-2022) and the median monthly death counts from the pre-pandemic period (2017-2019), which served as the expected number of deaths. This calculation was conducted using a Microsoft Excel-based tool. We compared median daily death counts, median age at death, and the proportion of deaths by place of death (health facility vs. community) by wave period using the Mann-Whitney-U test and chi-square test respectively in R. RESULTS: A total of 112,768 deaths were reported in the 12 districts between 2020 and 2022, of which 17,111 (15.2%) were excess. Wave periods had higher median daily death counts than non-wave periods (median [IQR], 107 [95-126] versus 96 [85-107], p < 0.001). The median age at death during wave periods was older than non-wave periods (44.0 [25.0-67.0] versus 41.0 [22.0-63.0] years, p < 0.001). Approximately half of all reported deaths occurred in the community, with an even greater proportion during wave periods (50.6% versus 53.1%, p < 0.001), respectively. CONCLUSION: There was excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Zambia, with more deaths occurring within the community during wave periods. This analysis suggests more COVID-19 deaths likely occurred in Zambia than suggested by officially reported numbers. Mortality surveillance can provide important information to monitor population health and inform public health programming during pandemics. |
Experiences when using different EHMR models: Implications for different designs and meeting user expectations
Haas EJ , Edirisooryia M , Fernando R , McClain C , Sietsema M , Hornbeck A , Thurman P , Angelilli S , Waltenbaugh H , Chalikonda S , Hines SE . Am J Infect Control 2024 BACKGROUND: New elastomeric half mask respirator (EHMR) models without exhalation valves (EVs) or with exhalation valve filters (EVFs) are facilitating expanded use in health settings to reduce workers' exposure to airborne hazards while acting as source control to prevent pathogen spread. The physical comfort of new models has not been assessed in comparison to previously used EHMRs with EVs. METHODS: Researchers assessed 1,962 healthcare and emergency medical service personnels' self-reported adverse experiences from two cohorts while wearing EHMR models with EVs (Cohort 1, n=1,080) and without EVs or with EVFs (Cohort 2, n=882). Fisher's Exact Test identified differences between the cohorts accounting for organizational factors when possible. RESULTS: Cohort 1 respondents experienced communication challenges and discomfort when wearing the EHMR >1 hour statistically significantly more often than Cohort 2. Cohort 2 respondents reported statistically significantly more instances of difficulty breathing, moisture buildup, being uncomfortable to wear <1 hour, and being uncomfortably warm. CONCLUSIONS: Discomfort is prevalent among end users and more often among those wearing EHMRs without an EV/with an EVF. As EHMR research and development advances, prevalence in use may increase for emergency and routine situations. Organizations may not only need guidance about respirator selection but also model-specific selection. |
Clinical characteristics and factors associated with long COVID among post-acute COVID-19 clinic patients in Zambia, August 2020 to January 2023: A cross-sectional and longitudinal study design
Malambo W , Chanda D , Besa L , Engamba D , Mwiinga L , Mwitumwa M , Matibula P , Naik N , Sivile S , Agolory S , Auld A , Mulenga L , Hines JZ , Fwoloshi S . PLoS One 2024 19 (7) e0306131 INTRODUCTION: A number of seroprevalence studies in Zambia document the extent of spread of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, yet knowledge gaps still exist on symptoms and conditions that continue or develop after acute COVID-19 (long COVID). This is an important gap given the estimated prevalence of long COVID in other African countries. We assessed factors associated with long COVID at the initial visit to a post-acute COVID-19 (PAC-19) clinic and longitudinally among a cohort of patients with ≥2 review visits. METHODS: We implemented a cross-sectional and longitudinal analysis of PAC-19 clinic patients from Aug-2020 to Jan-2023. The study outcome was long COVID; defined as the presence of new, relapsing, or persistent COVID-19 symptoms that interfere with the ability to function at home or work. Explanatory variables were demographic and clinical characteristics of patients which included sex, age group, presence of new onset medical conditions, presence of pre-existing comorbidities, vaccination status and acute COVID-19 episode details. We fitted logistic and mixed effects regression models to assess for associated factors and considered statistical significance at p<0.05. RESULTS: Out of a total 1,359 PAC-19 clinic patients in the cross-sectional analysis, 548 (40.3%) patients with ≥2 PAC-19 clinic visits were in the longitudinal analysis. Patients' median age was 53 (interquartile range [IQR]: 41-63) years, 919 (67.6%) were hospitalized for acute COVID-19, and of whom 686 (74.6%) had severe acute COVID-19. Overall, 377 (27.7%) PAC-19 clinic patients had long COVID. Patients with hospital length of stay ≥15 days (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 5.37; 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 2.99-10.0), severe acute COVID-19 (aOR: 3.22; 95% CI: 1.68-6.73), and comorbidities (aOR:1.50; 95% CI: 1.02-2.21) had significantly higher chance of long COVID. Longitudinally, long COVID prevalence significantly (p<0.001) declined from 75.4% at the initial PAC-19 visit to 26.0% by the final visit. The median follow-up time was 7 (IQR: 4-12) weeks. CONCLUSION: Factors associated with long COVID in Zambia were consistent both cross-sectionally at the initial visit to PAC-19 clinics and longitudinally across subsequent review visits. This highlights the importance of ongoing monitoring and tailored interventions for patients with comorbidities and severe COVID-19 to mitigate the long-term impacts of COVID-19. |
The role of National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health hazard evaluations in reducing ergonomic injury among interventional pulmonologists
Tomasi SE , Hines SE , Ramsey J . ATS Sch 2024 5 (2) 341-342 |
Trends in SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence among pregnant women attending first antenatal care visits in Zambia: A repeated cross-sectional survey, 2021-2022
Heilmann E , Tembo T , Fwoloshi S , Kabamba B , Chilambe F , Kalenga K , Siwingwa M , Mulube C , Seffren V , Bolton-Moore C , Simwanza J , Yingst S , Yadav R , Rogier E , Auld AF , Agolory S , Kapina M , Gutman JR , Savory T , Kangale C , Mulenga LB , Sikazwe I , Hines JZ . PLOS Glob Public Health 2024 4 (4) e0003073 SARS-CoV-2 serosurveys help estimate the extent of transmission and guide the allocation of COVID-19 vaccines. We measured SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence among women attending ANC clinics to assess exposure trends over time in Zambia. We conducted repeated cross-sectional SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence surveys among pregnant women aged 15-49 years attending their first ANC visits in four districts of Zambia (two urban and two rural) during September 2021-September 2022. Serologic testing was done using a multiplex bead assay which detects IgG antibodies to the nucleocapsid protein and the spike protein receptor-binding domain (RBD). We calculated monthly SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence by district. We also categorized seropositive results as infection alone, infection and vaccination, or vaccination alone based on anti-RBD and anti-nucleocapsid test results and self-reported COVID-19 vaccination status (vaccinated was having received ≥1 dose). Among 8,304 participants, 5,296 (63.8%) were cumulatively seropositive for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies from September 2021 through September 2022. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence primarily increased from September 2021 to September 2022 in three districts (Lusaka: 61.8-100.0%, Chongwe: 39.6-94.7%, Chipata: 56.5-95.0%), but in Chadiza, seroprevalence increased from 27.8% in September 2021 to 77.2% in April 2022 before gradually dropping to 56.6% in July 2022. Among 5,906 participants with a valid COVID-19 vaccination status, infection alone accounted for antibody responses in 77.7% (4,590) of participants. Most women attending ANC had evidence of prior SARS-CoV-2 infection and most SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity was infection-induced. Capturing COVID-19 vaccination status and using a multiplex bead assay with anti-nucleocapsid and anti-RBD targets facilitated distinguishing infection-induced versus vaccine-induced antibody responses during a period of increasing COVID-19 vaccine coverage in Zambia. Declining seroprevalence in Chadiza may indicate waning antibodies and a need for booster vaccines. ANC clinics have a potential role in ongoing SARS-CoV-2 serosurveillance and can continue to provide insights into SARS-CoV-2 antibody dynamics to inform near real-time public health responses. |
COVID-19 mortality sentinel surveillance at a tertiary referral hospital in Lusaka, Zambia, 2020-2021
Hines JZ , Kapombe P , Mucheleng'anga A , Chanda SL , Hamukale A , Cheelo M , Kamalonga K , Tally L , Monze M , Kapina M , Agolory S , Auld AF , Lungu P , Chilengi R . PLOS Glob Public Health 2024 4 (3) e0003063 Deaths from COVID-19 likely exceeded official statistics in Zambia because of limited testing and incomplete death registration. We describe a sentinel COVID-19 mortality surveillance system in Lusaka, Zambia. We analyzed surveillance data on deceased persons of all ages undergoing verbal autopsy (VA) and COVID-19 testing at the University Teaching Hospital (UTH) mortuary in Lusaka, Zambia, from April 2020 through August 2021. VA was done by surveillance officers for community deaths and in-patient deaths that occurred <48 hours after admission. A standardized questionnaire about the circumstances proximal to death was used, with a probable cause of death assigned by a validated computer algorithm. Nasopharyngeal specimens from deceased persons were tested for COVID-19 using polymerase chain reaction and rapid diagnostic tests. We analyzed the cause of death by COVID-19 test results. Of 12,919 deceased persons at UTH mortuary during the study period, 5,555 (43.0%) had a VA and COVID-19 test postmortem, of which 79.7% were community deaths. Overall, 278 (5.0%) deceased persons tested COVID-19 positive; 7.1% during waves versus 1.4% during nonwave periods. Most (72.3%) deceased persons testing COVID-19 positive reportedly had fever, cough, and/or dyspnea and most (73.5%) reportedly had an antemortem COVID-19 test. Common causes of death for those testing COVID-19 positive included acute cardiac disease (18.3%), respiratory tract infections (16.5%), other types of cardiac diseases (12.9%), and stroke (7.2%). A notable portion of deceased persons at a sentinel site in Lusaka tested COVID-19 positive during waves, supporting the notion that deaths from COVID-19 might have been undercounted in Zambia. Many had displayed classic COVID-19 symptoms and been tested before death yet nevertheless died in the community, potentially indicating strained medical services during waves. The high proportion of cardiovascular diseases deaths might reflect the hypercoagulable state during severe COVID-19. Early supportive treatment and availability of antivirals might lessen future mortality. |
Comparison of HIV prevalence, incidence, and viral load suppression in Zambia population-based HIV impact assessments from 2016 and 2021
Mulenga LB , Hines JZ , Stafford KA , Dzekedzeke K , Sivile S , Lindsay B , Chola M , Ussery F , Patel HK , Abimiku A , Birhanu S , Minchella P , Stevens T Jr , Hanunka B , Chisenga T , Shibemba A , Fwoloshi S , Siame M , Mutukwa J , Chirwa L , Siwingwa M , Mulundu G , Agbakwuru C , Mapondera P , Detorio M , Agolory SG , Monze M , Bronson M , Charurat ME . AIDS 2024 BACKGROUND: The Zambian government has implemented a public health response to control the HIV epidemic in the country. Zambia conducted a population-based HIV impact assessment (ZAMPHIA) survey in 2021 to assess the status of the HIV epidemic to guide its public health programs. METHODS: ZAMPHIA 2021 was a cross-sectional two-stage cluster sample household survey among persons aged ≥15 years conducted in Zambia across all 10 provinces. Consenting participants were administered a standardized questionnaire and whole blood was tested for HIV according to national guidelines. HIV-1 viral load (VL), recent HIV infection, and antiretroviral medications were tested for in HIV-seropositive samples. Viral load suppression (VLS) was defined as <1000 copies/ml. ZAMPHIA 2021 results were compared to ZAMPHIA 2016 for persons aged 15-59 years (i.e., the overlapping age ranges). All estimates were weighted to account for nonresponse and survey design. RESULTS: During ZAMPHIA 2021, of 25 483 eligible persons aged ≥15 years, 18 804 (73.8%) were interviewed and tested for HIV. HIV prevalence was 11.0% and VLS prevalence was 86.2% overall, but was <80% among people living with HIV aged 15-24 years and in certain provinces. Among persons aged 15-59 years, from 2016 to 2021, HIV incidence declined from 0.6% to 0.3% (P-value: 0.07) and VLS prevalence increased from 59.2% to 85.7% (P-value: <0.01). DISCUSSION: Zambia has made substantial progress toward controlling the HIV epidemic from 2016 to 2021. Continued implementation of a test-and-treat strategy, with attention to groups with lower VLS in the ZAMPHIA 2021, could support reductions in HIV incidence and improve overall VLS in Zambia. |
Test negative case-control study of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness for symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection among healthcare workers: Zambia, 2021-2022
Mweso O , Simwanza J , Malambo W , Banda D , Fwoloshi S , Sinyange N , Yoo YM , Feldstein LR , Kapina M , Mulenga LB , Liwewe MM , Musonda K , Kapata N , Mwansa FD , Agolory S , Bobo P , Hines J , Chilengi R . BMJ Open 2023 13 (12) e072144 OBJECTIVES: The study aim was to evaluate vaccine effectiveness (VE) of COVID-19 vaccines in preventing symptomatic COVID-19 among healthcare workers (HCWs) in Zambia. We sought to answer the question, 'What is the vaccine effectiveness of a complete schedule of the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine in preventing symptomatic COVID-19 among HCWs in Zambia?' DESIGN/SETTING: We conducted a test-negative case-control study among HCWs across different levels of health facilities in Zambia offering point of care testing for COVID-19 from May 2021 to March 2022. PARTICIPANTS: 1767 participants entered the study and completed it. Cases were HCWs with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 and controls were HCWs who tested SARS-CoV-2 negative. Consented HCWs with documented history of vaccination for COVID-19 (vaccinated HCWs only) were included in the study. HCWs with unknown test results and unknown vaccination status, were excluded. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was VE among symptomatic HCWs. Secondary outcomes were VE by: SARS-CoV-2 variant strains based on the predominant variant circulating in Zambia (Delta during May 2021 to November 2021 and Omicron during December 2021 to March 2022), duration since vaccination and vaccine product. RESULTS: We recruited 1145 symptomatic HCWs. The median age was 30 years (IQR: 26-38) and 789 (68.9%) were women. Two hundred and eighty-two (24.6%) were fully vaccinated. The median time to full vaccination was 102 days (IQR: 56-144). VE against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection was 72.7% (95% CI: 61.9% to 80.7%) for fully vaccinated participants. VE was 79.4% (95% CI: 58.2% to 90.7%) during the Delta period and 37.5% (95% CI: -7.0% to 63.3%) during the Omicron period. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 vaccines were effective in reducing symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 among Zambian HCWs when the Delta variant was circulating but not when Omicron was circulating. This could be related to immune evasive characteristics and/or waning immunity. These findings support accelerating COVID-19 booster dosing with bivalent vaccines as part of the vaccination programme to reduce COVID-19 in Zambia. |
Elastomeric half-mask respirator disinfection practices among healthcare personnel
Hines SE , Thurman P , Zhuang E , Chen H , McDiarmid M , Chalikonda S , Angelilli S , Waltenbaugh H , Napoli M , Haas E , McClain C , Sietsema M , Fernando R . Am J Ind Med 2023 66 (12) 1056-1068 BACKGROUND: Disposable N95 respirator shortages during the COVID-19 and 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemics highlighted the need for reusable alternatives, such as elastomeric half-mask respirators (EHMRs). Two US medical organizations deployed reusable EHMRs during the COVID-19 response. In addition to wipe-based disinfection following patient care episodes expected per local policies at both organizations, postshift centralized cleaning and disinfection (C&D) was expected at one site (A), permitting shared-pool EHMR use, and optional at the other (Site B), where EHMRs were issued to individuals. Using a survey, we evaluated disinfection practices reported by EHMR users and predictors of disinfection behaviors and perceptions. METHODS: Surveys assessed EHMR disinfection practices, occupational characteristics, EHMR use frequency, training, and individual-issue versus shared-pool EHMR use. RESULTS: Of 1080 EHMR users completing the survey, 76% reported that they disinfect the EHMR after each patient encounter, which was the expected practice at both sites. Increasing EHMR use, recall of disinfection training, and work in intensive care or emergency settings significantly influenced higher reporting of this practice. 36% of respondents reported using centralized C&D, although reporting was higher at the site (A) where this was expected (53%). Confidence in cleanliness of the EHMR following centralized C&D was not influenced by individual versus shared-pool EHMR issue. CONCLUSIONS: Most EHMR users reported adherence with expected post-care individual-based disinfection of EHMRs but did not necessarily use standardized, centralized C&D. Future efforts to limit reliance on behavior related to respirator disinfection may improve EHMR implementation in healthcare to avert dependence on single-use, disposable N95 respirators. |
Two-Month Follow-up of Persons with SARS-CoV-2 Infection—Zambia, September 2020 (preprint)
Zulu JE , Banda D , Hines JZ , Luchembe M , Sivile S , Siwingwa M , Kampamba D , Zyambo KD , Chirwa R , Chirwa L , Malambo W , Barradas D , Sinyange N , Agolory S , Mulenga LB , Fwoloshi S . medRxiv 2021 2021.06.15.21258964 Background COVID-19 is often characterized by an acute upper respiratory tract infection. However, information on longer-term clinical sequelae following acute COVID-19 is emerging. We followed a group of persons with COVID-19 in Zambia at two months to assess persistent symptoms.Methods In September 2020, we re-contacted participants from SARS-CoV-2 prevalence studies conducted in Zambia in July 2020 whose PCR tests were positive. Participants with valid contact information were interviewed using a structured questionnaire that captured demographics, pre-existing conditions, and types and duration of symptoms. We describe the frequency and duration of reported symptoms and used chi-square tests to explore variability of symptoms by age group, gender, and underlying conditions.Results Of 302 participants, 155 (51%) reported one or more acute COVID-19-related symptoms in July 2020. Cough (50%), rhinorrhoea (36%) and headache (34%) were the most frequently reported symptoms proximal to diagnosis. The median symptom duration was 7 days (IQR: 3-9 days). At a median follow up of 54 days (IQR: 46-59 day), 27 (17%) symptomatic participants had not yet returned to their pre-COVID-19 health status. These participants most commonly reported cough (37%), headache (26%) and chest pain (22%). Age, sex, and pre-existing health conditions were not associated with persistent symptoms.Conclusion A notable percentage of persons with SARS-CoV-2 infection in July still had symptoms nearly two months after their diagnosis. Zambia is implementing ‘post-acute COVID-19 clinics’ to care for patients with prolonged symptoms of COVID-19, to address their needs and better understand how the disease will impact the population over time.Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.Funding StatementThis study was funded by the US Centres for Disease Control and PreventionAuthor DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:The University of Zambia Biomedical Research Ethics Committee Ridgeway Campus, P.O. Box 50110 Lusaka, Zambia E-mail: unzarec{at}zamtel.zmAll necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesAll data referred to in this manuscript is available for viewing and verification |
SARS-CoV-2 mortality surveillance among community deaths brought to university teaching hospital mortuary in Lusaka, Zambia, 2020 (preprint)
Hamukale A , Hines JZ , Sinyange N , Fwoloshi S , Malambo W , Sivile S , Chanda S , Mucheleng'anga LA , Kayeyi N , Himwaze CM , Shibemba A , Leigh T , Mazaba ML , Kapata N , Zulu P , Zyambo K , Mupeta F , Agolory S , Mulenga LB , Malama K , Kapina M . medRxiv 2021 15 Introduction: During March-December 2020, Zambia recorded 20,725 confirmed COVID-19 cases, with the first wave peaking between July and August. Of the 388 COVID-19-related deaths occurring nationwide, most occurred in the community. We report findings from COVID-19 mortality surveillance among community deaths brought to the University Teaching Hospital (UTH) mortuary in Lusaka. Method(s): In Zambia, when a person dies in the community, and is brought into a health facility mortuary, they are recorded as 'brought in dead' (BID). The UTH mortuary accepts persons BID for Lusaka District, the most populated district in Zambia. We analyzed data for persons BID at UTH during 2020. We analyzed two data sources: weekly SARS-CoV-2 test results for persons BID and monthly all-cause mortality numbers among persons BID. For all-cause mortality among persons BID, monthly deaths during 2020 that were above the upper bound of the 95% confidence interval for the historic mean (2017-2019) were considered significant. Spearman's rank test was used to correlate the overall percent positivity in Zambia with all-cause mortality and SARS-CoV-2 testing among persons BID at UTH mortuary. Result(s): During 2020, 7,756 persons were BID at UTH (monthly range 556-810). SARS-CoV-2 testing began in April 2020, and through December 3,131 (51.9%) of 6,022 persons BID were tested. Of these, 212 (6.8%) were SARS-CoV-2 positive with weekly percent test positivity ranging from 0-32%, with the highest positivity occurring during July 2020. There were 1,139 excess persons BID from all causes at UTH mortuary in 2020 compared to the 2017-2019 mean. The monthly number of persons BID from all causes was above the upper bound of the 95% confidence interval during June-September and December. Conclusion(s): Increases in all-cause mortality and SARS-CoV-2 test positivity among persons BID at UTH mortuary corresponded with the first peak of the COVID-19 epidemic in June and August 2020, indicating possible increased mortality related to the COVID-19 epidemic in Zambia. Combining all-cause mortality and SARS-CoV-2 testing for persons BID provides useful information about the severity of the epidemic in Lusaka and should be implemented throughout Zambia. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license. |
Hypertension among persons living with HIV - Zambia, 2021; A cross-sectional study of a national electronic health record system (preprint)
Hines JZ , Prieto JT , Itoh M , Fwoloshi S , Zyambo KD , Zachary D , Chitambala C , Minchella PA , Mulenga LB , Agolory S . medRxiv 2023 16 Background Hypertension is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease, which is a common cause of death in Zambia. Data on hypertension prevalence in Zambia are scarce and limited to specific geographic areas and/or populations. We measured hypertension prevalence among persons living with HIV (PLHIV) in Zambia using a national electronic health record (EHR) system. Methods We did a cross-sectional study of hypertension prevalence among PLHIV aged >=18 years in Zambia during 2021. Data were extracted from the SmartCare EHR, which covers ~90% of PLHIV on treatment in Zambia. PLHIV with >=2 recorded blood pressure (BP) readings in 2021 were included. Hypertension was defined as >=2 elevated BP readings (i.e., systolic BP of >=140 mmHg or diastolic BP of >=90 mmHg) during 2021 and/or on anti-hypertensive medication recorded in their EHR in the past five years. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess associations between hypertension and independent variables. Results Among 750,098 PLHIV aged >=18 years with >=2 visits in SmartCare during 2021, 101,363 (13.5%) had >=2 blood pressure readings recorded in their EHR. Among these PLHIV, 14.7% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 14.5-14.9) had hypertension during 2021. Only 8.9% of PLHIV with hypertension had an antihypertensive medication recorded in their EHR. The odds of hypertension were greater in older age groups compared to PLHIV aged 18-29 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] for 30-44 years: 2.6 [95% CI: 2.4-2.9]; aOR for 45-49 years: 6.4 [95% CI: 5.8-7.0]; aOR for >=60 years: 14.5 [95% CI: 13.1-16.1]), urban areas (aOR: 1.9 [95% CI: 1.8-2.1]), and persons prescribed ART for >=6-month at a time (aOR: 1.1 [95% CI: 1.0-1.2]). Discussion Hypertension was common among a cohort of PLHIV in Zambia, with few having documentation of being on antihypertensive treatment. Most PLHIV were excluded from the analysis because of missing BP measurements in their EHR. Strengthening integrated management of non-communicable diseases in ART clinics might help to diagnose and treat hypertension in Zambia. Data completeness needs to be improved to routinely capture cardiovascular disease risk factors, including blood pressure readings consistently for PHLIV in their EHRs. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
Self-Reported Mask Use among Persons with or without SARS CoV-2 Vaccination -United States, December 2020-August 2021 (preprint)
Calamari LE , Weintraub WS , Santos R , Gibbs M , Bertoni AG , Ward LM , Saydah S , Plumb ID , Runyon MS , Wierzba TF , Sanders JW , Herrington D , Espeland MA , Williamson J , Mongraw-Chaffin M , Bertoni A , Alexander-Miller MA , Castri P , Mathews A , Munawar I , Seals AL , Ostasiewski B , Ballard CAP , Gurcan M , Ivanov A , Zapata GM , Westcott M , Blinson K , Blinson L , Mistysyn M , Davis D , Doomy L , Henderson P , Jessup A , Lane K , Levine B , McCanless J , McDaniel S , Melius K , O'Neill C , Pack A , Rathee R , Rushing S , Sheets J , Soots S , Wall M , Wheeler S , White J , Wilkerson L , Wilson R , Wilson K , Burcombe D , Saylor G , Lunn M , Ordonez K , O'Steen A , Wagner L , McCurdy LH , Gibbs MA , Taylor YJ , Calamari L , Tapp H , Ahmed A , Brennan M , Munn L , Dantuluri KL , Hetherington T , Lu LC , Dunn C , Hogg M , Price A , Leonidas M , Manning M , Rossman W , Gohs FX , Harris A , Priem JS , Tochiki P , Wellinsky N , Silva C , Ludden T , Hernandez J , Spencer K , McAlister L , Weintraub W , Miller K , Washington C , Moses A , Dolman S , Zelaya-Portillo J , Erkus J , Blumenthal J , Romero Barrientos RE , Bennett S , Shah S , Mathur S , Boxley C , Kolm P , Franklin E , Ahmed N , Larsen M , Oberhelman R , Keating J , Kissinger P , Schieffelin J , Yukich J , Beron A , Teigen J , Kotloff K , Chen WH , Friedman-Klabanoff D , Berry AA , Powell H , Roane L , Datar R , Correa A , Navalkele B , Min YI , Castillo A , Ward L , Santos RP , Anugu P , Gao Y , Green J , Sandlin R , Moore D , Drake L , Horton D , Johnson KL , Stover M , Lagarde WH , Daniel L , Maguire PD , Hanlon CL , McFayden L , Rigo I , Hines K , Smith L , Harris M , Lissor B , Cook V , Eversole M , Herrin T , Murphy D , Kinney L , Diehl P , Abromitis N , Pierre TSt , Heckman B , Evans D , March J , Whitlock B , Moore W , Arthur S , Conway J , Gallaher TR , Johanson M , Brown S , Dixon T , Reavis M , Henderson S , Zimmer M , Oliver D , Jackson K , Menon M , Bishop B , Roeth R , King-Thiele R , Hamrick TS , Ihmeidan A , Hinkelman A , Okafor C , Bray Brown RB , Brewster A , Bouyi D , Lamont K , Yoshinaga K , Vinod P , Peela AS , Denbel G , Lo J , Mayet-Khan M , Mittal A , Motwani R , Raafat M , Schultz E , Joseph A , Parkeh A , Patel D , Afridi B , Uschner D , Edelstein SL , Santacatterina M , Strylewicz G , Burke B , Gunaratne M , Turney M , Zhou SQ , Tjaden AH , Fette L , Buahin A , Bott M , Graziani S , Soni A , Mores C , Porzucek A , Laborde R , Acharya P , Guill L , Lamphier D , Schaefer A , Satterwhite WM , McKeague A , Ward J , Naranjo DP , Darko N , Castellon K , Brink R , Shehzad H , Kuprianov D , McGlasson D , Hayes D , Edwards S , Daphnis S , Todd B , Goodwin A , Berkelman R , Hanson K , Zeger S , Hopkins J , Reilly C , Edwards K , Gayle H , Redd S . medRxiv 2022 10 Wearing a facemask can help to decrease the transmission of COVID-19. We investigated self-reported mask use among subjects aged 18 years and older participating in the COVID-19 Community Research Partnership (CRP), a prospective longitudinal COVID-19 surveillance study in the mid-Atlantic and southeastern United States. We included those participants who completed >=5 daily surveys each month from December 1, 2020 through August 31, 2021. Mask use was defined as self-reported use of a face mask or face covering on every interaction with others outside the household within a distance of less than 6 feet. Participants were considered vaccinated if they reported receiving >=1 COVID-19 vaccine dose. Participants (n=17,522) were 91% non-Hispanic White, 68% female, median age 57 years, 26% healthcare workers, with 95% self-reported receiving >=1 COVID-19 vaccine dose through August; mean daily survey response was 85%. Mask use was higher among vaccinated than unvaccinated participants across the study period, regardless of the month of the first dose. Mask use remained relatively stable from December 2020 through April (range 71-80% unvaccinated; 86-93% vaccinated) and declined in both groups beginning in mid-May 2021 to 34% and 42% respectively in June 2021; mask use has increased again since July 2021. Mask use by all was lower during weekends and on Christmas and Easter, regardless of vaccination status. Independent predictors of higher mask use were vaccination, age >=65 years, female sex, racial or ethnic minority group, and healthcare worker occupation, whereas a history of self-reported prior COVID-19 illness was associated with lower use. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
Hypertension among persons living with HIV-Zambia, 2021; A cross-sectional study of a national electronic health record system
Hines JZ , Prieto JT , Itoh M , Fwoloshi S , Zyambo KD , Sivile S , Mweemba A , Chisemba P , Kakoma E , Zachary D , Chitambala C , Minchella PA , Mulenga LB , Agolory S . PLOS Glob Public Health 2023 3 (7) e0001686 Hypertension is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease, which is a common cause of death in Zambia. Data on hypertension prevalence in Zambia are scarce and limited to specific geographic areas and/or populations. We measured hypertension prevalence among persons living with HIV (PLHIV) in Zambia using a national electronic health record (EHR) system. We did a cross-sectional study of hypertension prevalence among PLHIV aged ≥18 years during 2021. Data were extracted from the SmartCare EHR, which covers ~90% of PLHIV on treatment in Zambia. PLHIV with ≥2 clinical visits in 2021 were included. Hypertension was defined as ≥2 elevated blood pressure readings (systolic ≥140 mmHg/diastolic ≥90 mmHg) during 2021 and/or on anti-hypertensive medication recorded in their EHR ≤5 years. Logistic regression was used to assess for associations between hypertension and demographic characteristics. Among 750,098 PLHIV aged ≥18 years with ≥2 visits during 2021, 101,363 (13.5%) had ≥2 recorded blood pressure readings. Among these PLHIV, 14.7% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 14.5-14.9) had hypertension. Only 8.9% of PLHIV with hypertension had an anti-hypertensive medication recorded in their EHR. The odds of hypertension were greater in older age groups compared to PLHIV aged 18-29 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] for 30-44 years: 2.6 [95% CI: 2.4-2.9]; aOR for 45-49 years: 6.4 [95% CI: 5.8-7.0]; aOR for ≥60 years: 14.5 [95% CI: 13.1-16.1]), urban areas (aOR: 1.9 [95% CI: 1.8-2.1]), and on ART for ≥6-month at a time (aOR: 1.1 [95% CI: 1.0-1.2]). Hypertension was common among PLHIV in Zambia, with few having documentation of treatment. Most PLHIV were excluded from the analysis because of missing BP measurements. Strengthening integrated management of non-communicable diseases in HIV clinics might help to diagnose and treat hypertension in Zambia. Addressing missing data of routine clinical data (like blood pressure) could improve non-communicable diseases surveillance in Zambia. |
Using mortuary and burial data to place COVID-19 in Lusaka, Zambia within a global context
Sheppard RJ , Watson OJ , Pieciak R , Lungu J , Kwenda G , Moyo C , Chanda SL , Barnsley G , Brazeau NF , Gerard-Ursin ICG , Olivera Mesa D , Whittaker C , Gregson S , Okell LC , Ghani AC , MacLeod WB , Del Fava E , Melegaro A , Hines JZ , Mulenga LB , Walker PGT , Mwananyanda L , Gill CJ . Nat Commun 2023 14 (1) 3840 Reported COVID-19 cases and associated mortality remain low in many sub-Saharan countries relative to global averages, but true impact is difficult to estimate given limitations around surveillance and mortality registration. In Lusaka, Zambia, burial registration and SARS-CoV-2 prevalence data during 2020 allow estimation of excess mortality and transmission. Relative to pre-pandemic patterns, we estimate age-dependent mortality increases, totalling 3212 excess deaths (95% CrI: 2104-4591), representing an 18.5% (95% CrI: 13.0-25.2%) increase relative to pre-pandemic levels. Using a dynamical model-based inferential framework, we find that these mortality patterns and SARS-CoV-2 prevalence data are in agreement with established COVID-19 severity estimates. Our results support hypotheses that COVID-19 impact in Lusaka during 2020 was consistent with COVID-19 epidemics elsewhere, without requiring exceptional explanations for low reported figures. For more equitable decision-making during future pandemics, barriers to ascertaining attributable mortality in low-income settings must be addressed and factored into discourse around reported impact differences. |
Examining the impact of elastomeric half mask respirator knowledge and user barriers on safety climate perceptions in health care settings
Haas EJ , Yoon K , McClain C , Sietsema M , Hornbeck A , Hines S , Chalikonda S , Angelilli S , Waltenbaugh H , Thurman P , Napoli M , Fernando R . Workplace Health Saf 2023 71 (7) 21650799231164783 BACKGROUND: Availability of personal protective equipment (PPE) and its effective use may influence safety climate perceptions among health care personnel (HCP). It is unclear how health care organizations can leverage the effective use of respiratory protection to engage in continuous improvement of their safety climate, which can inform opportunities for employee education and engagement. METHODS: After using an elastomeric half mask respirator (EHMR) as their primary form of respiratory protection for several months, 1,080 HCP provided feedback in an electronic survey about respiratory protection training, confidence in EHMR use, barriers during use, and perceived safety climate. Ordinal logistic regressions were used as nonlinear models to test relationships between these variables. FINDINGS: We observed that an increase in user confidence (p < .013), training content (p < .001), training formats (p < .001), and a decrease in EHMR barriers (p < .001) were associated with a statistically significant increase in proactive safety climate. In the second model, an increase in user confidence (p < .006) and training content (p < .001), and a decrease in barriers (p < .001), was associated with a statistically significant increase in compliant safety climate. CONCLUSIONS/APPLICATION TO PRACTICE: HCP EHMR confidence was positively associated with safety climate perceptions, underscoring the value of competency building by respiratory protection leaders prior to implementation. Because fewer barriers experienced while using an EHMR were associated with a more positive perception of safety climate, it is important to first communicate with end users about potential barriers and, second, to continue research with end users and manufacturers to improve the design of EHMRs moving forward. |
Leveraging HIV program and civil society to accelerate COVID-19 vaccine uptake, Zambia
Bobo P , Hines JZ , Chilengi R , Auld AF , Agolory SG , Silumesii A , Nkengasong J . Emerg Infect Dis 2022 28 (13) S244-s246 To accelerate COVID-19 vaccination delivery, Zambia integrated COVID-19 vaccination into HIV treatment centers and used World AIDS Day 2021 to launch a national vaccination campaign. This campaign was associated with significantly increased vaccinations, demonstrating that HIV programs can be leveraged to increase COVID-19 vaccine uptake. |
Comparison of COVID-19 pandemic waves in 10 countries in Southern Africa, 2020-2021
Smith-Sreen J , Miller B , Kabaghe AN , Kim E , Wadonda-Kabondo N , Frawley A , Labuda S , Manuel E , Frietas H , Mwale AC , Segolodi T , Harvey P , Seitio-Kgokgwe O , Vergara AE , Gudo ES , Dziuban EJ , Shoopala N , Hines JZ , Agolory S , Kapina M , Sinyange N , Melchior M , Mirkovic K , Mahomva A , Modhi S , Salyer S , Azman AS , McLean C , Riek LP , Asiimwe F , Adler M , Mazibuko S , Okello V , Auld AF . Emerg Infect Dis 2022 28 (13) S93-s104 We used publicly available data to describe epidemiology, genomic surveillance, and public health and social measures from the first 3 COVID-19 pandemic waves in southern Africa during April 6, 2020-September 19, 2021. South Africa detected regional waves on average 7.2 weeks before other countries. Average testing volume 244 tests/million/day) increased across waves and was highest in upper-middle-income countries. Across the 3 waves, average reported regional incidence increased (17.4, 51.9, 123.3 cases/1 million population/day), as did positivity of diagnostic tests (8.8%, 12.2%, 14.5%); mortality (0.3, 1.5, 2.7 deaths/1 million populaiton/day); and case-fatality ratios (1.9%, 2.1%, 2.5%). Beta variant (B.1.351) drove the second wave and Delta (B.1.617.2) the third. Stringent implementation of safety measures declined across waves. As of September 19, 2021, completed vaccination coverage remained low (8.1% of total population). Our findings highlight opportunities for strengthening surveillance, health systems, and access to realistically available therapeutics, and scaling up risk-based vaccination. |
Measuring oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) continuation through electronic health records during program scale-up among the general population in Zambia
Heilmann E , Okuku J , Itoh M , Hines JZ , Prieto JT , Phiri M , Watala K , Nsofu C , Luhana-Phiri M , Vlahakis N , Kabongo M , Kaliki B , Minchella PA , Musonda B . AIDS Behav 2022 27 (7) 2390-2396 HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is being scaled-up in Zambia, but PrEP continuation data are limited by paper-based registers and aggregate reports. Utilization of Zambia's electronic health record (EHR) system, SmartCare, may address this gap. We analyzed individuals aged ≥ 15 years who initiated PrEP between October 2020 and September 2021 in four provinces in Zambia in SmartCare versus aggregate reports. We measured PrEP continuation using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards models. SmartCare captured 29% (16,791/58,010) of new PrEP clients; 49% of clients continued at one month, and 89% discontinued PrEP by February 2022. Women were less likely than men to discontinue PrEP (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.89, 95% CI 0.86-0.92, z = - 6.99, p < 0.001), and PrEP clients aged ≥ 50 years were less likely to discontinue PrEP compared to clients 15-19 years (aHR: 0.53, 95% CI 0.48-0.58, z = - 13.04, p < 0.001). Zambia's EHR is a valuable resource for measuring individual-level PrEP continuation over time and can be used to inform HIV prevention programs. |
Perspective: Human milk composition and related data for national health and nutrition monitoring and related research
Ahuja JKC , Casavale KO , Li Y , Hopperton KE , Chakrabarti S , Hines EP , Brooks SPJ , Bondy GS , MacFarlane AJ , Weiler HA , Wu X , Borghese MM , Ahluwalia N , Cheung W , Vargas AJ , Arteaga S , Lombo T , Fisher MM , Hayward D , Pehrsson PR . Adv Nutr 2022 13 (6) 2098-2114 National health and nutrition monitoring is an important federal effort in the United States and Canada, and the basis for many of their nutrition and health policies. Understanding of child exposures through human milk (HM) remains out of reach due to lack of current and representative data on HM's composition and intake volume. This article provides an overview of the current national health and nutrition monitoring activities for HM-fed children, HM composition (HMC) and volume data used for exposure assessment, categories of potential measures in HM, and associated variability factors. In this Perspective, we advocate for a framework for collection and reporting of HMC data for national health and nutrition monitoring and programmatic needs, including a shared vision for a publicly available Human Milk Composition Data Repository (HMCD-R) to include essential metadata associated with HMC. HMCD-R can provide a central, integrated platform for researchers and public health officials for compiling, evaluating, and sharing HMC data. The compiled compositional and metadata in HMCD-R would provide pertinent measures of central tendency and variability and allow use of modeling techniques to approximate compositional profiles for subgroups, providing more accurate exposure assessments for purposes of monitoring and surveillance. HMC and related metadata could facilitate understanding the complexity and variability of HM composition, provide crucial data for assessment of infant and maternal nutritional needs, and inform public health policies, food and nutrition programs, and clinical practice guidelines. |
Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes of Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19 During the First 4 Waves in Zambia.
Minchella PA , Chanda D , Hines JZ , Fwoloshi S , Itoh M , Kampamba D , Chirwa R , Sivile S , Zyambo KD , Agolory S , Mulenga LB . JAMA Netw Open 2022 5 (12) e2246152 IMPORTANCE: Few epidemiologic studies related to COVID-19 have emerged from countries in Africa, where demographic characteristics, epidemiology, and health system capacity differ from other parts of the world. OBJECTIVES: To describe the characteristics and outcomes of patients admitted to COVID-19 treatment centers, assess risk factors for in-hospital death, and explore how treatment center admissions were affected by COVID-19 waves in Zambia. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study assessed patients admitted to COVID-19 treatment centers in 5 Zambian cities between March 1, 2020, and February 28, 2022. EXPOSURES: Risk factors for in-hospital mortality, including patient age and severity of COVID-19, at treatment center admission. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Patient information was collected, including inpatient disposition (discharged or died). Differences across and within COVID-19 waves were assessed. Mixed-effects logistic regression models were used to assess associations between risk factors and in-hospital mortality as well as between characteristics of admitted patients and timing of admission. RESULTS: A total of 3876 patients were admitted during 4 COVID-19 waves (mean [SD] age, 50.6 [19.5] years; 2103 male [54.3%]). Compared with the first 3 waves (pooled), the proportion of patients who were 60 years or older admitted during wave 4, when the Omicron variant was circulating, was significantly lower (250 of 1009 [24.8%] vs 1116 of 2837 [39.3%]; P<.001). Factors associated with in-hospital mortality included older age (60 vs <30 years; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 3.55; 95% CI, 2.34-5.52) and HIV infection (aOR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.07-1.79). Within waves, patients who were admitted during weeks 5 to 9 had significantly higher odds of being 60 years or older (aOR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.79-2.45) or having severe COVID-19 at admission (aOR, 2.49; 95% CI, 2.14-2.90) than those admitted during the first 4 weeks. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The characteristics of admitted patients during the Omicron wave and risk factors for in-hospital mortality in Zambia reflect data reported elsewhere. Within-wave analyses revealed a pattern in which it appeared that admission of higher-risk patients was prioritized during periods when there were surges in demand for health services during COVID-19 waves. These findings support the need to expand health system capacity and improve health system resiliency in Zambia and other countries with resource-limited health systems. |
Consensus statements on deployment-related respiratory disease, inclusive of constrictive bronchiolitis: A modified Delphi study
Falvo MJ , Sotolongo AM , Osterholzer JJ , Robertson MW , Kazerooni EA , Amorosa JK , Garshick E , Jones KD , Galvin JR , Kreiss K , Hines SE , Franks TJ , Miller RF , Rose CS , Arjomandi M , Krefft SD , Morris MJ , Polosukhin VV , Blanc PD , D'Armiento JM . Chest 2022 163 (3) 599-609 BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of constrictive bronchiolitis (CB) in previously deployed individuals, and evaluation of respiratory symptoms more broadly, presents considerable challenges, including utilizing consistent histopathologic criteria and clinical assessments. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the recommended diagnostic workup, and associated terminology, of respiratory symptoms in previously deployed individuals STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Nineteen experts participated in a three-round modified Delphi study, ranking their level of agreement for each statement with a priori definition of consensus. Additionally, rank-order voting on the recommended diagnostic approach and terminology was performed. RESULTS: 25 of 28 statements reached consensus, including the definition of CB as a histological pattern of lung injury that occurs in some previously deployed individuals while recognizing the importance of considering alternative diagnoses. Consensus statements also identified a diagnostic approach for the previously deployed individual with respiratory symptoms distinguishing assessments best performed at a local or specialty referral center. Also, 'deployment-related respiratory disease' (DRRD) was proposed as a broad term to subsume a wide range of potential syndromes and conditions identified through non-invasive evaluation, or when surgical lung biopsy reveals evidence of multi-compartmental lung injury which may include CB. INTERPRETATION: Using a modified Delphi technique, consensus statements provide a clinical approach to possible CB in previously deployed individuals. Use of DRRD provides a broad descriptor encompassing a range of post-deployment respiratory findings. Additional follow-up of individuals with DRRD is needed to assess disease progression and define other features of its natural history, which could better inform and lead to evolution in this nosology. |
COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness Against Progression to In-Hospital Mortality in Zambia, 2021-2022.
Chanda D , Hines JZ , Itoh M , Fwoloshi S , Minchella PA , Zyambo KD , Sivile S , Kampamba D , Chirwa B , Chanda R , Mutengo K , Kayembe MF , Chewe W , Chipimo P , Mweemba A , Agolory S , Mulenga LB . Open Forum Infect Dis 2022 9 (9) ofac469 ![]() BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines are highly effective for reducing severe disease and mortality. However, vaccine effectiveness data are limited from Sub-Saharan Africa. We report COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against progression to in-hospital mortality in Zambia. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among admitted patients at 8 COVID-19 treatment centers across Zambia during April 2021 through March 2022, when the Delta and Omicron variants were circulating. Patient demographic and clinical information including vaccination status and hospitalization outcome (discharged or died) were collected. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the odds of in-hospital mortality by vaccination status, adjusted for age, sex, number of comorbid conditions, disease severity, hospitalization month, and COVID-19 treatment center. Vaccine effectiveness of 1 vaccine dose was calculated from the adjusted odds ratio. RESULTS: Among 1653 patients with data on their vaccination status and hospitalization outcome, 365 (22.1%) died. Overall, 236 (14.3%) patients had received 1 vaccine dose before hospital admission. Of the patients who had received 1 vaccine dose, 22 (9.3%) died compared with 343 (24.2%) among unvaccinated patients (P < .01). The median time since receipt of a first vaccine dose (interquartile range) was 52.5 (28-107) days. Vaccine effectiveness for progression to in-hospital mortality among hospitalized patients was 64.8% (95% CI, 42.3%-79.4%). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients admitted to COVID-19 treatment centers in Zambia, COVID-19 vaccination was associated with lower progression to in-hospital mortality. These data are consistent with evidence from other countries demonstrating the benefit of COVID-19 vaccination against severe complications. Vaccination is a critical tool for reducing the consequences of COVID-19 in Zambia. |
COVID-19 Vaccine Effectiveness during a Prison Outbreak when Omicron was the Dominant Circulating Variant-Zambia, December 2021.
Simwanza J , Hines JZ , Sinyange D , Sinyange N , Mulenga C , Hanyinza S , Sakubita P , Langa N , Nowa H , Gardner P , Saasa N , Chitempa G , Simpungwe J , Malambo W , Hamainza B , Chipimo PJ , Kapata N , Kapina M , Musonda K , Liwewe M , Mwale C , Fwoloshi S , Mulenga LB , Agolory S , Mukonka V , Chilengi R . Am J Trop Med Hyg 2022 107 (5) 1055-1059 ![]() During a COVID-19 outbreak in a prison in Zambia from December 14 to 19, 2021, a case-control study was done to measure vaccine effectiveness (VE) against infection and symptomatic infection, when the Omicron variant was the dominant circulating variant. Among 382 participants, 74.1% were fully vaccinated, and the median time since full vaccination was 54 days. There were no hospitalizations or deaths. COVID-19 VE against any SARS-CoV-2 infection was 64.8%, and VE against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection was 72.9%. COVID-19 vaccination helped protect incarcerated persons against SARS-CoV-2 infection during an outbreak while Omicron was the dominant variant in Zambia. These findings provide important local evidence that might be used to increase COVID-19 vaccination in Zambia and other countries in Africa. |
Maximizing the impact of voluntary medical male circumcision for HIV prevention in Zambia by targeting high-risk men: A pre/post program evaluation
Lukobo-Durrell M , Aladesanmi L , Suraratdecha C , Laube C , Grund J , Mohan D , Kabila M , Kaira F , Habel M , Hines JZ , Mtonga H , Chituwo O , Conkling M , Chipimo PJ , Kachimba J , Toledo C . AIDS Behav 2022 26 (11) 3597-3606 A well-documented barrier to voluntary medical male circumcision (VMMC) is financial loss due to the missed opportunity to work while undergoing and recovering from VMMC. We implemented a 2-phased outcome evaluation to explore how enhanced demand creation and financial compensation equivalent to 3 days of missed work influence uptake of VMMC among men at high risk of HIV exposure in Zambia. In Phase 1, we implemented human-centered design-informed interpersonal communication. In Phase 2, financial compensation of ZMW 200 (~ US$17) was added. The proportion of men undergoing circumcision was significantly higher in Phase 2 compared to Phase 1 (38% vs 3%). The cost of demand creation and compensation per client circumcised was $151.54 in Phase 1 and $34.93 in Phase 2. Financial compensation is a cost-effective strategy for increasing VMMC uptake among high-risk men in Zambia, and VMMC programs may consider similar interventions suited to their context. |
Characteristics associated with healthcare worker knowledge and confidence in elastomeric half-mask respirator use
Thurman P , Zhuang E , Chen HH , McClain C , Sietsema M , Fernando R , McDiarmid MA , Hines SE . J Occup Environ Med 2022 64 (9) 802-807 OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated healthcare workers' (HCW) knowledge and confidence in using elastomeric half-mask respirator (EHMR) attributes known to influence usage. METHODS: HCW were surveyed regarding their EHMR donning and doffing experience. Respondents were categorized into competency categories based on their scores. Category differences were analyzed using chi square and multiple logistic regression. RESULTS: 72% showed high levels of EHMR donning and doffing knowledge and confidence (mastery); however, 21% had greater confidence than knowledge (misinformed). Respiratory therapists had greater odds of mastery than other HCW (p < .05), while those working in medical/surgical and pediatric units had greater odds of doubt than other HCW (p < .01). CONCLUSION: While most HCW show high knowledge and confidence with EHMR use strategies to confirm respirator use competency may ensure greater HCW protection. |
Two-month follow-up of persons with SARS-CoV-2 infection-Zambia, September 2020: a cohort study.
Zulu JE , Banda D , Hines JZ , Luchembe M , Sivile S , Siwingwa M , Kampamba D , Zyambo KD , Chirwa R , Chirwa L , Malambo W , Barradas D , Sinyange N , Agolory S , Mulenga LB , Fwoloshi S . Pan Afr Med J 2022 41 26 INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 is often characterized by an acute upper respiratory tract infection. However, information on longer-term clinical sequelae following acute COVID-19 is emerging. We followed a group of persons with COVID-19 in Zambia at two months to assess persistent symptoms. METHODS: in September 2020, we re-contacted participants from SARS-CoV-2 prevalence studies conducted in Zambia in July 2020 whose polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests were positive. Participants with valid contact information were interviewed using a structured questionnaire that captured demographics, pre-existing conditions, and types and duration of symptoms. We describe the frequency and duration of reported symptoms and used chi-square tests to explore variability of symptoms by age group, gender, and underlying conditions. RESULTS: of 302 participants, 155 (51%) reported one or more acute COVID-19-related symptoms in July 2020. Cough (50%), rhinorrhoea (36%) and headache (34%) were the most frequently reported symptoms proximal to diagnosis. The median symptom duration was 7 days (IQR: 3-9 days). At a median follow up of 54 days (IQR: 46-59 day), 27 (17%) symptomatic participants had not yet returned to their pre-COVID-19 health status. These participants most commonly reported cough (37%), headache (26%) and chest pain (22%). Age, sex, and pre-existing health conditions were not associated with persistent symptoms. CONCLUSION: a notable percentage of persons with SARS-CoV-2 infection in July still had symptoms nearly two months after their diagnosis. Zambia is implementing ´post-acute COVID-19 clinics´ to care for patients with prolonged symptoms of COVID-19, to address their needs and better understand how the disease will impact the population over time. |
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