Last data update: Jan 27, 2025. (Total: 48650 publications since 2009)
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Query Trace: Florence C[original query] |
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Economic cost of US older adult assault injuries
Peterson C , Haileyesus T , Herbst JH , Gerald MS , Florence C . JAMA Netw Open 2024 7 (10) e2437644 This economic evaluation uses nationwide public health data to evaluate incidence and economic costs of homicides and nonfatal assault injuries among US adults aged 60 years or older. | eng |
Healthcare spending for non-fatal falls among older adults, USA
Haddad YK , Miller GF , Kakara R , Florence C , Bergen G , Burns ER , Atherly A . Inj Prev 2024 30 (4) 272-276 BACKGROUND: The older adult (65+) population in the USA is increasing and with it the number of medically treated falls. In 2015, healthcare spending attributable to older adult falls was approximately US$50 billion. We aim to update the estimated medical expenditures attributable to older adult non-fatal falls. METHODS: Generalised linear models using 2017, 2019 and 2021 Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey and cost supplement files were used to estimate the association of falls with healthcare expenditures while adjusting for demographic characteristics and health conditions in the model. To portion out the share of total healthcare spending attributable to falls versus not, we adjusted for demographic characteristics and health conditions, including self-reported health status and certain comorbidities associated with increased risk of falling or higher healthcare expenditure. We calculated a fall-attributable fraction of expenditure as total expenditures minus total expenditures with no falls divided by total expenditures. We applied the fall-attributable fraction of expenditure from the regression model to the 2020 total expenditures from the National Health Expenditure Data to calculate total healthcare spending attributable to older adult falls. RESULTS: In 2020, healthcare expenditure for non-fatal falls was US$80.0 billion, with the majority paid by Medicare. CONCLUSION: Healthcare spending for non-fatal older adult falls was substantially higher than previously reported estimates. This highlights the growing economic burden attributable to older adult falls and these findings can be used to inform policies on fall prevention efforts in the USA. |
Medical and work loss costs of violence, self-harm, unintentional and traumatic brain injuries per injured person in the USA
Peterson C , Xu L , Zhu S , Dunphy C , Florence C . Inj Prev 2024 OBJECTIVE: Injuries and poisoning are leading causes of US morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to update medical and work loss cost estimates per injured person. METHODS: Injuries treated in emergency departments (ED) during 2019-2020 were analysed in terms of mechanism (eg, fall) and intent (eg, unintentional), as well as traumatic brain injury (TBI) (multiple mechanisms and intents). Fatal injury medical spending was based on the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample and National Inpatient Sample. Non-fatal injury medical spending and workplace absences (general, short-term disability and workers' compensation) were analysed among injury patients with commercial insurance or Medicaid and matched controls during the year following an injury ED visit using MarketScan databases. RESULTS: Medical spending for injury deaths in hospital EDs and inpatient settings averaged US$4777 (n=57 296) and US$45 678 per fatality (n=89 175) (2020 USD). Estimates for fatal TBI were US$5052 (n=5363) and US$47 952 (n=37 184). People with ED treat and release visits for non-fatal injuries had on average US$5798 (n=895 918) in attributable medical spending and US$1686 (11 missed days) (n=116 836) in work loss costs during the following year, while people with non-fatal injuries who required hospitalisation after an ED injury visit had US$52 246 (n=32 976) in medical spending and US$7815 (51 days) (n=4473) in work loss costs. Estimates for non-fatal TBI were US$4529 (n=25 792), US$1503 (10 days) (n=1631), US$51 241 (n=3030) and US$6110 (40 days) (n=246). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Per person costs of injuries and violence are important to monitor the economic burden of injuries and assess the value of prevention strategies. |
Guiding prevention initiatives by applying network analysis to systems maps of adverse childhood experiences and adolescent suicide
Maldonado BD , Schuerkamp R , Martin CM , Rice KL , Nataraj N , Brown MM , Harper CR , Florence C , Giabbanelli PJ . Network Sci 2024 Suicide is a leading cause of death in the United States, particularly among adolescents. In recent years, suicidal ideation, attempts, and fatalities have increased. Systems maps can effectively represent complex issues such as suicide, thus providing decision-support tools for policymakers to identify and evaluate interventions. While network science has served to examine systems maps in fields such as obesity, there is limited research at the intersection of suicidology and network science. In this paper, we apply network science to a large causal map of adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) and suicide to address this gap. The National Center for Injury Prevention and Control (NCIPC) within the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recently created a causal map that encapsulates ACEs and adolescent suicide in 361 concept nodes and 946 directed relationships. In this study, we examine this map and three similar models through three related questions: (Q1) how do existing network-based models of suicide differ in terms of node- and network-level characteristics? (Q2) Using the NCIPC model as a unifying framework, how do current suicide intervention strategies align with prevailing theories of suicide? (Q3) How can the use of network science on the NCIPC model guide suicide interventions? © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press. |
Adverse childhood experiences among U.S. Adults: National and state estimates by adversity type, 2019-2020
Aslam MV , Swedo E , Niolon PH , Peterson C , Bacon S , Florence C . Am J Prev Med 2024 INTRODUCTION: Although adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are associated with lifelong health harms, current surveillance data on adults' ACEs exposures are either unavailable or incomplete for many states. In this study, recent data from a nationally representative survey were used to obtain current and complete ACEs estimates at the national and state levels. METHODS: Current, complete, by-state ACEs estimates were obtained by applying small area estimation (SAE) technique to individual-level data on adults aged 18+ years from 2019-2020 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) survey. The standardized ACEs questions included in 2019-2020 BRFSS survey allowed for obtaining ACEs estimates consistent across states. All missing ACEs responses (state did not offer ACEs questions or offered to only some respondents; respondents skipped questions) were predicted through multilevel mixed-effects logistic (MMEL) and jackknifed MMEL SAE regressions. The analyses were conducted between October 2022 and May 2023. RESULTS: Estimated 62.8% of U.S. adults had past ACEs exposures (range: 54.9% in Connecticut; 72.5% in Maine). Emotional abuse (34.5%) was most common; household member incarceration (10.6%) was least common. Sexual abuse varied markedly between females (22.2%) and males (5.4%). Most ACEs exposures were lowest for adults who were non-Hispanic white, had the highest level of education (college degree) or income (annual income $50,000+), or had access to a personal healthcare provider. CONCLUSIONS: Current complete ACE estimates demonstrate high countrywide exposures and stark socio-demographic inequalities in ACEs burden, highlighting opportunities to prevent ACEs by focusing social, educational, medical, and public health interventions on populations disproportionately impacted. |
Adults' exposure to adverse childhood experiences in the United States nationwide and in each state: modeled estimates from 2019-2020
Aslam MV , Peterson C , Swedo E , Niolon PH , Bacon S , Florence C . Inj Prev 2024 BACKGROUND: Although preventable, adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) can result in lifelong health harms. Current surveillance data on adults' exposure to ACEs are either unavailable or incomplete for many U.S. states. METHODS: Current estimates of the proportion of U.S. adults with past ACEs exposures were obtained by analysing individual-level data from 2019 to 2020 Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance System-annual nationally representative survey of noninstitutionalized adults aged 18+years. Standardised questions measuring ACEs exposures (presence of household member with mental illness, substance abuse, or incarceration; parental separation; witnessing intimate partner violence; experiencing physical, emotional, or sexual abuse during childhood) were categorised into 0, 1, 2-3, or 4+ACEs and reported by sociodemographic group in each state. Missing ACEs responses (state did not offer ACEs questions or offered to only some respondents; respondent skipped questions) were modelled through multilevel mixed-effects logistic (MMEL) and jackknifed MMEL regressions. RESULTS: In 2019-2020, an estimated 62.8% of U.S. adults had past exposure to 1+ACEs (range: 54.9% in Connecticut; 72.5% in Maine), including 22.4% of adults who were exposed to 4+ACEs (range: 11.9% in Connecticut; 32.8% in Nevada). At the national and state levels, exposure to 4+ACEs was highest among adults aged 18-34 years, those who did not graduate from high school, or adults who did not have a healthcare provider. Racial/ethnic distribution of adults exposed to 4+ACEs varied by age and state. CONCLUSIONS: ACEs are common but not equally distributed. ACEs exposures estimated by state and sociodemographic group can help decisionmakers focus public health interventions on populations disproportionately impacted in their area. |
Economic burden of health conditions associated with adverse childhood experiences among US adults
Peterson C , Aslam MV , Niolon PH , Bacon S , Bellis MA , Mercy JA , Florence C . JAMA Netw Open 2023 6 (12) e2346323 IMPORTANCE: Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are preventable, potentially traumatic events in childhood, such as experiencing abuse or neglect, witnessing violence, or living in a household with substance use disorder, mental health problems, or instability from parental separation or incarceration. Adults who had ACEs have more harmful risk behaviors and worse health outcomes; the economic burden associated with these issues is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the economic burden of ACE-associated health conditions among US adults. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this economic evaluation, regression models of cross-sectional survey data from the 2019-2020 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) and previous studies were used to estimate ACE population-attributable fractions (PAFs) (ie, the fraction of total cases associated with a specific exposure) for selected health outcomes (anxiety, arthritis, asthma, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, depression, diabetes, heart disease, kidney disease, stroke, and violence) and risk factors (heavy drinking, illicit drug use, overweight and obesity, and smoking) among the 2019 US adult population. Adverse childhood experience PAFs were used to calculate the proportion of total condition-specific medical spending and lost healthy life-years related to ACEs using Global Burden of Disease Study data. Data analysis was performed from September 10, 2021, to November 29, 2022. EXPOSURE: Adverse childhood experiences (age <18 years). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Monetary valuation of ACE-associated morbidity and mortality using standard US value of statistical life methods and presented in terms of annual and lifetime per affected person and total population estimates at the national and state levels. RESULTS: A total of 820 673 adults, representing 255 million individuals, participated in the BRFSS in 2019 and 2020. An estimated 160 million of the total 255 million US adult population (63%) had 1 or more ACE, associated with an annual economic burden of $14.1 trillion ($183 billion in direct medical spending and $13.9 trillion in lost healthy life-years). This was $88 000 per affected adult annually and $2.4 million over their lifetimes. The lifetime economic burden per affected adult was lowest in North Dakota ($1.3 million) and highest in Arkansas ($4.3 million). Twenty-two percent of adults had 4 or more ACEs and comprised 58% of the total economic burden-the estimated per person lifetime economic burden for those adults was $4.0 million. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cross-sectional analysis of the US adult population, the economic burden of ACE-related health conditions was substantial. The findings suggest that measuring the economic burden of ACEs can support decision-making about investing in strategies to improve population health. |
Costs of fatal and nonfatal firearm injuries in the U.S., 2019 and 2020
Miller GF , Barnett SBL , Florence CS , McDavid Harrison K , Dahlberg LL , Mercy JA . Am J Prev Med 2023 INTRODUCTION: Firearm-related injuries are among the five leading causes of death for people aged 1-44 years in the U.S. The immediate and long-term harms of firearm injuries pose an economic burden on society. Fatal and nonfatal firearm injury costs in the U.S. were estimated providing up-to-date economic burden estimates. METHODS: Counts of nonfatal firearm injuries were obtained from the 2019-2020 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project Nationwide Emergency Department Sample. Data on nonfatal injury intent were obtained from the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System - Firearm Injury Surveillance System. Counts of deaths (firearm as underlying cause) were obtained from the 2019-2020 multiple cause-of-death mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System. Analyses were conducted in 2023. RESULTS: The total nonfatal and fatal cost of firearm-related injuries for 2020 was $493.2 billion. Nonfatal firearm injuries and costs increased by 20% from 2019 to 2020. There are significant disparities in the cost of firearm deaths in 2019-2020, with non-Hispanic Black people, males, and young and middle-aged groups being the most affected. CONCLUSIONS: Most of the nonfatal firearm injury-related costs are attributed to hospitalization. These findings highlight the racial/ethnic differences in fatal firearm injuries and the disproportionate cost burden to urban areas. Addressing this important public health problem can help ameliorate the costs to our society from the rising rates of firearm injuries. |
Professional fees for U.S. Hospital care, 2016-2020
Peterson C , Xu L , Grosse SD , Florence C . Med Care 2023 61 (10) 644-650 BACKGROUND: The latest comprehensive diagnosis-specific estimates of hospital professional fees relative to facility fees are from 2004 to 2012. OBJECTIVE: Update professional fee ratio (PFR) estimates to improve cost analysis opportunities with hospital discharge data sources and compare them with previous PFR estimates. SUBJECTS: 2016-2020 MarketScan inpatient admissions and emergency department (ED) treat and release claims. MEASURES: PFR was calculated as total admission or ED visit payment divided by facility-only payment. This measure can be multiplied by hospital facility costs to yield a total cost estimate. RESEARCH DESIGN: Generalized linear regression models controlling for selected patient and service characteristics were used to calculate adjusted mean PFR per admission or ED visit by health payer type (commercial or Medicaid) and by selected diagnostic categories representing all clinical diagnoses (Major Diagnostic Category, Diagnostic Related Group, and Clinical Classification Software Revised). RESULTS: Mean 2016-2020 PFR was 1.224 for admissions with commercial payers (n = 6.7 million admissions) and 1.178 for Medicaid (n = 4.2 million), indicating professional payments on average increased total payments by 22.4% and 17.8%, respectively, above facility-only payments. This is a 9% and 3% decline in PFR, respectively, compared with 2004 estimates. PFR for ED visits during 2016-2020 was 1.283 for commercial payers (n = 22.2 million visits) and 1.415 for Medicaid (n = 17.7 million). This is a 12% and 5% decline in PFR, respectively, compared with 2004 estimates. CONCLUSIONS: Professional fees comprise a declining proportion of hospital-based care costs. Adjustments for professional fees are recommended when hospital facility-only financial data are used to estimate hospital care costs. |
Causes, characteristics, and patterns of prolonged unplanned school closures prior to the COVID-19 pandemic - United States, 2011 - 2019 (preprint)
Jahan FA , Zviedrite N , Gao H , Ahmed F , Uzicanin A . medRxiv 2021 08 Introduction Outside of pandemics, there is little information about occurrence of prolonged unplanned K-12 school closures (PUSC). We describe here the reasons, characteristics, and patterns of PUSC in the United States during 8 consecutive inter-pandemic academic years, 2011-2019. Methods From August 1, 2011 through June 30, 2019, daily systematic online searches were conducted to collect data on publicly announced unplanned school closures lasting >=1 school days in the United States. Closures were categorized as prolonged when schools were closed for >=5 unplanned days (approximating one full workweek), excluding weekends and scheduled days off per school calendars. Results During the eight academic years, a total of 22,112 PUSCs were identified, affecting over 800,000 teachers and 13 million students that resulted in 91.5 million student-days lost. A median of 62.9% of students in PUSC-affected schools were eligible for subsidized school meals. Most affected schools were in cities (35%) and suburban areas (33%). Natural disasters (47%), adverse weather conditions (35%), and budget/teacher strikes (15%) were the most frequently cited reasons for PUSC; illness accounted for 1%, and building/facility issues, environmental issues and violence together accounted for the remaining 2%. The highest number of PUSCs occurred in Health and Human Services Regions 2, 3, 4, and 6 encompassing areas that are frequently in the path of hurricanes and tropical storms. The majority of PUSCs in these regions were attributed to a handful of hurricanes during the fall season, including hurricanes Sandy, Irma, Harvey, Florence, and Matthew. Conclusions PUSCs occur annually in the United States due to a variety of causes and are associated with a substantive loss of student-days for in-school learning. Both these prior experiences with PUSCs and those during the current COVID-19 pandemic illustrate a need for creating sustainable solutions for high-quality distance learning and innovative supplemental feeding programs nationwide, especially in disaster-prone areas. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
Florence (Flo) Anne Jones 1948-2023
Connelly CR . J Am Mosq Control Assoc 2023 39 (2) 146-148 Florence Anne Jones, known to all as “Flo,” passed away on January 21, 2023, in the care of hospice in Inverness, Florida. Her career in mosquito control began in 1975 and lasted until her retirement in 2006, although she remained involved in teaching about and advocating for mosquito control well beyond her retirement. During her career in mosquito control, Flo was a member of the American Mosquito Control Association, Florida Mosquito Control Association (FMCA), and Haiti Mosquito Control Association. She was also an active member of the Citrus County Historical Society, starting in 2017. Flo was a colleague, friend, biologist, teacher, author, pilot, philanthropist, friend to animals, and lover of nature and history. |
Costs attributable to criminal justice involvement in injuries: a systematic review
Miller GF , Barnett SB , Wulz AR , Luo F , Florence C . Inj Prev 2022 CONTEXT: Costs related to criminal justice are an important component of the economic burden of injuries; such costs could include police involvement, judicial and corrections costs, among others. If the literature has sufficient information on the criminal justice costs related to injury, it could be added to existing estimates of the economic burden of injury. OBJECTIVE: To examine research on injury-related criminal justice costs, and what extent cost information is available by type of injury. DATA SOURCES: Medline, PsycINFO, Sociological Abstracts ProQuest, EconLit and National Criminal Justice Reference Service were searched from 1998 to 2021. DATA EXTRACTION: Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses was followed for data reporting. RESULTS: Overall, 29 studies reported criminal justice costs and the costs of crime vary considerably. CONCLUSIONS: This study illustrates possible touchpoints for cost inputs and outputs in the criminal justice pathway, providing a useful conceptualisation for better estimating criminal justice costs of injury in the future. However, better understanding of all criminal justice costs for injury-related crimes may provide justification for prevention efforts and potentially for groups who are disproportionately affected. Future research may focus on criminal justice cost estimates from injuries by demographics to better understand the impact these costs have on particular populations. |
Operational insights into mosquito control disaster response in Coastal North Carolina: Experiences with the Federal Emergency Management Agency after Hurricane Florence
Brown Jeffrey S , Byrd Brian D , Connelly CRoxanne , Richards Stephanie L . J Environ Health 2022 85 (2) 24-31 Preparation for post-hurricane mosquito control is essential for an effective emergency response to protect public health and promote recovery efforts. Effective pre-hurricane planning includes laying the groundwork for a successful reimbursement application to the Federal Emergency Management Agency. The critical and overlapping need to sustain funding for mosquito control programs is highlighted here in the context of both normal and emergency responses. Community support is an integral component of an effective integrated pest management program and is established over time with appropriate communication and engagement. Experienced mosquito control operators who are familiar with treatment areas are an essential component of successful operations. Here, practical advice is provided to plan, prepare, and implement a successful ground- and aerial-based mosquito control response. |
Causes, characteristics, and patterns of prolonged unplanned school closures prior to the COVID-19 pandemic-United States, 2011-2019.
Jahan FA , Zviedrite N , Gao H , Ahmed F , Uzicanin A . PLoS One 2022 17 (7) e0272088 INTRODUCTION: Outside of pandemics, there is little information about occurrence of prolonged unplanned K-12 school closures (PUSC). We describe here the reasons, characteristics, and patterns of PUSC in the United States during 8 consecutive inter-pandemic academic years, 2011-2019. METHODS: From August 1, 2011 through June 30, 2019, daily systematic online searches were conducted to collect data on publicly announced unplanned school closures lasting 1 school days in the United States. Closures were categorized as prolonged when schools were closed for 5 unplanned days (approximating one full workweek), excluding weekends and scheduled days off per school calendars. RESULTS: During the eight academic years, a total of 22,112 PUSCs were identified, affecting over 800,000 teachers and 13 million students that resulted in 91.5 million student-days lost. A median of 62.9% of students in PUSC-affected schools were eligible for subsidized school meals. Most affected schools were in cities (35%) and suburban areas (33%). Natural disasters (47%), adverse weather conditions (35%), and budget/teacher strikes (15%) were the most frequently cited reasons for PUSC; illness accounted for 1%, and building/facility issues, environmental issues and violence together accounted for the remaining 2%. The highest number of PUSCs occurred in Health and Human Services Regions 2, 3, 4, and 6 encompassing areas that are frequently in the path of hurricanes and tropical storms. The majority of PUSCs in these regions were attributed to a handful of hurricanes during the fall season, including hurricanes Sandy, Irma, Harvey, Florence, and Matthew. CONCLUSIONS: PUSCs occur annually in the United States due to a variety of causes and are associated with a substantive loss of student-days for in-school learning. Both these prior experiences with PUSCs and those during the current COVID-19 pandemic illustrate a need for creating sustainable solutions for high-quality distance learning and innovative supplemental feeding programs nationwide, especially in disaster-prone areas. |
Answering the Call: The Response of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Federal Public Health Nursing Workforce to the COVID-19 Pandemic.
Zauche LH , Pomeroy M , Demeke HB , MetteeZarecki SL , Williams JL , Newsome K , Hill L , Dooyema CA . Am J Public Health 2022 112 S226-s230 Many public health challenges face our world today, including systemic racism, the opioid epidemic, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Nurses are well-qualified and well-positioned to respond to these challenges, as nurses represent 50% of the global health workforce and are leaders not only in clinical settings but also in public health.1 The professions of nursing and public health have been closely intertwined since the founding of the modern-day nursing profession by Florence Nightingale, a pioneer in the field of epidemiology.2 |
Defining the risk of SARS-CoV-2 variants on immune protection.
DeGrace MM , Ghedin E , Frieman MB , Krammer F , Grifoni A , Alisoltani A , Alter G , Amara RR , Baric RS , Barouch DH , Bloom JD , Bloyet LM , Bonenfant G , Boon ACM , Boritz EA , Bratt DL , Bricker TL , Brown L , Buchser WJ , Carreo JM , Cohen-Lavi L , Darling TL , Davis-Gardner ME , Dearlove BL , Di H , Dittmann M , Doria-Rose NA , Douek DC , Drosten C , Edara VV , Ellebedy A , Fabrizio TP , Ferrari G , Florence WC , Fouchier RAM , Franks J , Garca-Sastre A , Godzik A , Gonzalez-Reiche AS , Gordon A , Haagmans BL , Halfmann PJ , Ho DD , Holbrook MR , Huang Y , James SL , Jaroszewski L , Jeevan T , Johnson RM , Jones TC , Joshi A , Kawaoka Y , Kercher L , Koopmans MPG , Korber B , Koren E , Koup RA , LeGresley EB , Lemieux JE , Liebeskind MJ , Liu Z , Livingston B , Logue JP , Luo Y , McDermott AB , McElrath MJ , Meliopoulos VA , Menachery VD , Montefiori DC , Mhlemann B , Munster VJ , Munt JE , Nair MS , Netzl A , Niewiadomska AM , O'Dell S , Pekosz A , Perlman S , Pontelli MC , Rockx B , Rolland M , Rothlauf PW , Sacharen S , Scheuermann RH , Schmidt SD , Schotsaert M , Schultz-Cherry S , Seder RA , Sedova M , Sette A , Shabman RS , Shen X , Shi PY , Shukla M , Simon V , Stumpf S , Sullivan NJ , Thackray LB , Theiler J , Thomas PG , Trifkovic S , Treli S , Turner SA , Vakaki MA , vanBakel H , VanBlargan LA , Vincent LR , Wallace ZS , Wang L , Wang M , Wang P , Wang W , Weaver SC , Webby RJ , Weiss CD , Wentworth DE , Weston SM , Whelan SPJ , Whitener BM , Wilks SH , Xie X , Ying B , Yoon H , Zhou B , Hertz T , Smith DJ , Diamond MS , Post DJ , Suthar MS . Nature 2022 605 (7911) 640-652 ![]() The global emergence of many severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants jeopardizes the protective antiviral immunity induced following infection or vaccination. To address the public health threat caused by the increasing SARS-CoV-2 genomic diversity, the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) within the National Institutes of Health (NIH) established the SARS-CoV-2 Assessment of Viral Evolution (SAVE) program. This effort was designed to provide a real-time risk assessment of SARS-CoV-2 variants potentially impacting transmission, virulence, and resistance to convalescent and vaccine-induced immunity. The SAVE program serves as a critical data-generating component of the United States Government SARS-CoV-2 Interagency Group to assess implications of SARS-CoV-2 variants on diagnostics, vaccines, and therapeutics and for communicating public health risk. Here we describe the coordinated approach used to identify and curate data about emerging variants, their impact on immunity, and effects on vaccine protection using animal models. We report the development of reagents, methodologies, models, and pivotal findings facilitated by this collaborative approach and identify future challenges. This program serves as a template for the response against rapidly evolving pandemic pathogens by monitoring viral evolution in the human population to identify variants that could erode the effectiveness of countermeasures. |
Monetised estimated quality-adjusted life year (QALY) losses for non-fatal injuries
Miller GF , Florence C , Barnett SB , Peterson C , Lawrence BA , Miller TR . Inj Prev 2022 28 (5) 405-409 BACKGROUND: Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) provide a means to compare injuries using a common measurement which allows quality of life and duration of life from an injury to be considered. A more comprehensive picture of the economic losses associated with injuries can be found when QALY estimates are combined with medical and work loss costs. This study provides estimates of QALY loss. METHODS: QALY loss estimates were assigned to records in the 2018 National Electronic Injury Surveillance System - All Injury Program. QALY estimates by body region and nature of injury were assigned using a combination of previous research methods. Injuries were rated on six dimensions, which identify a set of discrete qualitative impairments. Additionally, a seventh dimension, work-related disability, was included. QALY loss estimates were produced by intent and mechanism, for all emergency department-treated cases, by two disposition groups. RESULTS: Lifetime QALY losses ranged from 0.0004 to 0.388 for treated and released injuries, and from 0.031 to 3.905 for hospitalised injuries. The 1-year monetary value of QALY losses ranged from $136 to $437 000 among both treated and released and hospitalised injuries. The lifetime monetary value of QALY losses for hospitalised injuries ranged from $16 000 to $2.1 million. CONCLUSIONS: These estimates provide information to improve knowledge about the comprehensive economic burden of injuries; direct cost elements that can be measured through financial transactions do not capture the full cost of an injury. Comprehensive assessment of the long-term cost of injuries, including quality of life losses, is critical to accurately estimate the economic burden of injuries. |
State-Level Economic Costs of Fatal Injuries - United States, 2019
Peterson C , Luo F , Florence C . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021 70 (48) 1660-1663 Unintentional and violence-related injury fatalities, including suicide, homicide, overdoses, motor vehicle crashes, and falls, were among the 10 leading causes of death for all age groups in the United States in 2019.* There were 246,041 injury deaths in 2019 (unintentional injury was the most frequent cause of death after heart disease and cancer) with an economic cost of $2.2 trillion (1). Extending a national analysis (1), CDC examined state-level economic costs of fatal injuries based on medical care costs and the value of statistical life assigned to 2019 injury records from the CDC's Web-based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting System (WISQARS).(†) West Virginia had the highest per capita cost ($11,274) from fatal injury, more than twice that of New York, the state with the lowest cost ($4,538). The five areas with the highest per capita total fatal injury costs were West Virginia, New Mexico, Alaska, District of Columbia (DC), and Louisiana; costs were lowest in New York, California, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Texas. All U.S. states face substantial avoidable costs from injury deaths. Individual persons, families, organizations, communities, and policymakers can use targeted proven strategies to prevent injuries and violence. Resources for best practices for preventing injuries and violence are available online from the CDC's National Center for Injury Prevention and Control.(§). |
Economic Cost of Injury - United States, 2019
Peterson C , Miller GF , Barnett SBL , Florence C . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021 70 (48) 1655-1659 Unintentional and violence-related injuries, including suicide, homicide, overdoses, motor vehicle crashes, and falls, were among the top 10 causes of death for all age groups in the United States and caused nearly 27 million nonfatal emergency department (ED) visits in 2019.*(,)(†) CDC estimated the economic cost of injuries that occurred in 2019 by assigning costs for medical care, work loss, value of statistical life, and quality of life losses to injury records from the CDC's Web-based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting System (WISQARS).(§) In 2019, the economic cost of injury was $4.2 trillion, including $327 billion in medical care, $69 billion in work loss, and $3.8 trillion in value of statistical life and quality of life losses. More than one half of this cost ($2.4 trillion) was among working-aged adults (aged 25-64 years). Individual persons, families, organizations, communities, and policymakers can use targeted proven strategies to prevent injuries and violence. Resources for best practices for preventing injuries and violence are available online from CDC's National Center for Injury Prevention and Control.(¶). |
Impact of Medicaid expansion and methadone coverage as a medication for opioid use disorder on foster care entries during the opioid crisis
Tang S , Matjasko JL , Harper CR , Rostad WL , Ports KA , Strahan AE , Florence C . Child Youth Serv Rev 2021 130 Between 2012 and 2018, incidents of opioid-involved injuries surged and the number of children in foster care due to parental drug use disorder increased. Treatments for opioid use disorder (OUD) might prevent or reduce the amount of time that children spend in the child welfare system. Using administrative data, we examined the impact of Medicaid expansion and state support for methadone as a medication for opioid use disorder (MOUD) on first-time foster care placements. Results show that first-time foster care entries due to parental drug use disorder experienced a reduction of 28 per 100,000 children in Medicaid expansion states with methadone MOUD covered by their state Medicaid programs. The largest reduction was found among non-Hispanic Black children and the youngest children (age 0–1 years). Policies that increase OUD treatment access may reduce foster care placements by reducing parents’ drug use, a risk factor for child abuse/neglect and subsequent home removal. © 2021 |
State-Level Economic Costs of Opioid Use Disorder and Fatal Opioid Overdose - United States, 2017
Luo F , Li M , Florence C . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021 70 (15) 541-546 Approximately 47,000 persons in the United States died from an opioid-involved overdose in 2018 (1), and 2.0 million persons met the diagnostic criteria for an opioid use disorder in 2017 (2). The economic cost of the U.S. opioid epidemic in 2017 was estimated at $1,021 billion, including cost of opioid use disorder estimated at $471 billion and cost of fatal opioid overdose estimated at $550 billion (3). CDC used national-level cost estimates to estimate the state-level economic cost of opioid use disorder and fatal opioid overdose during 2017. Cases and costs of state-level opioid use disorder and fatal opioid overdose and per capita costs were calculated for each of the 38 states and the District of Columbia (DC) that met drug specificity requirements for mortality data (4). Combined costs of opioid use disorder and fatal opioid overdose (combined costs) varied substantially, ranging from $985 million in Wyoming to $72,583 million in Ohio. Per capita combined costs also varied considerably, ranging from $1,204 in Hawaii to $7,247 in West Virginia. States with high per capita combined costs were mainly in two regions: the Ohio Valley and New England. Federal and state public health agencies can use these data to help guide decisions regarding research, prevention and response activities, and resource allocation. |
Counties with High COVID-19 Incidence and Relatively Large Racial and Ethnic Minority Populations - United States, April 1-December 22, 2020.
Lee FC , Adams L , Graves SJ , Massetti GM , Calanan RM , Penman-Aguilar A , Henley SJ , Annor FB , Van Handel M , Aleshire N , Durant T , Fuld J , Griffing S , Mattocks L , Liburd L . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021 70 (13) 483-489 Long-standing systemic social, economic, and environmental inequities in the United States have put many communities of color (racial and ethnic minority groups) at increased risk for exposure to and infection with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, as well as more severe COVID-19-related outcomes (1-3). Because race and ethnicity are missing for a proportion of reported COVID-19 cases, counties with substantial missing information often are excluded from analyses of disparities (4). Thus, as a complement to these case-based analyses, population-based studies can help direct public health interventions. Using data from the 50 states and the District of Columbia (DC), CDC identified counties where five racial and ethnic minority groups (Hispanic or Latino [Hispanic], non-Hispanic Black or African American [Black], non-Hispanic Asian [Asian], non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native [AI/AN], and non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander [NH/PI]) might have experienced high COVID-19 impact during April 1-December 22, 2020. These counties had high 2-week COVID-19 incidences (>100 new cases per 100,000 persons in the total population) and percentages of persons in five racial and ethnic groups that were larger than the national percentages (denoted as "large"). During April 1-14, a total of 359 (11.4%) of 3,142 U.S. counties reported high COVID-19 incidence, including 28.7% of counties with large percentages of Asian persons and 27.9% of counties with large percentages of Black persons. During August 5-18, high COVID-19 incidence was reported by 2,034 (64.7%) counties, including 92.4% of counties with large percentages of Black persons and 74.5% of counties with large percentages of Hispanic persons. During December 9-22, high COVID-19 incidence was reported by 3,114 (99.1%) counties, including >95% of those with large percentages of persons in each of the five racial and ethnic minority groups. The findings of this population-based analysis complement those of case-based analyses. In jurisdictions with substantial missing race and ethnicity information, this method could be applied to smaller geographic areas, to identify communities of color that might be experiencing high potential COVID-19 impact. As areas with high rates of new infection change over time, public health efforts can be tailored to the needs of communities of color as the pandemic evolves and integrated with longer-term plans to improve health equity. |
Association of State-Issued Mask Mandates and Allowing On-Premises Restaurant Dining with County-Level COVID-19 Case and Death Growth Rates - United States, March 1-December 31, 2020.
Guy GPJr , Lee FC , Sunshine G , McCord R , Howard-Williams M , Kompaniyets L , Dunphy C , Gakh M , Weber R , Sauber-Schatz E , Omura JD , Massetti GM . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021 70 (10) 350-354 CDC recommends a combination of evidence-based strategies to reduce transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19 (1). Because the virus is transmitted predominantly by inhaling respiratory droplets from infected persons, universal mask use can help reduce transmission (1). Starting in April, 39 states and the District of Columbia (DC) issued mask mandates in 2020. Reducing person-to-person interactions by avoiding nonessential shared spaces, such as restaurants, where interactions are typically unmasked and physical distancing (≥6 ft) is difficult to maintain, can also decrease transmission (2). In March and April 2020, 49 states and DC prohibited any on-premises dining at restaurants, but by mid-June, all states and DC had lifted these restrictions. To examine the association of state-issued mask mandates and allowing on-premises restaurant dining with COVID-19 cases and deaths during March 1-December 31, 2020, county-level data on mask mandates and restaurant reopenings were compared with county-level changes in COVID-19 case and death growth rates relative to the mandate implementation and reopening dates. Mask mandates were associated with decreases in daily COVID-19 case and death growth rates 1-20, 21-40, 41-60, 61-80, and 81-100 days after implementation. Allowing any on-premises dining at restaurants was associated with increases in daily COVID-19 case growth rates 41-60, 61-80, and 81-100 days after reopening, and increases in daily COVID-19 death growth rates 61-80 and 81-100 days after reopening. Implementing mask mandates was associated with reduced SARS-CoV-2 transmission, whereas reopening restaurants for on-premises dining was associated with increased transmission. Policies that require universal mask use and restrict any on-premises restaurant dining are important components of a comprehensive strategy to reduce exposure to and transmission of SARS-CoV-2 (1). Such efforts are increasingly important given the emergence of highly transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variants in the United States (3,4). |
Pursuing Data Modernization in Cancer Surveillance by Developing a Cloud-Based Computing Platform: Real-Time Cancer Case Collection.
Jones DE , Alimi TO , Pordell P , Tangka FK , Blumenthal W , Jones SF , Rogers JD , Benard VB , Richardson LC . JCO Clin Cancer Inform 2021 5 24-29 Cancer surveillance is a field focused on collection of data to evaluate the burden of cancer and apply public health strategies to prevent and control cancer in the community. A key challenge facing the cancer surveillance community is the number of manual tasks required to collect cancer surveillance data, thereby resulting in possible delays in analysis and use of the information. To modernize and automate cancer data collection and reporting, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is planning, developing, and piloting a cancer surveillance cloud-based computing platform (CS-CBCP) with standardized electronic reporting from laboratories and health-care providers. With this system, automation of the cancer case collection process and access to real-time cancer case data can be achieved, which could not be done before. Furthermore, the COVID-19 pandemic has illustrated the importance of continuity of operations plans, and the CS-CBCP has the potential to provide such a platform suitable for remote operations of central cancer registries. |
A Preparedness Model for Mother-Baby Linked Longitudinal Surveillance for Emerging Threats.
Woodworth KR , Reynolds MR , Burkel V , Gates C , Eckert V , McDermott C , Barton J , Wilburn A , Halai UA , Brown CM , Bocour A , Longcore N , Orkis L , Lopez CD , Sizemore L , Ellis EM , Schillie S , Gupta N , Bowen VB , Torrone E , Ellington SR , Delaney A , Olson SM , Roth NM , Whitehill F , Zambrano LD , Meaney-Delman D , Fehrenbach SN , Honein MA , Tong VT , Gilboa SM . Matern Child Health J 2021 25 (2) 1-9 INTRODUCTION: Public health responses often lack the infrastructure to capture the impact of public health emergencies on pregnant women and infants, with limited mechanisms for linking pregnant women with their infants nationally to monitor long-term effects. In 2019, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), in close collaboration with state, local, and territorial health departments, began a 5-year initiative to establish population-based mother-baby linked longitudinal surveillance, the Surveillance for Emerging Threats to Mothers and Babies Network (SET-NET). OBJECTIVES: The objective of this report is to describe an expanded surveillance approach that leverages and modernizes existing surveillance systems to address the impact of emerging health threats during pregnancy on pregnant women and their infants. METHODS: Mother-baby pairs are identified through prospective identification during pregnancy and/or identification of an infant with retrospective linking to maternal information. All data are obtained from existing data sources (e.g., electronic medical records, vital statistics, laboratory reports, and health department investigations and case reporting). RESULTS: Variables were selected for inclusion to address key surveillance questions proposed by CDC and health department subject matter experts. General variables include maternal demographics and health history, pregnancy and infant outcomes, maternal and infant laboratory results, and child health outcomes up to the second birthday. Exposure-specific modular variables are included for hepatitis C, syphilis, and Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The system is structured into four relational datasets (maternal, pregnancy outcomes and birth, infant/child follow-up, and laboratory testing). DISCUSSION: SET-NET provides a population-based mother-baby linked longitudinal surveillance approach and has already demonstrated rapid adaptation to COVID-19. This innovative approach leverages existing data sources and rapidly collects data and informs clinical guidance and practice. These data can help to reduce exposure risk and adverse outcomes among pregnant women and their infants, direct public health action, and strengthen public health systems. |
Declines in SARS-CoV-2 Transmission, Hospitalizations, and Mortality After Implementation of Mitigation Measures- Delaware, March-June 2020.
Kanu FA , Smith EE , Offutt-Powell T , Hong R , Dinh TH , Pevzner E . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2020 69 (45) 1691-1694 Mitigation measures, including stay-at-home orders and public mask wearing, together with routine public health interventions such as case investigation with contact tracing and immediate self-quarantine after exposure, are recommended to prevent and control the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) (1-3). On March 11, the first COVID-19 case in Delaware was reported to the Delaware Division of Public Health (DPH). The state responded to ongoing community transmission with investigation of all identified cases (commencing March 11), issuance of statewide stay-at-home orders (March 24-June 1), a statewide public mask mandate (from April 28), and contact tracing (starting May 12). The relationship among implementation of mitigation strategies, case investigations, and contact tracing and COVID-19 incidence and associated hospitalization and mortality was examined during March-June 2020. Incidence declined by 82%, hospitalization by 88%, and mortality by 100% from late April to June 2020, as the mask mandate and contact tracing were added to case investigations and the stay-at-home order. Among 9,762 laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases reported during March 11-June 25, 2020, two thirds (6,527; 67%) of patients were interviewed, and 5,823 (60%) reported completing isolation. Among 2,834 contacts reported, 882 (31%) were interviewed and among these contacts, 721 (82%) reported completing quarantine. Implementation of mitigation measures, including mandated mask use coupled with public health interventions, was followed by reductions in COVID-19 incidence and associated hospitalizations and mortality. The combination of state-mandated community mitigation efforts and routine public health interventions can reduce the occurrence of new COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths. |
The economic burden of opioid use disorder and fatal opioid overdose in the United States, 2017
Florence C , Luo F , Rice K . Drug Alcohol Depend 2020 218 108350 BACKGROUND: The United States (U.S.) is experiencing an ongoing opioid crisis. Economic burden estimates that describe the impact of the crisis are needed when considering federal and state resources devoted to addressing overdoses. In this study, we estimate the societal costs for opioid use disorder and fatal overdose from all opioids in 2017. METHODS: We estimated costs of fatal overdose from all opioids and opioid use disorder based on the incidence of overdose deaths and the prevalence of past-year opioid use disorder for 2017. Incidence of fatal opioid overdose was obtained from the National Vital Statistics System; prevalence of past-year opioid use disorder was estimated from the National Survey of Drug Use and Health. Costs were estimated for health care, criminal justice and lost productivity. Costs for the reduced quality of life for opioid use disorder and life lost due to fatal opioid overdose were valued using U.S. Department of Health and Human Services guidelines for valuing reductions in morbidity and mortality. RESULTS: Costs for opioid use disorder and fatal opioid overdose in 2017 were estimated to be $1.02 trillion. The majority of the economic burden is due to reduced quality of life from opioid use disorder and the value of life lost due to fatal opioid overdose. CONCLUSIONS: These estimates can assist decision makers in understanding the magnitude of opioid use disorder and fatal overdose. Knowing the magnitude and distribution of the economic burden can inform public policy, clinical practice, research, and prevention and response activities. |
Update: proposed reference sequences for subtypes of hepatitis E virus (species Orthohepevirus A ).
Smith DB , Izopet J , Nicot F , Simmonds P , Jameel S , Meng XJ , Norder H , Okamoto H , van der Poel WHM , Reuter G , Purdy MA . J Gen Virol 2020 101 (7) 692-698 ![]() ![]() In this recommendation, we update our 2016 table of reference sequences of subtypes of hepatitis E virus (HEV; species Orthohepevirus A, family Hepeviridae) for which complete genome sequences are available (Smith et al., 2016). This takes into account subsequent publications describing novel viruses and additional proposals for subtype names; there are now eight genotypes and 36 subtypes. Although it remains difficult to define strict criteria for distinguishing between virus subtypes, and is not within the remit of the International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses (ICTV), the use of agreed reference sequences will bring clarity and stability to researchers, epidemiologists and clinicians working with HEV. |
Average medical cost of fatal and non-fatal injuries by type in the USA
Peterson C , Xu L , Florence C . Inj Prev 2019 27 (1) 24-33 OBJECTIVE: To estimate the average medical care cost of fatal and non-fatal injuries in the USA comprehensively by injury type. METHODS: The attributable cost of injuries was estimated by mechanism (eg, fall), intent (eg, unintentional), body region (eg, head and neck) and nature of injury (eg, fracture) among patients injured from 1 October 2014 to 30 September 2015. The cost of fatal injuries was the multivariable regression-adjusted average among patients who died in hospital emergency departments (EDs) or inpatient settings as reported in the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project Nationwide Emergency Department Sample and National Inpatient Sample, controlling for demographic (eg, age), clinical (eg, comorbidities) and health insurance (eg, Medicaid) factors. The 1-year attributable cost of non-fatal injuries was assessed among patients with ED-treated injuries using MarketScan medical claims data. Multivariable regression models compared total medical payments (inpatient, outpatient, drugs) among non-fatal injury patients versus matched controls during the year following injury patients' ED visit, controlling for demographic, clinical and insurance factors. All costs are 2015 US dollars. RESULTS: The average medical cost of all fatal injuries was approximately $6880 and $41 570 per ED-based and hospital-based patient, respectively (range by injury type: $4764-$10 289 and $31 912-$95 295). The average attributable 1-year cost of all non-fatal injuries per person initially treated in an ED was approximately $6620 (range by injury type: $1698-$80 172). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Injuries are costly and preventable. Accurate estimates of attributable medical care costs are important to monitor the economic burden of injuries and help to prioritise cost-effective public health prevention activities. |
Small area estimates of populations with chronic conditions for community preparedness for public health emergencies
Holt JB , Matthews KA , Lu H , Wang Y , LeClercq JM , Greenlund KJ , Thomas CW . Am J Public Health 2019 109 S325-s331 Objectives. To demonstrate a flexible and practical method to obtain near real-time estimates of the number of at-risk community-dwelling adults with a chronic condition in a defined area potentially affected by a public health emergency.Methods. We used small area estimation with survey responses from the 2016 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System together with a geographic information system to predict the number of adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease who lived in the forecasted path of Hurricane Florence in North and South Carolina in 2018.Results. We estimated that a range of 32 002 to 676 536 adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease resided between 50 and 200 miles of 3 consecutive daily forecasted landfalls. The number of affected counties ranged from 8 to 10 (at 50 miles) to as many as 119 to 127 (at 200 miles).Conclusions. Community preparedness is critical to anticipating, responding to, and ameliorating these health threats. We demonstrated the feasibility of quickly producing detailed estimates of the number of residents with chronic conditions who may face life-threatening situations because of a natural disaster. These methods are applicable to a range of planning and response scenarios. |
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