BACKGROUND: Novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is frequently compared with influenza. The Hospitalized Adult Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network (HAIVEN) conducts studies on the etiology and characteristics of U.S. hospitalized adults with influenza. It began enrolling patients with COVID-19 hospitalizations in March 2020. Patients with influenza were compared with those with COVID-19 in the first months of the U.S. epidemic. METHODS: Adults aged ≥ 18 years admitted to hospitals in 4 sites with acute respiratory illness were tested by real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction for influenza and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the virus causing COVID-19. Demographic and illness characteristics were collected for influenza illnesses during 3 seasons 2016-2019. Similar data were collected on COVID-19 cases admitted before June 19, 2020. RESULTS: Age groups hospitalized with COVID-19 (n = 914) were similar to those admitted with influenza (n = 1937); 80% of patients with influenza and 75% of patients with COVID-19 were aged ≥50 years. Deaths from COVID-19 that occurred in younger patients were less often related to underlying conditions. White non-Hispanic persons were overrepresented in influenza (64%) compared with COVID-19 hospitalizations (37%). Greater severity and complications occurred with COVID-19 including more ICU admissions (AOR = 15.3 [95% CI: 11.6, 20.3]), ventilator use (AOR = 15.6 [95% CI: 10.7, 22.8]), 7 additional days of hospital stay in those discharged alive, and death during hospitalization (AOR = 19.8 [95% CI: 12.0, 32.7]). CONCLUSIONS: While COVID-19 can cause a respiratory illness like influenza, it is associated with significantly greater severity of illness, longer hospital stays, and higher in-hospital deaths.

To better understand the antibody landscape changes following influenza virus natural infection and vaccination, we developed a high-throughput multiplex influenza antibody detection assay (MIADA) containing 42 recombinant hemagglutinins (rHAs) (ectodomain and/or globular head domain) from pre-2009 A(H1N1), A(H1N1)pdm09, A(H2N2), A(H3N2), A(H5N1), A(H7N7), A(H7N9), A(H7N2), A(H9N2), A(H13N9), and influenza B viruses. Panels of ferret antisera, 227 paired human sera from vaccinees (children and adults) in 5 influenza seasons (2010 to 2018), and 17 paired human sera collected from real-time reverse transcription-PCR (rRT-PCR)-confirmed influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, influenza A(H3N2), or influenza B virus-infected adults were analyzed by the MIADA. Ferret antisera demonstrated clear strain-specific antibody responses to exposed subtype HA. Adults (19 to 49 years old) had broader antibody landscapes than young children (<3 years old) and older children (9 to 17 years old) both at baseline and post-vaccination. Influenza vaccination and infection induced the strongest antibody responses specific to HA(s) of exposed strain/subtype viruses and closely related strains; they also induced cross-reactive antibodies to an unexposed influenza virus subtype(s), including novel viruses. Subsequent serum adsorption confirmed that the cross-reactive antibodies against novel subtype HAs were mainly induced by exposures to A(H1N1)/A(H3N2) influenza A viruses. In contrast, adults infected by influenza B viruses mounted antibody responses mostly specific to two influenza B virus lineage HAs. Median fluorescence intensities (MFIs) and seroconversion in MIADA had good correlations with the titers and seroconversion measured by hemagglutination inhibition and microneutralization assays. Our study demonstrated that antibody landscape analysis by the MIADA can be used for influenza vaccine evaluations and characterization of influenza virus infections.IMPORTANCE Repeated influenza vaccination and natural infections generate complex immune profiles in humans that require antibody landscape analysis to assess immunity and evaluate vaccines. However, antibody landscape analyses are difficult to perform using traditional assays. Here, we developed a high-throughput, serum-sparing, multiplex influenza antibody detection assay (MIADA) and analyzed the antibody landscapes following influenza vaccination and infection. We showed that adults had broader antibody landscapes than children. Influenza vaccination and infection not only induced the strongest antibody responses to the hemagglutinins of the viruses of exposure, but also induced cross-reactive antibodies to novel influenza viruses that can be removed by serum adsorption. There is a good correlation between the median fluorescence intensity (MFI) measured by MIADA and hemagglutination inhibition/microneutralization titers. Antibody landscape analysis by the MIADA can be used in influenza vaccine evaluations, including the development of universal influenza vaccines and the characterization of influenza virus infections.

BACKGROUND: Influenza causes significant morbidity and mortality and stresses hospital resources during periods of increased circulation. We evaluated the effectiveness of the 2019-2020 influenza vaccine against influenza-associated hospitalizations in the United States. METHODS: We included adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illness at 14 hospitals and tested for influenza viruses by reserve transcription polymerase chain reaction. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated by comparing the odds of current-season influenza vaccination in test-positive influenza cases versus test-negative controls, adjusting for confounders. VE was stratified by age and major circulating influenza types along with A(H1N1)pdm09 genetic subgroups. RESULTS: 3116 participants were included, including 18% (553) influenza-positive cases. Median age was 63 years. Sixty-seven percent (2079) received vaccination. Overall adjusted VE against influenza viruses was 41% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 27-52). VE against A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses was 40% (95% CI: 24-53) and 33% against B viruses (95% CI: 0-56). Of the two major A(H1N1)pdm09 subgroups (representing 90% of sequenced H1N1 viruses), VE against one group (5A+187A,189E) was 59% (95% CI: 34-75) whereas no significant VE was observed against the other group (5A+156K) [-1%, 95% CI: -61-37]. CONCLUSIONS: In a primarily older population, influenza vaccination was associated with a 41% reduction in risk of hospitalized influenza illness.

After rigorous clinical trials of vaccines for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) have established safety and efficacy, and after vaccines are deployed, evaluating vaccine performance in actual clinical settings will be essential for understanding the risks and benefits of vaccination programs. However, unique aspects of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) may pose challenges for these postmarketing approaches for evaluating vaccines. This Viewpoint describes potential methodologic challenges with using the commonly applied “test-negative” case-control design1 for evaluating COVID-19 vaccines and proposes potential solutions for consideration. |

With rapid and accurate molecular influenza testing now widely available in clinical settings, influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) studies can prospectively select participants for enrollment based on real-time results rather than enrolling all eligible patients regardless of influenza status, as in the traditional test-negative design (TND). Thus, we explore advantages and disadvantages of modifying the TND for estimating VE by using real-time, clinically available viral testing results paired with acute respiratory infection eligibility criteria for identifying influenza cases and test-negative controls prior to enrollment. This modification, which we have called the real-time test-negative design (rtTND), has the potential to improve influenza VE studies by optimizing the case-to-test-negative control ratio, more accurately classifying influenza status, improving study efficiency, reducing study cost, and increasing study power to adequately estimate VE. Important considerations for limiting biases in the rtTND include the need for comprehensive clinical influenza testing at study sites and accurate influenza tests.

From January 21 through February 23, 2020, public health agencies detected 14 U.S. cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), all related to travel from China (1,2). The first nontravel-related U.S. case was confirmed on February 26 in a California resident who had become ill on February 13 (3). Two days later, on February 28, a second nontravel-related case was confirmed in the state of Washington (4,5). Examination of four lines of evidence provides insight into the timing of introduction and early transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, into the United States before the detection of these two cases. First, syndromic surveillance based on emergency department records from counties affected early by the pandemic did not show an increase in visits for COVID-19-like illness before February 28. Second, retrospective SARS-CoV-2 testing of approximately 11,000 respiratory specimens from several U.S. locations beginning January 1 identified no positive results before February 20. Third, analysis of viral RNA sequences from early cases suggested that a single lineage of virus imported directly or indirectly from China began circulating in the United States between January 18 and February 9, followed by several SARS-CoV-2 importations from Europe. Finally, the occurrence of three cases, one in a California resident who died on February 6, a second in another resident of the same county who died February 17, and a third in an unidentified passenger or crew member aboard a Pacific cruise ship that left San Francisco on February 11, confirms cryptic circulation of the virus by early February. These data indicate that sustained, community transmission had begun before detection of the first two nontravel-related U.S. cases, likely resulting from the importation of a single lineage of virus from China in late January or early February, followed by several importations from Europe. The widespread emergence of COVID-19 throughout the United States after February highlights the importance of robust public health systems to respond rapidly to emerging infectious threats.

Background: Mannose-binding lectin (MBL) is an innate immune protein with strong biologic plausibility for protecting against influenza virus-related sepsis and bacterial co-infection. In an autopsy cohort of 105 influenza-infected young people, carriage of the deleterious MBL gene MBL2_Gly54Asp("B") mutation was identified in 5 of 8 individuals that died from influenza-methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) co-infection. We evaluated MBL2 variants known to influence MBL levels with pediatric influenza-related critical illness susceptibility and/or severity including with bacterial co-infections. Methods: We enrolled children and adolescents with laboratory-confirmed influenza infection across 38 pediatric intensive care units from November 2008 to June 2016. We sequenced MBL2 "low-producer" variants rs11003125("H/L"), rs7096206("Y/X"), rs1800450Gly54Asp("B"), rs1800451Gly57Glu("C"), rs5030737Arg52Cys("D") in patients and biologic parents. We measured serum levels and compared complement activity in low-producing homozygotes ("B/B," "C/C") to HYA/HYA controls. We used a population control of 1,142 healthy children and also analyzed family trios (PBAT/HBAT) to evaluate disease susceptibility, and nested case-control analyses to evaluate severity. Results: We genotyped 420 patients with confirmed influenza-related sepsis: 159 (38%) had acute lung injury (ALI), 165 (39%) septic shock, and 30 (7%) died. Although bacterial co-infection was diagnosed in 133 patients (32%), only MRSA co-infection (n = 33, 8% overall) was associated with death (p < 0.0001), present in 11 of 30 children that died (37%). MBL2 variants predicted serum levels and complement activation as expected. We found no association between influenza-related critical illness susceptibility and MBL2 variants using family trios (633 biologic parents) or compared to population controls. MBL2 variants were not associated with admission illness severity, septic shock, ALI, or bacterial co-infection diagnosis. Carriage of low-MBL producing MBL2 variants was not a risk factor for mortality, but children that died did have higher carriage of one or more B alleles (OR 2.3; p = 0.007), including 7 of 11 with influenza MRSA-related death (vs. 2 of 22 survivors: OR 14.5, p = 0.0002). Conclusions: MBL2 variants that decrease MBL levels were not associated with susceptibility to pediatric influenza-related critical illness or with multiple measures of critical illness severity. We confirmed a prior report of higher B allele carriage in a relatively small number of young individuals with influenza-MRSA associated death.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the societal economic and health impacts of Maine's school-based influenza vaccination (SIV) program during the 2009 A(H1N1) influenza pandemic. DATA SOURCES: Primary and secondary data covering the 2008-09 and 2009-10 influenza seasons. STUDY DESIGN: We estimated weekly monovalent influenza vaccine uptake in Maine and 15 other states, using difference-in-difference-in-differences analysis to assess the program's impact on immunization among six age groups. We also developed a health and economic Markov microsimulation model and conducted Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis. DATA COLLECTION: We used national survey data to estimate the impact of the SIV program on vaccine coverage. We used primary data and published studies to develop the microsimulation model. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: The program was associated with higher immunization among children and lower immunization among adults aged 18-49 years and 65 and older. The program prevented 4,600 influenza infections and generated $4.9 million in net economic benefits. Cost savings from lower adult vaccination accounted for 54 percent of the economic gain. Economic benefits were positive in 98 percent of Monte Carlo simulations. CONCLUSIONS: SIV may be a cost-beneficial approach to increase immunization during pandemics, but programs should be designed to prevent lower immunization among nontargeted groups.

Host response to influenza is highly variable, suggesting a potential role of host genetic variation. To investigate the host genetics of severe influenza in a targeted fashion, 32 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) within viral immune response genes were evaluated for association with seasonal influenza hospitalization in an adult study population with European ancestry. SNP allele and genotype frequencies were compared between hospitalized influenza patients (cases) and population controls in a case-control study that included a discovery group (26 cases and 993 controls) and two independent, validation groups (one with 84 cases and 4,076 controls; the other with 128 cases and 9,187 controls). Cases and controls had similar allele frequencies for variant rs12252 in interferon-inducible transmembrane protein 3 (IFITM3) (P > 0.05), and the study did not replicate the previously reported association of rs12252 with hospitalized influenza. In the discovery group, the preliminary finding of an association with a nonsense polymorphism (rs8072510) within the schlafen family member 13 (SFLN13) gene (P = 0.0099) was not confirmed in either validation group. Neither rs12252 nor rs8072510 showed an association according to the presence of clinical risk factors for influenza complications (P > 0.05), suggesting that these factors did not modify associations between the SNPs and hospitalized influenza. No other SNPs showed a statistically significant association with hospitalized influenza. Further research is needed to identify genetic factors involved in host response to seasonal influenza infection and to assess whether rs12252, a low-frequency variant in Europeans, contributes to influenza severity in populations with European ancestry.

We compared the prevalence of 8 polymorphisms in the tumor necrosis factor and mannose-binding lectin genes among 105 children and young adults with fatal influenza with US population estimates and determined in subanalyses whether these polymorphisms were associated with sudden death and bacterial co-infection among persons with fatal influenza. No differences were observed in genotype prevalence or minor allele frequencies between persons with fatal influenza and the reference sample. Fatal cases with low-producing MBL2 genotypes had a 7-fold increased risk for invasive methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) co-infection compared with fatal cases with high- and intermediate-producing MBL2 genotypes (odds ratio 7.1, 95% confidence interval 1.6-32.1). Limited analysis of 2 genes important to the innate immune response found no association between genetic variants and fatal influenza infection. Among children and young adults who died of influenza, low-producing MBL2 genotypes may have increased risk for MRSA co-infection.