Last data update: Dec 02, 2024. (Total: 48272 publications since 2009)
Records 1-28 (of 28 Records) |
Query Trace: Eke PI[original query] |
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Impact of smoking on cost-effectiveness of 10-48 years of periodontal care
Ravidà A , Saleh MHA , Ghassib IH , Qazi M , Kumar PS , Wang HL , Eke PI , Borgnakke WS . Periodontol 2000 2024 The study aims were (1) to explore whether "periodontal treatment" consisting of surgical therapy (flap, resective, or regenerative) or scaling and root planing treatment with long-term periodontal maintenance treatment, is cost-effective in terms of preventing periodontitis-attributable tooth extraction and replacement by implant-supported crowns ("extraction/replacement"); (2) to assess the effect of cigarette smoking on this cost-effectiveness. Data for this observational retrospective study were collected from dental charts of patients who had received periodontal therapy and at least annual follow-up visits for >10 years were analyzed by linear regression generalized estimating equations and generalized linear models. Among 399 adults (199 males, 200 females), those with the least mean annual treatment cost experienced the greatest mean annual costs for extraction/replacement, indicating general cost-effectiveness. Cigarette smoking adversely impacted this cost-effectiveness, with current heavy smokers experiencing no cost-effectiveness. Former smokers with Grade C periodontitis benefitted most, whereas smoking did not influence cost-effectiveness for Grade B periodontitis. Assessed by mean annual costs of "extraction/replacement," periodontal treatment was cost-effective, which decreased in a dose-response manner by former and current smoking intensity. Cigarette smoking should be factored into treatment planning and cost-effective analyses of periodontal treatment. Smoking cessation should be encouraged. |
Mortality and mortality disparities among people with epilepsy in the United States, 2011-2021
Tian N , Kobau R , Friedman D , Liu Y , Eke PI , Greenlund KJ . Epilepsy Behav 2024 155 109770 Studies on epilepsy mortality in the United States are limited. We used the National Vital Statistics System Multiple Cause of Death data to investigate mortality rates and trends during 2011-2021 for epilepsy (defined by the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, codes G40.0-G40.9) as an underlying, contributing, or any cause of death (i.e., either an underlying or contributing cause) for U.S. residents. We also examined epilepsy as an underlying or contributing cause of death by selected sociodemographic characteristics to assess mortality rate changes and disparities in subpopulations. During 2011-2021, the overall age-standardized mortality rates for epilepsy as an underlying (39 % of all deaths) or contributing (61 % of all deaths) cause of death increased 83.6 % (from 2.9 per million to 6.4 per million population) as underlying cause and 144.1 % (from 3.3 per million to 11.0 per million population) as contributing cause (P < 0.001 for both based on annual percent changes). Compared to 2011-2015, in 2016-2020 mortality rates with epilepsy as an underlying or contributing cause of death were higher overall and in nearly all subgroups. Overall, mortality rates with epilepsy as an underlying or contributing cause of death were higher in older age groups, among males than females, among non-Hispanic Black or non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native persons than non-Hispanic White persons, among those living in the West and Midwest than those living in the Northeast, and in nonmetro counties compared to urban regions. Results identify priority subgroups for intervention to reduce mortality in people with epilepsy and eliminate mortality disparity. |
National, state-level, and county-level prevalence estimates of adults aged 18 years self-reporting a lifetime diagnosis of depression - United States, 2020
Lee B , Wang Y , Carlson SA , Greenlund KJ , Lu H , Liu Y , Croft JB , Eke PI , Town M , Thomas CW . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2023 72 (24) 644-650 Depression is a major contributor to mortality, morbidity, disability, and economic costs in the United States (1). Examining the geographic distribution of depression at the state and county levels can help guide state- and local-level efforts to prevent, treat, and manage depression. CDC analyzed 2020 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) data to estimate the national, state-level, and county-level prevalence of U.S. adults aged ≥18 years self-reporting a lifetime diagnosis of depression (referred to as depression). During 2020, the age-standardized prevalence of depression among adults was 18.5%. Among states, the age-standardized prevalence of depression ranged from 12.7% to 27.5% (median = 19.9%); most of the states with the highest prevalence were in the Appalachian* and southern Mississippi Valley(†) regions. Among 3,143 counties, the model-based age-standardized prevalence of depression ranged from 10.7% to 31.9% (median = 21.8%); most of the counties with the highest prevalence were in the Appalachian region, the southern Mississippi Valley region, and Missouri, Oklahoma, and Washington. These data can help decision-makers prioritize health planning and interventions in areas with the largest gaps or inequities, which could include implementation of evidence-based interventions and practices such as those recommended by The Guide to Community Preventive Services Task Force (CPSTF) and the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA). |
Geospatial distribution of periodontists and US adults with severe periodontitis
Eke PI , Lu H , Zhang X , Thornton-Evans G , Borgnakke WS , Holt JB , Croft JB . J Am Dent Assoc 2019 150 (2) 103-110 BACKGROUND: In this study, the authors report on the geospatial distributions of periodontists and adults with severe periodontitis in the United States. METHODS: The authors used geospatial analysis to describe the distribution of periodontists and adults, periodontists vis-à-vis estimated density of adults with severe periodontitis, and their ratios to adults with severe periodontitis. The authors identified locations of 5,415 practicing periodontists through the 2014 National Provider Identifier Registry, linked them with the weighted census number of adults, and estimated the number of adults within a series of circular distance zones. RESULTS: Approximately 60% of adults 30 through 79 years lived within 5 miles of a periodontist, 73% within 10 miles, 85% within 20 miles, and 97% within 50 miles. Proximity to a periodontist varied widely. In urban areas, 95% of adults resided within 10 miles of a periodontist and 100% within 20 miles. Only 24% of adults in rural areas lived within 10 miles of a periodontist. Most periodontists (96.1%) practiced in urban areas, clustering along the eastern and western coasts and in the Midwest, 3.1% in urban clusters elsewhere, and 0.8% in rural areas. Ratios of fewer than 8,000 adults with periodontitis to 1 or more periodontists within 10 miles were clustered mostly in the Northeast, central East Coast, Florida, West Coast, Arizona, and Midwest. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the authors identified wide variations in geographic proximity to a practicing periodontist for adults with severe periodontitis. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: Dental practitioners may provide preventive care and counseling for periodontitis and referrals for specialty care. Geographic proximity to specialized periodontal care may vary widely by locality. |
Chronic conditions among adults aged 1834 years - United States, 2019
Watson KB , Carlson SA , Loustalot F , Town M , Eke PI , Thomas CW , Greenlund KJ . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (30) 964-970 Chronic conditions are common, costly, and major causes of death and disability.* Addressing chronic conditions and their determinants in young adulthood can help slow disease progression and improve well-being across the life course (1); however, recent prevalence estimates examining chronic conditions in young adults overall and by subgroup have not been reported. CDC analyzed data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) to measure prevalence of 11 chronic conditions among adults aged 18-34 years overall and by selected characteristics, and to measure prevalence of health-related risk behaviors by chronic condition status. In 2019, more than one half (53.8%) of adults aged 18-34 years reported having at least one chronic condition, and nearly one quarter (22.3%) reported having more than one chronic condition. The most prevalent conditions were obesity (25.5%), depression (21.3%), and high blood pressure (10.7%). Differences in the prevalence of having a chronic condition were most noticeable between young adults with a disability (75.8%) and without a disability (48.3%) and those who were unemployed (62.3%) and students (45.8%). Adults aged 18-34 years with a chronic condition were more likely than those without one to report binge drinking, smoking, or physical inactivity. Coordinated efforts by public and private sectors might help raise awareness of chronic conditions among young adults and help improve the availability of evidence-based interventions, policies, and programs that are effective in preventing, treating, and managing chronic conditions among young adults (1). |
Associations of self-reported chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with indicators of economic instability and stress - 16 states, 2017
Carlson SA , Wheaton AG , Liu Y , Moore LV , Eke PI , Croft JB , Greenlund KJ , Thomas CW . Chronic Illn 2021 19 (2) 17423953211059144 OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between chronic obstructive pulmonary disease status and indicators of economic instability and stress to better understand the magnitude of these issues in persons with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. METHODS: Analyzed 2017 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data from 16 states that administered the 'Social Determinants of Health' module, which included economic instability and stress measures (N = 101,461). Associations between self-reported doctor-diagnosed chronic obstructive pulmonary disease status and each measure were examined using multinomial logistic models. RESULTS: Adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were more likely (p < 0.001) than adults without to report not having enough money at month end (21.0% vs. 7.9%) or just enough money (44.9% vs. 37.2%); being unable to pay mortgage, rent, or utility bills (19.2% vs. 8.8%); and that often or sometimes food did not last or could not afford to eat balanced meals (37.9% vs. 20.6%), as well as stress all or most of the time (27.3% vs. 11.6%). Associations were attenuated although remained significant after adjustments for sociodemographic and health characteristics. DISCUSSION: Financial, housing, and food insecurity and frequent stress were more prevalent in adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease than without. Findings highlight the importance of including strategies to address challenges related to economic instability and stress in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease management programs. |
Public health aspects of periodontitis: Recent advances and contributions by Dr. Robert J. Genco
Eke PI , Borgnakke WS , Thornton-Evans G . Curr Oral Health Rep 2021 8 (1) 1-8 Purpose of Review: This review provides an overview of the objectives, activities, and accomplishments of the CDC-AAP collaboration on public health aspects of periodontitis focusing mostly on surveillance. Dr. Robert Genco was co-chair of this effort. Recent Findings: This initiative developed new standard periodontitis case definitions for surveillance and implemented for the first time a full-mouth periodontal examination protocol for NHANES 2009–2014. Measurements from this survey resulted in a significantly greater estimate of the national prevalence of periodontitis in US adults and improved our understanding of population risk factors associations with periodontitis. Notably, this initiative also developed, and validated by field-testing, a battery of eight questions for multivariable modeling of self-report measures for predicting periodontitis in populations. Summary: This initiative resulted in significant improvements of surveillance of periodontitis and produced unique findings with important implications for advancing our understanding of population aspects of periodontitis in US adults at the national, state, and local levels. At long last, the world finally had a set of periodontitis case definitions that applied globally would enable valid comparisons between populations in different geographic settings and at different times. |
Recent epidemiologic trends in periodontitis in the USA
Eke PI , Borgnakke WS , Genco RJ . Periodontol 2000 2020 82 (1) 257-267 The most important development in the epidemiology of periodontitis in the USA during the last decade is the result of improvements in survey methodologies and statistical modeling of periodontitis in adults. Most of these advancements have occurred as the direct outcome of work by the joint initiative known as the Periodontal Disease Surveillance Project by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the American Academy of Periodontology that was established in 2006. This report summarizes some of the key findings of this important initiative and its impact on our knowledge of the epidemiology of periodontitis in US adults. This initiative first suggested new periodontitis case definitions for surveillance in 2007 and revised them slightly in 2012. This classification is now regarded as the global standard for periodontitis surveillance and is used worldwide. First, application of such a standard in reporting finally enables results from different researchers in different countries to be meaningfully compared. Second, this initiative tackled the concern that prior national surveys, which used partial-mouth periodontal examination protocols, grossly underestimated the prevalence of periodontitis of potentially more than 50%. Consequently, because previous national surveys significantly underestimated the true prevalence of periodontitis, it is not possible to extrapolate any trend in periodontitis prevalence in the USA over time. Any difference calculated may not represent any actual change in periodontitis prevalence, but rather is a consequence of using different periodontal examination protocols. Finally, the initiative addressed the gap in the need for state and local data on periodontitis prevalence. Through the direct efforts of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the American Academy of Periodontology initiative, full-mouth periodontal probing at six sites around all nonthird molar teeth was included in the 6 years of National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys from 2009-2014, yielding complete data for 10 683 dentate community-dwelling US adults aged 30 to 79 years. Applying the 2012 periodontitis case definitions to the 2009-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys data, the periodontitis prevalence turned out to be much greater than previously estimated, namely affecting 42.2% of the population with 7.8% of people experiencing severe periodontitis. It was also discovered that only the moderate type of periodontitis is driving the increase in periodontitis prevalence with age, not the mild or the severe types whose prevalence do not increase consistently with age, but remain ~ 10%-15% in all age groups of 40 years and older. The greatest risk for having periodontitis of any type was seen in older people, in males, in minority race/ethnic groups, in poorer and less educated groups, and especially in cigarette smokers. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the American Academy of Periodontology initiative reported, for the first time, the periodontitis prevalence estimated at both local and state levels, in addition to the national level. Also, this initiative developed and validated in field studies a set of eight items for self-reported periodontitis for use in direct survey estimates of periodontitis prevalence in existing state-based surveys. These items were also included in the 2009-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys for validation against clinically determined cases of periodontitis. Another novel result of this initiative is that, for the first time, the geographic distribution of practicing periodontists in relation to the geographic distribution of people with severe periodontitis is illustrated. In summary, the precise periodontitis prevalence and distribution among subgroups in the dentate US noninstitutionalized population aged 30-79 years is better understood because of application of valid periodontitis case definitions to full-mouth periodontal examination, in combination with reliable information on demographic and health-related measures. We now can monitor the trend of periodontitis prevalence over time as well as guide public health preventive and intervention initiatives for the betterment of the health of the adult US population. |
Periodontitis in US Adults: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2009-2014
Eke PI , Thornton-Evans GO , Wei L , Borgnakke WS , Dye BA , Genco RJ . J Am Dent Assoc 2018 149 (7) 576-588.e6 BACKGROUND: This report presents weighted average estimates of the prevalence of periodontitis in the adult US population during the 6 years 2009-2014 and highlights key findings of a national periodontitis surveillance project. METHODS: Estimates were derived for dentate adults 30 years or older from the civilian noninstitutionalized population whose periodontitis status was assessed by means of a full-mouth periodontal examination at 6 sites per tooth on all non-third molar teeth. Results are reported according to a standard format by applying the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention/American Academy of Periodontology periodontitis case definitions for surveillance, as well as various thresholds of clinical attachment loss and periodontal probing depth. RESULTS: An estimated 42% of dentate US adults 30 years or older had periodontitis, with 7.8% having severe periodontitis. Overall, 3.3% of all periodontally probed sites (9.1% of all teeth) had periodontal probing depth of 4 millimeters or greater, and 19.0% of sites (37.1% of teeth) had clinical attachment loss of 3 mm or greater. Severe periodontitis was most prevalent among adults 65 years or older, Mexican Americans, non-Hispanic blacks, and smokers. CONCLUSIONS: This nationally representative study shows that periodontitis is a highly prevalent oral disease among US adults. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: Dental practitioners should be aware of the high prevalence of periodontitis in US adults and may provide preventive care and counselling for periodontitis. General dentists who encounter patients with periodontitis may refer these patients to see a periodontist for specialty care. |
Vital signs: Racial disparities in age-specific mortality among blacks or African Americans - United States, 1999-2015
Cunningham TJ , Croft JB , Liu Y , Lu H , Eke PI , Giles WH . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2017 66 (17) 444-456 BACKGROUND: Although the overall life expectancy at birth has increased for both blacks and whites and the gap between these populations has narrowed, disparities in life expectancy and the leading causes of death for blacks compared with whites in the United States remain substantial. Understanding how factors that influence these disparities vary across the life span might enhance the targeting of appropriate interventions. METHODS: Trends during 1999-2015 in mortality rates for the leading causes of death were examined by black and white race and age group. Multiple 2014 and 2015 national data sources were analyzed to compare blacks with whites in selected age groups by sociodemographic characteristics, self-reported health behaviors, health-related quality of life indicators, use of health services, and chronic conditions. RESULTS: During 1999-2015, age-adjusted death rates decreased significantly in both populations, with rates declining more sharply among blacks for most leading causes of death. Thus, the disparity gap in all-cause mortality rates narrowed from 33% in 1999 to 16% in 2015. However, during 2015, blacks still had higher death rates than whites for all-cause mortality in all groups aged <65 years. Compared with whites, blacks in age groups <65 years had higher levels of some self-reported risk factors and chronic diseases and mortality from cardiovascular diseases and cancer, diseases that are most common among persons aged ≥65 years. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE: To continue to reduce the gap in health disparities, these findings suggest an ongoing need for universal and targeted interventions that address the leading causes of deaths among blacks (especially cardiovascular disease and cancer and their risk factors) across the life span and create equal opportunities for health. |
Surveillance for health care access and health services use, adults aged 18-64 years - Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, United States, 2014
Okoro CA , Zhao G , Fox JB , Eke PI , Greenlund KJ , Town M . MMWR Surveill Summ 2017 66 (7) 1-42 PROBLEM/CONDITION: As a result of the 2010 Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, millions of U.S. adults attained health insurance coverage. However, millions of adults remain uninsured or underinsured. Compared with adults without barriers to health care, adults who lack health insurance coverage, have coverage gaps, or skip or delay care because of limited personal finances might face increased risk for poor physical and mental health and premature mortality. PERIOD COVERED: 2014. DESCRIPTION OF SYSTEM: The Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) is an ongoing, state-based, landline- and cellular-telephone survey of noninstitutionalized adults aged ≥18 years residing in the United States. Data are collected from states, the District of Columbia, and participating U.S. territories on health risk behaviors, chronic health conditions, health care access, and use of clinical preventive services (CPS). An optional Health Care Access module was included in the 2014 BRFSS. This report summarizes 2014 BRFSS data from all 50 states and the District of Columbia on health care access and use of selected CPS recommended by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force or the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices among working-aged adults (aged 18-64 years), by state, state Medicaid expansion status, expanded geographic region, and federal poverty level (FPL). This report also provides analysis of primary type of health insurance coverage at the time of interview, continuity of health insurance coverage during the preceding 12 months, and other health care access measures (i.e., unmet health care need because of cost, unmet prescription need because of cost, medical debt [medical bills being paid off over time], number of health care visits during the preceding year, and satisfaction with received health care) from 43 states that included questions from the optional BRFSS Health Care Access module. RESULTS: In 2014, health insurance coverage and other health care access measures varied substantially by state, state Medicaid expansion status, expanded geographic region (i.e., states categorized geographically into nine regions), and FPL category. The following proportions refer to the range of estimated prevalence for health insurance and other health care access measures by examined geographical unit (unless otherwise specified), as reported by respondents. Among adults with health insurance coverage, the range was 70.8%-94.5% for states, 78.8%-94.5% for Medicaid expansion states, 70.8%-89.1% for nonexpansion states, 73.3%-91.0% for expanded geographic regions, and 64.2%-95.8% for FPL categories. Among adults who had a usual source of health care, the range was 57.2%-86.6% for states, 57.2%-86.6% for Medicaid expansion states, 61.8%-83.9% for nonexpansion states, 64.4%-83.6% for expanded geographic regions, and 61.0%-81.6% for FPL categories. Among adults who received a routine checkup, the range was 52.1%-75.5% for states, 56.0%-75.5% for Medicaid expansion states, 52.1%-71.1% for nonexpansion states, 56.8%-70.2% for expanded geographic regions, and 59.9%-69.2% for FPL categories. Among adults who had unmet health care need because of cost, the range was 8.0%-23.1% for states, 8.0%-21.9% for Medicaid expansion states, 11.9%-23.1% for nonexpansion states, 11.6%-20.3% for expanded geographic regions, and 5.3%-32.9% for FPL categories. Estimated prevalence of cancer screenings, influenza vaccination, and having ever been tested for human immunodeficiency virus also varied by state, state Medicaid expansion status, expanded geographic region, and FPL category. The prevalence of insurance coverage varied by approximately 25 percentage points among racial/ethnic groups (range: 63.9% among Hispanics to 88.4% among non-Hispanic Asians) and by approximately 32 percentage points by FPL category (range: 64.2% among adults with household income <100% of FPL to 95.8% among adults with household income >400% of FPL). The prevalence of unmet health care need because of cost varied by nearly 14 percentage points among racial/ethnic groups (range: 11.3% among non-Hispanic Asians to 25.0% among Hispanics), by approximately 17 percentage points among adults with and without disabilities (30.8% versus 13.7%), and by approximately 28 percentage points by FPL category (range: 5.3% among adults with household income >400% of FPL to 32.9% among adults with household income <100% of FPL). Among the 43 states that included questions from the optional module, a majority of adults reported private health insurance coverage (63.4%), followed by public health plan coverage (19.4%) and no primary source of insurance (17.1%). Financial barriers to health care (unmet health care need because of cost, unmet prescribed medication need because of cost, and medical bills being paid off over time [medical debt]) were typically lower among adults in Medicaid expansion states than those in nonexpansion states regardless of source of insurance. Approximately 75.6% of adults reported being continuously insured during the preceding 12 months, 12.9% reported a gap in coverage, and 11.5% reported being uninsured during the preceding 12 months. The largest proportion of adults reported ≥3 visits to a health care professional during the preceding 12 months (47.3%), followed by 1-2 visits (37.1%), and no health care visits (15.6%). Adults in expansion and nonexpansion states reported similar levels of satisfaction with received health care by primary source of health insurance coverage and by continuity of health insurance coverage during the preceding 12 months. INTERPRETATION: This report presents for the first time estimates of population-based health care access and use of CPS among adults aged 18-64 years. The findings in this report indicate substantial variations in health insurance coverage; other health care access measures; and use of CPS by state, state Medicaid expansion status, expanded geographic region, and FPL category. In 2014, health insurance coverage, having a usual source of care, having a routine checkup, and not experiencing unmet health care need because of cost were higher among adults living below the poverty level (i.e., household income <100% of FPL) in states that expanded Medicaid than in states that did not. Similarly, estimates of breast and cervical cancer screening and influenza vaccination were higher among adults living below the poverty level in states that expanded Medicaid than in states that did not. These disparities might be due to larger differences to begin with, decreased disparities in Medicaid expansion states versus nonexpansion states, or increased disparities in nonexpansion states. PUBLIC HEALTH ACTION: BRFSS data from 2014 can be used as a baseline by which to assess and monitor changes that might occur after 2014 resulting from programs and policies designed to increase access to health care, reduce health disparities, and improve the health of the adult population. Post-2014 changes in health care access, such as source of health insurance coverage, attainment and continuity of coverage, financial barriers, preventive care services, and health outcomes, can be monitored using these baseline estimates. |
Health-related behaviors by urban-rural county classification - United States, 2013
Matthews KA , Croft JB , Liu Y , Lu H , Kanny D , Wheaton AG , Cunningham TJ , Khan LK , Caraballo RS , Holt JB , Eke PI , Giles WH . MMWR Surveill Summ 2017 66 (5) 1-8 PROBLEM/CONDITION: Persons living in rural areas are recognized as a health disparity population because the prevalence of disease and rate of premature death are higher than for the overall population of the United States. Surveillance data about health-related behaviors are rarely reported by urban-rural status, which makes comparisons difficult among persons living in metropolitan and nonmetropolitan counties. REPORTING PERIOD: 2013. DESCRIPTION OF SYSTEM: The Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) is an ongoing, state-based, random-digit-dialed landline- and cellular-telephone survey of noninstitutionalized adults aged ≥18 years residing in the United States. BRFSS collects data on health-risk behaviors, chronic diseases and conditions, access to health care, and use of preventive health services related to the leading causes of death and disability. BRFSS data were analyzed for 398,208 adults aged ≥18 years to estimate the prevalence of five self-reported health-related behaviors (sufficient sleep, current nonsmoking, nondrinking or moderate drinking, maintaining normal body weight, and meeting aerobic leisure time physical activity recommendations) by urban-rural status. For this report, rural is defined as the noncore counties described in the 2013 National Center for Health Statistics Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties. RESULTS: Approximately one third of U.S. adults practice at least four of these five behaviors. Compared with adults living in the four types of metropolitan counties (large central metropolitan, large fringe metropolitan, medium metropolitan, and small metropolitan), adults living in the two types of nonmetropolitan counties (micropolitan and noncore) did not differ in the prevalence of sufficient sleep; had higher prevalence of nondrinking or moderate drinking; and had lower prevalence of current nonsmoking, maintaining normal body weight, and meeting aerobic leisure time physical activity recommendations. The overall age-adjusted prevalence of reporting at least four of the five health-related behaviors was 30.4%. The prevalence among the estimated 13.3 million adults living in noncore counties was lower (27.0%) than among those in micropolitan counties (28.8%), small metropolitan counties (29.5%), medium metropolitan counties (30.5%), large fringe metropolitan counties (30.2%), and large metropolitan centers (31.7%). INTERPRETATION: This is the first report of the prevalence of these five health-related behaviors for the six urban-rural categories. Nonmetropolitan counties have lower prevalence of three and clustering of at least four health-related behaviors that are associated with the leading chronic disease causes of death. Prevalence of sufficient sleep was consistently low and did not differ by urban-rural status. PUBLIC HEALTH ACTION: Chronic disease prevention efforts focus on improving the communities, schools, worksites, and health systems in which persons live, learn, work, and play. Evidence-based strategies to improve health-related behaviors in the population of the United States can be used to reach the Healthy People 2020 objectives for these five self-reported health-related behaviors (sufficient sleep, current nonsmoking, nondrinking or moderate drinking, maintaining normal body weight, and meeting aerobic leisure time physical activity recommendations). These findings suggest an ongoing need to increase public awareness and public education, particularly in rural counties where prevalence of these health-related behaviors is lowest. |
Periodontitis prevalence in adults ≥ 65 years of age, in the USA
Eke PI , Wei L , Borgnakke WS , Thornton-Evans G , Zhang X , Lu H , McGuire LC , Genco RJ . Periodontol 2000 2016 72 (1) 76-95 The older adult population is growing rapidly in the USA and it is expected that by 2040 the number of adults ≥ 65 years of age will have increased by about 50%. With the growth of this subpopulation, oral health status, and periodontal status in particular, becomes important in the quest to maintain an adequate quality of life. Poor oral health can have a major impact, leading to tooth loss, pain and discomfort, and may prevent older adults from chewing food properly, often leading to poor nutrition. Periodontitis is monitored in the USA at the national level as part of the Healthy People 2020 initiative. In this report, we provide estimates of the overall burden of periodontitis among adults ≥ 65 years of age and after stratification according to sociodemographic factors, modifiable risk factors (such as smoking status), the presence of other systemic conditions (such as diabetes) and access to dental care. We also estimated the burden of periodontitis within this age group at the state and local levels. Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2009/2010 and 2011/2012 cycles were analyzed. Periodontal measures from both survey cycles were based on a full-mouth periodontal examination. Nineteen per cent of adults in this subpopulation were edentulous. The mean age was 73 years, 7% were current smokers, 8% lived below the 100% Federal Poverty Level and < 40% had seen a dentist in the past year. Almost two-thirds (62.3%) had one or more sites with ≥ 5 mm of clinical attachment loss and almost half had at least one site with probing pocket depth of ≥ 4 mm. We estimated the lowest prevalence of periodontitis in Utah (62.3%) and New Hampshire (62.6%) and the highest in New Mexico, Hawaii, and the District of Columbia each with a prevalence of higher than 70%. Overall, periodontitis is highly prevalent in this subpopulation, with two-thirds of dentate older adults affected at any geographic level. These findings provide an opportunity to determine how the overall health-care management of older adults should consider the improvement of their oral health conditions. Many older adults do not have dental insurance and are also likely to have some chronic conditions, which can adversely affect their oral health. |
Risk indicators for periodontitis in US adults: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2009 - 2012
Eke PI , Wei L , Thornton-Evans GO , Borrell LN , Borgnakke WS , Dye B , Genco RJ . J Periodontol 2016 87 (10) 1-18 OBJECTIVE: To determine population-average risk profiles for severe and non-severe periodontitis in US adults (30 years and older) using optimal surveillance measures and standard case definitions. METHODS: We used data from the 2009-2012 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), which for the first time used the "gold standard" full-mouth periodontitis surveillance protocol to classify severity of periodontitis following the suggested CDC/AAP case definitions. The probabilities of periodontitis by socio-demographics, behavioral factors, and co-morbid conditions, were assessed using prevalence ratios (PR) estimated by the predicted marginal probability from multivariable generalized logistic regression models. The analyses were further stratified by gender for each classification of periodontitis. RESULTS: The likelihood of periodontitis increased with age for overall and non-severe relative to non-periodontitis. Compared to non-Hispanic whites, periodontitis was more likely among Hispanics (aPR=1.38; 1.26-1.52) and non-Hispanic blacks (aPR=1.35; 1.22-1.50), whereas severe periodontitis was most likely among non-Hispanic blacks (aPR=1.82; 1.44-2.31). There was at least a 50% greater likelihood of periodontitis among current smokers compared to non-smokers. Among males, the likelihood of periodontitis among adults 65 years and older was greater (aPR=2.07; 1.76 - 2.43) than adults 30-44 years old. This probability was even greater among women (aPR=3.15; 95% CI 2.63 - 3.77). The likelihood of periodontitis was higher among current smokers relative to non-smokers regardless of gender and periodontitis classification. Periodontitis was more likely among men with un-controlled diabetes compared to persons with no diabetes only. CONCLUSIONS: An assessment of risk profiles for periodontitis in US adults based on gold standard periodontal measures show important differences by severity of disease and gender. Cigarette smoking, specifically among current smokers remains an important modifiable risk for all levels of periodontitis severity. The higher likelihood of periodontitis in older adults and in males with uncontrolled diabetes is noteworthy. These findings could improve the identification of target populations for effective public health interventions to improve periodontal health of US adults. |
Predicting periodontitis at state and local levels in the United States
Eke PI , Zhang X , Lu H , Wei L , Thornton-Evans G , Greenlund KJ , Holt JB , Croft JB . J Dent Res 2016 95 (5) 515-22 The objective of the study was to estimate the prevalence of periodontitis at state and local levels across the United States by using a novel, small area estimation (SAE) method. Extended multilevel regression and poststratification analyses were used to estimate the prevalence of periodontitis among adults aged 30 to 79 y at state, county, congressional district, and census tract levels by using periodontal data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2009-2012, population counts from the 2010 US census, and smoking status estimates from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System in 2012. The SAE method used age, race, gender, smoking, and poverty variables to estimate the prevalence of periodontitis as defined by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention/American Academy of Periodontology case definitions at the census block levels and aggregated to larger administrative and geographic areas of interest. Model-based SAEs were validated against national estimates directly from NHANES 2009-2012. Estimated prevalence of periodontitis ranged from 37.7% in Utah to 52.8% in New Mexico among the states (mean, 45.1%; median, 44.9%) and from 33.7% to 68% among counties (mean, 46.6%; median, 45.9%). Severe periodontitis ranged from 7.27% in New Hampshire to 10.26% in Louisiana among the states (mean, 8.9%; median, 8.8%) and from 5.2% to 17.9% among counties (mean, 9.2%; median, 8.8%). Overall, the predicted prevalence of periodontitis was highest for southeastern and southwestern states and for geographic areas in the Southeast along the Mississippi Delta, as well as along the US and Mexico border. Aggregated model-based SAEs were consistent with national prevalence estimates from NHANES 2009-2012. This study is the first-ever estimation of periodontitis prevalence at state and local levels in the United States, and this modeling approach complements public health surveillance efforts to identify areas with a high burden of periodontitis. |
Cigarette smoking, tooth loss, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD): findings from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System
Cunningham TJ , Eke PI , Ford ES , Agaku IT , Wheaton AG , Croft JB . J Periodontol 2015 87 (4) 1-15 BACKGROUND: Cigarette smoking and tooth loss are seldom considered concurrently as determinants of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This study examined the multiplicative effect of self-reported tooth loss and cigarette smoking on COPD among US adults aged ≥ 18 years. METHODS: Data were from the 2012 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (n=439,637). Log-linear regression estimated prevalence ratios (PRs) for the interaction of combinations of tooth loss (0, 1-5, 6-31, and all) and cigarettes smoking status (never, former, and current smoker) with COPD after adjusting for age, gender, race/ethnicity, marital status, educational attainment, employment, health insurance coverage, dental care utilization, and diabetes. RESULTS: Overall, 45.7% reported having ≥ 1 teeth removed from tooth decay or gum disease, 18.9% reported being current cigarette smokers, and 6.3% reported having COPD. Smoking and tooth loss from tooth decay or gum disease were associated with an increased likelihood of COPD. Compared to never smokers with no teeth removed, all combinations of smoking status categories and tooth loss had higher likelihood of COPD, with adjusted PRs ranging from 1.5 (never smoker with 1-5 teeth removed) to 6.5 (current smoker with all teeth removed) (all p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Tooth loss status significantly modifies the association between cigarette smoking and COPD. An increased understanding of causal mechanisms linking cigarette smoking, oral health, and COPD, particularly the role of tooth loss, infection, and subsequent inflammation, is essential to reducing the burden of COPD. Health providers should counsel their patients about cigarette smoking, preventive dental care, and COPD risk. |
Self-reported current or prior periodontal disease performs moderately well in characterizing periodontitis status in postmenopausal women who receive regular dental checkups
Eke PI . J Evid Based Dent Pract 2015 15 (3) 121-3 The study examines the accuracy of self-reported periodontal disease in a cohort of post-menopausal women. |
Standards for reporting chronic periodontitis prevalence and severity in epidemiologic studies: proposed standards from the Joint EU/USA Periodontal Epidemiology Working Group
Holtfreter B , Albandar JM , Dietrich T , Dye BA , Eaton KA , Eke PI , Papapanou PN , Kocher T . J Clin Periodontol 2015 42 (5) 407-12 Periodontal diseases are common and their prevalence varies in different populations. However, prevalence estimates are influenced by the methodology used, including measurement techniques, case definitions, and periodontal examination protocols, as well as differences in oral health status. As a consequence, comparisons between populations are severely hampered and inferences regarding the global variation in prevalence can hardly be drawn. To overcome these limitations, the authors suggest standardized principles for the reporting of the prevalence and severity of periodontal diseases in future epidemiological studies. These principles include the comprehensive reporting of the study design, the recording protocol, and specific subject-related and oral data. Further, a range of periodontal data should be reported in the total population and within specific age groups. Periodontal data include the prevalence and extent of clinical attachment loss (CAL) and probing depth (PD) on site and tooth level according to specific thresholds, mean CAL/PD, the CDC/AAP case definition, and bleeding on probing. Consistent implementation of these standards in future studies will ensure improved reporting quality, permit meaningful comparisons of the prevalence of periodontal diseases across populations, and provide better insights into the determinants of such variation. |
Update on prevalence of periodontitis in adults in the United States: NHANES 2009-2012
Eke PI , Dye BA , Wei L , Slade GD , Thornton-Evans GO , Borgnakke WS , Taylor GW , Page RC , Beck JD , Genco RJ . J Periodontol 2015 86 (5) 1-18 This report describes prevalence, severity, and extent of periodontitis in the US adult population using combined data from the 2009-2010 and 2011-2012 cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). METHODS: Estimates were derived for dentate adults 30 years and older from the civilian non-institutionalized population. Periodontitis was defined by combinations of clinical attachment loss (CAL) and periodontal probing depth (PPD) from six sites per tooth on all teeth, except third molars, using standard surveillance case definitions. For the first time in NHANES history, sufficient numbers of Non-Hispanic Asians were sampled in 2011-2012 to provide reliable estimates of their periodontitis prevalence. RESULTS: In 2009-2012, 46% of US adults representing 64.7 million people had periodontitis, with 8.9% having severe periodontitis. Overall, 3.8% of all periodontal sites (10.6% of all teeth) had PPD≥4 mm and 19.3% of sites (37.4% teeth) had CAL≥3 mm. Periodontitis prevalence was positively associated with increasing age and was higher among males. Periodontitis prevalence was highest in Hispanics (63.5%) and Non-Hispanic blacks (59.1%), followed by Non-Hispanic Asian Americans (50.0%), and lowest in Non-Hispanic whites (40.8%). Prevalence varied two-fold between the lowest and highest levels of socioeconomic status, whether defined by poverty or education. CONCLUSION(S): This study confirms a high prevalence of periodontitis in US adults aged 30 years and older, with almost half affected. The prevalence was greater in Non-Hispanic Asians than Non-Hispanic whites, although lower than other minorities. The distribution provides valuable information for population-based action to prevent or manage periodontitis in US adults. |
Overview and quality assurance for the oral health component of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), 2009-2010
Dye BA , Li X , Lewis BG , Iafolla T , Beltran-Aguilar ED , Eke PI . J Public Health Dent 2014 74 (3) 248-56 OBJECTIVE: In 2009-2010, the oral health component for the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) focused on adult periodontal health and included a full mouth periodontal examination as well as a series of questions adminis during the home interview. During this period, intraoral assessments were conducted by dental hygienists. METHODS: This report provides oral health content information and results of dental examiner reliability for data collected during NHANES 2009-2010 on 7,189 persons aged 3-19 years and 30 years and older representing the US civilian, noninstitutionalized population in these age groups. RESULTS: For caries and dental sealant assessments, Kappa statistics ranged from 0.71 to 1.00. Kappa scores for moderate and severe periodontitis using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention/American Academy of Periodontology case definition guidelines was 0.70, but were lower for other periodontal status definitions. When defining moderate or severe periodontitis based on the NHANES 2003-2004 study, protocols using data from only three facial periodontal sites, the Kappa scores were 0.64 and 0.55. Interclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) for mean attachment loss were 0.80 or higher for both examiners. Site-specific mean attachment loss ICCs were generally higher for interproximal measurements compared with mid-facial and mid-lingual measurements. CONCLUSION: Overall, the data reliability analyses conducted for 2009-2010 indicate an acceptable level of data quality and that examiner (dental hygienist) performance in this data collection cycle is similar to prior survey periods since the NHANES continuous survey began in 1999. |
Prevalence of periodontitis in adults in the United States: 2009 and 2010
Eke PI , Dye BA , Wei L , Thornton-Evans GO , Genco RJ . J Dent Res 2012 91 (10) 914-20 This study estimated the prevalence, severity, and extent of periodontitis in the adult U.S. population, with data from the 2009 and 2010 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cycle. Estimates were derived from a sample of 3,742 adults aged 30 years and older, of the civilian non-institutionalized population, having 1 or more natural teeth. Attachment loss (AL) and probing depth (PD) were measured at 6 sites per tooth on all teeth (except the third molars). Over 47% of the sample, representing 64.7 million adults, had periodontitis, distributed as 8.7%, 30.0%, and 8.5% with mild, moderate, and severe periodontitis, respectively. For adults aged 65 years and older, 64% had either moderate or severe periodontitis. Eighty-six and 40.9% had 1 or more teeth with AL ≥ 3 mm and PD ≥ 4 mm, respectively. With respect to extent of disease, 56% and 18% of the adult population had 5% or more periodontal sites with ≥ 3 mm AL and ≥ 4 mm PD, respectively. Periodontitis was highest in men, Mexican Americans, adults with less than a high school education, adults below 100% Federal Poverty Levels (FPL), and current smokers. This survey has provided direct evidence for a high burden of periodontitis in the adult U.S. population. |
Advances in surveillance of periodontitis: the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Periodontal Disease Surveillance Project
Eke PI , Thornton-Evans G , Dye B , Genco R . J Periodontol 2012 83 (11) 1337-42 The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has as one of its strategic goals to support and improve surveillance of periodontal disease. In 2003, CDC initiated the CDC Periodontal Disease Surveillance Project in collaboration with the American Academy of Periodontology to address population-based surveillance of periodontal disease at the local, state, and national levels. This initiative has made significant advancements towards the goal of improved surveillance including developing valid self-reported measures that can be obtained from interview-based surveys to predict prevalence of periodontitis in populations. This will allow surveillance of periodontitis at the state and local levels and in countries where clinical resources for surveillance are scarce. This work has produced standard cases definitions for surveillance of periodontitis that are now widely recognized and applied in population studies and research. At the national level, this initiative has evaluated the validity of previous clinical examination protocols and tested new protocols on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), recommending and supporting funding for the gold standard full-mouth periodontal examination in NHANES 2009-2012. These examinations will generate accurate estimates of the prevalence of periodontitis in the U.S. adult population and provide a superior dataset for surveillance and research. Also this data will be used to generate the necessary coefficients for our self-report questions for use in subsets of the total U.S. population. The impact of these findings on population-based surveillance of periodontitis and future directions of the project are discussed along with plans for dissemination and translation efforts for broader public health use. |
Using social media for research and public health surveillance
Eke PI . J Dent Res 2011 90 (9) 1045-6 The article in this issue of JDR by Heaivilin and colleagues with the title ‘Public Health Surveillance of Dental Pain via Twitter” (Heaivilin et al., 2011) introduces a potential new data source for dental surveillance and research, namely, publicly available information from the social network medium “Twitter”. The authors present a novel idea and approach in using publicly available Twitter data to assess dental pain experiences. Undoubtedly, monitoring episodes of dental pain, including the impact of the pain and actions taken to relieve pain, is a worthwhile objective for dental public health and has indeed been assessed in previous population-based surveys such as in the National Health and Nutrition Survey (NHANES) and National Health Interview Surveys (NHIS) (Beltrán-Aguilar et al., 2005; NIDCR/CDC DRC, 2011). This perspective provides a brief critical assessment of the use of Twitter for public health surveillance and research. | Public health surveillance is the ongoing systematic collection, analysis, and interpretation of health data from defined populations for use in planning, implementing, and evaluating public health programs (Thacker and Berkelman, 1988). The most important attributes of public health surveillance systems include simplicity, flexibility, and acceptability of the data collection instruments, as well as sensitivity, positive predictive value, representativeness, and timeliness of the data collected (Romaguera et al., 2000). It can be argued that tools such as Twitter do possess some of these attributes. Notably, Twitter data are available publically, and the data are relatively simple to access, extract, and analyze, as exemplified by the study by Heaivilin’s group (Heaivilin et al., 2011). Furthermore, tweets are reported in real time by millions of real persons from across several continents and are communicated via a variety of simple and easy-to-use formats, which are increasingly accessible in most populations. |
The association between depression and anxiety and use of oral health services and tooth loss
Okoro CA , Strine TW , Eke PI , Dhingra SS , Balluz LS . Community Dent Oral Epidemiol 2011 40 (2) 134-44 OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study is to examine the associations among depression, anxiety, use of oral health services, and tooth loss. MEYHODS: Data were analysed for 80 486 noninstitutionalized adults in 16 states who participated in the 2008 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. Binomial and multinomial logistic regression analyses were used to estimate predicted marginals, adjusted prevalence ratios, adjusted odds ratios (AOR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: The unadjusted prevalence for use of oral health services in the past year was 73.1% [standard error (SE), 0.3%]. The unadjusted prevalence by level of tooth loss was 56.1% (SE, 0.4%) for no tooth loss, 29.6% (SE, 0.3%) for 1-5 missing teeth, 9.7% (SE, 0.2%) for 6-31 missing teeth and 4.6% (SE, 0.1%) for total tooth loss. Adults with current depression had a significantly higher prevalence of nonuse of oral health services in the past year than those without this disorder (P < 0.001), after adjustment for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, marital status, employment status, adverse health behaviours, chronic conditions, body mass index, assistive technology use and perceived social support. In logistic regression analyses employing tooth loss as a dichotomous outcome (0 versus ≥1) and as a nominal outcome (0 versus 1-5, 6-31, or all), adults with depression and anxiety were more likely to have tooth loss. Adults with current depression, lifetime diagnosed depression and lifetime diagnosed anxiety were significantly more likely to have had at least one tooth removed than those without each of these disorders (P < 0.001 for all), after fully adjusting for evaluated confounders (including use of oral health services). The adjusted odds of being in the 1-5 teeth removed, 6-31 teeth removed, or all teeth removed categories versus 0 teeth removed category were increased for adults with current depression versus those without (AOR = 1.35; 95% CI = 1.14-1.59; AOR = 1.83; 95% CI = 1.51-2.22; and AOR = 1.44; 95% CI = 1.11-1.86, respectively). The adjusted odds of being in the 1-5 teeth removed and 6-31 teeth removed categories versus 0 teeth removed category were also increased for adults with lifetime diagnosed depression or anxiety versus those without each of these disorders. CONCLUSIONS: Use of oral health services and tooth loss was associated with depression and anxiety after controlling for multiple confounders. |
Dental visits among adult Hispanics - BRFSS 1999 and 2006
Eke PI , Jaramillo F , Thornton-Evans GO , Borgnakke WS . J Public Health Dent 2011 71 (3) 252-256 OBJECTIVES: This study examined and compared utilization of dental services by adult US Hispanics 18 years and older in the years 1999 and 2006. METHODS: Dental utilization data collected by telephone interviews by the state-based Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) were analyzed. RESULTS: In 2006, the state mean and median prevalence of adult Hispanics with dental visits during the past year were 56.2 percent and 62.1 percent, respectively, and had not changed significantly since 1999. In 40 states, utilization was well below the national prevalence of 70.3 percent. Frequency of dental visits was significantly higher among females and those with higher income (>$50,000), higher education, nonsmokers, and persons having medical health insurance. CONCLUSIONS: Findings from this study suggest that barriers to utilization of dental services among Hispanic adults exist in most states and may contribute to existing oral health disparities. The magnitude of this problem may increase in the future with the expansion of the US Hispanic population. |
Serologically determined in utero exposure to oral pathogens may be associated with increased risk for neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admissions and length of stay
Eke PI . J Evid Based Dent Pract 2010 10 (3) 172-3 This study reports on the associations between fetal exposure to oral bacteria and NICU admissions, and length of stay. The authors investigated this association by undertaking secondary analysis of OCAP prospective study data. Fetal exposure to oral bacteria was determined by the presence or absence of IgM antibody to one or more oral organisms in fetal umbilical cord serum. |
Accuracy of NHANES periodontal examination protocols
Eke PI , Thornton-Evans GO , Wei L , Borgnakke WS , Dye BA . J Dent Res 2010 89 (11) 1208-13 This study evaluates the accuracy of periodontitis prevalence determined by the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) partial-mouth periodontal examination protocols. True periodontitis prevalence was determined in a new convenience sample of 454 adults ≥ 35 years old, by a full-mouth "gold standard" periodontal examination. This actual prevalence was compared with prevalence resulting from analysis of the data according to the protocols of NHANES III and NHANES 2001-2004, respectively. Both NHANES protocols substantially underestimated the prevalence of periodontitis by 50% or more, depending on the periodontitis case definition used, and thus performed below threshold levels for moderate-to-high levels of validity for surveillance. Adding measurements from lingual or interproximal sites to the NHANES 2001-2004 protocol did not improve the accuracy sufficiently to reach acceptable sensitivity thresholds. These findings suggest that NHANES protocols produce high levels of misclassification of periodontitis cases and thus have low validity for surveillance and research. |
Assessment of self-report measures for predicting population prevalence of periodontitis
Eke PI , Dye B . J Periodontol 2009 80 (9) 1371-9 BACKGROUND: Self-report measures have been used successfully for the surveillance of chronic diseases in adult populations. This pilot study assessed the use of self-report oral health measures for predicting the population prevalence of periodontitis in United States adults. METHODS: Data were collected from 456 subjects participating in a 2007 study conducted by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Each subject answered eight predetermined oral health self-report questions obtained from in-person interviews and were given a full-mouth periodontal examination using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey protocol. The predictiveness of measures from these self-report questions was assessed by multivariable logistic regression modeling measuring receiver operating characteristic (ROC) statistics, sensitivity, and specificity. RESULTS: Multivariable modeling incorporating self-report measures on gum disease, loose teeth, and tooth appearance alone were most useful in predicting the prevalence of severe periodontitis and improved with the addition of demographic and risk factor variables, yielding an ROC value of 0.93, sensitivity of 54.6%, and specificity of 98% at the observed 4.8% prevalence of disease. Scaling and root planing treatments, loose teeth, and the use of mouthwash, combined with demographic and risk factor covariates, were moderately useful in predicting total periodontitis. CONCLUSIONS: Multivariable modeling of specific self-report oral health measures is promising for predicting the population prevalence of severe periodontitis, confirming earlier assessments from a national survey. These results justify further assessments of self-report oral health measures for use in the surveillance of periodontitis in the adult United States population. |
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