Last data update: Dec 02, 2024. (Total: 48272 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 83 Records) |
Query Trace: Daly P[original query] |
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The costs and cost-effectiveness of a two-dose oral cholera vaccination campaign: A case study in a refugee camp setting in Thailand
Wallace AS , Date K , Pallas SW , Wongjindanon N , Phares CR , Abimbola T . Vaccines (Basel) 2024 12 (11) Oral cholera vaccination (OCV) campaigns are increasingly used to prevent cholera outbreaks; however, little is known about their cost-effectiveness in refugee camps. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis of a pre-emptive OCV campaign in the Maela refugee camp in Thailand, where outbreaks occurred with an annual incidence rate (IR) of up to 10.7 cases per 1000. Data were collected via health sector records and interviews and household interviews. In the base-case scenario comparing the OCV campaign with no campaign, we estimated the campaign effect on the cholera IR and case fatality rate (CFR: 0.09%) from a static cohort model and calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for the outcomes of death, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and cases averted. In sensitivity analyses, we varied the CFR and IR. The household economic cost of illness was USD 21, and the health sector economic cost of illness was USD 51 per case. The OCV campaign economic cost was USD 289,561, 42% attributable to vaccine costs and 58% to service delivery costs. In our base case, the incremental cost was USD 1.9 million per death averted, USD 1745 per case averted, and USD 69,892 per DALY averted. Sensitivity analyses that increased the CFR to 0.35% or the IR to 10.4 cases per 1000 resulted in a cost per DALY of USD 15,666. The low multi-year average CFR and incidence of the cholera outbreaks in the Maela camp were key factors associated with the high cost per DALY averted. However, the sensitivity analyses indicated higher cost-effectiveness in a setting with a higher CFR or cholera incidence, indicating when to consider campaign use to reduce the outbreak risk. |
Defining blood hematology reference values in female pig-tailed macaques (Macaca nemestrina) using the Isolation Forest algorithm
Kim D , Derton A , Khalil G , Pan Y , Bachman S , Kelley K , Garcίa-Lerma G , Dobard CW , Daly MB . J Med Primatol 2024 53 (4) e12723 BACKGROUND: Pig-tailed macaques (PTMs) are commonly used as preclinical models to assess antiretroviral drugs for HIV prevention research. Drug toxicities and disease pathologies are often preceded by changes in blood hematology. To better assess the safety profile of pharmaceuticals, we defined normal ranges of hematological values in PTMs using an Isolation Forest (iForest) algorithm. METHODS: Eighteen female PTMs were evaluated. Blood was collected 1-24 times per animal for a total of 159 samples. Complete blood counts were performed, and iForest was used to analyze the hematology data to detect outliers. RESULTS: Median, IQR, and ranges were calculated for 13 hematology parameters. From all samples, 22 outliers were detected. These outliers were excluded from the reference index. CONCLUSIONS: Using iForest, we defined a normal range for hematology parameters in female PTMs. This reference index can be a valuable tool for future studies evaluating drug toxicities in PTMs. |
Molecular detection of Bartonella species in ticks from Peru.
Billeter SA , Cáceres AG , Gonzales-Hidalgo J , Luna-Caypo D , Kosoy MY . J Med Entomol 2011 48 (6) 1257-60 A total of 103 ticks, collected from canines, horses, donkeys, and snakes from Peru, were screened for the presence of Bartonella DNA by polymerase chain reaction analysis. Bartonella DNA was detected in two ticks using Bartonella 16S-23S intergenic spacer region primers and in an additional two ticks using Bartonella NADH dehydrogenase gamma subunit gene (nuoG) primers. Bartonella rochalimae Eremeeva et al., B. quintana Schmincke, and B. elizabethae Daly et al. DNA was detected in a Rhipicephalus sanguineus Latreille (Acari: Ixodidae) female tick removed from a dog and B. quintana DNA was present in a Dermacentor nitens Neumann (Acari: Ixodidae) pool of five larvae, one nymph, and one adult male tick collected from donkeys. This is the first study to report the detection of B. rochalimae, B. quintana, and B. elizabethae DNA in ticks from Peru. Further investigations must be performed to decipher the role ticks may play in the transmission of Bartonella species. |
Rebuilding Caribbean environmental health post-crisis programs: A preliminary study for virtual mentorship
DeVito Roseann , David Dyjack Elizabeth Landeen , Labbo Rebecca , Gill Gagandeep , Gerding Justin , Kalis Martin A , Daly Scott , Lopez Raymond , Somaiya Chintan , Chera Sukhdeep , Vanover Christine , Fahnestock Lindsay , Randhawa Manjit . J Environ Health 2024 86 (6) 8-13 After the hurricanes in 2017 in the U.S. Caribbean, it was essential to rebuild, strengthen, and sustain essential environmental health (EH) services and systems. The National Environmental Health Association, in partnership with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, developed an online mentorship program for newly hired and existing EH staff and health department leadership in Caribbean health departments. Participants were provided with both practical and didactic learning and were allowed to evaluate the program. Both mentors and mentees were highly satisfied with the knowledge and skills acquired, and mentees expressed it was relevant to their daily work. Based on the findings, we recommend both an online and a hybrid mentorship program for leadership- and inspector-level workforces in EH and potentially in other fields. |
Pharmacokinetic study of islatravir and etonogestrel implants in macaques
Daly MB , Wong-Sam A , Li L , Krovi A , Gatto GJ , Norton C , Luecke EH , Mrotz V , Forero C , Cottrell ML , Schauer AP , Gary J , Nascimento-Seixas J , Mitchell J , van der Straten A , Heneine W , Garcίa-Lerma JG , Dobard CW , Johnson LM . Pharmaceutics 2023 15 (12) The prevention of HIV and unintended pregnancies is a public health priority. Multi-purpose prevention technologies capable of long-acting HIV and pregnancy prevention are desirable for women. Here, we utilized a preclinical macaque model to evaluate the pharmacokinetics of biodegradable ε-polycaprolactone implants delivering the antiretroviral islatravir (ISL) and the contraceptive etonogestrel (ENG). Three implants were tested: ISL-62 mg, ISL-98 mg, and ENG-33 mg. Animals received one or two ISL-eluting implants, with doses of 42, 66, or 108 µg of ISL/day with or without an additional ENG-33 mg implant (31 µg/day). Drug release increased linearly with dose with median [range] plasma ISL levels of 1.3 [1.0-2.5], 1.9 [1.2-6.3] and 2.8 [2.3-11.6], respectively. The ISL-62 and 98 mg implants demonstrated stable drug release over three months with ISL-triphosphate (ISL-TP) concentr54ations in PBMCs above levels predicted to be efficacious for PrEP. Similarly, ENG implants demonstrated sustained drug release with median [range] plasma ENG levels of 495 [229-1110] pg/mL, which suppressed progesterone within two weeks and showed no evidence of altering ISL pharmacokinetics. Two of the six ISL-98 mg implants broke during the study and induced implant-site reactions, whereas no reactions were observed with intact implants. We show that ISL and ENG biodegradable implants are safe and yield sufficient drug levels to achieve prevention targets. The evaluation of optimized implants with increased mechanical robustness is underway for improved durability and vaginal efficacy in a SHIV challenge model. |
Compendium of measures to prevent disease associated with animals in public settings, 2023
Daly RF , Mathewson AA , Pride KR , Ireland MJ , Bailey SJ , Beck K , Benedict K , Calico M , Hairgrove T , Meehan T , Olsen C , Schaefbauer S , Stapleton S . J Am Vet Med Assoc 2023 261 (12) 1887-1894 Opportunities for the public to interact with animals in public settings such as petting zoos, fairs, and farm visits can be valuable learning and entertainment experiences. However, zoonotic disease transmission from healthy animals on exhibit and their environments, as well as injuries and other health problems, may result from these interactions if steps are not taken to minimize risks. The 2023 Compendium of Measures to Prevent Disease Associated with Animals in Public Settings provides background about these potential risks and updates recommendations for reducing those risks. Enteric zoonotic disease risks from animal contact in public settings include Shiga toxin–producing Escherichia coli infections, cryptosporidiosis, and campylobacteriosis. These infections occur when pathogens are accidentally ingested by individuals following direct contact with animals or contaminated objects. Zoonotic influenza infections can occur in a similar manner or through aerosols generated from infected animals. Other infectious diseases, parasitic infections, bites, and other injuries are also possible hazards in these settings. Inadequate handwashing and facility design flaws are frequent contributors to these risks, especially on farms or temporary exhibits not specifically designed for public use. Venues should provide sufficient handwashing stations and establish clearly defined animal contact areas. Operators should educate visitors about potential disease and injury risks, steps necessary to minimize exposure, and the importance of handwashing after the visit. Additionally, operators and visitors alike should realize that certain individuals are at heightened risk for zoonotic infections. Signs, handouts, and other educational materials are publicly available in a toolkit that accompanies the compendium. © 2023 American Veterinary Medical Association. All rights reserved. |
Laboratory criteria for exclusion and readmission of potentially infectious persons in sensitive settings in the age of culture-independent diagnostic tests: Report of a multidisciplinary workgroup
Besser J , Singer R , Jervis R , Boxrud D , Smith K , Daly ER . J Food Prot 2023 86 (12) 100173 Culture-independent diagnostic tests (CIDTs) are increasingly used for clinical diagnosis of gastrointestinal diseases such as salmonellosis, Shiga toxin-producing E. coli disease, and shigellosis because of their speed, convenience, and generally high-performance characteristics. These tests are also used to screen potentially infectious asymptomatic persons during outbreak investigations in sensitive settings such as childcare, food service, and healthcare. However, only limited performance data are available for CIDTs used on specimens from asymptomatic persons. The Association of Public Health Laboratories (APHL) and Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists (CSTE) convened a workgroup to examine the available scientific data to inform interim decision-making related to exclusion and readmission criteria for potentially infectious persons in sensitive settings, the risks and benefits of different testing strategies, and to identify knowledge gaps for further research. This is the report on the Workgroup findings. |
SARS-CoV-2 surface contamination in metro-Atlanta grocery stores
Brown TW , Park GW , Wittry B , Barclay L , Person M , Relja B , Daly S , Chhabra P , Kincaid E , Johnson J , Ahmad A , Herzegh O , Vinjé J , Murphy J . PLoS One 2023 18 (9) e0291747 While the COVID-19 pandemic has had a detrimental impact on many businesses worldwide, essential businesses, such as grocery stores, continued to operate despite potential disease transmission. Although the principal mode by which people are infected with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, is through exposure to respiratory droplets and very small particles carrying infectious virus, contaminated surfaces might play a role in transmission. We collected swab samples from frequently touched surfaces, including grocery carts, touchscreen monitors, credit card keypads, pharmacy counters, self-service food utensils, and refrigerator and freezer handles, in two metro-Atlanta grocery stores over the course of two sampling events in March 2021. Of the 260 swab samples collected, 6 (2.3%) samples were positive for SARS-CoV-2 RNA by reverse transcriptase quantitative polymerase chain reaction. Positive samples were collected from pharmacy (12.0% [3/25] samples), refrigerator/freezer aisles (2.5% [1/39] samples), and self-service food court (5.0% [2/40] samples) areas. Table/counter edge and underside surfaces represented 33% (2/6) of positive samples. These data suggest that risk of exposure to SARS-CoV-2 from frequently touched surfaces in grocery store settings is likely low; however, more frequent cleaning of surfaces in pharmacy and self-service food courts might be warranted. |
Estimating the cost-effectiveness of maternal vaccination and monoclonal antibodies for respiratory syncytial virus in Kenya and South Africa (preprint)
Koltai M , Moyes J , Nyawanda B , Nyiro J , Munywoki P , Tempia S , Li X , Antillon M , Bilcke J , Flasche S , Beutels P , Nokes DJ , Cohen C , Jit M . medRxiv 2022 10 Background Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes a substantial burden of acute lower respiratory infection in children under 5 years, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Maternal vaccine (MV) and next-generation monoclonal antibody (mAb) candidates have been shown to reduce RSV disease in infants in phase III clinical trials. The cost-effectiveness of these biologics has been estimated using disease burden data from global meta-analyses, but these are sensitive to the detailed age breakdown of paediatric RSV disease, for which there have previously been limited data. Methods We use original hospital-based incidence data from South Africa and Kenya collected between 2010 and 2018 of RSV-associated acute respiratory infection (ARI), influenza-like illness (ILI), severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) as well as deaths with monthly age-stratification, supplemented with data on healthcare-seeking behaviour and costs to the healthcare system and households. We estimated the incremental cost per DALY averted (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio or ICER) of public health interventions by MV or mAb for a plausible range of prices (3-30 USD for vaccines and 6-60 USD for monoclonals), using an adapted version of a previously published health economic model (McMarcel) of RSV immunisation. Results Our data show higher disease incidence for infants younger than 6 months of age in the case of Kenya and South Africa than suggested by earlier projections from community incidence-based meta-analyses of LMIC data. Since MV and mAb provide protection for these youngest age groups, this leads to a substantially larger reduction of disease burden and therefore, more favourable cost-effectiveness of both interventions in both countries. Specifically, using published efficacy data, our mean estimate for reducing RSV-associated deaths in children under 5 years of age is 9% for MV and 28% for mAb in Kenya. In South Africa, the reduction is larger, with the mean estimate of 14% for MV and 48% for mAb. In the case of the lowest dose prices (3 USD for MV and 6 USD for mAb), the healthcare system perspective ICERs per DALY averted drop to 144 USD (mAb) and 397 USD (MV) in Kenya, whereas it is net cost-saving from the perspective of the South African healthcare system. At the highest assumed dose prices of 30 USD for MV and 60 USD for mAb, the median estimates for the ICER are 4528 USD for MV and 2748 USD for mAb in Kenya, while in South Africa, it is 4694 USD for MV and 2566 USD for mAb. Conclusion Interventions against RSV disease may be more cost-effective than previously estimated following the incorporation of new data indicating that the disease burden is highly concentrated in the first 6 months of life in two African settings. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY 4.0 International license. |
Impact and cost-effectiveness of frequent HIV re-testing among key populations in Viet Nam: A modeling study (preprint)
Green D , Coomes D , Barnabas RV , Sharma M , Barrdichiara M , Jamil MS , Owiredu MN , Macdonald V , Nguyen V , Vo Hai S , Wi TE , Johnson C , Drake AL . medRxiv 2022 02 Background HIV testing and counseling is a key component of HIV prevention and the entry point into the treatment cascade, which improves for individual clinical outcomes and reduces onward HIV transmission. Current guidelines recommend at least annual testing for key populations. More frequent testing could provide health benefits, but these additional services increase the program the cost-effectiveness is not well-evaluated. Methods We used a compartmental mathematical model to simulate the health and economic impact of HIV testing one to four times per year for men who have sex with men, people who inject drugs, and female sex workers in Viet Nam. Model outcomes included costs, HIV infections, HIV-related deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with each scenario. We used an opportunity cost-based cost-effectiveness threshold of US $2,255 per DALY averted, discounted costs and health benefits at 3% annually, and used a time horizon from 2021 to 2030 to calculate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Results Compared to the baseline scenario, more frequent HIV testing was estimated to incrementally avert 10.2%, 5.2%, 3.0%, and 1.6% discounted infections for one-, two-, three-, and four-tests per year, respectively. ICERs associated with each scenario ranged from $464, $1,190, $1,762, and $2,727 per DALY averted for one-, two-, three-, and four-tests per year, respectively. Conclusions Increased HIV testing frequency for key populations was projected to avert HIV incidence, mortality, and disability in Viet Nam and was cost-effective. Settings with a similar context should consider strategies on how to optimize retesting among key populations. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY 4.0 International license. |
Assessment of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels among university students vaccinated with different COVID-19 primary and booster doses - fall 2021, Wisconsin
DeJonge PM , Lambrou AS , Segaloff HE , Bateman A , Sterkel A , Griggs C , Baggott J , Kelly P , Thornburg N , Epperson M , Desamu-Thorpe R , Abedi G , Hsu CH , Nakayama JY , Ruffin J , Turner-Harper D , Matanock A , Almendares O , Whaley M , Chakrabarti A , DeGruy K , Daly M , Westergaard R , Tate JE , Kirking HL . BMC Infect Dis 2023 23 (1) 374 BACKGROUND: University students commonly received COVID-19 vaccinations before returning to U.S. campuses in the Fall of 2021. Given likely immunologic variation among students based on differences in type of primary series and/or booster dose vaccine received, we conducted serologic investigations in September and December 2021 on a large university campus in Wisconsin to assess anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels. METHODS: We collected blood samples, demographic information, and COVID-19 illness and vaccination history from a convenience sample of students. Sera were analyzed for both anti-spike (anti-S) and anti-nucleocapsid (anti-N) antibody levels using World Health Organization standardized binding antibody units per milliliter (BAU/mL). Levels were compared across categorical primary COVID-19 vaccine series received and binary COVID-19 mRNA booster status. The association between anti-S levels and time since most recent vaccination dose was estimated by mixed-effects linear regression. RESULTS: In total, 356 students participated, of whom 219 (61.5%) had received a primary vaccine series of Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna mRNA vaccines and 85 (23.9%) had received vaccines from Sinovac or Sinopharm. Median anti-S levels were significantly higher for mRNA primary vaccine series recipients (2.90 and 2.86 log [BAU/mL], respectively), compared with those who received Sinopharm or Sinovac vaccines (1.63 and 1.95 log [BAU/mL], respectively). Sinopharm and Sinovac vaccine recipients were associated with a significantly faster anti-S decline over time, compared with mRNA vaccine recipients (P <.001). By December, 48/172 (27.9%) participants reported receiving an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine booster, which reduced the anti-S antibody discrepancies between primary series vaccine types. CONCLUSIONS: Our work supports the benefit of heterologous boosting against COVID-19. COVID-19 mRNA vaccine booster doses were associated with increases in anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels; following an mRNA booster dose, students with both mRNA and non-mRNA primary series receipt were associated with comparable levels of anti-S IgG. |
Changes in influenza and other respiratory virus activity during the COVID-19 pandemic-United States, 2020-2021.
Olsen SJ , Winn AK , Budd AP , Prill MM , Steel J , Midgley CM , Kniss K , Burns E , Rowe T , Foust A , Jasso G , Merced-Morales A , Davis CT , Jang Y , Jones J , Daly P , Gubareva L , Barnes J , Kondor R , Sessions W , Smith C , Wentworth DE , Garg S , Havers FP , Fry AM , Hall AJ , Brammer L , Silk BJ . Am J Transplant 2021 21 (10) 3481-3486 The COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent implementation of nonpharmaceutical interventions (e.g., cessation of global travel, mask use, physical distancing, and staying home) reduced the transmission of some viral respiratory pathogens.1 In the United States, influenza activity decreased in March 2020, was historically low through the summer of 2020,2 and remained low during October 2020–May 2021 (<0.4% of respiratory specimens with positive test results for each week of the season). Circulation of other respiratory pathogens, including respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), common human coronaviruses (HCoVs) types OC43, NL63, 229E, and HKU1, and parainfluenza viruses (PIVs) types 1–4 also decreased in early 2020 and did not increase until spring 2021. Human metapneumovirus (HMPV) circulation decreased in March 2020 and remained low through May 2021. Respiratory adenovirus (RAdV) circulated at lower levels throughout 2020 and as of early May 2021. Rhinovirus and enterovirus (RV/EV) circulation decreased in March 2020, remained low until May 2020, and then increased to near prepandemic seasonal levels. Circulation of respiratory viruses could resume at prepandemic levels after COVID-19 mitigation practices become less stringent. Clinicians should be aware of increases in some respiratory virus activity and remain vigilant for off-season increases. In addition to the use of everyday preventive actions, fall influenza vaccination campaigns are an important component of prevention as COVID-19 mitigation measures are relaxed and schools and workplaces resume in-person activities. |
Estimating the cost-effectiveness of maternal vaccination and monoclonal antibodies for respiratory syncytial virus in Kenya and South Africa
Koltai M , Moyes J , Nyawanda B , Nyiro J , Munywoki PK , Tempia S , Li X , Antillon M , Bilcke J , Flasche S , Beutels P , Nokes DJ , Cohen C , Jit M . BMC Med 2023 21 (1) 120 BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes a substantial burden of acute lower respiratory infection in children under 5 years, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Maternal vaccine (MV) and next-generation monoclonal antibody (mAb) candidates have been shown to reduce RSV disease in infants in phase 3 clinical trials. The cost-effectiveness of these biologics has been estimated using disease burden data from global meta-analyses, but these are sensitive to the detailed age breakdown of paediatric RSV disease, for which there have previously been limited data. METHODS: We use original hospital-based incidence data from South Africa (ZAF) and Kenya (KEN) collected between 2010 and 2018 of RSV-associated acute respiratory infection (ARI), influenza-like illness (ILI), and severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) as well as deaths with monthly age-stratification, supplemented with data on healthcare-seeking behaviour and costs to the healthcare system and households. We estimated the incremental cost per DALY averted (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio or ICER) of public health interventions by MV or mAb for a plausible range of prices (5-50 USD for MV, 10-125 USD for mAb), using an adjusted version of a previously published health economic model of RSV immunisation. RESULTS: Our data show higher disease incidence for infants younger than 6 months of age in the case of Kenya and South Africa than suggested by earlier projections from community incidence-based meta-analyses of LMIC data. Since MV and mAb provide protection for these youngest age groups, this leads to a substantially larger reduction of disease burden and, therefore, more favourable cost-effectiveness of both interventions in both countries. Using the latest efficacy data and inferred coverage levels based on antenatal care (ANC-3) coverage (KEN: 61.7%, ZAF: 75.2%), our median estimate of the reduction in RSV-associated deaths in children under 5 years in Kenya is 10.5% (95% CI: 7.9, 13.3) for MV and 13.5% (10.7, 16.4) for mAb, while in South Africa, it is 27.4% (21.6, 32.3) and 37.9% (32.3, 43.0), respectively. Starting from a dose price of 5 USD, in Kenya, net cost (for the healthcare system) per (undiscounted) DALY averted for MV is 179 (126, 267) USD, rising to 1512 (1166, 2070) USD at 30 USD per dose; for mAb, it is 684 (543, 895) USD at 20 USD per dose and 1496 (1203, 1934) USD at 40 USD per dose. In South Africa, a MV at 5 USD per dose would be net cost-saving for the healthcare system and net cost per DALY averted is still below the ZAF's GDP per capita at 40 USD dose price (median: 2350, 95% CI: 1720, 3346). For mAb in ZAF, net cost per DALY averted is 247 (46, 510) USD at 20 USD per dose, rising to 2028 (1565, 2638) USD at 50 USD per dose and to 6481 (5364, 7959) USD at 125 USD per dose. CONCLUSIONS: Incorporation of new data indicating the disease burden is highly concentrated in the first 6 months of life in two African settings suggests that interventions against RSV disease may be more cost-effective than previously estimated. |
Cost-effectiveness and cost-benefit analyses of providing menstrual cups and sanitary pads to schoolgirls in rural Kenya
Babagoli MA , Benshaul-Tolonen A , Zulaika G , Nyothach E , Oduor C , Obor D , Mason L , Kerubo E , Ngere I , Laserson KF , TudorEdwards R , Phillips-Howard PA . Womens Health Rep (New Rochelle) 2022 3 (1) 773-784 OBJECTIVE: To analyze the relative value of providing menstrual cups and sanitary pads to primary schoolgirls. DESIGN: Cost-effectiveness and cost-benefit analyses of three-arm single-site open cluster randomized controlled pilot study providing menstrual cups or sanitary pads for 1 year. PARTICIPANTS: Girls 14-16 years of age enrolled across 30 primary schools in rural western Kenya. METHODS: Cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted based on the health effects (reductions in disability-adjusted life years [DALYs]) and education effects (reductions in school absenteeism) of both interventions. The health and education benefits were separately valued and compared with relative program costs. RESULTS: Compared with the control group, the cost of menstrual cups was estimated at $3,270 per year for 1000 girls, compared with $24,000 for sanitary pads. The benefit of the menstrual cup program (1.4 DALYs averted, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -4.3 to 3.1) was higher compared with a sanitary pad program (0.48 DALYs averted, 95% CI: -4.2 to 2.3), but the health effects of both interventions were not statistically significant likely due to the limited statistical power. Using point estimates, the menstrual cup intervention was cost-effective in improving health outcomes ($2,300/DALY averted). The sanitary pad intervention had a cost-effectiveness of $300/student-school year in reducing school absenteeism. When considering improvements in future earnings from reduced absenteeism, the sanitary pad program had a net benefit of +$68,000 (95% CI: -$32,000 to +$169,000). CONCLUSIONS: The menstrual cup may provide a cost-effective solution for menstrual hygiene management in low-income settings. This study outlines a methodology for future analyses of menstrual hygiene interventions and highlights several knowledge gaps that need to be addressed. Trial registration: ISRCTN17486946. |
Ensuring Equitable COVID-19 Vaccine Allocation in New Hampshire: The First Eight Months toward a New Era.
Selembo TD , Talbot EA , Courtine CT , Daly ER , Hull TW , Durzy KJ . Vaccines (Basel) 2022 10 (9) The global coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been exacerbated by social vulnerabilities and racial disparities, resulting in disproportionate morbidity and mortality that require continued attention to strategies that ensure equitable vaccine allocation. The State of New Hampshire (NH) developed a transparent framework to guide COVID-19 vaccine allocation plans, of which one key component was the allocation of 10% of vaccine supply to disproportionately impacted and highly vulnerable populations, predominantly identified through a national vulnerability index. The process, operational approaches, ethical challenges, and unanticipated consequences resulted in many valuable lessons learned. Equitable allocation of this limited and critical pandemic countermeasure required public understanding and engagement, which was achieved through a publicly available framework that was flexible, resourced using public funds, and widely communicated. Broad partnerships were also critical to addressing disparities in the delivery of vaccine. The lessons learned and described here will facilitate more nimble and equitable jurisdictional responses in future public health emergencies. |
Cost-effectiveness of implementing HIV and HIV/syphilis dual testing among key populations in Viet Nam: a modelling analysis
Coomes D , Green D , Barnabas R , Sharma M , Barr-DiChiara M , Jamil MS , Baggaley R , Owiredu MN , Macdonald V , Nguyen VTT , Vo SH , Taylor M , Wi T , Johnson C , Drake AL . BMJ Open 2022 12 (8) e056887 OBJECTIVES: Key populations, including sex workers, men who have sex with men, and people who inject drugs, have a high risk of HIV and sexually transmitted infections. We assessed the health and economic impacts of different HIV and syphilis testing strategies among three key populations in Viet Nam using a dual HIV/syphilis rapid diagnostic test (RDT). SETTING: We used the spectrum AIDS impact model to simulate the HIV epidemic in Viet Nam and evaluated five testing scenarios among key populations. We used a 15-year time horizon and a provider perspective for costs. PARTICIPANTS: We simulate the entire population of Viet Nam in the model. INTERVENTIONS: We modelled five testing scenarios among key populations: (1) annual testing with an HIV RDT, (2) annual testing with a dual RDT, (3) biannual testing using dual RDT and HIV RDT, (4) biannual testing using HIV RDT and (5) biannual testing using dual RDT. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome is incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. Secondary outcomes include HIV and syphilis cases. RESULTS: Annual testing using a dual HIV/syphilis RDT was cost-effective (US$10 per disability-adjusted life year (DALY)) and averted 3206 HIV cases and treated 27727 syphilis cases compared with baseline over 15 years. Biannual testing using one dual test and one HIV RDT (US$1166 per DALY), or two dual tests (US$5672 per DALY) both averted an additional 875 HIV cases, although only the former scenario was cost-effective. Annual or biannual HIV testing using HIV RDTs and separate syphilis tests were more costly and less effective than using one or two dual RDTs. CONCLUSIONS: Annual HIV and syphilis testing using dual RDT among key populations is cost-effective in Vietnam and similar settings to reach global reduction goals for HIV and syphilis. |
Community outbreak of legionellosis associated with an indoor hot tub, New Hampshire, 2018
Daly ER , Talbot EA , Smith JC , Ritter T , McCormic ZD , Fay K , Raphael BH , Kozak-Muiznieks NA , Levinson KJ , Bean CL , Wilson RT , Morse D , Scacheri A , Linxweiler J , Chan BP . J Environ Health 2022 84 (10) 16-25 Legionellosis is an infection acquired through inhalation of aerosolized water droplets containing Legionella bacteria. In August 2018, public health officials in New Hampshire launched an investigation into a legionellosis outbreak. They identified 49 illnesses likely associated with the outbreak and implicated an improperly maintained hot tub at a hotel. The same strain of Legionella pneumophila serogroup 1 was found in both the hot tub and in samples from two patients with Legionnaires disease. The indoor hot tub vented to the outdoors, which is how some patients with confirmed legionellosis likely acquired the infection despite not entering the hotel during the incubation period. This outbreak is notable for 1) likely illness acquisition through the exterior vent of the hot tub room and 2) use of whole genome sequencing to link environmental and patient specimens. Collaboration among public health and environmental officials, laboratorians, and building managers was essential to determining the source of the outbreak and preventing further illness. 2022, National Environmental Health Association. All rights reserved. |
Influenza Activity and Composition of the 2022-23 Influenza Vaccine - United States, 2021-22 Season.
Merced-Morales A , Daly P , Abd Elal AI , Ajayi N , Annan E , Budd A , Barnes J , Colon A , Cummings CN , Iuliano AD , DaSilva J , Dempster N , Garg S , Gubareva L , Hawkins D , Howa A , Huang S , Kirby M , Kniss K , Kondor R , Liddell J , Moon S , Nguyen HT , O'Halloran A , Smith C , Stark T , Tastad K , Ujamaa D , Wentworth DE , Fry AM , Dugan VG , Brammer L . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (29) 913-919 Before the emergence of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, influenza activity in the United States typically began to increase in the fall and peaked in February. During the 2021-22 season, influenza activity began to increase in November and remained elevated until mid-June, featuring two distinct waves, with A(H3N2) viruses predominating for the entire season. This report summarizes influenza activity during October 3, 2021-June 11, 2022, in the United States and describes the composition of the Northern Hemisphere 2022-23 influenza vaccine. Although influenza activity is decreasing and circulation during summer is typically low, remaining vigilant for influenza infections, performing testing for seasonal influenza viruses, and monitoring for novel influenza A virus infections are important. An outbreak of highly pathogenic avian influenza A(H5N1) is ongoing; health care providers and persons with exposure to sick or infected birds should remain vigilant for onset of symptoms consistent with influenza. Receiving a seasonal influenza vaccine each year remains the best way to protect against seasonal influenza and its potentially severe consequences. |
Elimination of human rabies in Goa, India through an integrated One Health approach
Gibson AD , Yale G , Corfmat J , Appupillai M , Gigante CM , Lopes M , Betodkar U , Costa NC , Fernandes KA , Mathapati P , Suryawanshi PM , Otter N , Thomas G , Ohal P , Airikkala-Otter I , Lohr F , Rupprecht CE , King A , Sutton D , Deuzeman I , Li Y , Wallace RM , Mani RS , Gongal G , Handel IG , Bronsvoort M , Naik V , Desai S , Mazeri S , Gamble L , Mellanby RJ . Nat Commun 2022 13 (1) 2788 Dog-mediated rabies kills tens of thousands of people each year in India, representing one third of the estimated global rabies burden. Whilst the World Health Organization (WHO), World Organization for Animal Health (OIE) and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) have set a target for global dog-mediated human rabies elimination by 2030, examples of large-scale dog vaccination programs demonstrating elimination remain limited in Africa and Asia. We describe the development of a data-driven rabies elimination program from 2013 to 2019 in Goa State, India, culminating in human rabies elimination and a 92% reduction in monthly canine rabies cases. Smartphone technology enabled systematic spatial direction of remote teams to vaccinate over 95,000 dogs at 70% vaccination coverage, and rabies education teams to reach 150,000 children annually. An estimated 2249 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were averted over the program period at 526 USD per DALY, making the intervention 'very cost-effective' by WHO definitions. This One Health program demonstrates that human rabies elimination is achievable at the state level in India. |
Cost-effectiveness of cryptococcal antigen screening at CD4 counts of 101-200 cells/L in Botswana
Tenforde MW , Muthoga C , Ponatshego P , Ngidi J , Mine M , Greene G , Jordan A , Chiller T , Larson BA , Jarvis JN . Wellcome Open Res 2021 6 55 Background: Cryptococcal antigen (CrAg) screening in individuals with advanced HIV reduces cryptococcal meningitis (CM) cases and deaths. The World Health Organization recently recommended increasing screening thresholds from CD4 ≤100 cells/µL to ≤200 cells/µL. CrAg screening at CD4 ≤100 cells/µL is cost-effective; however, the cost-effectiveness of screening patients with CD4 101-200 cells/µL requires evaluation. Methods: Using a decision analytic model with Botswana-specific cost and clinical estimates, we evaluated CrAg screening and treatment among individuals with CD4 counts of 101-200 cells/µL. We estimated the number of CM cases and deaths nationally and treatment costs without screening. For screening we modeled the number of CrAg tests performed, number of CrAg-positive patients identified, proportion started on pre-emptive fluconazole, CM cases and deaths. Screening and treatment costs were estimated and cost per death averted or disability-adjusted life year (DALY) saved compared with no screening. Results: Without screening, we estimated 142 CM cases and 85 deaths annually among individuals with CD4 101-200 cells/µL, with treatment costs of $368,982. With CrAg screening, an estimated 33,036 CrAg tests are performed, and 48 deaths avoided (1,017 DALYs saved). While CrAg screening costs an additional $155,601, overall treatment costs fall by $39,600 (preemptive and hospital-based CM treatment), yielding a net increase of $116,001. Compared to no screening, high coverage of CrAg screening and pre-emptive treatment for CrAg-positive individuals in this population avoids one death for $2440 and $114 per DALY saved. In sensitivity analyses assuming a higher proportion of antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naïve patients (75% versus 15%), cost per death averted was $1472; $69 per DALY saved. Conclusions: CrAg screening for individuals with CD4 101-200 cells/µL was estimated to have a modest impact, involve additional costs, and be less cost-effective than screening populations with CD4 counts ≤100 cells/µL. Additional CrAg screening costs must be considered against other health system priorities. |
Changes in Influenza and Other Respiratory Virus Activity During the COVID-19 Pandemic - United States, 2020-2021.
Olsen SJ , Winn AK , Budd AP , Prill MM , Steel J , Midgley CM , Kniss K , Burns E , Rowe T , Foust A , Jasso G , Merced-Morales A , Davis CT , Jang Y , Jones J , Daly P , Gubareva L , Barnes J , Kondor R , Sessions W , Smith C , Wentworth DE , Garg S , Havers FP , Fry AM , Hall AJ , Brammer L , Silk BJ . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021 70 (29) 1013-1019 The COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent implementation of nonpharmaceutical interventions (e.g., cessation of global travel, mask use, physical distancing, and staying home) reduced transmission of some viral respiratory pathogens (1). In the United States, influenza activity decreased in March 2020, was historically low through the summer of 2020 (2), and remained low during October 2020-May 2021 (<0.4% of respiratory specimens with positive test results for each week of the season). Circulation of other respiratory pathogens, including respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), common human coronaviruses (HCoVs) types OC43, NL63, 229E, and HKU1, and parainfluenza viruses (PIVs) types 1-4 also decreased in early 2020 and did not increase until spring 2021. Human metapneumovirus (HMPV) circulation decreased in March 2020 and remained low through May 2021. Respiratory adenovirus (RAdV) circulated at lower levels throughout 2020 and as of early May 2021. Rhinovirus and enterovirus (RV/EV) circulation decreased in March 2020, remained low until May 2020, and then increased to near prepandemic seasonal levels. Circulation of respiratory viruses could resume at prepandemic levels after COVID-19 mitigation practices become less stringent. Clinicians should be aware of increases in some respiratory virus activity and remain vigilant for off-season increases. In addition to the use of everyday preventive actions, fall influenza vaccination campaigns are an important component of prevention as COVID-19 mitigation measures are relaxed and schools and workplaces resume in-person activities. |
Cost and cost-effectiveness of indoor residual spraying with pirimiphos-methyl in a high malaria transmission district of Mozambique with high access to standard insecticide-treated nets
Alonso S , Chaccour CJ , Wagman J , Candrinho B , Muthoni R , Saifodine A , Saute F , Robertson M , Zulliger R . Malar J 2021 20 (1) 143 BACKGROUND: As malaria cases increase in some of the highest burden countries, more strategic deployment of new and proven interventions must be evaluated to meet global malaria reduction goals. METHODS: The cost and cost-effectiveness of indoor residual spraying (IRS) with pirimiphos-methyl (Actellic®300 CS) were assessed in a high transmission district (Mopeia) with high access to pyrethroid insecticide-treated nets (ITNs), compared to ITNs alone. The major mosquito vectors in the area were susceptible to primiphos-methyl, but resistant to pyrethoids. A decision analysis approach was followed to conduct deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses in a theoretical cohort of 10,000 children under five years of age (U5) and 10,000 individuals of all ages, separately. Model parameters and distributions were based on prospectively collected cost and epidemiological data from a cluster-randomized control trial and a literature review. The primary analysis used health facility-malaria incidence, while community cohort incidence and cross-sectional prevalence rates were used in sensitivity analyses. Lifetime costs, malaria cases, deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were calculated to determine the incremental costs per DALY averted through IRS. RESULTS: The average IRS cost per person protected was US$8.26 and 51% of the cost was insecticide. IRS averted 46,609 (95% CI 46,570-46,646) uncomplicated and 242 (95% CI 241-243) severe lifetime cases in a theoretical children U5 cohort, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of US$400 (95% CI 399-402) per DALY averted. In the all-age cohort, the ICER was higher: US$1,860 (95% CI 1,852-1,868) per DALY averted. Deterministic and probabilistic results were consistent. When adding the community protective effect of IRS, the cost per person protected decreased (US$7.06) and IRS was highly cost-effective in children U5 (ICER = US$312) and cost-effective in individuals of all ages (ICER = US$1,431), compared to ITNs alone. CONCLUSION: This study provides robust evidence that IRS with pirimiphos-methyl can be cost-effective in high transmission regions with high pyrethroid ITN coverage where the major vector is susceptible to pirimiphos-methyl but resistant to pyrethroids. The finding that insecticide cost is the main driver of IRS costs highlights the need to reduce the insecticide price without jeopardizing effectiveness. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT02910934 (Registered 22 September 2016). https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02910934?term=NCT02910934&draw=2&rank=1. |
Cost-effectiveness of district-wide seasonal malaria chemoprevention when implemented through routine malaria control programme in Kita, Mali using fixed point distribution
Diawara H , Walker P , Cairns M , Steinhardt LC , Diawara F , Kamate B , Duval L , Sicuri E , Sagara I , Sadou A , Mihigo J , Eckert E , Dicko A , Conteh L . Malar J 2021 20 (1) 128 BACKGROUND: Seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) is a strategy for malaria control recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) since 2012 for Sahelian countries. The Mali National Malaria Control Programme adopted a plan for pilot implementation and nationwide scale-up by 2016. Given that SMC is a relatively new approach, there is an urgent need to assess the costs and cost effectiveness of SMC when implemented through the routine health system to inform decisions on resource allocation. METHODS: Cost data were collected from pilot implementation of SMC in Kita district, which targeted 77,497 children aged 3-59 months. Starting in August 2014, SMC was delivered by fixed point distribution in villages with the first dose observed each month. Treatment consisted of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine and amodiaquine once a month for four consecutive months, or rounds. Economic and financial costs were collected from the provider perspective using an ingredients approach. Effectiveness estimates were based upon a published mathematical transmission model calibrated to local epidemiology, rainfall patterns and scale-up of interventions. Incremental cost effectiveness ratios were calculated for the cost per malaria episode averted, cost per disability adjusted life years (DALYs) averted, and cost per death averted. RESULTS: The total economic cost of the intervention in the district of Kita was US $357,494. Drug costs and personnel costs accounted for 34% and 31%, respectively. Incentives (payment other than salary for efforts beyond routine activities) accounted for 25% of total implementation costs. Average financial and economic unit costs per child per round were US $0.73 and US $0.86, respectively; total annual financial and economic costs per child receiving SMC were US $2.92 and US $3.43, respectively. Accounting for coverage, the economic cost per child fully adherent (receiving all four rounds) was US $6.38 and US $4.69, if weighted highly adherent, (receiving 3 or 4 rounds of SMC). When costs were combined with modelled effects, the economic cost per malaria episode averted in children was US $4.26 (uncertainty bound 2.83-7.17), US $144 (135-153) per DALY averted and US $ 14,503 (13,604-15,402) per death averted. CONCLUSIONS: When implemented at fixed point distribution through the routine health system in Mali, SMC was highly cost-effective. As in previous SMC implementation studies, financial incentives were a large cost component. |
The effect of depot medroxyprogesterone acetate on tenofovir alafenamide in rhesus macaques
Daly MB , Sterling M , Holder A , Dinh C , Nishiura K , Khalil G , García-Lerma JG , Dobard C . Antiviral Res 2020 186 105001 Prevention of HIV infection and unintended pregnancies are public health priorities. In sub-Saharan Africa, where HIV prevalence is highest, depot-medroxyprogesterone acetate (DMPA) is widely used as contraception. Therefore, understanding potential interactions between DMPA and antiretrovirals is critical. Here, we use a macaque model to investigate the effect of DMPA on the pharmacology of the antiretroviral tenofovir alafenamide (TAF). Female rhesus macaques received 30 mg of DMPA (n=9) or were untreated (n=9). Macaques received a human equivalent dose of TAF (1.5 mg/kg) orally by gavage. Tenofovir (TFV) and TFV-diphosphate (TFV-DP) were measured in blood, secretions, and tissues over 72 hours. The median area under the curve (AUC(0-72h)) values for TFV-DP in peripheral blood mononuclear cells were similar in DMPA-treated (6,991 fmol*h/10(6) cells) and untreated controls (5,256 fmol*h/10(6) cells) (P=0.174). Rectal tissue TFV-DP concentrations from DMPA+ animals [median: 20.23 fmol/mg of tissue (range: 4.94-107.95)] were higher than the DMPA-group [median: below the limit of quantification (BLOQ-11.92)], (P=0.019). TFV-DP was not detectable in vaginal tissue from either group. A high-dose DMPA treatment in macaques was associated with increased rectal TFV-DP levels, indicating a potential tissue-specific drug-drug interaction. The lack of detectable TFV-DP in the vaginal tissue warrants further investigation of PrEP efficacy with single-agent TAF products. DMPA did not affect systemic TAF metabolism, with similar PBMC TFV-DP in both groups, suggesting that DMPA use should not alter the antiviral activity of TAF. |
Cost-effectiveness of intermittent preventive treatment with dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine for malaria during pregnancy: an analysis using efficacy results from Uganda and Kenya, and pooled data
Fernandes S , Were V , Gutman J , Dorsey G , Kakuru A , Desai M , Kariuki S , Kamya MR , Ter Kuile FO , Hanson K . Lancet Glob Health 2020 8 (12) e1512-e1523 BACKGROUND: Prevention of malaria infection during pregnancy in HIV-negative women currently relies on the use of long-lasting insecticidal nets together with intermittent preventive treatment in pregnancy with sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (IPTp-SP). Increasing sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance in Africa threatens current prevention of malaria during pregnancy. Thus, a replacement for IPTp-SP is urgently needed, especially for locations with high sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance. Dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine is a promising candidate. We aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of intermittent preventive treatment in pregnancy with dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine (IPTp-DP) versus IPTp-SP to prevent clinical malaria infection (and its sequelae) during pregnancy. METHODS: We did a cost-effectiveness analysis using meta-analysis and individual trial results from three clinical trials done in Kenya and Uganda. We calculated disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) arising from stillbirths, neonatal death, low birthweight, mild and moderate maternal anaemia, and clinical malaria infection, associated with malaria during pregnancy. Cost estimates were obtained from data collected in observational studies, health-facility costings, and from international drug procurement databases. The cost-effectiveness analyses were done from a health-care provider perspective using a decision tree model with a lifetime horizon. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses using appropriate parameter ranges and distributions were also done. Results are presented as the incremental cost per DALY averted and the likelihood that an intervention is cost-effective for different cost-effectiveness thresholds. FINDINGS: Compared with three doses of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine, three doses of dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine, delivered to a hypothetical cohort of 1000 pregnant women, averted 892 DALYs (95% credibility interval 274 to 1517) at an incremental cost of US$7051 (2653 to 13 038) generating an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $8 (2 to 29) per DALY averted. Compared with monthly doses of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine, monthly doses of dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine averted 534 DALYS (-141 to 1233) at a cost of $13 427 (4994 to 22 895), resulting in an ICER of $25 (-151 to 224) per DALY averted. Both results were highly robust to most or all variations in the deterministic sensitivity analysis. INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggest that among HIV-negative pregnant women with high uptake of long-lasting insecticidal nets, IPTp-DP is cost-effective in areas with high malaria transmission and high sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance. These data provide a comprehensive overview of the current evidence on the cost-effectiveness of IPTp-DP. Nevertheless, before a policy change is advocated, we recommend further research into the effectiveness and costs of different regimens of IPTp-DP in settings with different underlying sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance. FUNDING: Malaria in Pregnancy Consortium, which is funded through a grant from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation to the Liverpool School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. |
The cost-effectiveness of hypertension management in low-income and middle-income countries: a review
Kostova D , Spencer G , Moran AE , Cobb LK , Husain MJ , Datta BK , Matsushita K , Nugent R . BMJ Glob Health 2020 5 (9) Hypertension in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) is largely undiagnosed and uncontrolled, representing an untapped opportunity for public health improvement. Implementation of hypertension control strategies in low-resource settings depends in large part on cost considerations. However, evidence on the cost-effectiveness of hypertension interventions in LMICs is varied across geographical, clinical and evaluation contexts. We conducted a comprehensive search for published economic evaluations of hypertension treatment programmes in LMICs. The search identified 71 articles assessing a wide range of hypertension intervention designs and cost components, of which 42 studies across 15 countries reported estimates of cost-effectiveness. Although comparability of results was limited due to heterogeneity in the interventions assessed, populations studied, costs and study quality score, most interventions that reported cost per averted disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) were cost-effective, with costs per averted DALY not exceeding national income thresholds. Programme elements that may reduce cost-effectiveness included screening for hypertension at younger ages, addressing prehypertension, or treating patients at lower cardiovascular disease risk. Cost-effectiveness analysis could provide the evidence base to guide the initiation and development of hypertension programmes. |
Seasonal influenza vaccination in Kenya: an economic evaluation using dynamic transmission modelling
Dawa J , Emukule GO , Barasa E , Widdowson MA , Anzala O , van Leeuwen E , Baguelin M , Chaves SS , Eggo RM . BMC Med 2020 18 (1) 223 BACKGROUND: There is substantial burden of seasonal influenza in Kenya, which led the government to consider introducing a national influenza vaccination programme. Given the cost implications of a nationwide programme, local economic evaluation data are needed to inform policy on the design and benefits of influenza vaccination. We set out to estimate the cost-effectiveness of seasonal influenza vaccination in Kenya. METHODS: We fitted an age-stratified dynamic transmission model to active surveillance data from patients with influenza from 2010 to 2018. Using a societal perspective, we developed a decision tree cost-effectiveness model and estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for three vaccine target groups: children 6-23 months (strategy I), 2-5 years (strategy II) and 6-14 years (strategy III) with either the Southern Hemisphere influenza vaccine (Strategy A) or Northern Hemisphere vaccine (Strategy B) or both (Strategy C: twice yearly vaccination campaigns, or Strategy D: year-round vaccination campaigns). We assessed cost-effectiveness by calculating incremental net monetary benefits (INMB) using a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 1-51% of the annual gross domestic product per capita ($17-$872). RESULTS: The mean number of infections across all ages was 2-15 million per year. When vaccination was well timed to influenza activity, the annual mean ICER per DALY averted for vaccinating children 6-23 months ranged between $749 and $1385 for strategy IA, $442 and $1877 for strategy IB, $678 and $4106 for strategy IC and $1147 and $7933 for strategy ID. For children 2-5 years, it ranged between $945 and $1573 for strategy IIA, $563 and $1869 for strategy IIB, $662 and $4085 for strategy IIC, and $1169 and $7897 for strategy IID. For children 6-14 years, it ranged between $923 and $3116 for strategy IIIA, $1005 and $2223 for strategy IIIB, $883 and $4727 for strategy IIIC and $1467 and $6813 for strategy IIID. Overall, no vaccination strategy was cost-effective at the minimum ($17) and median ($445) WTP thresholds. Vaccinating children 6-23 months once a year had the highest mean INMB value at $872 (WTP threshold upper limit); however, this strategy had very low probability of the highest net benefit. CONCLUSION: Vaccinating children 6-23 months once a year was the most favourable vaccination option; however, the strategy is unlikely to be cost-effective given the current WTP thresholds. |
Net benefit and cost-effectiveness of universal iron-containing multiple micronutrient powders for young children in 78 countries: a microsimulation study
Pasricha SR , Gheorghe A , Sakr-Ashour F , Arcot A , Neufeld L , Murray-Kolb LE , Suchdev PS , Bode M . Lancet Glob Health 2020 8 (8) e1071-e1080 BACKGROUND: Universal home fortification of complementary foods with iron-containing multiple micronutrient powders (MNPs) is a key intervention to prevent anaemia in young children in low-income and middle-income countries. However, evidence that MNPs might promote infection raises uncertainty about whether MNPs give net health benefits and are cost-effective. We aimed to determined country-specific net benefit or harm and cost-effectiveness of universal provision of MNPs to children aged 6 months. METHODS: We developed a microsimulation model to estimate net country-specific disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and years of life lost (YLLs) due to anaemia, malaria, and diarrhoea averted (or increased) by provision of a 6-month course of MNPs to children aged 6 months, compared with no intervention, who would be followed up for an additional 6 months (ie, to age 18 months). Anaemia prevalence was derived from Demographic and Health Surveys or similar national surveys, and malaria and diarrhoea incidence were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study. Programme and health-care costs were modelled to determine cost per DALY averted (US$). Additionally, we explored the effects of reduced MNP coverage in a sensitivity analysis. FINDINGS: 78 countries (46 countries in Africa, 20 in Asia or the Middle East, and 12 in Latin America) were included in the analysis, and we simulated 5 million children per country. 6 months of universal distribution of daily MNPs, assuming 100% coverage, produced a net benefit (DALYs averted) in 54 countries (24 in Africa, 19 in Asia and the Middle East, 11 in Latin America) and net harm in 24 countries (22 in Africa, one in Asia, and one in Latin America). MNP intervention provided a benefit on YLDs associated with anaemia, but these gains were attenuated and sometimes reversed by increases in YLLs associated with malaria and diarrhoea, reducing the benefits seen for DALYs. In the 54 countries where MNP provision was beneficial, the median benefit was 28·1 DALYs averted per 10 000 children receiving MNPs (IQR 20·6-40·4), and median cost per DALY averted was $3576 (IQR 2474-4918). DALY effects positively correlated with moderate and severe anaemia prevalence in Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America, but correlated inversely in Africa. Suboptimal coverage markedly reduced DALYs averted and cost-effectiveness. INTERPRETATION: Net health benefits of MNPs vary between countries, are highest where prevalence of moderate and severe anaemia is greatest but infection prevalence is smallest, and are ameliorated when coverage of the intervention is poor. Our data provide country-specific guidance to national policy makers. FUNDING: International Union of Nutrition Sciences. |
Candida auris outbreak involving liver transplant recipients in a Surgical Intensive Care Unit.
Theodoropoulos NM , Bolstorff B , Bozorgzadeh A , Brandeburg C , Cumming M , Daly JS , Ellison RT3rd , Forsberg K , Gade L , Gibson L , Greenough T , Litvintseva AP , Mack DA , Madoff L , Martins PN , McHale E , Melvin Z , Movahedi B , Stiles T , Vallabhaneni S , Levitz SM . Am J Transplant 2020 20 (12) 3673-3679 Candida auris is a difficult to eradicate yeast that has caused outbreaks in healthcare facilities. We report a cluster of five patients in one intensive care unit who were colonized or infected in 2017. The initial two patients were recipients of liver transplants who had cultures that grew C. auris within three days of each other in June 2017 (days 43 and 30 post-transplant). Subsequent screening cultures identified two additional patients with C. auris colonization. Respiratory and urine cultures from a fifth patient yielded C. auris. All isolates were fluconazole-resistant but susceptible to echinocandins. Whole genome sequencing showed the strains were clonal, suggesting in-hospital transmission, and related but distinct from NY/NJ strains, consistent with a separate introduction. However, no source or contact was found. Two of the five patients died. C. auris infection likely contributed to one patient death by infecting a vascular aneurysm at the graft anastomosis. Strict infection control precautions were initiated to control the outbreak. Our experience reveals that while severe disease from C. auris can occur in transplant recipients, outbreaks can be controlled using recommended infection control practices. We have had no further patients infected with C. auris to date. |
Cost-per-diagnosis as a metric for monitoring cost-effectiveness of HIV testing programmes in low-income settings in southern Africa: health economic and modelling analysis
Phillips AN , Cambiano V , Nakagawa F , Bansi-Matharu L , Wilson D , Jani I , Apollo T , Sculpher M , Hallett T , Kerr C , van Oosterhout JJ , Eaton JW , Estill J , Williams B , Doi N , Cowan F , Keiser O , Ford D , Hatzold K , Barnabas R , Ayles H , Meyer-Rath G , Nelson L , Johnson C , Baggaley R , Fakoya A , Jahn A , Revill P . J Int AIDS Soc 2019 22 (7) e25325 INTRODUCTION: As prevalence of undiagnosed HIV declines, it is unclear whether testing programmes will be cost-effective. To guide their HIV testing programmes, countries require appropriate metrics that can be measured. The cost-per-diagnosis is potentially a useful metric. METHODS: We simulated a series of setting-scenarios for adult HIV epidemics and ART programmes typical of settings in southern Africa using an individual-based model and projected forward from 2018 under two policies: (i) a minimum package of "core" testing (i.e. testing in pregnant women, for diagnosis of symptoms, in sex workers, and in men coming forward for circumcision) is conducted, and (ii) core-testing as above plus additional testing beyond this ("additional-testing"), for which we specify different rates of testing and various degrees to which those with HIV are more likely to test than those without HIV. We also considered a plausible range of unit test costs. The aim was to assess the relationship between cost-per-diagnosis and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the additional-testing policy. The discount rate used in the base case was 3% per annum (costs in 2018 U.S. dollars). RESULTS: There was a strong graded relationship between the cost-per-diagnosis and the ICER. Overall, the ICER was below $500 per-DALY-averted (the cost-effectiveness threshold used in primary analysis) so long as the cost-per-diagnosis was below $315. This threshold cost-per-diagnosis was similar according to epidemic and programmatic features including the prevalence of undiagnosed HIV, the HIV incidence and a measure of HIV programme quality (the proportion of HIV diagnosed people having a viral load <1000 copies/mL). However, restricting to women, additional-testing did not appear cost-effective even at a cost-per-diagnosis of below $50, while restricting to men additional-testing was cost-effective up to a cost-per-diagnosis of $585. The threshold cost per diagnosis for testing in men to be cost-effective fell to $256 when the cost-effectiveness threshold was $300 instead of $500, and to $81 when considering a discount rate of 10% per annum. CONCLUSIONS: For testing programmes in low-income settings in southern African there is an extremely strong relationship between the cost-per-diagnosis and the cost-per-DALY averted, indicating that the cost-per-diagnosis can be used to monitor the cost-effectiveness of testing programmes. |
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