Last data update: Dec 09, 2024. (Total: 48320 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 134 Records) |
Query Trace: Crawford S[original query] |
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Demographic characteristics and county-level indicators of social vulnerability in salmonellosis outbreaks linked to ground beef- United States, 2012-2018
Waltenburg MA , Salah Z , Canning M , McCain K , Rickless D , Ablan M , Crawford TN , Sheau Fong Low M , Robyn M , Angelique MMolinari N , Marshall KE . J Food Prot 2024 100411 Ground beef is a common source of US Salmonella illnesses and outbreaks. However, the demographic and socioeconomic factors that are related to risk in ground beef-associated outbreaks of Salmonella infections are poorly understood. We describe the individual-level demographic characteristics and county-level indicators of social vulnerability for people infected with Salmonella linked to outbreaks associated with ground beef in the United States during 2012-2018. Non-Hispanic (NH) White and NH American Indian/Alaska Native persons, and people living in non-metropolitan areas, were overrepresented among people in salmonellosis outbreaks linked to ground beef. Case patients disproportionately resided in counties with high social vulnerability, suggesting that one or more community social risk factors may contribute to or be associated with some food safety risks. Collecting and analyzing socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of people in outbreaks can help identify disparities in foodborne disease, which can be further characterized and inform equity-focused interventions. |
Consumer risk perception of food contamination as an influencer to purchase irradiated ground beef, chicken, and leafy greens - United States, October 2022
Ablan M , Crawford TN , Canning M , Robyn M , Marshall KE . J Food Prot 2024 100405 Foodborne illness continues to be a substantial public health concern in the United States with contaminated ground beef, chicken, and leafy greens identified as important sources of illnesses and outbreaks. These foods also have been identified by consumers as foods that are likely to carry germs that can make people sick. Food irradiation is a promising tool to enhance food safety. Despite this, there has been limited application of food irradiation in the U.S. During October 7-9, 2022, we licensed data from a Porter Novelli Public Services survey (N=1,008) to examine consumer risk perception of contamination of ground beef, chicken, and leafy greens with pathogens, and the potential influence risk perception has on purchasing irradiated versions of these foods. Among respondents familiar with food irradiation, a higher proportion of those who believed ground beef and leafy greens were likely contaminated also indicated they were likely to consider purchasing irradiated ground beef (55.6% vs 35.4%; p=0.0061) and leafy greens (60.8% vs 36.1%; p=<.0001) compared with those who did not; chicken was not significant (58.6% vs 45.4%; p=0.0727). This survey demonstrated the importance of risk perception as an influencer on a consumer's decision to purchase irradiated foods. |
Regulatory elements in SEM1-DLX5-DLX6 (7q21.3) locus contribute to genetic control of coronal nonsyndromic craniosynostosis and bone density-related traits
Nicoletti P , Zafer S , Matok L , Irron I , Patrick M , Haklai R , Evangelista JE , Marino GB , Ma'ayan A , Sewda A , Holmes G , Britton SR , Lee WJ , Wu M , Ru Y , Arnaud E , Botto L , Brody LC , Byren JC , Caggana M , Carmichael SL , Cilliers D , Conway K , Crawford K , Cuellar A , Di Rocco F , Engel M , Fearon J , Feldkamp ML , Finnell R , Fisher S , Freudlsperger C , Garcia-Fructuoso G , Hagge R , Heuzé Y , Harshbarger RJ , Hobbs C , Howley M , Jenkins MM , Johnson D , Justice CM , Kane A , Kay D , Gosain AK , Langlois P , Legal-Mallet L , Lin AE , Mills JL , Morton JEV , Noons P , Olshan A , Persing J , Phipps JM , Redett R , Reefhuis J , Rizk E , Samson TD , Shaw GM , Sicko R , Smith N , Staffenberg D , Stoler J , Sweeney E , Taub PJ , Timberlake AT , Topczewska J , Wall SA , Wilson AF , Wilson LC , Boyadjiev SA , Wilkie AOM , Richtsmeier JT , Jabs EW , Romitti PA , Karasik D , Birnbaum RY , Peter I . Genet Med Open 2024 2 PURPOSE: The etiopathogenesis of coronal nonsyndromic craniosynostosis (cNCS), a congenital condition defined by premature fusion of 1 or both coronal sutures, remains largely unknown. METHODS: We conducted the largest genome-wide association study of cNCS followed by replication, fine mapping, and functional validation of the most significant region using zebrafish animal model. RESULTS: Genome-wide association study identified 6 independent genome-wide-significant risk alleles, 4 on chromosome 7q21.3 SEM1-DLX5-DLX6 locus, and their combination conferred over 7-fold increased risk of cNCS. The top variants were replicated in an independent cohort and showed pleiotropic effects on brain and facial morphology and bone mineral density. Fine mapping of 7q21.3 identified a craniofacial transcriptional enhancer (eDlx36) within the linkage region of the top variant (rs4727341; odds ratio [95% confidence interval], 0.48[0.39-0.59]; P = 1.2E-12) that was located in SEM1 intron and enriched in 4 rare risk variants. In zebrafish, the activity of the transfected human eDlx36 enhancer was observed in the frontonasal prominence and calvaria during skull development and was reduced when the 4 rare risk variants were introduced into the sequence. CONCLUSION: Our findings support a polygenic nature of cNCS risk and functional role of craniofacial enhancers in cNCS susceptibility with potential broader implications for bone health. |
Modernizing public health data systems and workforce capacity: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Public Health Informatics Fellowship Program
Kirkcaldy RD , Biggers B , Bonney W , Gordon J , Yassine B , Crawford B , Papagari-Sangareddy S , Franzke L , Bernstein KT . J Public Health Manag Pract 2024 CONTEXT: The COVID-19 pandemic exposed governmental public health's outdated information technology and insufficient data science and informatics workforce capacity. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Public Health Informatics Fellowship Program (PHIFP) is well positioned to strengthen public health data science and informatics workforce capacity. PROGRAM: Established in 1996, PHIFP is a 2-year, full-time, on-the-job training program. PHIFP includes a didactic curriculum, applied learning through informatics projects completed at the assigned host site, short-term technical assistance projects, and a final capstone project. EVALUATION: Fellows have learned from and bolstered host site informatics capacity through the development or enhancement of information systems, evaluations, data integration, data visualization, and analysis. Among recent graduates, 54% are employed at Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and 16% are employed at other public health organizations, including local health departments. DISCUSSION: Fellowships such as PHIFP, which recruit and train promising scientists in public health informatics, are important components of efforts to strengthen public health workforce capacity. |
Engaging community health workers in the Centers For Disease Control And Prevention's COVID-19 public health response to address health disparities and build community resilience
De Jesus S , Rohan EA , DeGroff A , Vaughan M , Hayes N , Presley-Cantrell L , Buckley R , Richardson LC , Crawford G , Hacker K . Health Promot Pract 2024 15248399241267969 In 2021, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion (NCCDPHP) funded community health workers (CHWs) for COVID Response and Resilient Communities (CCR). CCR is a 3-year, $350 million initiative to implement CHW strategies aimed at reducing COVID-19 impacts, building resilience, and improving health equity by addressing health-related social needs. This paper describes the CCR initiative and experiences to date, underscoring CHWs' critical role in CDC's pandemic response. CCR funds 67 recipients to reach communities who are disproportionately affected by long-standing health disparities (hereafter, priority populations). CCR aims to decrease the impact of COVID-19 and increase community resilience to respond to COVID-19 and future public health emergencies. Recipients implement three strategies: train CHWs to support the COVID-19 response, increase the workforce of CHWs to manage the spread of the disease, and improve utilization of community and clinical resources to engage CHWs to help strengthen communities' resilience to mitigate the impact of COVID-19. We funded three additional organizations to provide technical assistance to CCR recipients and collaborate with us on a national evaluation of the program. CCR recipients hired about 950 CHWs and integrated these CHWs into over 1,000 organizations and care teams. At the end of the second program year, CHWs made over 250,000 referrals to social services and over 150,000 referrals to address specific health conditions. CCR demonstrates that CHWs can be quickly mobilized to participate in a public health emergency and reach those most affected by COVID-19. |
Representativeness of a national, probability-based panel survey of COVID-19 isolation practices-United States, 2020-2022
Matulewicz HH , Vohra D , Crawford-Crudell W , Oeltmann JE , Moonan PK , Taylor MM , Couzens C , Weiss A . Front Epidemiol 2024 4 1379256 The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) received surveillance data on how many people tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, but there was little information about what individuals did to mitigate transmission. To fill the information gap, we conducted an online, probability-based survey among a nationally representative panel of adults living in the United States to better understand the behaviors of individuals following a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result. Given the low response rates commonly associated with panel surveys, we assessed how well the survey data aligned with CDC surveillance data from March, 2020 to March, 2022. We used CDC surveillance data to calculate monthly aggregated COVID-19 case counts and compared these to monthly COVID-19 case counts captured by our survey during the same period. We found high correlation between our overall survey data estimates and monthly case counts reported to the CDC during the analytic period (r: +0.94; p < 0.05). When stratified according to demographic characteristics, correlations remained high. These correlations strengthened our confidence that the panel survey participants were reflective of the cases reported to CDC and demonstrated the potential value of panel surveys to inform decision making. |
Examining age and food irradiation knowledge as influential factors on the purchase of irradiated foods: United States, August 2022
Crawford TN , Ablan M , Canning M , Marshall KE , Robyn M . Food Prot Trends 2024 44 (3) 189-194 Foodborne illness affects approximately 48 million Americans annually. Food irradiation is a safe and effective way to kill bacteria and extend a product’s shelf life. However, challenges to wider implementation of this technology include consumer hesitancy stemming from misconceptions about safety and lack of knowledge of irradiation’s benefits. Research has shown that consumers are more willing to accept irradiation if informed about its safety. Because of increases in multistate foodborne outbreaks and consumers’ growing concern about and expectation of food safety, it is an opportune time to reconsider irradiation as a food safety tool. Consumer attitudes toward food safety differ by demographic characteristics; however, research on the association of demographic factors with attitudes on food irradiation are limited. Data collected from a survey (n = 1,009) conducted in August 2022 were analyzed to describe the relationship between age and food irradiation knowledge as influential factors to purchase irradiated foods. More than half (56%) of respondents reported that learning more about irradiation would likely influence purchasing decisions, and older adults were more knowledgeable about food irradiation. These findings suggest that age could be an important factor to consider when tailoring messaging as a prevention strategy around the benefits of food irradiation. © 2024, International Association for Food Protection. All rights reserved. |
Influence of eat, sleep, and console on infants pharmacologically treated for opioid withdrawal: A post hoc subgroup analysis of the ESC-NOW randomized clinical trial
Devlin LA , Hu Z , Merhar SL , Ounpraseuth ST , Simon AE , Lee JY , Das A , Crawford MM , Greenberg RG , Smith PB , Higgins RD , Walsh MC , Rice W , Paul DA , Maxwell JR , Fung CM , Wright T , Ross J , McAllister JM , Crowley M , Shaikh SK , Christ L , Brown J , Riccio J , Wong Ramsey K , Braswell EF , Tucker L , McAlmon K , Dummula K , Weiner J , White JR , Newman S , Snowden JN , Young LW . JAMA Pediatr 2024 IMPORTANCE: The function-based eat, sleep, console (ESC) care approach substantially reduces the proportion of infants who receive pharmacologic treatment for neonatal opioid withdrawal syndrome (NOWS). This reduction has led to concerns for increased postnatal opioid exposure in infants who receive pharmacologic treatment. However, the effect of the ESC care approach on hospital outcomes for infants pharmacologically treated for NOWS is currently unknown. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate differences in opioid exposure and total length of hospital stay (LOS) for pharmacologically treated infants managed with the ESC care approach vs usual care with the Finnegan tool. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This post hoc subgroup analysis involved infants pharmacologically treated in ESC-NOW, a stepped-wedge cluster randomized clinical trial conducted at 26 US hospitals. Hospitals maintained pretrial practices for pharmacologic treatment, including opioid type, scheduled opioid dosing, and use of adjuvant medications. Infants were born at 36 weeks' gestation or later, had evidence of antenatal opioid exposure, and received opioid treatment for NOWS between September 2020 and March 2022. Data were analyzed from November 2022 to January 2024. EXPOSURE: Opioid treatment for NOWS and the ESC care approach. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: For each outcome (total opioid exposure, peak opioid dose, time from birth to initiation of first opioid dose, length of opioid treatment, and LOS), we used generalized linear mixed models to adjust for the stepped-wedge design and maternal and infant characteristics. RESULTS: In the ESC-NOW trial, 463 of 1305 infants were pharmacologically treated (143/603 [23.7%] in the ESC care approach group and 320/702 [45.6%] in the usual care group). Mean total opioid exposure was lower in the ESC care approach group with an absolute difference of 4.1 morphine milligram equivalents per kilogram (MME/kg) (95% CI, 1.3-7.0) when compared with usual care (4.8 MME/kg vs 8.9 MME/kg, respectively; P = .001). Mean time from birth to initiation of pharmacologic treatment was 22.4 hours (95% CI, 7.1-37.7) longer with the ESC care approach vs usual care (75.4 vs 53.0 hours, respectively; P = .002). No significant difference in mean peak opioid dose was observed between groups (ESC care approach, 0.147 MME/kg, vs usual care, 0.126 MME/kg). The mean length of treatment was 6.3 days shorter (95% CI, 3.0-9.6) in the ESC care approach group vs usual care group (11.8 vs 18.1 days, respectively; P < .001), and mean LOS was 6.2 days shorter (95% CI, 3.0-9.4) with the ESC care approach than with usual care (16.7 vs 22.9 days, respectively; P < .001). CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: When compared with usual care, the ESC care approach was associated with less opioid exposure and shorter LOS for infants pharmacologically treated for NOWS. The ESC care approach was not associated with a higher peak opioid dose, although pharmacologic treatment was typically initiated later. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04057820. |
Plasma per- and polyfluoroalkyl substance mixtures during pregnancy and duration of breastfeeding in the New Hampshire birth cohort study
Romano ME , Gallagher LG , Price G , Crawford KA , Criswell R , Baker E , Botelho JC , Calafat AM , Karagas MR . Int J Hyg Environ Health 2024 258 114359 BACKGROUND: Prior studies suggest that prenatal per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) exposures are associated with shorter breastfeeding duration. Studies assessing PFAS mixtures and populations in North America are sparse. METHODS: We quantified PFAS concentrations in maternal plasma collected during pregnancy in the New Hampshire Birth Cohort Study (2010-2017). Participants completed standardized breastfeeding surveys at regular intervals until weaning (n = 813). We estimated associations between mixtures of 5 PFAS and risk of stopping exclusive breastfeeding before 6 months or any breastfeeding before 12 months using probit Bayesian kernel machine regression. For individual PFAS, we calculated the relative risk and hazard ratio (HR) of stopping breastfeeding using modified Poisson regression and accelerated failure time models respectively. RESULTS: PFAS mixtures were associated with stopping exclusive breastfeeding before 6 months, primarily driven by perfluorooctanoate (PFOA). We observed statistically significant trends in the association of perfluorohexane sulfonate (PFHxS), PFOA, and perfluorononanoate (PFNA) (p-trends≤0.02) with stopping exclusive breastfeeding. Participants in the highest PFOA quartile had a 28% higher risk of stopping exclusive breastfeeding before 6 months compared to those in the lowest quartile (95% Confidence Interval: 1.04, 1.56). Similar trends were observed for PFHxS and PFNA with exclusive breastfeeding (p-trends≤0.05). PFAS were not associated with stopping any breastfeeding before 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort, we observed that participants with greater overall plasma PFAS concentrations had greater risk of stopping exclusive breastfeeding before 6 months and associations were driven largely by PFOA. These findings further support the growing literature indicating that PFAS may be associated with shorter duration of breastfeeding. |
Analysis of the Federal Section 317 Immunization Program and routine adult immunization activities, United States, 2022-2023
Granade CJ , Crawford NE , Banks M , Graitcer S . Public Health Rep 2024 333549241236085 OBJECTIVES: The federal Section 317 Immunization Program, administered by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), provides funding to support adult immunization efforts; however, current information on program implementation at the jurisdictional level is limited. We assessed the use of Section 317 and other funding sources to support routine adult immunization activities among the 64 immunization programs ("awardees"). METHODS: We conducted a survey and key informant interviews with awardees in October to December 2022 to collect quantitative and qualitative data on current adult vaccine purchase and program operation activities funded by Section 317 and other funding sources. We assessed total vaccine cost and data on vaccine purchase projections for each awardee with CDC's Cost and Affordability Tool for 2023. RESULTS: Immunization program managers or their designees from 62 of 64 awardees (97%) completed the survey; 12 awardees participated in key informant interviews. Of 62 awardees, 32 (52%) used a single funding source to support adult vaccine purchases, of which 29 (91%) used only Section 317 funds, 21 (34%) reported not planning to purchase ≥1 age-based recommended vaccine for adults in 2023, and 33 (53%) reported using Section 317 funds only to support adult immunization program operations. Key informant interviews showed varied operational activities among awardees, but 8 awardees stated the need for additional staff to expand adult immunization program services in health care provider education (n = 5), program administration (n = 5), and site visits (n = 6). CONCLUSIONS: Additional efforts are needed to understand how to better support routine adult immunization activities implemented at the jurisdictional level. |
Enterobacterales draft genome sequences: 15 historical (1998-2004) and 30 contemporary (2015-2016) clinical isolates from Pakistan
Crawford MA , Lascols C , Lomonaco S , Timme RE , Fisher DJ , Anderson K , Hodge DR , Morse SA , Pillai SP , Sharma SK , Khan E , Allard MW , Hughes MA . Microbiol Resour Announc 2023 12 (9) e0016323 The continued emergence and spread of antimicrobial resistance among pathogenic bacteria are ever-growing threats to health and economy. Here, we report the draft genomes for 45 Enterobacterales clinical isolates, including historical and contemporary drug-resistant organisms, obtained in Pakistan between 1998 and 2016: 5 Serratia, 3 Salmonella, 3 Enterobacter, and 34 Klebsiella. |
Predicting daily COVID-19 case rates from SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations across a diversity of wastewater catchments (preprint)
Zulli A , Pan A , Bart SM , Crawford FW , Kaplan EH , Cartter M , Ko AI , Cozens D , Sanchez M , Brackney DE , Peccia J . medRxiv 2021 2021.04.27.21256140 We assessed the relationship between municipality COVID-19 case rates and SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in the primary sludge of corresponding wastewater treatment facilities. Over 1,000 daily primary sludge samples were collected from six wastewater treatment facilities with catchments serving 18 cities and towns in the State of Connecticut, USA. Samples were analyzed for SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations during a six-month time period that overlapped with fall 2020 and winter 2021 COVID-19 outbreaks in each municipality. We fit a single regression model to estimate reported case rates in the six municipalities from SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations collected daily from corresponding wastewater treatment facilities. Results demonstrate the ability of SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations in primary sludge to estimate COVID-19 reported case rates across treatment facilities and wastewater catchments, with coverage probabilities ranging from 0.94 to 0.96. Leave-one-out cross validation suggests that the model can be broadly applied to wastewater catchments that range in more than one order of magnitude in population served. Estimation of case rates from wastewater data can be useful in locations with limited testing availability or testing disparities, or delays in individual COVID-19 testing programs.Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.Clinical TrialThis work did not result from a clinical trial. It is a comparison of wastewater concentrations with COVID-19 cases. The COVID-19 cases were obtained from publically available data. No human subjects were involved and all data is de-identified before being publically reported.Funding StatementThis project was supported by Cooperative Agreement no. 6NU50CK000524-01 from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention using funds from the COVID-19 Paycheck Protection Program and Health Care Enhancement Act Response Activities. This activity was reviewed by CDC and was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy. See e.g., 45 C.F.R. part 46.102(l)(2), 21 C.F.R. part 56; 42 U.S.C. 241(d); 5 U.S.C. 552a; 44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq. The findings and conclusions of this report are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:No IRB is required. The study used publically available COVID-19 cased data. All data is de-identified.All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesCOVID-19 case rate data was obtained from the CT department of health. Plots containing the case rate data and SARS-CoV-2 wastewater concentrations are available at: https://yalecovidwastewater.com/https://yalecovidwastewater.com/ |
Serological and metagenomic interrogation of cerebrospinal fluid implicates enteroviruses in pediatric acute flaccid myelitis (preprint)
Schubert RD , Hawes IA , Ramachandran PS , Ramesh A , Crawford ED , Pak JE , Wu W , Cheung CK , O'Donovan BD , Tato CM , Lyden A , Tan M , Sit R , Sowa GA , Sample HA , Zorn KC , Banerji D , Khan LM , Bove R , Hauser SL , Gelfand AA , Johnson-Kerner BL , Nash K , Krishnamoorthy KS , Chitnis T , Ding JZ , McMillan HJ , Chiu CY , Briggs B , Glaser CA , Yen C , Chu V , Wadford DA , Dominguez SR , Ng TFF , Marine RL , Lopez AS , Nix WA , Soldatos A , Gorman MP , Benson L , Messacar K , Konopka-Anstadt JL , Oberste MS , DeRisi JL , Wilson MR . bioRxiv 2019 666230 Background Since 2014, the United States has experienced a biennial spike in pediatric acute flaccid myelitis (AFM). Epidemiologic evidence suggests non-polio enteroviruses (EVs) are a potential etiology, yet EV RNA is rarely detected in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and only inconsistently identified from the respiratory tract, serum, or stool.Methods We interrogated CSF from children with AFM (n=42) and pediatric controls with other neurologic diseases (OND) (n=58). Samples were incubated with T7 bacteriophage expressing 481,966 sixty-two amino acid peptides with a fourteen amino acid overlap tiled across all known vertebrate virus and arbovirus genomes, an adaption of the VirScan method. Antibody-bound phage were deep sequenced to quantify enriched peptides with normalized counts expressed as reads per hundred thousand (rpK). EV antibody findings were confirmed with ELISA using whole viral protein 1 (VP1) from contemporary enterovirus (EV) A71 and D68 strains. Separately, metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS) of CSF RNA, both unbiased and with targeted enrichment for EVs, was performed.Results The most significantly enriched viral family by VirScan of CSF in AFM versus OND controls was Picornaviridae (mean rpK 11,266 versus mean rpK 950, p-adjusted < 0.001, Wilcoxon signed-rank test with Bonferroni adjustment). Enriched Picornaviridae peptides belonged almost entirely to the genus Enterovirus. The mean EV VP1 ELISA signal in AFM (mean OD 0.51) was significantly higher than OND controls (mean OD 0.08, p-value < 0.001, Mann-Whitney test). mNGS did not detect additional enterovirus RNA in CSF.Conclusion Despite the rare detection of EV RNA in the CNS of patients with AFM, a pan-viral serologic assay identified high levels of CSF EV antibodies in AFM CSF compared to CSF from OND controls. These results provide further evidence for a causal role of non-polio enteroviruses in AFM. |
A Collaborative Multi-Model Ensemble for Real-Time Influenza Season Forecasting in the U.S (preprint)
Reich NG , McGowan CJ , Yamana TK , Tushar A , Ray EL , Osthus D , Kandula S , Brooks LC , Crawford-Crudell W , Gibson GC , Moore E , Silva R , Biggerstaff M , Johansson MA , Rosenfeld R , Shaman J . bioRxiv 2019 566604 Seasonal influenza results in substantial annual morbidity and mortality in the United States and worldwide. Accurate forecasts of key features of influenza epidemics, such as the timing and severity of the peak incidence in a given season, can inform public health response to outbreaks. As part of ongoing efforts to incorporate data and advanced analytical methods into public health decision-making, the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has organized seasonal influenza forecasting challenges since the 2013/2014 season. In the 2017/2018 season, 22 teams participated. A subset of four teams created a research consortium called the FluSight Network in early 2017. During the 2017/2018 season they worked together to produce a collaborative multi-model ensemble that combined 21 separate component models into a single model using a machine learning technique called stacking. This approach creates a weighted average of predictive densities where the weight for each component is based on that component’s forecast accuracy in past seasons. In the 2017/2018 influenza season, one of the largest seasonal outbreaks in the last 15 years, this multi-model ensemble performed better on average than all individual component models and placed second overall in the CDC challenge. It also outperformed the baseline multi-model ensemble created by the CDC that took a simple average of all models submitted to the forecasting challenge. This project shows that collaborative efforts between research teams to develop ensemble forecasting approaches can bring measurable improvements in forecast accuracy and important reductions in the variability of performance from year to year. Efforts such as this, that emphasize real-time testing and evaluation of forecasting models and facilitate the close collaboration between public health officials and modeling researchers, are essential to improving our understanding of how best to use forecasts to improve public health response to seasonal and emerging epidemic threats. |
Climate and urbanization drive mosquito preference for humans (preprint)
Rose NH , Sylla M , Badolo A , Lutomiah J , Ayala D , Aribodor OB , Ibe N , Akorli J , Otoo S , Mutebi JP , Kriete AL , Ewing EG , Sang R , Gloria-Soria A , Powell JR , Baker RE , White BJ , Crawford JE , McBride CS . bioRxiv 2020 2020.02.12.939041 The majority of mosquito-borne illness is spread by a few mosquito species that have evolved to specialize in biting humans, yet the precise causes of this behavioral shift are poorly understood. We address this gap in the arboviral vector Aedes aegypti. We first characterize the behaviour of mosquitoes from 27 sites scattered across the species’ ancestral range in sub-Saharan Africa, revealing previously unrecognized diversity in female preference for human versus animal odor. We then use modelling to show that this diversity can be almost fully predicted by two ecological factors – dry season intensity and human population density. Finally we integrate this information with whole genome sequence data from 345 individual mosquitoes to identify a single underlying ancestry component linked to human preference, with genetic changes concentrated in a few key chromosomal regions. Our findings strongly suggest that human-biting in this important disease vector originally evolved as a by-product of breeding in human-stored water in areas where doing so provided the only means to survive the long, hot dry season. Our model also predicts that changes in human population density are likely to drive future mosquito evolution. Rapid urbanization may drive a shift to human-biting in many cities across Africa by 2050. |
Impact of close interpersonal contact on COVID-19 incidence: evidence from one year of mobile device data (preprint)
Crawford FW , Jones SA , Cartter M , Dean SG , Warren JL , Li ZR , Barbieri J , Campbell J , Kenney P , Valleau T , Morozova O . medRxiv 2021 Close contact between people is the primary route for transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We sought to quantify interpersonal contact at the population-level by using anonymized mobile device geolocation data. We computed the frequency of contact (within six feet) between people in Connecticut during February 2020 - January 2021. Then we aggregated counts of contact events by area of residence to obtain an estimate of the total intensity of interpersonal contact experienced by residents of each town for each day. When incorporated into a susceptible-exposed-infective-removed (SEIR) model of COVID-19 transmission, the contact rate accurately predicted COVID-19 cases in Connecticut towns during the timespan. The pattern of contact rate in Connecticut explains the large initial wave of infections during March-April, the subsequent drop in cases during June-August, local outbreaks during August-September, broad statewide resurgence during September-December, and decline in January 2021. Contact rate data can help guide public health messaging campaigns to encourage social distancing and in the allocation of testing resources to detect or prevent emerging local outbreaks more quickly than traditional case investigation. ONE SENTENCE SUMMARY: Close interpersonal contact measured using mobile device location data explains dynamics of COVID-19 transmission in Connecticut during the first year of the pandemic. |
Distinct origins and transmission pathways of bla(KPC) enterobacterales across three U.S. States
Lapp Z , Octaria R , O'Malley SM , Nguyen TN , Wolford H , Crawford R , Moore C , Snippes Vagnone P , Noel D , Duffy N , Pirani A , Thomas LS , Pattee B , Pearson C , Bulens SN , Hoffman S , Kainer M , Anacker M , Meek J , See I , Gontjes KJ , Chan A , Lynfield R , Maloney M , Hayden MK , Snitkin E , Slayton RB . J Clin Microbiol 2023 61 (8) e0025923 Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) are among the most concerning antibiotic resistance threats due to high rates of multidrug resistance, transmissibility in health care settings, and high mortality rates. We evaluated the potential for regional genomic surveillance to track the spread of bla(KPC)-carrying CRE (KPC-CRE) by using isolate collections from health care facilities in three U.S. states. Clinical isolates were collected from Connecticut (2017 to 2018), Minnesota (2012 to 2018), and Tennessee (2016 to 2017) through the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Multi-site Gram-negative Surveillance Initiative (MuGSI) and additional surveillance. KPC-CRE isolates were whole-genome sequenced, yielding 255 isolates from 214 patients across 96 facilities. Case report data on patient comorbidities, facility exposures, and interfacility patient transfer were extracted. We observed that in Connecticut, most KPC-CRE isolates showed evidence of importation from outside the state, with limited local transmission. In Minnesota, cases were mainly from sporadic importation and transmission of bla(KPC)-carrying Klebsiella pneumoniae ST258, and clonal expansion of bla(KPC)-carrying Enterobacter hormaechei ST171, primarily at a single focal facility and its satellite facilities. In Tennessee, we observed transmission of diverse strains of bla(KPC)-carrying Enterobacter and Klesbiella, with evidence that most derived from the local acquisition of bla(KPC) plasmids circulating in an interconnected regional health care network. Thus, the underlying processes driving KPC-CRE burden can differ substantially across regions and can be discerned through regional genomic surveillance. This study provides proof of concept that integrating genomic data with information on interfacility patient transfers can provide insights into locations and drivers of regional KPC-CRE burden that can enable targeted interventions. |
Investigation of multidrug-resistant plasmids from carbapenemase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae clinical isolates from Pakistan
Lascols C , Cherney B , Conley AB , Rishishwar L , Crawford MA , Morse SA , Fisher DJ , Anderson K , Hodge DR , Pillai SP , Hughes MA , Khan E , Sue D . Front Microbiol 2023 14 1192097 OBJECTIVES: The study aim was to investigate multidrug-resistant (MDR) plasmids from a collection of 10 carbapenemase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae clinical isolates identified within the same healthcare institution in Pakistan. Full characterization of the MDR plasmids including structure, typing characteristics, and AMR content as well as determination of their plasmid-based antimicrobial susceptibility profiles were carried out. METHODS: Plasmids were isolated from 10 clinical isolates of Klebsiella pneumoniae, and from a corresponding set of Escherichia coli transconjugants, then sequenced using Nanopore/Illumina technology to generate plasmid hybrid assemblies. Full characterization of MDR plasmids, including determination of next generation sequencing (NGS)-based AMR profiles, plasmid incompatibility groups, and types, was carried out. The structure of MDR plasmids was analyzed using the Galileo AMR platform. For E. coli transconjugants, the NGS-based AMR profiles were compared to NGS-predicted AMR phenotypes and conventional broth microdilution (BMD) antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) results. RESULTS: All carbapenemase-producing K. pneumoniae isolates (carrying either bla(NDM-1), or/and bla(OXA-48)) carried multiple AMR plasmids encoding 34 antimicrobial resistance genes (ARGs) conferring resistance to antimicrobials from 6 different classes. The plasmid incompatibility groups and types identified were: IncC (types 1 and 3), IncFIA (type 26) IncFIB, IncFII (types K1, K2, K7, and K9), IncHI1B, and IncL. None of the bla(NDM-1) and bla(ESBL)-plasmids identified in this study were previously described. Most bla(NDM-1-)plasmids shared identical AMR regions suggesting potential genetic material/plasmid exchange between K. pneumoniae isolates of this collection. The majority of NGS-based AMR profiles from the E. coli transconjugants correlated well with both NGS-based predicted and conventional AST results. CONCLUSION: This study highlights the complexity and diversity of the plasmid-based genetic background of carbapenemase-producing clinical isolates from Pakistan. This study emphasizes the need for characterization of MDR plasmids to determine their complete molecular background and monitor AMR through plasmid transmission between multi-resistant bacterial pathogens. |
Excess risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection among in-person nonhealthcare workers in six states, September 2020-June 2021
Groenewold MR , Billock R , Free H , Burrer SL , Sweeney MH , Wong J , Lavender A , Argueta G , Crawford HL , Erukunuakpor K , Karlsson ND , Armenti K , Thomas H , Gaetz K , Dang G , Harduar-Morano L , Modji K , Luckhaupt SE . Am J Ind Med 2023 66 (7) 587-600 BACKGROUND: While the occupational risk of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection for healthcare personnel in the United States has been relatively well characterized, less information is available on the occupational risk for workers employed in other settings. Even fewer studies have attempted to compare risks across occupations and industries. Using differential proportionate distribution as an approximation, we evaluated excess risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection by occupation and industry among non-healthcare workers in six states. METHODS: We analyzed data on occupation and industry of employment from a six-state callback survey of adult non-healthcare workers with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection and population-based reference data on employment patterns, adjusted for the effect of telework, from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. We estimated the differential proportionate distribution of SARS-CoV-2 infection by occupation and industry using the proportionate morbidity ratio (PMR). RESULTS: Among a sample of 1111 workers with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, significantly higher-than-expected proportions of workers were employed in service occupations (PMR 1.3, 99% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-1.5) and in the transportation and utilities (PMR 1.4, 99% CI 1.1-1.8) and leisure and hospitality industries (PMR 1.5, 99% CI 1.2-1.9). CONCLUSIONS: We found evidence of significant differences in the proportionate distribution of SARS-CoV-2 infection by occupation and industry among respondents in a multistate, population-based survey, highlighting the excess risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection borne by some worker populations, particularly those whose jobs require frequent or prolonged close contact with other people. |
Predicting daily COVID-19 case rates from SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations across a diversity of wastewater catchments
Zulli A , Pan A , Bart SM , Crawford FW , Kaplan EH , Cartter M , Ko AI , Sanchez M , Brown C , Cozens D , Brackney DE , Peccia J . FEMS Microbes 2021 2 xtab022 We assessed the relationship between municipality COVID-19 case rates and SARS-CoV-2 concentrations in the primary sludge of corresponding wastewater treatment facilities. Over 1700 daily primary sludge samples were collected from six wastewater treatment facilities with catchments serving 18 cities and towns in the State of Connecticut, USA. Samples were analyzed for SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations during a 10 month time period that overlapped with October 2020 and winter/spring 2021 COVID-19 outbreaks in each municipality. We fit lagged regression models to estimate reported case rates in the six municipalities from SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations collected daily from corresponding wastewater treatment facilities. Results demonstrate the ability of SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations in primary sludge to estimate COVID-19 reported case rates across treatment facilities and wastewater catchments, with coverage probabilities ranging from 0.94 to 0.96. Lags of 0 to 1 days resulted in the greatest predictive power for the model. Leave-one-out cross validation suggests that the model can be broadly applied to wastewater catchments that range in more than one order of magnitude in population served. The close relationship between case rates and SARS-CoV-2 concentrations demonstrates the utility of using primary sludge samples for monitoring COVID-19 outbreak dynamics. Estimating case rates from wastewater data can be useful in locations with limited testing availability, testing disparities, or delays in individual COVID-19 testing programs. |
Care trajectories for patients utilizing electronic visits for COVID-like symptoms in a large healthcare delivery system: May 2020-December 2021
Groom HC , Crawford P , Azziz-Baumgartner E , Henninger ML , Smith N , Salas B , Donald J , Naleway AL . J Telemed Telecare 2023 1357633x231162874 BACKGROUND: There is limited information about how on-line screening tools developed by integrated systems facilitated management of COVID-like illness patients. METHODS: Using the Kaiser Permanente Northwest (KPNW) Electronic Health Record, we identified adult plan members who accessed online COVID-19 screening e-visits and enumerated their subsequent medical encounters, tests for SARS-CoV-2, and test outcomes. RESULTS: Between May 2020 and December 2021, members completed 55,139 e-visits, with disproportionate representation among females (65% vs. 53% in the overall membership) and members aged <45 years (61% vs. 39%). Thirty percent of patients (16,953) were managed entirely through e-visits and 70% received subsequent in-person care. The percent of SARS-CoV-2 positive individuals was highest among the 1055 individuals triaged to inpatient care (17.9%), compared to 9.5% among those escalated to additional ambulatory care. CONCLUSIONS: The e-visit on-line screening tool helped KPNW assist thousands of patients with COVID-19 symptoms, avoid unnecessary in-person patient encounters, and preserved KPNW infection control and pandemic surge capacity. |
Comparing open-ended question methods to vignette methods to explore willingness to obtain pre-exposure prophylaxis access in pharmacies among black men who have sex with men
Josma D , Morris J , Hopkins R , Quamina A , Siegler AJ , Holland D , SSullivan P , Harrington KRV , Alohan DI , Crawford ND . AIDS Care 2023 1-8 Black men who have sex with men (BMSM) are at higher risk of HIV transmission than any other group; however, their uptake of the highly effective HIV prevention medication, pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP), is low. In collaboration with a communitybased organization in Atlanta, Georgia, we explored ten HIV-negative BMSM's willingness to obtain PrEP in pharmacies using standard open-ended and vignette qualitative methods. Three overarching themes were identified: privacy, patient-pharmacist interactions, and HIV/STI screening. While open-ended questions allowed participants to provide broad answers on their willingness to receive prevention services at a pharmacy, the vignette drew out specific responses to facilitate in-pharmacy PrEP delivery. Using both openended questions and vignette data collection strategies, BMSM reported high willingness to screen for and uptake PrEP in pharmacies. However, the vignette method allowed for greater depth. Open-ended questions elicited responses that highlighted general barriers and facilitators of PrEP dispensing in pharmacies. However, the vignette allowed participants to customize a plan of action that would best fit their needs. Vignette methods are underutilized in HIV research and may be helpful in supplementing standard open-ended interview questions to uncovering unknown challenges about health behaviors and obtain more robust data on highly sensitive research topics in HIV research. |
Appliances used by consumers to prepare frozen stuffed chicken products - United States, May-July 2022
Marshall KE , Canning M , Ablan M , Crawford TN , Robyn M . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2022 71 (48) 1511-1516 Frozen stuffed breaded raw chicken products have repeatedly been implicated in Salmonella outbreaks (1). These products are partially cooked to set the breading, often making them appear cooked (2). Despite their appearance, these products need to be cooked to an internal temperature of 165F (74C) to ensure that they are safe to eat. Producers began implementing labeling changes in 2006 to more clearly identify these products as raw; many warn against using microwave ovens (microwaves) to prepare them and provide validated cooking instructions solely for conventional ovens (ovens) (3,4). However, outbreaks continued to occur after implementation of these labeling changes (4). To describe the demographic characteristics of persons who prepare frozen stuffed chicken products and which appliances they use to prepare them, data from a May-July 2022 representative panel survey were analyzed. Although most (82.7%) respondents used an oven as one of their cooking methods, more than one half (54.0%) of respondents also used another appliance, including 29.0% who used a microwave. Oven use was lower among respondents with household income <$25,000 (68.9%), and who lived in mobile homes or other portable types of homes (66.5%). Among respondents who reported using microwaves to cook these products, 8% reported using a microwave with 750 W of power, which might be insufficient to thoroughly cook such products (1,5,6). Economic and other factors might influence some groups' access to recommended cooking appliances. Companies could consider implementing additional interventions that rely less on labeling and consumer preparation practices and focus on controlling or reducing levels of Salmonella in these products, such as selling them fully cooked, or monitoring and testing Salmonella levels, to ensure safety. These findings highlight challenges consumers might face in preparing frozen stuffed chicken products safely and can guide strategies for regulatory authorities and industry to prevent outbreaks and illnesses associated with them. |
Understanding thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome after COVID-19 vaccination.
Buoninfante A , Andeweg A , Baker AT , Borad M , Crawford N , Dogné JM , Garcia-Azorin D , Greinacher A , Helfand R , Hviid A , Kochanek S , López-Fauqued M , Nazy I , Padmanabhan A , Pavord S , Prieto-Alhambra D , Tran H , Wandel Liminga U , Cavaleri M . NPJ Vaccines 2022 7 (1) 141 Safety and efficacy of vaccines against the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus has been demonstrated in clinical trials and next by their real world use through the course of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. However, very rare adverse events have been detected post-authorization in certain parts of the world. This meeting report summarizes an EMA workshop's discussion on the epidemiology, clinical presentation and biology of thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome after adenovirus vector COVID-19 vaccination. General agreement was reached by international regulators, scientists and developers on the steps needed to fill the gaps in the characterization of this new syndrome. In particular, actions should be taken to improve the post-vaccination surveillance activities in low and middle income countries and investigate potential genetic predisposition factors. |
Prevalence of individual brain and eye defects potentially related to Zika virus in pregnancy in 22U.S. states and territories, January 2016 to June 2017
Delaney A , Olson SM , Roth NM , Cragan JD , Godfred-Cato S , Smoots AN , Fornoff J , Nestoridi E , Eckert V , Forkner A , Stolz A , Crawford K , Cho SJ , Elmore A , Langlois P , Nance A , Denson L , Forestieri N , Leedom VO , Tran T , Valencia-Prado M , Romitti P , Barton JE , St John K , Mann S , Orantes L , DeWilde L , Tong VT , Gilboa SM , Moore CA , Honein MA . Birth Defects Res 2022 114 (14) 805-811 During the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Zika Virus Response, birth defects surveillance programs adapted to monitor birth defects potentially related to Zika virus (ZIKV) infection during pregnancy. Pregnancy outcomes occurring during January 2016 to June 2017 in 22 U.S. states and territories were used to estimate the prevalence of those brain and eye defects potentially related to ZIKV. Jurisdictions were divided into three groups: areas with widespread ZIKV transmission, areas with limited local ZIKV transmission, and areas without local ZIKV transmission. Prevalence estimates for selected brain and eye defects and microcephaly per 10,000 live births were estimated. Prevalence ratios (PRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Poisson regression for areas with widespread and limited ZIKV transmission compared with areas without local ZIKV transmission. Defects with significantly higher prevalence in areas of widespread transmission were pooled, and PRs were calculated by quarter, comparing subsequent quarters to the first quarter (January-March 2016). Nine defects had significantly higher prevalence in areas of widespread transmission. The highest PRs were seen in intracranial calcifications (PR = 12.6, 95% CI [7.4, 21.3]), chorioretinal abnormalities (12.5 [7.1, 22.3]), brainstem abnormalities (9.3 [4.7, 18.4]), and cerebral/cortical atrophy (6.7 [4.2, 10.8]). The PR of the nine pooled defects was significantly higher in three quarters in areas with widespread transmission. The largest difference in prevalence was observed for defects consistently reported in infants with congenital ZIKV infection. Birth defects surveillance programs could consider monitoring a subset of birth defects potentially related to ZIKV in pregnancy. |
Reported exposures among in-person workers with SARS-CoV-2 infection in 6 states, September 2020-June 2021.
Free H , Luckhaupt SE , Billock RM , Groenewold MR , Burrer S , Sweeney MH , Wong J , Gibb K , Rodriguez A , Vergara X , Cummings K , Lavender A , Argueta G , Crawford HL , Erukunuapor K , Karlsson ND , Armenti K , Thomas H , Gaetz K , Dang G , Harduar-Morano L , Modji K . Clin Infect Dis 2022 75 S216-S224 BACKGROUND: Surveillance systems lack detailed occupational exposure information from workers with SARS-CoV-2 infection. The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health partnered with six states to collect information from adults diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection (either COVID-19 or asymptomatic infection) who worked in person (outside the home) in non-healthcare settings during the two weeks prior to illness onset. METHODS: The survey captured demographic, medical, occupational characteristics, and work- and non-work-related risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Reported close contact with a person known or suspected to have COVID-19 was categorized by setting as: exposure at work, exposure outside of work only, or no known exposure/didn't know if they had exposures. Frequencies and percentages of exposure types are compared by respondent characteristics and risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection. RESULTS: Of 1,111 qualified respondents, 19.4% reported exposure at work, 23.4% reported exposure outside of work only, and 57.2% reported no known exposure/didn't know if they had exposures. Workers in protective service occupations (48.8%) and public administration industries (35.6%) reported exposure at work most often. Over a third (33.7%) of respondents who experienced close contact with ≥10 coworkers per day and 28.8% of respondents who experienced close contact with ≥10 customers/clients per day reported exposures at work. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to SARS-CoV-2 at work was common among respondents. Examining differences in exposures among different groups of workers can help identify populations with the greatest need for prevention interventions. The benefits of recording employment characteristics as standard demographic information will remain relevant as new and reemerging public health issues occur. |
Global, regional, and national disease burden estimates of acute lower respiratory infections due to respiratory syncytial virus in children younger than 5 years in 2019: a systematic analysis
Li Y , Wang X , Blau DM , Caballero MT , Feikin DR , Gill CJ , Madhi SA , Omer SB , Simões EAF , Campbell H , Pariente AB , Bardach D , Bassat Q , Casalegno JS , Chakhunashvili G , Crawford N , Danilenko D , Do LAH , Echavarria M , Gentile A , Gordon A , Heikkinen T , Huang QS , Jullien S , Krishnan A , Lopez EL , Markić J , Mira-Iglesias A , Moore HC , Moyes J , Mwananyanda L , Nokes DJ , Noordeen F , Obodai E , Palani N , Romero C , Salimi V , Satav A , Seo E , Shchomak Z , Singleton R , Stolyarov K , Stoszek SK , von Gottberg A , Wurzel D , Yoshida LM , Yung CF , Zar HJ , Nair H . Lancet 2022 399 (10340) 2047-2064 BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the most common cause of acute lower respiratory infection in young children. We previously estimated that in 2015, 33·1 million episodes of RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection occurred in children aged 0-60 months, resulting in a total of 118 200 deaths worldwide. Since then, several community surveillance studies have been done to obtain a more precise estimation of RSV associated community deaths. We aimed to update RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection morbidity and mortality at global, regional, and national levels in children aged 0-60 months for 2019, with focus on overall mortality and narrower infant age groups that are targeted by RSV prophylactics in development. METHODS: In this systematic analysis, we expanded our global RSV disease burden dataset by obtaining new data from an updated search for papers published between Jan 1, 2017, and Dec 31, 2020, from MEDLINE, Embase, Global Health, CINAHL, Web of Science, LILACS, OpenGrey, CNKI, Wanfang, and ChongqingVIP. We also included unpublished data from RSV GEN collaborators. Eligible studies reported data for children aged 0-60 months with RSV as primary infection with acute lower respiratory infection in community settings, or acute lower respiratory infection necessitating hospital admission; reported data for at least 12 consecutive months, except for in-hospital case fatality ratio (CFR) or for where RSV seasonality is well-defined; and reported incidence rate, hospital admission rate, RSV positive proportion in acute lower respiratory infection hospital admission, or in-hospital CFR. Studies were excluded if case definition was not clearly defined or not consistently applied, RSV infection was not laboratory confirmed or based on serology alone, or if the report included fewer than 50 cases of acute lower respiratory infection. We applied a generalised linear mixed-effects model (GLMM) to estimate RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection incidence, hospital admission, and in-hospital mortality both globally and regionally (by country development status and by World Bank Income Classification) in 2019. We estimated country-level RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection incidence through a risk-factor based model. We developed new models (through GLMM) that incorporated the latest RSV community mortality data for estimating overall RSV mortality. This review was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42021252400). FINDINGS: In addition to 317 studies included in our previous review, we identified and included 113 new eligible studies and unpublished data from 51 studies, for a total of 481 studies. We estimated that globally in 2019, there were 33·0 million RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection episodes (uncertainty range [UR] 25·4-44·6 million), 3·6 million RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection hospital admissions (2·9-4·6 million), 26 300 RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection in-hospital deaths (15 100-49 100), and 101 400 RSV-attributable overall deaths (84 500-125 200) in children aged 0-60 months. In infants aged 0-6 months, we estimated that there were 6·6 million RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection episodes (4·6-9·7 million), 1·4 million RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection hospital admissions (1·0-2·0 million), 13 300 RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection in-hospital deaths (6800-28 100), and 45 700 RSV-attributable overall deaths (38 400-55 900). 2·0% of deaths in children aged 0-60 months (UR 1·6-2·4) and 3·6% of deaths in children aged 28 days to 6 months (3·0-4·4) were attributable to RSV. More than 95% of RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection episodes and more than 97% of RSV-attributable deaths across all age bands were in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). INTERPRETATION: RSV contributes substantially to morbidity and mortality burden globally in children aged 0-60 months, especially during the first 6 months of life and in LMICs. We highlight the striking overall mortality burden of RSV disease worldwide, with one in every 50 deaths in children aged 0-60 months and one in every 28 deaths in children aged 28 days to 6 months attributable to RSV. For every RSV-associated acute lower respiratory infection in-hospital death, we estimate approximately three more deaths attributable to RSV in the community. RSV passive immunisation programmes targeting protection during the first 6 months of life could have a substantial effect on reducing RSV disease burden, although more data are needed to understand the implications of the potential age-shifts in peak RSV burden to older age when these are implemented. FUNDING: EU Innovative Medicines Initiative Respiratory Syncytial Virus Consortium in Europe (RESCEU). |
Examining the Multilevel Barriers to Pharmacy-Based HIV Prevention and Treatment Services.
Crawford ND , Lewis C , Moore R , Pietradoni G , Weidle P . Sex Transm Dis 2022 49 S22-S25 Widespread acknowledgment of the potential for pharmacies to act as pivotal ancillary health care resource sites was realized during the COVID-19 pandemic. Unprecedented effort including swift collaboration and coordination across multiple federal, local, and private sectors was required to provide COVID-19 testing and vaccinations to the entire US population.1 To increase access of those vulnerable and historically most often excluded from access to the nation's health care system (e.g., rural, socioeconomically disadvantaged, racial/ethnic minority), pharmacies across the United States answered the call to action. Pharmacies have shown significant promise in their ability to help tackle other infectious diseases, including HIV and sexually transmitted infections (STIs).2–4 Pharmacists can contribute to reduction of HIV risk behaviors among populations who engage in high-risk sex and drug using behaviors,5–8 provide HIV and STI testing,9–13 and enhance HIV and STI treatment and preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) or postexposure prophylaxis services.4,14–18 Although the COVID-19 pandemic differs vastly from the HIV pandemic, each disproportionately affects poor and racial minority populations. For this reason, we maintain that many of the same pharmacy-based strategies used in the COVID-19 pandemic that have increased accessibility and normalized services are needed for the HIV pandemic.2 |
Rates of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-associated hospitalization among adults with congestive heart failure-United States, 2015-2017
Kujawski SA , Whitaker M , Ritchey MD , Reingold AL , Chai SJ , Anderson EJ , Openo KP , Monroe M , Ryan P , Bye E , Como-Sabetti K , Barney GR , Muse A , Bennett NM , Felsen CB , Thomas A , Crawford C , Talbot HK , Schaffner W , Gerber SI , Langley GE , Kim L . PLoS One 2022 17 (3) e0264890 BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) can cause severe disease in adults with cardiopulmonary conditions, such as congestive heart failure (CHF). We quantified the rate of RSV-associated hospitalization in adults by CHF status using population-based surveillance in the United States. METHODS: Population-based surveillance for RSV (RSV-NET) was performed in 35 counties in seven sites during two respiratory seasons (2015-2017) from October 1-April 30. Adults (≥18 years) admitted to a hospital within the surveillance catchment area with laboratory-confirmed RSV identified by clinician-directed testing were included. Presence of underlying CHF was determined by medical chart abstraction. We calculated overall and age-stratified (<65 years and ≥65 years) RSV-associated hospitalization rates by CHF status. Estimates were adjusted for age and the under-detection of RSV. We also report rate differences (RD) and rate ratios (RR) by comparing the rates for those with and without CHF. RESULTS: 2042 hospitalized RSV cases with CHF status recorded were identified. Most (60.2%, n = 1230) were ≥65 years, and 28.3% (n = 577) had CHF. The adjusted RSV hospitalization rate was 26.7 (95% CI: 22.2, 31.8) per 10,000 population in adults with CHF versus 3.3 (95% CI: 3.3, 3.3) per 10,000 in adults without CHF (RR: 8.1, 95% CI: 6.8, 9.7; RD: 23.4, 95% CI: 18.9, 28.5). Adults with CHF had higher rates of RSV-associated hospitalization in both age groups (<65 years and ≥65 years). Adults ≥65 years with CHF had the highest rate (40.5 per 10,000 population, 95% CI: 35.1, 46.6). CONCLUSIONS: Adults with CHF had 8 times the rate of RSV-associated hospitalization compared with adults without CHF. Identifying high-risk populations for RSV infection can inform future RSV vaccination policies and recommendations. |
Impact of close interpersonal contact on COVID-19 incidence: Evidence from 1 year of mobile device data.
Crawford FW , Jones SA , Cartter M , Dean SG , Warren JL , Li ZR , Barbieri J , Campbell J , Kenney P , Valleau T , Morozova O . Sci Adv 2022 8 (1) eabi5499 Close contact between people is the primary route for transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We quantified interpersonal contact at the population level using mobile device geolocation data. We computed the frequency of contact (within 6 feet) between people in Connecticut during February 2020 to January 2021 and aggregated counts of contact events by area of residence. When incorporated into a SEIR-type model of COVID-19 transmission, the contact rate accurately predicted COVID-19 cases in Connecticut towns. Contact in Connecticut explains the initial wave of infections during March to April, the drop in cases during June to August, local outbreaks during August to September, broad statewide resurgence during September to December, and decline in January 2021. The transmission model fits COVID-19 transmission dynamics better using the contact rate than other mobility metrics. Contact rate data can help guide social distancing and testing resource allocation. |
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