Last data update: Dec 02, 2024. (Total: 48272 publications since 2009)
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Estimated SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in the US as of September 2020.
Bajema KL , Wiegand RE , Cuffe K , Patel SV , Iachan R , Lim T , Lee A , Moyse D , Havers FP , Harding L , Fry AM , Hall AJ , Martin K , Biel M , Deng Y , Meyer WA3rd , Mathur M , Kyle T , Gundlapalli AV , Thornburg NJ , Petersen LR , Edens C . JAMA Intern Med 2020 181 (4) 450-460 IMPORTANCE: Case-based surveillance of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection likely underestimates the true prevalence of infections. Large-scale seroprevalence surveys can better estimate infection across many geographic regions. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of persons with SARS-CoV-2 antibodies using residual sera from commercial laboratories across the US and assess changes over time. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This repeated, cross-sectional study conducted across all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico used a convenience sample of residual serum specimens provided by persons of all ages that were originally submitted for routine screening or clinical management from 2 private clinical commercial laboratories. Samples were obtained during 4 collection periods: July 27 to August 13, August 10 to August 27, August 24 to September 10, and September 7 to September 24, 2020. EXPOSURES: Infection with SARS-CoV-2. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The proportion of persons previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 as measured by the presence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 by 1 of 3 chemiluminescent immunoassays. Iterative poststratification was used to adjust seroprevalence estimates to the demographic profile and urbanicity of each jurisdiction. Seroprevalence was estimated by jurisdiction, sex, age group (0-17, 18-49, 50-64, and ≥65 years), and metropolitan/nonmetropolitan status. RESULTS: Of 177 919 serum samples tested, 103 771 (58.3%) were from women, 26 716 (15.0%) from persons 17 years or younger, 47 513 (26.7%) from persons 65 years or older, and 26 290 (14.8%) from individuals living in nonmetropolitan areas. Jurisdiction-level seroprevalence over 4 collection periods ranged from less than 1% to 23%. In 42 of 49 jurisdictions with sufficient samples to estimate seroprevalence across all periods, fewer than 10% of people had detectable SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. Seroprevalence estimates varied between sexes, across age groups, and between metropolitan/nonmetropolitan areas. Changes from period 1 to 4 were less than 7 percentage points in all jurisdictions and varied across sites. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This cross-sectional study found that as of September 2020, most persons in the US did not have serologic evidence of previous SARS-CoV-2 infection, although prevalence varied widely by jurisdiction. Biweekly nationwide testing of commercial clinical laboratory sera can play an important role in helping track the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the US. |
Correlates of HIV infection in adolescent girls and young women in Lesotho: results from a population-based survey
Low A , Thin K , Davia S , Mantell J , Koto M , McCracken S , Ramphalla P , Maile L , Ahmed N , Patel H , Parekh B , Fida N , Schwitters A , Frederix K . Lancet HIV 2019 6 (9) e613-e622 BACKGROUND: HIV acquisition remains high among adolescent girls and young women (AGYW, aged 15-24 years) in sub-Saharan Africa. We aimed to estimate prevalence and incidence of HIV in AGYW and to identify correlates of HIV infection by using data from the Lesotho Population-based HIV Impact Assessment (LePHIA). METHODS: LePHIA was a nationally representative survey of adults and children based on a multistage cluster sampling method with random selection of enumeration areas and households. All adults aged 15 years and older who had slept in the household the night before were eligible for participation; participants completed an interview and HIV testing. We estimated incidence with the HIV-1 limiting antigen avidity enzyme immunoassay combined with viral load and examined the association between demographic and behavioural variables (including characteristics of cohabitating mothers and sexual partners, when available) and prevalence and incidence among AGYW using logistic regression, incorporating survey weights. FINDINGS: We interviewed 8824 households, including 2358 AGYW who were tested for HIV infection. Weighted HIV prevalence was 11.1% (95% CI 9.7-12.5) in the overall population (273 of 2358 AGYW), 5.7% (4.1-7.2) in adolescent girls aged 15-19 years (64 of 1156), and 16.7% (14.4-19.0) in women aged 20-24 years (209 of 1212). Annualised HIV incidence was 1.8% (0.8-2.8). Correlates of prevalent infection include reporting a history of anal sex (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 3.08, 1.11-8.57), having lived outside Lesotho in the past year (1.86, 1.01-3.42), having a partner suspected or known to be HIV positive (11.7, 6.0-22.5), and having two or more lifetime sexual partners (1.84, 1.21-2.78, for 2-3 lifetime sexual partners; 2.44, 1.45-4.08, for >/=4 lifetime sexual partners). For the 570 AGYW living with their mothers, maternal education was negatively associated with HIV prevalence in their daughters (aOR 0.36, 0.15-0.82, per increase in level attended). For AGYW with a cohabitating partner, the factors associated with AGYW infection were partner age (OR 4.54, 1.30-15.80, for partners aged 35-49 years, although the OR was no longer significant when adjusted for HIV status of partner), HIV status (aOR 11.22, 4.05-31.05), lack of viral load suppression (OR 0.16, 0.04-0.66), and partner employment in the past year (aOR 3.41, 1.12-10.42). INTERPRETATION: The findings confirm the importance of improving the treatment cascade in male partners and targeting preventive interventions to AGYW who are at increased risk. A regional approach to prevention could mitigate the effect of migration on transnational spread of HIV. FUNDING: President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. |
Association between severe drought and HIV prevention and care behaviors in Lesotho: A population-based survey 2016-2017
Low AJ , Frederix K , McCracken S , Manyau S , Gummerson E , Radin E , Davia S , Longwe H , Ahmed N , Parekh B , Findley S , Schwitters A . PLoS Med 2019 16 (1) e1002727 BACKGROUND: A previous analysis of the impact of drought in Africa on HIV demonstrated an 11% greater prevalence in HIV-endemic rural areas attributable to local rainfall shocks. The Lesotho Population-Based HIV Impact Assessment (LePHIA) was conducted after the severe drought of 2014-2016, allowing for reevaluation of this relationship in a setting of expanded antiretroviral coverage. METHODS AND FINDINGS: LePHIA selected a nationally representative sample between November 2016 and May 2017. All adults aged 15-59 years in randomly selected households were invited to complete an interview and HIV testing, with one woman per household eligible to answer questions on their experience of sexual violence. Deviations in rainfall for May 2014-June 2016 were estimated using precipitation data from Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station Data (CHIRPS), with drought defined as <15% of the average rainfall from 1981 to 2016. The association between drought and risk behaviors as well as HIV-related outcomes was assessed using logistic regression, incorporating complex survey weights. Analyses were stratified by age, sex, and geography (urban versus rural). All of Lesotho suffered from reduced rainfall, with regions receiving 1%-36% of their historical rainfall. Of the 12,887 interviewed participants, 93.5% (12,052) lived in areas that experienced drought, with the majority in rural areas (7,281 versus 4,771 in urban areas). Of the 835 adults living in areas without drought, 520 were in rural areas and 315 in urban. Among females 15-19 years old, living in a rural drought area was associated with early sexual debut (odds ratio [OR] 3.11, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.43-6.74, p = 0.004), and higher HIV prevalence (OR 2.77, 95% CI 1.19-6.47, p = 0.02). It was also associated with lower educational attainment in rural females ages 15-24 years (OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.25-0.78, p = 0.005). Multivariable analysis adjusting for household wealth and sexual behavior showed that experiencing drought increased the odds of HIV infection among females 15-24 years old (adjusted OR [aOR] 1.80, 95% CI 0.96-3.39, p = 0.07), although this was not statistically significant. Migration was associated with 2-fold higher odds of HIV infection in young people (aOR 2.06, 95% CI 1.25-3.40, p = 0.006). The study was limited by the extensiveness of the drought and the small number of participants in the comparison group. CONCLUSIONS: Drought in Lesotho was associated with higher HIV prevalence in girls 15-19 years old in rural areas and with lower educational attainment and riskier sexual behavior in rural females 15-24 years old. Policy-makers may consider adopting potential mechanisms to mitigate the impact of income shock from natural disasters on populations vulnerable to HIV transmission. |
Status of HIV epidemic control among adolescent girls and young women aged 15-24 years - seven African countries, 2015-2017
Brown K , Williams DB , Kinchen S , Saito S , Radin E , Patel H , Low A , Delgado S , Mugurungi O , Musuka G , Tippett Barr BA , Nwankwo-Igomu EA , Ruangtragool L , Hakim AJ , Kalua T , Nyirenda R , Chipungu G , Auld A , Kim E , Payne D , Wadonda-Kabondo N , West C , Brennan E , Deutsch B , Worku A , Jonnalagadda S , Mulenga LB , Dzekedzeke K , Barradas DT , Cai H , Gupta S , Kamocha S , Riggs MA , Sachathep K , Kirungi W , Musinguzi J , Opio A , Biraro S , Bancroft E , Galbraith J , Kiyingi H , Farahani M , Hladik W , Nyangoma E , Ginindza C , Masangane Z , Mhlanga F , Mnisi Z , Munyaradzi P , Zwane A , Burke S , Kayigamba FB , Nuwagaba-Biribonwoha H , Sahabo R , Ao TT , Draghi C , Ryan C , Philip NM , Mosha F , Mulokozi A , Ntigiti P , Ramadhani AA , Somi GR , Makafu C , Mugisha V , Zelothe J , Lavilla K , Lowrance DW , Mdodo R , Gummerson E , Stupp P , Thin K , Frederix K , Davia S , Schwitters AM , McCracken SD , Duong YT , Hoos D , Parekh B , Justman JE , Voetsch AC . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2018 67 (1) 29-32 In 2016, an estimated 1.5 million females aged 15-24 years were living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in Eastern and Southern Africa, where the prevalence of HIV infection among adolescent girls and young women (3.4%) is more than double that for males in the same age range (1.6%) (1). Progress was assessed toward the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) 2020 targets for adolescent girls and young women in sub-Saharan Africa (90% of those with HIV infection aware of their status, 90% of HIV-infected persons aware of their status on antiretroviral treatment [ART], and 90% of those on treatment virally suppressed [HIV viral load <1,000 HIV RNA copies/mL]) (2) using data from recent Population-based HIV Impact Assessment (PHIA) surveys in seven countries. The national prevalence of HIV infection in adolescent girls and young women aged 15-24 years, the percentage who were aware of their status, and among those persons who were aware, the percentage who had achieved viral suppression were calculated. The target for viral suppression among all persons with HIV infection is 73% (the product of 90% x 90% x 90%). Among all seven countries, the prevalence of HIV infection among adolescent girls and young women was 3.6%; among those in this group, 46.3% reported being aware of their HIV-positive status, and 45.0% were virally suppressed. Sustained efforts by national HIV and public health programs to diagnose HIV infection in adolescent girls and young women as early as possible to ensure rapid initiation of ART should help achieve epidemic control among adolescent girls and young women. |
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